I’ve been watching it. Seems like every day there’s a new headline about inflation, rising interest rates, or some geopolitical tension that’s pushing the market down
Glad I found you. Subscribed and looking forward to more. Might be helpful if you are a little more specific about timeframes that you're seeing... I know it's scary to stick your neck out on these things, but helpful to form hypotheses
Even though bank stocks have risen lately, I can't see them not CRASHING soon..... delinquencies in all types of loans are sky-rocking.... everyone is tapped out and pretty much trying to survive by maxing out their credit lines.... how much more/longer can banks continue to go deeper in the hole?
I don't know if you said this and i just didn't catch it... but an interesting trend i've noticed during the past two years is that despite total margin coming down from 2021 highs, the margin debt to cash balance/margin credit ratios are actually far higher and skyrocketed alongside the bull market/AI boom. I assume this means the markets are actually more leveraged than ever.
i dont think they can keep it up that long....they have tried to take out Trump 2x already. They need something to blame it on. So next is start a war ...new strand of covid ...somethin "unforeseeable" ...some type of "attack" She has no chance of winning...so they need to cash-out now before the election
How can liquidity not go up when interest rates are dropping? Lower mortgage rates means refinanced houses & more $ in people's pockets. Lower margin rates means more $ going into stocks. Even the gov spends less on interest.
I’ve been bullish giving your viewers on this channel accurate calls without charging them, while you have been bearish all along. Now I believe we will visit 5800 zone before we have a decent pullback. And no, I don’t have a Bloomberg terminal armed to the hilt with information.
Related to the liquidity drain, the blackout period on the buyback programs can explain some of the weakness. Is there a way in BB terminal to chart the buyback flow?
Is there any way you can access current private equity/credit LBO issuance via terminals and make a video on the current state of the credit market? I suspect that this will be a likely source of a recession induced black swan event and with little to no visibility into it, nobody but the insiders will see it coming.
There is no stock market since the invention of the etf. Of the thousands of etfs amd mutual stock funds, almost all of them have the same 10 socks. Thatbis not a market.
Ugh, you're the one really splitting hairs it seems, because liquidity as you describe it by the widening of the top of book CLEARLY peaked in December of last year and has been shrinking for the past year.
Excellent job Mike. A review of these liquidity trends would be most helpful at the end of each week. 😊
One of the best videos on RUclips with great analysis! Thank you very much!
Wow, thanks!
His analysis are great and relatively well-developed but he's perma bear since the bottom 2 year ago
thank u awesome as always
I’ve been watching it. Seems like every day there’s a new headline about inflation, rising interest rates, or some geopolitical tension that’s pushing the market down
It’s definitely getting more volatile. And with the Fed's policies still uncertain, it’s hard to know where things are headed.
Glad I found you. Subscribed and looking forward to more. Might be helpful if you are a little more specific about timeframes that you're seeing... I know it's scary to stick your neck out on these things, but helpful to form hypotheses
i want to live to a day when i wake up and Mike is bullish. fantastic material as always, love your work
Even though bank stocks have risen lately, I can't see them not CRASHING soon..... delinquencies in all types of loans are sky-rocking.... everyone is tapped out and pretty much trying to survive by maxing out their credit lines.... how much more/longer can banks continue to go deeper in the hole?
This is a long lasting bull market
I don't know if you said this and i just didn't catch it... but an interesting trend i've noticed during the past two years is that despite total margin coming down from 2021 highs, the margin debt to cash balance/margin credit ratios are actually far higher and skyrocketed alongside the bull market/AI boom. I assume this means the markets are actually more leveraged than ever.
When you look at the values, of free cash in free margin, both are very low. I'm not sure what any of its means at time
Great analysis!
thanks
Markets only go up! Rate hikes, up! Rate cuts, up! Republican president, up! Democratic president, up! Dont fight this! Dollar debased = risk assets up!
Elections come and go. Earnings reports come and go. Inflation comes and goes. Yet, here we are at all time highs. I see a trend.
Expect every trick in the book to keep the market levitating into the election...then the big flush.
i dont think they can keep it up that long....they have tried to take out Trump 2x already. They need something to blame it on. So next is start a war ...new strand of covid ...somethin "unforeseeable" ...some type of "attack"
She has no chance of winning...so they need to cash-out now before the election
Nah it will flush before that maybe next week 😮
Excuse me interest rates haven't been this high since???? The FED is not elected but THEY CAUSE INFLATION WITH 8 TRILLION BALANCE SHEET
you mean it will sink before elections
Then pump
Actual real knowledge not just market looks bullish!
Another great look under the hood! Thanks.
Glad you like it!
Thank you Mike.
How can liquidity not go up when interest rates are dropping? Lower mortgage rates means refinanced houses & more $ in people's pockets. Lower margin rates means more $ going into stocks. Even the gov spends less on interest.
Great analysis! What resources can I study to learn more of these intermarkets?
You see the giant gap ups on CEG and VST insane if your short it instantly vaporized any puts
Thank you very much for this analysis and the update!
all time highs! better short it!
chicken little at it again.
I’ve been bullish giving your viewers on this channel accurate calls without charging them, while you have been bearish all along. Now I believe we will visit 5800 zone before we have a decent pullback. And no, I don’t have a Bloomberg terminal armed to the hilt with information.
Mike spends too much time looking at trees and misses seeing the forest.
Headline suggests fuel for a squeeze but ultimately there will be a big October break down.
Thanks, Mike! I can't wait for trading in coming couple of weeks. Your vids always help me prepare & adjust my charts and targets! 🙏
Great to hear!
Related to the liquidity drain, the blackout period on the buyback programs can explain some of the weakness. Is there a way in BB terminal to chart the buyback flow?
Going to go lower when considering we just are entering the company stock buyback blackout window. Liquidity will really drop off.
Great technical analysis like always. We do appreciate it very much.
Yep. They been shorting the shih out of everything. Causing sudden price drops and then shorting the stock to capitalize on the rats jumping ship.
There are multiple markets in addition to stock market.
Great job!
Always useful info.
Glad to hear it!
Is there any way you can access current private equity/credit LBO issuance via terminals and make a video on the current state of the credit market? I suspect that this will be a likely source of a recession induced black swan event and with little to no visibility into it, nobody but the insiders will see it coming.
I can look.
@@Themarketchronicles thanks boss!
There is no stock market since the invention of the etf. Of the thousands of etfs amd mutual stock funds, almost all of them have the same 10 socks. Thatbis not a market.
Where is the liquidity going into out of market?
Gold.
perhaps back to bonds? perhaps simple being repaid
THX!!
Would total bond indexes and cash be a good place to park? For how long?
?
Great content that I can’t find anywhere else, I really appreciate you sharing this and plan to become a subscriber to pay service soon
Glad it was helpful!
🔥🔥🔥🚨🚨🚨
good video. logical thought process
Glad you think so!
Thanks
No problem
Your channel is mostly negative despite the market having done well in the past few months. Wonder why. U like to be unique?
Ugh, you're the one really splitting hairs it seems, because liquidity as you describe it by the widening of the top of book CLEARLY peaked in December of last year and has been shrinking for the past year.
uhh,, that is not what i said
Forever bull
Another 2007 in the making