Bitcoin Fair Valuation at 2024 Halving

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  • Опубликовано: 11 июн 2022
  • What will the price of #Bitcoin be at the next #Bitcoin halving in 2024? In this video we take a stroll down memory lane and discuss prior projections and where we stand today. While the price has changed a lot since these initial projections were made, and while the path taken was different, the price of #Bitcoin by the next halving still seems to be on track with original expectations.
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    Disclaimer: The information presented within this video is NOT financial advice.
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Комментарии • 456

  • @intothecryptoverse
    @intothecryptoverse  2 года назад +45

    Into The Cryptoverse Premium SALE:
    intothecryptoverse.com

    • @morgan7k
      @morgan7k Год назад +1

      BENYAMINN

    • @patson420
      @patson420 Год назад +1

      @@ITC_Admin u rock 🔬💪🏽

    • @T7Archive
      @T7Archive Год назад

      @benjamin cowen at 15:00 You were having some great thoughts, i still belive this concept today and its playing out quite well

  • @theredb15
    @theredb15 Год назад +261

    This is worlds away a better analysis of the future of Bitcoin than what PlanB had predicted last year. Ben is a legend for keeping it 100% real and honest. Thank you 🙏🏼

    • @ashtremob3341
      @ashtremob3341 Год назад +1

      The best by far. I’m super thankful

  • @packingbone1953
    @packingbone1953 Год назад +348

    The only reason I haven’t panicked and sold like in 2017-18 is because of guys like you Ben. Thanks for the knowledge and insight.

    • @SmHy23
      @SmHy23 Год назад +19

      Imagine panicking, let alone panic and selling

    • @slimchancejw
      @slimchancejw Год назад +3

      Same thanks Ben!

    • @bobbyamos2098
      @bobbyamos2098 Год назад +6

      That's your only reason?

    • @mushroom11g55
      @mushroom11g55 Год назад +20

      Actually if you have been listening, you should've sold so that you can buy back in during the accumulation phaze. It doesn't make sense to hold while it's in a bear market and hasn't done the accumulation phaze yet. During this phaze is when you accumulate crypto

    • @drewezell7658
      @drewezell7658 Год назад +1

      @@mushroom11g55 Phase*

  • @Huyemorgen
    @Huyemorgen 9 месяцев назад +6

    Ben, already 1 year passed. Your analysis was right: we reached sub 20's for BTC.

  • @flyingdutchman2649
    @flyingdutchman2649 5 месяцев назад +3

    A year later after this video, Benjamin s prediction is the most accurate I have seen.

  • @AdamChilll
    @AdamChilll Год назад +71

    I love to get back to these videos after some time. It's 7 months later and you were spot on. Great job as always Ben! Thank you!

  • @marcinwoznica5668
    @marcinwoznica5668 Год назад +256

    Ben out of all the crypto channels out there, I think you’re the most educational and realistic channel on youtube. You’re entertaining to watch and you’re very good at articulating every little thing you show. You’re also realistic and don’t sugar coat anything. No stupid thumbnails with creepy faces as well like the other channels out there haha. Keep up the good work.

  • @artursrikmanis
    @artursrikmanis Год назад +38

    this aged incredibly well

  • @bhargavnutakki5014
    @bhargavnutakki5014 Год назад +115

    I knew BTC halves, but damn i didn't know my port would halve too

  • @EddiXP
    @EddiXP 9 месяцев назад +3

    Looking back on this makes so much sense now.

  • @hadrianos1
    @hadrianos1 7 месяцев назад +2

    Unbelievable, this type of analysis usually arrive when pretty much everyone have already figured everything out, but yours is from 1 year ago!

  • @saymoremccalman4974
    @saymoremccalman4974 9 месяцев назад +3

    Ben definitely knows what he's talking about. I purposely watched this video to compare where the cryptoverse stands, specifically bitcoin and his analysis is damn near spot on!

