Two points that make resolving China's demographic problems more difficult. -China isn't just having trouble attracting immigrants, its actively losing hundreds of thousands of people a year to emmigration. -The decline of birth rates isn't just because of the one child policy. Other east Asian countries have experienced similar birth rate problems. The one child policy just exacerbated other trends, making it all the more potent and also meaning that fixing it is going to be a lot more difficult than reversing the policy.
@@JK-gu3tl Look at the numbers. They are one of the countries in the world with less migration. The chinese people outside of China migrated 20 years ago.
I lived in China, speak Mandarin, and worked with local Chinese businesses. Yet, because I am not Han and I am not another local 少数民族 (minority ethnic group), I was never allowed to assimilate. Even my friends who are completely fluent and married to local Chinese people aren't ever allowed to assimilate. Being consistently othered is tiring. It drains you, saps you of energy. Large scale long lasting immigration into an ethno-centric country like China is unlikely to happen, and there certainly won't be enough migrants for China to deal with its coming demographic crisis.
Most leave. My brother in law is Chinese, they immigrated to Canada when he was 10. His family did amazing in Canada. He has to go back once a year to do banking. And he hates it. They always go to Japan for a week while waiting for the banking to be done. Canada is getting many even million of imitation form China every few years. We just jumped to 40 million this year. His family was also allowed to have more children in Canada. Which was one of the reasons they immigrated. His grandmother survived The great leap forward. It seems the gov when it comes to population, is always backwards and reductive. And as we can see from the tens of millions of missing female Chinese women. The outcome was predicted. But ignored.
Indeed. As a Chinese person I would say that China might be among the countries that are most unwelcoming to immigrants. Ethno-centric countries have cohesion as a great strength, but the demographic crisis will become almost inevitable when the birth rate drops.
I feel like lots of countries in East Asia are. They are just as developed (if not more) than European and North American countries yet unlike the west they want to maintain a homogenous society. I get that, Asian culture is beautiful and should be preserved, but countries like Korea, China, and Japan have to start letting immigration into their countries the same way America, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and Europe did. It would benefit their economies and solve their population problems.
@@iciajay6891 i get it.But most Chinese people right now are living safe and decent lives. ( i have lived in shanghai and visited many villages from 2013-2021). But it's not worth coming to Canada or any white majority nation because of the extreme racism and Anti- Chinese sentiments in those countries. If they go to Canada, they would be attacked, punched, kicked, constantly bullied, discriminated or even murdered by white people. The last thing a Chinese person wants it to live as a 2nd class citizen in Canada that is being treated differently just because he is non-white. So, i think its best if they just stay in china and have more babies to help the country overcome this crisis.
Slightly unrelated but the official Brazilian census just reported 203 million people which is far below the official numbers of around 216 million you will see if you google it. Population growth was very slow as well. A true China census might indicate their population is actually a good bit lower than what is believed. Birth rates look VERY bad.
"more people than... and Australia combined" always makes me laugh because Aus is pretty much a big country by landmass alone, it has good drama factor on a world map for anyone who doesn't live here XD
@@Richdragon4 thats the point, saying "and australia" is only significant because of its size on the world map and not anything else about the country, which means only uneducated people will be shocked
I think there was a missed opportunity to talk about how work culture has become just as crippling to the childbirth rate, but there are so many factors that're damning China for the next century.
slowed population growth is bad, but the fact that their richest/most educated people are leaving the country as fast as possible, and nobody is immigrating, is a far bigger problem. They're also particularly vulnerable to climate change, and a lot of their growth up to this point has been illusory. Buildings projects that nobody needs add to GDP but it's just a bubble with no substance. That's actually something that's very similar to Japan!
@@TheStrangeBloke The people going out of china is negligeble and even then most of them are going back to china and not staying permanently in other countrues. Look at the statista graphs you will see it
I find it fascinating how many people are more concerned with GDP and publicly traded share prices, than with native populations being replaced in the next 100 years. China will still be Chinese 100 years from now. Japan will still be Japanese 100 years from now. In the centuries or millennia view of things, China and the Chinese people and Japan and the Japanese people will be just fine. What will happen to the European French, Germans, Italians, and British in the next 100 years due to mass immigration? They will turn into minorities in their own ethnic homelands. They will lose their culture, shared history, and political power. But "muh GDP" is more important to the people in power than becoming minorities in their own homelands after thousands of years of living in their respective lands. What about Whites in North America or Australia/New Zealand in the next 100 years? Same as above. Europeans will soon become minorities in those countries. This is the case in virtually every country inhabited by ethnic Europeans. This is truly what the ideological battle between nationalism and internationalism is all about.
