👉 Get Steve Merril's Picks: wt.buzz/sm 🏈 Live NFL Odds: wt.buzz/nfl-odds 📺 Rest of NFL Week 6 Videos: wt.buzz/2024nfl6 🏈 More Free NFL Picks: www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/NFL 🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for NFL Week 6? Let us know in the comments below 👇
San Francisco moneyline, like over 49 as well, George kittle over 48.5 receiving yards and over 4.5 receptions. Great video breakdown. B daddy. Good luck
Prime time unders. If you bet every primetime game to go UNDER you would be up money wise. In the last 5 years the UNDER is 158-105-4 (60.1%) in prime time games
@@youngmantravelig1795 Totally agree...that's why the hit rate is only at 60.1%. But it just says over the long run if you just blindly bet all unders then you would be in the positive
Good point John, can make an argument that the short turnaround, just 3 days, preparation maybe favors the defenses? But also might keep more of the same and so far these defenses have been struggling, in this particular matchup at least.
do you help your clients if they need advice because the line moves? I see several games you picked where the lines have moved. I know you have been great so far with your picks and i would like to say thank you also
Kenneth Walker O 2.5 receptions at -170. Not the best line but could hit very easily if SF stops the run game for Seattle and they have to get Walker out in space. This has hit for 4/5 running backs against SF this season and Seattle loves to pass, including to the RB. Let me know what you think
Thursday night I like to take the better team, obviously that is S. F. My concern is the hook..........so I will wait to see if I can get a minus 3. If not, I will take S.F.
I'm a Seahawk fan an I hate betting overs. I will make an exception on this one. There are a lot of top defensive starters for Seattle out for this game. And I can't remember how many times I've eaten crow because of Geno Smith. He is a good QB and he will put the points on the board. And the Seattle defense will give up the points.
I like the under. Public is heavy on the over bc of the last TNF game. But I think the offenses keep it plain and try to get out of the game without any more injuires. Maybe Hawks win 17-13 or 9ers 20-17. But I don't see the 9ers covering the 3.5 and I don't see it being a high scoring game. I'm fading the public and going under the total. Full game. BOL
@@chrissinclair4442 I'm considering the niners team total. I don't think Seattle has a strong defense, they looked good against Denver, New England, and back up qbs for Miami. They've been terrible against Detroit and new York.
7 minute video with over half of it not even talking about your bet, which is simply over the points total😅I’m not one to criticize free content but as a channel that’s giving out free picks how much advertisement do I need shoved down my throat 🤣
@@stevemerril1485 as always infinitely greatful for the picks, that you don’t needa get out… but in a day and age where attention spans are lowered how are y’all gonna wait the first 2 mins of a prediction video to get the prediction started and only go on for 3.5 minute
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🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for NFL Week 6? Let us know in the comments below 👇
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Nice pick Steve! 41 points in the second half!
👍💲
Thanks Steve! Good call!
Slow start, but it worked out at the end.
San Francisco moneyline, like over 49 as well, George kittle over 48.5 receiving yards and over 4.5 receptions. Great video breakdown. B daddy. Good luck
Good luck this weekend Big Daddy!
Steve fantastic call on the under last night in the liberty game..got 55.5. finally on the right side of the hook
I was in the same boat as you. Good win. Thanks Steve!
💲🏈👍
Thanks Stev for the over😂
Nice win!
Watching this video while Hurricane Milton wreaks havoc outside. Have my boat ready. I don't ever miss a Steve wagertalk video!
Stay safe Daniel, please let us know how you are doing after the storm has passed.
Be safe brother hope all is well and hope we all win money on my 49ers🎉
still no power just got service from it. sad to be here late
@@PimpDaddy20 Stay safe
Another winner. Good Call Steve
Steve, great analysis as always. There's a lot of sites/sources that have public betting splits, is there a reliable source you recommend?
I use numerous sources, so I would be careful relying on just one site.
what do i do when the ovr unr line moves a point and half the line on sea vs sf is now 49 you said 47.5
I normally build in a few points of line value with every selection, but to be safe, you can always downgrade a % when the line moves 1 point.
