Yay Tom! The conversion therapy is working......Portugal and Czech Republic qualifying would make me a very happy bunny! I kinda agree with your non-qualifiers too, although would be ecstatic if Georgia could pull a shock. 👏👏👏
It looked and sounded pretty awesome but he keeps aggravating the whole community (I presume on purpose) so I foresee more trouble ahead 😅 no publicity or any sort of hype. I'm not ruling it out though, even if nobody (including me) seems to take to the song on first listen. He'd be relying on juries and if he's pissed them off then boom. But again juries were disgraceful to Oto and his song about the Abkhazia war so why even try
@@marietg8025 happy Eurovision week Marie!👍👍 By the way, you'll be glad to hear my ears are healing nicely!! Little cheer for Go-A Only a little one mind!!
My current predictions: Definite: Iceland, Bulgaria, Finland, Switzerland Likely: San Marino, Greece, Serbia Borderline Yes: Czech Republic, Austria, Denmark Borderline No: Moldova, Albania, Portugal Unlikely: Estonia, Poland Out: Georgia, Latvia Who I want to qualify: Switzerland, Austria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, Iceland, Greece, San Marino, Bulgaria and Poland.
Portugal did fantastic based on their rehearsal video. The staging looked great, keeping that classy, expensive and sophisticated feel that the song gives me and it tells the story of which the song is based apparently. I know you don't like the Portuguese song at all, but its gone up in the odds which shows that it has really elevated. I genuinely love that song! Strangely this year I really like the songs that everyone else doesn't seem to click with, which means I have to face the fact that a lot of my favourites are going to crash out in the semi-finals. Maybe it's because im now officially classed as 'old by the fandom (I turned 41 last month!) but I dont tend to follow the 'trends' the way the younger masses seem to do. I dont know.
yep agreed, i dont like the Portuguese song but i enjoy the performance because the staging is really excellent. youre 41??!?!!?!?! I literally thought you were 20 from the thumbnail! 😂😂😂
@@ESCTom the pixel compression of the thumbnail helps 🤣 Thank you. Been watching Eurovision since 1987 so I've been part of the ride for a long time. I do enjoy seeing the trends, although they can be quite frustrating as I feel trends tend to stunt creativity and originality. Great news that youre part of the press room now. Youre probably now the only Eurovision vlogger Im subbed to (and follow) aside from Wiwibloggs, and the only solo vlogger who I'm interested in hearing speak. Hope you continue to grow
@@leendertjanw7540 haha...sometimes I feel like im the oldest around here! The way I see it though, age is just a measure of our life experience :) You may have a point. I do think it appeals to a different audience that isn't necessarily a Eurovision based audience. Eurovision today seems to really appeal to a younger generation. Back in the day it was the older generations who seemed keen on it.
I think I can agree with your choices. This semi is pretty open and for me personally there are fewer songs which I really care about qualifying or not. Switzerland and Bulgaria are among my faves and no-brainers I think. I would love to see Portugal and Czechia qualifying, and Austria and Georgia would be nice surprises. I can't really care that much about the rest, to be honest. You've been very good not playing with your pen too much, but I hadn't noticed in the other vid. Guess I don't mind watching you playing with things :-p Edit: I should add that there's one entry that I really don't want to qualify: Poland. I don't like the song and thoroughly dislike the vibe.
I'm not sure about the seeding of the songs over the semi's. yes, we now have a semi of death but the top favourites are actually in semi 2 (Iceland, Bulgaria and Switzerland). I wouldn't be surprised if the end result will turn out pretty balanced this year. What I would change is not guarantee the big 5 a spot. I would be all for banning them to the semi's if they end bottom 5 3 years in a row or something like that. I'm really tired of enduring songs where clearly went no effort into in the final.
well if you look at the top 20 in the bookies; 12 come from semi 1, and 6 come from semi 2. So although semi final has some favourites, its also got almost all of the duds as well
It took me 15 minutes and countless replays to understand that you were saying "white toblerone" XD. So funny! I agree with almost all of your predictions, but wouldn't be surprised if Uku qualified.
Oh, one thing. I think semi 2 is potentially stronger. Easier to qualify from, but much harder to top. I think most of the top 10 in the odds are from semi 2.
