You don't want to be a hero in this environment, says 'Big Short' investor Steve Eisman

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  • Опубликовано: 16 июн 2024
  • Steve Eisman, Neuberger Berman sr. portfolio manager, "Big Short" investor, hedge fund manager on what the SVB collapse could mean for markets. With CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Tim Seymour, Karen Finerman, Steve Grasso and Guy Adami. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: cnb.cx/2NGeIvi
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Комментарии • 427

  • @darnellcapriccioso
    @darnellcapriccioso Год назад +1396

    A recession as bad it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you’re careful and it can also create volatility giving great short time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advise but get buying, cash isn’t king at all in this time.

    • @richardhudson1243
      @richardhudson1243 Год назад +5

      The key to big returns is not big moving stocks. It's managing risk in relationship to reward. Having the correct size on and turning your edge as many times as necessary to reach your goal. That holds true from long term investing to day trading.

    • @tatianastarcic
      @tatianastarcic Год назад +4

      I enjoy my day to day market decisions being guided by a portfolio-coach, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis they have, it's near impossible to not outperform, been using a portfolio-coach for over 2years+ and I've netted over $870k.

    • @maiadazz
      @maiadazz Год назад +4

      @@tatianastarcic interesting! I’m new to all this, heard it's a good time to buy and basically I've just got cash sitting duck in the bank and I’d really love to put it to good use seeing how inflation is at an all time-high, who is this coach that guides you, mind I look them up.

    • @tatianastarcic
      @tatianastarcic Год назад +3

      @@maiadazz Sure, the investment-advisor that guides me is Laurel Dell Sroufe, she popular and has quite a following, so it shouldn't be a hassle to find her, just search her.

  • @jessicamoore3093
    @jessicamoore3093 Год назад +721

    Protecting your capital is much more important than making money. Basically because if you lose your capital, making money is much harder. ''Missing the train'' vs. ''losing your money''. There are a lot of trains, but if your money is gone, it's over.

    • @alexyoung3126
      @alexyoung3126 Год назад +2

      Wall Street pitched so-called quality stocks with high profitability and low debt, as a kind of insurance against whatever the economy might throw at you. Quality stocks have underperformed the S&P500 this year, My $200k portfolio is down by approximately 20 %, any recommendations to scale up my returns on investment

    • @joesphcu8975
      @joesphcu8975 Год назад +1

      Nobody knows anything You need to create your own process, manage risk and stick to the plan, through thick or thin While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.

    • @lawerencemiller9720
      @lawerencemiller9720 Год назад +1

      Exactly why i enjoy market decisions being guided by a pro , seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk management and market experience , been using a portfolio-coach for over 2years+ and I've netted over $3million in that time frame.

    • @kimyoung8414
      @kimyoung8414 Год назад

      Do you mind sharing info on the adviser who assisted you? I'm 39 now and would love to grow my stock portfolio and plan my retirement

    • @lawerencemiller9720
      @lawerencemiller9720 Год назад +2

      The adviser I'm in touch with is 'Eileen Ruth Sparks, he works with Merrill, Pierce, Smith incorporated and interviewed on CNBC Television. You can use something else. for me his strategy works hence my result. he provides entry and exit point for the securities I focus on.

  • @cynthiamaryland
    @cynthiamaryland Год назад +1704

    It's a delicate season now, so you can do little or nothing on your own. Hence I will suggest you get yourself a professional that can provide you with entry and exit points on the securities you focus on.

    • @tonymcdonald7730
      @tonymcdonald7730 Год назад

      Very true! I've been able to scale from $350K to $650K this red season because my FA figured out Defensive strategies to protect my portfolio and profit from this roller coaster market.

    • @michealchris2389
      @michealchris2389 Год назад

      @@tonymcdonald7730 That's heavy! keep it up, I could really use the expertise of these advisrs, my port-folio has been down bad....whose the person guiding you?

    • @tonymcdonald7730
      @tonymcdonald7730 Год назад

      @@michealchris2389 Having a coach is key in a volatile mar-ket, My advisor is "WENDY DUNBAR VALERI" You can easily look her up, she has years of financial-market experience.

    • @clairebaker5454
      @clairebaker5454 Год назад

      @@tonymcdonald7730 I just looked up Wendy on the net and scheduled a call with her. From my research, she seems very proficient so I wrote her detailing my Fin-market goals.

  • @kimyoung8414
    @kimyoung8414 Год назад +384

    Everyone's preaching doom, without any key data-trajectory on how to maneuver, it's obvious stocks are unstable but folks are still pulling off huge 6 figure profits from this same market y'all are warning us about, videos on such strategies to maneuver will really be helpful, thank you.

