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How Iran can CRIPPLE the West in One Move - Prof. Jiang Xueqin

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  • Published on Apr 20, 2026
  • Clip taken from:
    • Game Theory #9: The U...
    Subscribe to the Predictive History Channel by Prof. Jiang Xueqin: / @predictivehistory
    Join Prof Jiang's discord server: / discord

Comments •

  • @RiskBreaker22
    @RiskBreaker22 Month ago +11364

    Iran is watching this guy

  • @AjwaB23
    @AjwaB23 Month ago +4941

    I feel like I’m back in school but this time it matters. Thank you.

    • @marioguti9887
      @marioguti9887 Month ago +115

      You know what this made me realize, that Iran doesn't have beat the US militarily to win, they can destroy the US economy, and with that, the empire falls. Scary times, this administration didn't think this through and it's obvious. Even the Pentagon FFS were leaking out stories to the press that this was an ill advised move by Trump. My biggest fear is that the US or most likely, Israel will go nuclear out of desperation, and that can set off a chain of unpredictable and catastrophic events because Iran is backed by Russia and China. It's horrific what's happening and we really should remove this dangerous administration, Trump is acting like a madman.

    • @kbdkbd99
      @kbdkbd99 Month ago +12

      did you know that this is really basic knowledge ? to imagine one is learning "deep stuff" is to reveal how far one has fallen below the most basic standard.

    • @Xmr2024
      @Xmr2024 Month ago +5

      Nice, I do as well. We don't get much of this info in school

    • @cornelius2993
      @cornelius2993 Month ago +5

      I knew something was happening, because corona psyop was taking place, when he was president the last time.

    • @PerteTotale
      @PerteTotale Month ago +13

      @kbdkbd99 the basic level of "foreign knowhow" of americans is frightenin low, for more tn a decade. it ha always been.
      they rather listen to stories and phantasies by preachers far away from 'catholic' standards.
      USA needs a spanish inquisition first, before education.
      sad but true

  • @Trvyf
    @Trvyf Month ago +2389

    Pros: Find the best teacher I ever had
    Cons: teaching about how we are doomed

    • @mhastrich6134
      @mhastrich6134 Month ago +2

      Acts 16:31

    • @Arashish17
      @Arashish17 Month ago +3

      It's more of your interests. Not just the best teaching.

    • @gups4963
      @gups4963 Month ago +12

      He's an idiot who said THAAD was used on drones. CCP propagandist

    • @Gunsncarsnstuff
      @Gunsncarsnstuff Month ago +8

      Will you still feel this way when none of this comes true?

    • @vivek281
      @vivek281 Month ago +2

      Lol

  • @xXanderx87
    @xXanderx87 Month ago +458

    This man doesn't know it yet, but he's about to become one of the biggest names of 2026

    • @STATJUNKIEZ
      @STATJUNKIEZ Month ago +1

      Hot take,I agree 🔥🧨

    • @mario9133
      @mario9133 Month ago +1

      Dream on.

    • @dranek
      @dranek Month ago +6

      This man isn’t a real professor. He lives in Beijing where RUclips is blocked. It’s CCP propaganda.

    • @xXanderx87
      @xXanderx87 Month ago +7

      @dranek CCP propaganda that's been extremely accurate..

    • @kwazimokava
      @kwazimokava Month ago +2

      @dranek not only that I think he has watched these videos that Ive seen from 6 years ago on RUclips that predicted what would or could happen if Iran went to war and they are pretty spot on.

  • @CrimzinEclipse2010
    @CrimzinEclipse2010 Month ago +6665

    Boy, let me tell ya’, I’d like to go back to living in precedented times.

    • @sws316
      @sws316 Month ago +10

      Me too

    • @TomGellos
      @TomGellos Month ago +40

      The professor sounds annoyed

    • @killzone329
      @killzone329 Month ago +6

      You don't know what are you wanting.

    • @fazer79
      @fazer79 Month ago +40

      We are getting there don't worry.

    • @thisotheroneguy6
      @thisotheroneguy6 Month ago +13

      I want the beginning of modern America. Basically the '50s.
      That's where I'd want to be.

  • @thomasmoore1096
    @thomasmoore1096 Month ago +4022

    GCC is Gulf Cooperative Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE)).

  • @henrypollock7987
    @henrypollock7987 Month ago +3155

    I like how the fancy black board still has that chalk sound

    • @dawenren5328
      @dawenren5328 Month ago +35

      China is going crazy, I saw a lot of crazy black board, even one of them can detect people sleeping or cheating during class😅

    • @puppiepoppy
      @puppiepoppy Month ago +113

      It’s like those fancy EVs with the vroom vroom sound options 😜

    • @buckaroobonzai2909
      @buckaroobonzai2909 Month ago +19

      It is just a blackboard. He's just asian, so everything he does seems more high tech than it actually is.

    • @Spacemonkeymojo
      @Spacemonkeymojo Month ago +27

      That’s not how chalk sounds.

    • @Mr0June
      @Mr0June Month ago +51

      😂😂😂 same here. Sound effects are great.

  • @HEEGANMAN
    @HEEGANMAN Month ago +20

    He literally gives Iranians a hint if they clearly understand the home work very correctly 😂😂

  • @oaholla3855
    @oaholla3855 Month ago +2188

    Two deranged men started a war that can destroy the entire worldeconomy. All Netanyahu knows is War, War, War. Unfortunately, the West still regards him as a friend.

    • @anitasingh-kp4oo
      @anitasingh-kp4oo Month ago +6

      He is ironically making Israel stronger why do you think he will care about his enemies already destroyed out most of the terrorist group around Israel now he is destroying his main rival war hasn't hurt Israel economy that much its public image has been ruined but everything else is the same

    • @kayvee2243
      @kayvee2243 Month ago +106

      @anitasingh-kp4oo economy ? 😂😂 🇮🇱 doesn’t have an economy hence the reason why they need Americas donations . And all the war mongering has made them weaker . Hiding in bunkers while your military fights for resources is pathetic looking. This behavior simply isnt sustainable.

    • @WithinReason-l6r
      @WithinReason-l6r Month ago +15

      There is so much more to that statement that you left out

    • @TomGellos
      @TomGellos Month ago +78

      They will come after you if you resist their horned one

    • @TomGellos
      @TomGellos Month ago +20

      ​@anitasingh-kp4oo"war hasn't hurt Israel"
      Think about what you typed

  • @AboubacarAzizFofana
    @AboubacarAzizFofana Month ago +1116

    He’s giving free intel to civilians to avoid fake news propaganda and governments control. Over decades, WARS have been fueled by lies from politicians. Glad people like him are enlightening some consequences to this futile war where human flesh is at stake. God help us all !

    • @JohnPhillips-qw4db
      @JohnPhillips-qw4db Month ago +8

      Actually this is the definition of fake news.

    • @DynamicHaze
      @DynamicHaze Month ago +17

      ​@JohnPhillips-qw4dbit's not he predicted that Trump would win and do. This

    • @N3gativeR3FLUX
      @N3gativeR3FLUX Month ago +23

      ​@JohnPhillips-qw4db How is this fake news? He provided the facts and then gave his expert opinion on them.
      You're inability to accept it doesn't refute it.

    • @erwin1016xuz
      @erwin1016xuz Month ago +6

      ​@N3gativeR3FLUX
      This man just talked about the impact of war to the USA
      He refused to talk about the impact to China
      Do remember that China is the biggest purchaser of Iranian oil
      Closing Hormuz hurts China more than the US
      Also a lot of theory regarding how Iran can decimate GCC
      The question is why they havent done so?
      Their nuclear development sites got blown up
      Their supreme leader got killed
      And they still dont want to act?
      The reason is simple
      THEY CANT

    • @Scott-yp1id
      @Scott-yp1id Month ago +6

      ​@N3gativeR3FLUX I'm not American but even I can see this guy is incredibly biased against America. He's calling Iran a mountain fortress which can destroy the entire GCC at any time. His reason is that apparently you cannot see things in mountains, not even with satellite imaging, and that the GCC lies on open ground, as though America doesn't have defensive technology which can prevent Iranian weapons. He says all this as though America didn't just explode their leader with ease. It's ridiculous bias. He clearly has good geographical knowledge but he's so ignorant in what I can only assume is a strong bias against America. He's not accounting for so many things. I don't think this guy is a military expert in any way, no idea why you think that frankly

  • @Dbz00001
    @Dbz00001 Month ago +4030

    we got ww3 before GTA 6

    • @JoseGimpose
      @JoseGimpose Month ago +19

      😂

    • @Spencer-e4w
      @Spencer-e4w Month ago +17

      There’s no GTA 6 if we get ww3 because nukes will be used not all of us will die but someday is getting wiped off the map.. New York, California etc..

