Sparkles, the odds of hitting those three blood in the waters in a row is 1.5625%, almost twice as rare as unboxing a knife! Love your vids man, keep it up.
Hey Sparkles, would love if you did a trade up video done in tournament style! Get 10 blues from a bunch of different collections (or just open cases) and then randomize them and trade them up to the highest level you can and see what collections won!
@@fVNzO i buy 1000 mils spec skis to do 100 tradeups purpures to get 10 pinks and then get a covert ( deanger zone case, 50/50 of the ak asiimov fn or awp neo-noir fn) And if you doit it cost more of 100 dolars and 6+ months of work , usin buy orders to make it profit and re shelling the skins than din't have the float that you need
Happy Birthday Sparkles! Sorry Gaben did not treat you well - but still an awesome video! Thanks for all you have done for this community! Love you bro! 💜
Happy birthday Sparkles! Sad to hear about trade ups not being monetized, they're not only entertaining but informative. My birthday is the 8th (tomorrow) and I couldn't think of a better birthday present than getting my profile signed if you had a moment to spare.
@@jamoo000_5 the chance to get a cold blooded in each opening is a 25%. But opening 4 and receiving 4 cold blooded skins is a separate equation that totals to 0.39%, its 2 different things. One is base chance, the other is a equation of probability.
@@jamoo000_5 the chance of is always 25% but when there's more than one opportunity then there's probability... the probability is calculated by doing (0.25)^4, take some stastics please
@@smfreeze9198 Not correct in this instance. On a dice for example that would be accurate but hes asking for the odds of that particular gun which we know is 25% likely, so its (1/4)*(4)
Explained it poorly, let me rephrase. I used the dice for the easiest example. If he asked for the odds of rolling one number 3 times in a row, but didnt specify the number then what you are saying is correct, but if he asked for a specific number to be rolled 3 times in a row, then you disregard that
Man... the way RUclips is handling monetization these days is... questionable, to say the least. I've been watching you for quite some time and have zero clue how long I've been following, but thank you so much for all of the amazing content you've put out over the years. When situations like this arise regarding monetization, you always still push forward and do what you want to do, whether it makes you money. So much respect, and I hope you had a wonderful birthday!
Its acutally 31.64%. The math is simple. The odds of him getting the ak were 1 in 4 or 0.25 in math terms and not getting 3 in 4 or 0.75 . To calculate the odds of ´him getting the p90 back to back for 4 times in a row you simply take 0.75 to the power of 4, or multiply 0.75 with it self 4 times, getting 0.3164 or 31.64%.
@@TrollGamerNb1 Incorrect. Just think about what you said, how can the final probability be higher than the probability of just getting one p90? It is like @Govind Arora said, 1/4 (25%) x 1/4 x 1/4 x 1/4 1/256
@@ThursdayTutorial just to remind that I am being friendly and not judging you in any way, as I find interesting all types of thoughts and logics but you are wrong, 3/4 X 4 is the way to not get a p90 4 times
Sorry on the late birthday wish , but happy birthday Bro , hope u had a great day . U were the reason for me to try ninja defuses and me to get into trying different trade up in the past , and it really has been fun . ur videos are always fun to watch after work and always makes me wana play cs even more . Anyways hope u had a blast and keep amazing content , peace.
So sad that you didn't got a good skin on the 30% one, Gaben really hates you ;-; And happy birthday Sparklez, i hope you enjoy a lot with your family, thanks for all the content you bring to us
HAPPY BIRTHDAYHappy birthday Sparkles! Sad to hear about trade ups not being monetized, they're not only entertaining but informative. My birthday is the 8th (tomorrow) and I couldn't think of a better birthday present than getting my profile signed if you had a moment to spare.
Hi Sparkles, I'm a new subscriber and just catching up with all your videos including old ones. I just watched this birthday trade-up and just wanna say you thank you, you deserve all the success, and continue all the good contents! Thanks!
Here I am thinking you were a 90s kid Well no need to rub it in any further 😂 happy birthday and all the best sparkles! You’re regularly making my days - thank you!
For those wondering: The chances of those 4 Cold Bloodeds in a row is 0.4%.