The graphics are great, especially the population curves moving through time. Presenting abstract data in such a visually vivid form is really helpful to understanding it.
THAT IS TRUE. BUT ITS CONCLUSION MAY NOT BE NECESSARILY TRUE. BECAUSE HUMANS R CAPABLE OF INTRODUCING UNFORESEEN CLEVER SOLUTION. SPECAILLY THE WISE CHINESE.
China's also got a different problem weighing on demographics that the government doesn't want to fix: the 9-9-6 schedule 9am to 9pm 6 days a week. That keeps wages low, but it also keeps youth unemployment high (+20%) and makes family life very difficult
Lmao, 996 is definitely not common practice in China and is practically illegal. There really is a lack of accurate information on the country in the western world. Same goes for the myth of the social credit system.
THE CHINESE CULTURE OF BEING HARD WORKING IS AN ASSET TO THE NATION. THAT DOES NOT DEPRIVE JOBS FROM THE YOUNG. THE GOVERNMENT CAN FIGURE OUT HOW TO PROVIDE EMPLOYMENT FOR THEIR WELL EDUCATED YOUTH. THAT IS NOT AN INSOLUBLE PROBLEM. THE CHINESE R SO INNOVATIVE N RESOURCEFUL.
0:30 Calling the massive death in the 1960's a "famine" obfuscates the fact that it was entirely avoidable and largely had to do with Mao's policy of "industrialization" in the Great Leap Forward.
I’m not so convinced that indias population will rise to such lofty heights. In much of India there is already a significant slowing of birth rates. There is still rapid growth in populations around the major cities of Delhi, Mumbai, Calcutta, Bangalore and other cities, however a lot of this is being driven by migration from regional and rural areas.
Yeah, the less developed states are more populated and also have >2.1 birth rate ratio. The rest of India is actually less than ideal, so it is a worrying trend. But, I do hope we learn from others and don't repeat their mistakes.
There's also the issue of whether India is capable of sustaining and managing such a large population, or if it will be its own downfall. After all, India's civil infrastructure is not very well-developed, and with a country where so many poor people live in very unhealthy conditions and lack sufficient resources to cater to all these people, a new epidemic could be devastating for the country.
One small addendum: Even though the policy is now widely known as the "one child policy", that's technically not correct, as it was a "one birth policy". Of course, most often these two amount to the same thing, but the important difference being that if you gave birth to more than one child at a time, ie twins, you didn't have to give any up, and got to keep all of them. So in essence, you were allowed more than one kid, granted they were all part of the same birth.
It also counted each parent individually. So if one parent has a child then loses their partner, they cannot have a child with any new partners. So that means that is 1 child between 2 couples.
Considering how many women were made to abort their wanted pregnancies by state backed clinics I don't think you've read enough about the horrendous reality of this policy....you not only lost the government support but also risk penalties for breaking the policy and having more than one child, so ppl just went into hiding in the countryside until the second and third child were born and left there to be raised by relatives while the parents went back into the cities for work. There are a bunch of documentaries about this topic I highly recommend you watch for the testimonials
As a product of the one child policy, I hate being an only son due to the ungodly amount of intergenerational trauma that is dumped on me. That policy was the absolute worst thing ever. It leads to so much emotional abuse that is normalized by our culture. EDIT: The not-all-parents apologists replying to me who didn't bother reading previous replies should note that I already said "I don't speak for everyone."
The one child policy despite technically working to reduce birth rates caused a humongous human cost I had the opposite experience from you where because I was born differently I was given away and while I love my current family I may never know my roots and culture
@@amylee9 I won’t speak for everyone. The short generic version is that our parents’ love for us is often conditional. We’re constantly threatened with abandonment if we don’t perform well academically, financially, and (eventually) socially. Shaming and hazing are common, as are constant comparisons to other people due to a rigid culture of saving face. Emotional manipulation and love-bombing aren’t uncommon either. We’re basically suppressed from showing weakness, emotion, or imperfections. Even if we finish school and secure a decent job, our parents demand grandchildren ASAP. To hell with you having a happy marriage, because theirs wasn’t happy, so why do you need such high standards in your relationship? After all, only through you will our family tree continue. Doesn’t make for raising well-rounded, mentally stable young adults that would be interested in having children.