  • @jaynoni7355
    @jaynoni7355 Год назад +6

    It's 9months later and frankly, you are still on point. Thanks bro!!!

  • @sebfox2194
    @sebfox2194 Год назад +15

    It's almost unreal that Bitcoin was over $30k just 3 days ago, considering that it hit $20k today.

  • @brian8560
    @brian8560 Год назад +181

    We get girlfriends in 2024🥳🥳🥳

  • @dcalikid1
    @dcalikid1 Год назад +8

    Love looking at old data. Well done. You are spot on 👏🏼

  • @lorenzo410
    @lorenzo410 Год назад +45

    Times like these: macro > technicals. BTC has only seen a bullish economy. Keep that in mind.

    • @jsantan89
      @jsantan89 Год назад

      Solid point.. barring the March event a couple of years ago

    • @ryanbrisco6639
      @ryanbrisco6639 Год назад +2

      I do think there's a bit of recency bias in that statement. I would argue that the uncertainty around BTC for the vast majority of its lifetime has likely negated any correlation to a "bullish economy". From 2009-2017, BTC was "around in a bullish economy" but NO ONE knew what it was. 2018-2019 were horrible bear markets. 2020 saw a black swan event and a then sudden move up due to massive stimulus. This is where your statement actually makes sense (again, only recently was BTC more highly correlated to the stock market and the mania surrounding equities, etc.)
      I agree we don't necessarily know what BTC would do during a macro recession, but to say it has only experienced a bullish economy takes away from the consistent roadblocks it has had to deal with throughout its lifetime.

    • @lorenzo410
      @lorenzo410 Год назад

      @@ryanbrisco6639 I totally agree with your points, that we had some hickups along the way between 2009 until now. But you can't deny that it has never looked as bad e.g. sky high inflation, hawkish fed and highest debt to GDP ratio.

    • @ryanbrisco6639
      @ryanbrisco6639 Год назад

      @@lorenzo410 - absolutely - can't deny that sentiment is currently at an all time low and that we have a bumpy road ahead.

  • @mindwis3
    @mindwis3 8 месяцев назад +2

    Pretty accurate, you can revisit this valuation one year on with some pride.

  • @darrencarter8468
    @darrencarter8468 Год назад +8

    This info is priceless. Thanks for all you do, Ben!

  • @ilegendx5228
    @ilegendx5228 Год назад +2

    After watching your other video posted in 2020 titled: "Bitcoin Fair Valuation at the Next Halving In 2024," I'm here to rewatch this one even though I watched it the first day you posted it two months ago. Informative!

  • @Skuddbutt
    @Skuddbutt 5 месяцев назад +1

    Sub 20K BTC bottom and around 44,000 BTC by 2024
    Well sir its currently Dec 15th 2023 and guess what!!!!!! (you deserve an orange cookie :))

  • @upbeatsoundstudios660
    @upbeatsoundstudios660 Год назад +5

    Love the videos! Knowledge is power, keep it up

  • @raymondscott4781
    @raymondscott4781 Год назад +2

    Awesome TA mate! Reaffirmed my long term plan. So reassuring to hear you speak calmly and confidently about your TA. Cheers!

  • @7sterling
    @7sterling Год назад +4

    Spoiler: it's a 40-50k prediction for fair value in 2024 (not top)

  • @mclucky7086
    @mclucky7086 Год назад

    Brilliant synopsis. Thanks Ben.

  • @parothamithai9546
    @parothamithai9546 Год назад +2

    Top tier quality content, first class Ben !

  • @thegoldenratio1618
    @thegoldenratio1618 Год назад +5

    Great video Ben. Are you going to try refitting the upper logarithmic regression band from this cycles peak or are you waiting for a bottom first?

  • @rrocketman
    @rrocketman Год назад +1

    Appreciate your work mate

  • @888paul8
    @888paul8 Год назад

    Amazing, Ben. Thank you!