    • @alvydasjokubauskas2587
      @alvydasjokubauskas2587 Month ago +134

      im gonna survive nuclear world, to play one day gta6

    • @Tecolote41
      @Tecolote41 Month ago +4

      @Spencer-e4w ☝️🤓

    • @asia-x7r2f
      @asia-x7r2f Month ago +4

      😂

  • @framirez2110
    @framirez2110 Month ago +5

    I like how he calmly describes all these devastating events and how he just says okay, alright, etc…

  • @Da_ConquerorR
    @Da_ConquerorR Month ago +474

    Bro created an entire curriculum over this war. He's talking about "we will cover more of this in the coming weeks"
    I feel like I'm back in class.

  • @SR-mv2mf
    @SR-mv2mf Month ago +2620

    May the earth be protected and come out strong may all evil and destructive forces be banished

  • @CrniWuk
    @CrniWuk Month ago +393

    Me : We are fucked.
    After listening to him.
    Me : We are seriously fucked ...

    • @WolfMage888
      @WolfMage888 Month ago +2

      Assume the position

    • @GlennKeith
      @GlennKeith Month ago +2

      You don't believe that bullshit.

    • @GlennKeith
      @GlennKeith Month ago +3

      If it was so easy they would have done it a long time ago.

    • @GlennKeith
      @GlennKeith Month ago +4

      Can I ran defend its population from the u s if we really wanted to kill them.And take their shit. Don't let this man bullshit you them.People are scared as hell over there😂😂😂

    • @rossfarley5985
      @rossfarley5985 Month ago +11

      @GlennKeith its quite literally happening as we speak, you sound ignorant.

  • @H3LLICA
    @H3LLICA Month ago +4

    the world when it's my time to grow up

  • @silascardoso4408
    @silascardoso4408 Month ago +727

    1.2 million views in one day is insane, this shows that professor Jiang’s teachings are gold in this time in history.

    • @David-h5r1x
      @David-h5r1x Month ago

      It shows that 1.2m of Iranians are taking notes. It's a joke. But realy this whole thing is ridiculous and harmful to everyone involved. Millions of lives can be saved if we simply take out 1 guy.

    • @tarawaukeri8928
      @tarawaukeri8928 Month ago +7

      Not more bots on line...?
      I see the same across many different genres

    • @eagleone5456
      @eagleone5456 Month ago

      ​@tarawaukeri8928 there's a clear difference between this man's teachings, and the latest release from Tay Swift or something. It's very, very rare for a singular person to get this much exposure.

    • @namzer0
      @namzer0 Month ago +2

      the heck... right after I watched 2 lectures from him

    • @mortlaursen6752
      @mortlaursen6752 Month ago +25

      Just because we watch him, doesnt mean we agree with him. We can just be listening to alternate prospectives.

  • @andretriescoding
    @andretriescoding Month ago +1452

    I wonder why US were recently in Venezuela, a country with the single largest oil reserves in the world? allegedly.

    • @akbarpashtun
      @akbarpashtun Month ago +128

      Exactly. They calculated and took it as a solution to this.

    • @dag-nabbit
      @dag-nabbit Month ago +32

      Trump sold it and pocketed the cash to his personal bank account in Qatar. UsA can't use because it is not refined, USA doesn't have a reinery.

    • @Razin86xx
      @Razin86xx Month ago +214

      This dude called that move months before it even happened and I’m like bro this isn’t good at all and talked about Iran 🇮🇷. This guy has been spot on 💯

    • @poolee77
      @poolee77 Month ago +24

      @dag-nabbit you’re not too bright are you? We have refineries in the Gulf that can and do process their oil.
      About what I would expect from a soulless CCP robot.

    • @ziggs123
      @ziggs123 Month ago +8

      Smart move. Get rid of a dictator that their own people don't want in charge and get oil on the way. That's a win win situation.

  • @jasminbegum3335
    @jasminbegum3335 Month ago +50

    May this professor be protected at all costs. He has excellent insights.

    • @Sarcasmarkus
      @Sarcasmarkus 27 days ago

      Its Propaganda

    • @BenjaminZhao-c2c
      @BenjaminZhao-c2c 21 day ago +1

      @Sarcasmarkuspropaganda that makes sense and is mostly true

    • @Sarcasmarkus
      @Sarcasmarkus 21 day ago

      ​@BenjaminZhao-c2c propaganda is always bias in one way or another. It doesn't nescicarily have to be blatent lies, so much as persuading their target group in a spicific way.

    • @Sarcasmarkus
      @Sarcasmarkus 21 day ago

      ​@BenjaminZhao-c2c m.ruclips.net/video/Z1EA2ohrt5Q/video.html&pp=ygUNeXVyaSBiZXptZW5vdg%3D%3D

  • @Thatjealousgurl
    @Thatjealousgurl Month ago +2035

    Here from iran✋🏻

    • @Dbz00001
      @Dbz00001 Month ago +180

      good luck friends

    • @PhilipAmthor
      @PhilipAmthor Month ago +18

      How does Internet work in Iran?

    • @Thatjealousgurl
      @Thatjealousgurl Month ago

      @PhilipAmthor
      Terrible. The hacking group Void Verge disrupted the infrastructure network routers. Some people, including me, could barely get connected, but before that, everyone was connected through Starlink.

    • @LuckyTuna11
      @LuckyTuna11 Month ago +119

      Good luck to you friend. American people support you regardless of our shyt leaders

    • @spacecowboy-ttst
      @spacecowboy-ttst Month ago +334

      Good Luck from brasil

  • @jija1439
    @jija1439 Month ago +415

    Damn, that was just an overview of how the world can come to an end.

    • @aquarian-talk
      @aquarian-talk Month ago +37

      All because of Trump and Isreal.

    • @geemorales3555
      @geemorales3555 Month ago +10

      Time to spend that retirement money. Too bad I never got that nose job in turkey

    • @Mjg_00
      @Mjg_00 Month ago +16

      all because israel.

    • @6Alucard6Tepes6
      @6Alucard6Tepes6 Month ago +2

      Not can, but will!

    • @Cosmos-e9u
      @Cosmos-e9u Month ago +1

      I hope it does. They better not fail us this time.

  • @1917proletarian
    @1917proletarian Month ago +353

    Hello fellow situation monitorers

    • @RememberGodHolyBible
      @RememberGodHolyBible Month ago +1

      Jiang is a Devil worshipping Freemason psyop agent. Thou hast been warned. He is here ONLY to deceive. WARNING. The words of God are without any error at all in the King James Bible. Jesus is the Lord.

    • @asmongold2028
      @asmongold2028 Month ago +23

      I am a monitor who is monitoring via my monitor.

    • @ChickenPotato911
      @ChickenPotato911 Month ago +1

      Hello

  • @raymonddipasquale5297

    This video is what RUclips should always be 💯!

  • @bogprime
    @bogprime Month ago +314

    This dude has my dream job. To be able to rant for an hour on geopolitics, and talk shit about US foreign policy without interruption or disagreement is a legendary career.

    • @harkwhogoes
      @harkwhogoes Month ago +17

      Become an expert on history and game theory like him!

    • @highonahill
      @highonahill Month ago +23

      Could just be a guy in a room talking to a wall and there's no one there and this is all propaganda from the CCP

    • @pretty-awkward
      @pretty-awkward Month ago

      😂 yeas

    • @flyingfetus4364
      @flyingfetus4364 Month ago +14

      ​@highonahill no lie, I don't think this is CCP, but there's DEFINITELY no one there with him lol

    • @inkmaster2136
      @inkmaster2136 Month ago +1

      Jiang Xueqin (born 1976) is a Beijing-based Chinese-Canadian educator, writer, and researcher focused on reforming Chinese education by promoting creativity, critical thinking, and global citizenship. Formerly a top school administrator, he is known for his work in developing international programs at prestigious Chinese schools and his analysis of Chinese education and geopolitics.
      Key details about Prof. Jiang Xueqin include:
      Education Reformer: He managed international, study-abroad programs at elite institutions like Shenzhen Middle School and Peking University High School (2008-2012), focusing on innovative curricula.
      Background: He graduated with distinction in English literature from Yale College in 1999.
      Author & Speaker: Author of Creative China (2014), he has written for the New York Times Chinese website and China Youth Daily.
      Geopolitical Analyst: He runs the RUclips channel Predictive History, which uses structural historical analysis and game theory to forecast geopolitical developments.
      Other Roles: He has been a Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts (RSA), served on the selection committee for the Global Teacher Prize, and worked as a journalist and UN official.

  • @NickolasTurner-n6y
    @NickolasTurner-n6y Month ago +508

    You know this guy is a legit professor just from his hand writing.