I love many reactors and reviewers etc on RUclips, but you are the one that I am waiting for everytime. You just know your sh*it. I agree with almost everything. Finland, Serbia, Greece and surprise surprise Albania and Latvia are my favorites. Albania and Latvia though are borderline qualifiers... Uku is a hottie for sure, I know! But I actually love his song as well!!! No shitting, I really do. Just that his vocals... almost there but no. Dissapoitment for sure... Eeeeveryone are stunned by Switzerland and I get it why but Gjons voice is something I cant cope with. Just like Ukraine, White voice... ugh. No. Sorry for kind of chaotic text, I'm just listening to you at the same time I'm writing. ADHD and dyslexia kicks in. But yeah, I am gonna put your words up to see if it sticks with the outcome. Oh, I believe it does.
A small comment although... The Serbian song is very relatable on what music people in balkans are listening to. The albanian song is like a `"quality song" for the albanians, maybe an elitistic one. If we have a clear ethnic sound that is Loco-loco.
Sadly he does represent the eurovision mentality. Sometimes it only takes a hairstyle liking or a liking the artist to vote. again the mentality of popularity is more important than certain aspects that should be important. As long theres one dislike, the song doesnt matter and push down without even a blink... sadly.
Its almost like Georgia is trying not to qualify like he needs to get home for something, Greece has to qualify, I hope I really hope czechia qualifies but I'm scared but weaker semi I think he has a chance Also Serbia and Greece are like best friends so Greece will probably give Serbia their points they would normally give to Cyprus
Yea I dont get Georgia. On one hand, he chose to came back, but then it also looks to me like hes checked out or not interested. He was making weird noises during his second rehearsal yesterday (i didnt hear it, but others who saw the rehearsal were talking about it).
I think your SF seeding plan won't work because countries won't agree to seedings prior to seeing the whole staging together w/ the song. So they will say it's unfair. How about instead the EBU expands the Grand Final by 2 more slots to 28 and cuts one of the interval acts or green room banter. The 2 add'l countries to be the highest point getters outside of the top-10's regardless of which semi they were in. These would be announced on Friday morning. It has the add'l quality of some drama as a 2nd chance possibility.
Tom, we really do need the issue of imbalanced semis addressing. I'm really glad you've put your head above the parapet and raised the issue. Let's hope more follow your lead. Thoughts: SJP has held the crown for so long...I wonder for how long? God, your spreadsheets fill me with envy! Uku Suviste? wrong time, wrong place. The right time might have been good for him, just not this year Georgia - is anyone ever going to say how handsome he is, and how much that might reflect the votes? Oo-er! Iceland - great staging again, but for me the quirky dance moves don't match the message of the song as much as last year when he was singing to a child, not a partner of 10 years Bulgaria - the words snoozey and depressing are key. The 1st rehearsal didn't do much to inspire me Portugal. Thank you, but bye Poland - I quite like it, take of the shades Rafal, it's a no Moldova - watched the rehearsals and it's going to be overlooked. IF they had the ice cream cones at the final, maybe Denmark - I've posted my views on that as an older viewer, but you're right, probably a NQ Benny Christo - Sorry, but I find myself skipping it. It's not bad, but... Austria - it's never going to be in many people's top 5, thus not really getting many votes San Marino - Flo Rida? Is he going to risk appearing in a semi-final and not qualifying? Perhaps if it qualifies he will turn up and then it's a whole game changer. I still don't rule this one out but the draw was really unfavourable. Albania is just too Albanian to draw international support in a tight year like this Serbia - possibly the weakest of the bangers, but maybe only down to the fact it is in Serbian. I did listen to an English language version of the song but TBH it was a bit cringy
yea im not saying my suggestions are the best, but id just like the conversation to happen. And openly, not behind closed doors. Yea SJB is soooooo oversaturated - I think we need some new up and coming names. Although in fairness, she usually delivers. georgia - it depends how many horny voters there are 😂 Iceland - wait til you see this staging!!!! 🤩 Bulgaria - lol again, shes massively elevated with this staging. to the point that i found yself singing this at work today portugal - lol im a broken record. staging is awesome Denmar - theyre in with a shot. a lot of people will fall in love with the enrgy here. Czechia - agree. think hes out San - lol i dont even know if Flo knows about the semi system 😂
@@ESCTom Don't think Flo has the slightest idea what he's bought into here. Perhaps it's just a quick dollar and he doesn't really care? Perhaps he's keyed into the will he/won't he suspense and a big audience. It's one of those "we'll never know whys" a bit like Tammy Wynette duetting with KLF lol I need to take another look at Portugal. The song really reminds me of something I actually like but I don't know what. I think I'm kind of put off simply by the fact that it's a man with a pony tail (my equivalent to your loathing of saxophones) I might join in if you are streaming for the semis, thr
Honestly Estonia is borderline I think. Its gonna get so many mom votes... Georgia is a sure no the song is just not it, its running order either and now with the rehearsals im even more sure
I'm sorry, did you say the word "cacophonous"? I'm stunned by your knowledge of the Greek language. Bravo!! (Μπράβο) Caco (Κακό) means, in general, bad and phony (φωνή) voice!!! So someone who has a bad voice is called "κακόφωνος" ....You nailed! it!!
