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Excellent discussion between Gokhales from Pune. Two issues which Nitin could have asked Vijay are -1.Future of Finland and Sweden. Would they join NATO and if so, what are the implications? 2 How likely it is that there could be a coup/ regime change in Russia, as Russia suffers from impact from sanctions?
सर जिसप्रकार रूस यूक्रेन पर आक्रमण करके कही न कही यूरोपीय देश और USA से अलग-थलग पड़ा है उसकी अर्थव्यव्स्था चरमरा गई है और भारी नुकसान हुआ है। तो इस सब को देखते हुए क्या चीन अभी भी ताईवान पर आक्रमण करना चाहेगा। खासकर प्रतिबंध और सैन्य नुकसान को देखते है?
Here's a story that needs coverage *on Crude :* Iran's ambassador to India has offered crude security to India. It's a win win situation for both. Iran & India should start a trade in ₹ - IRR ( Riyal) . This means $ will not be involved in trade. ( Russia has also given the same offer) Iran will give India Crude worth $ 30 Billion @ 30% discount. Meaning India will spend only $ 30 Billion for the crude which we are paying $ 43 billion . ($1 Billion = ₹7500 crore) India imports oil worry $ 100 billion. $ 13 Billion discount means 13% profit. Plus we save $30 Billion in foreign reserves. Understand the meaning of ₹-IRR Trade : India will pay Iran in ₹ This ₹ will stay in Government Banks Whatever Iran imports from India will be set off with the ₹ kept in Government Banks. This means barter system like we used to do in Olden days. Iran will buy other things from India in exchange of Oil. Trade between India - Iran - Russia can change the economy of Asia. This is only possible if GOI does not buckle under pressure for USA. Iran was 2nd biggest Supplier of Crude to India but due to pressure from USA, GOI stopped buying it.
Chinese also wants to end maintaining US consumer living standard and collecting paper $ which is being printed in trillions every year now. China is doing kind of US slavery maintaining export based economy
Russia's economy is 1.4 trillion USD, not talking about whole of west, USA's economy is alone 22 trillion USD or more. This should be given required weightage in formulating a policy. Afterall, employment & GDP growth is generated through exports and inflow of foreign exchange. In the long run, it's always economic interests which wins.
AUKUS is a defense treaty & QUAD is a strategic partnership. Both have complementary functions with common aim of neutralizing Chinese belligerence. The 1958 US- UK Defense Agreement on nuclear weapons is expiring in 2024. ANZUS Treaty (1951) between the US, Australia & New Zealand has become redundant due to refusal of NZ to permit US nuclear warships on its ports. Therefore AUKUS brings 3 countries into mutual defense umbrella. Defense of Japan is responsibility of the US but not of Japan towards the US. India stands out as an independent nuclear weapons power with large military that does not need the US treaty of mutual defense. Therefore, Japan, India, Australia & the US form QUAD which while economically & strategically containing China provides India both economic & strategic benefits: Shifting of supply chains from China to India, access to greater trade, access to front line technologies, increased FDI & technological up gradation of its military. Ukraine has temporarily shifted attention towards Russia. A buffer state is a great guarantor of national security & Russia will achieve that in Ukraine whatever the price. Things will stabilize eventually with guarantees of security line in Europe with NATO not expanding eastward & Russia not expanding beyond Ukraine. EU nations will force Biden to accept that.
@@nayanmalig The Covid-19 pandemic has severely affected European economy which is facing big recession. War in Ukraine & associated US sanctions on Russia will have further crippling effect on EU economy. The international prices of oil, gas & metals have gone up abnormally. The world food prices have hit a record high surge of 20.7% (FAO). Western Europe imports 25pc of its oil and 40pc of its gas from Russia. There is record high unemployment in the EU zone to which has been added millions of Ukrainian refugees. Time is running out on EU economy. If Biden doesn’t see writing on the wall & sort out problem taking into account genuine security concerns of Russia, the US will not only lose its status as global power but will also lose even its influence over Europe .
Do NOT like VGs line of thinking at 11:00 on geo-economic. He is still in the old line of thinking and not willing to take risks. India should or more like will be forced to look inwards and thus isolate herself. This thinking of trade with everyone will die a slow death. Hope Indians are not trying to put on a brave front to push for an equal, secular world, which does not exist. Vasudeva Kutumbakam is valid ONLY when all involved parties follow dharma. Else pick up your bow and arrow and fight सुखदुःखे समे कृत्वा लाभालाभौ जयाजयौ। ततो युद्धाय युज्यस्व नैवं पापमवाप्स्यसि॥
Mr. Vijay Gokhle is mostly prescient in his analysis except he omitted the published report that at the request of Xi Putin postponed his invasion till the end of Beijing Olympics. He also should have stated the contrary view that though in some cases, apparent neutrality is a sensible choice, it does not apply to this war, where India has nothing to gain from it. Our position does not meet Russia’s needs, and it has infuriated Ukraine and its supporters as well as sympathizers, putting us on the wrong side of much of the world.