    • @FunTimeGhz
      @FunTimeGhz Month ago +4

      I don't like to be judged based on my handwriting 😐

    • @Seth9809
      @Seth9809 Month ago +4

      The Internet claims he teaches highschool. It's a fact he's based in China.

    • @misaw-kun
      @misaw-kun Month ago +34

      and you should know hes a yale graduate and knows ivy league inside out
      and has been a prof at yale
      and currently teaches at peking uni which is another elite uni in china

    • @IsMacTireE
      @IsMacTireE Month ago +5

      How is his handwriting in Mandarin I wonder

    • @Seth9809
      @Seth9809 Month ago +2

      ​@misaw-kun Bro literally mentioned the global financial crisis and then went into a conspiracy in Switzerland about how China would save the global economy by building airports, bridges, and railroads.
      Which isn't how the global economy works.

  • @Onefishtwofish2
    @Onefishtwofish2 Month ago +727

    Our world "leaders" are out of control! The people of the world DO NOT WANT THIS!!!!

  • @steveflor9942
    @steveflor9942 Month ago +31

    Professor Jiang's prognostication record: Excellent - so far.
    Thank You, Sir

    • @matthewmorgan7106
      @matthewmorgan7106 Month ago +1

      funny, I was thinking zero out of ten

    • @maboundry2
      @maboundry2 Month ago

      ​@matthewmorgan7106Yes, I agree. I'm thinking of starting my own channel just to rivalry his. All his points were hyperbolic and poorly formed arguments.

    • @maboundry2
      @maboundry2 Month ago

      ​@tfuonaboutMy response to him...
      I found your lecture interesting, but as I worked through the argument step by step, I started noticing some gaps in the logic. The more I looked at it, the more it felt like the scenario depends on a lot of things going wrong at the exact same time. When you start looking at each assumption one by one, the argument starts to weaken.
      Here are the main points that stood out to me.
      1. The lecture relies heavily on worst-case scenarios
      I understand why dramatic scenarios are sometimes used in lectures. They grab attention and show possible risks. But the situation presented assumes that almost every variable breaks in the worst possible way. In real life, geopolitics usually has balancing forces that prevent situations from escalating that far.
      2. The GCC is not defenseless
      The idea that Iran could easily destroy the Gulf states ignores the large military presence already in the region. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have spent billions on air defense systems like Patriot and THAAD. On top of that, the United States has major bases in the region, and the U.S. Fifth Fleet operates from Bahrain. Any large Iranian strike campaign would immediately face serious resistance.
      3. Oil infrastructure is not a single weak point
      Oil facilities can be attacked, but they are also spread out and built with backup systems. After the 2019 attacks on Saudi oil facilities, Gulf countries increased their defenses against drones and missiles. Even if some facilities were damaged, global oil supply does not come from one place anymore.
      4. The Strait of Hormuz would be extremely difficult to close
      The strait is a major shipping route, but permanently shutting it down would be very difficult. The United States and allied navies patrol that region constantly. Their mission is literally to keep shipping lanes open. Iran might disrupt traffic temporarily, but maintaining a long-term blockade against several powerful navies would be very unlikely.
      5. Water infrastructure would not instantly collapse societies
      It is true that Gulf countries rely heavily on desalination for water. However, they operate multiple plants and maintain large storage systems. Damaging some facilities would cause disruption, but it would not instantly collapse entire countries.
      6. Gulf oil is no longer the foundation of the U.S. economy
      Decades ago the United States depended heavily on Middle Eastern oil. Today that situation is very different. Because of shale production, the United States is now one of the largest oil producers in the world.
      7. Asian countries depend on Gulf oil far more than the United States
      Most Gulf oil exports go to Asia, not America. Countries like China, India, Japan, and South Korea rely heavily on that supply. If the Strait of Hormuz were shut down, those economies would likely feel the largest impact.
      8. China would also be harmed by shutting down Gulf oil
      Because China imports large amounts of Gulf oil, it would be directly harmed if that supply stopped. That makes it unlikely that China would support a strategy that damages its own energy security.
      9. Mountains are not the protection they once were
      The lecture emphasized Iran’s mountains as a kind of fortress. Geography still matters, but modern technology has changed things significantly. Satellites, drones, radar imaging, and other systems make it much harder to hide large facilities. Even deeply buried sites can be targeted with specialized bunker-busting weapons.
      10. The regional military balance is actually very lopsided
      When you look at military spending, Iran is not the dominant power in the region. Iran spends roughly around $10-16 billion a year on its military. Saudi Arabia alone spends around $70-80 billion per year. When you add the UAE and other Gulf states, the gap becomes even larger. That means the balance of power is actually much more lopsided than it may appear.
      Final Thought
      The Gulf region is clearly very important to the global economy, and the lecture raised some interesting strategic questions. But many of the conclusions seem to rely on worst-case assumptions rather than the more complicated reality of modern geopolitics. Military alliances, technological advances, and global economic interdependence all make the situation far more complex than a simple collapse scenario.

  • @rasmeghie256
    @rasmeghie256 Month ago +655

    I could listen to him teach all day. Genius

    • @steely4you
      @steely4you Month ago +12

      He is a chinese canadian professor

    • @MikaDistribution
      @MikaDistribution Month ago

      💚🌴🐪🌍☀️

    • @earlgrey408
      @earlgrey408 Month ago +7

      @steely4you yes, CCP member. Cause discord is in chinese favor.

    • @red_zone_art
      @red_zone_art Month ago +1

      he i
      has very very bad speak and handwriting plus he imagine stuff

    • @pizzaboy1314
      @pizzaboy1314 Month ago +3

      @red_zone_artdo you know how to speak or write?

  • @ThomasSmith_77
    @ThomasSmith_77 Month ago +283

    That was enlightening, refreshing and heavy all at the same time.

    • @Golden_Rule_Truth
      @Golden_Rule_Truth Month ago +4

      And COMPLETELY WRONG

    • @seminark
      @seminark Month ago

      ​@Golden_Rule_TruthBetter don the clown outfit a few months from now.

    • @ThomasSmith_77
      @ThomasSmith_77 Month ago +3

      @Golden_Rule_Truth How so?

    • @danwagner5409
      @danwagner5409 Month ago +2

      The clown Show.🎉

    • @marly-z9k
      @marly-z9k Month ago

      Iran be like: "If I suffer then everybody suffers!"
      Liberals: "We support the oppressive regime!"

  • @NazCorner
    @NazCorner Month ago +225

    Iran watching him spill all the tea like 🫣👁️👁️.

    • @AliMadhloom964
      @AliMadhloom964 Month ago +6

      😂

    • @azraelfaust487
      @azraelfaust487 Month ago

      if he knows this im pretty sure the people fighting for their existance already know this, i just hope they don't back out

    • @SammyJoee
      @SammyJoee Month ago

      both Iran and the U.S. know each other’s war plan , only question is , like the professor says : how far are they willing to go with it ?

  • @Elcapulove
    @Elcapulove Month ago +5

    Thank you very much for sharing and for your time. 🙏

  • @LemyAng
    @LemyAng Month ago +421

    This is the best lesson about the current course of the war that a student can get in his life. Only someone like Prof. Jiang can afford to do something like this. I believe the whole world is following Prof. Jiang's lessons with great excitement. No television station can offer something like this; on most television stations, you only get garbage and propaganda.
    I think Prof. Jiang will bring many TV stations to a standstill. No one has done anything like this before. It really is a brilliant idea from Prof. Jiang.
    Thank you very much for that!

    • @societyreborn33
      @societyreborn33 Month ago +11

      Jiang is pretty keyed in. He understands the underlying power structures/interests/industry that move and shape events prett damn well imo

    • @farthing751
      @farthing751 Month ago +11

      hes full of himself, there's 100 ways to make the strait irrelevant. The US has all the gulf states on a short leash, its all irrelevant. Iran's gov won't last much longer, its to large to divided. They kill 30k of their own people at a low guess. He's spewing good ideas but there not right based on force

    • @Seth9809
      @Seth9809 Month ago +2

      ​@farthing751 He also said China saves the global economy by building airports in 2009.... How does that make sense?

    • @tyleradcock5493
      @tyleradcock5493 Month ago +4

      @farthing751 are you smarter then him ?

    • @user-fp8vl3mb2i
      @user-fp8vl3mb2i Month ago +6

      @farthing751 your logic is flawed; you don't understand do you? iraq was way weaker than iran and it took a while, only of course to end in failure with the rise of isis and other terror groupes; btw there are militias to this day in iraq that are shia, and currently are fighting the us from iraq, if the other terror groups join iran it will be even more disastrous; only backing off will work in which the guy in the video was correct to say; but with martyrdom mentality and the arrogant orange man; that is very unlikely;

  • @GotIt666
    @GotIt666 Month ago +621

    Now the CIA is giving weapons to the kurdish forces...This will get bloody...