  • @rafaarce
    @rafaarce Год назад +1

    Your videos age very well. Thank you!

  • @JohnnyVonCrypto
    @JohnnyVonCrypto Год назад +1

    Great video, as usual. Thanks, Ben! 🙏🏼

  • @MrMPodcast
    @MrMPodcast Год назад +2

    Thanks Ben for another fantastic video 🙏🏽❤️

  • @rubenmorillo5738
    @rubenmorillo5738 Год назад +1

    Awesome video Ben. The best crypto RUclips channel by far✊

  • @motheomekoe1206
    @motheomekoe1206 Год назад +1

    Very informative and always realistic.
    I love your perspective

  • @adamasif3089
    @adamasif3089 Год назад +6

    Your videos are on point

  • @muhammadilyas5193
    @muhammadilyas5193 Год назад +1

    Man just finished watching this video 11 months after the initial upload you the best I’ve ever seen kudos 🎉

  • @alleyjoy2307
    @alleyjoy2307 Год назад

    Thank you so much Ben...

  • @rehanmunshi85
    @rehanmunshi85 Год назад +6

    Ben is the best man in crypto
    Everyone else is fighting for #2

  • @derrickpangilinan
    @derrickpangilinan Год назад +3

    thanks very much for your videos, hodling is very very painful especially with the increased cost of living. Glad there is someone with a very good probability data to share out there

  • @smileystevie9662
    @smileystevie9662 Год назад +2

    Thanks, Ben, for all great analysis that you do.

  • @BERNARDO-dj9od
    @BERNARDO-dj9od Год назад +2

    Congrats!! You are the best!!! Amazing content for those who are in the market for the long run!!! Just buy and hold!

  • @neilmcdaniel
    @neilmcdaniel Год назад +2

    Great insight and data analysis, thanks for what you do

  • @lorenzoronpedrique2952
    @lorenzoronpedrique2952 Год назад +1

    Here I am almost 6 months later and is amazing how you have it coming. BTC is at 15,500 and gearing lower. Cash is King, but unfortunately we are out of it.

  • @rohitjayasheel
    @rohitjayasheel Год назад

    Thankyou Ben. Very well explsined.
    🙏🙏🙏

  • @emenem4225
    @emenem4225 3 месяца назад

    This video ages really well , good job ben.

  • @Adendaffy
    @Adendaffy Год назад

    Pure quality. Thanks!!!

  • @loveatfirsthike8248
    @loveatfirsthike8248 Год назад +4

    I think your spot on with this. Even with the FtX situation. Perfect time to DCA in and 40k is absolutely fair for halving price!!
    Nice job. We shall see… either way we’ll be there.

  • @BimboBamboo
    @BimboBamboo Год назад

    Thanks Ben for your content

  • @michaelsmith2078
    @michaelsmith2078 Год назад

    Excellent video Ben. Thank You

  • @krish6128
    @krish6128 Год назад

    great analysis Ben, good perspective

  • @fadiqawwas9888
    @fadiqawwas9888 Год назад +1

    one of the best Video i see so far, thanks Ben for a value info. Appreciate it.

  • @MatthewMortensen1
    @MatthewMortensen1 Год назад +8

    What I take from this is have my bags packed by around q2-q3 2023.

  • @80andOllo
    @80andOllo 9 месяцев назад +2

    Will you please make an updated video like this! Ty

  • @f4zn0m97
    @f4zn0m97 Год назад +2

    So far so good, all analysis has been pretty accurate!👍

  • @jamesockwood2036
    @jamesockwood2036 Год назад

    Thanks Ben

  • @rickr5927
    @rickr5927 Год назад +2

    Thanks yet again... I've learned to analyze what you're saying... and that saved my wallet ;-)

  • @jcd9908
    @jcd9908 Год назад

    BEAUTIFUL JOB , thx boss !!

