Shocking democracy wins, the baby crisis, China's export threat & more

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  • Опубликовано: 18 окт 2024

Комментарии • 592

  • @MoneyMacro
    @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад +97

    Super stoked to have worked with The Economist on this. Can wholeheartedly recommend giving them a go: www.economist.com/moneymacro

    • @smishra8888
      @smishra8888 3 месяца назад +5

      If they are sponsors, you need to do due diligence and mention this in the video.

    • @yeetyeet7070
      @yeetyeet7070 3 месяца назад +1

      CRINGE

    • @yeetyeet7070
      @yeetyeet7070 3 месяца назад +4

      if you are financially compromised now, you have to tell us

    • @MoneyMacro
      @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад +32

      ​@@yeetyeet7070 hey. They are the partner and sponsor of this video. I discuss their articles. I tried to make clear what is essentially a summary of their article and what my own opinion was. Where I agreed or disagreed. I say partner because they allowed me to use their otherwise copyrighted articles and graphs. They also checked that I didn't misrepresent what they say (which I think is fair). But, they had no editorial say in my opinion section, which as in the fertility section, may be different from theirs.

    • @nerf2752
      @nerf2752 3 месяца назад

      @@MoneyMacro ok then why are you repeating what they saying for the last 10 years about India. where is your primary research?

  • @LegaliseFinland
    @LegaliseFinland 3 месяца назад +381

    The Economist must be honoured to work with such a big name

    • @leftofyaba
      @leftofyaba 3 месяца назад +12

      literally, lucky for The Economist

    • @ajbahlam
      @ajbahlam 3 месяца назад +10

      Agreed, Joeri's content is far better than The Economist's.

    • @aniksamiurrahman6365
      @aniksamiurrahman6365 3 месяца назад +4

      @@ajbahlam I'll say, Dr. Joery's independent conents are far better than this video as well. This episode feels like Dr. Joery shilling Economist's views and highlighting only the stats that supports these.

    • @niaguilar1994
      @niaguilar1994 3 месяца назад +1

      The economist is really in need of some actual economics

  • @sirshauniv511
    @sirshauniv511 3 месяца назад +232

    We've got to the point where we've forgotten how drastically things can change. "This could never happen" is what people say right before said thing happens.

    • @MrBlaxjax
      @MrBlaxjax 3 месяца назад +11

      That will never happen.

    • @thesnackbandit
      @thesnackbandit 3 месяца назад +5

      History is driven by tail events.

    • @NAW26
      @NAW26 3 месяца назад +9

      Elon Musk used to laugh when asked about BYD

    • @lucaj8131
      @lucaj8131 3 месяца назад

      nothing ever happens

    • @InnuendoXP
      @InnuendoXP 3 месяца назад +1

      🤞 house crash here we gooooo (only after I buy tho thx)

  • @MrBrockHeinz
    @MrBrockHeinz 3 месяца назад +71

    We're blessed by back-to-back _Money & Macro_ videos 🙏

  • @hugehunter121
    @hugehunter121 3 месяца назад +192

    This video format is so good for getting economic news fast.
    If you can at least make this video once every two weeks (once a week is preferrable) that would be awesome!

    • @MoneyMacro
      @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад +111

      This would be a dream for me. Teaming up with the Economist really helps me do this faster since I can rely on their network of journalists rather than doing everything myself. But, this is a pilot project. So, if it works well for them, I hope we can do more.

    • @TheControlBlue
      @TheControlBlue 3 месяца назад +2

      ​@@MoneyMacrothat literally could have been said by a bot to which I would have given the prompt "find a way to shill the Economist without shilling the Economist."
      You just ask them to hire you and be done with it.

    • @TheControlBlue
      @TheControlBlue 3 месяца назад +1

      "Hey, hello, you know that the Economist is this rad little site that allows you to get reliable, convenient economic information that is absolutely not compromised by Intelligence, why not give them a go?"

    • @sanitygone-l9y
      @sanitygone-l9y 3 месяца назад +1

      @@MoneyMacro This is a great video but I wouldn't consider The Economist a very good partner. They have some of the most predatory subscription cancellation policies.

    • @MrCalls1
      @MrCalls1 3 месяца назад +2

      @MoneyMacro
      2 weeks would be way to often.
      Monthly, still too often.
      2months/6 times a year, you’re guaranteed to get one of two elections, and a couple interesting data points.
      3months/quarterly I think would be best, you’re unlikely to ever get a drought.

  • @drgrey7026
    @drgrey7026 3 месяца назад +60

    Oh great you're on daily uploads now, i think I speak for your whole audience when I say I will continue to expect this and will get very angry if you do not keep to this. Don't disappoint!

    • @MoneyMacro
      @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад +20

      Haha one day we'll get there

  • @petermeter9890
    @petermeter9890 3 месяца назад +35

    The incentives given to parents in western country are offset by house prices, inflexibke employment arrangements and lack of affordable childcare options; they either understaffed, or expensive or both or just not enough of them and not in cohesion with labour market demands

    • @coolbanana165
      @coolbanana165 3 месяца назад +6

      Has given people more consistent time off work been tried? Working 4 days a week for 6 hours, say.
      It's pointless having more money if you have less free time to use it, having to work and have more kids.

    • @petermeter9890
      @petermeter9890 3 месяца назад +2

      @@coolbanana165 I think it would be beneficial but I don#t see it happening any time soon as our leaders are more interested in meeting the demands of the owner class

    • @Quickshot0
      @Quickshot0 3 месяца назад +2

      @@coolbanana165 France has a 36 hour work week I think and more affordable childcare. And while one can no doubt debate on if those are influencing things, it certainly has been relatively stable at near replacement level fertility rates.
      So shorter hours might work, yes. Certainly it frees up extra hours to spend with ones children, something that might be valued by parents.