    • @alexyoung3126
      @alexyoung3126 Год назад +3

      Investors should be cautious about their exposure and be wary of new buys, especially during inflation. Such high yields in this recession is only possible under the supervision of a professional or trusted advisor

    • @joesphcu8975
      @joesphcu8975 Год назад +1

      Couldn’t agree more! I've been in constant touch with a fiinancial-analyst since covid . These days, it's really easy to buy into trending stock's, but the task is determining when to buy or sell. My advisorr decides entry and exit commands on my portfoliio, I've accrued over $550k from an initially stagnant reserve of $150K

    • @stephaniestella213
      @stephaniestella213 Год назад +1

      @@joesphcu8975 that's impressive! keep it up, I could really use the expertise of these advisrs, my portfolio has been down bad....who's the person guiding you.

    • @joesphcu8975
      @joesphcu8975 Год назад +3

      Helene Claire Johnson is widely known. You can verify her and use her services if you want.

    • @stephaniestella213
      @stephaniestella213 Год назад +1

      Thanks for the info , found her website and its really impressive

  • @richardzachary2776
    @richardzachary2776 Год назад +1283

    Well to me the greatest lesson of 2022 in the stock market: Nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long term edge.

    • @gloriagreen2260
      @gloriagreen2260 Год назад +2

      Nobody knows anything; You need to create your own process, manage risk, and stick to the plan, through thick or thin, While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving

    • @diedrichhoofman
      @diedrichhoofman Год назад +2

      Uncertainty... it took me 5 years to stop trying to predict what bout to happen in market based on charts studying, cause you never know. not having a mentor cost me 5 years of pain I learn to go we’re the market is wanting to go and keep it simple with discipline.

    • @gloriagreen2260
      @gloriagreen2260 Год назад

      ​@@diedrichhoofman The one effective technique I'm confident nobody admits to using, is staying in touch with an Investment-Adviser. Based on firsthand encounter, I can say for certain their skillsets are topnotch, I've raised over $700k since 2017. Just bought my 3rd property for rental. Credit to Emily Louisa bahr.. my Investment-Adviser.

    • @richardzachary2776
      @richardzachary2776 Год назад

      @@gloriagreen2260 Emily really seems to know her stuff. I found her online-page, read through her resume, educational background, qualifications and it was really impressive. She is a fiduciary who will act in my best interest. So, I booked a session with her.

    • @rabapatrick8906
      @rabapatrick8906 Год назад

      exactly. 100% agree with you, practice patience in these turbulent times.

  • @dorissteve912
    @dorissteve912 Год назад +1262

    There might be an economical turmoil but there is no doubt that this is still the best time to invest.

    • @jessicamamikina7648
      @jessicamamikina7648 Год назад

      Best time to invest? thats funny though because in the last four months I have lost more than $47,900 in stock market which is the biggest I have loss since I ventured into stock investment.

    • @dorissteve912
      @dorissteve912 Год назад

      you could be right or wrong . i once had similar problem but now its a different ball game for me because I was lucky to have met KATRINA VANRENSUM , a financial manager and stock expert, I have made more than $165,000 in 6 weeks under her supervisions

    • @dorissteve912
      @dorissteve912 Год назад

      Search her name on the web you will see all you need to know about her.

    • @jamesmaduabuchi6100
      @jamesmaduabuchi6100 Год назад

      Thanks for the info . Found her website and it really impressive

    • @georgepeters4536
      @georgepeters4536 Год назад

      The best time to invest is in six to twelve months

  • @deang8017
    @deang8017 Год назад +74

    Its so refreshing to hear someone on TV just say what they really think instead of twisting themselves into knots trying to not to say the wrong thing.

    • @darrenhere5856
      @darrenhere5856 Год назад +3

      yeah that was good interview. he didnt push his book like dan niles, and that was super refreshing.

    • @dinosaurdude5668
      @dinosaurdude5668 Год назад +2

      100% agree. Eisman is so mater-of-fact. He believes what he is saying, regardless of what others say. This is what confidence looks like.

  • @viviangall1786
    @viviangall1786 Год назад +152

    In parallel with escalation in the recent years, the recession is now the 'most likely output for the economy' and i cannot imagine being a victim of circumstances, my portfolio got a big hit, holding it further wont be any good, ive heard of people acquring hundreds of thousand even on red seasons, how can I certify this?

    • @carter3294
      @carter3294 Год назад +2

      ïf you do make new buys, know your exit strategy before going in. Consider taking partial profits quickly to lock in some gains. I've been in constant touch with an FA since covid . You know these days it's really easy to buy into trending stock`s, but the task is determining when to buy or sell . My advisorr decides entry and exit commands on my portfoliio, I've accrued over $750 thousand usd in barely a year.

    • @bobbygunz9254
      @bobbygunz9254 Год назад +5

      indeed and right now the markts are going berserk right now. this is the best time to watch them, get to know them better, and strike when the opportunity presents itself. i learned that from my mentor, “Christine Blake Mckale” she's seen dozens of markt cycles over the past few decades, and she has a feel for how they move, why they move, and what comes next.

    • @claradidi7573
      @claradidi7573 Год назад

      @@bobbygunz9254 mind if i ask you to recommend how to reach this particular FA you using their service? Seems you've figured it all out unlike the rest of us.

    • @bobbygunz9254
      @bobbygunz9254 Год назад +2

      @@claradidi7573 primarily you can find her basic information online, you are welcome to do further study.

