DON'T BUY GOLD IN 2021 BEFORE WATCHING THIS!
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- Опубликовано: 15 ноя 2024
- GOLD Crash Coming Soon? Is GOLD a good investment? Gold Market Cycle explained.
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Topics covered in this video:
Gold Market Cycle
Gold Historical Date
Future of Gold
Gold Predictions
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#Gold
I reached a similar conclusion recently after looking at the data over the last 80 years. If you treat gold like any other stock/asset/commodity, you are bound to misread the price movement. It seems that gold peaks then slumps then establishes a new 'middle' before rising slowly and then going into a short lived bull period. The trick is to buy somewhere near the 'new' low to middle, but determining exactly what that is is difficult due to noisy signals created by speculators.
In short, you need to keep your expectations in check, establish appropriate time horizons (i.e. for gains/returns) and invest accordingly.
Thank you for your valuable insight. In my opinion, two more factors also needs to be taken into consideration - 1. massive stimulus around the world might lead to inflation and push up the gold price 2. Dollar price and gold prices are inversely proportional and further weakening of dollar will push up the gold price
But it hasn't. you and your herd have been wrong for a long time now.
Your prediction is correct 🎉
US Federal Reserve are printing money nonstop in HUGE amounts, this will lead to inflation and commodities prices increase (specially Gold and Silver). Gold and silver are undervalued at the current prices
i fell u just watched the plot 11 gold& dollar documentary
But it hasn't risen in price. you and your herd have been wrong for a long time now.
@@rookie147 let's see within 1-2 years
@@rahul28ish upward ⬆️⬆️
You forgot to mention that Gold is the best hedge against inflation. With the loose monetary policy and zero rates all over the world, ultimately this is going to affect the global scenario.
Gold and bullion is only the safest bet...
What a confident person he is.. directly challenging with bank of America.. swag😎
Thanks you for 650++ like ❤️
Tan tan tan taaannnn. 😎
Especially that smiling...
Yes , He have strong foundation with good analytical skills ....
That is PR sundar !
@@balajit3929 He has good analytical skills till date but actual tax on Gold in India is 3% GST.
@@coolkrina that 12.5 % is import duty. In addition to that we are paying gst. Since gst is claimable so effective tax rate is 12.5%
Today the gold is trading around $1776. I don't see gold prices crossing $2200 by October
Classy smile at the end when self pronounces his own name. How much of natural qualities to humans! Thanks to almighty! Thank u for all the likes Gentlepeople! Stay blessed
You do have a point but Lehman Brothers went out of business in 2008 and GOLD topped in 2011 It took 3 years to see the real impact of the PRINTING. I am extremely positive GOLD has not seen the top if not in short term buy by the end of the year or next year we will see the real spike in the price.
2011 Jan gold rate was Rs 1800/gm; Fast forward 2021 Jan gold rate is around Rs.4800/gm so it will be like in an increasing slope
Today FD rate is 6%. Likely to go down to 4%. Gold will definitely perform better than that. And crisis is a black swan. It doesn’t give you warning. So 20% investment is Gold is always recommended....
Investing in a solid commodity like gold is not a bad idea, it's a great insurance against market inflation. It's indeed a great addition to our portfolio.
not now.
@@sudheerk9347 when ?
@@achintsingh210 after it goes up thats the right time for them lol
@@achintsingh210 When gold is not performing for 2-3 years, then is the time to invest.
Exactly the are wrong,,, it will be damn high on 2024 im invested gold on 2017 they all said its stupid idea i buy 1gram per 2.3k on tht yr,,. Almost 12k invested now 1 g is 5k got almost profited of 25k,, trust goldd
From the time gold etf was introduced, gold and silver markets are being highly manipulated by big banks such as JP Morgan, HSBC, ...
How is this? I never understood when I hear it. Thanks
@@smilinazzdoggy825 they can sell what they don't have.
Well done. Always take the opposite side of the financial talking heads: Bank of America and Goldman Sachs especially. If they say buy...you sell.
Before 31march 2021 Gold will test 42500...& in April 2021 Jupiter will go Vakri margi ..& Move in Aquarius sign than Gold prices will get Stable up till Oct 2021..after Oct to Novlast again Jupiter will go back in Capricorn....
