Evergrande Crisis | Worse Than we Think.
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- Опубликовано: 7 фев 2025
- The Evergrande Crisis is worse than we think. Get life insurance at metkevin.com/life. Will Evergrande default? How bad would contagion be? Why are insiders selling out? And is the biggest risk an Evergrande collapse? Or someone else. Is Evergrande the next Lehman Brothers.
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We're back to 5 videos a day Kevin! Sounds selfish but I am happy to have you back, Kevin!
yeah dude. you are doing more good for more people here than you would have as CA gov.
Am glad you were able to get some of your good ideas out in circulation during your run!
@@CapitolForest well that’s debatable, hopefully he inspires more to run for local offices!
Yesterday was 7 videos
Kevin, there's a reason why you have over 1.7 million subscribers. Watching your videos are better than watching the news channels. Better yet, we get educated from your videos.
agreed
And don’t forget the amazing coupons we get XD!
True enough
so true
So true!
I worked for a couple of companies that went bankrupt. Same things happened. The store started not getting stock. Employees took pay cuts. There was always excuses on why things weren’t happening. You saw lots of people getting fired and laid off. The people above looked like they never answered any of your questions. They kept promising that everything was fine. Lots of BS. Then one day they called us and told us that they filed for Bankruptcy. This is America where people lie to your face esp corporate
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Um, you think it doesn't happen in China, India, France, etc.? It's not exclusive to any single country.
@@largol33t1 wasn’t talking about rest of the world fool
Kevin at this point your voice is Family!
Im a truck driver and literally listen to the videos throughout my workday
I actually agree to said statement.♤♧
Yeppers!! He’s the best family I’ve ever never met!!!!!😆😆😆😆❤️❤️❤️
My wife doesn’t even watch and knows who meet Kevin is.
I swear I listen to your videos every time I go for a drive, times flies by so fast, I stay updated and get educated. Thank you man 🙏🙌🙌
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Whenever government says everything's fine it's time to run for the hills.
Run for your life
Anybody else remember when The Bernank claimed that all the problems in subprime mortgages were "contained" & wouldn't affect the wider economy?
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After studying the trajectory of great assets like real estate, dividend paying stocks of blue chip companies, gold, oil etc ,my conclusion is that most great assets never come down to the price that you want them to so you can buy. just buy the ones you can afford today.
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Glad to say I bought my first house from investment I made on trade. I know more is yet to come. This year is going to be better
Congrats investing pays when you invest right. Happy it works for you how much do you earn
Great to know how much profit do you make
$9,520 every 7 trading days
@@markblinks8597 congratulations dear
Big moves 🔥🔥🔥
Love your insights Kevin, but not sure I agree here… major difference between Evergrande and Lehman is that Evergrande holds land/physical assets, while Lehman held financial assets… and therefore, Lehman led to a crash in financial derivatives (aka credit swaps and CDOs) where as the Evergrande situation is highly unlikely to level the price of land. Plus, since the government controls so much in China it’s unlikely they’d let the Evergrande blowback hit them in a way that dings their armor - more likely is this was a chess-like “veiled attack” or takeover. And, on the crypto front, praise God China is out of the crypto game. If the US and EU have any sense they will pounce on this opportunity to seize market share in the space and secure a stronger financial future, create stability for the USD, and greater financial tools and transparency. My two cents.
3:55 I remember this. "It's a TARP!" (I mean, "It's a TRAP!") Bailout was pretty crazy, those banks should have all failed. 2008 also launched Bitcoin and Satoshi was quite aware of all this financial chaos and it was a driving factor in making Bitcoin.
Was Satoshi quite aware of that? Was that a driving factor in BTC for 'him'? Source?
@@pokermitten9795 i mean if that is just a guess, that's a pretty good guess
Instead Mr Obama installed those financial terrorists into his administration, screwed the American people and slapped bandaids on the economy. Now we are reaping the results of those awful 1% supporting decisions.
@@pokermitten9795, yes Satoshi cited it in bitcoin white paper, he went as far as mentioning it as the reason for bitcoin, to shield people from the recklessness of fiat currencies
Liking the newer format of videos with no intro/outro sounds! Great insights
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Thanks for covering this topic. There is some information on Deutsche Welle (DW) news but hardly anything on the major news outlets. The lack of coverage makes it seems there is something bigger perhaps. It is good to have some information/perspective.
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Thanks for great explanation.
Thanks Kevin. Cheers from Malta.
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Someone told me
When the government said not to worry this is when you are ready and get everything together just in case things go south
You might as well make a 24/7 channel, you pumping these videos!
I'm addicted to Kevin videos.
doing a better job than fox and msnbc
Swear Meet Kevin drop videos every 30mins lol . I fucks with it lol.
Seriously. All he’d have to do is put his 5 latest vids on repeat on a livestream
excellent analysis and insights thank you
Wow excellent video Kevin thanks 🙏🏼
Very smart. Thanks for the research
Now go study buddy!
Another great video! Thanks Kevin!