The issue of immigration into China stems from difficulties obtaining long-term residency permits and ultimately the lack of a streamlined process for naturalization/obtaining citizenship. In order for a foreigner to obtain citizenship, they must have immediate family that holds Chinese nationality, possess permanent residency, and have legitimate reasons for naturalizing, which is rather vague and all of which is under the discretion of the immigration department to accept of reject.
@@Dionysos640 I'm talking strictly about people who already have the intention of immigrating. But sure, the number of people who want to go through the naturalization process are few. But I disagree that Chinese people wouldn't be open to foreigners assimilating, especially one that would be forgoing their old citizenship to naturalize as a "Chinese".
let's not forget how disastrous an invasion of Taiwan would be. imagine invading Ukraine, except Ukraine is an island covered in mountains, has been training to defend itself for 70 years, has one of the best militaries in the world (top 30), has a population that largely opposes unification with China, and is guaranteed to be defended by the most powerful nation in history.
The Chinese are biding their time to develop the technology and tactics to take Taiwan the same way the US effortlessly obliterated Iraq in Desert Storm. This will be designed to shock America specifically.
It recently came out that China was likely over counting their population to the tune of 100 million people. So they probably became the second largest country some time in 2018 and possibly all the numbers you mention in this video should be adjusted by 5 years or more.
I hear it's a good deal worse than that. But sadly, it will take a major change at the top before we finally get real population numbers. And who knows when that will happen? At least once, with Deng, it happened without any great bloodshed. So there's a little hope for something other than some grim disaster to finally get at the truth.
@LD-Orbs I'm by no means very knowledgeable on China but everything I learned about the central government's relationship with the provincial governments is that there is always tremendous pressure to meet expectations. This has led to fluffing all metrics to exaggerate or hide information. It wouldn't surprise me there is pressure to overinflate population numbers.
There’s even a conspiracy theory that China is lying about their population by the tune of hundreds of millions. Some people started analyzing their consumption of certain goods and their exports/imports, and determined it should actually be 700-900 million. If true, that’s just insane.
Chinese local government get funding from the central government, in part, relative to their population stats, so there is huge incentives to fudge the numbers. The best guesses are that this has indeed been going on and to absolutely ridculous levels. Personally, I wouldn't be shocked if China's actual population number was 100-250 million lower than their stats suggest.
Bruh moment... Either the script writer is uneducated in history of counties like China, Russia, not even mentioning Middle-Eastern countries... Or consistently and deliberately pushing pro-American propaganda on unprepared viewers! So much made-up facts and HUGE "IFs" about these countries, but no mentions of similar or worse problems in the US (which perspective is somehow ALWAYS right). Its obvious that the US will never keep up with Chinas population because: 1) Ratio of national structures. 90% of China are Chinese people, but for the US its: germans, mexicans, african americans, italian, irish, ASIAN including chinese and 5-10% are white americans. 2) USA population growth is mainly due to migration from other countries. I'd love to see the world where chinese americans will go to war against their own nation of china xDD 3) NATO alliance doesn't mean that some Albanian dudes will go to war with China if USA tells them to. So why does author counts them as ONE NATION? But all of the Chinese will support their country when the NATO attacks. You don't need to be very smart and educated to just analyze what the author says and to understand that something is definitely OFF about this channel.
I feel like the effect of the famine in 1959-61 is an underrated influence on people’s willingness to go along with the one child policy. If you/your parents just survived a massive famine, and then you get told it will happen again unless you quit having kids, that must have been a huge motivation. So what this really is, is a lesson in how playing on very real fears widespread across a population can lead to panicked decisions that have serious consequences down the road. Of course this never happens anywhere else either /s
There were a lot of people who ignored it still, especially in rural areas where it was harder to enforce (and also where the death tolls of the famine were highest). China Wakes, an investigative journalism book from the 90s has a pretty long chapter of it. Oftentimes (but not always), officials who were sent to enforce the policy could be paid off or would decide on the spot to charge a fee. The flip side of that are the forced abortions carried out by the state.