He is right....
Gold and equity are inversely related equity is on good track soo if gold need to cross $3000 Then there will be huge huge global crash required even bigger then March 20 (Corona)
I enjoyed the analysis; you touched on two relevant points 1) increases in gold price is related to crisis 2) it is also related to fiat currency debasement. It seems you favor point one as being the more relevant of the two. For my part, I'm not convinced that it is either or - but both. I don't believe we are out of any situation globally that is unfavorable for gold in the 2020s.
Sir, you didn't considered inflation and currency pumping of all central banks. Those inflation will reflect in Gold and other commodities
Sir I have big doubt :
1l NIFTY : AS per PR sundhar sir view on nifty now 14000 and its go to big rally to 50k or something high by analysing pure technicals and market depth...
But as per fundamental view by anand srinivasan sir and uthamkumar sir view on nifty earning /PE ratio are low but market react too high due to people's cash liquidity high so market too high.
What we taken from those 2 diff way from experts...
2) Gold : as per your view on gold not goes high due to taxation, dollar value and international gold price not hit high and didt breake recent high 2070$.
But same anand sir utham sir and kishore sir told to accumulating gold on small quantity is good for investment on future.. Analysing by technicals and time cycles and movements of international gold price. They say its may hit 6000 to 7000 Rs per gram in india..
I have lot of information about market and financially from those experts and thanks to all...
Its not my mistake to ask this question and Its my own doubt sir. Pls tell me.
Regards
Venkadesh R
Gold is never an investment, it's an insurance against inflation.
Something has to happen with all those QE. You mentioned nothing about QE. I agree that even tonnes of QE hasn't caused inflation so far in the consumption market, but only in the Capital market
Velocity has to rise...then...inflation
There will be QE like we've never seen going forward.
@@JimMoorby Correct...the house of cards will get much taller until...._________________?
@@JimMoorbyHIGH % of QE is already yielded by FED.
Read my comments carefully and understand how I calculated minimum 9% returns in gold (SGB format). Out of which the capital gains part of 6.50% is tax free if held till maturity of 8 years
How many people r eagerly waiting for Hayeeeeiiii 😁 this is pr sunder........nice video sir....
Sema spelling hayeeeeiiii. Infact exactly u hv recorded his saying thru ur spelling. Stay blessed
Lol
😂😂😂
Most newbies fail simply because they don't understand how the market works in general or in particular how the market relates to stock or currency pair they entering. If a retail trades doesn't grasp what the market makers are doing and when they are doing it, the greatest strategy in the world will fall. For new traders the markets are like entering an F1 race before you've passed your drivers license test. I am a beginner I never believe I made $30,000 in just 1 week from trading and with the market. an expert financial analysis and he made me learn to read and understand the language of price action. He guides me with the exact time frame to trade and now I just received me first withdrawals of $30k in my bank account today I'm very happy, my advice is for you to contact him he will guide you perfectly well, and thank me later, I guess this is a good way to show my heartfelt appreciation for literally breaking the chain of my financial debit when I needed it most, you can contact him on his email hear.
(1frankwilliam9@gmailcom).
I buy gold 1776 after I close the position 1883 I invest 1000 dollars! Now gold 1809.i think it's time to buy gold! If you invest 1000 dollars hold the position just 1 week or 2 week! In my guess may be you got 5000 or 6000 dollars! What you think about?
Explain but it's too high 5k 6k to reach usually u can expect 10 to 20% profit. Daily 3%
Just completed 12th class. U r inspiration for my fundamental investing. Interested to learn more from you. But I can't afford your fee. I m clearly observing your words in every video and note down critical words. And digged the total chain from internet. Thank you sir. Pls continue providing best useful content and resources.
Read Parag Parikh books - 1. stocks to riches and 2. Value investing and behavioral finance.
@@shobhanihalani2029 thank you
They are simple and easy even for those who are not from commerce line. Same is with Peter Lynch book- one up on wall Street.
With just completed 12 th class your focus on every word and clear observation is awesome. Yes focus focus is the only path to victory.
