CAN'T BELIEVE I SEEN THIS AGAIN ARE U STILL AROUND MY MAN I LIVE IN SUMMERLIN NOW--LOVE THE SYSTEM OH BTW CAN U PLAY THIS ON THE CRAP AUTOMATED MACHINES
It's created for short-term variance, not sitting at the table all day. It DOES work. Just like the martingale system works perfectly fine as long as you have the willpower to walk away before you lose 10 times in a row.
Ken Brown Do not waste your time. He will not teach you anything useful. Anyone who knows about expected value would know that his strategies do not work.
I’d be curious what you learned the 3rd time in and beyond that you didn’t the first two times. Unless you’re watching for the acting and entertainment value, you should be able to retain it after watching twice.
Just finished a 12 set sim of this method. Ended up +$690. But, but hit level 7 three times and level 8 two times. Too scary for me for real, but fun in a simulation. I guess I might give it a try for real if I had several thousand i could lose and not care.
@@bbigjohnson069 its completely fine th amount of 23-12's rolled out on the dont pass is insane. not to mention your pass bet is gone as well and the odds are way better for the hedge and in most cases you will make the minimum bet needed to cover the hedge back
Played this system yesterday at Pechanga Casino and than Hollywood Park Casino. Had Losses at the $1200 Bet totaling -$2380 at Pechanga within the first couple of Shooters. Unfortunately had (5) 7 or 11's on the Come Out Roll starting at the $75 Bet. I did make back $300 at Hollywood Park Casino in the evening. Mr. Kaufman the front end is great up til the $150.00 Bet, after that we are praying for a point on the Come Out from $300 - $1200. Cheers Bill
played this strategy on Wizard of odds it seems to work. want to try it at the casino but those martingale bets escalate quickly don't think I could risk a level 6 not enough bullets in my gun!!
@@DLRudder what if there is a 2 person team if you have to go over that limit the next one can hop in there and bet on their own in conjunction with the first player?
Can't afford $2300.00 bank roll so....... I went to the casino on 10_18_2017 and bought in for $800.00 first time I ever did that in my life. I played the pass don’t pass method by the professor that I won 15 times lost 2 times on the computer with computer game wincraps. I went to a $10.00 table bought in for $800.00. I had to shoot the dice cause no one wanted to shoot only 2 guys at table. I shot and made 8 passes in a row lost approx $600.00 had it all on the don’t pass. I never saw a 7 the whole time I was shooting. I wanted to cry. First time in my life I never saw a 7. I asked the pit boss to see if there were any 7’s on the dice. I guess I have bad luck. I will try again since I know this was a fluke Unreal experience.
Al is prone to saying, it doesn't take good luck to win with this system, it takes horrific bad luck to lose. Case in point - running straight into a streak of 8 passes (or no passes) in a row is 256:1 against it. There are some elements of gaming that aren't included in the video - like reading tables - a dead table can get terribly streaky. What you are looking for are choppy tables with several players - look for people playing numbers etc. folks with $1 chips in their rack and a generally festive mood. They tend to chop a lot more. You don't just walk up to a table and start playing - you also watch the dealers - are they efficient? Do they have skills or are they stumbling a bit. You find a table that feels right and if you immediately hit 4 passes or no passes in a row... MOVE to another table, pick up there where you left off-say level 5 on one side, level 1 on the other. Another issue involves $5 tables with low max wager limits ($500, for example) - they often have $10 tables with $1500 or more max wagers). You can start at the $5 table, go thru level 6 ($315) then move to the $10 table for level 7 and 8 if necessary, placing a $10 wager on the pass or no pass as appropriate. These are the kinds of tips and tactics you learn if you have a live lesson with Al, along with a number of more advanced methods and ways to hedge your bets, sprouts, and what not. . The pass no-pass is a slight favorite played perfectly - but only by about 2% in the long run, good table reads and getting a feel for the rhythm of the game is what separates tha amateur who breaks even from the professional who can net 50% to 80% of bankroll gain per ten sessions. So many things involved including how to spot a dice setter - yes some folks CAN alter the odds by reducing or increasing the number of times a specific value appears on a die. If you can figure out how they are altering outcomes, then you can benefit from their skill as well. For instance, if they are skewing away from a one on the first die and increasing the chances of a six on the other die - the net result will be fewer sevens. That would make playing 6-8 an interesting wager since that skewing of outcomes makes the 7-6 payoff on those numbers attractive if the outcome odds of the dice rolls were virtually the same for each of the 6 7 and 8 totals. Just walking around a casino and listening to Al point out stuff about what he sees when he looks at the tables - has a lot of value because he's a sharper than average observer and he's been a player for going on 50 years.
Wayne Alan got a buddy of mine who has lost several hundred thousand dollars playing video keno. He actually would take his finger and follow the teradactle that flew over his volcano on the machine. My buddy and I looked at each other like WTF Is he doing? It was his good luck ritual when he was way down. Sad. Nicest guy in the world , but he doesn’t have a pot to piss in.
@john any Martingale system with regards to gambling is a quick way to the poorhouse. Craps is a negative EV game, you will only lose $$ longterm, math makes it impossible to win at over the course of hundreds or thousands of hours of play.
I found this on the Starchip craps forum years ago but it look very similar.................................... Start by placing 1 unit on P AND DP [at the same time] then which ever side WINS place a wager of one unit and on the side that LOST place a wager of 2 units. If the side with 2 units wins your ahead 1 unit then place 1 unit on the winning side and go up to 2 units on the side that lost, the one that only had 1 unit on it. If the side that had 2 units on it lost keep only 1 unit on the winning side but increase your wager on the losing side up to 3 units. If the side that has the 3 units on it wins and the side with 1 unit loses you are ahead 1 unit, so place 1 unit on the side that won and 2 units on the side that lost. If the side with 3 units on it loses and the side with 1 unit wins keep one unit on the side that won and increase your wager on the losing side up to 5 units. If the side with 5 units on it wins you are up 1 unit . Place 1 unit on the winning side and increase the losing side up to 2 units. If the side with 5 units on it loses keep 1 unit on the side that won and increase your wager up to 9 units on the losing side. If the side with 9 units on it wins you are up 1 unit . Place 1 unit on that winning side and increase the unit on the losing side up to 2 units. If the side with 9 units loses we STOP HERE AND TAKE OUR LOSS! We are only down 15 units NOT 31 units like we would be after 5 losses in a row if we were only playing ONE SIDE [ P or DP ] and doubling our wager after each loss. So the progression is...................1 2 3 9 or 10.
I also live in Vegas. Let me assure you this is a silly losing system. Look up YT videos about Martingale debunked. This system merely ads units to a Martingale, AND tells you to hit and run. At no point does this video mention any math. Also never does he mention tale limits. For a $5 min. table, the max bet can be as low as $500. At that table maximum you cannot make a 7th bet of $600. If you find a $5 - $1000 table, then you cannot make the 8th bet of $1200. Do not attempt this poorly designed 'method'.
Agreed. But, if you can get a $2500 limit approved by the pit boss, the system works. It is a risk management strategy called low risk, low return. But low risk does not imply NO risk.
Agreed, this is a dumbass system, not even a system. Just doubling up to chase your original bet. The whole five dollars on Dont Pass I don’t understand. What’s the point of that. 12 is a push on the Dont and you lose your Pass Line bet. Even if you win on 12 on the Dont Pass this is a dumbass system because all you are going to do is “push”.
Certain - that works well when you're "feeling it" and the win streaks are a thrill. I've done it from the dark side on icy tables to get back big losses. Good luck!
With the above method - $155 (level 5 wager) isn't nearly as scary as that level 8 wager. ::-) I've seen this method played to the goal of 20% of the bankroll for a given session, most times without ever seeing level 7, sometimes level 5 was as high as it ever got. Truth is, you need three bankrolls that you can (worse case scenario) afford to lose - then play with discipline and you can do fairly well. Guys who try to do this with a single bankroll... tend to press and screw up and end up losing.
That's why this craps Pass/Don't Pass strategy has 2 games going at once. It is designed to get in and get out, and cap your max winnings profit at $50 for a session/table. Greed is the number 1 reason casinos make money...as 70% of people who gamble at a casino make money, 90% gamble it all back. If one uses laws of probability and statistics, you can make money. No one ever says it's impossible to lose your bankroll...of course it can. Research the mathematical outcome on a 1000 simulated Baccarat hands, Roulette spins, etc...and that will explain the outcomes. Laws of probability. Remember that, no matter what system you use.
