How Long Will The Bitcoin Bull Market Last? Accelerated Cycle Analysis
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- Опубликовано: 10 мар 2024
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Is Bitcoin in an Accelerated Cycle? If so, does that mean Bitcoin will top sooner in this Bull Market compared to historical norms? In this episode, we'll look at the historical tendencies in BTC's price action when it comes to past Bull Market peaks as well as the Pi Cycle Top Indicator (a reliable Bull Market Top predictor) to compare results through the lens of a potential Accelerated Cycle.
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This accelerated cycle and 4 year cycle theory is making my head spin not knowing wtf is going to happen…. I don’t like it I’d prefer we stay within the 4 year cycle smh I don’t want an accelerated one
I love your voice and your concise explanation, no unnecessary hype or click bait ! You're my favorite crypto RUclipsr :)
I think im going to start DCA out between 2024 November-2025 February
I’m just hoping there’s still going to be a post halving rally because if this was the only rally time frame that would suck and completely fuck me
Does it have to peak this time? Will it be like the gold ETFs that ran up for 8 years?
Difficult to tell, last cycle was a really bad one… a lot of FUD before the halving, then some big black swan events… but we are going into this one with unprecedented demand off the back of the ETFs, we’ve broken BTC ATH before the halving has even happened… could this be a really massive run?
I think the peak could be this year, possibly december....
Thank you! Great new perspectif of this bull cycle.
Math is off by calling Nov 2021 the peak. Calling that the peak is putting the top at Sept/Oct 2025. Doubt a peak will ever happen in Sept of any yr. Oct is usually when things start cooking after the usual rocky Aug/Sept. Peaks in crypto happen every 3.5 to 4 yrs in the 3.75 yr cycle (not 4 yr cycle). Nov/Dec 2013 peak. 4 yrs later Dec/Jan 2017/18 peak. 3.5 yrs later April/May 2021 peak. 3.5 to 4 yrs later puts next peak between Nov 2024 and May 2025. Oct 2025 would put peak at 4.5 yrs later which is outside the 3.75 yr cycle that peaks every 3.5-4 yrs range.
great content, thank you.
Thank you so much!
Great informational video! Top lad
Great video this is actually super important information and I like how you went into details using not only the having events but also the previous all-time high as a point of reference
Nice TA! Thanks.
Top análisis my man 🙌
Could you please explain in a video that what was the reason behind the decrease from $63K to $28K in 2021? Is it possible that we can face with the same thing? Because bitcoin goes too fast according to etfs. And i kinda feel like there might be 2 different rallies like before. And do you still expect the halving decreases?
When do you think alt season will start?
I would not mind a December 24' peak Great video!
Fantastic analysis.
Glad you enjoyed it
Will there be a prehalving retrace ? Or we'll just keep on going up ?
That’s interesting to think about. Rather than using the halfing using the all time highs.
So an earlier peak this cycle, but now...how high are you projecting price can reach? Thanks.
Another great vid! Loved it. Perhaps you can also include the Pi Cycle Top MA extensions to see where the top is “scheduled” to be?
Yep, its a different cycle this time with demand/supply shock coupled with institutional money flowing in. btc Is in price discovery now and anything can happen. My guess is btc peaks Oct/Nov 2024 but wont drop down as much as past cycles
How would that impact the altcoins, of which many, in contrast to the BTC, are still far away from their ATHs?
Love your videos. You think we broke ATH due to so much Inflation?
Why can't it be a semi repeat of last cycle where we had an effective top in May and then a technical top 6 months later, but maybe this time its a 12-18 month gap, with a 9 month crash/correction and then a 9 month rally putting in something maybe another 30% higher.
Why do we need cycles? Does s&p 500 have cycles? Does gold have cycles?
thank you fantastic info. now when the 20-50% pullbacks?
one can make a lot of money then!
is this cycle smaller drops because many more players?
or will we still get them? have a good one everyone and ay the money made be a blessing
Bro all love
This far ahead maybe time for extended correction? Pls
Counting on days does not mean much to me.
What I'm interested in is which month will the top most likely occur.
I think we switch into a hyperbolic model.
just my humble opinion
🤔
Do I wait for 60s again a
Or just shove all in and forget?
You're over analyzing. Both 2017 and 2021 peak were in late fall of the second year after the initial breakout from bitcoin ath due to halving. Sell late october 2025.
2021 was a lot of geo-political ish. If I remember correctly
accelerated cycle essentially means the four-year cycle theoy is not valid anymore, something most of your videos are based on.
That's not necessarily true at all - let's say that BTC peaks in January 2025 for example. That still means that Candle 4 is the new All Time High and Halving year, and Candle 1 the Bull Market peak year and Candle 2 the Bear Market year as well.
And we don't know if this bull market acceleration will impact a longer bear market.
I wouldn't rush to throw out the 4-year cycle theory out the window
it will peak around 120K... then it make sense.
Damn i cant withstand another drop please just peak soon so i can sell off
This analysis is dead-on. This is my third cycle and I am selling between Jan 2024 -March 2025.
Last cycle was truncated by a couple of months, and the last two months of a cycle top equals a doubling of price.
Btc should have hit $150,000 and ADA should have been 6 bucks.
This cycle has a longer runway and will be like nothing ever seen
Your eggs are ALL in one basket 🧺---- the past! BTC will never repeat its rookie growth 😂 You haven’t seen anything yet!!!
I would not mind a December 24' peak Great video!