Also if you play , odds are zero . It’s fixed, look into the ownership of the euro million , regulators, income of the company, and you will be baffled 😮
The reason that this doesn't happen is because, while you are more likely die than win the draw, these are both two very unlikely events and the chances of you dying are not affected by you winning the draw. A winner is still just as likely to die as a loser.
@BBC Earth Lab Shouldn't it be 116,531,800 in 1 ? I mean, 50 combinations of 5 times 11 combinations of 2 equals 116,531,800; not 160, 531,800, was that a typo? And if you divide the 0,000000858135% /1 it will give you 116,531,781, round about the number I'm presenting
Like whether or not I die tomorrow is defined by probability. Those outcomes, unlike the likelihood of lottery balls falling in a particular order, are defined by behaviour and circumstance.
What are the chances that the 5 main numbers will be consecutive numbers? I’d have thought that it’s the same as random 5 numbers, but it doesn’t make mathematical sense in my head. Anyone care to explain?
Its the same because you're asking for 5 numbers. Consecutive or otherwise. If you select: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 2, 7, 16, 31, 40 or 35, 36, 37, 38, 39 The odds are the same no matter. You're asking for 5 unique numbers from the pool. Timestamp 1:21 has the sequential probability of each number from the pool, selection irrelevant. Hope this helped. :)
Or roughly equivalently, draw a line from John o Groats to Lands end (in the UK), ask someone to put the jackpot on a 5-6 metre-long space on that line, and you'd better hope its the same 5-6 metre stretch you chose to look
Well, the optimists will say that if you play 2 rows, you double your chances, and those are again doubled at 8 rows and those again at 16, etc... . But, there is another calculation I'd like you to do. I you play 4 rows, Euro Millions, in the current system, twice a week, what are the odds, you 'd win in the next 20 years. Would be a hell of a calculation, you'd need a computer to that, I guess. Yes, nice vid this here.
Let's bump up the numbers from 8 per week to ten. That's a total of 10400 tickets in 20 years. Your likelyhood of winning the jackpot is around 1/13445 or around 0.00749%. Your odds of winning the sexond prize, however, are 1/672 or 0.1488%, which is quite likely (for a lottery).
I'm no mathematician, but I'm pretty sure that if this worked out in real life, we would have heard more stories about people who had a winning ticket but tragically died before the draw.
Many thanks, I have been researching "which lottery has best chance of winning" for a while now, and I think this has helped. Have you heard people talk about - Eenroofen Psychological Expediency - (Have a quick look on google cant remember the place now ) ? It is a good exclusive guide for discovering how to find your lucky day to help you win the lottery minus the headache. Ive heard some unbelievable things about it and my co-worker got great success with it.
This not directly related to this video, but it is about numbers. How is it possible the France (or any country) has lowered its deficit year after for the last 4 years but increased it's debt every year?
The deficit is year to year, the debt is cumulative. Let's say at the start of year 1, France already has a debt of 5 billion euros and their deficit for that year is 3 billion euros. This means that France spends 3 billion more euros than it brings in, increasing the debt to 8 billion by the end of the year. In year 2, they decrease the deficit to 2 billion euros. This means in year 2 they only spent 2 billion more than came in. Thus, they lowered their deficit, but the cumulative debt still increases to 10 billion euros by the end of the year. This pattern continues in year 3, where the deficit is again lowered, now to 1 billion for the year. The debt has increased to 11 billion after the year. Thus, when France finally eliminates the deficit, meaning they spend only as much as they bring in, their debt will cease to increase. In won't get worse, but if the net income is zero, it won't go away either. The country cannot begin to pay off the debt until they operate at a surplus, meaning they spend less than they earn. This is really simplified of course, and I'm not really an authority on the topic, but I think it explains it well enough!
Thank you I think it clarifies it. It's a little bit puzzling that the official aim in Europe is run a deficit of three percent, it is saying they want to pay interests to banks forever with my tax money, there is something wrong with this system.
What if I play the lotto every week for the next 9 months to a year my odds would be different. Is this not just referring to playing it once and what if I play it for the rest of my life and pick lets say 10 lines of different numbers each time I play does that not up my odds of winning?
Awesome! I don't gamble at all, but it's really silly that people try to make money from nothing like that. Thx for the info. From Adelaide, Australia. :)
Fractional idiolgy has nothing to do with winning the lottery its simply playing the game and appreciating it for whqt it is . I call it is opportunity not everyone wants to have a negative view . Remember to remain positive .its much more consuming to have a loosers mentally.Be a winner play the odds ! And good luck !