Worked perfectly yesterday (2/7/2017) in Cherokee NC! Earned $375 in 1 hour...until the table started filling up. I started laying $100 odds on the 4's and 10's and lost a few so I came away with $300 in 4 hours. I love the betting system and it is GREAT on Blackjack too!!
Michael I would like to talk to you I am also going to Harrahs Cherokee in NC I live in Danville Virginia..........give me a call on my cell how is this method holding up for you...........I thought you could not play both Pass and Dont Pass at the same time at Cherokee NC.......here is my cell please give me a ring asap 4342515007 Thanks Stuart.
Start by placing 1 unit on P AND DP [at the same time] then which ever side WINS place a wager of one unit and on the side that LOST place a wager of 2 units. If the side with 2 units wins your ahead 1 unit then place 1 unit on the winning side and go up to 2 units on the side that lost, the one that only had 1 unit on it. If the side that had 2 units on it lost keep only 1 unit on the winning side but increase your wager on the losing side up to 3 units. If the side that has the 3 units on it wins and the side with 1 unit loses you are ahead 1 unit, so place 1 unit on the side that won and 2 units on the side that lost. If the side with 3 units on it loses and the side with 1 unit wins keep one unit on the side that won and increase your wager on the losing side up to 5 units. If the side with 5 units on it wins you are up 1 unit . Place 1 unit on the winning side and increase the losing side up to 2 units. If the side with 5 units on it loses keep 1 unit on the side that won and increase your wager up to 9 units on the losing side. If the side with 9 units on it wins you are up 1 unit . Place 1 unit on that winning side and increase the unit on the losing side up to 2 units. If the side with 9 units loses we STOP HERE AND TAKE OUR LOSS! We are only down 15 units NOT 31 units like we would be after 5 losses in a row if we were only playing ONE SIDE [ P or DP ] and doubling our wager after each loss.
@@duewhit310 Sorry, I just like winning (earning money.) This system has always worked for me. Biloxi, Cherokee and online. You don't have to like it. I'm not asking you to purchase a system, I am just stating my experience with the doey/don't
Try this strategy in roulette, using the Red/Black bet, and it’ll automatically increase ur advantage, as with each roll, u can assume that u have a 50% chance of winning. Over here in craps, if the point is let’s say 4, and u have level 8 money on the Pass, u have 8.33% chance of winning, and 16.66% chance of losing.
Mathematically, no strategy increases your advantage. You have a disadvantage either way. This strategy is even worse in Roulette than it is in craps because in craps, you have a 1/36 chance that you win neither pass and don’t pass and if you win either, you only lose one bet. In Roulette, you have a 1/19 chance that it lands on neither red and black and you lose both the red and black bet if it does not.
@@GaryLuKOTH I would like to add : As mentioned, American roulette is a 1 in 19 chance of losing a 50% coin flip - 5.26% house edge Single European roulette is a 1 in 37 chance of losing a 50% coin flip - 2.70% house edge Craps is a 1 in 36 chance of losing a 50% coin flip - 2.77% house edge The big difference in craps is you can bet in more ways BOTH for or against a line, number or outcome...and a few other wagers with even LOWER house edges - 1.41% house edge, and back up that wager with a player advantage to even lower that 1.41% house edge....NO other casino game offers that.
@@oliverklowzhoff6206 The closest game to flipping a coin is Baccarat. Either the player wins, or the Banker and you don't lose on a tie. If the Player wins the house edge is 1.24% and if the Banker wins, it's 1.06%.
his black jack video made me alot of money so i will try this out i started with 250 and ended up with 1,285 in online blackjack and his system worked it might not next time but this time it did
All the posts and NO ONE mentions what happens if a 12 is rolled. You would lose the pass line bet and push on the don't pass. Hypothetically, If you were in stage 8 or ANY STAGE for that matter and a 12 was rolled, YOU'RE SCREWED!
Yea, I was waiting for a comment from this guy about that 12! I've played both sides of the dice and in about 7 hrs. I've hit that 12 at least 3 times. This system is GARBAGE, end of story !
If you're afraid of 12 and you're betting 10 dollars or more, then drop 10% of your pass line bet on the 12 prop bet. For each 10 dollars of your pass line bet, drop 1 dollar on the 12 prop bet to protect your pass line bet.
@@dontswin If you hit the 12 you tied the Don't Pass, you didn't win, and you didn't loss anything for that bet. Simply keep that bet the same, and go to the next level on the Pass, whatever that may be. I don't understand why hitting a 12 would be a problem. Nor do I understand why that would make this system GARBAGE ? ? ?
If you hit the 12 you tied the Don't Pass, you didn't win, and you didn't loss anything for that bet. Simply keep that bet the same, and go to the next level on the Pass, whatever that may be. I don't understand why hitting a 12 would be a problem. Nor do I understand why you would be SCREWED ? ? ?
Assuming you avg. a little more than 50$ per table, you would need to go 42 - 43 tables in a row, before you got hit - just to break even. Everyone who's played craps knows it will happen more often than that. This won't work.
Ok I'll explain . We know we will ALWAYS make it to level 2 obviously. But we don't have to get to level 5 or 6 but we will at some point . So, the math is 2 to the 8th power . Google that and will tell you its 256-1 to lose . 255 x 50.00 avg is 12,750 minus the one time we're suppose to lose -2380 so profit by the math after 256 tables is 10,370 .... so from my experience I have just finished my 32nd table today and I'm up 2420.00 but I did play many 10 dollar minimum tables hence the high win rate . So now I'm basically free rolling on all 5 dollar min tables . Let's see how long it takes before it grabs the 2380 back ."😃👍goodluck
You aren't getting the method... at $50 a table, you would go to 10 tables, play roughly 5 intervals on average, and leave for the next table. To lose you need 8 passes or 8 no passes in a row - and only staying for 5 decisions/intervals per table, you certainly can visit more than 40 tables before you see 8 in a row.
LOL --- due whit, who are you really? Why are you pretending to know about stuff that you clearly are clueless about? I happen to know a dozen professional gamblers, including several nationally known fellas who sport WSOP wins. The guy making the video? He made this video well over a decade ago, might have been the year 2000 or so. He has done rather well at times in other business ventures and in fact, slowed down on gambling for a while because he had a mild heart attack - followed by by-pass surgery. He focused on his business ventures after that until he recently semi-retired and has gone back to gambling for others and teaching his methods - something he's always enjoyed doing. He was living in Florida for a while. His weakness is the ponies - and he loves the action too much. He'll win several hundred or a couple grand at the craps table and give it back in the sports book - although he's been on an amazing roll with baseball over the past month or so. He sometimes works with a bankroll of $50,000 or more - and has to limit his play on those occasions to the high roller tables. Not my thing - I'm a computer guy - and I happen to be one of a handful of techs who does computer repairs and custom programming for some gamblers who sometimes pass my business card around to their fellow gamblers. That's why I laughed at your claim that I was leaving myself open to hackers. I'm the guy some folks call when they get hacked.
Gordon Lincoln he doesn't play with a system He chases, that's all this is, chasing. It's really pretentious or rather dishonest. Craps is way too volatile and streaky to risk a couple grand against a hot shooter to only make 5 bucks a pop. And to start 5 pass 5 don't pass because (?????) when you literally have no chance of winning and losing your pass bet on a 12........................ Oh but wait 7:06 Tamara's ahead some money right now. Go lose your fucking money.
The basic fallacy here is that spending 10 minutes and one table and then spending 10 minutes at a different table is somehow different than spending twenty minutes at the first table. Your exposure is exactly the same. For any given situation in the game, the odds are always the same, and probable outcome is a random event. This is why the ONLY thing that matters over the long haul is the house advantage. Statistically, their advantage will align with your losses more and more the longer you play. There is no debate nor confusion about any of this among people who understand statistics. If you could play for an infinite amount of time, your lifetime losses would be exactly the casino's advantage. This is still a Martingale progression system, which has been widely discredited because of table limits. Periodically, you WILL exceed the limits, at which point your losses outweigh your cumulative gains.
