Thanks for watching. This is my first Daily Paycheck series! Comment in the section below how you like it. Also if you haven't subscribed yet, please do so- it costs nothing, and it encourages me a lot. Anyway, enjoy the content and the channel!
You always seem to be in a hurry. I’m not sure why. It is exhausting at times. I am constantly pausing and rewinding. We like you so we will watch a longer video. It’s ok to pace yourself and give the reasoning behind what you are doing.
Hey, I'm sorry. I'm not really in a hurry. I get that it comes across that way. I will give more reasons behind what I do! Thank you for your feedback.
@DiceOutChannel Can throw $1 on 12 even progressing it every 20 or 30 rolls , because you know that 12 does hit - even back-to-back . If you're worried about it.
Thanks man! This is a fun one. You have to think ahead when you're playing live, but if you know what you're going to do with the next hit, you can just drop that amount of money when they pay you. It goes much smoother. I appreciate you watching!
The probability of rolling a 4 or 10 is 8.333% (3/36) The probability of rolling them twice in a row is (8.333%)^2, which is approximately 0.6944% The approximate expected occurrences rolling them twice in a row in 100 rolls are 8.333 times The probability of rolling a 5 or 9 is 11.111% (4/36) The probability of rolling them twice in a row is (11.111%)^2, which is approximately 1.2346% The approximate expected occurrences rolling them twice in a row in 100 rolls are 11.111 times The probability of rolling a 6 or 8 is 13.889% (5/36) The probability of rolling them twice in a row is (13.889%)^2, which is approximately 1.929% The approximate expected occurrences rolling them twice in a row in 100 rolls are 13.889 times The probability of rolling a 7 is 16.667 (6/36) The probability of rolling a 7 twice in a row is (16.667%)^2, which is approximately 2.778% The approximate expected occurrences rolling 7 twice in a row in 100 rolls are 16.667 times
Thank you for this strat,,,,,, I will need to break it down and see if it's viable on bubble craps..... Have you run this on bubble craps yet,, and maybe I missed it? Thanks again.,,, really enjoyed this one.
You would divide everything by 3 to play this at the $5 bubble craps level. Divide everything by 5 to play this at the $3 bubble craps level. Does this help?
@@Joey_Westside Yep. I played it last night myself on the bubble machine but at the full level. Worked well. I got hit on the 10 and 5 a couple of times, but I ended up $600. How long it takes depends on how many times you get knocked off in the first little bit. Remember- Always 2 and down inside and 3 and down on the 4 and 10. Thanks for commenting. Glad you like the video!
If the point is 6/8 you lay $150 which pays 125 -6 vig. You have 134 place bet. After 2 hits you are not making up for all the place bet. Taking down the lay and reduce the place bet to base expose to a bit of loss if 7 comes right after the 2nd roll?
Yep, the place bets add up to $132. A 7 out will pay $119, so the exposure is technically $13. Let's note: This deficit is not one that makes much difference at an actual table, so I am generally less attentive to it. In the context of the strategy, whether it's $13 or $3, it's considered "small." It still recovers easily from it. To your point- we make a weighted average profit on the first hit of $39.94. If we take that and press the place bets the mathematically correct units, we'll press the 4/10 $5 each, the 5/9 $10 each, and the 8 (opposite number) $12. Now I don't always do that, because I get carried away in the action, but that's the mathematically correct way. So if you did that, your average profit on hit #2 is $52.68. $52.68 + $39.94 does not equal $132. It equals $92.62. So we're at a shortage of $40. That's why I might recommend reducing all to the $20/$25/$30 level and laying the 6 still for $48. You'll make around $40 in 25/30 cases, and you'll lose the 48 in 5 of them. At that point, I would probably just replace it, get one no-8 hit, and run from there. On a medium-sized roll, this will still recover, and we are talking about an improbably (not-average) set of circumstances. I hope this helps you!
Yep! Have to tip them well for this one. A lot of times with mine, they'll just have a big pile of reds and whites because they know I'm about to press or reduce anyway.
Hey it sounds good looks good My first time ever watching your channel seems like you know what you're talking about but I could not keep up and I kind of know the game You need to slow down just a little bit brother
Thanks for the input! I have heard this. I am working on slowing down. You can also reduce the play speed to .75%, and that could help until I figure out how to. I'm working on it, I promise!