    • @SK-kh2rs
      @SK-kh2rs 3 месяца назад +2

      There are plenty of wealthy couples who can have children but still choose not to or only have one

    • @Quickshot0
      @Quickshot0 3 месяца назад

      Sure, but I'm not sure that what some couples do, can let one figure out which factors can increase the chance of having more children or not. You'd have to study over the entire population for that I think.

  • @ericbaehr1225
    @ericbaehr1225 3 месяца назад +27

    Honest question! How much did the Economist influence this video? I read the Economist regularly and listen to you for your unique perspective and research.

    • @MoneyMacro
      @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад +49

      Totally fair question. ​​
      I discuss their articles. I tried to make clear what is essentially a summary of their article and what my own opinion was. Where I agreed or disagreed. I say partner because they allowed me to use their otherwise copyrighted articles and graphs. They also checked that I didn't misrepresent what they say (which I think is fair). But, they had no editorial say in my opinion section, which as in the fertility section, may be different from theirs.

  • @kobitomer4564
    @kobitomer4564 3 месяца назад +126

    In Israel: Non-religious women have 1.9 children on average, traditional women have about 3 children, religious women have about 4, and extremely religious women have about 6.5 children on average. The total average for the country is about 3.

    • @duh5907
      @duh5907 3 месяца назад

      I mean it's a womb war. The more jew children the less they get outnumbered by arabs who already have a high fertility rate

    • @smashwombel
      @smashwombel 3 месяца назад +37

      We know the solution to the problem, we just don't like it

    • @PhthaloJohnson
      @PhthaloJohnson 3 месяца назад +34

      @@smashwombel You may be surprised to hear that some countries with Sharia law are experiencing rapid fertility decline on par with Western countries. So I still don't see it unfortunately, feel free to enlighten.

    • @sharpasacueball
      @sharpasacueball 3 месяца назад +11

      I think it's correlated with women's education and work participation. No answer there unfortunately

    • @danisraelmalta
      @danisraelmalta 3 месяца назад +23

      Wrong.
      Both "Taub institute of Israeli demography", "wahal data center", "INSS demographic survey" and Israel internal ministry show that secular israeli women, in the years 2001 - 2022, brought on average 2.2-2.6 children and traditional woman bring 3.1-3.2 children.

  • @ethandouro4334
    @ethandouro4334 3 месяца назад +21

    As a Brazilian, i must say that the Brazilian tarrifs against chinese goods wasn't well received by our people, as it was only asked by our reseller sector and not our manufacturing sector, and brazilian manufacturing is highly taxed here and also in a worse quality than a low price Chinese one.

    • @aniksamiurrahman6365
      @aniksamiurrahman6365 3 месяца назад +3

      Shhhh. Don't break Dr. Joeri's bias. In each video I see him sideline a few very very important parameters. I wonder, how will west do if such degree of intellectual dishonesty has permeated in them.

    • @ethandouro4334
      @ethandouro4334 3 месяца назад

      @@aniksamiurrahman6365 he's a The Economist fan, what did you expect

    • @aniksamiurrahman6365
      @aniksamiurrahman6365 3 месяца назад +3

      @@ethandouro4334 Oh! I didn't kno any professional can be a fan of a non-peer reviewed journal like this. Heck, hv u ever heard of any physicist who's fan of SciAm or even Nature?

  • @SW-fk3rb
    @SW-fk3rb 3 месяца назад +49

    Oh wow, another money and macro video already? Bravo! 👏

    • @MarketsDriveTheWorld
      @MarketsDriveTheWorld 3 месяца назад +1

      2 million dollars for each baby? Press D to doubt.
      If it was so then just give the money to mothers directly at the birth of the children, imagine the propaganda: "wanna be a millionaire?" 😂

    • @ajbahlam
      @ajbahlam 3 месяца назад

      @@MarketsDriveTheWorld Likely, a large part of that 2 million gets wasted in bureaucracy. It would be far better to give directly to mothers.

  • @rmmvw
    @rmmvw 3 месяца назад +81

    They found out in South Korea, their new capital has half the housing price of Seoul and guess what? The birth rate rose from 0.72 to 1.07 . Interestingly enough, who would've thought that housing affordability would play such a huge factor?

    • @johnnyknows692
      @johnnyknows692 3 месяца назад

      You are totally wrong. It's the condoms and lazy young people. I'm kidding of course. It's always financial reasons. If you are a renter and struggling you want have kids. Unless you're fucking moron. Every normal human being understand that, except economists. They will always found some stupid study from somewhere that says no it's this and that.

    • @richdobbs6595
      @richdobbs6595 3 месяца назад +18

      So, let me understand your point: South Korea has spent a fortune to build a new capital. Most of the government workers still commute from Seoul, with even longer time away from their families. And after doing this, the birth rate hardly increased at all still being way below replacement rate, despite the housing price being half as much as Seoul. And you are calling this a huge factor? Please tell me you are being sarcastic!

    • @DeStraffer
      @DeStraffer 3 месяца назад +27

      The mayor of the new capital said a big cause is self selection, i.e. families choose to move there, causing the fertility rate to be higher there. So the birthrate there might not be that much higher.

    • @Carthodon
      @Carthodon 3 месяца назад +18

      The reason Westerns don't have kids is because having a kid infringes on their ability to have fun. It is tiring seeing people trying to blame everything else for their own choices.

    • @rmmvw
      @rmmvw 3 месяца назад +18

      @@Carthodon but this isn't a new concept. The youth isn't so selfish as to not have children for the sake of fun. It's that people see the cost of having a child and they did the math and found out that having one is almost irresponsible. I guess it's empathy.