  • @RodThreadman
    @RodThreadman Month ago +342

    So that’s how the Chinese and the rest of East Asia get involved. Wow, could get out of hand quick.

    • @TheQueue-u1q
      @TheQueue-u1q Month ago +17

      There's a biblical prophecy about 200M man army invading the ME.

    • @alaskansummertime
      @alaskansummertime Month ago +7

      ​@TheQueue-u1qyes. It's been planned for hundreds of years

    • @Akhgy
      @Akhgy Month ago +47

      @TheQueue-u1qthere is no prophecy about it. You guys just read your ideas in the text

    • @TheQueue-u1q
      @TheQueue-u1q Month ago +3

      @Akhgy I must have been thinking of Nostradamus then.

    • @0xWizurd
      @0xWizurd Month ago +1

      @Akhgy yeah tell that to Netanyahu

  • @nolittering9900
    @nolittering9900 Month ago +3

    Excellent ideas AND chalkboard!

  • @_Joy_Unleashed
    @_Joy_Unleashed Month ago +3541

    Operation AIPAC Fury

  • @dear140
    @dear140 Month ago +175

    All of the best professors have that hand writing. Guy checks out

    • @Onan-u3b
      @Onan-u3b Month ago +1

      Not quite. English is not his native language and yet I had no difficulty understanding him.

    • @djb5275
      @djb5275 Month ago +1

      Nolman4real yeah their years of developing expertise in their field are NOTHING compared to the genius of “nolman4real” they’re all losers compared to THIS genius!!

    • @cloclo5290
      @cloclo5290 Month ago

      @djb5275like imagine what kind of loser you have to be to want to teach the next generation! Booo

  • @yamabushi_nate7825
    @yamabushi_nate7825 Month ago +271

    America will never have classes like this.

    • @TheCluesRNTheBlues
      @TheCluesRNTheBlues Month ago +8

      Yuri Bezmenov gave lectures like this in the 1980s.

    • @MrFraiche
      @MrFraiche Month ago

      That's because one party loves the uneducated

    • @AddisonKleber
      @AddisonKleber Month ago +4

      @TheCluesRNTheBlues i’m pretty sure this guy is a professor at Yale University

    • @TheCluesRNTheBlues
      @TheCluesRNTheBlues Month ago +6

      @AddisonKleber no, he is not. He is a history and philosophy teacher at Moonshot Academy.

    • @z3ro7o
      @z3ro7o Month ago +2

      this is in perfect english they own language

  • @mettacine
    @mettacine Month ago +206

    His content is reasonable, which makes it so scary. It's reasonable outcomes.

    • @WillZiacoma
      @WillZiacoma Month ago +14

      It's not though. It's 100% WILD speculation that's not based in reality. Iran had almost their entire Navy destroyed two days ago. They can't close the Strait of Hormuz completely and even if they could, they have no ability to keep it closed. The US is already escorting ships successfully through the Strait and Iran's ability to stop them is limited to pot-shot attacks.

    • @MohamedElsayed-mq9ur
      @MohamedElsayed-mq9ur Month ago

      ​@WillZiacomathat is b#llshit what u are said

    • @SkywaysisPoopy
      @SkywaysisPoopy Month ago +9

      @WillZiacoma Is there a reason Iran would not be able to use drones to attack ships passing through Hormuz? It is my understanding that they have a large stockpile of attack drones.

    • @AC-sm4ke
      @AC-sm4ke Month ago +6

      ​​@WillZiacomaIran is not using and never intended to use its navy in a strategic way in this war. They knew it was very small and exposed. Instead, Iran has small boats with anti-ship missiles and other capabilities to create a naval version of its "mosaic" defense strategy. The US is not escorting any ship. They made the offer. No one has taken it yet.

    • @Hans_Nimmermeer
      @Hans_Nimmermeer Month ago +3

      ​@WillZiacoma afaik everything he said was either factual or likey.
      Question is the relevance, if this chain of thoughts is complete to describe the most important correlations and options
      - or if there are things missing: options, technology, loyalties, reserves, which paint a different (big) picture.

  • @SilentRunningRedux

    Jiang is excellent … he’s right and makes it all very straightforward accessible to almost any audience.

  • @acurafillfilip9868
    @acurafillfilip9868 Month ago +51

    This feels like a TED talk but nobody goes to TED talks anymore!

  • @vinz426
    @vinz426 Month ago +49

    I thought america will have a AI bubble burst but didnt expect a war will burst the bubble.

  • @hafidz9080
    @hafidz9080 Month ago +524

    well, we’re fucked

    • @Fahmbo
      @Fahmbo Month ago +48

      a few psychopaths run the world and wont enact justic on each other

    • @thisotheroneguy6
      @thisotheroneguy6 Month ago +3

      ​@Fahmbo"that part of the world" 👍

    • @BBBB-d1f8w
      @BBBB-d1f8w Month ago +19

      Yes, well one day we die anyways. But I have to tell you, I hope there is no sercond, third.... life here on earth. Enough evil, I m done 😮

    • @rustyshackleford8473
      @rustyshackleford8473 Month ago +9

      Iran has no ability to enforce this closure.

    • @MarkSmith-cf5kw
      @MarkSmith-cf5kw Month ago +1

      Seize the days

  • @ElifArcane
    @ElifArcane Month ago +1

    Very informative. Thank you.

  • @dryasmin5903
    @dryasmin5903 Month ago +166

    People of the world, I am speaking to you as an Iranian woman. I am asking you to seek peace, not a Third World War. Please, put pressure on your leaders and do not let World War III become a reality.
    ​Human life is the most precious thing in this world. Do not allow the religious ideologies of Israel-based on the false claim that they are the world's superior people and that others' lives have no value-to be realized through the shedding of millions of lives.
    ​Whether it is an innocent, blameless Iranian girl or a kind and brave American soldier, both are precious souls whose lives matter.

    • @nopressurenodiamonds5566
      @nopressurenodiamonds5566 Month ago +31

      Most of us Americans hate the man and never wanted war. We are praying for us all.

    • @corgidawgie5592
      @corgidawgie5592 Month ago

      @nopressurenodiamonds5566not even close. You Americans historically just kill covilians for fun to support your comfortable lifestyle. Look at all the wars since WW2 🎉

    • @Rekles
      @Rekles Month ago

      Your country is a terrorist state, find new leaders

    • @Xanthi2020
      @Xanthi2020 Month ago +3

      No you are not in Iran. Iran has no internet

    • @robertlocke3500
      @robertlocke3500 Month ago +14

      @Xanthi2020 she didn't say she was in Iran.. She said she was Iranian.

  • @jorgecintron9674
    @jorgecintron9674 Month ago +80

    I feel like a 90’s History Channel Nostradamus episode told me this would happen.

    • @iakovosbtz
      @iakovosbtz Month ago +9

      Quasimodo predicted all this shit

    • @N3gativeR3FLUX
      @N3gativeR3FLUX Month ago +4

      Baba Vanga.
      No, don't look her up. You don't really want to know.

    • @johnnosmith4417
      @johnnosmith4417 Month ago +1

      @N3gativeR3FLUXyou know I can’t resist to immediately go and do it 😂😭

    • @N3gativeR3FLUX
      @N3gativeR3FLUX Month ago +1

      ​@johnnosmith4417 Of course 😂
      Some of it is pretty interesting but scarily accurate if you want it to be and some of it is just plain weird. Enjoy. 😁
      Just remember like any of that sort of thing, take it with a grain of salt. It's easy to fit events into vaguely worded phrases after the fact.

    • @funplaymix7710
      @funplaymix7710 Month ago

      @N3gativeR3FLUXI know about her for years. She is legit but also not the only one that knew about this . Can’t believe we’re alive to see it happen in our lifetime dang

  • @bleh9661
    @bleh9661 Month ago +132

    Prof Xiang: Strait of Hormuz is vital
    My captions: SuGaR MOose is vital

    • @peterjhpark4782
      @peterjhpark4782 Month ago

      Sugar Moose DOES sound vial.

    • @AlexPrettiDead-j4i
      @AlexPrettiDead-j4i Month ago

      US takes in less than 10% of its oild from the straight and we are securing oil rights in Venezuela thd worlds largest oil reserves. We literally y dont need anything from Middle East.

    • @morganic88
      @morganic88 Month ago

      HEY MAN I NEED SOME SUGAR MOOSE URGENT! CAN YOU SORT ME OUT ? 😅😅😅😂😂😂😂

    • @matthewmorgan7106
      @matthewmorgan7106 Month ago

      Tomorrow ... or the next day, Iran will not even have a fishing boat it can send out to lay a mine. The Sugar Moose will remain open for Chinese ships, if the Americans and allies allow it.