  • @marksalmon8516
    @marksalmon8516 Год назад

    Great ta, certainly the best videos I’m subscribed to

  • @rosemaryfriend
    @rosemaryfriend Год назад +2

    brilliant Ben thank you.. great overview that gives me a relaxed attitude to the next 12 months

  • @Buttcoiner
    @Buttcoiner Год назад +1

    Crazy watching this again now how right you were! Keep up the great TA

  • @raastyy
    @raastyy Год назад +1

    Your commitment n honesty is not usual in this world , thanks for sharing without shilling or hide interest , pure and natural human being being human . Much love

  • @alexanderrenaldy
    @alexanderrenaldy Год назад +1

    this is so accurate and now look where we at. 8 November 2022, btc: 19.711

  • @KillaMarci
    @KillaMarci Год назад +6

    Ben, can you make a video on refitting the upper regression band to the most recent double top? What would it look like?

  • @bootangy
    @bootangy Год назад

    very insightful! ty

  • @KnowYourKarma
    @KnowYourKarma Год назад

    Thanks great info

  • @olieducationalvideos6203
    @olieducationalvideos6203 Год назад

    Fantastic video. Thank you 😊

  • @JACk-hv7yf
    @JACk-hv7yf Год назад +1

    Excellent presentation! You are the leader in BTC analysis on the Tube! Kudos!

  • @henriettatan
    @henriettatan Год назад

    Great video Ben!

  • @mshah8053
    @mshah8053 Год назад +2

    Watching this 6 months after the upload date, everything has occurred exactly as he predicted so far…Amazing

  • @picadosinferno
    @picadosinferno Год назад +1

    3 months after this video and we are holding at around $20k. Looking forward to hit the bottom to buy in more. Thanks.

  • @PugOfWallSt
    @PugOfWallSt Год назад

    thanks for the great videos dude.

  • @ATEFRRR
    @ATEFRRR Год назад +1

    You are a really really good Educator!!!!! Thanks again Benjamin 👍

  • @graemescott4184
    @graemescott4184 Год назад

    I would love to see a forecast of when in the future these two regression bands merge and presumably we get more stabilisation of the volatility. I've been watching your old videos and your forecasts have been incredible, so I'd just be really curious about this. Presumably that's a point where it becomes less strategic to buy the high highs and sell the low lows as they'll be harder to predict or diagnose. Great videos, Ben!

  • @Wolverich
    @Wolverich Год назад +1

    The mistake everyone makes is thinking the first lower low was in July 2022, when it fact it was a year prior in July 2021. The bull market ended in Apr 2021 and has been in a correction ever since.

  • @geob1438
    @geob1438 Год назад

    @Benjamin Cowen Would love to see an updated version of this video considering everything going on in 2023 atm!!

  • @adsonlucena
    @adsonlucena Год назад

    this is precious! greetings from Brazil

  • @gfdfggghfg2965
    @gfdfggghfg2965 Год назад

    Thanks ben

  • @Ungeboargh
    @Ungeboargh Год назад +1

    Your channel helps me navigate cryptoverse without stress

  • @Jose-ij9hi
    @Jose-ij9hi Год назад

    Great video. Thanks

  • @WitOn4Wheelz
    @WitOn4Wheelz Год назад +6

    Benjamin, I've been following you as well as other bitcoin RUclipsrs and you sir are the very best! You're nothing less than absolutely honest and legit analyst I've ever come across, whether it's stocks bonds or cryptocurrency. Obviously by looking through the comments I'm here I'm not alone in praising you for your honesty and your fairness. Thank you so very much for doing what you do.

    • @aquamarine0023
      @aquamarine0023 Год назад +2

      So agreed. Ben has been absolutely level-headed all along. Even the handful of people that I thought were also fairly level-headed, I regret listening to as they kept advocating for everything to keep going up and some promoting coins like THETA which is now in the toilet at around $1 which I've lost a bunch on. Lesson learned and I will stick with people like Ben.

