'A lot would have to go wrong for Biden to lose': Historian predictor | NewsNation Prime
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- Опубликовано: 14 июн 2024
- Dr. Allan Lichtman, an esteemed history professor at American University, has a near-perfect track record in presidential election predictions - correctly forecasting 9 of the last 10 elections. He explains on "NewsNation Prime" his keys to winning and losing elections.
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Neck and neck? Where the hell do they come up with these numbers
Lie
Polls right now are useless.
The rest of America does not vote for a Felon
Convict Don has no chance
@@sublime7617 neither does Biden they are probably going to replace him.
What is this guy talking about???
He's talking about his unbroken record of calling presidential elections for the past 40 years or so.
@@michaeldeaton And why do you think that is? Is he some kind of modern day Nostradamus or perhaps rather part of the system's problem... 🤔
@@michaeldeatonBiden is practically a vegetable , what else could go wrong?
Biden moves around like a zombie
Just running by the mouth
Dr. Allan Lichtman, knows what he is talking about.
Gonna be so funny when Lichtman refutes the polls and pundits as usual. So far Lichtman has Biden at 9 True, 4 False on his most recent tentative outlook (June 9, 2024 livestream on his channel). Great position for Biden to win again.
Okay....let us clap
Btw the keys in 2020 were 7 False 6 True against Trump.
This guy is nuts, he doesn’t know what he’s talking about
He’s more right than you, unknown Vermin.
There is no way he has 44%
Agreed, this is Putin tactics from the regime.
I didn't even watch but if we're talkign trump I'd put him at 33% ultra max...all the uneducated. Its a clear dilneation even when we talk about trump/biden in Canada...the dummies always lean toward trump to "save them" while the educated people are just busy helping themselves
I can’t believe of them have over 40%
Alot to go wrong? IT ALREADY HAS! Where TF has this guy been?
yes, they are delusional
Exactly!
according to the keys
@@soniyasinha3496 like you
@@naughty_incubus1097 😄if you insist.. I am happy you think I am the President of the United States 😇
MAKE AMERICA TRUMPLESS AGAIN
Yes Make America Trumpfree Again
The needs to catch on.
LOL. Like in 2016 when at just 6:30 PM on election night "Polls" said Hillary had an 82% chance of winning. Trump rallies were massive and Hillary's were "crickets".
*The Polls were in lieu of a successful voter fraud Op that FAILED which is why Hillary threw a fit & why she immediately made a deal with Trump trading her concession for his promise that he'd leave her alone. We got 2o2o because we didn't go back & take 2016 apart*
By this guys reasoning, Biden will lose!
Pandemic 2.0 on the way soon.
It’s funny that Maga cult members actually thought Convict Don had a chance. 😂😢
With laptops 😂😂😂😂 what won't DEMOCrats imagine???
@@sonnyhoney8511 well we will just have to see if you are still smiling once cheeto loses the election. An I ain't no Democrat neither.
How can ANYONE support Joe Biden ?
How can ANYONE support Trump?? I will not vote for Biden, but AGAINST TRUMP! Thanks GOP for no good options.
How could any support a convicted felon
@@jameskennedy7666 HE DID NOTHIGNG WRONG AND EVEYRONE KNOWS IT WAS A SET UP TOTAKE EYES OFF OF JOZO AND CUNTER'S /BIDENFAMILY'S21MILLION IN SCHILLLMONEY FROM SCHILL FOREIGN COMPANIES THAT NO ONE PAID TAXES ON- BIDENS OWE TAXES INCLYDINGFELONCUNTER! NO ONE IS BUYING TE FAKE NEWS NOT EVEN THE HOOD! TRUMP AVALANCE IS SO STRONG NOTHING WILL STOP IT! TRUMP 2024!
Watch and see 😂
@jameskennedy7666: The world knows President Trump isn't a convicted felon and this case and all the others will be overturned!! Why don't you know this FACT!?? Your TDS is getting in your way!
2016: people afraid of dictatorship, not expecting the dictator to win.
2020: still afraid of dictatorship, expecting the dictator to win.
2024: embracing dictatorship, not expecting the dictator to win.
Bird flu incoming
Getting those drop boxes ready.