  • @marvnch
    @marvnch 3 месяца назад +4

    Awesome video, I regularly enjoy The Economist's stories and it's cool to see them partner with one of my favorite YT channels!

  • @beccangavin
    @beccangavin 3 месяца назад +19

    Congrats on the partnership with The Economist! Commenting for the algorithm. I was very happy to get two M&M videos in a single week.

  • @thomasr6732
    @thomasr6732 3 месяца назад +35

    The elephant in the room with declining birth rates is cultural changes. Among my peers it seems widely accepted that not having kids and living a DINK or even single lifestyle is okay or even encouraged, something I don’t think would have been true in distant generations. Even if economic incentives are ideal, I think it’s going to take another cultural change to get people excited about the benefits and detriments that come with raising kids.

    • @ast88888
      @ast88888 3 месяца назад +4

      suggestion:
      mothers should receive money from the government, based on:
      take 60, subtract the mothers age, multiply by the number of children the mother has, and multiply that number by a certain amount of money, perhaps 50$, and give that to the mother monthly.
      an example,
      a mother aged 24 with 2 children would receive
      60-24=36
      36x2=72
      72x50=3600
      so she would receive 3600$ per month, or 43,200$ annually.
      another example,
      a mother of 40 with 1 child,
      60-40=20
      20x1=20
      20x50=1000
      so she would receive 1000$ dollars per month, or 12,000$ annually

    • @loop4569
      @loop4569 3 месяца назад +10

      Not really. Cultures like those of India (while India is very multi-cultural, this applies to many of the cultures within it), China, Japan, S.K., where collectivism is still stronger than individualism as a core family value are also seeing demographic decline, with it being more recent in India and a lot more prevalent in Japan, China and S.K.

    • @SunilMeena-do7xn
      @SunilMeena-do7xn 3 месяца назад +7

      ​@@ast88888why only mothers? Why not fathers?

    • @gregvanpaassen
      @gregvanpaassen 3 месяца назад +6

      @@loop4569 I think you misunderstand. In none of those cultures does motherhood carry social prestige in the same way as does a job like doctor or engineer or architect. The cultural change that is required is to accord motherhood high prestige. Then women will want to be mothers, and men will want to be with mothers, and governments will make it easy to raise children.

    • @ast88888
      @ast88888 3 месяца назад +1

      @@SunilMeena-do7xn to encourage women to get pregnant. i presume the giving money to fathers based on the number of children that they have will not cause them to give birth to more children

  • @Sjsisooskwwn
    @Sjsisooskwwn 3 месяца назад +3

    Just found your channel and I have to thank you for the work that you do. Too many clickbait channels out there these days and it’s really refreshing to have someone who presents all the info in a concise, nonbiased way. On another note, I was wondering if you’d be able to do a video or two on emerging southeast Asian economies and their growth stories for the foreseeable future?
    Thank you for the videos!

  • @davrosdarlek7058
    @davrosdarlek7058 3 месяца назад +33

    I'm suprised the birth rate section didn't cover the only birth rate success stories. From what I remember Hungary managed to improve fertility rates by providing more affordable housing. Meanwhile South Korea is building a new city where birth rates are 50% higher than the national average (although the population is mostly comprised of civil servants).

    • @Ratgibbon
      @Ratgibbon 3 месяца назад +13

      You are wrong about Hungary, childbirths are at record low numbers and 2.7% less children born in 2023 than the year before.

    • @Quickshot0
      @Quickshot0 3 месяца назад +5

      I'm not sure Hungary's fertility rate changes really stand out compared to some other countries in the East of the EU. You can see an even bigger increase with Romania I thought.
      Most likely the real issue none of those got particularly picked is that aside of Israel no one is above replacement levels. In which case France might be just as interesting or more so, because it has managed to keep at least near to replacement levels for a long time now. Something which one could argue is worth a look at just for the sheer stability of it.

    • @koushikdas1992
      @koushikdas1992 3 месяца назад +5

      ​@@Quickshot0 France has 15-20% immigrant based population. May be their birth rate is higher than replacement rate and native's birth rate is way below the replacement rate. It can be one of the reasons for sure, I guess.

    • @Quickshot0
      @Quickshot0 3 месяца назад +2

      @@koushikdas1992 Aren't a lot of those migrants from other developed countries? There tends to be a fair amount of flow of such, also from other EU countries.
      Even outside the developed world a lot of countries are below replacement level. So I'm not sure we should expect this to really change all that much for birthrate. Though one could probe the statistics for it I guess.

    • @msergio0293
      @msergio0293 3 месяца назад

      Yeah the SK example is not enough to shift the birth rate, the new city has 100k habitants approximately

  • @ahmadarsy2684
    @ahmadarsy2684 3 месяца назад +4

    2 videos in such a short time frame?! You're too kind Dr., bless you 🙂‍↕️

  • @jokecaproens5823
    @jokecaproens5823 3 месяца назад +2

    Thank you, Doctor Joeri, for another instructive video. How nice to see another video so soon!

  • @NearShoreLiving
    @NearShoreLiving 3 месяца назад +3

    Nice man. RUclips needs more channels like yours

  • @zukacs
    @zukacs 3 месяца назад +26

    Can you do story on Argentina please 🙏

  • @aadishgoel
    @aadishgoel 3 месяца назад +10

    The Indian stock market fall after the election was due to
    Uncertainty till the oath of PM. As Collations in India are allowed to change
    so if certain members choose to support the other party, the other party could have formed govt too.
    only after the oath, is the 6 months ban for changing sides to prevent frequent change.

