Putin's Syrian air defences fail to defend Iran from Israeli retaliation strikes | Brian Carter
HTML-код
- Опубликовано: 14 апр 2024
- "A lot of the systems, particularly drones that the Iranians use, are also used by Russia in Ukraine. So what we saw was some of the advantages that the Israelis have compared to the Ukrainians, which I don't think the Iranians fully accounted for."
Iranian drones and Russian air defences in Syria are likely too outdated to stop modern US made Israeli weapon systems, explains Brian Carter from the American Enterprise Institute.
📻 Listen to Times Radio - www.thetimes.co.uk/radio
📍 Subscribe to our channel - / @listentotimesradio
🗞 Subscribe to The Times www.thetimes.co.uk/subscribe/...
📲 Get the free Times Radio app www.thetimes.co.uk/radio/how-...
It's past due regime change in Iran, that state is the one the UN should condemn!
The UN is packed and stacked with a deck of Islamic extremists.
Its spiritual, satan decides who rules iran, it is his world he decides who runs the nations. The bible says God only runs 1 nation > ISRAEL, all the others belong to satan.
When satan decides for regime change, then he rises up a far worse beats to control the state.
Getting rid or the current iranian leadership, they would be replaced by some far more extreme regime that would cause more issues.
The UN is bought and paid for by Iranian bribes. Just look at who paid South Africa to take Israel to the ICJ.
Iran is chairing UN commission on human rights, ironic, isn't it?
UN needs to be disbanded
Despite the bad press, the F-35's capabilities are really something to behold
Never tested in combat
USA don't want them used yet..
U r joking right??? 😂😂😂
@@zakimuhammed4662who are you responding to?
@@cityboy9301 ????????????
@@RandomNooby ?
Hello Times Radio,
It's my first time seeing Mr Brian Carter on your channel. His answers are very well layed out, with very good depth.
I hope to see him on your channel again.
Cheers.
What a great bit of reporting. Thank you so much.
The reporting over all says that the IDF bombed rhe Iranian embassy, however, this is not entirely accurate. They dtruck a house next door that was being rented and used as an HQ and housing for these military officials. The embassy compound itself was left entirely in entact. It the embassy compound thats iranian soil under diplomatic standards..
Factually incorrect, the building was beside the Iranian Consulate buidling and housed within the recognised Iranian Consullar Compound - the Consullar building was damaged as a result of the destruction of the building. I am not making excuses for Iran or defending Israel - they both need to grow up - but facts are facts.
Why did they reside near the condolate? To be shielded?
@@RaymondToro-wm8ey embassy grounds are meant to be de facto sovereign territory of sorts, and an attack on its grounds besides the main structure is still reasonably assessed as an act of war, Even if the place was next door this guy was too high up the food chain to ignore this whether technically next door or in compound grounds.
However funding multiple terrorist organisations and providing them with missiles etc and a mission statement of "death to nation state X " should also be considered the same.
😊😊😊
Doesn't matter. Apologists of Islamic extremism are calling it attack on sovereignty to make it sound as if (yet again) rules were broken by Israel. And response from Iran is called retaliation. In other words it was justified. (response to attack on embassy) As if those Iranian generals were just on vacation.
FREE Iran from the warlords
ruzzia too
The warlords can keep it - I don't want an Iran free or at a discounted offer rate.
*Beside, its not run primarily by warlords so much as religious fanatic zealots*
@@sethjohnson6012more like no IQ bot
From that white beard guy didn't have path goat clown
The whole world needs to be freed from the warlords..Look at the history!!!!
Obrigado heróis Ucranianos por nos defenderem dos russos...go go Crimeia sempre foi e será Ucrânia livre 🇺🇦🔱🇺🇦
Now Iran is crying cos they won't be able to defend themselves 😂🤣
Iran not crying they readying 10x more missiles and drones.
@@isthisshabab4561 bro what kind of drugs are you smoking? Iran is impotent.
@@barcelona2112shut up you fox new DK rider
If Iran is was so impotent then why did Israel America Britain France Jordan spend all night shooting down impotent missiles at a cost of 1.3 Billion dollars with 72 hours notice
Your brain left the chat when you were born.