The former CDC director was on NN saying not IF, but WHEN, bird flu is the next pandemic. And then went on to say it has a 50% mortality rate. Which correlates to a certain report that says 50-70% of the pop will be gone by the end of 2025.
@@himynameis6502 Good hopefully most of them are democraps.
Bro... 50% is madness
Haven't we already learned not to trust the CDC on ANYTHING?? They are fear-mongers at best.
Haha neck and neck haha not even close haha!!
You have got to be kidding. 😂😂. Let's see...... Mister brain dead having us on the verge of WW3 or the peace and prosperity guy. That's a tuff choice.
Guess I am way overdue to unsubscribe .
go right ahead. Not going to chande the fact that cheeto will not be winning this election.🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Because they will cheat.
Hey, I saw Sasquatch with a sign that said the same thing
MAGAs tried to cheat by blocking votes of many Americans. But Biden still won by almost 8 million legally cast votes.
No one could want biden after the bast 4 years if I was you I'd go with sasquatch@@derrickbeaubearic4100
Yup, that's the GOP !
The GOP's voter suppression, yeah.
He didn't say anything about Trains, Mama or getting drunk.
What has gone right for Biden? Js
Low unemployment, high GDP, high stock market, high construction.
People will vote the same exact way they did last time (that’s how it goes in the current system of the DSA the Divided States of America). The only difference is RFK will pull votes from both parties. How many to impact is anyone’s guess
Don’t tell Vittert, he’ll be triggered like whoa 😂
Vitard is clearly partisan.
I have followed this guy for quite a while.
This man is missing the most important key - mental decline / confusion.
This is the key that we have never had before. Biden is toast.
Well trump still won despite babbling insanity.
He's a deep stater.
WRONG. Experts and Markets have already predicted a Biden win.
I'm glad he mentioned RFKJ, because he's going to be our next potus. I've predicted it since last October, and purely based on "intuition" (which I'm sure allan feels is bunk, and he would definitely be wrong about that). Uh, kind of interesting that bobby has made phenomenal progress since then. I also predicted that gore would win (and he did). So this guy has a good record, but the energy of our world is changing... At one point, I felt (intuitive) that some type of "miracle" may just happen to ensure bobby's victory. One thing's for sure (note, intuitive predictions are probabilities, but strong ones... the future is malleable), that if he doesn't win, things will get worse. Btw, this demented old dude is not our leader. His handlers and other influencers ($) are (um, including his son, who actually stated that he could get him to do anything).
I’m with you on RFKJ, but honestly any Independent has no chance in the current system
Some arbitrary number of "keys" to the white house. So scientific!
Nothing arbitrary about it and he's called every major election of the past 40 years with his keys.
how biden can have any votes is beyond me. im no trump fan but at least he knows what day it is
No entiendo como trump tiene votos si literalmente quiere acabar con la democracia e implementar el proyecto 2025
Wrong. Watch him give a speech. Watch him interact with World Leaders. You're falling for propaganda. Look into Project 2025. See for yourself what you're in for if trump wins.
He’s lost the plot!
It’s solely people voting against Trump, not for Biden
Thats fox propaganda and BTW trump is starting to have memory problems too.
Polls are annoying don’t need to do it
Hope he's wrong that means trump needs to work 10 TIMES HARDER
Any person who votes for an elderly man with early onset Alzheimer’s has to admit they vote with habit and not with heart
I don’t “love” Trump…. But i love this country and I’m tired of seeing it go to he(( in a hand basket.
They said AI might mess with them polls
When it comes to politics, people are racists by party color. Vote for your party no matter what to not allow the other party to win. These two candidates are prime examples of this. Both of them don’t deserve to be president in 2024
The fact that im a rockstar is a predictor
How much has already messed up. That can't be right at all
Which election was he wrong ?
Bush Gore
This guest is a tool. He said "a lot would have to go wrong for Biden not to win"...everything HAS gone wrong with Biden.
2000
None, because gore really won (research it).
@@toriarosewhy then was he not president?
#BIDEN2024 💙💙💙💙💙
With any other candidate, the Republicans might be ahead by 10 points. But so it goes...