    • @DailyLifeSolution
      @DailyLifeSolution 2 месяца назад +1

      His knowledge comes from the economist's article. That is enough for not taking him seriously. Foreigners seldom understand Bhaarateeya politics.

  • @Aendavenau
    @Aendavenau 3 месяца назад +8

    You should read the book Kris i befolkningsfrågan by Gunnar and Alva Myrdahl published 1934. They where worried about the lack of children (1.7 I think it was) in Sweden and the steady decline that had been going on for decades. Would we exterminate ourselves?
    The ideas to combat the crisis was implemented by Socialdemocratic governments and yes they turned the numbers positive again. They remained positive for 50 years and are now in slow decline again. But then we are no longer following the model :)

  • @wackychicken
    @wackychicken 3 месяца назад +3

    This is a really good ad for the economist

  • @BlackhillTalks
    @BlackhillTalks 3 месяца назад +8

    Israel in my opinion is often perceived as an outlier due to its unique political and conflict situations. The necessity to maintain a large enough population to support its military capabilities drives its policy towards encouraging reproduction. That is a very hard scheme to replicate in other developed countries.

    • @johansjournal
      @johansjournal 3 месяца назад

      that's why usa and europe are importing so many muslins , so they can have the same issues that israel has and the women will start having children to build an army

  • @kaushalbalaji1116
    @kaushalbalaji1116 3 месяца назад +2

    I really like such a format of rounding up major stories in a video. Please continue making these style of vids!

  • @d0cf0x4
    @d0cf0x4 3 месяца назад +1

    This is great. I really like this because - as an Economist reader - I don't always have time to read their articles.
    Something like that but with your own spin is something I will be looking forward to!

  • @rtx-2099
    @rtx-2099 3 месяца назад +14

    Thank you for bringing credible economics education to RUclips

  • @ericgardiner7715
    @ericgardiner7715 3 месяца назад +2

    As someone in South Africa I must say that there have been a lot of very positive signs in the weeks since the election, the currency has strengthened, power cuts have ended and corrpt politicians are being raided and charged.

  • @TathD
    @TathD 3 месяца назад +2

    I know this was a sponsorship thing but you could do weekly updates for top stories that affect the global economy. I would watch.

  • @ivancavlek4755
    @ivancavlek4755 3 месяца назад +3

    Writing for the algorithm what most of the people said - great partnership! I would really love to see more videos like these (maybe as shorts? it would help the algorithms), but please, don't neglect your main videos (like Sabine Hossenfelder).

  • @Gap79
    @Gap79 3 месяца назад +58

    Nice partnership, congratulations!

  • @antiquehealbot6543
    @antiquehealbot6543 3 месяца назад +14

    Can you cover South Africa's downfall as a topic of the next video? I want to hear first hand experience of qualified economist.

  • @jerryrichardson2799
    @jerryrichardson2799 3 месяца назад +3

    Thanks, a really good report.

  • @zhoudan4387
    @zhoudan4387 3 месяца назад +2

    Yes. Love multiple sides of the story. Keep it up 👍

  • @christophvonpezold4699
    @christophvonpezold4699 3 месяца назад

    Two of my favourite trusted sources coming together, excellent! The content did not disappoint as well, interesting trends that although I knew something about already it was nice to get a refresher on

  • @sternof
    @sternof 3 месяца назад +3

    Idk if that'll change your conclusion, but FYI, the fertility rates in Israel changes with the intensity of their religious views - orthodox 6.8, religious - 4.2, traditional - 2.9, secular - 2.1.
    The orthodox and religious groups together takes about a third of the Jewish population.
    2 generations of a secular family = 3 generations of orthodox', as they start at a younger age (18-20 vs 28-30).
    When I ask people from different counties about why they have less kids per family, they always reply its because of the cost of raising them. That is the main concern. That's what gov. should address.

    • @dinglshingle
      @dinglshingle 3 месяца назад

      in germany, education and health care is pretty much taken care of by the government. yet birthrates are below the replacement rate. the solution seems more complex than what you propose but it is def a start.

    • @sternof
      @sternof 3 месяца назад +1

      @@dinglshingle
      You're right. when I think of it, these people I usually asked were not from the western world. Different cultures have different reasons, and different solutions.
      In Japan I understand its due to patriarchy and the attitude towards women.

  • @andrenel6402
    @andrenel6402 3 месяца назад +5

    Thanks

  • @barbthegreat586
    @barbthegreat586 3 месяца назад +5

    I'm very happy that birth rates are falling so radically. There's no need for 8 billion people. It's not like our governments love children and families and they're telling us that most of us are going to lose jobs to AI. Why would I want any child to be an unemployed slave? There's no need for babies.

  • @TimothyCHenderson
    @TimothyCHenderson 3 месяца назад +5

    I thought Israel's population metrics were heavily influenced by the Orthodox community who has well over replacement levels of fertility while the rest of the country is bellow replacement.

  • @m.rebman7221
    @m.rebman7221 3 месяца назад +2

    The Economist was once aptly described by a fellow countryman of mine as a periodical which likes to give the impression of (false) objectivity by virtue of its failure to provide authorship for its various articles. I think that about sums it up. But this does not entail the conclusion that I never read this British blast from the classical economics past.

  • @sahilbaxi
    @sahilbaxi 3 месяца назад +6

    So glad you're growing and partnering with large media/news houses now! Don't pay an iota of heed to any of the haters, you're doing great

  • @Gilotopia
    @Gilotopia 3 месяца назад +1

    I'd like you to explore the fact that family size decreases as property prices go up and apartment sizes go down.

  • @Rainforestdelight
    @Rainforestdelight 3 месяца назад +18

    I like this type of video, like TLDR.