@@peterkos5164 nah its 0.39% so the first guy was right
@@Appollx nah its 0.390625%
1/256
@Worm Gaming 💀💀💀💀💀💀💀
@@wormgaming3807 I like your style
Thank you so much for all the kind happy birthday wishes 🎂 🥳 ❤️
Happy birthday Sparkles 👍😊
Sparkles, the odds of hitting those three blood in the waters in a row is 1.5625%, almost twice as rare as unboxing a knife! Love your vids man, keep it up.
Ye mate late happy bday, i legit didnt think u were above 30 but i was wrong there
Happy Birthday be lated
Still waiting for money from csgoroll giveaway from 3/4 months ago
Hey Sparkles, would love if you did a trade up video done in tournament style! Get 10 blues from a bunch of different collections (or just open cases) and then randomize them and trade them up to the highest level you can and see what collections won!
I’d watch it,
I aleeady doit , i buy 1000 blues and get a red , 50% of lose 30 $ or 50% of won 100 % in 2 weeks i will doit and i hope get the ak asiimov fn
@@Nacho_Garcia-eh5sz bro could you write that comment again I don't understand what youre trying to say.
@@fVNzO i buy 1000 mils spec skis to do 100 tradeups purpures to get 10 pinks and then get a covert ( deanger zone case, 50/50 of the ak asiimov fn or awp neo-noir fn)
And if you doit it cost more of 100 dolars and 6+ months of work , usin buy orders to make it profit and re shelling the skins than din't have the float that you need
@@Nacho_Garcia-eh5sz wtf did I type
Happy Birthday Sparkles! Sorry Gaben did not treat you well - but still an awesome video! Thanks for all you have done for this community! Love you bro! 💜
nice present bro
Happy birthday Sparkles! Sad to hear about trade ups not being monetized, they're not only entertaining but informative. My birthday is the 8th (tomorrow) and I couldn't think of a better birthday present than getting my profile signed if you had a moment to spare.
It was yesterday
@@Djs.sytxck. where are u from?
It was more than three months ago liar
🎉
Happy Birthday, all the best to the best CSGO RUclipsr !!
Congrats on the arabesque!
happy birthday, glad to watch your videos and see all the effort and time you put in
😀
Why don't you follow his footsteps and create. Some world number ones
You can do it
But never mind
@@sleave_exe because it is expensive af :D but never mind
Happy birthday 33 years young
you made 2 guys quite angry I think :')
But one is much more angry than the other lmao
Sparkles, the odds of hitting those three blood in the waters in a row is 1.5625%, almost twice as rare as unboxing a knife. Love your vids man.
Knife is 0.25% so it's 6x less rare, correct odds for the Cold Blooded is 0.39% as well. :)
Happy birthday! We love your trade up video! Because we love doing trade ups too! Keep the nice work!
bro i started crying at the end congrats man
pls bring back the trade ups
soon
The chance of hitting 4 same skins in a row at 25% is 1 in 256 (1/4*1/4*1/4*1/4)
the chance is 25% still as each opening is a separate event
@@jamoo000_5 the chance to get a cold blooded in each opening is a 25%. But opening 4 and receiving 4 cold blooded skins is a separate equation that totals to 0.39%, its 2 different things. One is base chance, the other is a equation of probability.
@@jamoo000_5 the chance of is always 25% but when there's more than one opportunity then there's probability... the probability is calculated by doing (0.25)^4, take some stastics please
Happy birthday Sparkles! I love this content, to bad it won't go on. But will be here for whatever you bring!
Love you Sparkles you are a shining light in the community. HAPPY BIRTHDAY!
Loved all the trade ups Sparkles hopefully trade ups make a comeback soon!
happy birthday Sparkles
4:53 don't know if someone wrote it yet, but the chance of hitting 4 of those 25% in a row is like 1 in 256
Valve is manipulating this shit
No, it’s a 1 in 64 (as the first roll could have been anything that he got 4 in a row of, so that one is not considered) :)
The same way the chance of getting two of any type of coin flip in a row is 50%, not 25% as the first coin could be either heads or tails
@@smfreeze9198 Not correct in this instance. On a dice for example that would be accurate but hes asking for the odds of that particular gun which we know is 25% likely, so its (1/4)*(4)
Explained it poorly, let me rephrase.
I used the dice for the easiest example.