I would go for the streak. a lot of wins and losses, mostly losses goes in streaks in gambling. especially @ the c a s I n o. you can have a hot roller for a half-hour. um then this strategy would not work. a very cold table everyone around the table 7s out in a row. I have seen this happen. better off going for a streak. not a long streak. just 2 wins in a row. start with $5 on the pass line. if you lose. next bet $10 dollars on the don't pass. if you win. go back to $5 on the don't pass. okay and if you lost $10 on the don't pass. then switch back to the pass line with a $25 bet. which ever side is winning stay on it. a lot of streaks occur. craps is a cool fun game. very important do not let another player tell you which side to play on. bet on how the table is doing. do not chase your losses and listen to this idiot. that's what the casino wants. and yes I make little wins. not every time. happy gambling!!!!
I just read a few of the comments posted on this video. When you practice on paper and hone your skills, you learn to identify a CHOP between Pass and NO PASS. Clearly if you find that one side or the other is STREAKING, for example every shooter Sevens out, this would produce a STREAK. What is lacking in his video, is correctly identifying the table condition, all that he offers is to make 50 and MOVE to a new table. I have to agree that STREAKS do occur way more often then once per 8 hours. If you are truly a pro grambler, someone who comes home up, does NOT loose their bankroll, then you have patience. If you cannot track mentally what the table conditions are, write it down, what ever it takes! Getting on youtube and bawling doesn't bring the bacon home!!!
It seems that 9 losses on a pass line or don't is quite probable. I just have a problem with the risk reward exposure. Then again if you feel like a winner you will be a winner!!!
this makes some sense. what has me confused is you say each line is played as a separate game. wouldn't you need $2380 for each line then...and to keep the winnings for each line separate?? thanks for the video.
javan miller no because they caint both lose at the same time by default when one loses tge other wins which starts the count over for one and just begins for the other..still a deadly strategy
javan miller not true. If a 12 is rolled on the first roll the Pass Line loses and the don’t pass is a push. (Tie. No action). Would really suck to lose $600 on Pass Line and not get paid on don’t pass.
not a scam. ive used it plenty of times with $15 betting unit. what this doesnt tell you is that sometimes when youre heavy on the passline and a 12 rolls then youre fucked and you have to know what to do. came up with a couple ways to incorporate that flaw into this system. its a great system he's using.
I can make any table $5 minimum table by betting similarly what he showed in that video. If you worry about maximum limit, go to $15 table and make $5 dollar table out of it by starting with $15/$20 bet on come/ don't come. PROBABILITIES, that's what everyone forgets in this videos.
i was on bubble craps yesterday here were the rolls: 11,7,11,7777777,11,7. I am 52 and never seen anything like that in years of degenerate craps playing.
In case it isn't obvious, this does not change the house edge on your bet. No system like this will make you an expected winner at the casino in the long term. This type of betting means you are likely to win a small amount, but you do run the risk of huge losses ($2380!). PLEASE DO NOT TRY THIS IF YOU CAN'T AFFORD TO LOSE YOUR ENTIRE BANKROLL.
Rule number # 1 and the only rule !!!!! Don't come to craps table with $200 and expect to win big !!! Your expectations should be no more than 10% of your bankroll. So, $200 bankroll = $20 ! $2000 bankroll = $200 $20,000 bankroll = $2000. Problem is, most people are greedy and don't know when to walk away !!!
I’m little thrown off with the system 🤔 I would love to see this played with 10 sessions, no the bankroll before and after as well, and much better camera angles
My first time playing this method I caught the "lightning in the bottle". I only bought in with 800.00 not 1280.00. Lost 700.00 and went home. The second time I played this method I bought in with 600.00 and I won 220.00 I play this methd on wincraps the computer dice game and I win 9 out of 10 games with this method. I like the method so far in real life craps will play it again. Best table is a choppy table. If there is a hot shooter at the table wait it out before you bet again.
So if you lose 7 in a row, your 8th bet is $1200. If you win that $1200 bet, you "earn" $20. If you lose that bet, you are out $2380 according to his chart at 4:18. Hmmm. $2380 loss vs $20 gain. Well, good luck with that.
this is not even a 'pass-no pass system'. but i show you a few. 1. even money pass no pass at house minimum with intent to take odds on the point 2. even money pass no pass at house minimum with intent to lay odds on the dont 3. $35 on the dont $5 on the pass. take at least $30 odds with the point. or take enough odds with the point that the net profit of the point coming in is equal to or more than the $30 (net) that you initially risked (example: point is '5'. take $40 odds with which pays $60. subtract the $30(net risk) on the dont and you have a $30 profit. on the comeout you risked $30. with point established you THEN had a new risk of $10 to get $30 when taking $40 odds.) in a casino offering 10X ODDS. 4. al's "system" is not do\dont because his progression does not require making BOTH BETS. you are either trying to win on the pass (without odds) or on the dont (without odds) where the opposing bet makes no positive difference in any way shape or form whereas taking any amount of action on the dont with a $5 bet on the pass risks you the posibility of losing $5 for ABSOLUTELY NO REASON WHATSOEVER IF 12 ROLLS! THE POINT OF EACH METHOD 1. pure odds payout. and no risk of losing on snake eyes or 3 on the comeout. no risking flat bets on the pass when my point will get paid PURE ODDS minus the occasional 12 on the comeout. 2. avoid losing money to naturals(7/11) on the comeout by neutralizing the dont with the pass. playing for pure odds minus the occasional 12 on the comeout. 3.an intermittent technique. not to be done continuously. for obvious reasons namely a landslide of consecutive losses that will make your head spin. as long as you dont roll a natural on the comeout, you have whatever advantage you like until the hand is decided. no one will ever time this up perfectly and will endure a lot of naturals coupled with points not winning either. 4. if you want to win on flat bets on the dont pass without taking odds then you DONT MAKE A PASSLINE BET. if you want to win a flat on the pass without taking odds then you DONT RISK AN EXTRA $5 TO COVER A $5 DONT PASS BET. BY DOING AS HE DOES (AND CONTACTING HIM) you are letting him know that you are a fucking moron who can be talked into more bullshit systems. this is not a PASS/NO PASS system it is a progression which loses when 8 passes or no passes occur simultaneously. YOU DONT MAKE BOTH FUCKING BETS. if you play al's system i bet you also eat tide pods.
Eliminate the 12 on the dice and you 'might' have a viable system. Eventually you will get hit with a streak of 8 successive losses and lose all your bankroll.
This is an interesting system that I want to learn more about it. I just recently discovered the don't pass method and like it a lot. I didn't know a guy can place buy bets on the come side while playing DP and DC
So at level 8 your betting $1200 to win $20? There has to be better ways at winning craps that this " Chasing your loses" Martingale retread. By the way who goes into the casino betting $5 a bet, but with a bankroll of $3000 in their pocket.
This strategy is so bad. That guy talks about Stage 8 has if it was a myth. It happens more often than you think. Just look at roulette tables on the history board, you'll see very often a series of 8-9 times same color coming out. Never follow those "increasing bet level" systems.
J P Because it is true. There is no system that wins in the long run in craps. The way expected value works is that if the expected value is negative, you are guaranteed to be down some money if you play enough rounds.
J P Betting systems do not work. You are still expected to lose the house edge times your bet. It will average out in the long run, which should tell you that that losing streak will happen often enough to cancel out all your wins. Martingale is not better for roulette than it is for craps. For roulette, you win about 18/38=47.4% of the time and for craps, you win about 49.3% of the time, so for roulette, the losing streak happens much more often. So mathematically, no, Martingale is not better for roulette than it is for craps.