Definite yes: switzerland, San Marino, Greece and Serbia Very likely: Iceland, Bulgaria, Moldova Borderline Yes: Finland, Latvia Borderline No: Portugal, Denmark, Czechia, Albania, Georgia Out: Estonia, Poland and Austria My choice: Iceland, San Marino, Switzerland, Greece, Serbia, Moldova, Latvia, Finland. Had a really hard time picking two more but I guess I would go for Denmark and Portugal (sue me!) :-))))
I'll try. Switzerland will qualify. Iceland will qualify. Denmark will not qualify*. And that's really all I know for sure. *if any of you kids think your old folks are somehow nostalgic for this sort of disco crap YOU'RE FUCKING MISTAKEN.
Your analysis is positively academic! Excellent work. 👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏
Portugal's staging is fabulous, would you believe. Talk about elevating
@@achnix3167 compared to your average Portuguese staging (nil) it's way out there
Yay Tom!
The conversion therapy is working......Portugal and Czech Republic qualifying would make me a very happy bunny!
I kinda agree with your non-qualifiers too, although would be ecstatic if Georgia could pull a shock.
👏👏👏
It looked and sounded pretty awesome but he keeps aggravating the whole community (I presume on purpose) so I foresee more trouble ahead 😅 no publicity or any sort of hype.
I'm not ruling it out though, even if nobody (including me) seems to take to the song on first listen. He'd be relying on juries and if he's pissed them off then boom. But again juries were disgraceful to Oto and his song about the Abkhazia war so why even try
@@marietg8025 happy Eurovision week Marie!👍👍
By the way, you'll be glad to hear my ears are healing nicely!!
Little cheer for Go-A
Only a little one mind!!
@@johnmoynahan874 aaaah come on
My current predictions:
Definite: Iceland, Bulgaria, Finland, Switzerland
Likely: San Marino, Greece, Serbia
Borderline Yes: Czech Republic, Austria, Denmark
Borderline No: Moldova, Albania, Portugal
Unlikely: Estonia, Poland
Out: Georgia, Latvia
Who I want to qualify: Switzerland, Austria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, Iceland, Greece, San Marino, Bulgaria and Poland.
Portugal did fantastic based on their rehearsal video. The staging looked great, keeping that classy, expensive and sophisticated feel that the song gives me and it tells the story of which the song is based apparently. I know you don't like the Portuguese song at all, but its gone up in the odds which shows that it has really elevated.
I genuinely love that song!
Strangely this year I really like the songs that everyone else doesn't seem to click with, which means I have to face the fact that a lot of my favourites are going to crash out in the semi-finals. Maybe it's because im now officially classed as 'old by the fandom (I turned 41 last month!) but I dont tend to follow the 'trends' the way the younger masses seem to do. I dont know.
yep agreed, i dont like the Portuguese song but i enjoy the performance because the staging is really excellent.
youre 41??!?!!?!?! I literally thought you were 20 from the thumbnail! 😂😂😂
@@ESCTom the pixel compression of the thumbnail helps 🤣
Thank you. Been watching Eurovision since 1987 so I've been part of the ride for a long time. I do enjoy seeing the trends, although they can be quite frustrating as I feel trends tend to stunt creativity and originality.
Great news that youre part of the press room now. Youre probably now the only Eurovision vlogger Im subbed to (and follow) aside from Wiwibloggs, and the only solo vlogger who I'm interested in hearing speak.
Hope you continue to grow
@@AmaanStorm you're still not the oldest around here ;-) It might be a generational thing to like Portugal this year?
@@leendertjanw7540 haha...sometimes I feel like im the oldest around here! The way I see it though, age is just a measure of our life experience :)
You may have a point. I do think it appeals to a different audience that isn't necessarily a Eurovision based audience. Eurovision today seems to really appeal to a younger generation. Back in the day it was the older generations who seemed keen on it.
Lol glad you put the pen down! Can't wait to see how it turns out. Thanks for sharing your qualifiers!
