財經特備:Fed練神功,必需Rate Cut? 【大觀演繹】 2024-09-19

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  • Опубликовано: 9 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 67

  • @AC-tf6no
    @AC-tf6no Месяц назад +2

    🙏

  • @YL-ui4kw
    @YL-ui4kw Месяц назад +1

    Thank you David sir! for sharing your analysis 🙏

  • @Stephenlan4022
    @Stephenlan4022 Месяц назад +1

    David Sir takes a strong view on the short side❤. I wish this view comes true

  • @p9kjr78fk8
    @p9kjr78fk8 Месяц назад +3

    高效率,一開波表達曬

  • @tmlau9649
    @tmlau9649 Месяц назад +2

    支持廣東話頻道💪

  • @snbhk.marcuscheung
    @snbhk.marcuscheung Месяц назад +2

    I agree with you . Your views clear my uncertainties. Thank you.

  • @jackkwok3877
    @jackkwok3877 Месяц назад +1

    Support

  • @bryanluk7178
    @bryanluk7178 Месяц назад +1

    👍

  • @eddielai9221
    @eddielai9221 Месяц назад +3

    好彩琴晚諗三諗四再四SQQQ,好彩未買😂不過今日雖然裂口,但十字星都係叫我睇多日🙂‍↕️

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +2

      仲可以跌到6.7 - 7,即係之前個低位再低4-5%。估計到時差唔多

  • @leeshunma9857
    @leeshunma9857 Месяц назад +2

    👍👍👍🙏🙏🙏

  • @doorlandcharcoalgod
    @doorlandcharcoalgod Месяц назад +1

    而家credit spread咁窄credit curve 咁flat 同埋yield curve 又expect to steepen
    咁債卷應該點買

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +1

      正係時機。睇你想點。如果當係一畢長期gen零用錢,你可以go for 5 to 10 年期。泊$,6個月

  • @ajd4413
    @ajd4413 Месяц назад +1

    David, what range of gold price do you see? It has a geopolitical component.

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +2

      可以再上多200蚊

  • @vincentip9944
    @vincentip9944 Месяц назад +1

    How about the Real Estate like XLRE ? If mkt crash, I think XLRE would come down as well . What do you think? Thx

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +1

      Yes it will come down. Real estate no good

  • @27868415
    @27868415 Месяц назад +1

    David add oil

  • @matthewhongkong7081
    @matthewhongkong7081 Месяц назад +2

    岩岩睇聯署局推高 預計失業率4.4%
    我反而想知會不會又prices in 左
    假如10月4日 失業率4.4 會不會美股都未必再跌?

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +1

      冇priced-in

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +1

      just market doesn't care that much

    • @matthewhongkong7081
      @matthewhongkong7081 Месяц назад +1

      星期三再聽David 係第二個台分析

    • @matthewhongkong7081
      @matthewhongkong7081 Месяц назад +1

      因為以前美股跌 高息債都會跌
      但現時高息債ETF居然創新高 所以我覺得會不會真係跌落去? 經濟衰退 沒理由高息債仲會升
      我呢兩日睇緊d圖 同埋過去既走勢。 覺得有d疑問
      真係要等星期三David 講解

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +1

      @@matthewhongkong7081 現時market亂,好多correlations don’t hold

  • @vinniechan
    @vinniechan Месяц назад +2

    發達國家印左三十年銀紙唔記得左乜野先係正常嘅利率
    God Help Us 😂😂😂

  • @lam_daniel
    @lam_daniel Месяц назад +1

    I am not trading in the bond price but on the income investment. I am struggling which tenors to buy? Would 2 years too long to hold? The credit spread is quite narrow....

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +1

      Won’t be too long as long as you look for a near risk free return, just to protect against mere inflation

  • @michaelluo3363
    @michaelluo3363 Месяц назад +1

    点解琴晚标普可以这样涨的?很少见这样的K线组合

    • @michaelluo3363
      @michaelluo3363 Месяц назад +1

      再看了下,是去摸上轨

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад

      我唔理K線。有些$興奮而已

  • @tomwong606
    @tomwong606 Месяц назад +1

    請教 David Sir 買長債定短債好?

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +1

      現時計,6個月的差唔多剛好

    • @ajd4413
      @ajd4413 Месяц назад +1

      David sir, just trying to understand the fundamental. If the forecast is recession and more rate cuts, then t billI I understand. What if there is inflation but recession noting how the American and their government spend. Powell will increase rate?

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +2

      He may be forced to raise the rate again. This is possible scenario.

    • @tomwong606
      @tomwong606 Месяц назад

      咁做6個定期好定買6個月債好呢?好似差唔多?

    • @ajd4413
      @ajd4413 Месяц назад +1

      @@macandmic and that probably won’t happen until 6 months so 6 months t bill? Trying to raise my 思維 like yours.

  • @warrior_freedom
    @warrior_freedom Месяц назад +1

    SQQQ 又爆了🤣😂
    隔離台Raga有人話重手揸SQQQ

    • @matthewhongkong7081
      @matthewhongkong7081 Месяц назад +2

      馮智政😂

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад

      佢幾時乜野價位揸貨先?

    • @warrior_freedom
      @warrior_freedom Месяц назад +1

      @@macandmic 幾日前啦🤣

    • @matthewhongkong7081
      @matthewhongkong7081 Месяц назад +2

      @@macandmic 昨天入
      總之夾到個袋爆🤣🤣
      星期一再睇啦 可能破燈🤣🤣

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +2

      @@matthewhongkong7081 咁咪太早lor

  • @zafechan7912
    @zafechan7912 Месяц назад +1

    一講SQQQ即跌7%

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад

      仲可以跌到6.7 - 7,即係之前個低位再低4-5%。估計到時差唔多

  • @matthewhongkong7081
    @matthewhongkong7081 Месяц назад +1

    減完息 個市夾緊上去。標普ATH.
    如果put David sir 會點做? 遠期定近期put ?最少兩個月

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +2

      我的遠期put早成2個幾月部署,中間take partial profit and reload at August NDX high,即係根本唔係只做好短的炒賣

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад +2

      以現在的情況,do nothing until local high has reached and stablized.

    • @matthewhongkong7081
      @matthewhongkong7081 Месяц назад +1

      @@macandmic 不過8月個下 應該David 都賺四至十倍
      David 應該零成本持倉

    • @macandmic
      @macandmic  Месяц назад

      @@matthewhongkong7081 yup

    • @matthewhongkong7081
      @matthewhongkong7081 Месяц назад +1

      不過10月SPY QQQ既put IV都19%
      唔通真係莊家都prices in 10月/11月高危