Hey I’m a subscriber and really like your videos. This is a good strategy but I would change it up a little. If you are going to lay bet on the number that gets rolled then you should just run it through the DONT COME bet. Your going to get paid way better money on your hedge bet. And you don’t want to use the DONT COME then why not just choose which number you want to place a lay bet on? I would just place my lay bet on a number rather than let the dice decide. Laying on the six and eight is gonna get picked off a lot of the time.
Yep, I thought about this. For me, being against the 7 with $180 on the DC is too much. I thought about hedging with hops or lays, but that cuts into the profit and/or forces one other hit before I take the DC down. I debated about this point quite a bit. In video 4, I'm going to come out on both the Pass and DP so we don't have to pay the vig, and that's probably my preference, though it has disadvantages depending on the odds allowed. Ultimately I decided not to lay the same # over and over again because I wanted to risk an average of $175 with between $110-$120 in coverage. The other option is just personal preference and having some randomness in what the number is we're laying against. You get to lay less for superior coverage on the 6/8, and clearly this strategy works even with it. I tried just laying the 9 or 5, and I didn't like it as much. Up to you. I appreciate your input! Also for watching it and being thoughtful. I love new ideas. Take care.
If you click on the screen and go to the little wheel, you can choose the playback speed! Go to .75x or slower. If you want help, let me know and I'll call you. Thanks for watching!
Thanks for watching. This is my first Daily Paycheck series! Comment in the section below how you like it. Also if you haven't subscribed yet, please do so- it costs nothing, and it encourages me a lot. Anyway, enjoy the content and the channel!
Yeah this guy is really working the dealer with his quantum physics equations huh?
New subscriber, enjoy your channel. Thanks for the videos.
Thanks Blackdragon!
I really like your content. I’m a big fan of seeing these types of videos live.
Thanks man! Share it with others. I wouldn't make these if I didn't believe it could help people in a real way.
You always seem to be in a hurry. I’m not sure why. It is exhausting at times. I am constantly pausing and rewinding. We like you so we will watch a longer video. It’s ok to pace yourself and give the reasoning behind what you are doing.
Hey, I'm sorry. I'm not really in a hurry. I get that it comes across that way. I will give more reasons behind what I do! Thank you for your feedback.
Same thoughts for me. I can't tell sometimes if you're laying or placing.
@@ts4426 Thanks!
Very confusing
If you put Dooey-Don’t on the Pass/DP you don’t have to pay vigs.
Yep! This works well depending on the max odds the house will let you lay. You do always risk the 12.
@DiceOutChannel Can throw $1 on 12 even progressing it every 20 or 30 rolls , because you know that 12 does hit - even back-to-back . If you're worried about it.
lol yeah you know it works. Ok we supposed to tak3 your word
Nice roll out 👍
Thanks man! This is a fun one. You have to think ahead when you're playing live, but if you know what you're going to do with the next hit, you can just drop that amount of money when they pay you. It goes much smoother. I appreciate you watching!
I’m glad I’m not a craps dealer trying to do all these bets for this guy….
The probability of rolling a 4 or 10 is 8.333% (3/36)
The probability of rolling them twice in a row is (8.333%)^2, which is approximately 0.6944%
The approximate expected occurrences rolling them twice in a row in 100 rolls are 8.333 times
The probability of rolling a 5 or 9 is 11.111% (4/36)
The probability of rolling them twice in a row is (11.111%)^2, which is approximately 1.2346%
The approximate expected occurrences rolling them twice in a row in 100 rolls are 11.111 times
The probability of rolling a 6 or 8 is 13.889% (5/36)
The probability of rolling them twice in a row is (13.889%)^2, which is approximately 1.929%
The approximate expected occurrences rolling them twice in a row in 100 rolls are 13.889 times
The probability of rolling a 7 is 16.667 (6/36)
The probability of rolling a 7 twice in a row is (16.667%)^2, which is approximately 2.778%
The approximate expected occurrences rolling 7 twice in a row in 100 rolls are 16.667 times
Yep!
Is there a message here or are you just regurgitating the math?
@@guardianking9209 There's no message here for you, move along.
@@guardianking9209 haha I was thinking the same thing
@@guardianking9209 If anything, it's a good reference in probability.
Thank you for this strat,,,,,, I will need to break it down and see if it's viable on bubble craps..... Have you run this on bubble craps yet,, and maybe I missed it? Thanks again.,,, really enjoyed this one.
