Greetings from beautiful downtown French Glen Oregon. I remember the '78 freezing rain. Moved my hot rod to avoid the breaking branches and covered Her up. Stay strong and well folks!
Using the data you used to compute the average snowfall, what would the 'mean value" of the data set be? That may be a better value to use for prediction. It would also be really interesting to see the average of the mean values over the years. Just IMHO - curious to see if using that method would have made better predictions in the past - or not.
The problem is that the atmospheric circulation is breaking down as climate changes with catastrophic warming. As a result, the history is much less informative. Anything beyond 10 years ago is meaningless for predicting. Now at +1.5c globally the arctic is +18C or more. The polar jet is going wild with slowing Rossby waves. The combined effect is huge excursions of heat moving north and cold moving south as cutoff highs and lows form driving the main jet stream in wild ways. This also involves nonlinear effects like the ridiculously resilient ridge a dozen years ago which drove storms either into Canada or far into southern California. We do not have any signs of that now. So the weather should mostly be more normal and warmer with less rain. But with the potential for very warm periods or sudden deep cold blasts, due to the instability. Remember not too long ago when the valley hit 120 F in parts of Salem, and in parts of BC. The icy blast last winter was caused in a similar way as an icy lobe was forced far south of normal. Expect more of this craziness with each passing year. We have crossed major climate tipping points with positive feedback loops. The mean annual temperatures will rise rapidly. Expect +2C mean global by 2030. And escalating faster after that. The global oceanic circulations have changed and are changing more rapidly. The collapse of the AMOC beginning between now and 2050 will begin a rapid cold shift for England and Scandinavia. That will ripple to impact weather globally as warming continues. In the 1990s, the El Nino / La Nina pattern changed. Prior to that El Nino going warm at the equator coincided with the tropical oceans developing cooler than normal bands. La Nina did the reverse. Since 95, the northern tropic goes warm with both El Nino and La Nina. That impacts the atmosphere and changes how these oscillations impact the weather. As the currents from the arctic decline with ever greater loss of arctic ice to melt, this is all changing even more with somewhat unpredictable consequences.
Hello Max! You are the most beautiful and handsomest boy ever and it should be a crime that your dad doesnt let you help him report the weather every single day!
This whole video was the sound of you patting yourself on the back. Other than that, you still didn't even get close to telling us if we'll see snowstorms this winter. Could I please get my 14 minutes back.
If it does, you know people will try to drive in it and get stuck, making everything worse and then getting jacked for an expensive tow. News will exploit it way over the top like usual.
Rod Hill is solid gold for Portland weather
We Oregonians appreciate what you do Rob🩵🤎🧡💚💛💙🩷🤍
Thanks Rod Hill for this Winter Outlook.
Fascinating and beautifully presented. Thanks.
Thanks Rod! Excited for what’s to
Come!
Great info, thank you so much!
Greetings from beautiful downtown French Glen Oregon. I remember the '78 freezing rain. Moved my hot rod to avoid the breaking branches and covered Her up. Stay strong and well folks!
I did enjoy this Rod, thank you! 💙
Thank you, Rod! I look forward to your outlooks and appreciate the research and year of experience behind your work!
Thanks, Rod. I hope you're right!
Thank you!
Thanks for all the information, Rod!!
I know you weather guys get crapped on, but you are literally trying to predict the future 👍👍👍
Thanks from me in BC
Thank God, just snow⛄#AbolishICE
FUNDICE
Using the data you used to compute the average snowfall, what would the 'mean value" of the data set be? That may be a better value to use for prediction. It would also be really interesting to see the average of the mean values over the years. Just IMHO - curious to see if using that method would have made better predictions in the past - or not.
I was here in 2008. The west locations got more snow. some got nearly 3 feet.
Yep. Depends on what part of the city.
Thank you well done
🏆🏆🔥Rod Hill🔥🏆🏆😂Just Pure Fire, Rod!❄️☃️🏂🎿🌨️⛄️🐧💯
The problem is that the atmospheric circulation is breaking down as climate changes with catastrophic warming. As a result, the history is much less informative. Anything beyond 10 years ago is meaningless for predicting.
Now at +1.5c globally the arctic is +18C or more. The polar jet is going wild with slowing Rossby waves. The combined effect is huge excursions of heat moving north and cold moving south as cutoff highs and lows form driving the main jet stream in wild ways. This also involves nonlinear effects like the ridiculously resilient ridge a dozen years ago which drove storms either into Canada or far into southern California. We do not have any signs of that now. So the weather should mostly be more normal and warmer with less rain. But with the potential for very warm periods or sudden deep cold blasts, due to the instability.
Remember not too long ago when the valley hit 120 F in parts of Salem, and in parts of BC. The icy blast last winter was caused in a similar way as an icy lobe was forced far south of normal.
Expect more of this craziness with each passing year. We have crossed major climate tipping points with positive feedback loops. The mean annual temperatures will rise rapidly. Expect +2C mean global by 2030. And escalating faster after that.
The global oceanic circulations have changed and are changing more rapidly. The collapse of the AMOC beginning between now and 2050 will begin a rapid cold shift for England and Scandinavia. That will ripple to impact weather globally as warming continues.
In the 1990s, the El Nino / La Nina pattern changed. Prior to that El Nino going warm at the equator coincided with the tropical oceans developing cooler than normal bands. La Nina did the reverse. Since 95, the northern tropic goes warm with both El Nino and La Nina. That impacts the atmosphere and changes how these oscillations impact the weather.
As the currents from the arctic decline with ever greater loss of arctic ice to melt, this is all changing even more with somewhat unpredictable consequences.
You Da Man!
Is the valley going to see snow ?? We're in Keizer.
GOOD BOY MAX!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hello Max! You are the most beautiful and handsomest boy ever and it should be a crime that your dad doesnt let you help him report the weather every single day!
I was a sophomore in high school on Christmas of 2008.
Thanks Rod!!!
Not looking good so far. It’s been so warm and dry. It’s going to be a long summer next year
So are we getting snow or not?
Future outlook starts about the weather in 2023 & 2008 lol
snow please snow snow
four feet please
Bring on April.
OMG? What's his secret?
Oh... The Pocket Farmers Almanac
Sounds like the polls
Every 4ish years, we get hit good with snow n ice. Then it'll mellow out for a while then come back and remind us we're in still in the PNW
Whole lot of words to say, "I don't really know."
Weather person is one of two jobs you can get wrong a lot and still have a job 😂😂😂
Rainy season in Portland is October 12 through June 23. But it can start earlier and end later.
Snl
can anybody guess the word of the day based off this video , gd lol ...
This whole video was the sound of you patting yourself on the back.
Other than that, you still didn't even get close to telling us if we'll see snowstorms this winter.
Could I please get my 14 minutes back.
This entire video could have been 1 minute smh
isnt this the dude who said wed never get snow last winter and we got that week long storm? lol
If it does, you know people will try to drive in it and get stuck, making everything worse and then getting jacked for an expensive tow. News will exploit it way over the top like usual.
They always get it wrong. What a joke
So bad weather for fishing lol
But what about the trans community?
Most of our local trans shut down during snow events -- for rider safety!