J P Gosh. There is so much wrong with what you said. -Are you telling me that even with those tiny pyramids on the craps table that the dice had to hit in order for a roll to count, a player could still influence the outcome of the dice? And why would a player try to influence a dice to make the odds worse for him? He would try make his odds of winning at least 49.3% as it is when the dice is truly random, which has better odds than roulette so craps is still a better game to play Martingale on. -Trends do not matter. In fact, the board that shows previous results helped the casino make money because it is attracting players, who think that previous results would help them, to the table. You should look up “gambler’s fallacy”. It does not matter what previous results there are. The probability that an even pay bet wins in roulette stays at 18/38 regardless. -If the casino is favored on any betting system, a casino is favored on all betting system due to how expected value works. You only need about 7 losses in a row to reach the table limit. If by saying you could be dead by the time you see it, you mean that it happens some time within a period of 7 hours with high probability, you would be correct. The probability that you lose 7 games in a row is about (20/38)^7, which is approximately 1 in 89 so it is expected to happen one time in 95 rounds, but you would be playing a lot more than that in 7 hours. And consider how the casino has the advantage, yes, it will happen often enough to cancel out all your wins. Aside from all that, I doubt that you tried it (or you did try it but did not try it for long enough), because if you did, you would find out about how easily this strategy burns your money.
J P I never said that the probability that 10 reds happen in a row is the same as the probability of red happening one in a row. I am saying that the probability that red happens next given that the previous results are red is the same as the probability that red happens next given nothing about the previous results. It is simple conditional probability (I would bet a lot of money that you do not know what that is. Look it up). Are you telling me that if I were to flip a coin 100,000 times and look at the first flip after each run of 9 heads in a row, it will be tails more often than it will be heads? Are you telling me that if a coin already landed on heads 19 times in a row, it is highly improbable that it will land on heads on the 20th time in a row? That is not true. The probability is 1/2 every time. It will be heads as often as it is tails. So no, betting 7 or 8 times into a trend would not change anything. If your strategy were so good, you should not need to hit and run. You should stay for as long as possible to maximize your expected winnings. See you would walk away while you are ahead, you are basically admitting that your strategy is not very strong. Nevertheless, it will still be profitable for the casino if everyone uses Martingale and then hit and run, because if hundreds of players play about 1 in 89 of them will be unlucky enough to hit that losing streak on the first try, giving the casino back all the money it gave to the 88 in 89 winners. And no, it is not smart to risk being that 1 in 89 player since if you win, you only get a little money and if you lose, you lose a lot. Also, if you interpret “the odds remain the same” as “it will land on the same result many times in a row”, then the casino must have gotten you drunk. It is not likely that any given run of 20 flips is all heads but it is more likely that a run of 20 flips all result in heads given that the first 19 were heads.
I'm sure the casinos having calculated systems which prevent betting systems from working. The one time the system fails & you go the 8 rolls & lose how long will it take to recover those losses? & I'm sure it happens more often then you think.
Why would a casino need to calculate systems? As long as they have the advantage, it does not matter what system you use because you would lose anyway.
Craps is a streaky game and here is this huckster telling you to risk 2400 that someone won't streak 8 times in a row one way or another. To win 5 bucks at a time your gonna risk 2400 that 8 passes or 8 no passes won't happen and that's udderly irresponsible. Where is this guy now? He isn't gambling anymore. I'm laughing at all of your comments of people who've tried this "system". You should not be risking a lot to collect a little. It's the other way around. Take a chance with small money and press your winnings. Make it exciting and don't give the game room to hurt your finances. A shooter can make well over 8 passes, everyone around you who bets right will be cleaning up and you will be eating shit going against 🔥 hot dice. This man's example is recklessly irresponsible. Go contact him give him all your money instead of using your brain, he doesn't even believe his own routine.
If she would have bet big on the place bets and froze them after three roll and some hard ways she would have to only go to two tables. Bet hard and get out. Look for pros you can tell, stay away from people who just crank them down the table. watch the way they hold the dice, run with the shooters that can skip them close to that back wall and follow them to every table they go to. Dice setting is no joke. Tip, old guys that start with a stack of green chips, don't chase lost money.
Jonathan Hains The point is, at least as I understand it, Is to make $400 quickly and get out so the odds of getting a shooter to hit 8 passes in a row is small.
this character fails to tell you about the house limit. lock him up.
This guy said "Doesn't help you doesnt hurt you" waaaaay too many times. Just let her roll, bro.
CAN'T BELIEVE I SEEN THIS AGAIN ARE U STILL AROUND MY MAN I LIVE IN SUMMERLIN NOW--LOVE THE SYSTEM OH BTW CAN U PLAY THIS ON THE CRAP AUTOMATED MACHINES
If you play like this, the casino will send a limo to come pick you up at the airport.😊
It's created for short-term variance, not sitting at the table all day. It DOES work. Just like the martingale system works perfectly fine as long as you have the willpower to walk away before you lose 10 times in a row.
Why not take free odds on pass/no pass line bets with this system? Thats the only way to reduce house advantage. What am I missing?
SlickChukklez you can't win at the first level you can only lose. Cheers. It gets worse.
Thanks, I needed the laugh!
Professor, just to let you know I've watched your video about 40 to 50 times !!!!
Nice job. You wasted your time watching a useless video 40 to 50 times.
Gary Lu Productions : I've tried calling professor al Kauffman many times , but , can't get through !!!!
Ken Brown Do not waste your time. He will not teach you anything useful. Anyone who knows about expected value would know that his strategies do not work.
I’d be curious what you learned the 3rd time in and beyond that you didn’t the first two times. Unless you’re watching for the acting and entertainment value, you should be able to retain it after watching twice.
This video brought to you by every casino in Las Vegas.
Martingale system: a sure ticket straight to Tap City.
minute she loses drops him like hotcake.
Martingale no way jose !
the best way to end up with a $1,000,000 from gambling is to start with $2,000,000
😂😂😂
Give her $100 Tell her you want her to play the come line.
Very creative
Im glad to watch your videos sir
Thanks
This video doesn’t help me, doesn’t hurt me . 😂😂😂
lol
That's hilarious
Lol
Look at the crapsguy at 18:15. He's having fun for sure.
Just finished a 12 set sim of this method. Ended up +$690. But, but hit level 7 three times and level 8 two times. Too scary for me for real, but fun in a simulation. I guess I might give it a try for real if I had several thousand i could lose and not care.
On the come out rolls, why not make a $1 bet on Box Cars (pays 30 to 1) to hedge against the 12? Higher levels would be $2, $5, etc.
It pays 30:1 but the probability of rolling 12 is 1 out of 36. Not a wise bet.
@@bbigjohnson069 its completely fine th amount of 23-12's rolled out on the dont pass is insane. not to mention your pass bet is gone as well and the odds are way better for the hedge and in most cases you will make the minimum bet needed to cover the hedge back
Legend! Thanks for sharing. Be lucky out there.
This is the martingale system on crack
Whats wrong with driving a bus, how do you think he got to the casino??
O G hahahahahaaahah, that’s a good one!!!!! Hahahahahhaah
On a $5 table the MAX bet is $500....how do you make the $600 and $1200 bet ?
Shreveport casinos are $5-$5k
$10-$10k
$25-$25k
Howie is chuckling. He loves this system. Al has points in the casino.
Played this system yesterday at Pechanga Casino and than Hollywood Park Casino. Had Losses at the $1200 Bet totaling -$2380 at Pechanga within the first couple of Shooters. Unfortunately had (5) 7 or 11's on the Come Out Roll starting at the $75 Bet. I did make back $300 at Hollywood Park Casino in the evening. Mr. Kaufman the front end is great up til the $150.00 Bet, after that we are praying for a point on the Come Out from
$300 - $1200. Cheers Bill
Bill Archival that's funny! California does not have craps! Troll!
California plays Craps with cards.
Bill Archival I have heard of it but never seen it.
Lol
Bill Archival congrats you're a gullible assclown.
played this strategy on Wizard of odds it seems to work. want to try it at the casino but those martingale bets escalate quickly don't think I could risk a level 6 not enough bullets in my gun!!
Robert Arthur keep a keen eye on the table max! if it’s less than $1,200, the eighth go can’t save you.
@@DLRudder what if there is a 2 person team if you have to go over that limit the next one can hop in there and bet on their own in conjunction with the first player?
@@linleyvanacore3036 true
Perhaps the Professor should ask Gilligan how to play. Even Mary Ann is shaking her head.
The body language is priceless
Can't afford $2300.00 bank roll so.......
I went to the casino on 10_18_2017 and bought in for $800.00 first time I ever did that in my life.
I played the pass don’t pass method by the professor that I won 15 times lost 2 times on the computer with computer game wincraps.