Without birth control, an agricultural country must suffer famine cyclically. Population growth is exponential but land and resources are constants. It was not only 1959-1961 that told this story, there were dozens of such stories, told in ancient Chinese history.
@@yipengguo2732 youre right, in a pre-industrial world, but the mass introduction of fertilisers and pesticides have changed it, from that period onward, yields have grown exponentially.
I'll say one counterpoint: some historians argue that the explosion in population in the early Qing dynasty was due to peasants trying to repopulate after the famines of the Little Ice age and the war of transition between the Ming and Qing dynasties. So, perhaps the trauma mass death by famine and war isn't always expressed in not having kids, but it's often the opposite: people respond to death by having kids. Some historians also posit that populations that are subject to disasters like typhoons and monsoons (ex: SE Asia and India) tend to have more children per household to repopulate quickly after these events. However, as you said, the government rhetoric was that the famine would happen again if people don'tstop having kids, so that might've changed ppls perception and desire to have kids this time
'lead to panicked decisions' Combined with population control beign an inherently laden subject to begin with, the human factor makes mistakes, oversights and impulsivity and power plays even more common.
In big cities in China, the cost of raising a child is even higher than in the United States, Japan, and South Korea, and the income of ordinary Chinese families is lower than that of families in developed countries, so it is strange that China's birth rate continues to decline.
the income is not exactly accounted for purchasing disparity. While Chinese earn about $10,000. The living standard they have is similar to that of Western European country except they have less crime than France and Italy but lower social trust than Germany or Luxemburg
@@draker769 That's because crime is horrifyingly and significantly overly punished, and they hide TONS and TONS and TONS of crimes to make their numbers look better. They do the same with their GDP and it's estimated to be about 40% less than reported.
The cost is always higher in poorer countries (Switzerland has the highest purchasing power) but if the family doesnt care and gives them a bad life then it doesnt matter.
@@draker769 You cannot really generalize China the difference is huge between big urban centers such as Shanghai and Beijing and the countryside where most Chinese people live. Shanghai is very westernized and the salaries are quite high, the average salary would probably be around $10,000 a year as you say but if you go to the country side that average salary will be $4000 a year in a well-off province and less than $2000 a year in a poor province. The standard of living in Shanghai is similar to a Western European country however the Chinese countryside is nowhere near the living standard that you find in Europe. My wife's hometown is in a well-off province but even there it's like going back in time. A lot of farmers still use Ox to pull the same plows you could see hundreds of years ago. Your assessment would be correct for maybe the top 10 urban centers, rest of China though.. not so much.
A lot of people say China is going to overtake the US as the global superpower, but I never bought that argument because China has plenty of problems themselves, from this shrinking population, to the lack of water in the Northern cities, to their own housing crisis in the making, and to the lack of allies and insufficient global soft power. People emigrate from China, while people still immigrate to the US.
@@xxmissuo They don't . The USA is one of the rare nations on earth that can be 100% self-sufficient relying on no other source for energy, water, food, building materials, minerals etc. Inside the North American Union they can not just be self-sufficient but have excess and sell and export that which they don't need. They do not have a shrinking population but one likely to keep growing (and is notorious undercounting). Unlike China PRC, the USA has a massive variety of allies. The USA has gigantic soft power, hard power, global networking power, it has bases, banks and major trade and agreements across the planet and with highly significant power. China has nearly none of those things. The USA has nearly ALL those things. So, the answer is no, nobody thinks the USA has those problems other than some Mainland Chinese cut-off from the outside world, fed relentless 'USA is declining China number ONE!' stories and that's especially dangerous as they start wondering why this weak foolish little USA isn't being "Punished" yet? Why isn't it being "punished"? Hmm.. maybe something doesn't add up.
To add some more: US has a lot of natural resources, while China other than rare earths, has little. US has a LOT of flat land for large scale agriculture, while China is limited. China has a lot of disputes and conflits with its neighboring countries, while the US is rather more stable with its neighbors. The defacto international currency is the US dollar, and it is extremely hard to change even in several years, if it does change. And to date, no currency can challenge the US dollar by a very long shot. The only upper hand that China has is work force and an authoritarian government, which carries out policies faster and silences social unrest more easily. If China's AI technology cannot dominate in the future, then I don't see how China will overtake the US as the global superpower in any way possible.