I had absolutely no idea that I played with pens like that!! The things that you learn from doing youtube vids 😅
I think I can agree with your choices. This semi is pretty open and for me personally there are fewer songs which I really care about qualifying or not. Switzerland and Bulgaria are among my faves and no-brainers I think. I would love to see Portugal and Czechia qualifying, and Austria and Georgia would be nice surprises. I can't really care that much about the rest, to be honest. You've been very good not playing with your pen too much, but I hadn't noticed in the other vid. Guess I don't mind watching you playing with things :-p
Edit: I should add that there's one entry that I really don't want to qualify: Poland. I don't like the song and thoroughly dislike the vibe.
lol dont worry about Poland - i dont think its going through
My Qualifiers
🇦🇹 Austria
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
🇫🇮 Finland
🇬🇷 Greece
🇮🇸 Iceland
🇲🇩 Moldova
🇵🇹 Portugal
🇸🇲 San Marino
🇷🇸 Serbia
🇨🇭 Switzerland
I'm not sure about the seeding of the songs over the semi's. yes, we now have a semi of death but the top favourites are actually in semi 2 (Iceland, Bulgaria and Switzerland). I wouldn't be surprised if the end result will turn out pretty balanced this year. What I would change is not guarantee the big 5 a spot. I would be all for banning them to the semi's if they end bottom 5 3 years in a row or something like that. I'm really tired of enduring songs where clearly went no effort into in the final.
well if you look at the top 20 in the bookies; 12 come from semi 1, and 6 come from semi 2. So although semi final has some favourites, its also got almost all of the duds as well
It took me 15 minutes and countless replays to understand that you were saying "white toblerone" XD. So funny! I agree with almost all of your predictions, but wouldn't be surprised if Uku qualified.
lol, you can always just timestamp a part and ask me if you cant understand. yea i love white toblerones 🤍
Oh, one thing. I think semi 2 is potentially stronger. Easier to qualify from, but much harder to top. I think most of the top 10 in the odds are from semi 2.
I love many reactors and reviewers etc on RUclips, but you are the one that I am waiting for everytime. You just know your sh*it. I agree with almost everything.
Finland, Serbia, Greece and surprise surprise Albania and Latvia are my favorites. Albania and Latvia though are borderline qualifiers... Uku is a hottie for sure, I know! But I actually love his song as well!!! No shitting, I really do. Just that his vocals... almost there but no. Dissapoitment for sure...
Eeeeveryone are stunned by Switzerland and I get it why but Gjons voice is something I cant cope with. Just like Ukraine, White voice... ugh. No.
Sorry for kind of chaotic text, I'm just listening to you at the same time I'm writing. ADHD and dyslexia kicks in.
But yeah, I am gonna put your words up to see if it sticks with the outcome. Oh, I believe it does.
Thanks Krista!
I think most of your favourites should go through, and there should be a surprise or two in this semi.
A small comment although... The Serbian song is very relatable on what music people in balkans are listening to. The albanian song is like a `"quality song" for the albanians, maybe an elitistic one. If we have a clear ethnic sound that is Loco-loco.
Yea, but I dont know if there are enough balkan countries to get them through though
Sadly he does represent the eurovision mentality. Sometimes it only takes a hairstyle liking or a liking the artist to vote. again the mentality of popularity is more important than certain aspects that should be important. As long theres one dislike, the song doesnt matter and push down without even a blink... sadly.
is the "he" in that sentence referring to me or someone else?
FINLAND,YES++++
Its almost like Georgia is trying not to qualify like he needs to get home for something, Greece has to qualify, I hope I really hope czechia qualifies but I'm scared but weaker semi I think he has a chance
Also Serbia and Greece are like best friends so Greece will probably give Serbia their points they would normally give to Cyprus
Yea I dont get Georgia. On one hand, he chose to came back, but then it also looks to me like hes checked out or not interested. He was making weird noises during his second rehearsal yesterday (i didnt hear it, but others who saw the rehearsal were talking about it).
I think your SF seeding plan won't work because countries won't agree to seedings prior to seeing the whole staging together w/ the song. So they will say it's unfair. How about instead the EBU expands the Grand Final by 2 more slots to 28 and cuts one of the interval acts or green room banter. The 2 add'l countries to be the highest point getters outside of the top-10's regardless of which semi they were in. These would be announced on Friday morning. It has the add'l quality of some drama as a 2nd chance possibility.
Icy eyed stud lol - great description, robbing that! I feel sorry for Uku - this is the worst of his songs
I find Uku very memorable 🙃😉#speakingofsemis
San Marino Greece
Iceland Albania
Switzerland Finland
Bulgaria Austria
Georgia Moldova
Tom, I swear if I don't get Slovenia soon, I'm going to write an angry post on the internet!