Kevin you are better than any news channel❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️
Great video thank you love from 🇬🇧
If a major property developer goes bankrupt, that would remove supply in the future. So wouldn't that cause a housing price increase? Temporarily they would want to sell off all their assets, but only a small percentage of these are completed units.
Bitcoin drops to $22,400. Gas prices around the world double. Run on toilet paper, again....
Great info Kevin...
Great channel Kevin, I know this is an investment channel, and I hold stocks and crypto, but I avoid Chinese companies. For all those that are not morally bankrupt, and want to put water on china’s imperial and bullying ambitions, avoid investing in China, bring manufacturing back home to USA, Europe, UK. With so many problems in the world with the environment, world conflicts, corruption, etc. It’s time we grow up and act responsible - including the west.
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This man is a machine! Great content as always ✌️
Thanks for the great video👍
Correction. Evergrande is 2nd largest property developer. Not the largest.
was the largest and the richest man in China.
The question is: will the suppliers of Evergrande be bailed-out? That in itself has it's own knock on effect. The irony is that materials are likely just as or more expensive than the price tag these places were sold for.
great ANALYSIS.well done sir
Thanks Kevin you are a very sharp man
The only media I look forward to for news "meetKevin" ! With Kevin you get quality and quantity!!
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thnx so much for your videos! I like how u break down news n info its really helped me understand n overstand everything going on in the markets!
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Investing is buying yourself a better future you don't have to work hard again.
You can say that again. 👍
I have achieved things in my life since I started investing.
Great video Kevin!
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I have now held off ANY intention to invest in ANYTHING at all because of Evergrande. Now I am worried whether even keeping cash in my bank account (I use HSBC) is safe. As you mentioned, banks will fail.
Kevin, you're more important than you know. Lifelong libertarian who would follow you, as a democrat, to the ends of the earth - bec you're authentic. You talk reality. Truth recognizes truth. I commend you. The USA needs you and more like you.
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About Evergrande not "delivering shares" that were purchased. In crypto, do you ever "accept delivery" of the crypto? Are you taking funds off the exchange? Or leaving it all on there allowing them to fractionally reserve it, meanwhile you don't know if the IOU is still good?
It's all levered to the tits most likely. If Bill Hwang can lever up 5-10x then imagine how much unknown leverage multiples lies in crypto.
Kanye: "I miss the old Kevin, the 5 videos a day Kevin, the out work everyone on RUclips Kevin, the beating wallstreet to it first Kevin."
Haha he's back folks!
hahaha yes im here for it
Top man!! Thanks for the info!
I just started the video, but I am sure you know the situation is crazy as you are involved in real-estate. decades of leverage on leverage
Let it burn. Could bring fair housing prices to Australia by extension
So worst case scenario, how would this effect the US real estate market?
If China does have a crash, how would that affect their financial investments/loans here in the US and other countries?
Thanks for this. I’d say I’m not invested but my pension is, and I’m trying to sell a house and notice demand has fallen off a cliff, and I’m thinking about switching to a credit union…so everything is relevant. You are much appreciated.
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The most recent criminal to leave the Fed, said he was leaving because his insider stock picks were too much of a distraction, on the job.... This scumbag should be leaving, because he needs to go to jail!
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Thanking you for sharing your knowledge 🙏🏼
Great stuff Kevin. Thanks
Considering how much money we print.. we won’t let a recession on top of a pandemic. The world would end
Up today with fern again. 120% gains on that stock. Don't miss out.
How fast can we see this go bad or is it something that will take years?
great vid Kev, lots of research went into this.
The problem is that the property bubble in China, if you don't have people living in the new apartments then there will no income from those assets. This problem is much larger then Evergrand, just like the problem wasn't with LB or BS but with the us housing market (sub prime) and inflated housing prices by the fed and Fanny Mae and Freddy Mac. (I'm probably spelling those wrong)
If it was just Evergrand that misbehaved this would be a problem but not a crisis. This issue has been known for 10 years and it's time for the chicken to come home to roost...
glad I subbed. Thank you Kevin!
Would there be a possible rotation from real estate stocks and real estate to other asset classes in China? ie EV, green energy, semiconductors, China internet/tech?
Why would you hope real estate in the West does not crash? its hugely overpriced in near all countries, increasingly out of sync with wages & WAY overdue for a crash. Collapse of real estate prices in the West would be the best possible outcome of all this
I have been hearing about China investors buying whole communities in the US ( helping to drive up our housing market) and renting these properties out. Does Evergrande have anything to do with this? Do you have a video that discusses this housing market theory?
The Chinese own 6% of the American residential area houses. (Mostly in California) Yes. No one lives in the the empty and they bought up the land.
They also own 2-2.5 % of American farming/farming land.
In China no ordinary people can exchange their CNY for foreign currency nowadays. All banks are told to stop exchange CNY to any other currencies since 2020.
Kevin you forgot to talk and Sung the 5th biggest property developer in China stock dropped 87% in 1 day last week. It's not just Evergrande, it's the while industry.