    • @floxydorathy6611
      @floxydorathy6611 Год назад +1

      @@bobbygunz9254 thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find her handler Christine Blake Mckale, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.

  • @bobbymainz1160
    @bobbymainz1160 Год назад +299

    Several of the biggest market experts have been voicing their opinions on exactly how awful they think the next downturn would be, and how far equities may have to go, as recession draws closer and inflation continues well above the Fed's 2% objective. I'm trying to build a portfolio of at least $850k by the time I'm 60, therefore I need suggestions on what investments to make.

    • @oneiljerry9460
      @oneiljerry9460 Год назад +1

      There are many other interesting stocks in many industries that you might follow. You don't have to act on every forecast, so I'll suggest that you work with a financial advisor who can help you choose the best times to purchase and sell the shares or ETFs you want to acquire.

    • @kimyoung8414
      @kimyoung8414 Год назад +1

      @Zahair O'Brian Mind if I ask you recommend this particular professional you use their service? i have quite a lot of marketing problems.

    • @ecosby100
      @ecosby100 Год назад

      Total market index and don’t stop for a long time

  • @AddilynTuffin
    @AddilynTuffin Год назад +564

    Understanding personal finances and investing will most likely lead to greater financial independence. By being knowledgeable about money and investing, individuals can make informed decisions about how to save, spend, and invest their money. A trader made over $350k in this recession influenced market

    • @kaylawood9053
      @kaylawood9053 Год назад +3

      @Roland Ray The best course of action if you lack market knowledge is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance. Speaking with a consultant helped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since January, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic. I believe that is the most effective way to enter the business at the moment.

    • @kaylawood9053
      @kaylawood9053 Год назад +1

      In a volatile market, having a coach is essential. My advisor is "Sharon Louise Count," who can be easily found online. She has years of financial market experience and a very good SEC report.

    • @-Legacy
      @-Legacy Год назад

      Sounds like an ad

  • @_nik
    @_nik Год назад +25

    steve carell nailed this guy’s speech and mannerisms lmao

  • @martinlaursen7972
    @martinlaursen7972 Год назад +34

    Great interview. This guy knows what he is talking about.

    • @martintheguitarist
      @martintheguitarist Год назад +2

      He doesn't. He just said UBS doesn't want to take over and it's a Swiss problem. It was basically a bailout of French and German banks.

  • @CountDuckula1908
    @CountDuckula1908 Год назад +31

    When Eisman talks everyone shuts up because hes got a book and film about how right he is.

    • @rl4889
      @rl4889 Год назад +1

      He is a devil and no one should trust him in the slightest

    • @ANtr431
      @ANtr431 Год назад

      Hahaha, cool one!

    • @209badguy
      @209badguy Год назад

      100% agree

  • @baileymclean8186
    @baileymclean8186 Год назад +559

    Nobody can become financially successful overnight. They put in background work but we tend to see the finished part. Fear is a dangerous component, hindering us from taking bold steps we need in other to reach our goals. you have to contend with inflation, recession, decisions from the Feds and all. I was able to increase my portfolio by $289k in months. You have to seek for help in the right places.

    • @glenbert1396
      @glenbert1396 Год назад +3

      I think it's not always about fear, Sometimes realistic factors discourage people from reaching their goals in life. For instance, I've tried investing in the stock market several times but always got discouraged by fluctuations of stock value

    • @roseroland1998
      @roseroland1998 Год назад +4

      @@glenbert1396 This is the problem! Most times people with little or no knowledge of the stock market try investing by themselves. It once happened to me, then I learned my lesson and contacted a US-based finance consultant by name LISA ELLEN SHAW and everything changed. In in the first quarter of this year i made $370k and counting

    • @lisaollie4594
      @lisaollie4594 Год назад

      @@roseroland1998 Mind if I ask you to recommend how to reach this particular coach you using their service? Seems you've figured it all out unlike the rest of us.

    • @roseroland1998
      @roseroland1998 Год назад +3

      @@lisaollie4594 Most likely, you can find her basic information online; you are welcome to do further study

    • @lisaollie4594
      @lisaollie4594 Год назад +1

      @@roseroland1998 This is useful information; I copied her whole name and pasted it into my browser; her website appeared immediately, and her qualifications are excellent; thank you for sharing.

  • @dominikvonlavante6113
    @dominikvonlavante6113 Год назад +58

    This was a great interview and Steve is spot on with the rate hikes next week. If the FED pauses, it means they are panicking. When they are panicking, so should you.

    • @michaele.5107
      @michaele.5107 Год назад +5

      The critical mistake SVB made was not letting their friends know to short the heck out of them before they failed, in-turn they would have been squeezed to the moon like a meme stock and survived.

    • @ryen7512
      @ryen7512 Год назад +4

      It doesn't mean they are panicking, it means they are being flexible and doing what needs to be done to calm the markets.