Prime time unders. If you bet every primetime game to go UNDER you would be up money wise. In the last 5 years the UNDER is 158-105-4 (60.1%) in prime time games
Trends aren’t always absolute, these defenses are depleted, give me the Ova!
@@youngmantravelig1795 Totally agree...that's why the hit rate is only at 60.1%. But it just says over the long run if you just blindly bet all unders then you would be in the positive
Is there another way to be up besides money wise ?
@@michaelblankenau6598 Well you can be up mentally or in a fantasy league with no cash involved
Good point John, can make an argument that the short turnaround, just 3 days, preparation maybe favors the defenses? But also might keep more of the same and so far these defenses have been struggling, in this particular matchup at least.
do you help your clients if they need advice because the line moves? I see several games you picked where the lines have moved. I know you have been great so far with your picks and i would like to say thank you also
Yes, every Best Bet I release to my clients at WT has line parameter information included as well in the analysis.
Thanks Steve good call last night ❤
Thank you for watching
I Like Purdy over 1.5 TD passes on this defense, given the way Goff threw on them.
Thinking of going over 44 parlayed with mason TD and over on Geno’s pass attempts
Best of luck!
I like it, thank you for including some props, always appreciate it!
Kenneth Walker O 2.5 receptions at -170. Not the best line but could hit very easily if SF stops the run game for Seattle and they have to get Walker out in space. This has hit for 4/5 running backs against SF this season and Seattle loves to pass, including to the RB. Let me know what you think
Ok . I’ll think about it .
I like it Zachary, thank you for including props!
Take Charbonnet instead
@@Marquise-c3m I think you’re right!
Going against you on this one. I have under 49.Love your show. Thanks.
All the money is on the over 😂I love the under and ML 49ers get their 3 win
Remember it’s never Under until it’s over .
49.5 MGM
@@michaelblankenau6598 okay drunk man
Good line as total is climbing and getting a bit pricey
Good luck on Thursday night, thanks for watching everyone! 👍🏈💲
Teaser 49ers -2.5 / total over 41.5 at +112.
Kittle over 4.5 catches +112.
🎉
Good job
Thank you for watching Joe
It's a high total considering the majority of games this year seem to be lower than 45.
It is high, especially considering it's a divisional game with a quick turnaround.
26-23 is a favorite score between these two teams. But last 5 games Total was 34,34,64,44,44
Good info, I think high 40s is probably reasonable tonight
steve, I like your style!
I don't have a question, but just wanted to help boost you by commenting
my comment is......thank you!
Thank you James, always appreciate you watching and commenting! 👍
Line is 49 is the play the under now?
Yes . For sure . The over is a lock at 48.5 , but at 49 you gotta take the Under .
I still lean Over, but it has gotten pricier since I recorded the video, but I don't switch the selection just based on a two point line move.
You’re one of my favs! Keep up the great work.
Thank you!
What you think?
Jordan mason over 82 rushing
Kittle over 4.5 receptions
Gen5 over 200 passing
I think those props make sense, thank you for commenting and including them!
Steve how many picks do u guarantee to give in your 1-year that’s discounted? Per day on avg or week?
On average I usually have 1-3 plays per day. So approximately 600-700 per year would be a good estimate.
Z Charbonett over 13.5 rec yds.
Thanks for including the prop, good luck tonight!
Yizzer
Somebody please respond should I full send ?
Gino smith passing yards 225+
Dk rec yards 60+
George kettle rec 40 yards +
I got Geno Smith at 225.5
Debo Samuels at 22.5
Dk met-22.5
Brock purdy 0.5 passing yards
Always full send
@@firsttime6102atleast make purdy at 22.5 considering you need Samuel’s at 22.5 just makes sense
Good call on that under last night [Liberty/FIU].
do you still like the over at 49??
47 and 48 are key numbers
I still used it, but downgraded a couple % because of the line move from 47.5 to 49.
I predict 17-23 low score game
I'll take the Hawks +3.5. Books giving SF too much respect. This 49ers team seems to be having a bit of a hangover, plus they're pretty beat up.
Tough pick , seems like an obvious pick Seattle at Home but SF seems like there due for a better game . Tough pick!
@@josephdell8056no cmc no Deebo this isn’t the same team as last year
@@KaisTheLimit i took Seahawks + 3.5 on a parlay!