It’s a super ominous feeling knowing that China really only has about 7-10 years to realize it’s geopolitic goals before it becomes increasingly improbable and with the United States posturing itself the way it has all signs are pointing to a confrontation.
@@peteck007 That's the thing, China's post-covid economy is reaaal bad. Basically, all foreign investment is progressively leaving because of the CCP's stupidity.
lol, horseshite! china cannot do anything on its own, they have to steal others' ideas, and there is no such thing as independent thought or initiative among its populace. 🤣
Honestly I felt the economic reform initiative since the late 1970s has a much larger impact in controlling Chinese population in the long run than the one child policy. Improvement of living standards leading to change of perspective is always the most effective contraceptive in any culture.
But Chinese aren't any rich, ~40% of Chinese are still poor people from countryside. And there were much more 20-40 years ago. Without very aggressive population controls these people would have 3-4 children minimum even to these days.
@@vladimirk7686China has been an agricultural country for a long time, when technology was not developed, one more person meant one more person to work for the family, and now the poorest people in China are those who move from the countryside to the city, the rural area is now the focus of development of the Chinese government, their living cost is very low compared with the big cities. And they can build their own houses cheaply on rural collective land
Industrialization and then the resulting urbanization, by far, reduces birth rates more than anything else world wide. People have less children in cities because of the space constraints and the resulting increased expenses from them. Unless you have a robust immigration policy, your country will slowly age into extinction. All advanced economies have followed this trajectory from WW2 until present day, birth rates directly correlating to the pace of urbanization. The CCP only compounded the problem with their insane 1 child policy and lack of any coherent immigration policy.
@@vladimirk7686 Even poor people can afford smartphones and internet to distract themselves these days. It's game over for humanity. We will cease to exist before the end of this millennium.
0:50 I used to go to school through this place everyday, it's the anand vihar bus terminal and the building you see behind is the pacific mall and that stairway bridge connects to the anand vihar metro station blue line
I always find it odd that countries(and funnily enough companies) kind of need the population to continue to expand to fuel this constant growth of industry and production and yet they pursue policies that actively make people's live worse if they are providing for children instead of you know......incentivising starting a family???? Even just the absolutely most basic needs like making sure they have food or shelter to you know.....survive to productive adulthood let alone real dealmakers like subsidized childcare.
since companies basically suck their workforce dry thus making it harder to start families, the most reliable solve to this problem would be to import migrant workforce from other countries. this is a process that cannot be stopped unless governments on day to have a career and care for 2.1 children to keep population from declining
That's because the basic method of just needing more and cheaper labor, which necessitates more births already hints at the companies being exploitative. That means that they don't care if *you* have an easy time having children. If you don't and can't have children, they will move on to exploit others or you in other ways.
There's nothing odd here really. The drive in people to support their family are partly what keeps the economy going: their expenses become other people's earings. But what average people earn are fundamentally controlled by some a few, and eventually taken by the same group. The MAGIC of modern finance.
12:05 this is the most insane thing I heard. Girl children were passed for adoptation so that the couple could try for male child. I think the Chinese government didn't consider this possiblity at first, but when they noticed the damage was done.
It’s very rare, all the girls I know from China are single child with post-college educations. And many urban families prefer girls. Also woman don’t change their last name after marriage, plus now it’s trend than girl would take mom’s last name after born. It’s not as traditional as how we projecting it by our understanding of our own culture…
That's the best scenario, a lot of times they were left to die. In China it's illegal to know the sex of the baby before it's born so if you want a boy then you cannot make an early abortion you need to actually wait until the child is born and well... get rid of it somehow if it's a girl. They did change it later so if your first child was a girl you could get another child but this didn't apply everywhere.
That's the history of China in a nutshell. Broad sweeping laws because the government didn't consider the possibilities. Examples are the great leap forward and the great revolution.
@@jaymarx The people you know obviously can not depict the whole picture here. There are currently 30 million more men than women in China according to the official census. Where are the girls gone? Abortion unfortunately.
India is 70% rural. Big cities like Delhi and Mumbai make up under 5% of the population. Yet there seems to be an obsession with using 90s stock video of Indian metro cities to represent the country. And if you understand India through its villages, you will understand why its population has surpassed China.