    • @michaele.5107
      @michaele.5107 Год назад

      @Knots Capital Its not about preventing the carnage, its preventing it from happening before the election

    • @AnimEva_33
      @AnimEva_33 Год назад

      @clot shots doesnt that mean banks should do well with those higher interest rates expenses, that is if the companies can actually afford to pay them

    • @KrapTacu1ar
      @KrapTacu1ar Год назад

      @clot shots Yet we're seeing upwards of 200 Trillion in stock buybacks so...

  • @paullemiremusic3101
    @paullemiremusic3101 Год назад +23

    Great guest. Steve Carrell nailed the part!

    • @josephruffin6360
      @josephruffin6360 Год назад +2

      Steve Carrell is a good actor, in the movie he was a great actor.

    • @kempos81
      @kempos81 Год назад

      Steve Carrel played Mark Baum

    • @fridrik6211
      @fridrik6211 Год назад +3

      @@kempos81 Mark Baum is based on a real person who asked his name to be changed for the film, Steve Eisman

    • @chris0714ful
      @chris0714ful Год назад

      @@paullemiremusic3101 Steve Carrel, Mark Baum is a fictional character based on Steve Eisman

    • @kempos81
      @kempos81 Год назад +1

      @@fridrik6211 learn something new everyday, thanks 😊

  • @vicsingh3998
    @vicsingh3998 Год назад +50

    Mr Eisman is brilliant as always. Only a few individuals will give you the truth, as it really is and Mr Eisman is one of them. Too bad we don't have more people like him running out Country

    • @brunomanco7529
      @brunomanco7529 Год назад

      I dont know if you would like it. He would try to make us superavit again. And he would say that people need to fend for themselves, so no social security, medicaid and medicare. And slashing spending like crazy. No one would agree with this

    • @CrazyHermitVizard
      @CrazyHermitVizard Год назад

      @@brunomanco7529 is that his opinion or do you just assume.

    • @brunomanco7529
      @brunomanco7529 Год назад

      @@CrazyHermitVizard not his direct words. Im just assumin this is his mentality from everything i seen from him. Hes a liberal, not left not right. Every person is responsible for itself

    • @CrazyHermitVizard
      @CrazyHermitVizard Год назад

      @@brunomanco7529 I would highly doubt that he would cut social spending given what I saw of him

  • @agentorange20
    @agentorange20 Год назад +6

    He’s right, this isn’t like 2008 where the big banks are better capitalized, the other side of that “it’s not 2008” is that this time the debt burden that lead to the “everything bubble” is pretty bad. Corporate debt, , govt. debt, consumer debts, - kabooom.

  • @Economivision
    @Economivision Год назад +34

    Everything he said here was absolutely accurate. Everything.

    • @BrandonCochran-ts2rj
      @BrandonCochran-ts2rj Год назад +3

      Except he started off trying to downplay the situation...

    • @TheToledoTrumpton
      @TheToledoTrumpton Год назад +2

      @@stevej4629 some serious censorship on comments here as well. Can't even tell what I wrote that was wrong. It was about interest rates and a direct quote. 10:52

    • @RightTailAngst
      @RightTailAngst Год назад

      Haha except how rates obviously go up

    • @RightTailAngst
      @RightTailAngst Год назад

      Now they are sensoring messages they are hiding the truth

    • @Economivision
      @Economivision Год назад

      @@RightTailAngst he says that in regards to interest rate risk. I don’t think you’re getting the full grasp of how all that he is saying is one cohesive point to the other. He’s right. He’s so right it’s causing people physical pain.

  • @gravity_dog
    @gravity_dog Год назад +3

    The mark of a master in a field is their ability to explain very complex concepts in a very easy to understand way. Steve Eisman is clearly one of these people.

  • @huckfin1598
    @huckfin1598 Год назад +4

    Thank you: no regulation would have prevented SVB from 1) investing in long term bonds and 2) FED raising interest rates so quickly

  • @bikesailclassical1652
    @bikesailclassical1652 Год назад +13

    Hey Steve Grasso! Now you can agree with Elizabeth Warren on two things, they never should have raised the threshold from 50 billion to 250 billion.

    • @objectivethinker3225
      @objectivethinker3225 Год назад +1

      We wouldn't be in this situation if the party that Elizabeth Warren is in didn't spend an excess 6-7 trillion dollars over the last 3 years.

  • @stt5v2002
    @stt5v2002 Год назад +11

    I dunno. I was a hero in 2008 and in 2020. When I see panic, I buy the stuff they are selling. When people were selling the S&P at 800 (now 3900), I was buying their shares. I think I'm going to be a hero again.

    • @mabashar9538
      @mabashar9538 Год назад +1

      my reasoning is, if people are selling it just because of fear, BUY it. but if the selling has a legitimate reason behind it (for a particular group), then you gotta pass. There are more than enough good stocks to choose from.

    • @DiamondManagement849
      @DiamondManagement849 Год назад

      Do you Need Accounts Dervices, Payment handle all over world, Transactiim handle and Receiver

  • @tonyb7275
    @tonyb7275 Год назад +10

    I will not be a hero im tired of getting beat down for it

  • @tuoms
    @tuoms Год назад +13

    Now kids, this is the guy you should listen

  • @rp011051
    @rp011051 Год назад +7

    how come the experts of Wall St, including Fink missed the problems brewing at regional banks with the mismatch between liabilities and assets?