I went to a $10.00 table bought in for $800.00. I had to shoot the dice cause no one wanted to shoot only 2 guys at table. I shot and made 8 passes in a row lost approx $600.00 had it all on the don’t pass.
I never saw a 7 the whole time I was shooting. I wanted to cry.
First time in my life I never saw a 7.
I asked the pit boss to see if there were any 7’s on the dice.
I guess I have bad luck. I will try again since I know this was a fluke
Unreal experience.
Al is prone to saying, it doesn't take good luck to win with this system, it takes horrific bad luck to lose. Case in point - running straight into a streak of 8 passes (or no passes) in a row is 256:1 against it. There are some elements of gaming that aren't included in the video - like reading tables - a dead table can get terribly streaky. What you are looking for are choppy tables with several players - look for people playing numbers etc. folks with $1 chips in their rack and a generally festive mood. They tend to chop a lot more. You don't just walk up to a table and start playing - you also watch the dealers - are they efficient? Do they have skills or are they stumbling a bit. You find a table that feels right and if you immediately hit 4 passes or no passes in a row... MOVE to another table, pick up there where you left off-say level 5 on one side, level 1 on the other.
Another issue involves $5 tables with low max wager limits ($500, for example) - they often have $10 tables with $1500 or more max wagers). You can start at the $5 table, go thru level 6 ($315) then move to the $10 table for level 7 and 8 if necessary, placing a $10 wager on the pass or no pass as appropriate. These are the kinds of tips and tactics you learn if you have a live lesson with Al, along with a number of more advanced methods and ways to hedge your bets, sprouts, and what not. . The pass no-pass is a slight favorite played perfectly - but only by about 2% in the long run, good table reads and getting a feel for the rhythm of the game is what separates tha amateur who breaks even from the professional who can net 50% to 80% of bankroll gain per ten sessions. So many things involved including how to spot a dice setter - yes some folks CAN alter the odds by reducing or increasing the number of times a specific value appears on a die. If you can figure out how they are altering outcomes, then you can benefit from their skill as well. For instance, if they are skewing away from a one on the first die and increasing the chances of a six on the other die - the net result will be fewer sevens. That would make playing 6-8 an interesting wager since that skewing of outcomes makes the 7-6 payoff on those numbers attractive if the outcome odds of the dice rolls were virtually the same for each of the 6 7 and 8 totals. Just walking around a casino and listening to Al point out stuff about what he sees when he looks at the tables - has a lot of value because he's a sharper than average observer and he's been a player for going on 50 years.
John Guarnieri w
Wayne Alan got a buddy of mine who has lost several hundred thousand dollars playing video keno. He actually would take his finger and follow the teradactle that flew over his volcano on the machine. My buddy and I looked at each other like WTF Is he doing? It was his good luck ritual when he was way down. Sad. Nicest guy in the world , but he doesn’t have a pot to piss in.
MAGNETS!
@john any Martingale system with regards to gambling is a quick way to the poorhouse. Craps is a negative EV game, you will only lose $$ longterm, math makes it impossible to win at over the course of hundreds or thousands of hours of play.
I found this on the Starchip craps forum years ago but it look very similar.................................... Start by placing 1 unit on P AND DP [at the same time] then which ever side WINS place a wager of one unit and on the side that LOST place a wager of 2 units.
If the side with 2 units wins your ahead 1 unit then place 1 unit on the winning side and go up to 2 units on the side that lost, the one that only had 1 unit on it.
If the side that had 2 units on it lost keep only 1 unit on the winning side but increase your wager on the losing side up to 3 units.
If the side that has the 3 units on it wins and the side with 1 unit loses you are ahead 1 unit, so place 1 unit on the side that won and 2 units on the side that lost.
If the side with 3 units on it loses and the side with 1 unit wins keep one unit on the side that won and increase your wager on the losing side up to 5 units.
If the side with 5 units on it wins you are up 1 unit . Place 1 unit on the winning side and increase the losing side up to 2 units.
If the side with 5 units on it loses keep 1 unit on the side that won and increase your wager up to 9 units on the losing side.
If the side with 9 units on it wins you are up 1 unit . Place 1 unit on that winning side and increase the unit on the losing side up to 2 units.
If the side with 9 units loses we STOP HERE AND TAKE OUR LOSS! We are only down 15 units NOT 31 units like we would be after 5 losses in a row if we were only playing ONE SIDE [ P or DP ] and doubling our wager after each loss.
So the progression is...................1 2 3 9 or 10.
I have got to get ahold of this guy! Gonna win some big bucks $$$
Variation of the martingale. You will be surprised how quickly you lose your bankroll.
I also live in Vegas. Let me assure you this is a silly losing system.
Look up YT videos about Martingale debunked. This system merely ads units to a Martingale, AND tells you to hit and run.
At no point does this video mention any math. Also never does he mention tale limits. For a $5 min. table, the max bet can be as low as $500. At that table maximum you cannot make a 7th bet of $600. If you find a $5 - $1000 table, then you cannot make the 8th bet of $1200.
Do not attempt this poorly designed 'method'.
Agreed. But, if you can get a $2500 limit approved by the pit boss, the system works. It is a risk management strategy called low risk, low return. But low risk does not imply NO risk.
Agreed, this is a dumbass system, not even a system. Just doubling up to chase your original bet. The whole five dollars on Dont Pass I don’t understand. What’s the point of that. 12 is a push on the Dont and you lose your Pass Line bet. Even if you win on 12 on the Dont Pass this is a dumbass system because all you are going to do is “push”.
I'd rather give the blonde a 100 and go to the room
She's gotta be worth more than that though.
LOL!!!!!
GREAT call!!!
Who thinks they could find a girl like that for under $500.
That's called putting it in the come box.
Haha
I'll need a xanax the size of a hockey puck before I'll lay down 150 bucks on either pass or don't pass
Eric Boyles I bet 105 on 4 and 10 it pays 200
Only bets I make
Certain - that works well when you're "feeling it" and the win streaks are a thrill. I've done it from the dark side on icy tables to get back big losses. Good luck!
Eric Boyles OMG!!!!LOL😂😂😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
With the above method - $155 (level 5 wager) isn't nearly as scary as that level 8 wager. ::-) I've seen this method played to the goal of 20% of the bankroll for a given session, most times without ever seeing level 7, sometimes level 5 was as high as it ever got.
Truth is, you need three bankrolls that you can (worse case scenario) afford to lose - then play with discipline and you can do fairly well. Guys who try to do this with a single bankroll... tend to press and screw up and end up losing.
😂😂😂
Classic video. Big Thanks Al
Watch the edited dice landings. This video was engineered.
Many tables bar the 12 on the don't pass which effectively adds another level to the 8 doesn't it?
No. Because it’s a wash. You don’t win or lose.
@@BW-kv9wj You lose on the passline. 2,3,12 and push on the don't pass.
I’ll wipe my ass with that chart
10:45 Notice they didn't show the two previous roles. I bet one of them was a seven in which case you would be SCREWED with this method.
That's why this craps Pass/Don't Pass strategy has 2 games going at once. It is designed to get in and get out, and cap your max winnings profit at $50 for a session/table. Greed is the number 1 reason casinos make money...as 70% of people who gamble at a casino make money, 90% gamble it all back. If one uses laws of probability and statistics, you can make money. No one ever says it's impossible to lose your bankroll...of course it can. Research the mathematical outcome on a 1000 simulated Baccarat hands, Roulette spins, etc...and that will explain the outcomes. Laws of probability. Remember that, no matter what system you use.
Worked perfectly yesterday (2/7/2017) in Cherokee NC! Earned $375 in 1 hour...until the table started filling up. I started laying $100 odds on the 4's and 10's and lost a few so I came away with $300 in 4 hours. I love the betting system and it is GREAT on Blackjack too!!
Michael I would like to talk to you I am also going to Harrahs Cherokee in NC I live in Danville Virginia..........give me a call on my cell how is this method holding up for you...........I thought you could not play both Pass and Dont Pass at the same time at Cherokee NC.......here is my cell please give me a ring asap 4342515007 Thanks Stuart.
Start by placing 1 unit on P AND DP [at the same time] then which ever side WINS place a wager of one unit and on the side that LOST place a wager of 2 units.