@@ponparthi thank you very much❤️
This video is 10 months old and the gold price currently is still at USD 1851.89. Best prediction ever !! Jindbad
Gold price crashed while watching this video 👌 You are a legend sir 🙏🏻
🤣
🤣🤣🤣 what bullshit
So if gold don't going to raise again the recent high, remaining metal stocks also won't raise.. If metals don't raise, there is no exponential inflation and growth.. If there is no inflation even after this money printing means there is problem is demand side than the supply side. Then how come stock market goes to 50k in next 4 to 5 years as you said? In b/w commodities, metal bull market means emerging markets rally like hell. If metals not going to raise, means, dollar gets stronger and stronger. Which means, developed markets outperform and emerging markets underperform due to difficult flows..
What about the effect of the stimulus, Quantitative Easing, currency depreciation et al on Gold price? And Commodities(Copper , Silver etc)?
Yes. Quantitative easing is the biggest issue (well actually inflation). And inflation in India will never stop until it is a developed country (perhaps by 2050)
You're talking.
@@tenvillagesahead4192 nope. As long as fiat currency exists inflation will never stop. Have to go back gold standard. All government debase and devalue thier currency as a tax on savers. INR is strong against USD? But what about USD. Every govt. prints too much money and that is why gold has appreciated. Another way to look at it is gold has remained at the same value, but all currencies have depreciated
Gold is hedge against inflation. Do you think inflation will remain muted? Where is Gold to Silver Ratio and S&P 500 to Gold ratio compared to 5 year average? Please explain...
Moreover, what do you think will be the fair value of Rupee compared to dollar according to the interest rate parity since 2013?
Cool video, Good analysis... If you ask me, there are many good predictions, but none of us have any idea what is actually going to happen these days.
Mr.Sundar the average INR was Rs.61 and not 69 as stated by you in 2013. So your calculation of minimal currency depreciation is INCORRECT. The last 10 years INR has depreciated by average 3 to 4 % annualized. Plus in SGB , Govt is giving 2.50 interest. Even if we assume slow growth of just 3.50% on iinternational gold price, UNder the SGB scheme we can very easily get approx 9 to 10% annual returns....3.50+ 3.00+2.50 which is total of 1) annual gold price rise in dollars 2) annual currency depreciation 3) GOI interest on SGB
"In 10 months we'll see Bank of America is correct or PR Sundar is".... Lots of things to learn from you... Big fan of your confidence 🔥🔥
Though I'm not a fan of him, but I will agree with PR Sundar as gold price will not give another spike.
Quantitative easing was responsible for the gold surge in 2008, it is not the crisis. The same will happen this time as well. I guess, 2021 will remain flat perhaps till 3rd quarter, the gold would be surging by next festive season.
That was too good ... Bright smile on my face. Becoming your fan day by day.
Even my 3 year old son has started reciting , Hi this is PR Sundar ... The moment I see your video
Hello, sir i hope your are doing well, I have a question that I need to ask you, because I don't think I would get perfect answer if i ask it to google anyway my question is sir, as you were saying gold prices were increasing or were reaching to peak levels during different "Crisis" globally so what makes gold prices to reach higher levels of prices during crisis. Why only during crisis ???
Investment is very good and necessary
Because of the market fluctuating price, Investing in online trading now will be the wisest thing to do especially that it's very profitable
Online trading is really profitable as an investment
Am planning to buy ornaments ..can you please suggest when should I buy in 2022
Believe it or not, every dip is an opportunity to buy and hold gold for 5 years. The bull run in precious metals to continue for a decade or even more.
Sir , I watched this video 4 times and did my own research. Gold has dropped from 1886USD from the time you made this video to 1690$ on March 8th 2021. I strongly feel gold will fall till 1650$ by mid April and from there it will go as high between 1900 to 2200$ by August /September. Lets see Bank of America prediction Vs PR Sundar prediction Vs this prediction as per my study 👍
தலைவா!.
உங்கள் கடைசி வரிகள் "let us see,whether Bank of America is correct (or) P.R.Sundar is correct".
சிலிர்க்க வைக்கிறது!.
அட்டகாசம்!.