    • @anroiduser1222
      @anroiduser1222 Год назад +4

      Why would they tell you? they are there to make money not to teach somebody.

    • @jacobnorman5420
      @jacobnorman5420 Год назад

      They manage way more money. The most in the world. They are almost “forced” to invest their capital. Eisman is not.

  • @MrMatisse22
    @MrMatisse22 Год назад

    Excellent insights from the guest.

  • @ThomasShelby-xz2fk
    @ThomasShelby-xz2fk Год назад +2

    Now is the time to be a buyer. This is a once in a lifetime buying opportunity

  • @tqnahass
    @tqnahass Год назад +5

    Finally a conversation that makes a lot sense to me keep bringing this guy on

  • @d.s.8733
    @d.s.8733 Год назад

    I can identify with what he said at the end. We own real estate and our loans got renewed at the end of the low cycle but when they come due in 2 years, where will rates be at? I can't imagine if I had to redo rates now!

  • @fitnessfirstcpt391
    @fitnessfirstcpt391 Год назад +3

    A few takeaways for me - If you are not sure, u should not be playing. If Fed is scared, you should be scared too.

    • @ronmiller6270
      @ronmiller6270 Год назад

      I don't live paycheck to paycheck. I'm not scared

  • @richardverdi5490
    @richardverdi5490 Год назад +4

    Steve is smart…..he was a client when I was with Ladenburg Thalmann…. his commentary nailed the points

  • @tobiwan001
    @tobiwan001 Год назад +1

    US GDP was not that much of multiple of the US banking sector. He also apparently does not know that the SNB balance sheet is also bigger than Credit Suisse.

  • @jorgegomez524
    @jorgegomez524 Год назад +4

    You don’t know what you don’t know. That’s where we are. That’s where we always are after a crazy bull market of years.

  • @d33763
    @d33763 Год назад +13

    "It wont bring down the system."
    How about Congress failing to raise the debt ceiling and defaulting?

    • @supadave422
      @supadave422 Год назад

      If sparking a revolution is what they want that'd be their next move

    • @spaceballs72
      @spaceballs72 Год назад +9

      Lol that will never happen.
      Congress always raises the debt limit.
      The question is. How long will the world continue to buy US debt.

    • @radar0412
      @radar0412 Год назад +2

      That's NOT going to happen. You have to think like a Reelection Political Consultant to find out what Congress will or will not do.

    • @radar0412
      @radar0412 Год назад +1

      ​@@spaceballs72 We've been asking that exact question for the last 30 years and things remain the same.

    • @frankham8038
      @frankham8038 Год назад

      Come to think of it, nah who would be crazy enough to give up all their privilage and wealth over a political rivalry? And then I remembered some people from the same party just tried to take over the white house not long ago. Gave me chills

  • @lolWillieP
    @lolWillieP Год назад

    He said it best - we've never had this confluence before, which favors the side of being less risky.

  • @dynamitedmoney
    @dynamitedmoney Год назад +1

    Impressive wisdom spoken here. An excellent interpretation of the current situation post SVB collapse. This paradigm banking shift makes sense. Another round of fire-sales coming unfortunately. If this news is just now made public imagine what they really know is coming down the pipe🔥we still need 50bps increase minimum as well. Something fishy is going on….

  • @falzixhd6874
    @falzixhd6874 11 месяцев назад +1

    "UBS does not want to take over Credit Suisse, that's for sure!" 2:50
    That didn't age well.

  • @tofer2152
    @tofer2152 Год назад +1

    This man at 9:20 says we have never had the problems we do today. I've been saying this for 5 years now!!!! This caldron filled with impacts of the Pandemic, World Conflicts South East Asia and Eastern Europe, polarized political parties all across the globe, prohibition on drugs, and lower income American taxpayers baring the burden of risky investors sounds a lot like the 1920's. We are repeating the mistakes.

  • @lingeshhazare8216
    @lingeshhazare8216 Год назад +8

    I think it’s going to be snowballed eventually so keep some cash 💰

  • @ORIGINALJRL
    @ORIGINALJRL Год назад

    What potential timeline could you guesstimate for that move to $18,600? End of month?

  • @JSeydl1788
    @JSeydl1788 Год назад

    Very good interview. He's sharp and truth seeking and not just talking his book like most of the clowns who come on cnbc

  • @christophercarleton3541
    @christophercarleton3541 Год назад

    Love this guy, he says it how it is! No BS

  • @anya8221
    @anya8221 Год назад

    Really good info, thank you

  • @LivingWithGout
    @LivingWithGout Год назад +1

    Cash is also an investment pool.

  • @sanesanyo
    @sanesanyo Год назад

    Long story short, part of the issue was the deregulation in 2018. The stress tests would have forced SVB to manage their risk better. Not having them created a moral hazard and the bank took more risks than they should have.