But, do you think that this could lead to a disaster for India 🇮🇳 if you have a nationwide drought or flooding? Those are a lot of mouths to feed & countries like Nigeria and Ethiopia face a similar problem.
India's urbanization rate is hovering steadily between 1.3% and 1.5% yearly, and likely will continue around this rate for some time, while the birth rate has only recently hit right at or just under the replacement rate on average, so the growth in population does appear to be headed upward for a good while, but at a steadily slowing rate. Also I think the stock footage thing is an issue of availability and recognition more than anything. Those bits of footage are the easiest to find and most easily recognizable as "India" for the average (western) viewer.
It doesn't get a lot of attention, but Japan monitors China's salt consumption. Not industrial, food salt. They have seen a major decline over several decades. Their current estimate is between 800 - 900 million. Officially China reports 1.2 Billion. The declines tracked by Japan show that the death tolls from SARS and Covid were much larger than officially reported. Interestingly, this number closely matches the number of citizens from the Shanghai Police data breach. Again, this is not an official total, just a guess based on external data.
Yup ,according to a professor at the University of Beijing ,subdivisions of China inflate their population number to receive more fund from the central government (Like what Corsica did in France ,from the 1830's to the 1950's ,in the XIXth century ,Corsica had both the oldest population (It was the territory in the world where the percentage of people that were more than 65 years old was the highest) ,the least young in the population (Lowest percentage of less than 15 years old) and also had huge emigration (Going to France mainland ,Italy ,Spain ,Caribbean ,Central America) ,there population was already decreasing naturally in the 1830's so on every census ,they falsified their number to make it seem like they were growing in population ,to receive more fund ,and they were only caught falsifying in the 50's) ,this professor estimate the real population of China to be 1,28 Billions ,then there is 2 study ,a Russian one (Based on vaccines ,real one ,not the physiological saline solution of the Cold-19) ,they estimate the population to be 800 Millions ,and a Japanese one (Based on Salt) which estimate it at 850 Millions . China also lies about it's GDP ,with it's economy ,the quality of life in China should atleast be at the level of Romania ,Bulgaria or Albania ,but no ,it's much lower ,and so the lowest estimate put the real GDP of China at 40% of the official number ,and the highest estimate at 60% of the official number (Official number based on a population of 1,4 Billion)
wow that is so clever, I never thought about how you could use statistics to decipher state lies like that. because its not like groups of people majorly change their salt consumption year to year, so it would be a fairly consistent way to estimate population.
Excellent point. Most China commentary, this video included, accepts at face value and repeats the CCP's official economic and population figures; this is especially true for analysis originating from financial institutions (Goldman Sachs, hedge funds, gurus like Ray Dalio) which are heavily exposed to the Chinese market after decades of investment, and have every incentive not to question the CCP's official figures. The Chinese economy is likely significantly smaller than officially reported.
During one of their first meeting, Mao Zsedung actually offered Henry Kissinger if America can take 60 million women off China's hand. He wasn't joking.
That is why US is reinforcing the 1st island chain from Japan to Philippines(PH). The establishment of security pact between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States (AUKUS) aims to contain China too. The US is also actively making more presence in the South China Sea area by building new Airstrips, Missile silos, Military bases mostly within PH, and the 1st Island Chain. While within China, more and more foreign businesses are trying to reduce their operations within China, while the Rich and Powerful Chinese are fleeing China too. I would say the best window for China to launch a n invasion is unfortunately, right now.
Just to be clear. Hello fresh is not heaper than shopping, about 10usd a meal. That's 2-3x the price of shopping at the store. and 50% less than eating out. It has a market, but it is not for people who don't eat out often. Just annoyed with their constant claims. Also great video, perfect break down of the issue and timeframe that decisions makers are working from. Will be sharing this video when these conversations come up.
You're assuming that everyone who buys groceries buys exact quantities of all ingredients and everything gets eaten/used up. We were on hello fresh for a while, and it was legitimately cheaper than grocery shopping for us due to having basically zero food waste and it solving the problem of mental overhead that made cooking difficult. Once you get in the swing of things and collect a lot of recipes, you can start shopping a lot more intelligently and get cheaper again, but for a lot of people (me being one) meal prep/portion services like this are legitimately a game changer.