    • @Jebbur
      @Jebbur Month ago +1

      @AlexPrettiDead-j4i Someone slept during class. Point of the lecture is the regions importance related to the demand of the US Dollar and the re-investment of sovereign wealth funds into the US stock market. Pull the plug and what happens.

  • @tinotrivino
    @tinotrivino Month ago +2

    Thank you for this video! Hugs from Spain ♥

  • @AC_Milan1899
    @AC_Milan1899 Month ago +395

    A couple of desalination plant hits away from being back to tents in the desert

    • @SighFly
      @SighFly Month ago +46

      More like a couple of desalination plant hits away from a full blown nuclear war and the devolving of humans as a species

    • @thebrick1
      @thebrick1 Month ago +1

      @SighFly be fun 👍

    • @DemosBarpas
      @DemosBarpas Month ago +25

      ​@SighFly last time i heard, UAE has no nukes just Lamborghini's

    • @Wah-der
      @Wah-der Month ago

      I think it might actually happen, they have the famous murial picture showing a famine, and all the food comes through that strait

    • @CRASHxy
      @CRASHxy Month ago +8

      spoken like a true war criminal

  • @zakiyatamimi7752
    @zakiyatamimi7752 Month ago +35

    As we all go through this ww3, each community should plan for its food security and health network.

  • @bizarro7080
    @bizarro7080 Month ago +169

    Professor be safe they are also watching

    • @Miraclesmaster
      @Miraclesmaster Month ago +1

      A fattah 2 is reaching him ft sure😅

    • @21savage4l
      @21savage4l Month ago +4

      Who do you mean is watching? Iran is friend with Chinese

    • @bizarro7080
      @bizarro7080 Month ago +5

      ​​@21savage4li meant Secret society

    • @CHINAxiaobei
      @CHINAxiaobei Month ago +8

      他在中国,我们中国可不怕美国,也不怕什么光明会,黑暗会

    • @KarbuStandar
      @KarbuStandar Month ago

      ​@21savage4lmossad

  • @markhankins3023
    @markhankins3023 Month ago

    Professor Jiang has outlined what has occurred in the last 11 days, remarkable.

  • @HomeSlize
    @HomeSlize Month ago +168

    Damn, that’s badass board/screen.

    • @Baoz1230
      @Baoz1230 Month ago +8

      School kids in china is lucky

    • @roarkmu5ic
      @roarkmu5ic Month ago +3

      Fr, thought the same thing

    • @mankyraver
      @mankyraver Month ago +10

      It's a smart board. We've been using them at school since 2009😂

    • @AKDUGI
      @AKDUGI Month ago +2

      @mankyraverthis is the most advanced one tho but yeah smart boards came out in early 2000s

    • @mankyraver
      @mankyraver Month ago

      ​@AKDUGIi know it's advanced. The ones we used way back when were super chunky and had simple features. This one is sleek😎👌

  • @LuckyTuna11
    @LuckyTuna11 Month ago +124

    For the algorithm, thank you for the video professor

    • @schwaemmy
      @schwaemmy Month ago

      stolen media from @predictivehistory - go watch the real channel

    • @lpg12338
      @lpg12338 Month ago

      😎👍

    • @applejacks123fdfdsw56
      @applejacks123fdfdsw56 Month ago +1

      I wouldn't give a bucket of piss for some Chinese-Canadian professor's perspective. No one is going to allow the entire US economy to dump and no one is going to want a new world order where some other so-called "super power" takes over. Russia can't even fight poor old Ukraine and China has never fired one bullet in a technology warfare.
      The Americans have ruined Iran in just a few days. Just let that soak in for a minute. Not four years like the Ukraine and Russian tanks running out of gas flying metal heaps they call jets....The super power is America and that ain't changing anytime soon, especially over some poor old country run by lunatics' in the Middle East.
      The "professor" thinks the Iranians can run the world from some mountain hiding drones. Hilarious...mountains can be blown up too....and America doesn't need to nuke anyone to do it. These days . . . America thinks ten steps ahead of every military move they make and if you are not American, you'll have a hard time understanding just how powerful the good 'ol USA remains today.
      If I had a penny for every Chinese guy or ignorant, cocky college professor that I heard talking to children as if he knows the future, I'd be a very, very wealthy man.

    • @LuckyTuna11
      @LuckyTuna11 Month ago +1

      @applejacks123fdfdsw56 he could be right though?

  • @bobbyp8221
    @bobbyp8221 Month ago +80

    My IQ just went up 100 points by listening to the Prof..pure gold!!!

    • @joannaszulc2694
      @joannaszulc2694 Month ago +2

      😂😂😂👍👍👍👍❤️

    • @cdcd3414
      @cdcd3414 Month ago +2

      Are you 12 years old? Maybe you people should have gotten an education a long long time ago.

    • @bobbyp8221
      @bobbyp8221 Month ago

      @cdcd3414 😂😂

  • @yammiipawchaw833
    @yammiipawchaw833 Month ago +51

    I can listen to this guy with my coffee all day and won’t fall asleep!

    • @nealtran1856
      @nealtran1856 Month ago

      same things has been said about IRAQ, it never happened

    • @yammiipawchaw833
      @yammiipawchaw833 Month ago

      @nea@nealtran1856if you look at the history of regime change in Iraq, it was a disaster from 03-till this day, Afghanistan from 01-till this day, Libya from 11-till this day. First it was about, “potential nuclear weapons”, to this day, I’ve yet to see evidence, then the tone shifts to regime change. So what is it? Is it about weapons or you just want to put a Zionist in office? We don’t want another war in the Middle East. Let’s fix health care, our infrastructure, crime, education, job security, lowering taxes, lowering interest rates, affordable housing, and so on. Not spend our hard earning overtime money to be given to a foreign government, (Israel) in return to fight its own problems.

  • @emanuelperez8693
    @emanuelperez8693 Month ago +48

    This should be breaking news and show it on every device on this planet 🌎.

    • @raghavopal348
      @raghavopal348 Month ago +1

      I mean this war is breaking news already lmao

    • @babucarrbojang8843
      @babucarrbojang8843 Month ago +1

      @raghavopal348yeah but people are not getting the clear picture like how prof did

  • @ahmedfadhil9682
    @ahmedfadhil9682 Month ago +167

    He will be super famous if his 3rd prediction becom s true.

    • @BellonaMars
      @BellonaMars Month ago +26

      I think he is already famous cause my Chinese coworkers are all watching his video in these 2 days

    • @UntoldCaseFiles
      @UntoldCaseFiles Month ago +8

      Says a lot of bull crap though lol, I have been watching him for awhile and lots of what he says (not all) are baseless.

    • @ultravioletsus
      @ultravioletsus Month ago +27

      ​@UntoldCaseFileslike what? He predicted Trump coming into power and the Iran war before Trump even took office, his third prediction is that US will lose this war. I hope he'll be right.

    • @A_Sen_0
      @A_Sen_0 Month ago +5

      @UntoldCaseFiles
      Completely agreed.
      Many times
      He just Gives his ( baseless) opinions
      With Full confidence of a Professor
      & people thinks those r FACTS 😂

    • @GigiSanco-q6x
      @GigiSanco-q6x Month ago +2

      @ultravioletsus you’re obviously not from the US.

  • @joecartermusic_
    @joecartermusic_ Month ago

    I love how easy you make this to understand. Thank you

  • @OlaDimeji-m9f
    @OlaDimeji-m9f Month ago +249

    This video will help people understand how the world they live in truly works. Non of that mainstream hog wash. 😅❤

    • @BakerTeamRaven
      @BakerTeamRaven Month ago +14

      You'll be EXTREMELY misinformed if you believe anything this pseudo-professor says about geo-political-military analysation.

    • @applejacks123fdfdsw56
      @applejacks123fdfdsw56 Month ago +4

      I wouldn't give a bucket of piss for some Chinese-Canadian professor's perspective. No one is going to allow the entire US economy to dump and no one is going to want a new world order where some other so-called "super power" takes over. Russia can't even fight poor old Ukraine and China has never fired one bullet in a technology warfare.
      The Americans have ruined Iran in just a few days. Just let that soak in for a minute. Not four years like the Ukraine and Russian tanks running out of gas flying metal heaps they call jets....The super power is America and that ain't changing anytime soon, especially over some poor old country run by lunatics' in the Middle East.
      The "professor" thinks the Iranians can run the world from some mountain hiding drones. Hilarious...mountains can be blown up too....and America doesn't need to nuke anyone to do it. These days . . . America thinks ten steps ahead of every military move they make and if you are not American, you'll have a hard time understanding just how powerful the good 'ol USA remains today.
      If I had a penny for every Chinese guy or ignorant, cocky college professor that I heard talking to children as if he knows the future, I'd be a very, very wealthy man.