If the side with 2 units wins your ahead 1 unit then place 1 unit on the winning side and go up to 2 units on the side that lost, the one that only had 1 unit on it.
If the side that had 2 units on it lost keep only 1 unit on the winning side but increase your wager on the losing side up to 3 units.
If the side that has the 3 units on it wins and the side with 1 unit loses you are ahead 1 unit, so place 1 unit on the side that won and 2 units on the side that lost.
If the side with 3 units on it loses and the side with 1 unit wins keep one unit on the side that won and increase your wager on the losing side up to 5 units.
If the side with 5 units on it wins you are up 1 unit . Place 1 unit on the winning side and increase the losing side up to 2 units.
If the side with 5 units on it loses keep 1 unit on the side that won and increase your wager up to 9 units on the losing side.
If the side with 9 units on it wins you are up 1 unit . Place 1 unit on that winning side and increase the unit on the losing side up to 2 units.
If the side with 9 units loses we STOP HERE AND TAKE OUR LOSS! We are only down 15 units NOT 31 units like we would be after 5 losses in a row if we were only playing ONE SIDE [ P or DP ] and doubling our wager after each loss.
Michael Riggs gullible assclown use your fucking brain
@@duewhit310 Sorry, I just like winning (earning money.) This system has always worked for me. Biloxi, Cherokee and online. You don't have to like it. I'm not asking you to purchase a system, I am just stating my experience with the doey/don't
@@mopedmaniac you will eventually lose in grand fashion in a way that will leave you snakebitten.
Try this strategy in roulette, using the Red/Black bet, and it’ll automatically increase ur advantage, as with each roll, u can assume that u have a 50% chance of winning. Over here in craps, if the point is let’s say 4, and u have level 8 money on the Pass, u have 8.33% chance of winning, and 16.66% chance of losing.
Mathematically, no strategy increases your advantage. You have a disadvantage either way. This strategy is even worse in Roulette than it is in craps because in craps, you have a 1/36 chance that you win neither pass and don’t pass and if you win either, you only lose one bet. In Roulette, you have a 1/19 chance that it lands on neither red and black and you lose both the red and black bet if it does not.
@@GaryLuKOTH I would like to add :
As mentioned, American roulette is a 1 in 19 chance of losing a 50% coin flip - 5.26% house edge
Single European roulette is a 1 in 37 chance of losing a 50% coin flip - 2.70% house edge
Craps is a 1 in 36 chance of losing a 50% coin flip - 2.77% house edge
The big difference in craps is you can bet in more ways BOTH for or against a line, number or outcome...and a few other wagers with even LOWER house edges - 1.41% house edge, and back up that wager with a player advantage to even lower that 1.41% house edge....NO other casino game offers that.
@@oliverklowzhoff6206 The closest game to flipping a coin is Baccarat. Either the player wins, or the Banker and you don't lose on a tie. If the Player wins the house edge is 1.24% and if the Banker wins, it's 1.06%.
funny how he never counted the bankroll to start off and then never counted after. I wonder how much she was down
his black jack video made me alot of money so i will try this out i started with 250 and ended up with 1,285 in online blackjack and his system worked it might not next time but this time it did
surprised that this doesn't have 300 million views
Great video
All the posts and NO ONE mentions what happens if a 12 is rolled. You would lose the pass line bet and push on the don't pass. Hypothetically, If you were in stage 8 or ANY STAGE for that matter and a 12 was rolled, YOU'RE SCREWED!
Yea, I was waiting for a comment from this guy about that 12! I've played both sides of the dice and in about 7 hrs. I've hit that 12 at least 3 times. This system is GARBAGE, end of story !
If you're afraid of 12 and you're betting 10 dollars or more, then drop 10% of your pass line bet on the 12 prop bet.
For each 10 dollars of your pass line bet, drop 1 dollar on the 12 prop bet to protect your pass line bet.
@@dontswin If you hit the 12 you tied the Don't Pass, you didn't win, and you didn't loss anything for that bet. Simply keep that bet the same, and go to the next level on the Pass, whatever that may be. I don't understand why hitting a 12 would be a problem. Nor do I understand why that would make this system GARBAGE ? ? ?
If you hit the 12 you tied the Don't Pass, you didn't win, and you didn't loss anything for that bet. Simply keep that bet the same, and go to the next level on the Pass, whatever that may be. I don't understand why hitting a 12 would be a problem. Nor do I understand why you would be SCREWED ? ? ?
Bill Felix push/tie on the dontpass and LOSE on the passline.
Assuming you avg. a little more than 50$ per table, you would need to go 42 - 43 tables in a row, before you got hit - just to break even. Everyone who's played craps knows it will happen more often than that. This won't work.
Ok I'll explain . We know we will ALWAYS make it to level 2 obviously. But we don't have to get to level 5 or 6 but we will at some point . So, the math is 2 to the 8th power . Google that and will tell you its 256-1 to lose . 255 x 50.00 avg is 12,750 minus the one time we're suppose to lose -2380 so profit by the math after 256 tables is 10,370 .... so from my experience I have just finished my 32nd table today and I'm up 2420.00 but I did play many 10 dollar minimum tables hence the high win rate . So now I'm basically free rolling on all 5 dollar min tables . Let's see how long it takes before it grabs the 2380 back ."😃👍goodluck
You aren't getting the method... at $50 a table, you would go to 10 tables, play roughly 5 intervals on average, and leave for the next table. To lose you need 8 passes or 8 no passes in a row - and only staying for 5 decisions/intervals per table, you certainly can visit more than 40 tables before you see 8 in a row.
LOL --- due whit, who are you really? Why are you pretending to know about stuff that you clearly are clueless about? I happen to know a dozen professional gamblers, including several nationally known fellas who sport WSOP wins.
The guy making the video? He made this video well over a decade ago, might have been the year 2000 or so. He has done rather well at times in other business ventures and in fact, slowed down on gambling for a while because he had a mild heart attack - followed by by-pass surgery. He focused on his business ventures after that until he recently semi-retired and has gone back to gambling for others and teaching his methods - something he's always enjoyed doing. He was living in Florida for a while.
His weakness is the ponies - and he loves the action too much. He'll win several hundred or a couple grand at the craps table and give it back in the sports book - although he's been on an amazing roll with baseball over the past month or so. He sometimes works with a bankroll of $50,000 or more - and has to limit his play on those occasions to the high roller tables.
Not my thing - I'm a computer guy - and I happen to be one of a handful of techs who does computer repairs and custom programming for some gamblers who sometimes pass my business card around to their fellow gamblers. That's why I laughed at your claim that I was leaving myself open to hackers. I'm the guy some folks call when they get hacked.
Gordon Lincoln 8 passes in a row happens more often than than Al is saying. He's fucking lying huckster. Go lose your fucking money asshole.
Gordon Lincoln he doesn't play with a system
He chases, that's all this is, chasing. It's really pretentious or rather dishonest. Craps is way too volatile and streaky to risk a couple grand against a hot shooter to only make 5 bucks a pop. And to start 5 pass 5 don't pass because (?????) when you literally have no chance of winning and losing your pass bet on a 12........................ Oh but wait 7:06 Tamara's ahead some money right now. Go lose your fucking money.
The basic fallacy here is that spending 10 minutes and one table and then spending 10 minutes at a different table is somehow different than spending twenty minutes at the first table. Your exposure is exactly the same. For any given situation in the game, the odds are always the same, and probable outcome is a random event. This is why the ONLY thing that matters over the long haul is the house advantage. Statistically, their advantage will align with your losses more and more the longer you play. There is no debate nor confusion about any of this among people who understand statistics. If you could play for an infinite amount of time, your lifetime losses would be exactly the casino's advantage. This is still a Martingale progression system, which has been widely discredited because of table limits. Periodically, you WILL exceed the limits, at which point your losses outweigh your cumulative gains.
What about the comeout roll ? plus 12,2,3,11,7 ? Thats defeats the 9 hour 8 level rule
Mark Hernandez you obviously didnt pay attention.