No point cause he hates it
Tom, we really do need the issue of imbalanced semis addressing. I'm really glad you've put your head above the parapet and raised the issue. Let's hope more follow your lead.
Thoughts:
SJP has held the crown for so long...I wonder for how long?
God, your spreadsheets fill me with envy!
Uku Suviste? wrong time, wrong place. The right time might have been good for him, just not this year
Georgia - is anyone ever going to say how handsome he is, and how much that might reflect the votes? Oo-er!
Iceland - great staging again, but for me the quirky dance moves don't match the message of the song as much as last year when he was singing to a child, not a partner of 10 years
Bulgaria - the words snoozey and depressing are key. The 1st rehearsal didn't do much to inspire me
Portugal. Thank you, but bye
Poland - I quite like it, take of the shades Rafal, it's a no
Moldova - watched the rehearsals and it's going to be overlooked. IF they had the ice cream cones at the final, maybe
Denmark - I've posted my views on that as an older viewer, but you're right, probably a NQ
Benny Christo - Sorry, but I find myself skipping it. It's not bad, but...
Austria - it's never going to be in many people's top 5, thus not really getting many votes
San Marino - Flo Rida? Is he going to risk appearing in a semi-final and not qualifying? Perhaps if it qualifies he will turn up and then it's a whole game changer. I still don't rule this one out but the draw was really unfavourable.
Albania is just too Albanian to draw international support in a tight year like this
Serbia - possibly the weakest of the bangers, but maybe only down to the fact it is in Serbian. I did listen to an English language version of the song but TBH it was a bit cringy
yea im not saying my suggestions are the best, but id just like the conversation to happen. And openly, not behind closed doors.
Yea SJB is soooooo oversaturated - I think we need some new up and coming names. Although in fairness, she usually delivers.
georgia - it depends how many horny voters there are 😂
Iceland - wait til you see this staging!!!! 🤩
Bulgaria - lol again, shes massively elevated with this staging. to the point that i found yself singing this at work today
portugal - lol im a broken record. staging is awesome
Denmar - theyre in with a shot. a lot of people will fall in love with the enrgy here.
Czechia - agree. think hes out
San - lol i dont even know if Flo knows about the semi system 😂
@@ESCTom Don't think Flo has the slightest idea what he's bought into here. Perhaps it's just a quick dollar and he doesn't really care? Perhaps he's keyed into the will he/won't he suspense and a big audience. It's one of those "we'll never know whys" a bit like Tammy Wynette duetting with KLF lol
I need to take another look at Portugal. The song really reminds me of something I actually like but I don't know what. I think I'm kind of put off simply by the fact that it's a man with a pony tail (my equivalent to your loathing of saxophones)
I might join in if you are streaming for the semis, thr
Honestly Estonia is borderline I think. Its gonna get so many mom votes... Georgia is a sure no the song is just not it, its running order either and now with the rehearsals im even more sure
I'm sorry, did you say the word "cacophonous"?
I'm stunned by your knowledge of the Greek language. Bravo!! (Μπράβο)
Caco (Κακό) means, in general, bad and phony (φωνή) voice!!! So someone who has a bad voice is called "κακόφωνος" ....You nailed! it!!
Cacophonous is used in English, as well as many other languages, like my language (Serbian). It’s a very common word.
Take a shot every time you see the pen 😅
that fecking pen 😂
Oh god I'VE OFFICIALLY GIVEN UP
Definite yes: switzerland, San Marino, Greece and Serbia
Very likely: Iceland, Bulgaria, Moldova
Borderline Yes: Finland, Latvia
Borderline No: Portugal, Denmark, Czechia, Albania, Georgia
Out: Estonia, Poland and Austria
My choice: Iceland, San Marino, Switzerland, Greece, Serbia, Moldova, Latvia, Finland. Had a really hard time picking two more but I guess I would go for Denmark and Portugal (sue me!) :-))))
well i think youll definitely get your wish with Portugal. Denmark is possible too. Latvia seems the least likely of your faves to me
I'll try.
Switzerland will qualify.
Iceland will qualify.
Denmark will not qualify*.
And that's really all I know for sure.
*if any of you kids think your old folks are somehow nostalgic for this sort of disco crap YOU'RE FUCKING MISTAKEN.
I think Serbia is almost sure qualifier
now they are, but when I made this they were borderline at best
Serbia is gonna qualify!!!!!!
Austria the best voice at the rehearsal. 12 point. 100 Prozent. Nr 1 at Jurry. Top 4 at Final