@@isthisshabab4561 cope more abdool
IRAN IS WEEK AND ITS CRYING , BECAUSE ITS PROVED ITSELF IMPOTENT .
This Iranian attack was for 3 reasons. 1st: A face saving move. They needed to show the world thier ability to conduct an effective, meaningful strike agains't Israel, which they totally failed at. 2nd: This was a test of the real capabilities of Israels defensive capabilities, which I think surprised them at how effective the defense was. But, Iran also gained valuable information for future attacks. 3rd: To test Western nations resolve and see who in the west would actually join in combat. All in all, a pretty bad failure on Irans part.
Oh yeah then why some of those missile landed which were not even their main missile. Iran got the info that if they use their main weapons then the iron dome will fail to defend israeli territory
@@user-yo7ps2io8cIt's because intentionally to save munitions Israel doesn't shoot down missiles that are headed for uninhabited areas.
@@Rtg5637 so airbase is not important to israel?
@@user-yo7ps2io8c Of course it is. Uninhabited means empty land.
@@Rtg5637 my question is not about uninhabited
Why do I have to skip the first 2 mins to avoid watching the same thing twice? It's so annoying.
Ah! So it's not just me? I thought I had some brain damage or something
It's called a pull quote, or a summary. You see the same thing in newspapers and magazines.
@@doncarlodivargas5497 amen. It's an annoying trend. Especially on videos less than 60 minutes long.
@@ahaveland - OK, but is it a good idea? To me it is confusing and annoying
@doncarlodivargas5497 don't worry, it's the editor who is brain damaged.
Israel needs to defend only a small geographic area as compared to Ukraine
Irans navy isn’t going to make it and they aren’t going to make the March through Iraq and Jordan. This is all a major waste of time, money, human and international relations for Iran.
and not against a former Super power with wide open geography
@@gawkthimm6030former indeed. Not militarily and not economically. Russia lost vast amounts of military units and military equipment and economically its in a far worse state than it tries to make us believe. Even before the war its economic power is nothing closr for Russia to be a superpower.
@@Ptolemy336VV 😂😂😂 Really?? Why then is every western country cowering to cross the red lines set by Russia? No solders on foot and no long-range missiles. Why can't they just cross these lines if Russia is such a weak enemy. Let me educate your ignorant western head, Russian military would conquer the whole of EU combined without the help of the US. That's why they are so afraid that Donald Trump will withdraw the US from Nato.
@@Ptolemy336VVyou seriously don't have a clue what your talking about.
The Iron dome says. "YOU SHALL NOT PASS".
Can it stop a nuke?
@@kev7552try it find out 🎉
@@StefanoMontani That's for Israel to decide my friend
Only with help from France uk America plus it helped when Iran announced it
I don't think iran wanted to actually hit isreal hence why iran told them weeks ago. Publicly stunt
After much traveling, I've never met with nornal local people who would want a war,🤔
And then......You found the Internet 😩 and met the keyboard warrior 🎹
You left out, "on their own territory."
The U. S. is full of right-wingers that have historically LOVED wars against pathetically weak opponents, especially when the empire prospers from its prosecution, with or without victory...
Follow the money $$$$
Oil & energy companies &
Arms manufactures make $billions
Whilst all this happens
You didn't travel much in 1942
@@urilahat8090 It's 2024. Try to stay focused.
How come no one is talking about the fact that the Iranians basically gave everyone a 72 hour heads up, which was even time to get squadron of planes in the air & the US to move defensive assets into position.
I suspect that Iran warned ahead of time because they wanted to send a signal with hundreds of missiles and drones, but did NOT want to strike Israel without notice because they feared a severe retaliatory strike on their home land. Just imagine what Israel would do if those missiles had not been located and destroyed before hitting inside Israel proper.
You are talking about it, and therefore it is already well known.
It was known whether Iran warned or not, satellite imagery by USA does not allow them to hide anything
Iran was sending a message to the rest 0f the Middle East and Europe that with Iranian long range ballistic missiles everybody within reach is a target too. Iran’s threatening demonstration failed miserably. Isreal is the excuse, the non Islamic world was and is the target.