That's another reason Trump is destined to lose. Ever since 2016 he and his brand have lost consistently. He lost 41 house seats in the 2018 midterms, he lost the blue collar rust belt states each by at least 100,000 votes in 2020, his hand-picked candidates got wiped out in the swing states in 2022 which was supposed to be a red wave year (most notably Doug Mastriano losing in PA by SIXTEEN POINTS!), and his hand-picked candidate for governor LOST to a DEMOCRAT in RUBY RED KENTUCKY. Hell, Alaska is represented by a Democrat in the house now. Absolutely nothing suggests Trump is a winning candidate this year. Everything points to an incumbent party victory. A lot has shifted in the democrats' favor since Biden was elected the first time -- there's that, and history also suggests that incumbent presidents, when reelected, expand their margin. That is a possibility it seems a lot of people aren't ready for.
No
What candidate? I seriously doubt it
True the Republican party really screwed up by choice. If they would of picked a different canadidate they would win for sure.
@@Jon-xf9cu incorrect - you’re just seething because we made the right choice
Tell the truth - don’t lie
Biden2024
Oh well… I know many Americans that lost their keys to their home and car lately. I work with many bankruptcy attorneys I now retired. I have a double major political science and economics. I am almost 80 years old so I’ve seen everything in the past 70 years knowing that at 10 years old I knew what I wanted to do was to go into politics. I decided to go into political productions. I have never ever seen anything so bad in our country as it is right now, and I really think that a lot of Americans are waking up to the fact that if we elect Biden, our country is absolutely doomed. I’m not saying that Donald Trump is the best, but of course he’s not the worst, as we have now. MR. BIDEN PLEASE RETIRE SO WE CAN GO BACK TO RELAXING BASEBALL GAMES AND HAVING A SLICE OF APPLE PIE WHEN WE GET HOME, WITHOUT WORRYING ABOUT PAYING FOR IT TOMORROW.
"I have never ever seen anything so bad in our country as it is right now..." wow. The years 1860, 1873-97, 1917-1918, 1929, 1941-1945, 1960, 1967, 1968, 1982, and 2001 are knocking. This country has endured civil war, one recession after another, two world wars, a great depression, major civil rights turmoil, rioting at a major party convention, a president resign in disgrace to avoid impeachment, the worst terrorist attack in history to date -- and things are worse now? Inflation is down at 3.27%, GDP has steadily grown during every month of this administration, as well as jobs, we have come back from a major pandemic, crime is at a 50 year low, unemployment is at 3%, wages are on the rise as well as unionization (may or may not be a good thing depending on your opinions), and we have no major social distress, no race riots or anything of the like (Palestine protests were nothing compared to the riots of 67-68). Surely not everything is perfect, since the border is still a mess and inflation isn't at the target of 2% -- but it's surely down from the 7-8% range we saw a couple years ago. With a working knowledge of history, is it seriously a fair statement to say nothing has ever been as bad as it is now? All these stats can be backed up by simple google searches -- which is why I didn't cite anything, since it's information everyone can easily find, so there is no excuse for getting it wrong, as my teachers would say. They all seem to suggest we're enduring a slow recovery from covid that isn't perfectly back to where it was before, but it has made very strong progress. Forget personal opinions -- when you say nothing has ever been as bad as it is now, history would like to have a word with that.
I think your country might finally be waking up to the fact your version of Capitalism is broken. That's about it as you would not have nearly the immigration problem if your companies were held to a higher paying standard. Your servers wage is $2.30...that will only attract the need for immigrants.
@@jeffcrusan2102 We have seen raging inflation, but we have never had an open border and a weaponized bureaucracy that blocked and censored and persecuted innocent citizens and a "woke" mob bent on destroying the middle class running the country which is why I will vote for Kennedy
@@jeffcrusan2102 Well said.
A lot will go wrong is he is re elected, just like it already has.
DR. Lichtman is WAY OUT OF DATE. he seems to ignore the fact the republicans don't care WHAT trump does or says- they'll vote for him anyway. the economy could be great and the republicans will still vote for Trump.
Trump's economy was great bc every class was participating in it and gaining generational wealth....now the same folks, in Biden's economy are using credit cards to pay their monthly bills. Gas, electric, water, property taxes have gone up 30%, 40%...cable, internet, cellphones, car insurance have gone up 30%, 40%....Biden's economy is being stimulated by rich people, not the lower and middle class.
The same can be said for Biden. He can’t say anything, just mumble.
But Dems will still vote for him.