It was only a matter of time that it happened.. they have ghost towns of skyscrapers.. whole towns where they just have skyscrapers that dont get used at all.
Thanks for sharing as always !
I think you need to spend more time with your family.
Fantastic video Kevin.
do you think now is a bad time to invest for newer investers. lower capital investors?
Have we been "mislead" on "Everything"?. 😏😘 So many companies have dealings with them. If the 🦇 🍲 is 🔁 from a "bowl to the air - everywhere", this "Le Grandé Evah'" certainly is 🔁 too.
Can you imagine J Pow saying if Evergrande default on its payment it would pull world economy in crisis. Believing fed, is like hand feeding alligator!
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If we're being mislead about anything it's the optimism that Congress and Biden will actually pass a stimulus bill.
Please excuse my ignorance I'm new to the channel, does naked short selling mean when someone short sells while being naked? or does it have another meaning?
They'd never lie to me! I'm their favorite citizen!
Some notes: The housing market crashed in 2007 before the stock market in 2008, and Evergrande is the second largest real estate company in China.
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I never thought the Evergrande stuff was NOT going to be a problem. Can’t trust most people on the health of financial markets.
good analysis
"The contagion is contained" - The last time I heard that line was at the BNY INSITE conference Miami, June 2008. In fact I heard it twice there, once by a guy named Paul McCauley and some old man named Greenspan. Don't believe everything you hear.
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same as last year “there is no outbreak in Wuhan”
There is no war in Ba Sing Se
The collapse of the bubble is just a matter of time. The time to act is now. Get as far away as possible from this growing, epic bubble.
So when will WSB pickup 3333.HK and squeeze the hell out of the prices?
Really good info 👍
I’m buying 1k worth evergrand This is going to turn into a pump and dump and I’ll make sure to be there for the pumpin
I m buying FXP
Naked shorts? Aren't we all naked under our shorts? :-)
I’m an employee of a very large lending institution and I don’t think think they have a clue Kevin!!! Ugh!!!!!!!!
Kevin, your summary of the 2008 financial crisis was spot on, you do your homework. Thank you, always smart.
Also, please keep in mind that we ran out of home-buyers in 2007, this is when the pyramid came down, it always comes done when you run out of new customers. Crypto is pure pyramid my friend, sooner or later a lot of people will be hurt on this (fyi). This being said, ROCK ON Kevin, you do it so well.
Imagine for a second if the Fed got into a situation where'd they have to go Paul Volker as a last ditch effort, or even a fraction of that. Crypto would be wiped.
Thanks
Thanks for your Honesty!!!!
Yes Kevin, its much worse. Its not just Evergrande its all the major Chinese real estate developers and now the Chinese and Hong Kong banks who lent to them
You are AMAZING, Kevin.
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PLUS ONE, NINE, SEVEN, EIGHT, SEVEN, FOUR, EIGHT, EIGHT, SEVEN, SEVEN, TWO..
I’d like to think it’s worse. How can a company like that fail and not have a ripple effect
Keep in mind, the president of China and other members of the CCP are being investigated by multiple nations for involvment with Corona Virus.
I just realized you have a dragon med helm in the background lol
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I can't wait till Kevin gets his CFA/MBA employee and also editor/video person. He will be pumping out even more content consistently.
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I tune to Meet Kevin instead of my local finance news
It's crazy Kramer is still around...but it's evidence of his place as a puppet
No. Very limited % exposure by foreign companies. I’m fairly confident there will be no large impact internationally. Domestically in China, they may take a hit though but again no enormous collapse there either.
In just two weeks, everyone suddenly becomes experts in Chinese real estate risk.
Nope but an interest and mindset to learn and discuss has been strongly set in motion. Which is great. Keep it lit
This video was well done and must have taken a large amount of research to make. There’s no way Kevin can make all these videos by himself. How many researchers does he have working for him?
This one was all me!
But sometimes one person helps
Impressive! Not only making all these videos but also reading the comments. I don’t know how you find time to sleep.
@@MeetKevin you have such a great work ethic, I so admire you. Plus it looks like you are a wonderful husband and father too. Wish you well.
As a Chinese who flee to Canada, you got it pretty right. so good luck to those who keep buying Chinese stocks.
Now is this country’s chance to become self sufficient, more than ever, in manufacturing, supplies, tech, etc.
We could crush China, and become so much stronger.
It is already happening companies are leaving china and moving mostly to INDIA and some to Se asia
I wonder how many collateralized debt obligations are tied up with evergrande? I wonder if all those holding these will have massive hits to debt to asset ratio? I wonder if the companies affected like this have assets collateralized as well?
Great video, but I don't understand how crypto is tied into Evergrande. Please explain
I didnt quite understand how it effects crypto. Anyone have a little more detail?
Is it because Evergrande and its affiliates had big crypto investments that are now being liquidated?
Retail market is so large now it pays to deceive for the benefit of institutional investors
7 video day, nice work Kev 👏🏾