@@stancromer3362 All of Israels enemies are being watched very closely and all of the time.
no surprise here i remember having and old russian TV set Beryozka that i had to punch it in order to catch the only tv channel available at the time maybe syrians should try this with their air defense
This was really first class and most interesting
It’s disgraceful that Ukraine has had zero practical help from U.K. and France and US in preventing attack.
Well that’s because Ukrainians ain’t fighting Muslims my friend. NATO only joins the party when its against Muslims
It's more disgraceful that Ukrania has been pushed to war by the USA and the EU
They aint in nato , and trying to let them in nato caused all this intentionally done by biden and the usa , usa caused russia war
I know. We were told repeatedly that we can't get involved because we're part of NATO, which is a defensive alliance and therefore we might trigger an attack on NATO and ww3 would ensue. What's different here?
Right! I am guessing its because historical ties to Israel and not with Ukraine, plus Nato is the elephant in the room and Putin has nukes.
I'm sure that the Iranian ruler's or Horrified about what's going to happen next and Russia and China took note of the successful missile turkey shoot and half of those Russian technology missiles failed in flight 🛫
Pornmovie
0:00
Excellent analysis
Bots are everywhere in damage control mode.
Outstanding analysis.
The Israelis in the past (and even on the Embassy attack on 1 April, 2024) never made their intentions to be broadcasted or to be known before hand, and that’s why their operation in abducting Adolf Eichmann(1960) and Operations Thunderbolt (1976) and Opera (1981) were so successful.
They need to go back to their stealthy ways.
Good guest
Good analysis
Here is the million dollar question that needs a good answer. Given the prior warning by Iran, GPS in the region would have been shut down or subjected to interference during the air strike. So, how did Iran manage to guide their projectiles towards the targets in Israel, which are all over 1000 miles away.
Inertial nav system
I truly feel safe knowing that we are protected with the best military technology and equipment available and have planes ,jets even stealth helicopters, Missile defense capabilities in the world
Biological and nuclear weapons too?
@@grimmertwin2148 yes, the possibility is there and the use of such weapons from a repressive government against the United States will be met with distruction that has never been seen before in about 10 minutes
Why has everyone started using the term "telegraphing"? The telegraph is an outmoded method of communication.Might as well use "smokesignaling".
People have been using the term "telegraphing" in this way for many decades. It's not a new development.
Of course…….
Iran cannot, in any feasible way, launch a war against Israel, unless it first wanted to launch a war against one of it's neighbours to give a land bridge for ground forces to invade. Iran has no military capacity that would allow an airwar against Israel, or a bridgehead invasion using airborn troops. To get there they would need to overfly hostile airspace in Iraq, Jordan, and even Syria. It is likely that Iranian airforce assets do not stretch to inflight refueling, and given that the vast bulk of the Iranian Air Force strike assests are older generation aircraft, many in excess of 40 years, such as the F-4 Phantom II and the F-5F, as well as some older, Soviet era MiG-29 and similar models, they would not really stand much chance agianst newer types flown by Iraq, Jordan and the NATO assets in the region, and they would be well within strike range of US Carrier groups and missile defence vessels in the region. We can conclude, Iran has neither the capacity, nor the capability, to launch an air attack and then air invasion of Israel, it is safe to assume that Jordon would shoot down any Iranian aircraft entering it's airspace, and whilst Syria may be an ally of Iran, for Iranian assets to get there, they would need to overfly Iraq or Turkey - both of which are not likely to end well for Iran.
Iran is a paper tiger as far as Israel is concerned, it may have large ground forces and they may be quite capable, but in reality, they are surrounded by nations who will not want to get drawn into a wider conflict, especially as that would likely pull in US, and thus NATO forces, thus they will not allow an Offensive force to traverse their air or land space to attack Israel. ~
Equally, regardless of the size of the drone and cruise missle arsenal, Iran now knows that for any strike to be successful, they need to overwhelm the air defences of Jordan, Iraq and Israel, to do this they would need to launch hundreds more weapons than they did on Saturday 13th, likely over 1000 assets if they intended to do real damage, but that would almost certainly invoke the defence pact Israel has with the US and their assets in the region would likely turn many Iranian military assets into smouldering piles of rubble and crater, this is not something that would assist the regime in Iran, which is already hanging on by it's teeth, a sufficiently devastating blow to the Iraniain military could, theoretically, be sufficient for the Iranian Military to turn against the current leadership.