Yes
Your analysis is candid,logical and factual. Still I consider digital investment in Gold( e.g. Sovereign Gold Bond) for the fact that with the turning wheel of time, some sort of global crisis happens in every decade..... If this happens in late 2020s and early 2030s, there will be a fall in share indices and rise in Gold price.... Gold should not be considered as an investment that gives return overnight......One can expect to double his/ her investment in Gold within 9 years of investment.....So the decision of Indian women in particular, of keeping some investment in Gold, has helped many families at the time of financial adversities.... Indian women are to be respected for that.....See these historical figures and decide yourself...
Price per 10 gram of 24 carat gold in 1965( Rs.71.25), 1975 ( Rs.540),1985 ( Rs.2130), 1995 ( Rs.4680), 2005 ( Rs.7000) , 2015 ( Rs. 26343), 2020( Rs.48651), 2030 ( Expected 1,00,000)......
சார் நீங்க தமிழக தங்கம் சார் 🙏
even today (06/10/21) gold trades @1756 & fluctuates...so far PR sunder is correct.... In India south people is good at technicalities and maths. Also good peaceful stable govenrments attracts international investments and ventures there by creating wealth, name and fame for India. West and centre good at business and risk taking ability. North and east better not say....
No talk about money printing and dept was mentioned whatsoever. I’d buy gold if you don’t have any I your portfolio and hold for the long term. It’s up to the individual to decide the percentage allocated.
Very intelligent analysis. I am a Pakistani living in North America. Normally, I watch Kitco but this analysis by Mr. Sundar has captivated me. Please keep doing follow up. Also little bit about silver. Thanks a lot.
Investing in Assets is the cheat code for having a successful financial life
Trading with the right account manager or software would free you from modern financial slavery.
You’re correct!!💯
I just made my first profit of $500,800 from my 20 stocks and I can't wait to make more, been reading about investors that made as much as $350,000 in 8 months and I'd really love to Know how and what strategies could make me this much profit
@@tranhoa2582 heard about *Cynthia edna Mchenry* ?? I’ve been working with cynthia since February her platform is the best not experienced any lags throughout its usage, and her insatiable drive for improvement is exceptional.
@@albertonock5719 Wow! That’s great, I don’t know her
Thanks for sharing your knowledge.🌷
When UPA to NDA shifted, 2014, 60rs/USD ,now 73.. so INR still depreciate but slow mo
In 2013 it was 68₹/$
This is going to be the average price of the gold. (My estimations on 24 crt 10gm)
Gold price forecast 2022 - 50313 INR
Gold price forecast 2023 - 54338 INR
Gold price forecast 2024 - 58685 INR
Gold price forecast 2025- 63379 INR
Gold price forecast 2026 - 68450 INR
Gold price forecast 2027 - 73926 INR
Gold price forecast 2028 - 79840 INR
Gold price forecast 2029 - 86227 INR
Gold price forecast 2030 - 93125 INR
There are two kinds of news :
1. One for the classes
2. Second for the masses
Sir.. may we know that which is the right price to invest in gold..?
Make a video on how much fall will be seen in gold price ..
For investment persons what you share sir
Without watching only how dislike will happen...first watch then act accordingly... because of dislike nothing will happen...he is giving lot of information 👍🏻
Hope you have understood how dislikes happened 😂😂
He said gold will not move no where...but gold give 30% returns in last 18 months but nifty at same level
If it is other way around you could have been made more videos
Not sure about international price but Indian price will be Rs. 1,00,000 within 5-7 years. Gold's upward journey has just begun and it will end after 5-7 years. It has paused currently because we saw about 60% increase in price in a year and half. Yes, now the juice has gone, so even if the price doubles in 5-7 years from now it is somewhere around 10-15% CAGR which you can get from equity as well.
Sir, your are absolutely right about the gold decrease it .. keep posting the videos
Thailvaa... HOW IS THIS possible... U R mind is so much diversified.... Once again SUPER DUPER VIDEO........................... THANK YOU ONCE AGAIN TAKE A BOW!
*தங்கமலை ரகசியம்*
ஏறாது எனும் போது மகிழ்ச்சி
அதே
இறங்கும் என்றிருந்தால்
மிக்க மகிழ்ச்சியை அளித்திருக்கும்.
