How to Value a Stock Using the Dividend Discount Model

Поделиться
HTML-код
  • Опубликовано: 12 янв 2025

Комментарии • 68

  • @RyanOConnellCFA
    @RyanOConnellCFA  Год назад +2

    🎓 Tutor With Me: 1-On-1 Video Call Sessions Available
    ► Join me for personalized finance tutoring tailored to your goals: ryanoconnellfinance.com/finance-tutoring/
    💾 Download Free Excel File:
    ► Grab the file from this video here: ryanoconnellfinance.com/product/stock-valuation-excel-spreadsheet-using-dividend-discount-model/

  • @OberynPinkViper
    @OberynPinkViper 8 месяцев назад +4

    Ryan, I stumbled across your videos trying to understand WACC, and your content is excellent. I learn a lot more watching your videos compared to sitting in a lecture hall for more than 3 hours a week.

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  8 месяцев назад +2

      I'm glad to hear that! I had the same experience when I was in school. There is so much better free stuff on RUclips than the expensive courses we take at universities

    • @OberynPinkViper
      @OberynPinkViper 8 месяцев назад

      @@RyanOConnellCFA
      You're speaking the truth right there Ryan. I am seriously debating whether to continue attending lectures or rather just focus on watching videos made you and other content creators, it's a better use of my time.

  • @Linda-kb9oz
    @Linda-kb9oz Год назад +1

    Out of all the videos I have watched on RUclips, yours was the only one that made sense.

  • @SnugglyFruit
    @SnugglyFruit 2 года назад +1

    I can't seem to get enough of your content! I've been going back and forth between lots of them for the past 2-3 hours. Amazing work! I would like to see a video that goes over valuation of callable bonds. I know most of the math involved but I like the way you go about explaining and simplifying things as our professor shows us the formula but doesn't do much of the latter. Thank you.

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  2 года назад

      I really appreciate all of your positive feedback and I will keep in mind your video idea for valuation of a callable bond in the future!

  • @Someone11i
    @Someone11i 2 года назад +3

    Thank you Ryan! Your videos very helpful

  • @phuongngale7696
    @phuongngale7696 8 месяцев назад +1

    thanks for helping me with my assignment, this helped a lot

  • @imtiazhossain6603
    @imtiazhossain6603 11 месяцев назад +2

    Extremely helpful video. One question, how do you get a quarterly dividend? You add how much dividend is paid quarterly?

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  10 месяцев назад

      Thank you! Yes, in this video I just took how much each single share paid out as a dividend each quarter

  • @thatquantguy
    @thatquantguy 2 года назад +1

    Excellent video! Super important model when valuing banks!

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  2 года назад

      Thank you! I've been loving some of your recent shorts

  • @robertlaw8510
    @robertlaw8510 Год назад +1

    Thank you for this. It is one of the best I have found

  • @joshuabissoondial1334
    @joshuabissoondial1334 2 года назад +1

    Keep up the good work! Can’t thank you enough as a soon to be finance graduate student

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  2 года назад

      Happy to help! Good luck with grad school Joshua

  • @ΚώσταςΘεοδώρου-μ2υ
    @ΚώσταςΘεοδώρου-μ2υ 2 года назад +2

    Could you make some videos about valuation methods and explain when we have to use the appropriate method according to the company being valuated? i mean pros and cons etc. Amazing job btw, love your work

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  2 года назад

      Great suggestion, I'll look into this in the future!

  • @composingpizza3960
    @composingpizza3960 Месяц назад

    Hey, would you recommend using the CAPM or APT to find an appropriate discount rate?

  • @jessicarenata1329
    @jessicarenata1329 7 месяцев назад

    hi Ryan, I'm curious what if the required return < growth? thank u in advance

  • @RobertEagle-h9t
    @RobertEagle-h9t 6 месяцев назад

    Can you explain required return a little more? From my understanding this is the return that I would require if I was holding this stock, so I input whatever value I perceive that as. Is this correct? Are there any “standard” values that you would enter while using this model to keep everything uniform and on the same basis?