Well said.not everybody is Iran's freind in mideast .
I watched Lazer Pig the other day explaining the "stealth" aircraft.
Funny thing is that mid-east and Russia got the wrong impression about them and made their radars on rumors rather than testing and experience.
😅
IMO, Iran should be trembling in their boots and say good bye to their drone factories. Not an "IF" question but "when".
And the smiley is for...?
@@leoninocat5070because the bad guys f**ked up.
@@leoninocat5070 Lack of a KYAG icon?
Iran needs to be out of the drone biz, stat.
They never test anything
Very informative interview with 16 year old Brian and James. One of those guys was wearing a very nice sweater...James. All kidding aside, very good questions & answers. My cat is an expert on the middle east, and he was impressed with young Brian.
The warning s were extremely important
Russia and Iran vying for being the biggest joke, not sure who's winning. 🤔
Russia won in Ukraine and the Israelis are too scared to respond!!
F35s have visited Iran deep in its territory many times uninvited and undetected 😆 🤣 😂
You follow Radio Tel Aviv... Hahaha
Same f35 wh8ch was shot down by syria?
I kind of doubt that since if there was a malfunction they would lose a plane over Iran and that country could use the technology
Yeah sure kid.
Indeed. One of the senior engineers I worked with NASA was import part of the early day of the F35
He was an excellent engineer.
Rip
Grime free headsets! What's next....silk neckties?
I hope his mum knows he's here.
Iranian Drone factories is the main target?
Has this "segment" been released earlier than the ministry of truth intended?
You see, Russia's Syrian air defense works perfectly! We just CHOSE not to use it because we wanted to show how weak the Israeli fireworks are. Pay no mind to the FSB agent holding me at gunpoint as I read this script.
It is a relieve that the leaders on both sides see, that it is good to put resrain on their deeds it is better to develop than
destroy.
NO aircraft is completly invisable.
A stealthy aircraft IS invisible or untargettable until it’s far too late to do the defence any good. If the F-35 doesn’t get detected until it’s weapons have been launched it’s too late.
@@davidshanahan5134 A presence might be inferred from interference with 'standing waves' (the analogy being the Invisible Man in the rain).
@@EdMcF1Standing waves will detect EVERYTHING moving- you're still faced with the difficulties in filtering sand processing signal, and almost nobody has it deployed- so you're correc, but the information does little good in most situations.
True(ish).
The F-35 and F-22 can be tracked to some degree with low frequency, low resolution radar.
The problem is, to the higher frequency, higher resolution targeting radar, the F-35 and F-22 are effectively invisible, at least at the current state of development.
So GBAD operators will know that *something* is flying within their coverage area, and have a general idea of it's vector (velocity and direction of travel), but nothing even remotely approaching the resolution necessary to provide a target solution for a ground to air asset.
@@terryfaugno9242 Detecting something somewhere isn't targeting. You know there's a wolf in a forest because you hear it howl, but that's a long way from getting off an aimed shot.
Shame on Putin
It wasn't a "council building" !
Shocker 😅
So by your logic, Russia would put an air defence system in Iran to protect Syria? That's fiendishly clever, WOW!
It's BS. Russia isn't supporting Syria at this present time, and Syria has its own issues to contend with, given that they have a problem with rebels and Turkey invading. What are these guys talking about.
Syria has S400's
@@jaypaige7550 S400 is in a Russian base to protect their assets
@@jaypaige7550only in the russian airbase in tartus and to protect it, they dont use it to cover damascus
@@jaypaige7550 if they do have, they really have been very useful in the last days. hurray for the S-400 paper tiger systems when facing a real high tech equipped foes.
Why why why wont we intervene in this way in Ukraine???? We could defend their air space from missiles and drones without ever entering the airspace???
Israel doesn't have to suffer those attack waves on a daily basis. And they got help from US and Britain jets.
Where exactly is the help from NATO over Ukraine?
Ofcourse they do. Look at warmaps. They getting struck from 3 sides daily
Ask Putin & India for permission to go to in to Ukraine.