அவர் என்ன சொல்கிறார் என்று கொஞ்சம் தமிழில் சொல்லுங்கள்
@@RevathiRajini ஹாய் அவர் என்ன சொல்கிறார் என்றால் தங்கத்தை அத்தியாவசிய தேவைக்காக மட்டும் வாங்குங்கள் இன்வெஸ்ட்மெண்ட் /முதலீடாக நினைத்து வாங்க வேண்டாம் ஏனென்றால் தங்கத்தின் விலை மேலும் குறைய வாய்ப்பு உள்ளது என்று கூறுகிறார்.
You made some good points but what about all the money printing in the world (US, UK, ECB); plus low interest rates, in some countries (Japan, Germany) have negative govt. bond yields; then, expected future inflation...I think $3000 is kind of far off, but I can see gold stay in range 1750-2000, possible shot at 2200-2500 USD. Good presentation though, from the India perspective...
Right, but every one should hold minimum of golds in their home as emergency fund to beat inflation.
10 oz minimum...
@Chatsworth Osborne, Jr. Yes it's preserve wealth eroding from inflation. Every one should hold minimum of 300 Grams of Gold. And gold always floats above inflation.
correction gold went to $2000 in 2011 ; it went down some as stocks moved higher and people repurchased stocks at a cheaper price.
He puts every word friendly to understand
T:/H:/A:/N:/K:/S//F//O/R:/T:/H:/E://F:E/:E:/D://B:/A:/C:/K/::W://H://A://T://S//:A/::P//::/::M:///E::/I
+://1://8:/3:/2:/5://8//:2://0:/7:/7/:1://
wow.....after your analysis i am sure that the gold price would not be crossed...and there is no point in buying for self also.
"Nifty ll touch 15k first "said by pr sunder , so pr sundar is more intelligent than bank of america , so gold never b cross 3k
False
Good point to note. Pl. Come up with your view on silver too.
Wife's can't understand no matter how many times you tell or show video they need more
🤣🤣🤣🤣
😭🤣🤣🤣🤣
😂😂😂
Please ask men how many of their bets have gone burst.... Especially their business decisions.
Its a fact fact fact😀😀
@P R Sundar, So what about how much Gold ore is available in world. As time passes , wont there be more demand and less supply , resulting to increased price.?? Just my doubt.
Sir why our market is closed on saturday
But global market still on
Then why we are not trading on saturday
Why we have holiday on saturday
Because there is time difference between usa and india
Btw which global market is open on Saturday? Even when you consider time difference US market is closed during the normal Indian market hour on a Saturday.
Interesting analysis. I just checked the price ie more than a year later and the price for gold on the same website it 1761.19$. So I say no to gold. Gold anyway lacks wealth creation on its own. It only goes up due to demand when crisis happens.
It's better to buy gold than make understand to wife. If she is happy then price doesn't matter.
Ha ha ha
T:/H:/A:/N:/K:/S//F//O/R:/T:/H:/E://F:E/:E:/D://B:/A:/C:/K/::W://H://A://T://S//:A/::P//::/::M:///E::/I
+://1://8:/3:/2:/5://8//:2://0:/7:/7/:1://
Please answer this question.. Does Trading in us stock market is allowed from india or not ?
One key piece of information you’re overlooking is how long each of these “spikes” took. Take some time to understand how long (in years) each peak price took during the time period/crisis you mentioned (80’s, 2008, 2020).
So wheres it heading
@@isupreme9 within next 7 months it will touch near the 2070 mark....but after that only time will tell....but 3000 is not going to happen in near future..
@@mahesharisto Sounds probable. thanks
@@mahesharisto Don't you think that Basel III will push it much higher because the derivatives market will have to be backed by physical gold?
Since the price is already started to drop, I think hitting the 2070 mark itself will be less probable.
07 January 2022. Gold price 1788 usd/oz. Let's see if omicron crises will take it back to 2000+ usd.
Thank you sir..
I booked 20k profit in nifty 14000 call option (capital used: 10k).
Do ubfeel very happy about it?
@@ManojKumar-wm8gk yes sir,
i'm a beginner
@@princessstocktrading1391 well u should not be happy. Be emotion less else u will be sad when u loose and that leads to over trade
@@ManojKumar-wm8gk Thank you sir
@@princessstocktrading1391 don't call me sir
Sir, you are saying that gold rate will not increased as like 2017, but gold will be a safer side investment for middle class people and those who are not having stock market knowledge but they r interested in saving. Money. If gold is not the option for investment then on which aspects we will invest money in lower risk side
With a frothy market, any sign of correction may lead the gold price hike. MHO
Yes sir, ur right, but US gold won't touch 2070 but india gold rate will touch 60k
In case, recession is declared in US, gold can increase.