Ha, it would be hilarious if Al made a video defeating his own system
I would go for the streak. a lot of wins and losses, mostly losses goes in streaks in gambling. especially @ the c a s I n o. you can have a hot roller for a half-hour. um then this strategy would not work. a very cold table everyone around the table 7s out in a row. I have seen this happen. better off going for a streak. not a long streak. just 2 wins in a row. start with $5 on the pass line. if you lose. next bet $10 dollars on the don't pass. if you win. go back to $5 on the don't pass. okay and if you lost $10 on the don't pass. then switch back to the pass line with a $25 bet. which ever side is winning stay on it. a lot of streaks occur. craps is a cool fun game. very important do not let another player tell you which side to play on. bet on how the table is doing. do not chase your losses and listen to this idiot. that's what the casino wants. and yes I make little wins. not every time. happy gambling!!!!
Going to another table doesn't change the odds at all.
😂
Yes but Al has people after him, he needs to stay on the move.
This method doesn't help you and will hurt you.
do you have a baccarat system
I just read a few of the comments posted on this video. When you practice on paper and hone your skills, you learn to identify a CHOP between Pass and NO PASS. Clearly if you find that one side or the other is STREAKING, for example every shooter Sevens out, this would produce a STREAK. What is lacking in his video, is correctly identifying the table condition, all that he offers is to make 50 and MOVE to a new table. I have to agree that STREAKS do occur way more often then once per 8 hours. If you are truly a pro grambler, someone who comes home up, does NOT loose their bankroll, then you have patience. If you cannot track mentally what the table conditions are, write it down, what ever it takes! Getting on youtube and bawling doesn't bring the bacon home!!!
It'd be a tear jerker having to lay that $150 spot out there I'm tellin you that right now.
WOW!!!!!!
This seems INGENIOUS!!!!!
But has anyone tried this with that bankroll and has it WORKED???
2:14 absolutely savage
luv the short sticking
It seems that 9 losses on a pass line or don't is quite probable. I just have a problem with the risk reward exposure. Then again if you feel like a winner you will be a winner!!!
this makes some sense. what has me confused is you say each line is played as a separate game. wouldn't you need $2380 for each line then...and to keep the winnings for each line separate?? thanks for the video.
javan miller no because while one is losing one is always winning
javan miller in jhznffj&& hzj&´¤´ kjv hzj GB hhfh VC jhjd
javan miller no because they caint both lose at the same time by default when one loses tge other wins which starts the count over for one and just begins for the other..still a deadly strategy
javan miller not true. If a 12 is rolled on the first roll the Pass Line loses and the don’t pass is a push. (Tie. No action). Would really suck to lose $600 on Pass Line and not get paid on don’t pass.
Also. When the losing streak is happening the winning side is only winning $5 a pop.
why no talk on laying odds with this method
Scam: A) this is too good to be true. And B) Casino's love players that play betting systems.
not a scam. ive used it plenty of times with $15 betting unit. what this doesnt tell you is that sometimes when youre heavy on the passline and a 12 rolls then youre fucked and you have to know what to do. came up with a couple ways to incorporate that flaw into this system. its a great system he's using.
@@degreat420 Can you share your fix?
@@degreat420 if you are progressing on flat bets on one side THERE IS NO REASON TO RISK AN EXTRA 5 TO COVER A FLAT BET ON THE OTHER SIDE! LMAO!
i wonder how many times they had to re-shoot this video cause she rolled 8 times in a row his martin gale system is a loser
if i played craps with her, i would never lose because we would be in my suite all weekend long.
so she´ll be the only loser....
Lol
I can make any table $5 minimum table by betting similarly what he showed in that video. If you worry about maximum limit, go to $15 table and make $5 dollar table out of it by starting with $15/$20 bet on come/ don't come. PROBABILITIES, that's what everyone forgets in this videos.
BAM!!!!! FUCKIN 12 ON THE FUCKIN COMEOUT!!!!!!!
Decided to give it another go. 13th Sim- 8 Passes and -$2380 on Don't Pass. Guess it is back to 10 Pass with odds.
i was on bubble craps yesterday here were the rolls:
11,7,11,7777777,11,7. I am 52 and never seen anything like that in years of degenerate craps playing.
Wow.....
I hope you kept pressing your pass line bet
I played this on wincraps for the pc and won 9 out of 10 games. will try real world soon. Yes the 12 would be the bad boy on a large pass line bet.
John Guarnieri how much fun did you have being a dupe?
where can u find a craps game that will let u bet $1200 max with a $5 min?
mo fo Fremont street in Vegas...they still have some $5 min tables with max of $2500..
mo fo good question I’m in Washington state and it’s 5$Min & 500$Max
red rock casino in vegas, i live here
I'm in Vegas at least twice/yr. Strip games are $10 min, 25 when things get busy at the casino (e.g prime time PM).
5 dollars at the red rock casino
This video really does not help you does not hurt you
Al Baby I thought you could not bet both sides any longer???? my nearest casino is Harrahs Cherokee Casino in North Carolina.
Let your wife play the other side.
In case it isn't obvious, this does not change the house edge on your bet. No system like this will make you an expected winner at the casino in the long term. This type of betting means you are likely to win a small amount, but you do run the risk of huge losses ($2380!). PLEASE DO NOT TRY THIS IF YOU CAN'T AFFORD TO LOSE YOUR ENTIRE BANKROLL.
everyone can afford to lose the entire bankroll by the definition of gambling bankroll.
Only problem is no live tables are 5 dollars, higher minimums, and craps machines don't let you bet on both pass line and don't pass line
This videos content:
5% "'I'm the profesor"
10% "This is the professors method"
85% "Doesn't help you, doesn't hurt you."
Rule number # 1 and the only rule !!!!!
Don't come to craps table with $200 and expect to win big !!! Your expectations should be no more than 10% of your bankroll. So, $200 bankroll = $20 !
$2000 bankroll = $200
$20,000 bankroll = $2000.
Problem is, most people are greedy and don't know when to walk away !!!
there's a huge difference in hitting 8pts and passing 8 times in a row. lol. the game is called "craps" for a reason.
I’m little thrown off with the system 🤔 I would love to see this played with 10 sessions, no the bankroll before and after as well, and much better camera angles
Throughout the intro of the video he says "your on not winning your earning a days pay." Then at 5:16 he says " I win a lot of money ." Whatever dude.
My first time playing this method I caught the "lightning in the bottle". I only bought in with 800.00 not 1280.00. Lost 700.00 and went home.
The second time I played this method I bought in with 600.00 and I won 220.00
I play this methd on wincraps the computer dice game and I win 9 out of 10 games with this method.
I like the method so far in real life craps will play it again.
Best table is a choppy table.
If there is a hot shooter at the table wait it out before you bet again.
John Guarnieri it is possible for several hot shooters in a row. Don't lose your pants.
Your only suppose to win 50 on every table and if you can't afford the total layout of 2380.00 then you shouldn't be doing it
John Guarnieri you're very gullible.
Gosh, he claims to be a professor but I can write entire novels on what is wrong with what he says.
What if the minimum bet at all the tables is 25 dollars?
the usual procedure is to bet at least 25 dollars, and then you will be fine.
So if you lose 7 in a row, your 8th bet is $1200. If you win that $1200 bet, you "earn" $20. If you lose that bet, you are out $2380 according to his chart at 4:18. Hmmm. $2380 loss vs $20 gain. Well, good luck with that.
Can someone tell me how betting against yourself mKe sense, because my mind can’t seem to get a grasp on it. 🤔
You're not betting against yourself. He says many times, it's 2 separate bets
In atlantic city the poor house is called the Atlantic city mission
this is not even a 'pass-no pass system'. but i show you a few.
1. even money pass no pass at house minimum with intent to take odds on the point
2. even money pass no pass at house minimum with intent to lay odds on the dont
3. $35 on the dont $5 on the pass. take at least $30 odds with the point. or take enough odds with the point that the net profit of the point coming in is equal to or more than the $30 (net) that you initially risked (example: point is '5'. take $40 odds with which pays $60. subtract the $30(net risk) on the dont and you have a $30 profit. on the comeout you risked $30. with point established you THEN had a new risk of $10 to get $30 when taking $40 odds.) in a casino offering 10X ODDS.
4. al's "system" is not do\dont because his progression does not require making BOTH BETS. you are either trying to win on the pass (without odds) or on the dont (without odds) where the opposing bet makes no positive difference in any way shape or form whereas taking any amount of action on the dont with a $5 bet on the pass risks you the posibility of losing $5 for ABSOLUTELY NO REASON WHATSOEVER IF 12 ROLLS!