  • @Anthrofuturism
    @Anthrofuturism 3 месяца назад

    Nice love this tldr from a source I respect deeply.

  • @rgpdno
    @rgpdno 3 месяца назад +2

    Amazing video, solid content and touching upon topics not suited for the whole video theme

  • @MartinMenge
    @MartinMenge 3 месяца назад +26

    The DA is a classical liberal party. In other words what would be considered conservatives in most liberal democracies.

    • @olwethupoto1077
      @olwethupoto1077 3 месяца назад

      Its interesting how they shifted from being left wing party to being a centre right party, maybe because the left wing vacuume was already filled so they decided to switch right. But their DNA is left wing politics hence they believe In all what Democrats in the US believe in.

    • @Septimus_ii
      @Septimus_ii 3 месяца назад +4

      Yeah, they're policies are fairly right wing by European standards, but they would probably be a good coalition partner if that would ever be stable

    • @MisterFro9
      @MisterFro9 3 месяца назад +3

      I think we're forgetting what The Economist is. They're not exactly left of centre (by international, rather than US standards), not surprising they'd call centre-right parties centre.

    • @fullmetaltheorist
      @fullmetaltheorist 3 месяца назад +2

      Depends on where. In America and Canada they would be left wing.
      In Europe they would be center right.

    • @MartinMenge
      @MartinMenge 3 месяца назад

      ​@@fullmetaltheorist Sure, left-wing of the GOP.

  • @Mrvictory61
    @Mrvictory61 3 месяца назад +1

    Very interesting and informative 👌

  • @myleshungerford7784
    @myleshungerford7784 3 месяца назад +13

    $2 million USD per baby in France doesn't sound correct. I highly doubt that number is real.

    • @MoneyMacro
      @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад +5

      My phrasing is the problem. My bad. The 2M figure comes from the following. So the 2M is per *extra* baby.
      www.economist.com/leaders/2024/05/23/why-paying-women-to-have-more-babies-wont-work
      schemes in Poland and France cost $1m-2m per extra birth (2M in France).

    • @myleshungerford7784
      @myleshungerford7784 3 месяца назад

      @@MoneyMacro ahhhh, got it. So essentially the programs aren’t having the desired effects

    • @MoneyMacro
      @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад +5

      @@myleshungerford7784 yes. The additional baby seems to be exceptionally expensive.

    • @rvs1
      @rvs1 3 месяца назад +1

      Besides bonus baby subsidies there is also the point of general subsidy and opportunity cost.
      Taking the Netherlands as example there is a basic subsidy for each child of ~220 euros per quarter until the age of 18 off which it can "survive". so about 9000 euros.
      Then the opportunity cost of raising a child. The average parent combined hours spent taking care of children is ~3 hours per day at an hourly wage of 25 euro amounts to ~500.000 euros opportunity cost.
      Add in 8 years elementary education of ~7000 euros per child per year (based on a 3300 pupil size school organization year report) totaling 56000 (subsidized)
      Add in 5 years of secondary education of ~9000 euros per child per year (estimated based on above) totaling 45000 euros.
      Beyond childhood add tertiary education of 5 years average costing ~10.000 per person totalling 50.000 euros
      Excluding healthcare costs, daycare and choice products such as new clothing the cost of a new person entering the labour market in the Netherlands is at least 160.000 euros in subsidies and ~500.000 euro in opportunity costs.
      Which honestly is a lot cheaper than i expected, but then again i probably missed important costs. Maybe you can help out?

  • @occamsfarm1675
    @occamsfarm1675 3 месяца назад +7

    Did anyone else notice how the DA leader's photo was the only one with a warm smiling leader? All the others looked menacing? God bless "impartial" journalism

  • @Digmen1
    @Digmen1 3 месяца назад +4

    Its not Chinese over capacity!!
    Its Chinese subsidies to get exports!

  • @Itsunobaka
    @Itsunobaka 3 месяца назад +2

    good video! glad you're branching out, too

  • @igiannel
    @igiannel 3 месяца назад +3

    The math regarding French spending per baby doesn't add up. 2mln * 640.000 births = 1.2trillion (or 40% GDP) seems unreasonable

    • @MoneyMacro
      @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад

      My phrasing is the problem. My bad. The 2M figure comes from the following. So the 2M is per *extra* baby.
      www.economist.com/leaders/2024/05/23/why-paying-women-to-have-more-babies-wont-work
      schemes in Poland and France cost $1m-2m per extra birth (2M in France).

  • @hippopuffin
    @hippopuffin 3 месяца назад +2

    I used to subscribe to the Economist and read it religiously. All I see now is bias propoganda talking point for their Anglo-American overlords. I love your channel for your unbiased and objective views and I hope you are able to resist and stay independent.

  • @RafaelW8
    @RafaelW8 3 месяца назад +3

    I absolutely love your channel and the content you put out. But I would caution against teaming up with mainstream media such as The Economist. Myself, and I assume other people as well, come to your channel to avoid getting our information fed to us with a biased silver spoon, from the mainstream media.

  • @johnmanno2052
    @johnmanno2052 12 дней назад

    I used to read The Economist religiously. Back in the 80s, I had a subscription for years. Read it every week.
    I like their statistics. I like some of their articles. But, after seeing firsthand the effects of a lot of their economic ideas, I must confess that I hate the newspaper.
    It's perfectly fitting that you are working with them, though, dear Mr Kinda Sorta Keynesian With a Smattering of This and That.
    Ho hum.

  • @hugodiazgarcia1266
    @hugodiazgarcia1266 3 месяца назад

    Congratulations on your video about the 5 stories changing the future of the world economy. What a liked more was about how Indy, Brazil, and Mexico will benefit from China`s de-industrialization in the near future considering the nearshoring and trade war against the United States!!!