    • @eternalManchild
      @eternalManchild Month ago +2

      @applejacks123fdfdsw56 we should, the USA is our enemy! We should actively do everything in our power to destroy the USA.

    • @JackfrostAtreidesOmegaXZero
      @JackfrostAtreidesOmegaXZero Month ago

      ​@applejacks123fdfdsw56Yeah.... Just like the lack of new recruits everyday growing up at the USA country, also the failure it was the Vietnam, Syria and Afganistan wars where even despite own's the best amongst advanced technologies in the world being capable of """predict""" movements from their enemies with caution using an IA they loss anyway and much of his soldiers died in vane.
      Also the same poor Ukraine that didn't has last long since they pass the half of the country and they're reaching the capital so much that could had to call to an cease to fire because if not would loss in a way or another, even their own soldiers were saying it was all an hell on earth cuz couldn't have a chance against Russia, without mention is not so easy to pass from the mention of such like those weaponry peaks made by USA to use it right in real time.

    • @ALINA-eo1cr
      @ALINA-eo1cr Month ago

      ​@eternalManchildNo, you shouldn't. You are dumb. It is better under America than under China or Russia. Everybody prefers the Americans to the other empires.

  • @vikingnusantara
    @vikingnusantara Month ago +133

    Iran top leaders: write that down, write that down

    • @otis2241
      @otis2241 Month ago +12

      what top leaders

    • @Casah10
      @Casah10 Month ago +2

      😂

    • @robertarvanitis8852
      @robertarvanitis8852 Month ago

      Their leaders are all dead. But you go on encouraging the evil islamists.

    • @alysonhamill7406
      @alysonhamill7406 Month ago

    • @WisconsinJoe
      @WisconsinJoe Month ago +7

      You should probably brush up on current events pal, Irans done. This teacher is just wishing, for chinas sake, nothing more

  • @RICKYDICKYDOOOOO
    @RICKYDICKYDOOOOO Month ago +71

    Do not Go to war with Professor Jaing. 🎉
    😂🎉

    • @darksoulquis5643
      @darksoulquis5643 Month ago +1

      Right they out here literally trying to rewrite history in they favor rather than the truth I believe the ai rigged too everything’s fixed

    • @AlwaysLisaLisa
      @AlwaysLisaLisa Month ago

      😂😂😂

    • @maboundry2
      @maboundry2 Month ago +2

      His view is nonsense! My response to him...
      I found your lecture interesting, but as I worked through the argument step by step, I started noticing some gaps in the logic. The more I looked at it, the more it felt like the scenario depends on a lot of things going wrong at the exact same time. When you start looking at each assumption one by one, the argument starts to weaken.
      Here are the main points that stood out to me.
      1. The lecture relies heavily on worst-case scenarios
      I understand why dramatic scenarios are sometimes used in lectures. They grab attention and show possible risks. But the situation presented assumes that almost every variable breaks in the worst possible way. In real life, geopolitics usually has balancing forces that prevent situations from escalating that far.
      2. The GCC is not defenseless
      The idea that Iran could easily destroy the Gulf states ignores the large military presence already in the region. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have spent billions on air defense systems like Patriot and THAAD. On top of that, the United States has major bases in the region, and the U.S. Fifth Fleet operates from Bahrain. Any large Iranian strike campaign would immediately face serious resistance.
      3. Oil infrastructure is not a single weak point
      Oil facilities can be attacked, but they are also spread out and built with backup systems. After the 2019 attacks on Saudi oil facilities, Gulf countries increased their defenses against drones and missiles. Even if some facilities were damaged, global oil supply does not come from one place anymore.
      4. The Strait of Hormuz would be extremely difficult to close
      The strait is a major shipping route, but permanently shutting it down would be very difficult. The United States and allied navies patrol that region constantly. Their mission is literally to keep shipping lanes open. Iran might disrupt traffic temporarily, but maintaining a long-term blockade against several powerful navies would be very unlikely.
      5. Water infrastructure would not instantly collapse societies
      It is true that Gulf countries rely heavily on desalination for water. However, they operate multiple plants and maintain large storage systems. Damaging some facilities would cause disruption, but it would not instantly collapse entire countries.
      6. Gulf oil is no longer the foundation of the U.S. economy
      Decades ago the United States depended heavily on Middle Eastern oil. Today that situation is very different. Because of shale production, the United States is now one of the largest oil producers in the world.
      7. Asian countries depend on Gulf oil far more than the United States
      Most Gulf oil exports go to Asia, not America. Countries like China, India, Japan, and South Korea rely heavily on that supply. If the Strait of Hormuz were shut down, those economies would likely feel the largest impact.
      8. China would also be harmed by shutting down Gulf oil
      Because China imports large amounts of Gulf oil, it would be directly harmed if that supply stopped. That makes it unlikely that China would support a strategy that damages its own energy security.
      9. Mountains are not the protection they once were
      The lecture emphasized Iran’s mountains as a kind of fortress. Geography still matters, but modern technology has changed things significantly. Satellites, drones, radar imaging, and other systems make it much harder to hide large facilities. Even deeply buried sites can be targeted with specialized bunker-busting weapons.
      10. The regional military balance is actually very lopsided
      When you look at military spending, Iran is not the dominant power in the region. Iran spends roughly around $10-16 billion a year on its military. Saudi Arabia alone spends around $70-80 billion per year. When you add the UAE and other Gulf states, the gap becomes even larger. That means the balance of power is actually much more lopsided than it may appear.
      Final Thought
      The Gulf region is clearly very important to the global economy, and the lecture raised some interesting strategic questions. But many of the conclusions seem to rely on worst-case assumptions rather than the more complicated reality of modern geopolitics. Military alliances, technological advances, and global economic interdependence all make the situation far more complex than a simple collapse scenario.

    • @AlwaysLisaLisa
      @AlwaysLisaLisa Month ago +2

      @m@maboundry2 Very interesting…..🤔

    • @williamzhao4733
      @williamzhao4733 Month ago

      ​@maboundry2
      What are you on about? Point by point on your arguments.
      1) You say he only speaks of worst case scenarios? Conflicts in war escalate by nature. You need to read up Karl von Clausewitz's "The War". Thinking anything otherwise is the definition of naivety. That's how countries enter wars woefully unprepared, because they underestimate the game and jump to premature conclusions. Experienced leaders expect the worst, and hope for the best. You are doing the exact opposite. Betting on the enemy underperforming don't do either side justice. Just a reminder, war isn't just about economics and politics. Soldiers and civilians' lives are at stake.
      2) Having THAAD systems and Patriot missiles do not make a state invulnerable to hypersonic strikes. Iran has already proven itself capable of destroying THAAD systems during the current conflict. I believe there are 6 positioned in Middle East. Iran claims it has destroyed 4. Why else do you think US is contemplating withdrawing THAAD systems from South Korea and repositioning them to the Middle East?
      3) You are accurate to some extent on "global oil supply does not come from one place anymore". For example, China's been diversifying its oil import sources over the years. But nonetheless, choking the bottleneck on one of the world's largest oil production source doesn't do anyone any good. US, being an oil production country itself, is seeing its own oil prices rise today regardless. What do you think the effect on resource-import dependent countries like Japan will be? Remember Japan relies on the Middle East for 95% for its oil import. Yes, I'm sure there are reserves and other import rerouting contingency plans. But do you think importing oil at higher prices (double if not triple) works in Japan's favor? Especially when Japan's economy is already in such dire state? Same thing with Europe. You think Europeans can just ignore a 45% LNG price increase? Easier said than done. Allies stood by because they thought their security and interests would be protected. What do you think will happen to their trust when they realize that's not the case?
      4) Your statement, "Iran might disrupt traffic temporarily, but maintaining a long-term blockade against several powerful navies would be very unlikely." Again with the unfounded optimism. Wars don't operate based on your imagination and hopes. That's how the Korean War came to be. General MacArthur famously said, "Home by Christmas". It lasted 3 years! The US initially anticipated the Ukraine war to last for only a few days to a few weeks. The fact is it's still ongoing to this day. Every time, millions of lives are lost. If you don't learn from your mistakes, then history is doomed to repeat itself. Again, I recommend you to read Karl von Clausewitz's book "The War" and learn about the concept escalation, because your take on war is absolutely childish.
      5) Again with your optimism on "water infrastructure would not instantly collapse societies". You are assuming the conflict would be resolved quickly. But in reality, Iranian foreign minister openly rejected a ceasefire and any possibility of negotiation on live interview. And DT agrees too with the "no time limits" remark. It's becoming a war of attrition. In a war of attrition, you'd be a fool to downplay the importance of water desalination plants, the only resource more vital than oil in the Middle East.
      6) You fail to see the complexity of the ongoing conflict and the consequences it might potentially bring. What you said, "gulf oil is no longer the foundation of the U.S. economy", is, quite frankly, very superficial. American economy isn't all about oil. Go read the news article "Gulf Nations Consider Withdrawing U.S. Investments Amid Rising War Costs". That's around 2 trillion worth of investment.
      7) I agree with you. Asian countries will be impacted by the gulf oil. Same with Europe. But you think that won't cause ripple effects and ultimately hit US economy? Every increase in cost will ultimately be passed down to the consumers. And what do you think the biggest consumer country in the world is?
      8) Ofc China would be impacted. But to what extent? China imports 90% of Iran's oil export, but that only accounts for 10-15% of China's total oil import. The entirety of Middle East oil export accounts for around 40-50% of Chinese market. But their ships aren't affected by the Hormuz blockage. Go look it up. Chinese and Muslim owned ships have been exceptions to the blockage.
      9) I beg to differ on that part. Unless you plan on nuking the entire country and get rid of its mountainous layout. But that would change the narrative completely. Other nuclear states would respond without a doubt. Otherwise, the cost of overcoming such land formations would be astronomical. You can't afford it, not with the current US economy.
      10) Regional power and defense budget are irrelevant. They aren't incentivized to escalate into a full out war for others' interests, as for which two states' interests it'll be for, I'm sure you know. Gulf states have their own interests to protect. It is wise to reach clear distinction between them and not confuse them to be the same.
      My understanding is there's no way Iran will back down first, unless DT does. And even if DT does, it is not certain that Iran will. But one thing's for sure. A protracted war of attrition does not work in US's favor. And if the war drags out, US stands to lose more than what it gains.