If he asked for the odds of rolling one number 3 times in a row, but didnt specify the number then what you are saying is correct, but if he asked for a specific number to be rolled 3 times in a row, then you disregard that
Happy birthday! we all love you Sparkles
myself and the community would like to thank you for all the insane trade ups you've have let us witness. you are the GOAT no question about it
Happy birthday blonde legend ❤️😂
Man... the way RUclips is handling monetization these days is... questionable, to say the least. I've been watching you for quite some time and have zero clue how long I've been following, but thank you so much for all of the amazing content you've put out over the years. When situations like this arise regarding monetization, you always still push forward and do what you want to do, whether it makes you money. So much respect, and I hope you had a wonderful birthday!
Happy Birthday Sparkles! Hope you the best and enjoy the rest of the day
The odds of 4 Cold Blooded in a row are 256/1. By the way, Happy Birthday Mate! Hope you keep making more great content and have success with it too.
Its acutally 31.64%. The math is simple. The odds of him getting the ak were 1 in 4 or 0.25 in math terms and not getting 3 in 4 or 0.75 . To calculate the odds of ´him getting the p90 back to back for 4 times in a row you simply take 0.75 to the power of 4, or multiply 0.75 with it self 4 times, getting 0.3164 or 31.64%.
@@TrollGamerNb1 Incorrect. Just think about what you said, how can the final probability be higher than the probability of just getting one p90?
It is like @Govind Arora said, 1/4 (25%) x 1/4 x 1/4 x 1/4 1/256
@@TrollGamerNb1 that would be the odds of NOT getting a single p90 you calculated
@@ThursdayTutorial so for you the odds of getting a 75 % 4 times is less than getting a 25 % 4 times? 😅
@@ThursdayTutorial just to remind that I am being friendly and not judging you in any way, as I find interesting all types of thoughts and logics but you are wrong, 3/4 X 4 is the way to not get a p90 4 times
Always love your trade up contracts! Happy Birthday man! Lots of love!
Happy Birthday Sparkles, have an amazing one. We love all sorts of content you offer, dont worry about the tradeups
Man watching your videos never gets boring, I hope I could support you with more than a like and a comment but thats all I can, happy birthday :)
Happy birthday, Sparkles! Keep up the good work!
Sorry on the late birthday wish , but happy birthday Bro , hope u had a great day . U were the reason for me to try ninja defuses and me to get into trying different trade up in the past , and it really has been fun . ur videos are always fun to watch after work and always makes me wana play cs even more . Anyways hope u had a blast and keep amazing content , peace.
So sad that you didn't got a good skin on the 30% one, Gaben really hates you ;-;
And happy birthday Sparklez, i hope you enjoy a lot with your family, thanks for all the content you bring to us
HAPPY BIRTHDAYHappy birthday Sparkles! Sad to hear about trade ups not being monetized, they're not only entertaining but informative. My birthday is the 8th (tomorrow) and I couldn't think of a better birthday present than getting my profile signed if you had a moment to spare.
Happy Birthday to the coolest person out there creating csgo videos!
happy birthday! love your tradeup videos the most of all your content, hope they change their stance!
Sparkles doesn’t realize this, but he makes everyone’s day better.
Happy birthday
Those Animations are Insane. Big applause to your graphic designer
happy birthday Sparkles!! good lluck on your future tradeups
Happy birthday fam!
hvala u njegovo ime
Hi Sparkles, I'm a new subscriber and just catching up with all your videos including old ones. I just watched this birthday trade-up and just wanna say you thank you, you deserve all the success, and continue all the good contents! Thanks!
Sad to hear the tradeup videos aren't as good as others, always love to watch them!
Happy birthday to you king, love you
thank you for all the content you make, you made me laugh smile even at the worst times in my life
Happy birthday bro! love your trade up videos, thank you for entertaining us even though youtube monetization work on these videos ❤
The chance of getting 4 25% in a row is less than 0.4%
Double the chance of a knife lmfaooo
The chance of getting 4 in a row is 25% because they’re seperate occasions
@@M4X1 nope
@@M4X1 its ACTUALLY 25%^4 =0.39%
@@M4X1 you are clearly bad at math but ill help you out. Its 100/4⁴=100/256=25/64
Sorry for being late Sparkles. Happy birthday man! Hope you had a wonderful day! My birthday is in 2 days from now (july 2) . Im turning 19 :D
Happy Birthday Bro. I have been following you since 2019... Thanks for making our life more enjoyable 😊😊😊 mad respect for you.
happy birthday i wiss you a better year love and evrything you love!