  • @TheProfessorSocks
    @TheProfessorSocks Месяц назад

    I didn't have a chance to watch this video until now so my comment will likely go unnoticed but here goes:
    I'm an Ultra orthodox Jew with an MBA from a top university and my dissertation was about economics, matters such as demographic collapse is very much a topic of interest to me.
    The reason Israel is blossoming is not because of financial incentives, but because of their value system.
    They glorify the family unit, something most modern societies do not. This is all, it's this simple.

  • @doomcow99
    @doomcow99 3 месяца назад +2

    Hype my favourite magazine with my favourite RUclipsr

  • @johnbeaulieu2404
    @johnbeaulieu2404 3 месяца назад +2

    Housing and hours of work per week have to be the biggest reasons. China's 996 work ethos has to be a big part of their problem. The situation is similar in South Korea and Japan. It is not the problem in Western Europe.

    • @PlanetCHINA.1
      @PlanetCHINA.1 3 месяца назад

      What problem does China has?? It's just another western created bullshiit!

  • @imager8763
    @imager8763 3 месяца назад +2

    Great video, thank you! I'd love to see a video on where China get's the money for all the "stuff" it does.

  • @KVUAA
    @KVUAA 3 месяца назад +2

    Wow another video in one day!

  • @vru6431
    @vru6431 3 месяца назад +1

    In line with your earlier video on India's growth, reforms in local government is highly unlikely and the atmosphere hasn't changed much (incentives).

  • @Mark-ps2iy
    @Mark-ps2iy 3 месяца назад +1

    We really need a fully automatic global economy. Can we do that in a century? Maybe two, considering the very uncertain outcome of climate change...

  • @anmolpatel793
    @anmolpatel793 3 месяца назад +1

    Israel's high birth rate is mostly among the Mizrahi Jews and ultra orthodox Jews not the rich Ashkenazi Jews and this is causing a divide in Israel itself

  • @acu4461
    @acu4461 3 месяца назад +2

    love the suit

  • @deersakamoto2167
    @deersakamoto2167 3 месяца назад +1

    What does "produced in collaboration with The Economist" mean? Does that just mean that The Economist is paying for the ad read at the end (i.e. sponsorship), or does that mean this particular story was written/edited with the Economist staff's input, or both? There's no clear disclosure in the video or the description

    • @laurencefraser
      @laurencefraser 3 месяца назад +3

      apparently it means 'the Economist won't be jumping on him for copyright infringment for using their articles and they double checked that what he said they said was what they actually said", going by a response to another comment.

    • @deersakamoto2167
      @deersakamoto2167 3 месяца назад

      @@laurencefraser Oh somehow I missed your reply. I saw his comment replies and it's a bit disingenuous of him that he doesn't explicitly say he got paid for the ad read or he gets kickbacks from The Economist sign-ups using his affiliated link and only talks about how "the partner" allowed him to use the copyrighted material etc.

  • @johnkelly3886
    @johnkelly3886 3 месяца назад +1

    The DA is not moderate or 'liberal'. It is a hard right, Thatcherite neo-liberal party. The DA is South Africa's equivalent of the Tories. I have never met a DA supporter, who has given me reason to believe otherwise.

    • @Tarantula.8eyes
      @Tarantula.8eyes 3 месяца назад

      Hardly, they still need welfarism to get votes. They'll cede to social democracy soon enough. They just want to remain friendly to FDI because that's how you can redistribute wealth eventually.

  • @emiliaerle6030
    @emiliaerle6030 3 месяца назад +1

    When the Economist hails sth as "sensible" and "not controversial", it is for sure beneficial for the class of the Economists avid readers and nobody else 😂

  • @inigomeniego4906
    @inigomeniego4906 3 месяца назад

    Where did you take the poll for the UK? Reform seems to have surpassed the conservatives

  • @dogood8750
    @dogood8750 3 месяца назад +4

    Love your videos Joeri
    Questions
    Ft or The Economist? Which is better?
    Also if there's more research coming out can you do an update on the fertility video that you did it it's one of my favorite videos of yours and i know its a controversial issue right now but do you mind looking more closely at Israel specifically and other outliers like Oman and until recently the United States and their demographic data see what they're doing different

    • @MoneyMacro
      @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад +4

      Different. I read both every day. Actually the final story in this video is a mini update on the fertility video. I do plan to do more though. Having a look at Israel in this regard is on my wishlish. But, I might visit Southern Europe first.

    • @merrymachiavelli2041
      @merrymachiavelli2041 3 месяца назад +2

      I have both, one thing that sliiightly edges the Economist out ahead for me is that they have more data-driven stories with data visualisation. I'm a sucker for articles that are basically 'here is an interesting graph, let's explain it'.

  • @TheNewLooter
    @TheNewLooter 3 месяца назад +12

    The underlying problem with fertility isn't money, therefore throwing money at people won't fix the problem. People simply don't want to have kids, or rather have a lot of things they'd rather do than raise them, and we've all but eliminated accidental pregnancies.
    The fertility crisis is impossible to fix without going full Sharia law on women. I agree with the Economist that realistically we should focus on mitigating the negative effects of low fertility.

    • @ast88888
      @ast88888 3 месяца назад +10

      iran is also experiencing the fertility collapse, so sharia wouldnt help

    • @loop4569
      @loop4569 3 месяца назад +5

      One of the main reasons they don't want to have kids is unaffordable housing and therefore money though...