  • @goharimran8768
    @goharimran8768 Month ago

    most simplified view of a greatly complex situation, appreciate the effort professor.

  • @Jonglierfreak
    @Jonglierfreak Month ago +137

    4:32 damn that circle is round, marvelous

  • @EdenfarmDo-l1b
    @EdenfarmDo-l1b Month ago +55

    In my all time in school I never been focusing like this

  • @slyveon9441
    @slyveon9441 Month ago +31

    Love that he has an upgraded board from last year.
    More funding for this class

  • @GoProRuss
    @GoProRuss Month ago +1

    I feel like this guy just wants to see the west fall

  • @yminors
    @yminors Month ago +21

    When the war started, I was waiting for the professor to inform and educate me on what is currently transpiring and where this could go. Thank you 🙏 for these new videos. My prayers are with Iranian people 🙏🙏🙏❤️❤️❤️❤️

  • @movewithsteve
    @movewithsteve Month ago +16

    "you can swim across it" - as part of your morning routine

    • @johangull4796
      @johangull4796 Month ago +2

      Especially now since there is no traffic. 🤔

  • @unmagicalmushroom
    @unmagicalmushroom Month ago +34

    This man deserves all the attention he’s getting, and his insights on war aren’t even nearly his most interesting takes. He’s very highly educated and insightful in various philosophical fields. Kudos to you professor!

  • @jeanine219
    @jeanine219 Month ago

    You are a brilliant and passionate presenter and educator Professor Jiang!!

  • @arenam79
    @arenam79 Month ago +94

    Remember when they told us that Kamala was gonna start WW3? 😂😂

    • @emanewl07
      @emanewl07 Month ago

      She would've been a disaster to this planet. Thank God shes not involved.

    • @deadskinrippers
      @deadskinrippers Month ago +4

      Remember when they said trumps first assassination attempt was iran 😂

    • @kawa1755
      @kawa1755 Month ago +8

      Bible talks about a trumpet i didnt expect it to be literally a guy named trump.

    • @phillips1119
      @phillips1119 Month ago +1

      Yes she Gaaad damn did. Among other things she predicted. This a not good

    • @Arashish17
      @Arashish17 Month ago +4

      Trump bankrupted the casino. Now IT wants to bankrupt the whole world.

  • @ZabbaDoShow
    @ZabbaDoShow Month ago +48

    The Desal plants are super expensive and take forever to build too, those will be huge blows

    • @ultravioletsus
      @ultravioletsus Month ago

      It takes so little effort to destroy them as well. Who'd have thought not starting wars/supporting PDF-file warmongers would make the most sense in the world.

    • @alestbest
      @alestbest Month ago

      Do Israel also have such plants?

    • @briancostello2315
      @briancostello2315 Month ago +15

      @alestbest. Yes. Almost all Their Water. 💦. Except for what they Rob From Palestinians

  • @theworkerhours3141
    @theworkerhours3141 Month ago +120

    My favorite teacher on RUclips. 🙂👏👏👏

  • @RedNose-lq3fy
    @RedNose-lq3fy Month ago

    I would pray for you from now on, you are the mentor and teacher people like me need the most right now.

  • @constermonster-if5wy
    @constermonster-if5wy Month ago +36

    I know we covered a lot.....but you scared the cr*p out of me, Professor Jiang! Thank you!!

    • @maboundry2
      @maboundry2 Month ago

      My response to him...
      I found your lecture interesting, but as I worked through the argument step by step, I started noticing some gaps in the logic. The more I looked at it, the more it felt like the scenario depends on a lot of things going wrong at the exact same time. When you start looking at each assumption one by one, the argument starts to weaken.
      Here are the main points that stood out to me.
      1. The lecture relies heavily on worst-case scenarios
      I understand why dramatic scenarios are sometimes used in lectures. They grab attention and show possible risks. But the situation presented assumes that almost every variable breaks in the worst possible way. In real life, geopolitics usually has balancing forces that prevent situations from escalating that far.
      2. The GCC is not defenseless
      The idea that Iran could easily destroy the Gulf states ignores the large military presence already in the region. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have spent billions on air defense systems like Patriot and THAAD. On top of that, the United States has major bases in the region, and the U.S. Fifth Fleet operates from Bahrain. Any large Iranian strike campaign would immediately face serious resistance.
      3. Oil infrastructure is not a single weak point
      Oil facilities can be attacked, but they are also spread out and built with backup systems. After the 2019 attacks on Saudi oil facilities, Gulf countries increased their defenses against drones and missiles. Even if some facilities were damaged, global oil supply does not come from one place anymore.
      4. The Strait of Hormuz would be extremely difficult to close
      The strait is a major shipping route, but permanently shutting it down would be very difficult. The United States and allied navies patrol that region constantly. Their mission is literally to keep shipping lanes open. Iran might disrupt traffic temporarily, but maintaining a long-term blockade against several powerful navies would be very unlikely.
      5. Water infrastructure would not instantly collapse societies
      It is true that Gulf countries rely heavily on desalination for water. However, they operate multiple plants and maintain large storage systems. Damaging some facilities would cause disruption, but it would not instantly collapse entire countries.
      6. Gulf oil is no longer the foundation of the U.S. economy
      Decades ago the United States depended heavily on Middle Eastern oil. Today that situation is very different. Because of shale production, the United States is now one of the largest oil producers in the world.
      7. Asian countries depend on Gulf oil far more than the United States
      Most Gulf oil exports go to Asia, not America. Countries like China, India, Japan, and South Korea rely heavily on that supply. If the Strait of Hormuz were shut down, those economies would likely feel the largest impact.
      8. China would also be harmed by shutting down Gulf oil
      Because China imports large amounts of Gulf oil, it would be directly harmed if that supply stopped. That makes it unlikely that China would support a strategy that damages its own energy security.
      9. Mountains are not the protection they once were
      The lecture emphasized Iran’s mountains as a kind of fortress. Geography still matters, but modern technology has changed things significantly. Satellites, drones, radar imaging, and other systems make it much harder to hide large facilities. Even deeply buried sites can be targeted with specialized bunker-busting weapons.
      10. The regional military balance is actually very lopsided
      When you look at military spending, Iran is not the dominant power in the region. Iran spends roughly around $10-16 billion a year on its military. Saudi Arabia alone spends around $70-80 billion per year. When you add the UAE and other Gulf states, the gap becomes even larger. That means the balance of power is actually much more lopsided than it may appear.
      Final Thought
      The Gulf region is clearly very important to the global economy, and the lecture raised some interesting strategic questions. But many of the conclusions seem to rely on worst-case assumptions rather than the more complicated reality of modern geopolitics. Military alliances, technological advances, and global economic interdependence all make the situation far more complex than a simple collapse scenario.