  • @razinalif9606
    @razinalif9606 Год назад +3

    I just wanna ask, what if there 2 years with no dividend, what will happen to the calculation?

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  Год назад

      For those years you can just put a dividend of 0! The growth rate will be negative the first year and 0 for the next year. To avoid a divide by 0 error the second year, I would wrap the formula to determine growth rate in an if() function that says if the divisor is 0, then give me 0%

    • @KajalKumari-sv2hb
      @KajalKumari-sv2hb 11 месяцев назад

      Ig for companies who don't pay regular dividends, we can't use DDM to calculate the price.

  • @PaulWissmann
    @PaulWissmann 8 месяцев назад +1

    Hi Ryan,
    thanks for providing this great content!
    In this model, the required rate of return includes the risk-free rate, right?
    Or does r already indicate the risk premium that investors expect from Intel?

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  8 месяцев назад

      Its my pleasure! The discount rate will include the risk free rate plus a risk premium on top for the additional risk of investing in a more risky asset

  • @robertmanuelherrero
    @robertmanuelherrero 7 месяцев назад +1

    Can you respond me a doubt?. What if the Average Growth rate is 7.15% and the discount rate (r) is 3 %. The result is negative. What does that mean? Example: 6'23/(3,00-7'15)= -150,11. Than you

  • @williamrivera162
    @williamrivera162 2 года назад +1

    Another great video Ryan. Thank you. One question; In Required Return, can I use the WACC percent?. For example, I did it with apple and its WACC is 9.85%.

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  2 года назад

      Thanks William! I believe you could use the WACC figure as the required return to perform some type of valuation

  • @chankanikakhut
    @chankanikakhut Год назад +1

    Hi Ryan, thanks for such a great tutorial! Can we still use this model if our required return is larger than the average growth rate?

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  Год назад +1

      Hello, yes required rate of return should be higher than the growth rate in this model.
      For this model to work and avoid a mathematical error or illogical results, the required rate of return (r) must indeed be greater than the growth rate (g) of dividends. If g were equal to or greater than r, the denominator would be zero or negative, which doesn't make sense in this context. In practice, investors require a return greater than the growth rate to compensate them for the risk taken.

  • @mehulgoel8562
    @mehulgoel8562 Год назад +1

    Hey, great video but I have a doubt Suppose for a whole year dividends are different so what to do? For example company Reach Plc 2022- 3 different dividends

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  Год назад

      Thank you! You could do a similar analysis to what I did here, except that you would need to calculate annual dividend differently. Instead of just multiplying the quarterly dividend by 4, you would need to find the sum of each dividend each year . So for example, if their dividends were 0.22, 0.5 and 0.1 for 2022, their annual dividend for that year would be 0.22 + 0.5 + 0.1 = 0.82

    • @mehulgoel8562
      @mehulgoel8562 Год назад +1

      ⁠​⁠@@RyanOConnellCFA so if their dividend would be 0.22,0.5 and 0.1 I would sum up the dividend but do i have to multiply it for annual dividend?

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  Год назад

      @@mehulgoel8562 No, in this case, all you would need to do is sum. You are just trying to find the total amount of dividends paid that year

    • @mehulgoel8562
      @mehulgoel8562 Год назад

      Thank you for your valuable insight Ryan! Great video and so clearly explained

  • @caitkooistra2800
    @caitkooistra2800 Год назад +1

    great video, thanks!

  • @edies7607
    @edies7607 9 месяцев назад

    Thank you for video and excell

  • @KajalKumari-sv2hb
    @KajalKumari-sv2hb 11 месяцев назад +1

    Taking average growth rate or growth rate using r*(1- Payout ratio)
    Which one will be appropriate?
    And what's the difference between both?