    • @veronicamaine3813
      @veronicamaine3813 3 месяца назад +10

      This is not true. Literally when house prices fall fertility rises. Women
      are having babies later because most would like to be stable when they have one - this is often characterised as have a home and a steady permanent job. The ability to fulfil condition one is limited before the age of 35, and condition 2 is increasingly impossible. Many women would love to have kids or more kids, but literally cannot afford to do so. Remember in America maternity leave is not a guaranteed so women and their partners have to factor in childcare from almost day 1 of baby, which is often e crippling resulting in one parent basically working to cover little more than child costs - which means both have to work just to live even though a baby requires full time care. Thinking people aren’t having kids because they want a new car is ridiculous. They may not want to have 5 kids, but they would often love to have a couple but even that is nigh on impossible.

    • @muj970
      @muj970 3 месяца назад +3

      @@ast88888iran is a very secular society with the non-religious being the majority in population now , that being said the state is a whole different story

    • @jogo798
      @jogo798 3 месяца назад +1

      ​@@veronicamaine3813 fertility rate increases when socioeconomic conditions improves but not by a significant margin. Ideally couples want to have kids but in modern era the reasons have changed, kids no longer provide economic utility like they used to by working in the farms or factories hundred years ago at a young age.
      Nowadays its purely for psychological comfort or gene pool preservation of parents and the resources and time needed for quality upbringing of kids is very high and burdensome in this era.
      Even when given the best environment in scandinavian countries women will still choose to have 1 or 2 kids which is 1.5 in avg and replacement rate is 2.1, means population will continue to decline.

  • @mimistar1427
    @mimistar1427 3 месяца назад

    I have a few suggestions to help the governments of low birth rate countries:
    1. Create an effective dating app or match making services so people can actually meet a decent person to partner up with.
    2. Provide government funded date nights events / activities.
    3. Give bursaries / grants towards the costs of marriage licences fees / wedding costs (which couples have to pay back if they don't have children)
    4. Build more affordable housing to buy or rent so couples have somewhere to raise children.
    5. Offer free marriage counselling and parenting classes.
    6. Make child care affordable.
    7. Improve the economy to help lower inflation so parents can afford to feed, clothe, and keep children warm.
    8. Create policies to encourage family friendly companies / businesses, so parents can actually spend time with their children instead of working long hours.

    • @mdel310
      @mdel310 3 месяца назад

      9. Get the state out of marriage contracts. A lot of guys just aren’t willing to settle down because the inherent disadvantage with divorce.

  • @danieleverywhere132
    @danieleverywhere132 3 месяца назад +3

    if you plan to mention 20 times in 10 minutes Economist then why don't you just sell channel to them?
    extremely annoying
    time to leave this propaganda

  • @larsnystrom6698
    @larsnystrom6698 3 месяца назад +1

    No one is thinking about the AI and robots effect on labour.
    We might not need a large work force in just a few decades.
    The reason for maintaining the population high might have changed drastically, and we are ignoring that!

  • @Marqan
    @Marqan 3 месяца назад +1

    Seems to me lower fertility in the west is thanks to a cultural shift rather than an economic one.
    The single mom trap was quite obviously hurtful to individuals and to fertility rates as well. But also glamourising childlessness is becoming more prevalent.
    These two alone might not have that serious of an effect, but they do indicate cultural change. These are not economic decisions, these are lifestyle decisions.

  • @surajrshetty
    @surajrshetty 3 месяца назад +1

    You quoting “Economist “ for most of your news bit worries me. Economist have been predicting China’s fall for last 20 years. Pls use more reliable sources of information .
    P.S. I am Indian (not Chinese).😊🙏🏽

    • @gregoryedwards9097
      @gregoryedwards9097 3 месяца назад

      Fr. This makes me not want to watch it. I used to watch the anti China propaganda for over 10 years and honestly I've been blinded this whole dam time. SHould have made sense though, of course the US is going to demonize those it is directly competing with. Such dirty tactics.

  • @Xind0898
    @Xind0898 3 месяца назад +6

    "Cheap Chinese Goods" Aka affordable high quality consumer EVs

    • @gregoryedwards9097
      @gregoryedwards9097 3 месяца назад

      Exactly. Like, do we need more anti China propaganda? There are so many people who can't afford cars and China is able to bring it to them just like how Apple brought the touch screen on a phone to most people. Absolutely ridiculous and the US is the bad guy for trying to prop up a war that could cost this entire world. The US needs to chill tf down smh.

    • @gtlover2011
      @gtlover2011 2 месяца назад

      The "overcapacity" EV is a threat to developing countries as it sounds like the developing countries other than China have the ability and technology to build EV with similar price level and quality. Overcapacity is just the sugarcoat of protectionism.

  • @think_query
    @think_query 3 месяца назад

    I don’t think that culture was mentioned, but I think culture can have a big effect as well. I genuinely wonder about the case for Israel being that far apart from other developed nations. What are they doing differently and what beliefs do the people hold?

  • @icmull
    @icmull 3 месяца назад +1

    Good to see a vid on the poor and upcoming BRICS nations: Britain Russia India China South Africa.

  • @TheDreamRiver
    @TheDreamRiver 3 месяца назад +1

    Not Indian. And just raising a point for academic discussion and possible exploration.
    Could it be that the fall in stock prices be a reflection in the fact that Indian enterprises have grown used to the ruling style and policies of Moody, and therefore the change in leadership itself is sufficient to drive the stock prices down?

    • @DailyLifeSolution
      @DailyLifeSolution 2 месяца назад

      No. Stock prices fell because BJP lost simple majority in general elections. Market was wary of oppositions coming to power because main opposition party leader promised redistribution of wealth as well as tonnes of freebies. In addition to this, the two main allies BJP needed to form government(JD(U) & TDP) are notorious for being turncoats. When the allies declared their support to BJP and PM took oath, markets raised to previous levels.