I have a question what are the odds of my a 10 year old girl to die in the next 24 hours and winning everything in my whole junior life? please do a video on it
What are the chances over 25-30 years...? I, myself, don't have to bother about that anymore, because before the next 15 years pass, I will be old enough not to care on playing anymore, or dead, so. But to young people, I mean.
You don't increase your chances.. You don't even increase chances of winning, with every other game.. What could help a little bit, is if you bought many tickets at the same time. But, if you do it every week, once, it won't matter..
I don't understand why but researching this same question has given me completely different answers around the internet. For example the euromillions says 116 million to 1, a BBC website says 76 million to no 1 and this video says 160 million to one. Does anybody understand why the different odds? Thanks in advance if anybody can shed some light on this.
I don't get it... I think If you let me try 10 000 times to get 26 heads in a row while flipping a coin, I'm sure I woud atleast once get 26 heads in a row. Shouldn't the number be much higher than 26?
The stats are rubbish, chances of death are not as stated. Normal healthy young people,I..e. not Alcholic, drug addict, with terminal disease,etc. are much less like
It’s not a bother that it’s the odds are high, you can achieve very difficult things in life like climbing highest mountain. What bothers me is that Euro Million is not fully transparent, look into it for yourself, ownership, regulators , the company income, who decides on company rules. What I see, is a show, money maker, paid actors , and nothing more. There is no free money in this world , rip offs many 😄
The National Lottery should change it's slogan to, "It won't be you" Can someone help me with the math? We went from the chance of winning to being 8.58134861 * 10^-7% equating to 1/160,531,800 1/x = 8.58134861 * 10^-9 x = 116,531,800 [not 160,531,800] Where have I gone wrong. Did I forget to use a Parker Square?
I doubt that's James drawing. Doesn't look like his handwriting. If anything that's a proper cartoonist. Well unless he's been taking cartoon drawing lessons.
You've compared the actual number of young people who die to the theoretical chance of you winning the lottery. Take the total number of people who have won the lottery and put that over the total number of tickets sold in the same period of young people dieing to get a more comparable result.
+Rex Mullins And people still die every 13 minutes what's your point. What he's saying is you will more likely die than win it that doesn't mean you won't win it and that also doesn't mean you won't die in the next 13 minutes.
What a load of shit, starts off ok then starts talking about young people dying in a comparison that's nowhere near!! Do you want something as morbid when you just want a laid back video about the lottery? Anyway, no wonder something is less likely to happen than another when one is 1000 times more likely...
If you don't play the game your odds of winning is 0%
And you still die 0.000009% of the time right after
Also if you play , odds are zero . It’s fixed, look into the ownership of the euro million , regulators, income of the company, and you will be baffled 😮
Imagine the guy who saw this and died
rattlesnake 😂😂
Pay £2.50 to have a chance to win or pay nothing and have 0 Chance of winning which one to choose ....
The " Lucky Stars " are numbered 1 to 12.
It was 11 at the time of the upload.
SCREW !! the odds i'm the man who's going to win today!!
... Did you win that day?
@@ErikVanRent 😃😃😂😂😁
@@ErikVanRent he died for sure
@@alexanderdeclerck2840 after 5 years asking you did you win ?
@@adamnasser8859 hah ..... no
The reason that this doesn't happen is because, while you are more likely die than win the draw, these are both two very unlikely events and the chances of you dying are not affected by you winning the draw. A winner is still just as likely to die as a loser.
@BBC Earth Lab
Shouldn't it be 116,531,800 in 1 ?
I mean, 50 combinations of 5 times 11 combinations of 2 equals 116,531,800; not 160, 531,800, was that a typo?
And if you divide the 0,000000858135% /1 it will give you 116,531,781, round about the number I'm presenting
Matt Parker is so my favourite! :D :D
1:42 I think you said it correctly - 116,531,800
NOT as the blackboard behind you indicates 160,531,800
Like whether or not I die tomorrow is defined by probability. Those outcomes, unlike the likelihood of lottery balls falling in a particular order, are defined by behaviour and circumstance.
This is depressing 💀
What are the chances that the 5 main numbers will be consecutive numbers?
I’d have thought that it’s the same as random 5 numbers, but it doesn’t make mathematical sense in my head.
Anyone care to explain?
Its the same because you're asking for 5 numbers. Consecutive or otherwise.
If you select:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
2, 7, 16, 31, 40 or
35, 36, 37, 38, 39
The odds are the same no matter. You're asking for 5 unique numbers from the pool. Timestamp 1:21 has the sequential probability of each number from the pool, selection irrelevant.
Hope this helped. :)
James and his floral shirts LOL
I agree I'm measurably more likely to die than win, but surely I'm infinitely more likely to win than having even been born in the first place.
That's the point, being born is the biggest odd 👍
Why not just go into a brothel, 26 times? You can have heads or tails all you like, and a guareenteed win, all the time.