Happy birthday my guy thanks for spending way to much money so you can keep us entertained!
Happy birthday dude! I have loved watching your videos for years really awesome ideas
HAPPY BIRTHDAY SPARKLES! HOPE YOUR DAY WAS NOTHING BUT THE BEST POSSIBLE!!!
Happy birthday sparkles. Your vids are always fun to watch. Hurted me for a bit looking at the bad luck haha
Happy Birthday man!
You deserved much better on these contracts.......I can tell how it feels to be fucked by this game, happens too often....
Here I am thinking you were a 90s kid
Well no need to rub it in any further 😂 happy birthday and all the best sparkles! You’re regularly making my days - thank you!
happy b day sparkles! love to see how far you've come along with the trade ups, we all appreciate you my man :)
Happy birthday m8 , I’m here since start and still amazed u did not get lost recording this content and losing money hah gl hf
Happy Birthday Sparkles!! much love 🎉🎉🥳
Happy birthday man you're an amazing person love your videos i wish you the best ✨️
Happy birthday sparkels thanks for the content makes my day and shout out your editor
Belated Happy Birthday to you Sparkles, hope you do more of those awesome contents.
Have a nice birthday party Sparkels! I love you so much
Happy Birthday dude! You got me into CSGO skins and I am very grateful for that :)
Congrats for ur birthday mate, keep going with the good content. Greetins from Brazil.
Happy Birthday dude. Love your trade up videos, feel gutted for that Victoria though.
Contracts are the best! Please dont stop it. We love you for this.
The editing quality in this video is just magnificent 👏🏻
This is sick! Happy birthday, Sparkles!
Happy Birthday，wish you always young!!
Happy Birthday brother! Your Tradeup video are insane and so entertaining.. it's a shame that they can't be monetized.
Happy Birthday Sparkles! Keep up the great content!
Happy brithday sparkles!!!
i used to use the like feature for music i didnt wanne forget.. now its 80% sparkles i add i that list =D happy birthday man! hope u have some luck ^^
happy birthday man, haven't watched the video yet but hoping to see some fire hits
Happy birthday sparkles have an amazing year and keep uploading such awesome addictive videos
Congratulations! Hope you have had a good one!
Happy birthday sparkles
keeo going and more birthday to come 🥰🥳🥳
Happy birthday Sparkles!! Love your content!!
Happy Birthday! I've been watching your channel for over a year and you're so entertaining!
happy birthday Sparkles! best wishes
Happy Belated Birthday Sparkles!! Keep it up!!! Post more trade up videos and give youtube what gaben gave you when you got the victoria
Happy birthday!thanks for all the content
Happy Birthday Sparkles, ive grown with ur content.
Happiest birthday dude. ❤️❤️ Keep up the amazing content.
Happy birthday sparkles! Love your videos never stop uploading and keep up!
Happy birthday big man
have a good day you deserve it
Happy birthday sparkles!! Have a good day and love your content
Sad to see the trade ups go, but hey, if it doesn't make sense it doesn't make sense.
Happy birthday, Sparkles, wish you the best always!
happy birthday bro,I wish you the best
Happy Birthday Bro., Congrats on the two number one Trade up's !!!
Happy Bday Sparkles 🥳🥳 Keep doing what You doing, because Your videos are so entertaining 💪🏻💪🏻
Happy birthday sparklinzky, love from Iceland!!!
Happy birthday i love yo contact 🎈
4 days to go and its your birthday again. Happy Birthday @Sparkles
Happy birthday! I wish you to be happy and healthy
happy birthday my man. thanks for making so many days for me with your vids :D
Happy birthday sparkles bro, thanks for the content always
Hey happy birthday brother, thanks for the content even on your big day! Have a great day today we love you homie!
Happy Mother’s Day!! I hope you continue to be the sparkliest stars of RUclips🤪
Happy Birthday Sparkles! Thanks for the amazing content you bring to us
Happy birthday Sparkles wish you all the best 🥳🥳
Happy birthday Sparkles!!❤️🎉