  • @agcd2196
    @agcd2196 Год назад +3

    Peter Schiff laughing in Dorado PR

  • @davidk.1089
    @davidk.1089 Год назад +2

    You should have people like Eisman on instead of the nutcase Jim Cramer. Excellent analysis!

  • @Chewychaca
    @Chewychaca Год назад

    5:00 disagree, It's a tide of interest rates, which are strongly correlated affect bond rates.

  • @ak102videos8
    @ak102videos8 Год назад +1

    I agree that mismanagement should be held accountable but I am not sure only privileged are saved here. If svb collapsed 100s of companies would have gone bust leaving 1000s of common workers unemployed and kicking off a worse situation

  • @3EBstudio
    @3EBstudio Год назад +3

    The legend

  • @William14094
    @William14094 Год назад

    Interesting. I didn't know Mike Rapaport was in the banking business

  • @miked.2978
    @miked.2978 Год назад +1

    This guy is brilliant

  • @michaelboguski4743
    @michaelboguski4743 Год назад +1

    If there's no Icing left on the Cake, it's a pretty Bland Cake,
    But the Cake is still there!

  • @mrctzn4557
    @mrctzn4557 Год назад +1

    Banks being capitalized is irrelevant. You connot risk with bad policy and expect a bailout. It's a bailout if the fed takes over. And taxpayers absorb the cost. If fees go up to pay the cost, taxpayers pay the cost. Bad policy should be allowed to take the bank down that heads that way and let them fail.

    • @Travlinmo
      @Travlinmo Год назад

      It’s definitely risky not to let banks fail, which may be what you are saying. I haven’t liked the reflection of our banking bailouts on the Japanese economy and the zombie businesses all over there.

  • @GooglyBear
    @GooglyBear Год назад

    Corporate Debt is the biggest issue in the entire market. Interest rates going up is very bad for that. Everything going on is related to that.

  • @jaym9846
    @jaym9846 Год назад +1

    Fed needs to blow the bubble bigger.
    We want to give Big Bang a run for the money.

  • @richardwilson57
    @richardwilson57 Год назад +4

    Can’t believe he didn’t mention Gold…… we are in the exact same environment as the 1970s (low growth and high inflation ) ….. gold did a 6x during that period …..

  • @AZ-tt4fk
    @AZ-tt4fk Год назад

    What does that mean when he he says “credit default swaps blew out to 800 bps and you couldn’t fund yourself”…. What does he mean?

  • @Drone_Gambit
    @Drone_Gambit Год назад +1

    03:09 - "Believe me, UBS does not want to take it over, that's for sure."
    48 hours later - UBS offers to buy Credit Suisse.
    Nice job, Steve.

    • @TraceyQuarlesExperience
      @TraceyQuarlesExperience Год назад

      Lol great catch.

    • @bilie774
      @bilie774 Год назад

      They bought it for 20% the value. They just got it because it was absurdly cheap otherwise it would not have gone through

    • @spaceballs72
      @spaceballs72 Год назад +1

      And the Swiss regulators pretty much forced ubs into buying it

    • @cascade9844
      @cascade9844 Год назад +1

      Lol you think that’s a “gotcha” moment? The Swiss national bank forced that merger, UBS would have much rather stayed away but had no choice

  • @Elongated_Muskrat
    @Elongated_Muskrat Год назад +1

    Basically Superman

  • @goat7844
    @goat7844 Год назад +5

    Damn Steve is starting to look much older.

    • @mikhelBrown
      @mikhelBrown Год назад +3

      The cigars taking their toll

    • @mdo5121
      @mdo5121 Год назад +3

      yes shocking ....everyone should never get old Damn time Damn it to hell !!!!!!

    • @radar0412
      @radar0412 Год назад +4

      Yeah, being around for 60 years will do that to you.

    • @kayt9576
      @kayt9576 Год назад +1

      Look in your mirror, we all get older everyday.

  • @jimbojimbo6873
    @jimbojimbo6873 Год назад +12

    I don’t know why people mention 2008, this is bank runs 2008 wasnt

    • @ApriliaRacer14
      @ApriliaRacer14 Год назад

      Think he was referring to ripples throughout the markets. Where in 2008 risky mortgages went nuclear causing global stressors.

  • @geraldantonio3160
    @geraldantonio3160 Год назад +4

    I'm really worried about the current bank crisis. If a bank as big as SVB could fail, I fear for a lot more. I know a friend who is running a high-growth startup, and was badly hit by the bank run. I have pulled out more than $340k from my bank. After all, the FDIC covers only up to$250,000, and the implosion could have bad effect. Looking to invest into the stock market now. Does anyone know how I could go about it?

    • @marcorocci-ct7kw
      @marcorocci-ct7kw Год назад +2

      We underestimate the fact that banks are corporate entities also governed by greed. Since 2020, the banks have been over-leveraging their assets, which was one of the reasons for SVB's implosion. I have never been okay with keeping much money in the bank. I simply invest through my financial advisor, collect my profits, which I then spend...

