How possible is Bawumia getting more votes than Akuffo Addo got in 2020. Am in Ashanti region per my own chop bar polls, the way people are angry, there is no way Bawumia will get more than 65 percent here.
Ask Smart Sarpong hw Bawumia is able to win Ashanti, Central, Eastern, Bono, Ahafo n Western regions n still not able to cross the 50% mark to be president?
With reduced margins s3 s3n? He says Bawumia will win Ashanti region by 75% n when Npp wins by that margin, they win the elections. I think his polls is flawed
@@LeonardAlfa Be fair to him. His polls are Titled Tracking Polls. Their prediction will come on 28TH NOV 2024. Point is NPP cannot lead in 1st Round it's impossible if the elections will go 2nd round.
But lecturers re researchers too n can apply for grants for such research activities esp a professor who has track records of conducting such surveys n Other research works..getting funding will Not be too difficult
Remember smaller sample size can cause Increased variability Limited representativeness Reduced power , hence bigger p- value , drawing the results away from the truth etc
Small sample size does not affect representativeness. Sample size only affects precision, which you rightly call variability. You can have statistical significance for a biased estimate. If you want representativeness, you sample with limited selection bias to conform to your target population, minimize LTFU, and minimize missing data.
Remember the dart analogy for precision and accuracy. You can be precise on a biased estimate or imprecise on an unbiased estimate. The latter is desired
But why would you choose just two constituencies that votes massively for one party and generalize it😂😂😂no wonder his predictions for USA was wayyyy off
@@yawkyereowusu1718Otumfour always had good relationships with every PRESIDENT OR VICE , Bawumia isn’t any special Ashanti’s dnt vote based on Otumfour’s relationship with politicians,,,if that’s the case then Mahama should’ve increased his votes in 2020
How possible is Bawumia getting more votes than Akuffo Addo got in 2020. Am in Ashanti region per my own chop bar polls, the way people are angry, there is no way Bawumia will get more than 65 percent here.
Akuffo Addo spoil everything give am . NAPO messed it all up too .
Ask Smart Sarpong hw Bawumia is able to win Ashanti, Central, Eastern, Bono, Ahafo n Western regions n still not able to cross the 50% mark to be president?
Because of Greater Accra region. The NPP is losing so much votes from that region
Simple. Bawumia is winning more regions than expected but with reduced margins
With reduced margins s3 s3n? He says Bawumia will win Ashanti region by 75% n when Npp wins by that margin, they win the elections. I think his polls is flawed
Musa’s opinion polls makes a lot of sense. Very much sense than that of the prof.
Yes
I love Musah
Musa running away from his prediction😅😅😅 now he says the percentages are not predictions
He says predictions will be on the 28th November , please
@@LeonardAlfa Be fair to him. His polls are Titled Tracking Polls. Their prediction will come on 28TH NOV 2024. Point is NPP cannot lead in 1st Round it's impossible if the elections will go 2nd round.
Prof smart Sarpong who is jx a lecturer how does he finance his survey with high sample size?
Because you know him in real life?
He is a permanent consultant for UN and Aftican union consultant
@@mirazak1140I know him in real life 😂
But lecturers re researchers too n can apply for grants for such research activities esp a professor who has track records of conducting such surveys n Other research works..getting funding will Not be too difficult
Opinion polls with how many sample size?.if you have a small sample size it that ensuring even distribution of cofounders to reduce selection bias?
Ensuring even distributions of confounders does not in any way affect selection bias.
@ mmmmm
Remember smaller sample size can cause
Increased variability
Limited representativeness
Reduced power , hence bigger p- value , drawing the results away from the truth etc
Small sample size does not affect representativeness. Sample size only affects precision, which you rightly call variability. You can have statistical significance for a biased estimate. If you want representativeness, you sample with limited selection bias to conform to your target population, minimize LTFU, and minimize missing data.
Remember the dart analogy for precision and accuracy. You can be precise on a biased estimate or imprecise on an unbiased estimate. The latter is desired
Did any of these two studies controlled for the respondents’ political affiliation?
But why would you choose just two constituencies that votes massively for one party and generalize it😂😂😂no wonder his predictions for USA was wayyyy off
10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, days, and then the next day. Credibility at stake.
How do Musah Dankwah equate Ghana is heading to wrong direction and Mahama is going to win. Is Mahama the person to direct the direction?
The guy is saying time is a function of his present prediction. He will say in Nov- Dec issues changed. But I say time will expose the lazy party
Professor Papa b3n apuutor unnecessary polls nkoaa nothings Significant aside Joking
Musah Danquah paa. Mahama to win 65 percentage of votes in Greater Accra paa.Aba
Why is he modelling when a simple survey with the right sampling technique is all that is necessary?
this is statistics man
In a few days we’ll see who’s more trustworthy, the Prof. or M. Dankwa. One has a solid track record but I’m not in a hurry.
Npp vrs ndc
Musa, poll is not scientific.
The line is drawn....❤❤❤ Alan will win and shock everyone
stop dreaming
In your dreams
For the first time Musah is not flowing., he is not in his lying element best
This Prof Sarpong is a scam. 😅
I agree with Smart on Ashanti votes.Ashantis will vote massively.
Why would Ashanti Region vote more for Bawumia than Akkufo Addo?
@@enosenos185Dr Bawumia's relationship with the chiefs especially Otumfuo is a big deal
@@yawkyereowusu1718Otumfour always had good relationships with every PRESIDENT OR VICE , Bawumia isn’t any special
Ashanti’s dnt vote based on Otumfour’s relationship with politicians,,,if that’s the case then Mahama should’ve increased his votes in 2020
Prof Smart is not smart unfortunately 😂
Prof Sarpong didn’t do any survey . He just sat down and did desk top research
You love NDC ooo smart has done 276 and musah 111 and you're saying smart just sad down really
Yoo time will tell
You’ll get the shock of your life.
See how smart is struggling to speak.
Struggling to speak on what ?