  • @syost87
    @syost87 3 месяца назад

    Ok, this is a kind of sponsored content I don’t dislike at all

  • @andrewcarey4906
    @andrewcarey4906 3 месяца назад +1

    In one aspect, managing a society with an inverted demographic pyramid will be tough/awful, with a growing demand for public services on a shrinking tax base.
    The other aspect is gifting the future with much smaller, less resource intensive population (especially from rich countries) will be much better for the planet.
    Fewer mooths to feed, smaller ecologically footprint, less energy & material consumption, are all positive outcomes.
    If we can make it through the next 50 years...

  • @racheddar
    @racheddar 3 месяца назад +5

    I love this channel but hate The Economist. Love Financial Times though.

    • @MoneyMacro
      @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад +5

      Really!? I have been a happy long time subscriber of both.

    • @racheddar
      @racheddar 3 месяца назад

      ​​@@MoneyMacroI do read The Economist, but their foreign affairs I find their analysis superficial and sometimes uncritical.
      Have you heard of BNE Intellinews? They provide great coverage of Eurasian economics.

    • @MoneyMacro
      @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад

      @@racheddar I have not heard of this. I'll check it out.
      I think there economics coverage is really good on average. Of course, I don't agree with everything. But, I never agree with anyone all the time.
      Foreign affairs is difficult for me to assess since I'm no expert.

    • @dogood8750
      @dogood8750 3 месяца назад

      @@MoneyMacro if you're interested at least my perspective as an american the best English language Foreign Affairs reporting is probably in the Atlantic which also has a lot of history and Foreign Affairs magazine

  • @joncarter8896
    @joncarter8896 3 месяца назад

    the question of birth rate is a much more complex concept than an economic one, the concept of birth rate includes at least social, cultural and psychological issues in addition to the economic issue. Solving the issue of the birth rate with the help of economics alone is like trying to repair a nuclear reactor with the help of a screwdriver alone. So the economy is part of the solution, but the economy alone is not enough to solve the issue of fertility.

  • @ascra1693
    @ascra1693 3 месяца назад +1

    Does he get info from anywhere but the economist

  • @ElayBanyan
    @ElayBanyan 3 месяца назад

    as an Israeli, the main reason as it seems for the high birthrate is the sense of community and belonging, when you know there's other people around you that will care for your kids as their own you don't need child care, and you go for holidays at your uncle's instead of overseas it's way more affordable...

  • @duh5907
    @duh5907 3 месяца назад

    Money and Macro is now on an upload spree 👀

  • @timothyarmstrong3801
    @timothyarmstrong3801 3 месяца назад +2

    I like this guy

  • @zhoudan4387
    @zhoudan4387 3 месяца назад +2

    An congratulations

  • @karurosufuvfx5302
    @karurosufuvfx5302 3 месяца назад +2

    Regarding some comments about Mexico, I believe you haven't gotten in deep and just got mainstream general opinions.

    • @JanusTroelsen
      @JanusTroelsen 3 месяца назад

      Can you link to some non-mainstream opinion sources?

  • @Olive_Chap
    @Olive_Chap 2 месяца назад

    Every westerner economist point to lack of Land , labor & Agri reforms post 1991 LPG reforms for India not growing like other ASEAN economies.. while in last 10 years there is huge boost to infra development & exponential decrease of large fraud/corruption but without LAL reform India won't grow as fast as needed.. opposition parties want more socialisms & more spending on Freebies to win elections instead of doing hard reforms..

  • @Timlagor
    @Timlagor 3 месяца назад

    1 Climate
    2 Extreme Weather
    3 Drought
    4 Famine
    5 Pandemic

  • @wmk4454
    @wmk4454 3 месяца назад +1

    Take a shot everytime he said the economist

  • @loveliban1
    @loveliban1 3 месяца назад

    Honestly ill give economist a shot, currently use bbg and wsj but i feel like anything wsj offers so does bbg so maybe that'll give me a different angle.

  • @zingming7530
    @zingming7530 3 месяца назад +7

    Hahaha.... was this filmed before the India can't grow like china video ??
    That video was released yeaterday lol ...
    Hahahaha

    • @MoneyMacro
      @MoneyMacro  3 месяца назад +1

      yes ... hehe a slight delay occured when producing this video ;)

    • @zingming7530
      @zingming7530 3 месяца назад +1

      @@MoneyMacro understandable...
      I would love to see an insider video on what goes on behind the scenes in making your videos. How is the research being done... how do you develop the script etc.
      Is there a team behind this etc.
      You are one of the most factually correct and insightful channel.
      Love watching your videos 😇

  • @trunkage
    @trunkage 3 месяца назад +1

    You missed the part about Korea where you can't afford a house on an average wage, even double earners and the average Korea man blames women for their economic plight, rather than the Chaebols
    It's traditional to never blame your 'betters' and only blame those you claim as lesser. Korean women aren't interested in the men and are leaving the country to find suitable partners

    • @SK-kh2rs
      @SK-kh2rs 3 месяца назад

      Korean women want a white guy and some a black guy. Korean men can be the best men they can be it dont matter. Its brutal for East Asians. Even in the west you see East Asian women mostly go for white guys. Loads of Asian men are well paid and nice guys but people just dont want them

  • @motherofsorrowstheimmacula2594
    @motherofsorrowstheimmacula2594 3 месяца назад

    Can you make video on books you recomend on economics.

  • @ChrisCardozaisawesome
    @ChrisCardozaisawesome 3 месяца назад +11

    Democracy for the win!!

  • @disco1974ever
    @disco1974ever 3 месяца назад +1

    Collaborating with Neolib Establishment Media that most of your viewers came to YT to avoid..... Bold Move Cotton.