    • @KingDavid-jj7tk
      @KingDavid-jj7tk Год назад +1

      @@marcorocci-ct7kw My wife and I were following this same trajectory. Last two years, I pulled out my money and invested with her wealth manager. Not catching up with her profits over the years, but at least I earn more. Haha.

    • @KingDavid-jj7tk
      @KingDavid-jj7tk Год назад +1

      @thelastunicorn1987 -
      -Believe it or not I’m as new to the market as it gets, all i have to do is to follow the footsteps of my advisor... STACIE KRISTAL WEBER is the coach that guides me, you probably might've come across her before, she's quite known in her field, search her....

    • @GetMoneyFuggBidges
      @GetMoneyFuggBidges Год назад

      be afraid, be very afraid... muhahahaha

    • @prichicardos
      @prichicardos Год назад

      Well, considering what the video said, medium term regular government bonds. Earn your interest and that's it, no problem choosing the wrong stock.

  • @SuperInferius
    @SuperInferius Год назад

    Very useful for market insights

  • @louislong1514
    @louislong1514 Год назад

    When Steve speaks, you listen.

  • @danjo9520
    @danjo9520 Год назад

    Something has to give: inflation vs growth

  • @albertocano1185
    @albertocano1185 Год назад

    I think bank regulation will not make banks less profitable but less risky because the rest is credot and inflation which makes its market smaller and that take the ability of being able to invest without famaging its own markets.

  • @JuliusBrainz
    @JuliusBrainz Год назад

    Steve Carell makes some good points.

  • @sevensages5279
    @sevensages5279 Год назад

    What is the upside for Goldman Sachs to buy SVB's portfolio?
    It has now been confirmed by SVB that Goldman Sachs was the buyer of the troublesome portfolio. A spokesperson told Reuters the transaction had been carried out “at negotiated prices” and netted SVB $21.45 billion in proceeds.

  • @chrischoir3594
    @chrischoir3594 Год назад +5

    I respect this guy bu t how does he know it's not like 08?

    • @jrizzo3579
      @jrizzo3579 Год назад +1

      Because banks were levered up 35 to 1 ... with poor credit decisions ...it was unsustainable.

    • @chrischoir3594
      @chrischoir3594 Год назад +2

      @@jrizzo3579 yet in 2023 million dollar houses and only 100k average income is sustainable.

    • @jrizzo3579
      @jrizzo3579 Год назад

      @@chrischoir3594 I never said it was

  • @cd7707a
    @cd7707a Год назад

    "you don't know and you don't invest", guess if this is true no one is investing in anything. What we really don't know is where this risk from rising rates will hit "contagion". But I don't think this will result in a banking crisis just because of loss from long duration bonds mark to market. If this is a crisis it must come from housing and real estate. What did not go up a lot would not fall alot as well as the scale as percentage of GDP. Bank sector stocks have not performed well for a long time and banks risk and leverage has been scaled back substantially. Real estate prices have yet to come down as transactions are few the past year. Whether the new silicon valley rich that bought a $5m home and just got laid off will start this house of falling cards. As we all know risk cannot be eliminated it can only be pass on....

  • @jakegrace108
    @jakegrace108 Год назад

    This hasn’t aged well…however Steve is the only person I’d listen to on here and pls have him more often

  • @CO8848_2
    @CO8848_2 Год назад

    Interest rate risk certainly has been born by the entire country, all $24 trillion of the US treasury market. The difference is it is too hard to run on JPM and they are too big to fail. So forget about it.

  • @ricardoams
    @ricardoams Год назад

    Four days later I can assure you nailed again.

  • @o0SLAVIK0o1
    @o0SLAVIK0o1 Год назад +17

    He clearly bought the dip in banks

    • @Raison_d-etre
      @Raison_d-etre Год назад +3

      No, he bought credit default swaps.

    • @Westrait
      @Westrait Год назад

      @@Raison_d-etre ticker symbol?

  • @secularapple
    @secularapple Год назад +4

    Even if the stress tests didn't catch it, SVB would've been required to issue shares and debt to cover deposits in case of a liquidation--a living will. Shame on Mr. Eisman for leaving out the very important point.

    • @RRRRobbbb
      @RRRRobbbb Год назад +1

      I’m not being glib when I ask this:
      Aren’t new shares and debt of a failing bank worth exactly zero on the open market? How would that help them?

    • @secularapple
      @secularapple Год назад +1

      @@RRRRobbbb Yes, they would be worth zero, but not when the bank issued it and added the cash cushion to its capital.

    • @valetudo1569
      @valetudo1569 Год назад

      @@secularapple They did try to issue new shares and it set the whole thing off

    • @secularapple
      @secularapple Год назад

      @@valetudo1569 Sigh, you don't get it. Systematically important banks are required to sell shares and bonds BEFORE they run into trouble, and these "bail-in" securities have their values cancelled in case of a liquidation. Look at what's happening with Credit Suisse. Their bail-in securities holders will get nothing now.

    • @valetudo1569
      @valetudo1569 Год назад

      @@secularapple I'm sayin if you look at the sequence of events - they did decide to sell shares... I think like 2.5 million shares. Thats when word got out about their troubles and the bank run started.