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  11 месяцев назад

      Using the average growth rate of dividends for the dividend discount model is more straightforward and is based on historical data, providing a simple estimate of future growth. In contrast, calculating the growth rate using the gordon growth model and the formula Return on Equity × (1−Payout Ratio) can offer a more nuanced view, as it ties the growth rate to the company's reinvestment strategy and profitability. The key difference is that the average growth rate method relies on past trends, while the latter approach considers the company's potential to generate future earnings and reinvest them effectively.

  • @vik914
    @vik914 2 года назад +1

    Hi Ryan, thank you for the video - I have been avidly consuming your content the past couple of hours. Your tutorials are great in learning how to practically apply theoretical knowledge. This question may be off-topic, but would you be able to shed light on the usefulness of the Corporate Finance Institutes' FMVA and BIDA certifications to someone pursuing the CFA charter? Thanks so much!

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  2 года назад

      Really great to hear you are getting some value out of the videos Vik! I'm sorry but I have no experience with either of those certifications so I can't offer any useful insight into them

    • @vik914
      @vik914 2 года назад +1

      @@RyanOConnellCFA thanks nonetheless for the response. Enjoying the tutorials!

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  2 года назад

      @@vik914 Thank you and best of luck!

  • @brendan8131
    @brendan8131 2 года назад +1

    Thank you for sharing.

  • @seanpitoniak676
    @seanpitoniak676 11 месяцев назад +1

    What do you do if the avg. growth is greater than the required return? It results in a negative value.

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  11 месяцев назад

      If the average growth rate exceeds the required return, it typically indicates an unrealistic scenario or a misapplication of the model, as it suggests an unsustainable growth. In such cases, you need to re-evaluate your inputs or consider using a different valuation model more suited to the company's financial profile. It is possible that the company you are looking at went through a period of unsustainable growth in your sample

  • @denissouza94
    @denissouza94 2 года назад +1

    Hey, Ryan!
    I want to start modelling for practice and later on the road of CFA apply for another position ... do you recommend any course (BIWS vs WSP vs TTS vs CFI) ? Great video btw

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  2 года назад

      Thank you Denis. And I'm not sure about any modeling courses as I learned modeling on the job. I have heard good things about the modeling courses provided by WallStreetPrep however

  • @jasonalexander1891
    @jasonalexander1891 6 месяцев назад

    how if average growth rate is larger than required return? ddm is minus

  • @selimc3347
    @selimc3347 2 года назад +1

    Hello ryan, thank you for video, it is excellent. I have an interview on monday for business analyst job. Can you tell me what kind of analysis I should know for this job. Please don't forget the answer this time 😀 thanks in advance

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  2 года назад +1

      Haha sorry for the delay again Selim! What type of business analyst job is it? And what type of company is it for? I believe business analysts need to be good at performing analysis on raw data and turning it into meaningful insights that they can present well usually in powerpoints. At least from my experience. So maybe you could try finding a business analyst case study on the internet and work it out for practice. But this isnt my world so I'm not certain

    • @selimc3347
      @selimc3347 2 года назад

      @@RyanOConnellCFA The role description is very general, i don't know what to study. It is Consultancy company. Thanks 😀

    • @selimc3347
      @selimc3347 2 года назад

      @@RyanOConnellCFA by the way, i have been waiting for you. Here, it is midnight, now I can sleep.😂

  • @sabihaakter42
    @sabihaakter42 10 месяцев назад

    Why should we find the growth rate up to 2015??

  • @mehulgoel8562
    @mehulgoel8562 Год назад +1

    Hey Ryan, is this multi stage or single stage model? Thanks

    • @RyanOConnellCFA
      @RyanOConnellCFA  Год назад

      Hello, it should be a single stage model as we are just assuming a constant growth rate the whole time

  • @Phoenix-jo4wq
    @Phoenix-jo4wq 9 месяцев назад

    Why not geometric average

  • @selimc3347
    @selimc3347 2 года назад +1

    Hello Ryan, don't forget me this time :)

    • @selimc3347
      @selimc3347 2 года назад

      Then, what about business analyst job 😅

  • @TR-nh7cm
    @TR-nh7cm Год назад +1

    speedrun