  • @markmciver1981
    @markmciver1981 Год назад

    Looking back on this and Ben's predictions were surprisingly accurate!

  • @julia82
    @julia82 Год назад +20

    Since the 2008 crash we have has quantitative easing. This is the first time in history that we will have tightening. How will this affect Bitcoin at halving? I feel like this will affect things.

    • @jackengholm4505
      @jackengholm4505 Год назад +4

      Ding ding ding 🛎. Seems like everyone fails to acknowledge this. We aren’t even sniffing the bottom yet. A lot more blood in the streets to come. Can’t believe people say “never selling!” When the coming price decline couldn’t be anymore obvious.

    • @larskoppens446
      @larskoppens446 Год назад

      Exactly be aware things never stay the same

    • @chrisbraun3028
      @chrisbraun3028 Год назад

      You think the fed won't start printing money again if we go into a recession?

    • @jackengholm4505
      @jackengholm4505 Год назад +1

      @@chrisbraun3028 I think the fed will step in during the coming recession to stimulate the economy, but at this point that’s months to over a year out IMO. They have been very clear that they are going to keep increasing rates and off-loading their balance sheet for the time being. By the time they change pace and decrease rates, BTC and crypto in general will be near zero. Look how far down we’ve already come and we aren’t even technically in a recession yet. Crypto has never seen an economic down turn like we are about to see, and it’s going to get absolutely massacred (already is, but further down to go)

    • @chrisbraun3028
      @chrisbraun3028 Год назад

      @@jackengholm4505 I just meant by 2024 the fed will be flooding the markets again.

  • @wowmats
    @wowmats 7 месяцев назад

    The projection you drew on this video is crazy accurate 1 year later... Impressive!

  • @Chris-P
    @Chris-P Год назад

    Hello benji, thanks

  • @showbags7
    @showbags7 Год назад

    Cheers Beno!

  • @braydonsmiley5967
    @braydonsmiley5967 Год назад +2

    just rewatched this tonight, couldn’t hold any more relevancy love your videos ben keep it up always !

  • @arnoldfranco9240
    @arnoldfranco9240 Год назад

    Great content! Thank you

  • @grisdoteth
    @grisdoteth 9 месяцев назад +1

    Looking back at this video and Damn ur goooooood

  • @hpekdemir
    @hpekdemir Год назад +3

    As of end of Nov 2022, this video is aging pretty well :)

  • @AfricanWifeinPakistan
    @AfricanWifeinPakistan Год назад +2

    The best TA on YT ❤️.

  • @sprinkle61
    @sprinkle61 Год назад +2

    This channel has really had spot on price predictions for the long term, I wish I had listened to the advice and watched the power chart, but I was greedy waiting for the red zone that never happened this run.

  • @coz74
    @coz74 Год назад +3

    Really good video Ben. The bitcoin price cycle is hard to predict at the best of times but this video shows a very plausible and realistic probability for the bitcoin price in the future. Any chance of doing a similar video for ETH?

  • @ahmedalkhalifa1595
    @ahmedalkhalifa1595 Год назад

    excellent video! keep it up!

  • @mathieubernard1471
    @mathieubernard1471 7 месяцев назад

    Such a great video Ben! Turns out you know your stuff pretty well!

  • @marcintabedzki3578
    @marcintabedzki3578 Год назад +1

    Great analysis so far 💪

  • @MV-sy9bz
    @MV-sy9bz Год назад

    Awesome vid

  • @thabilesokupa
    @thabilesokupa Год назад +3

    Such a somber video but truthful and once you except reality it’s when you start planning accordingly

  • @postlude1
    @postlude1 Год назад

    Excellent analysis

  • @Willo59
    @Willo59 Год назад

    Excellent video. Well done.

  • @binancebottrx8304
    @binancebottrx8304 Год назад

    thanks Benjamin for the good T.A