You would divide everything by 3 to play this at the $5 bubble craps level. Divide everything by 5 to play this at the $3 bubble craps level. Does this help?
@@DiceOutChannel This makes sense. I'm going to try it on bubble craps today! Thanks for the strat
@@Joey_Westside Yep. I played it last night myself on the bubble machine but at the full level. Worked well. I got hit on the 10 and 5 a couple of times, but I ended up $600. How long it takes depends on how many times you get knocked off in the first little bit. Remember- Always 2 and down inside and 3 and down on the 4 and 10. Thanks for commenting. Glad you like the video!
If the point is 6/8 you lay $150 which pays 125 -6 vig. You have 134 place bet. After 2 hits you are not making up for all the place bet. Taking down the lay and reduce the place bet to base expose to a bit of loss if 7 comes right after the 2nd roll?
Yep, the place bets add up to $132. A 7 out will pay $119, so the exposure is technically $13. Let's note: This deficit is not one that makes much difference at an actual table, so I am generally less attentive to it. In the context of the strategy, whether it's $13 or $3, it's considered "small." It still recovers easily from it.
To your point- we make a weighted average profit on the first hit of $39.94. If we take that and press the place bets the mathematically correct units, we'll press the 4/10 $5 each, the 5/9 $10 each, and the 8 (opposite number) $12. Now I don't always do that, because I get carried away in the action, but that's the mathematically correct way. So if you did that, your average profit on hit #2 is $52.68. $52.68 + $39.94 does not equal $132. It equals $92.62. So we're at a shortage of $40.
That's why I might recommend reducing all to the $20/$25/$30 level and laying the 6 still for $48. You'll make around $40 in 25/30 cases, and you'll lose the 48 in 5 of them. At that point, I would probably just replace it, get one no-8 hit, and run from there. On a medium-sized roll, this will still recover, and we are talking about an improbably (not-average) set of circumstances. I hope this helps you!
@@DiceOutChannelthanks for the explanation. I just thought 3 hits will get you out but then the risks are higher if you don’t make the 3
@@guardianking9209 Yep exactly. I used to play this with 3 hits on the 5/6/8/9 points, and it just treaded water too much for my liking.
I can see a fairly green dealer giving you stink eye for non uniform bets
Yep! Have to tip them well for this one. A lot of times with mine, they'll just have a big pile of reds and whites because they know I'm about to press or reduce anyway.
Hey it sounds good looks good My first time ever watching your channel seems like you know what you're talking about but I could not keep up and I kind of know the game You need to slow down just a little bit brother
Thanks for the input! I have heard this. I am working on slowing down. You can also reduce the play speed to .75%, and that could help until I figure out how to. I'm working on it, I promise!
Hey I’m a subscriber and really like your videos.
This is a good strategy but I would change it up a little. If you are going to lay bet on the number that gets rolled then you should just run it through the DONT COME bet. Your going to get paid way better money on your hedge bet. And you don’t want to use the DONT COME then why not just choose which number you want to place a lay bet on? I would just place my lay bet on a number rather than let the dice decide. Laying on the six and eight is gonna get picked off a lot of the time.
Yep, I thought about this. For me, being against the 7 with $180 on the DC is too much. I thought about hedging with hops or lays, but that cuts into the profit and/or forces one other hit before I take the DC down. I debated about this point quite a bit. In video 4, I'm going to come out on both the Pass and DP so we don't have to pay the vig, and that's probably my preference, though it has disadvantages depending on the odds allowed.
Ultimately I decided not to lay the same # over and over again because I wanted to risk an average of $175 with between $110-$120 in coverage. The other option is just personal preference and having some randomness in what the number is we're laying against. You get to lay less for superior coverage on the 6/8, and clearly this strategy works even with it. I tried just laying the 9 or 5, and I didn't like it as much. Up to you.
I appreciate your input! Also for watching it and being thoughtful. I love new ideas. Take care.
Bro. Too fast. I'm sure it works
lol he needs to lay off on the cocaineeeee I told him already
I'll try to slow it down. I don't do it on purpose- it's how I talk, lol.
If you click on the screen and go to the little wheel, you can choose the playback speed! Go to .75x or slower. If you want help, let me know and I'll call you. Thanks for watching!
Your a good guy
@@edwardbignardelli3603 Thanks man.