THE POINT OF EACH METHOD
1. pure odds payout. and no risk of losing on snake eyes or 3 on the comeout. no risking flat bets on the pass when my point will get paid PURE ODDS minus the occasional 12 on the comeout.
2. avoid losing money to naturals(7/11) on the comeout by neutralizing the dont with the pass. playing for pure odds minus the occasional 12 on the comeout.
3.an intermittent technique. not to be done continuously. for obvious reasons namely a landslide of consecutive losses that will make your head spin. as long as you dont roll a natural on the comeout, you have whatever advantage you like until the hand is decided. no one will ever time this up perfectly and will endure a lot of naturals coupled with points not winning either.
4. if you want to win on flat bets on the dont pass without taking odds then you DONT MAKE A PASSLINE BET. if you want to win a flat on the pass without taking odds then you DONT RISK AN EXTRA $5 TO COVER A $5 DONT PASS BET. BY DOING AS HE DOES (AND CONTACTING HIM) you are letting him know that you are a fucking moron who can be talked into more bullshit systems. this is not a PASS/NO PASS system it is a progression which loses when 8 passes or no passes occur simultaneously. YOU DONT MAKE BOTH FUCKING BETS. if you play al's system i bet you also eat tide pods.
Eliminate the 12 on the dice and you 'might' have a viable system. Eventually you will get hit with a streak of 8 successive losses and lose all your bankroll.
Before the Fifth 12, I guarantee you that someone will be examining the dice.
Many have, Al has people looking for him.
This is an interesting system that I want to learn more about it. I just recently discovered the don't pass method and like it a lot. I didn't know a guy can place buy bets on the come side while playing DP and DC
So is the goal $45-$50 profit and then leave?
It seems a hand of Covid-19 TRUMPS a dealer blackjack. Talk about a game changer.
So at level 8 your betting $1200 to win $20? There has to be better ways at winning craps that this " Chasing your loses" Martingale retread. By the way who goes into the casino betting $5 a bet, but with a bankroll of $3000 in their pocket.
I won in practice about 20 times, crapped out at 300, 600, an 1200, consecutively, with clay at home using a dice rolling app. Not to hot over here
This strategy is so bad. That guy talks about Stage 8 has if it was a myth. It happens more often than you think. Just look at roulette tables on the history board, you'll see very often a series of 8-9 times same color coming out. Never follow those "increasing bet level" systems.
J P If by “it works”, you mean that it works in making you lose money in the long run, you are correct.
J P Because it is true. There is no system that wins in the long run in craps. The way expected value works is that if the expected value is negative, you are guaranteed to be down some money if you play enough rounds.
J P Betting systems do not work. You are still expected to lose the house edge times your bet. It will average out in the long run, which should tell you that that losing streak will happen often enough to cancel out all your wins. Martingale is not better for roulette than it is for craps. For roulette, you win about 18/38=47.4% of the time and for craps, you win about 49.3% of the time, so for roulette, the losing streak happens much more often. So mathematically, no, Martingale is not better for roulette than it is for craps.
J P Gosh. There is so much wrong with what you said.
-Are you telling me that even with those tiny pyramids on the craps table that the dice had to hit in order for a roll to count, a player could still influence the outcome of the dice? And why would a player try to influence a dice to make the odds worse for him? He would try make his odds of winning at least 49.3% as it is when the dice is truly random, which has better odds than roulette so craps is still a better game to play Martingale on.
-Trends do not matter. In fact, the board that shows previous results helped the casino make money because it is attracting players, who think that previous results would help them, to the table. You should look up “gambler’s fallacy”. It does not matter what previous results there are. The probability that an even pay bet wins in roulette stays at 18/38 regardless.
-If the casino is favored on any betting system, a casino is favored on all betting system due to how expected value works. You only need about 7 losses in a row to reach the table limit. If by saying you could be dead by the time you see it, you mean that it happens some time within a period of 7 hours with high probability, you would be correct. The probability that you lose 7 games in a row is about (20/38)^7, which is approximately 1 in 89 so it is expected to happen one time in 95 rounds, but you would be playing a lot more than that in 7 hours. And consider how the casino has the advantage, yes, it will happen often enough to cancel out all your wins.
Aside from all that, I doubt that you tried it (or you did try it but did not try it for long enough), because if you did, you would find out about how easily this strategy burns your money.
J P I never said that the probability that 10 reds happen in a row is the same as the probability of red happening one in a row. I am saying that the probability that red happens next given that the previous results are red is the same as the probability that red happens next given nothing about the previous results. It is simple conditional probability (I would bet a lot of money that you do not know what that is. Look it up). Are you telling me that if I were to flip a coin 100,000 times and look at the first flip after each run of 9 heads in a row, it will be tails more often than it will be heads? Are you telling me that if a coin already landed on heads 19 times in a row, it is highly improbable that it will land on heads on the 20th time in a row? That is not true. The probability is 1/2 every time. It will be heads as often as it is tails. So no, betting 7 or 8 times into a trend would not change anything.
If your strategy were so good, you should not need to hit and run. You should stay for as long as possible to maximize your expected winnings. See you would walk away while you are ahead, you are basically admitting that your strategy is not very strong. Nevertheless, it will still be profitable for the casino if everyone uses Martingale and then hit and run, because if hundreds of players play about 1 in 89 of them will be unlucky enough to hit that losing streak on the first try, giving the casino back all the money it gave to the 88 in 89 winners. And no, it is not smart to risk being that 1 in 89 player since if you win, you only get a little money and if you lose, you lose a lot.
Also, if you interpret “the odds remain the same” as “it will land on the same result many times in a row”, then the casino must have gotten you drunk. It is not likely that any given run of 20 flips is all heads but it is more likely that a run of 20 flips all result in heads given that the first 19 were heads.
I'm sure the casinos having calculated systems which prevent betting systems from working. The one time the system fails & you go the 8 rolls & lose how long will it take to recover those losses? & I'm sure it happens more often then you think.
Why would a casino need to calculate systems? As long as they have the advantage, it does not matter what system you use because you would lose anyway.
a person could lose a $2400 bankroll three times in one shift.
I'm a bus driver smart guy
Did your daddy put it all down on ice cream?
Martingale based systems work great until you hit the table limit or run out of money
why not just stop before you hit the limit or run out of money?
This guy is a JOKE !!!!! Are you kidding me, he doesn't know squat about the game.
he made a video...and you're pissing and moaning...which required more effort??? you are the joke...and poor.
Craps is a streaky game and here is this huckster telling you to risk 2400 that someone won't streak 8 times in a row one way or another. To win 5 bucks at a time your gonna risk 2400 that 8 passes or 8 no passes won't happen and that's udderly irresponsible. Where is this guy now? He isn't gambling anymore. I'm laughing at all of your comments of people who've tried this "system". You should not be risking a lot to collect a little. It's the other way around. Take a chance with small money and press your winnings. Make it exciting and don't give the game room to hurt your finances. A shooter can make well over 8 passes, everyone around you who bets right will be cleaning up and you will be eating shit going against 🔥 hot dice. This man's example is recklessly irresponsible. Go contact him give him all your money instead of using your brain, he doesn't even believe his own routine.
I've seen several shooters in a row go on a hot run. This man Al is being incredibly dishonest. Fools and their money are soon parted.
This video is going to be a part of this man's reputation for the rest of his life. If you believe in him I am laughing at you pretty fucking hard.
Using this method you could get busted for your 2400 bankroll several times in one day. That is if you are in denial that dice can STAY HOT.
If she would have bet big on the place bets and froze them after three roll and some hard ways she would have to only go to two tables. Bet hard and get out. Look for pros you can tell, stay away from people who just crank them down the table. watch the way they hold the dice, run with the shooters that can skip them close to that back wall and follow them to every table they go to. Dice setting is no joke. Tip, old guys that start with a stack of green chips, don't chase lost money.
I've seen people make 8 points. More if naturals were included.
Jonathan Hains The point is, at least as I understand it, Is to make $400 quickly and get out so the odds of getting a shooter to hit 8 passes in a row is small.
Tried with clay chips this and lost it all after an hour or so, doesn't work