Sir please note Most of the experts are referring the European & west media house with bit bias. Very less experts basing there inferences using Russian and other alternative media news available on social media ad Russian channel. Please also take both sides and put forth inferences close to facts.
Lol, good for India. I'm sure that they are pleased with themselves for not condemning Putin's invasion. I hope they enjoy their deep friendship with Russia.
As usual, Mr. Nitin Gokhle remains clueless about this war. His comment here 'Russians haven't been able to claim a clear victory' essentially parrots what the Russian National Guard chief Viktor Zolotov said today: "I would like to say that yes, not everything is going as fast as we would like". What neither of them would like to admit is that out of 20 invading Russian Generals, THREE of them have died in combat. All three were major-generals. This is unprecedented loss of Generals in modern era of warfare. Russia reported to have lost more soldiers in two-weeks in Ukraine than America lost in 20yrs in Af-Iraq wars.
It’s not just US soldiers but total NATO soldiers. US bombarded Iraq one week before putting ground troops while Russian avoiding air bombarding. Iraq is small country & had 1/2 Ukraine population.
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Hi, is there a way, we could ask questions? Perhaps share them in advance.
Excellent discussion and analysis. Both Nitin sir and Vijay sir extremely well informed. Thank you Stratnews for this conversation. Jai Hind 🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳
Should have discussed how allies are abandoned regularly and running away from armed conflict.
Excellent discussion between Gokhales from Pune.
Two issues which Nitin could have asked Vijay are -1.Future of Finland and Sweden. Would they join NATO and if so, what are the implications? 2 How likely it is that there could be a coup/ regime change in Russia, as Russia suffers from impact from sanctions?
Vijay Kumar Gokhale my foreign secretary
Love you discussion sir ❤️❤️
सर जिसप्रकार रूस यूक्रेन पर आक्रमण करके कही न कही यूरोपीय देश और USA से अलग-थलग पड़ा है उसकी अर्थव्यव्स्था चरमरा गई है और भारी नुकसान हुआ है। तो इस सब को देखते हुए क्या चीन अभी भी ताईवान पर आक्रमण करना चाहेगा।
खासकर प्रतिबंध और सैन्य नुकसान को देखते है?
A very knowledgeable video.
Here's a story that needs coverage
*on Crude :*
Iran's ambassador to India has offered crude security to India. It's a win win situation for both.
Iran & India should start a trade in ₹ - IRR ( Riyal) . This means $ will not be involved in trade. ( Russia has also given the same offer)
Iran will give India Crude worth $ 30 Billion @ 30% discount. Meaning India will spend only $ 30 Billion for the crude which we are paying $ 43 billion . ($1 Billion = ₹7500 crore)
India imports oil worry $ 100 billion. $ 13 Billion discount means 13% profit. Plus we save $30 Billion in foreign reserves.
Understand the meaning of ₹-IRR Trade :
India will pay Iran in ₹
This ₹ will stay in Government Banks
Whatever Iran imports from India will be set off with the ₹ kept in Government Banks.
This means barter system like we used to do in Olden days. Iran will buy other things from India in exchange of Oil.
Trade between India - Iran - Russia can change the economy of Asia. This is only possible if GOI does not buckle under pressure for USA.
Iran was 2nd biggest Supplier of Crude to India but due to pressure from USA, GOI stopped buying it.
One कोकणस्थ Gokhale talking with another कोकणस्थ Gokhale on China. What a coincidence . Rarest of Rare moment
Retired diplomat speaks nothing new which we already did't knew, except putting it in heavy diplomatic English.
Chinese also wants to end maintaining US consumer living standard and collecting paper $ which is being printed in trillions every year now. China is doing kind of US slavery maintaining export based economy
He is my favorite diplomat
I think the foreign policy of India is at an inflection point now
Will there be any other payment mechanism or any other currency option(yuan) b/w India and Russia..?
BRICS should come up with a alternative payment system this will benifit these nation's and also other nation's like asean countries may join in
US-China economic confrontation has already started. Chinese listed stocks in US facing heavy sell off,,,,,,
Russia's economy is 1.4 trillion USD, not talking about whole of west, USA's economy is alone 22 trillion USD or more.
This should be given required weightage in formulating a policy. Afterall, employment & GDP growth is generated through exports and inflow of foreign exchange.