@@davidwelsh8026 Biden mumbles, but Biden has passed HISTORIC legislation to help the country. CHIPS ACT , INFASTRUCTURE BILL, 1.2. billion dollars to help veterans in all states. Ken Burns called Biden the greatest president since Roosevelt. Trump got nothing done and trump added 8.5 TRILLION DOLLARS to our national debt- more than any previous president did in 8 years. Biden has already decreased our national debt by over 1 TRILLION DOLLARS.
But the economy is not great... we are paying more and more each day... yet illegals still keep coming that get more than the average citizen... in fact it is the average citizen that pays the way for the illegal... who will work for less money and replace the American born worker... all while sending their money back to the country that they came from to their families... they have defunded our police and criminals are no longer prosecuted to the point that there is no longer an adequate deterrent for crime.
The MAGA peoole loved this guy back in 2016 when he predicted Trump would win.
He is going on 4 keys, that he attributes to how he derived his theory on why his picks won. He could be entirely wrong on why his picks won. Correlation is not causation
He got 2000 wrong by the way. He says he correctly predicted that Gore would win the popular vote, but so what? The whole point is to correctly predict the EC.
What about Illegals, and crime?????
The numbers are up!!!
No election has ever been won in America by hating your neighbors and demonizing them. Americans rise above that.
The border is closed and crime is down, just ask Brandon no joke.
@@mikethemagnificent6631😂😂
SOUNDS LIKE THE FIX IS IN🤷🏽♂️
So unless Dump wins it's a fix?? Yeah okay with that skewed cultists philosophy!!
💙
successful foreign policy is a negative???
Well, NN is basically a new lighter CNN.
He forgot the most important and influential: Alicia Keys
I'm not 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Let the blind lead the blind and the man lead the people TRUMP 24
❤🤍💙
not happening.
Ahahaha
RFKJr in 2024
Yeah ok…. Another know nothing with his “keys” theory.
He's been right for 40 years and has the best prediction system in the world. What have you predicted?
@@jeffcrusan2102 AMEN TO THAT!!!
Trump supporters on some next level copium in the comments 😂
Neck snd neck???
He’s in dream land. Nice wig. Can’t see pas his own biases.
You're clueless
what about the gas/buying groceries key?
Yeah, no
RFK ALL THE WAY
Kjajajjaja no
YES!!!
RFK jr please
Wrong.
@@pokey5736 right?
not happening, he's an irrelevant distraction. the fact that his running mate is a billionaire's ex-wife screams alarm bells.
do that and you throw away your vote.
RFK Jr is going to beat them both though.
Jajajajjajajajja no
Unless Biden gets so far behind people will think voting for him is throwing away their vote anyway, it will be difficult for RFK Jr. to win even one state, much less enough states to get 270 electoral votes.
must not be including the Afghanistan key and the Ukrainian key and the Palestinian key, the jobs key, the puppet key, the old key and the Trumps gonna win key
Bla bla. RFK JR!!! 2024!!! For hope!!!❤Let's do it!🦅🇺🇸🦅
Jajajajajajja no
he has no chance. do that and you throw your vote away.
1 point ahead my ass
Cope
Doesn't matter who gets elected.
Yes it does. The Republicans may be bad but the Democrats are worse.
What is this bozo talking about
RFK at 7% is laughable he’s consistently poling over 15%
RFK all the way
do that and throw your vote away.
In my opinion
Lol lol lol
Oh oh ahhhhhaaaaaa
Lol who is this guy
Jimmie kimbil.
Ahaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
Oh stop I m laughing to long.
Or is it Jimmie falling
Ahaaaaaaaaaaaaohohoh
Bwaaaaaaaahahahahaaaaa
What more could Biden fk up? I think he's covered everything 🤣
Like what? Highest jobs in 50 yrs, road repairs, CHIPS Act, insulin prices $35/mo., etc....Yea, he really effed up. 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@@pokey5736 is that really all you have? Highest unemployment in 50 years because more people have to work multiple jobs to live because things have gone so bad under bidens administration. Praising biden for "road repairs" is like heaping praise on someone for doing something they should already be doing. Everything else you mentioned is pretty much irrelevant in the lives of everyday Americans. When you take the emotion out of it and compare ease of survival under trump vs ease of survival under biden its clear that biden has indeed phucked everything up.