@@KaisTheLimit They're just not the same team w/out Debo.
@@KaisTheLimit deebo is playing.
Always love your videos Steve Thank you for making them
Thank you for watching Robert, that's why I make them 👍📺
Steve, I’ve been your client since season started.
I’ve been losing betting on or against 49ers.
Should I play this Thursday?
do you think it will go over 49?
I’d say the chances are around 50/50 . But don’t quote me on that.
I still lean over, but it is getting a bit pricy now with the line going higher
Wish i listened to u yesterday on ohio. Took the under. Never know which Ohio st team is going to show up. They rolled over Ten
Nice work Steve 💰
Thank you!
Steve, O/U currently sitting at 48.5/49. Up to what number would you play the over to?
Thursday night I like to take the better team, obviously that is S. F. My concern is the hook..........so I will wait to see if I can get a minus 3. If not, I will take S.F.
Yeah I wish I pulled the trigger. At 49, might be time to consider under
what's up Steve ?? take a look at Kenny walker under 13.5 rushing attempts, ride that w me $$$$$ he hasn't hit all year and sf can still stop the run
sorry he hasn't hit this in 5 straight games against to 10 def .. and its + $$$
I'm gonna take the under slightly if it's running and penalties it should go under by a few points
Remember I had Dallas😊
💪🏿👊🏿👏🏿💰
Thank you for watching
Although you missed 2 this weekend. They were still good bets. Cowboys scored on 4th down and kc game had 2 ints in the red zone.
Giants n Texans money!
NO was terrible in that game. The score was flattering . KC kicked them around. Just couldnt finish many drives !
If NO could get T Hill back that could help ! Now Carr is hurt though .
Went early -3 and over 461/2 From Seattle they have no defense at all.
Nice.... Its at 49.5 now
Nice line value
I like the Over
4 th Quarter Scoring , Final Plays
Good luck tonight
Can’t do it, at 49 my places.
I was betting SF so side does nothing for me
I'm a Seahawk fan an I hate betting overs. I will make an exception on this one. There are a lot of top defensive starters for Seattle out for this game. And I can't remember how many times I've eaten crow because of Geno Smith. He is a good QB and he will put the points on the board. And the Seattle defense will give up the points.
I like the under. Public is heavy on the over bc of the last TNF game. But I think the offenses keep it plain and try to get out of the game without any more injuires. Maybe Hawks win 17-13 or 9ers 20-17. But I don't see the 9ers covering the 3.5 and I don't see it being a high scoring game. I'm fading the public and going under the total. Full game. BOL
@@JustLiftUceYizzer
Hay Steve I don’t see your Blow out any more. When will you have another one?
Really liking Walker for over Receiving yards - 18.5 seems pretty low to me. Personally my pick of the week. 👍
Take Charbonnet over 13.5 much safer and same payout
My book has 49.5, to get 47.5 it's -141....too much juice
What you mean?
@@deanne9627 the odds are too high at -141...you have to risk too much to get the same payout, that's what too much juice means
I wouldn't touch the o/u on this game in case one of them decides to play defense.
@@chrissinclair4442 I'm considering the niners team total. I don't think Seattle has a strong defense, they looked good against Denver, New England, and back up qbs for Miami. They've been terrible against Detroit and new York.
@@abemunchkin1271 yeah, I don't disagree. I have been doing well on unders, but definitely wouldn't under this game.
S.F
Good call $$$
7 minute video with over half of it not even talking about your bet, which is simply over the points total😅I’m not one to criticize free content but as a channel that’s giving out free picks how much advertisement do I need shoved down my throat 🤣
We , like Thanksgiving turkeys , have much in common .
I gave you three and a half straight minutes of analysis and free play and then I did the promotion afterwards I think that's a fair balance.
@@stevemerril1485 as always infinitely greatful for the picks, that you don’t needa get out… but in a day and age where attention spans are lowered how are y’all gonna wait the first 2 mins of a prediction video to get the prediction started and only go on for 3.5 minute
Should change the title to:
Steve promotes his paid group for 7 minutes straight
It's almost like this is his job
@@allstars617🤔🤣