Sometimes I get the impression the west fools russia/putin in to stay in Ukraine and slowly getting "dearmed"
🇷🇺🇮🇷🇨🇳😁
@@ProfessorFickle India?
The attack was designed to fail. The Iranians gave them 3 days notice so the west could prepare
You don't launch over 300 drones and missiles for it to fail. Iran gave head notice to primarily the countries in between Iran and Israel so that they don't accidentally shoot down something like a civilian airline in those countries.
Nah, that failure was purely unintentional.
Why embarrass yourself in such a world stage kind of way?
@@S-North They collect information and also waste a lot of money from defenders -- we all forget that an Iran drone is so cheap compared to missiles used to get them down. They have armies surrounding Israel - if they wanted to do harm, they could have done it so.
@@sangmoon2464 They collect information and also waste a lot of money from defenders -- we all forget that an Iran drone is so cheap compared to missiles used to get them down. They have armies surrounding Israel - if they wanted to do harm, they could have done it so.
@@aquelaquelaquelaquel😅😅😅
Stop all wars.
The Ukrainian interception number is skewed because limited systems are actually available for use.
How many drones and missiles were intercepted by British and US air force, sounds like atleast half of all Drones and missiles fired.
The Jordanians shot down many as well.
As far as I know, none of the drones actually reached Israel, only the missiles, so they were intercepted before
And Saudis, and Georgia, and Jordan.
@AndyPutt1 Also France and the UK, but not Georgia 😅
Id say thats a fair assement. Jordan, and Franch took stuff down. Isreal reported using Arrow 2 and 3, plus Iron Dome, and F-35 to take targets down, less than 2% targets ever made it to the boarder
I am not an expert, so why have me on?
Ship armed Iron dome, was also a first and successful defense
Maybe Iran expected to lose these munitions, but it was a way to save domestic face, plus gauge the defenses Israel has.
Are we too believe the western media, ask yourself 😏
No, you should only believe anti-West media. How is that big bump on your head? You feeling OK?
As opposed to Russian and Iranian media?
I'll trust western media more than I will Russian, Iranian, or Chinese media. Yes.
I'm not a supporter of Iran or Israel but to be fair, the Israeli strike on the Embassy earlier in the month was wrong and probably had some sort of response coming. I don't think there is such a thing as the good guys or bad guys in this, they both seem as bad as each other.
Let's be fair. That wasn't an embassy office but the headquarters of the Pasdaran, that was coordinating Hezbollah missile attacks on Israel. So what was Israel supposed to do? Send them some coffee?
Agreed but israel's decision to strike again at Iran makes Israel even worse than Iran. Israel has already shown it is out of control in Gaza and by bombing the Iranian consulate.
Go educate yourself.
Snoopy by name snoopy by nature 😂.
@@Tony-zg4yf It was a consulate. In other words, it was Iranian territory on foreign soil. Under international law, there is no distinction between a consulate and an embassy.
Mr Carter failed to mention the dynamic that Ukraine is +27 x the size of Israel and has gotten 0 help in air cover from NATO nations.
Now there is a problem, they have ranged their missiles accurately.
This attack was pure messaging on Iran's behalf. Israel killed some of their commanders, they are obligated to respond - they send a couple hundred slow drones which they already know will be trivial for the Israelis to shoot down.
Further response from Israel is escalation - or did we all forget how to count?
If the Iranians want to retaliate, they'll shoot down some aircraft. It would be unwise for Netanyahu to escalate as depending on what kind of aircraft that is - it might demand a response from international actors that Israel might prove unable or unwilling to resist.
When you have a hammer, every problem looks like a nail. Netanyahu is resorting to military action for the same reason.
Yeah, but Iran is a nail...
"did we all forget how to count?" OR
*Do the friends of Hamas have a tendency to forget how to apply rational analyisis* ?
IF Iran's projections of how many missiles would get through had materialised
This would have been no near-empty gesture - It would have been a massive & devastating escalation.
Israel ❤
israel 💩
Wrong picture means you're already out of date!
You don’t know
Iron dome was erhem ...breached by Hamas home made rockets....vat are yoo saying?😮😮😮
No air defense system is perfect. Get brain and Israel was aware but unaware on October 7
Low level does have an effect but it still took most down
Iran wasted 45mil$ and Israeli 1.3T$,Iran say hahahahaha ISR.......L hahaha.