  • @roycemccutcheon8582
    @roycemccutcheon8582 Month ago +32

    So basically all this time Iran is thought of as the enemy not because of its Shia fundamentalism, but because it holds oil and because it is close to the soft underbelly of the US empire

    • @nikkinitinegara7589
      @nikkinitinegara7589 Month ago +8

      Don't forget #1: The Great Satan himself desires Iran to descend into civil war, so that his tiny country can emerge as the sole hegemonic power in the Middle East with over 200 nuclear warhead missiles

    • @MrTvjungkie
      @MrTvjungkie Month ago +3

      ​@nikkinitinegara7589what worrying me is that lunatic Satan would lost it patient because it takes too long to defeat Iran..it would launch the nuke..

    • @xDomglmao
      @xDomglmao Month ago +3

      No. While this teacher does have some good points (vulnerabilities, strategies, etc.) he's also extremely biased. Regarding your question: Google World Without Zionism conference Teheran 2005, 2005 Hezbollah cross-border raid, and IAEA Iran uranium enrichment 2005. If it wasn't for islamists in Iran, it would be just another oil rich country like Saudi Arabia, UAE, etc.

    • @roycemccutcheon8582
      @roycemccutcheon8582 Month ago +6

      @xDomglmaothe Saudis practice Wahabism which is an extreme form of Islam as well. Saudis are Islamic fundamentalists as well. Same for the Emirates, and Kuwaitis. But the gulf states are friendly to the USA and Israel, atleast outwardly. The fact that Iran resisted any manipulation of its governing leadership by the western nations, unlike the Gulf countries, makes it antagonistic. The fact that they are antagonistic, and so close in proximity to the Gulf states and Israel, makes it the western countries nervous.

    • @xDomglmao
      @xDomglmao Month ago

      @roycemccutcheon8582 You nailed it, the Saudis, etc. are friendly to the West while Iran isn't. Would be easier if everybody was friendly and threatening "to throw the Jews to the sea" or "Death to America", wouldn't it?

  • @topnotch4564
    @topnotch4564 Month ago +37

    Thank You For Explaining Professor.

  • @pearls2733
    @pearls2733 Month ago

    Only came across this professor on one of the news channel. He explains so well ❤

  • @jdizzo6210
    @jdizzo6210 Month ago +9

    You're the MAN. I don't recall ever disagreeing with you. That's rare. 👏🏻

  • @miibrawler5638
    @miibrawler5638 Month ago +20

    these videos are my movie nights

  • @Avniishe
    @Avniishe Month ago +4

    This guy has become a real predictor!! All Countries must be watching this guy to make their strategies.

  • @czar5938
    @czar5938 Month ago

    Very informative and frightening at the same time, thanks!

  • @lion_king8841
    @lion_king8841 Month ago +26

    Great videos.
    I also have seen you on national US Tv.
    You are one of the most serious yet clear analyst.
    Thank you for bringing us more clarity in this world so we can better understand it.

  • @houseofllianne
    @houseofllianne Month ago +69

    I feel like I’m learning mow than I ever learned in a Brooklyn high school

    • @jordankush4575
      @jordankush4575 Month ago +1

      Are you almost ready to turn on your country? That’s the main point of this. 😂

    • @rawlsrules
      @rawlsrules Month ago

      @jordankush4575 No. Turn on which country?

    • @snuggie6997
      @snuggie6997 Month ago +6

      lol you may learn more, but this is like an international logistics lesson. And it’s definitely a video to cause panic among nationalists and patriots in the US.

    • @jordankush4575
      @jordankush4575 Month ago

      @rawlsrulesIt seems pretty obvious its a psyop to get people to turn against the U.S.A. Everything he says bashes the U.S. Its not that he is completely worng with what he says but what is his agenda?

    • @kobrahull
      @kobrahull Month ago

      @jordankush4575 its because the US+Israel are the biggest terrorist org in the world

  • @ANGELOFDARKification
    @ANGELOFDARKification Month ago +39

    04:35 The professor nearly turned into the Joker 😂

    • @jdiazmayagoitia
      @jdiazmayagoitia Month ago +7

      I had the exact same thought 😂😂😂 I was waiting for the dog chasing cars analogy lol

    • @looneyyang1326
      @looneyyang1326 Month ago

      lol. Batman is definitely taking notes.

  • @jameswalsh2427
    @jameswalsh2427 Month ago

    Very interesting analysis thank you. Congratulations on almost 2 million views in 3 days. James J Walsh in Limerick city Ireland 🇮🇪

  • @Arunmenont2000
    @Arunmenont2000 Month ago +59

    Learnt more in this 12 min video than what i have ever learnt watching all the news!

    • @brent0708
      @brent0708 Month ago +2

      This guy is typical university, education, propaganda, probably sponsored by China.
      The United States will not go into a ground war in Iran, and never will. This is about replacing the leadership to find a leader who will support selling Iranian oil and nothing but US dollars. The war has nothing to do with people getting killed. It has nothing to do with Iran, creating nuclear weapons. It’s about hegemony with the US dollar.

    • @emilienbialecki448
      @emilienbialecki448 Month ago +1

      Was just about to comment the exact same thing! Tv=propaganda

    • @Talaxiin
      @Talaxiin Month ago

      @b@brent0708m coming back to this in a few weeks we’ll see if your wrong sir.

  • @RLPCYARN
    @RLPCYARN Month ago +5

    Bro connects the dots with highways

  • @K2Kelp
    @K2Kelp Month ago +98

    bro my degree is useless and my career is a deadend lol and no gf

    • @tanquerayandchronic5308
      @tanquerayandchronic5308 Month ago +24

      Keep rockin’ Bro! You never know when it will turn around.

    • @seanbeukman9563
      @seanbeukman9563 Month ago +10

      The good news is the gf part. Well done! From a divorcee. The degree never really mattered but was nec. Career wise? Do your own thing. Make MONEY! There are so many consumers in the world. Be blessed. Im also retired and single. My female pitbull is my sweetest honey bun ever. Too cute for words, true story. Never been happier.

    • @germsocial96
      @germsocial96 Month ago +3

      Right there with you

    • @harkisfintechreview5742
      @harkisfintechreview5742 Month ago +7

      You may not realize it but you are the happiest man in the world.

    • @Divinespark44
      @Divinespark44 Month ago +3

      @tanquerayandchronic5308 bro is 65 y/o how long will he have to wait lol

  • @zeinashreif0
    @zeinashreif0 Month ago

    Very good , smooth explanation , well explained professor Jiang, all love and respect 🙏

  • @OlympischbriesjeNadaAverage

    they design this war to mess and harm the rest of the planet.

  • @prst99
    @prst99 Month ago +6

    Seems like a great story. I want to see an evaluation of this and other past videos when the actual results occur.

  • @JillsShortVideos
    @JillsShortVideos Month ago +11

    Good Explanation

  • @RajagopalChetty
    @RajagopalChetty Month ago +1

    So proud of you for speaking the truth about Iran

  • @1976donzi
    @1976donzi Month ago +11

    Love listening to the professor and his calm logic view of the march of history in our world today

  • @TufuDeDrake
    @TufuDeDrake Month ago +189

    Iran is smartly implementing Salvo doctrine.

    • @ewc58
      @ewc58 Month ago +17

      Oh yes, and sooo effective too

    • @matthiasschwarzenberger9579
      @matthiasschwarzenberger9579 Month ago

      What's that

    • @king_ish
      @king_ish Month ago +23

      Can someone passionate about this subject please explain what salvo doctrine is?

    • @dudewhosadude7711
      @dudewhosadude7711 Month ago +3

      ​@matthiasschwarzenberger9579 don't you have uh.. maybe THE GODAMN INTERNET!! find out the info yourself, why everything's gotta be spoonfed to ya?

    • @dudewhosadude7711
      @dudewhosadude7711 Month ago +3

      ​@king_ish you perhaps have internet maybe?

  • @dayslife
    @dayslife Month ago +88

    your knowledge is priceless.👍

    • @benkeenan9923
      @benkeenan9923 Month ago +1

      how wtf do we do w it all i see is that we are doomed unless rich lmfao

  • @begodallah1331
    @begodallah1331 Month ago +6

    The world is watching this guy

    • @paulleo-g1b
      @paulleo-g1b 23 days ago

      This person is a CCP propaganda machine.

  • @zeinabaydoun
    @zeinabaydoun Month ago +95

    The is is horrifying, thank you for helping us understand the gravity of the situation, Professor! God help this world

    • @iamwearingacup
      @iamwearingacup Month ago +2

      He's full of shit. The strait is already open. Iran can't close it they aren't capable.

    • @anonymous_anonymity
      @anonymous_anonymity 24 days ago

      ​@iamwearingacupAre you living under a rock? It's close and dead.

    • @iamwearingacup
      @iamwearingacup 24 days ago

      ​@anonymous_anonymityare you living under a rock? Iran letting ships through. Begging for a deal.