Thanks for the videos guys! I use the info daily (especially around harvest) for decision making at a grain facility in Dana, IN. I appreciate the attention to detail and consistency!
Saving a link to your 300mb Jet Stream map, it names it Nutrien's Weather Maps and it also does not give it an icon. This weather page is a monumental effort :o)
True story; Newton was sitting under the now famous apple tree due to being 'bumped' off the 'Express' donkey cart, and having to wait for the 'local'. 😄
The MJO should be moving out of phase 5,6 in the next couple of weeks. The Philippines transition to their dry season soon which will last until May. January is a nice time in the Philippines with cooler temps, and dry days. The MJO could simply move further south, but a lot of the time there is a delay in the return of heavy precipitation in the area even into Indonesia.
Thanks Eric great video. If the MJO gets out into phase 7 what do you think about the potential to get the polar vortex over the NA continent around mid January? Models show very similar appearance to Jan of 13’/14’ with maybe some deep cold air to tap in later on January and beyond. It’s very far in the forecast but we haven’t discussed the Polar Vortex or some analogs so I’d figure I would ask!
I think the polar vortex has a good chance at moving over Eastern North America even without the move of the MJO. Could set up a lot of cold air across the East.
Wait... the gulf of Alaska had turned warm? Is that as a result of the flatter jet stream pattern? Does that mean things are going to change in the high plains (SW NE), soon?
Morning Eric, why is it when you are showing the MGO others are showing going into face six and seven possible eight and when you show it, it’s all different
I guess it is just a difference of opinion. There are several published papers that show how often the MJO fails to reach the Pacific Ocean (Phase 7-8) especially during a La Niña. If the MJO were to make it to Phase 7-8 it would come at the expense of a weakening of La Niña. I DO think that will happen later this winter, but right now I don't have a lot of evidence it will do so by the end of December
Very weak LA NINA likely OR ENSO NEUTRAL LA Nada likely this season ERIC SNODGRASS. Happy holidays. East Coast USA should be ready for very exciting winter
Thanks for the videos guys! I use the info daily (especially around harvest) for decision making at a grain facility in Dana, IN. I appreciate the attention to detail and consistency!
Thanks Eric
..u make my day
..
thanks for the update, hope you have a good weekend!!!!!!! P. S. Santa and I put a little package in the mail for you!!!!!!!!!
Saving a link to your 300mb Jet Stream map, it names it Nutrien's Weather Maps and it also does not give it an icon. This weather page is a monumental effort :o)
ahhh - still adjusting the code. Thank you for catching that!
True story; Newton was sitting under the now famous apple tree due to being 'bumped' off the 'Express' donkey cart, and having to wait for the 'local'. 😄
The MJO should be moving out of phase 5,6 in the next couple of weeks. The Philippines transition to their dry season soon which will last until May. January is a nice time in the Philippines with cooler temps, and dry days. The MJO could simply move further south, but a lot of the time there is a delay in the return of heavy precipitation in the area even into Indonesia.
so is the mjo the middle linebacker or you? it seems big and unmovable but you keep referring to it as a hostage...
great update!
yeah, my choice of storylines when on two hours of sleep was less than stellar...
Thanks Eric great video. If the MJO gets out into phase 7 what do you think about the potential to get the polar vortex over the NA continent around mid January? Models show very similar appearance to Jan of 13’/14’ with maybe some deep cold air to tap in later on January and beyond. It’s very far in the forecast but we haven’t discussed the Polar Vortex or some analogs so I’d figure I would ask!
I think the polar vortex has a good chance at moving over Eastern North America even without the move of the MJO. Could set up a lot of cold air across the East.
What are your thoughts on a wet late winter to early Spring then go over to significant ridging heat and dry? Possible 2012 repeat?
Not sure about a 2012 repeat, the North Pacific would have to get A LOT colder.
Wait... the gulf of Alaska had turned warm? Is that as a result of the flatter jet stream pattern? Does that mean things are going to change in the high plains (SW NE), soon?
Modoki LA NINA 3.4
Ha ha! RUclips printed “Mohamed” Illinois
Morning Eric, why is it when you are showing the MGO others are showing going into face six and seven possible eight and when you show it, it’s all different
I guess it is just a difference of opinion. There are several published papers that show how often the MJO fails to reach the Pacific Ocean (Phase 7-8) especially during a La Niña. If the MJO were to make it to Phase 7-8 it would come at the expense of a weakening of La Niña. I DO think that will happen later this winter, but right now I don't have a lot of evidence it will do so by the end of December
Very weak LA NINA likely OR ENSO NEUTRAL LA Nada likely this season ERIC SNODGRASS. Happy holidays. East Coast USA should be ready for very exciting winter
I am trying to figure out when this La Niña finds a max and then loses ground quickly. Happy Holidays to you too!
Absolutely horrendous pattern for Central Nebraska. Not one flake of snow. Setting records for no snow accumulation, and it rolls on. Yuck.