Iran just humiliated itself on the world stage, and your here talking about how cheap Chinese drones are Haha. Cope harder, it was a huge huge embarrassment to Iran, no matter how much you wish it wasn't.
Haha, now Israel will export more of their defense system, and the Trillions will come in!
@@goldylockernot israeli defence system , US defence system
I love your guises program, but I’ve just got to ask. Do I often times hear you repeat the same question twice it’s a bit unnerving.
'Other capabilities' or possibly 'new' capabilities.
tomorrow everyone will come up with new numbers , new events coming
In my opinion, Israel, which recently violates international law and did not hesitate to bomb a consulate on the territory of a third country, is also a threat, as it escalates the entire already critical situation in the Middle East. The West should focus on helping Ukraine. Israel had the opportunity for several decades to ensure good neighborly relations. I believe that Palestinians and Jews would be able to live side by side in two states. I wish for both of them peace.
They were planning attacks on Isreal and arranging the transportation of weapons to be used against Israel. So they had evey right to attack in Syria.
Except that you cannot point to a time and space when the ‘neighbors’ made efforts to establish peace with Israel
Let me just remind you that Iran bombed the Israeli embassy in Buenos Aires killing over 100 people, your double standard is pathetic
Israel has, Iron Dome, Arrow System and David Sling as well as airborne fighter interceptors.
They themselves shot down about 80% of the whole barrage.
You forgot Arrow 3 and Americans SM 3s also took part.
Iran called the iron claw bluff
How this expert knows that israeli civilians were not targeted...??? otherwise he looks to be knows his craft.
Please call it what it is: axis of terror (not resistance).
What a surprise. Russian equipment is decades behind western equipment. It’s weird that anyone could still think it’s weird.
Hasn’t helped Ukraine much
Israel is like the playground bully that only throws it’s weight about because big brother is there to protect it, without the U.S. Israel is totally defenceless.
So is Ukraine.
Yes so? Iran should F off with their proxies then it will calm down
Ask Egypt, Syria, Jordan and Iraq how they lost to Israel simultaniously.
Who is the bully, if not russia and Iran? You turn everything upside down
@@user-wv8tm2iv9b Outside assistance, the usual suspects.
Glass houses….they didn’t think it through did they…
Is it easy to tell? No, hard to tell. =)
How can you say that Iran only went after military targets when we saw the missile battle over the Dome of the Rock? Duhh!
An important detail left out here, as to why Israel took out the IRGC commander: they believed him to be the architect of 10/7.
Is Anders Puck Nielsen Brian Carters dad or something? They sound almost exactly the same
Why do you sensor comments?
You don't even know the current president of Iran
Who cares? He's not in charge. He's just a lower level bag man.
5:15
This is the truth 🙌
The slow flying drones were meant to catch all the expensive defensive defensive missiles
Then the fast missiles came. 🚀
Similar to the RAF bomber command using using 'windows' , chaff, flares.
Yes , the handful of missiles that "got through" but landed in the Negev desert did so because they were tracked and the Israelis decided not to spend the $$$ to shoot them down, instead they let them crash in the vast desert.
There can be no victory, as you will only be left in the world that is now, and your projected future is only a a perceived strength that you do not have. There is no greater, there is no persecutiuon of others that end well for perpetrators. All empires fail eventually, seek not empire but the diplomacy of compromise. To further not only your people but all that you embrass. Embrace all on earth, seek not to divide , but pursue solidarity..
Hmmmm how are these aircraft going to even get to Iran without violating policy?
I don't hear Too Many people talking about Putin's birthday being October 7th and the relevance of that
One thing that I have notice is the every since Iran managed to capture a US Drone 15 years ago, is how they obtained the knowledge of the drone in war, and I believe that the Israelis used the best fighter jet in the world to strike the embassy.
I am not sure about Iran air defense system
Considering the fact that most of the critical components of the Iranian drones and missiles come from American and other Western companies, more and more resources should be allocated to combating the circumvention of the sanctions, and taking the enforcement of secondary sanctions much more seriously. The same applies to Russia and China.