Tell these odds to the winner after they win lol
Just say the odds are the same as picking any second within the next 4 and a half years.
Or roughly equivalently, draw a line from John o Groats to Lands end (in the UK), ask someone to put the jackpot on a 5-6 metre-long space on that line, and you'd better hope its the same 5-6 metre stretch you chose to look
I am going to be the euromillion’s jackpot winner of 38Million pound on January 1st 2021 🤝
So did u win 🏆
Well, the optimists will say that if you play 2 rows, you double your chances, and those are again doubled at 8 rows and those again at 16, etc... . But, there is another calculation I'd like you to do. I you play 4 rows, Euro Millions, in the current system, twice a week, what are the odds, you 'd win in the next 20 years. Would be a hell of a calculation, you'd need a computer to that, I guess. Yes, nice vid this here.
Let's bump up the numbers from 8 per week to ten. That's a total of 10400 tickets in 20 years. Your likelyhood of winning the jackpot is around 1/13445 or around 0.00749%. Your odds of winning the sexond prize, however, are 1/672 or 0.1488%, which is quite likely (for a lottery).
A young adult's chances of dying are 0.00009%.
Unless they're actively suicidal in which case it's 100%.
My friend said that your chances of winning the euro millions are a shark that eats you on a street
Or finding a golf ball in the middle of the ocean blindfolded
Or drowning in the desert
Even harder now
I'm no mathematician, but I'm pretty sure that if this worked out in real life, we would have heard more stories about people who had a winning ticket but tragically died before the draw.
The chances that you die as a young person, before drawing the prize from winning the jackpot, are not much bigger, than winning the jackpot twice.
At minute 1:40 the video shows 1 over 160 million when in fact it is 1 over 116 million.
Yeah but someone will win soo...
There’s a chance
Many thanks, I have been researching "which lottery has best chance of winning" for a while now, and I think this has helped. Have you heard people talk about - Eenroofen Psychological Expediency - (Have a quick look on google cant remember the place now ) ? It is a good exclusive guide for discovering how to find your lucky day to help you win the lottery minus the headache. Ive heard some unbelievable things about it and my co-worker got great success with it.
@@mykasiurka I searched and saw nothing of this
if you buy 117 million of tickets you will have a 100.401795% chance of winning but you might still lose
There was an experiment done, on whether buying more tickets is actually worth it, when you're playing the lottery. It's not worth it.
@@healthyperson8214 That defies Mathematics and is not true. www.lottery.co.uk/syndicates/calculator
I died in the 13 minutes mentioned!
Well there goes my dream!
27th January 2013 in England. Don't know if its the same anywhere else
I like those odds.
What are the chances of me NOT seeing this video featured next to every video i watch?!
This not directly related to this video, but it is about numbers.
How is it possible the France (or any country) has lowered its deficit year after for the last 4 years but increased it's debt every year?
The deficit is year to year, the debt is cumulative.
Let's say at the start of year 1, France already has a debt of 5 billion euros and their deficit for that year is 3 billion euros. This means that France spends 3 billion more euros than it brings in, increasing the debt to 8 billion by the end of the year.
In year 2, they decrease the deficit to 2 billion euros. This means in year 2 they only spent 2 billion more than came in. Thus, they lowered their deficit, but the cumulative debt still increases to 10 billion euros by the end of the year.
This pattern continues in year 3, where the deficit is again lowered, now to 1 billion for the year. The debt has increased to 11 billion after the year.
Thus, when France finally eliminates the deficit, meaning they spend only as much as they bring in, their debt will cease to increase. In won't get worse, but if the net income is zero, it won't go away either. The country cannot begin to pay off the debt until they operate at a surplus, meaning they spend less than they earn.
This is really simplified of course, and I'm not really an authority on the topic, but I think it explains it well enough!
Thank you I think it clarifies it. It's a little bit puzzling that the official aim in Europe is run a deficit of three percent, it is saying they want to pay interests to banks forever with my tax money, there is something wrong with this system.
0:25 Darn it! LOL
What if I play the lotto every week for the next 9 months to a year my odds would be different. Is this not just referring to playing it once and what if I play it for the rest of my life and pick lets say 10 lines of different numbers each time I play does that not up my odds of winning?
Yes it increases the odd if you play continuosly 👍
you can tell james is drawing by his shirt :P
Awesome! I don't gamble at all, but it's really silly that people try to make money from nothing like that. Thx for the info. From Adelaide, Australia. :)
Fractional idiolgy has nothing to do with winning the lottery its simply playing the game and appreciating it for whqt it is . I call it is opportunity not everyone wants to have a negative view . Remember to remain positive .its much more consuming to have a loosers mentally.Be a winner play the odds ! And good luck !