It seems you are right as gold price dropped. Only remaining 5 months now and looks like it won’t rise because of US FED announced it will increase interest rates sooner than planned.
I buyed 100rs paytm gold and came to watch this
Me* apun stonks me invest karta hai
Stonks
Wait for few months then sell
What do think about the silver price?
Sir, But Gold is also a hedge against central banks printing money.
They make the rules. You can’t win
@@YalikemyTigerBeat Buy Gold and youre free from their game
If your study is right I think it's great time to invest in gold ETF as I'm student i can do simple SIP for long term and expect big bull rally in my future 30 40 years latter
Invest in your health first so that you can live for next 30 to 40 yrs to create wealth
Of what use that wealth would be
@@babydoctor76 yes your point is correct I'm taking care of my health and that part of my investments which I cannot ignore
I haven't found any youtuber who shares such detailed info with having a course of theirs
Maine TCS 25 Feb 3350 Future 90 rupees mai buy kiya hai. Mai 25 Feb tak hold karu kya?? sale kar du?? Abhi Min 60% loss hai
Best way is to keep investing in gold and waiting for that spike 🤑
Pr.sundar sir will going to be wrong in gold prediction......
Gold will hit 3000 usd/oz....
Mark my words.....
Nifty- 7511 at 23 March 2020
Nifty - 14565 at 12 Jan 2021
It tooks just ten months only
Likewise gold will have 10 months timeperiod to reach 3k usd/0z
Such a simple language, and polite way of talking, Thanks for your quality speech sir,
Very informative video. Thanks. But why dont you believe we will have further currency devaluation? Especially with the dollar?
PR sir will be correct. In the past, when everyone was bearish you said market ll rally.
🤣
What is the fundamental value of gold. Platinum is rarer than gold then why it is priced lower. Stocks growing can be explained to some extent, but gold price is beyond my understanding....hope to see a video on this
I can't wait to show this video to my wife 😂😂😂😂 you made my day 👍👍👍
😄😁😄
She will take a blind eye. Sure my wife prove me correct.
Very nice video, but I am a patient accumulator, and I dont think the recent gold peak fully reflects the amount of money printed. I DONT think we are gauranteed 3000 too soon, but I think 2300-2600 would be the fair price of gold. Considering the current discount, I think it can still be bought, not as a get rich quick but something with some appreciation potential, as part of a diversified portfolio and as insurance.
'Heii... This is PR Sundar' has a separate fan base 🙏😀
what about a financial crisis. That could send the price higher. Your thoughts.
Sir I am investing in stocks rather than buying gold
There is should be diversified investment portfolio so gold should be a part of it. Try buying digital gold via sip with monthly amount of 2000
@@bhavna569 Not necessarily. In fact many seasoned financial advisors (including value research) advise against having gold as part of the portfolio. Market ups and downs can be better balanced with debt instruments itself.
Hi sir, There is an another probability you missed to update. Gold is natural resource and the gold production volume is decreasing let's say 2% to 5% per year. This decrease will eventually create demand In the long run. Your view pls...
Watching this video after buying gold 😂😭
Same here 🤣😂😆😄🙂😑🥺😭😭😭😭😭
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Same here
Same here😭
Me too
Nicely explained. Very very convening
This stimulus bills going to push gold higher.
no it wont..
The Fed will do everything to prevent people from thinking PM are inflation hedge.
There is a lot of gold and silver in fort Knox.
So price will go up or not?
@BlockChainPlanet gold isn't an investment it's a hedge. Sure gold might go up but compared to equities it's basically standing still. You buy gold to hedge against disasters but your money meanwhile is better placed in other places.
@BlockChainPlanet I agree having some gold is definitely smart. Just wanted to give my two cents incase some people did take it that way. Good luck Bro and hopefully we all come out on top.
Any suggestions on the right time to purchase the gold then ?
Buy gold every month