How The Crash Will Happen
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- Опубликовано: 25 май 2024
- Can the Australian Property Market keep going up forever?
🔮 In this episode we discuss the SEVEN WAYS the housing market could CRASH:
👉 War
👉 18.6 Year Cycle
👉 No Population Growth
👉 Global Recession
👉 Climate Change
👉 Asteroid
👉 Affordability Ceiling
Discussion Points:
00:00: Introduction
01:50: Reason #1: War
04:21: Reason #2: The 18.6 year cycle
05:26: Reason #3: A net negative death rate
05:57: Reason #4: A positive natural birth rate
07:11: Reason #5: Global recession
10:28: Reason # 6: Climate change to have effect?
12:03: Reason #7: An asteroid??
12:10: Reason #8: Affordability cap
18:40: Conclusion
About The Host:
Subscribe to Aus Property Mastery with PK for no BS, “straight to the point” property investing strategies and data-driven insights about the Australian housing market - the only property podcast not biased by a “Buyers Agent”. You can listen to Aus Property Mastery on Apple Podcasts, Spotify & RUclips Music.
PK Gupta is the founder of the Property Investment Accelerator - Australia's #1 Rated And ONLY 100% Independent Real Estate Course & Mentorship Program that helps people achieve passive income through property investing using DATA, WITHOUT wasting months doing "research", spending weekends at inspections OR dropping $10-20k on Buyers Agents each time.
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i bought a coastal property 6 months before the GFC for 400k. I had no idea the GFC was coming.
The property value fell by about 20% so around 320k , lets say 300k...so i was down 100k at that point
Its currently valued at 1.6million
Thanks for your views.
Young people are smart millennials are moving rural for job opportunities life style eduction etc look at orange nsw many over areas people adjust be possative
Great presentation - thanks. One thought: If population growth became negative, the government would increase immigration to ensure we continued to have a growing workforce. Therefore the negative population growth would become irrelevant as far as house prices are concerned.
AGREE
1. Thousands of new houses and units to be built closer to train stations. Rent growth on established properties is expected to slow which would impact cash flow in the face of high interest rates.
2. Age limit for 485 Visa, expected drop in students with family.
3. Crackdown on dirty money and expected drop in foreign investors due to slowing economies.
4. Possible changes to negative gearing.
Re: New houses closer to train stations. Where is the info on this? I've only seen planning for new units.
@@juantokyo_NSW, QLD, WA Govt is exploring Bath UK model of townhouses, Terraces or small homes on blocks. Hearing talks on "micro homes" in NSW. NSW, Victoria and WA are announcing plans of infill with 4-6km ⭕ around train & bus station. Possibly some of the major shopping centres/uni/tafes/hospitals as well called "activity centres". That is called Value Capture Tax in future. Fair enough if people have services on their doorstep. Suspect that by then the price of Car Registration will become like home insurance premiums near a river....
wouldn't change on negative gearing would flood demands for high yield properties?
The affordability debate commonly ignores people that have been in the market for many years with plenty of equity growth, trading up/down.
In addition, the baby boomers will be transferring significant wealth over the next couple of decades.
Commercial real estate through banking crisis
I am glad you have looked at global possibilities keep it up
I brought in late 1980 we fought for my home at 18% interest people will do what they have to keep there assets
A black swan event no one saw coming possibly driven by hyperinflation that will debunk existing currencies around the world
Something is coming that will wipe out everyone ,.
There setting it up now
20% excess mortality from recent medical event?
More humid...
Hey Tirulipa, you are wrong
How? More like when... orchestrated right after Trump is voted in.
Its happening now ,,just behind scenes ,,