  • @scarfacecapital.
    @scarfacecapital. Год назад

    All these great investors have such clarity of thought. They don't mumble around like these tv/Twitter experts. They may go wrong but they know what they know.

  • @williamfoley5687
    @williamfoley5687 11 месяцев назад

    Steve,stay healthy

  • @jboreal7982
    @jboreal7982 Год назад

    If Steve Eisman - Baum doesn’t know if the U.S. is in a recession, then who does? When is someone, other than Peter Schiff going to address the recession topic? Are we in one or not?

  • @TheGamingAbyss
    @TheGamingAbyss Год назад

    Great and very level headed!

  • @johnwick860
    @johnwick860 Год назад

    we need a Steve Carell, Christian Bale, Jeremy Irons, Kevin Spacey & Paul Bettany reunion movie

  • @Neo-Masculinity
    @Neo-Masculinity Год назад +16

    This is worse than 2008. Big banks are actually less capitalized relative to the vast amount of new debt issues since 2008. Liquidity is drying up and the banking system is in serious trouble.

    • @wenerjy
      @wenerjy Год назад +7

      You’re completely wrong there.

    • @morg444
      @morg444 Год назад +1

      @@wenerjy Why? They took 0% gov loans and put them into money losing bonds... how many billions lost does it take to bankrupt a bank?

    • @wenerjy
      @wenerjy Год назад +3

      @@morg444 Large banks collectively have around $3 trillion in excess reserves and they are parking a large amount of that at the Federal Reserve since they can earn an easy 4% on it instead of taking on extra credit risk to lend them out. Large banks also pay almost nothing to depositors so that 4% is almost pure profit margin.

    • @wenerjy
      @wenerjy Год назад +1

      Smaller banks offer higher depositor rates in order to compete against the big banks, they then have to chase yield because otherwise they would have less margin than the big banks who can park money at the Fed.

    • @wenerjy
      @wenerjy Год назад +5

      If the small banks and regionals get wiped out and everyone banks with the Big 4 (JPM, C, BAC, WFC) they can literally get away with paying nothing to checking accounts forever regardless of how high rates go due to a lack of competition.

  • @ANTREU96
    @ANTREU96 Год назад

    I loved him in the office

  • @makedredd299
    @makedredd299 Год назад

    I’m #HoldingOutForAHero! 🇺🇸 🏦🇨🇭

  • @TronSAHeroXYZ
    @TronSAHeroXYZ Год назад

    Having more IOUs, than the actual total amount, is debt/inflation.

  • @sukhmaidickoff
    @sukhmaidickoff Год назад

    Maybe European Banks are not as well-capitalized as the US banks are. However, what happened to SVB will NEVER happen to any European bank due to much better regulation. That´s for sure. And NO, Credit Suisse is not comparable to SVB

  • @DrBlood-cq2cm
    @DrBlood-cq2cm Год назад

    CNBC- Completely Nationalized Banking Channel.

  • @torpedodropkick59
    @torpedodropkick59 Год назад

    Mellisa could have been a stunt double for Mantis in the ‘Guardians of the Galaxy’!

  • @danielmeyer3795
    @danielmeyer3795 Год назад

    Swiss doesn't need that much regulators, we work different than other countries.

  • @letsdanceonhere
    @letsdanceonhere Год назад

    Eisman was great , as usual. thanks

  • @spicemasterii6775
    @spicemasterii6775 Год назад +7

    Steve Carrell looks different now.

    • @fhowland
      @fhowland Год назад

      He doesn’t look anything like him dude

    • @fhowland
      @fhowland Год назад +1

      Lawrence Summers maybe

  • @williamfoley5687
    @williamfoley5687 11 месяцев назад

    Michelle,stay healthy

  • @jicalzad
    @jicalzad Год назад

    Who's creating/administering these "stress tests?"

  • @GaminHasard
    @GaminHasard Год назад +8

    The market regulates itself. The hurt needs to happen so people learn and take different decisions.

    • @valetudo1569
      @valetudo1569 Год назад

      That hardcore libertarian mentality works out on paper but not in real life. Similar to how communism works out on paper and not in real life, but the other side of the coin

  • @jasongrig
    @jasongrig Год назад

    Smart guy

  • @Chewychaca
    @Chewychaca Год назад

    2:40 keep in mind Credit Suisse is at $0.86 now >.

  • @MegaPapa8888
    @MegaPapa8888 Год назад

    very tasty. good stuff.

  • @orcaloca5733
    @orcaloca5733 Год назад

    Great insights and i totally agree. The Fed must increase rates next week and the market needs to clean up a little bit the whole room. Who's not able to resist must close but not bailed out. If the governments or the fed will bail out again, then we will go to a recession for sure. If not, then it will be a short strong lived recession but the market will be stronger than ever after that.

  • @SiLoMixMaster
    @SiLoMixMaster Год назад +3

    People in the comments here are saying 'it's worse than 2008' which means this is exactly the right time to start averaging into stocks 🤣