It’s Nearly as Bad as September 2007…

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  • Опубликовано: 11 июн 2024
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    In this video, we explore the current state of credit risk in the United States, which is at its lowest level since 2007. While this may seem positive, history shows that low credit risk often precedes financial turmoil, as seen before the Asian financial crisis, the 2001 recession, and the Great Recession. We analyze the volatility index (VIX) of the S&P 500, highlighting the implications of current low volatility and its relationship with oil prices
    DISCLAIMER: This video is for entertainment purposes only. We are not financial advisers, and you should do your own research and go through your own thought process before investing in a position. Trading is risky; best of luck!

Комментарии • 48

  • @dieseldavebrown
    @dieseldavebrown 26 дней назад +24

    buffet will have 200 b in cash by the end of the year and the yield curve has been inverted forever, somethings got to give.

  • @jackinsonpablanes760
    @jackinsonpablanes760 26 дней назад +34

    this is now the longest inverted yield curve isn't it? Do a video about it!

    • @raymondkassay3610
      @raymondkassay3610 26 дней назад

      Honestly no reason too. All these indicators are almost 100 yrs old. There useless and not accurate since so much money was printed!

    • @BOOMCRASHBANG
      @BOOMCRASHBANG 26 дней назад +4

      No the great depression was longer

  • @chadrathbone
    @chadrathbone 26 дней назад +12

    Is this being masked by "buy now pay later" ?
    It does not hit your credit till you default.

  • @PonziZombieKiller
    @PonziZombieKiller 26 дней назад +54

    It is all gunna crash like a mofo.

  • @connorferguson2269
    @connorferguson2269 26 дней назад +4

    The gamestop rally a couple days ago is all the confermation bis i need to know i need to gtfo out of stocks

  • @Agent77X
    @Agent77X 26 дней назад +7

    Companies beating estimates means time to sell everything and go away!😂

  • @robnelson8243
    @robnelson8243 26 дней назад

    Thank you always for the excellent content. Always educational and informative.

  • @denysolleik9896
    @denysolleik9896 26 дней назад +21

    You’re not making enough of these videos! I hold my breath until your next. You want me to die?

  • @uncletio4309
    @uncletio4309 26 дней назад +1

    If I get hired do we get more videos? Keep up the great work!

  • @marcelorachevsky8944
    @marcelorachevsky8944 26 дней назад

    Great!

  • @focusspocus4152
    @focusspocus4152 26 дней назад +8

    1 black swan event and oil will go up with the rise of volatility

  • @staleofte3309
    @staleofte3309 26 дней назад +1

    Very good video about the Vix.

  • @quietStorm247
    @quietStorm247 26 дней назад

    Your voice is really good for narration. I'll certainly miss hearing the calm, intellectual sound.

  • @robbymccabe
    @robbymccabe 26 дней назад

    How about that volume today...

  • @jonathantaylor6926
    @jonathantaylor6926 26 дней назад

    A 25 or 50 basis point cuts won't save commercial RE or the regional banks that financed them. They need ZIRP and 1% interest only loans to survive and that is not happening any time soon.

  • @John-bf9qn
    @John-bf9qn 22 дня назад

    You need to do the contraction of the m2 last year. That's the real trigger that and 1 trillion in commercial real estate loans coming due and jump in yhe rates for the loans during in the next year.

  • @jasonzola3590
    @jasonzola3590 26 дней назад +1

    It is impossible to time anything - just buy things that are priced well. People have been conditioned to buy every dip. Whenever we have a bigger draw down it is going to be a drawn-out train wreck of knife catchers.

  • @zhanxianghua4648
    @zhanxianghua4648 26 дней назад +3

    This pump will last forever until dollar crash, which will destroy everything

  • @Anaxiphanes
    @Anaxiphanes 26 дней назад +1

    Spread is low and going lower.
    We need to see it reach the historic low levels while yield curves return to norm.
    Only then will the current money musical chairs game end. When nobody is talking about a recession anymore then they'll get something worse.

  • @carlosarenas7686
    @carlosarenas7686 26 дней назад

    I do voiceover in spanish if youbare interested in tackling spanish viewers. I also like this kind of topics so thanks for your insights 🎉

  • @alfredomarchione6017
    @alfredomarchione6017 26 дней назад

    Trees really do grow to the sky 🌴

  • @Notaslave1961
    @Notaslave1961 26 дней назад +1

    Central bank is so much smarter now.😆

  • @chargers9221
    @chargers9221 26 дней назад

    All I saw is that every time the vix bottoms the market is higher than the last time. Funny how that works over the long term.

  • @Raistlin12341
    @Raistlin12341 26 дней назад

    When the VIX is low, look out below!

  • @jeffreymarshall4572
    @jeffreymarshall4572 26 дней назад

    I normally have faith in the invisible hand. But this market seems to be held together by low taxes and trillions of deficit spending per year. Why isn’t the visible hand seeing how problematic and unsustainable that is? Are stocks just pricing in hyperinflation?

  • @mrpickle23
    @mrpickle23 26 дней назад +1

    bullish for stocks, especially the SPX... just buy and get rich... stop being a permabear $$$

  • @walkerhaw5468
    @walkerhaw5468 26 дней назад +6

    It's 1929 all over again folkes.

  • @Notaslave1961
    @Notaslave1961 26 дней назад

    More dume Kaushun vid e Oh! Meanwhilst the market goes up up and up! Good Luck Bears!

  • @flamesjt
    @flamesjt 26 дней назад +4

    Complacent while we hit all time highs!

  • @detailone978
    @detailone978 26 дней назад +1

    The VIX under 20 is a relatively safe time to be in the market. Rising above 20 and it's time to be cautious and possibly get out of the market and look for defensive sectors to invest in.

  • @larsehm5266
    @larsehm5266 26 дней назад

    🔥👍

  • @Moose00019
    @Moose00019 26 дней назад +1

    Fiat will inevitably return to it's intrinsic value: Zero.

    • @star-iv
      @star-iv 26 дней назад

      Fiat currency is just a tool to exchange goods and services. 90% of viewers of this channel are here because they know that holding cash long term is bad. Fiat currency is devalued on purpose to incentivize spending. Why would anyone buy a new car today for 10 oz of gold when it will cost 9 oz next year?

  • @leatherbackjack7871
    @leatherbackjack7871 26 дней назад

    vol shorts

  • @mattb383
    @mattb383 26 дней назад +57

    No more crashes in any markets ever. It is all different now so keep investing or you will lose out. The Fed Res has it figured out and the sky is the limit for market gains.

  • @rockwell8564
    @rockwell8564 26 дней назад

    😂😂😂

  • @darthstarone3532
    @darthstarone3532 26 дней назад

    💪😎🎸 KILLA 🎸👻

  • @resonance83
    @resonance83 26 дней назад +1

    We will not see any crash in our lifetime i think.

    • @KarlRove-vk7gg
      @KarlRove-vk7gg 26 дней назад

      I dare you to bet all in on that theory.

    • @jjm00811
      @jjm00811 26 дней назад

      its coming in the next few years

    • @LiberatedMind1
      @LiberatedMind1 26 дней назад

      Idiotic belief.