In the long run, it's always economic interests which wins.
Even though Russia Economy small it’s commodities runs Europe Economy,,,,, Expect severe economic pressure in Europe.
Europe are poor of natural resources. Thats why they keep downplaying food and call themselves 1st world for manufacturing
AUKUS is a defense treaty & QUAD is a strategic partnership. Both have complementary functions with common aim of neutralizing Chinese belligerence. The 1958 US- UK Defense Agreement on nuclear weapons is expiring in 2024. ANZUS Treaty (1951) between the US, Australia & New Zealand has become redundant due to refusal of NZ to permit US nuclear warships on its ports. Therefore AUKUS brings 3 countries into mutual defense umbrella.
Defense of Japan is responsibility of the US but not of Japan towards the US. India stands out as an independent nuclear weapons power with large military that does not need the US treaty of mutual defense. Therefore, Japan, India, Australia & the US form QUAD which while economically & strategically containing China provides India both economic & strategic benefits: Shifting of supply chains from China to India, access to greater trade, access to front line technologies, increased FDI & technological up gradation of its military.
Ukraine has temporarily shifted attention towards Russia. A buffer state is a great guarantor of national security & Russia will achieve that in Ukraine whatever the price. Things will stabilize eventually with guarantees of security line in Europe with NATO not expanding eastward & Russia not expanding beyond Ukraine. EU nations will force Biden to accept that.
Defense or strategic ... Wearing Nike and getting ready to abandon "allies" and ready to run away from conflict is the common factor
@@nayanmalig The Covid-19 pandemic has severely affected European economy which is facing big recession. War in Ukraine & associated US sanctions on Russia will have further crippling effect on EU economy. The international prices of oil, gas & metals have gone up abnormally. The world food prices have hit a record high surge of 20.7% (FAO). Western Europe imports 25pc of its oil and 40pc of its gas from Russia. There is record high unemployment in the EU zone to which has been added millions of Ukrainian refugees. Time is running out on EU economy. If Biden doesn’t see writing on the wall & sort out problem taking into account genuine security concerns of Russia, the US will not only lose its status as global power but will also lose even its influence over Europe .
Do NOT like VGs line of thinking at 11:00 on geo-economic. He is still in the old line of thinking and not willing to take risks. India should or more like will be forced to look inwards and thus isolate herself. This thinking of trade with everyone will die a slow death. Hope Indians are not trying to put on a brave front to push for an equal, secular world, which does not exist. Vasudeva Kutumbakam is valid ONLY when all involved parties follow dharma. Else pick up your bow and arrow and fight
सुखदुःखे समे कृत्वा लाभालाभौ जयाजयौ।
ततो युद्धाय युज्यस्व नैवं पापमवाप्स्यसि॥
गोल गोल बोल तो तू है expert गोखले जी और सभी। 😂😂😂 never been so intrigued by listening to any of your posts nitin ji. 😇😇
I DON'T KNOW WHY "INDIA" IS SO MUCH INTERESTED IN SLAVERY. SUKKHA GU KHANE MEIN KYA MAZA AATA HAI? ????????
Mr. Vijay Gokhle is mostly prescient in his analysis except he omitted the published report that at the request of Xi Putin postponed his invasion till the end of Beijing Olympics. He also should have stated the contrary view that though in some cases, apparent neutrality is a sensible choice, it does not apply to this war, where India has nothing to gain from it. Our position does not meet Russia’s needs, and it has infuriated Ukraine and its supporters as well as sympathizers, putting us on the wrong side of much of the world.
Sir please note
Most of the experts are referring the European & west media house with bit bias. Very less experts basing there inferences using Russian and other alternative media news available on social media ad Russian channel.
Please also take both sides and put forth inferences close to facts.
Lol, good for India. I'm sure that they are pleased with themselves for not condemning Putin's invasion. I hope they enjoy their deep friendship with Russia.
As usual, Mr. Nitin Gokhle remains clueless about this war. His comment here 'Russians haven't been able to claim a clear victory' essentially parrots what the Russian National Guard chief Viktor Zolotov said today: "I would like to say that yes, not everything is going as fast as we would like". What neither of them would like to admit is that out of 20 invading Russian Generals, THREE of them have died in combat. All three were major-generals. This is unprecedented loss of Generals in modern era of warfare. Russia reported to have lost more soldiers in two-weeks in Ukraine than America lost in 20yrs in Af-Iraq wars.
Ok war expert
It’s not just US soldiers but total NATO soldiers. US bombarded Iraq one week before putting ground troops while Russian avoiding air bombarding. Iraq is small country & had 1/2 Ukraine population.