You can never win a giveaway, if you don't participate
u have no chance of winning if u dont play risk £2 i say believe u can win the day
richard miller those are the odds among that people
I have a question what are the odds of my a 10 year old girl to die in the next 24 hours and winning everything in my whole junior life?
please do a video on it
Who is this guy? I feel like I've seen him on TV!
What are the chances over 25-30 years...? I, myself, don't have to bother about that anymore, because before the next 15 years pass, I will be old enough not to care on playing anymore, or dead, so. But to young people, I mean.
You don't increase your chances.. You don't even increase chances of winning, with every other game.. What could help a little bit, is if you bought many tickets at the same time. But, if you do it every week, once, it won't matter..
Good one 😂😂
Happy birthday James may have a good 50th
I'm going to win today
I agree, I've seen James draw. That's not him.. :-)
I don't understand why but researching this same question has given me completely different answers around the internet. For example the euromillions says 116 million to 1, a BBC website says 76 million to no 1 and this video says 160 million to one.
Does anybody understand why the different odds? Thanks in advance if anybody can shed some light on this.
It is 1 over 116 million. The person who edited the video made a type mistake.
Holy guaccamole this is fucking depressing
Being born is the biggest odd, and if we can win that, then trying for lottery should be considered 👍
you need miracles
It looks like James is drawing.
Oh James happy birthday when will top gear be back
it is alweys for my 50/50.50%on wining and 50%on not wining
So you're telling me there's a chance
I don't get it... I think If you let me try 10 000 times to get 26 heads in a row while flipping a coin, I'm sure I woud atleast once get 26 heads in a row. Shouldn't the number be much higher than 26?
You would have to try 67108864 times. 2 to the power of 26.
Yeah but what about if you like a gamble 😅
The odds of winning the jackpot is 1/139,838,160 and there are 12 lucky stars not 11. If you're going to make a video on this get it right 🙄
Fuck yeah Matt Parker, i looooooove numberphile.
i didnt hear a word he was saying, those drawings were too distracting!
The USA is only 1:75,000,000 I think
So there nothing for us then ??
It's called scamalot for a reason
how fucking depressing was that.
Sooo... you mean there is a chance?
The stats are rubbish, chances of death are not as stated. Normal healthy young people,I..e. not Alcholic, drug addict, with terminal disease,etc. are much less like
Pay £2.50 to have some hope in life
You seem to understand a lot about something you said was beyond our understanding....
Today prize 0€
There are 12 lucky stars
Answer
Because this is GCSE level maths...
Be a bit awkward if the guy talking won the lotto......
your class at drawing
It’s not a bother that it’s the odds are high, you can achieve very difficult things in life like climbing highest mountain. What bothers me is that Euro Million is not fully transparent, look into it for yourself, ownership, regulators , the company income, who decides on company rules.
What I see, is a show, money maker, paid actors , and nothing more. There is no free money in this world , rip offs many 😄
want to win here the secret the numbers are linked to matzos do the math
Same here :)
POOR TAX
no
The National Lottery should change it's slogan to, "It won't be you"
Can someone help me with the math? We went from the chance of winning to being 8.58134861 * 10^-7% equating to 1/160,531,800
1/x = 8.58134861 * 10^-9 x = 116,531,800 [not 160,531,800] Where have I gone wrong. Did I forget to use a Parker Square?
I doubt that's James drawing. Doesn't look like his handwriting. If anything that's a proper cartoonist. Well unless he's been taking cartoon drawing lessons.
Logic.
There is something called entitlement,yeah.
Need to have good karma to win, yeah.
0.00000whatever is just a no,yeah
your chance is zero point zero zero zero zero zero hahahah
There are too many lazy sods these days who will rely on winning the lottery, instead of trying to work hard for It
You've compared the actual number of young people who die to the theoretical chance of you winning the lottery. Take the total number of people who have won the lottery and put that over the total number of tickets sold in the same period of young people dieing to get a more comparable result.
Damn
Forget the percent ! It pure luck.
Reply only if the comment is 13 minutes old
Daaaaaaaaaaaaaammmmmmmmmmmmnnnnnnnnnn
People still win it pal so stop putting a dampener on things with your cynical Ways
+Rex Mullins And people still die every 13 minutes what's your point. What he's saying is you will more likely die than win it that doesn't mean you won't win it and that also doesn't mean you won't die in the next 13 minutes.
Are you serious lol.....
.
.
Less like
What a load of shit, starts off ok then starts talking about young people dying in a comparison that's nowhere near!! Do you want something as morbid when you just want a laid back video about the lottery? Anyway, no wonder something is less likely to happen than another when one is 1000 times more likely...
Who hurt you?