Some new disease..
9 out of the last 10? Bet he got it wrong in 2016.
2000
Predicted Trump in 2016
@@jakub.kubicek i remember when all the MAGA people loved this guy in 2016.
Mama’s wrong again
So, we have a President who is senile, conflicts are popping up all over the world, we're closer to WWIII than we've ever been, we've got high taxes, high food prices, high gas prices, high inflation, 2/3rds of Americans living paycheck to paycheck or not even being able to do that without working multiple jobs, outrageous social policies that are angering loads of people, and an open border. This could all have been avoided with different policies, yet "a lot would have to go wrong for Biden to lose." Seems to me that there's a lot that has gone wrong already with Biden.
not more than with cheeto.
A lot has already gone wrong.
🤣🤣🤣wow. Neck and neck huh? Literally nothing in Biden's entire presidency has gone right.
It's more fake numbers, in reality they're most likely terribly low for Biden but to give Dems hope they come up with these dubious numbers.
Alot has gone wrong and my guess is more to come. I mean with Russian nuclear subs 60 miles off our coast, open borders allowing murderers and terrorists in, and the fact most cant afford to support their families what could possibly go wrong??
How could things get any worse?
You have no idea how much worse it's been because none of us ever lived through it ourselves.
How in the world can you have a discussion about this election without talking about Biden's dementia?
And trump?
How in the world can you be so brainwashed by right wing hate propaganda that you actually think Biden has dementia? He doesn't. You're just being lied to by people you shouldn't trust because they literally have won lawsuits based on the argument that anyone who takes their reporting seriously are unreasonable people who can't tell the truth from fiction.
@@SantiGallardo-hv2zp - what is Trump''s greatest weakness. He is a convicted felon, but many believe the trial was rigged, and the conviction may be throne out on appeal. Not that many people really believe the claim that Trump is worse than hitler.
@@SantiGallardo-hv2zp I'm no trump fan, but he shows no signs of dementia. Biden no longer swings his arms. That is late stage dementia.
How in the world can you have a discussion about this election without talking about cheeto's delusions
Yippee
I think he needs a 7th Key. Mental competence. And maybe that Key should have the weight of 3 Keys...
Taylor swift key…. Sad but true.
A lot has gone wrong lol😂
Lol I find that comparison hard to believe hahaha
Living in the past.
Total delusion
lol, Biden is toast!! Zero chance!! TRUMP
Sorry but that guy aint dealing with the reality that exists.
Correct, a deep state guy.
too bad he has been correct more times than you have been then.
@@roderickwright6339 Yeah, it's called the deep state...
I'm not even a Trumper, but to quote Joe Pesci: "Everything that guy just said is bullshit."
well he has got a better track record than you. EDIT: And yes. You ARE a "trumper." Us normals are harder to fool than you realize.
Lol. A lot HAS gone wrong. This "historian " being also blind proves how far America has sunk
That is correct. Everything Biden touches turns to S.
Expecting Trump to win the vote but not the election again
he will win neither. 14+ million popular vote between the two in Biden's favor.
Biden’s real name is Murphy. Iykyk
It’s already gone wrong!! He’s done!
Biden and Harris - Dumb and Dumber
A lot is going wrong.
Once you cheat it's easier to cheat so yeah a lot would have to go right
NEVER HAS A FELON COME SO FAR! 🍊🍊🍊TRUMP ONLY IN AMERICA!!!!🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
You're right, Hunter has come a long way, smartest man Brandon knows.
@@mikethemagnificent6631 never underestimate the thought process of DemocRATS
Coz all the crazies in California voting democrat no matter what.
Absolutely not. I know plenty of Californians who are not, and have not voted Democrat for the last 12 years.
What a joke
What hasn't Biden made a mess of?
Biden already lost
No
@@SantiGallardo-hv2zp The Muslim vote will not vote for Biden and Biden has also lost the Jewish vote. Then there is RFK Jr. people claim he is taking votes away from Trump, but he is really taking votes away from Biden.
@@davidmc8475 You guys need to do your math. I'm Jewish but will break it to you...Jews+Muslims don't count for much population across the usa. Not yet. We can't sway a vote except maybe in a few ridings in Florida lol.
@@davidmc8475 Latinos will be voting republican come November