The telegraphing surely helped allied nations coordinate their assistance, not to mention helping involve Jordan and Irak.
This guy has no clue what was targeted because almost nothing got thorough.
Missiles follow a specific trajectory to hit their target. You can tell where it is headed by trajectory alone. That's how most anti-air systems know where to send the rockets
And the award 🏆 for 'Least well informed comment of the day' goes to ...........
Well, anyone who doesn't realise you can know with considerable ceratinty what the target was if you have sufficient data to shoot down whatever's coming at you.
And STILL say 'You didn't know where it was going'.
@IowaKeith ballistic missiles, yes. Cruise missiles and drones can have a different path. And they were shot down WAY before Israel's border. You can assume it's heading toward a base...maybe. look at russias cruise missile path and shahed paths, they're everywhere. They can make a good guess with alot, but imagine 100 cruise missiles and 150 drones being shot down in Crimea and ukraine saying, they were all targeting the power station in lviv...if it was iskanders or kinzhals, sure... else...who knows. some of the drones could've be programmed for ther presidents palace or anything. They can assume it based off the ballistic missiles data...but this isn't always true because the other two munitions can midcourse change and we're down significantly before intended impact.
@@wasdq9748 the drones also have a set path. When sending swarms of drones, they aren't controlling each one individually. They set a projected path to stop the swarm from running into each other.
@IowaKeith they have a preprogrammed path, not a pre-set line of sight position only. Russia will send shaheds in many different directions in one flight to evade air defenses. It wouldn't be too difficult to keep them from colliding when you have 100 drones across a vast area with different speeds and altitudes. Not sure I'd call this a drone swarm, it don't matter. But drone swarms would be much closer together using mmwave and intercommuncation to keep from hitting. Only benefit to these getting that close together at such distance would be to throw off the radars range resolution to determine how many are there. But this would make it larger object and would have better luck being low and singular. Go look at a map of russias use of shaheds, it would be almost impossible to see a hit point if they were intercepted 2 hours away from the intended point. Same for cruise missiles. I don't mean to be argumentative about it, I just really disagree about tracking for a maneuvering object. Were they probably only aiming at bases...yes. but I wouldn't say that knowing these things can have avoidance maneuvers and complete direction changes. Russia does it daily, with that type of drone, they circle entire cities' air defenses. That's why sometimes they have flown in to Romania and turned back into the battlefield.
But I do appreciate your politeness and informing approach, just a disagreement. but it's much kinder than the other comment. I'll respond to that one shortly.
To lie repeatedly every day is just a sign of the Times.
what you think is clever is actually desperate
Another sign is the occurrence of a major war in the month of Syawal. - Happening
"There will be chaos in the month of Syawal (APRIL-MAY)
talk about the war in the month of Zulkaedah (MAY-JUNE)
and the outbreak of war in the month of Dhul-Hijjah (JUNE-JULY)"
obsolete air defence obsolete...crazy...mind..
And they are working together against the right to live free
Yeah no right exactly
This kid should get to bed, it's school in the morning
I'm not going to claim to be an expert on Iran but I do think that there's some logical conclusions baseed on information out there being missed by analysts like him:
1. Practically all military actions attributed to Iran are either by proxies or by drones and missile strikes. They do very little direct, conventional military action.
2. Iran's economy is in the dumpster.
3. Iran has been having mass protests in their country every few years.
4. Regarding the hard-liner mullahs authority in Iran, the country apparently has witnessed a rise in non-religious and athiesim.
What I think this all means is that Iran is a bit of a paper tiger. They do the strikes that they're doing because they can't do much else. They are not doing more conventional military strikes because THEY CAN'T.
They have neither the money to do it, the equipment and logistics knowledge, or the population support.
Ergo: they don't want direct military action with anyone.
Panahon na para supilin ang mga nagbabalak ng masama ,suportahan ang mabuti
Nobody seems to get this: the pivotal issue is actually identity politics-national versus religious, territorial political identity and not democratic dynamics of contention. Iranian public opinion has turned its back on the regime because it no longer considers it as an Iranian regime. It is a wired unforeseen and under theorized situation. But it means that the backlash response from the society can come in harsh radical discontent and tsunami level rejection.