@@BRNKoINSANITYMost people use the vast majority of food they buy. When you've got a bunch of left over ingredients you just cook a meal that uses up lots of scraps (like a stir fry or something).
I'm glad RLL covered this! In the past couple years, China hitting its population (and maybe economic) peak sooner than expected has been a big story just under the radar. I'm pretty sure this is why the USAF is fast-tracking next generation aircraft while also pursuing "quick fixes" like the **Rapid Dragon** program and modernizing the F-22. China looks to have only about 10 years of opportunity left: they know it, we know it, everyone knows it. So if the world order is to be reordered, they have to make the move sooner rather than later. After that, their economy will strain under the weight of their demographic problems, and they won't have the resources to challenge the geopolitical order.
After 10 years, China still have 1.2 billions people, even the young rate is low compared with other countries, it is easy for China to have millions soldiers. Your statement does not many any sense at all.
Brookings institute on the population decline in China: "...None of this is to trivialize the significance of China’s rise or the challenges it could pose to the United States and its allies..."
Even without the population decline I had China with a decade time window. When you consider they should have economic problems with their real estate market, municipal bonds crisis, business leaving because of rising labor costs as well as foreign investment leaving because of hostility to due diligence firms, large youth unemployment/underemployment and costs of maintaining that navy, the window of wealth and stability that would allow them to fight a modern war for long is small.
@@hufe223 Which would create a black market for contraception and does nothing about probable upcoming economic problems - a world recession will hit China real hard. And they currently have a 20%+ unemployment rate for 16-25, 45% underemployment rate for 25-30 as well as a population that is generally tired from the 996 philosophy. Guess what - people living in those conditions don't have as many children. On top of the fact that children born now take 16-18 years to be reasonably economically productive.
A lot of military RUclipsrs have commented that an invasion in the near future would go poorly due to the lack of supply and transport ships halting an invasion, sanctions crippling the economy, and the current strength of Taiwan's allies but others have commented that it would go poorly in the future due to the mobilization of pretty much every country surrounding China in the region
That's the problem of any full scale war today, the world is locked the same way the world was before WW1. Everyone as alliances and defense packs with each other, were no one country can wage a war on another without some form of intervention. If china attacks taiwan, then the USA gets involved, japan gets involved, south korea, indochina, indonesia, etc etc.
NO COUNTRY WUD WANT THEIR PEOPLE TO DIE FOR TAIWAN. WHAT WILL PREVENT CHINA FROM INVADING TAIWAN IS THAT THEY DO NOT WANT TO KILL THIER BROTHERS N SISTERS. THE TAIWANESE R CHINESE BY BLOOD. THEY SHARE THE SAME CULTURE. SPEAK THE SAME DIALECT N NATIONAL LANGUAGE.
I am Chinese. Why do western countries always like to interfere in the internal affairs of other countries? Taiwan has always been a province of China. Why do you call it an invasion? It is a recapture. If Taiwan is a country according to Western logic, then Hawaii of the United States should also be a country, and Ryukyu of Japan should also be a country. Why do you always do things with double standards?
Why would all these countries suddenly mobilize against China when they have nothing to do with the Strait issue and their largest trading partner is China? Are they all just dumb and want to commit harakiri like Germany did by bending over after you-know-who blew NS2 up?
The UN projections are based on a lot of rosy assumption and don't capture how precarious the situation for China really is. It's possible that there are far fewer young people in the country than reported and the population could start to even more precipitously than current projections.
no really? china might be fabricating its demographic stats? it thought it was perfectly possible for a country to have a (supposed) birth rate of 1.4 and no immigration for 3 decades and still growing until 2022. India has obviously been #1 for at least 10 years now, the chinese government is just lying to us.
If you read the projections, they have high low and most likely estimates. The low estimates for China are really low... Like, 488 million low. Potentially a lower population than the US in 2100. However, the I would say low estimate is unlikely.
Rosy assumption is one way to put it. I think China has so many remote cities/villages due to their environment that they're similar to Brazil in a way. I think it is genuinely difficult to gather such projections without having reasonable variance on both ends of aisle.. meaning it can be higher or lower from a year to year basis
And young people aren‘t productive if they have no jobs. In fact, they will protest, and the CCP has created rural programs which essentially send the young folks into the rural countryside to prevent these protests. Obviously, these young people will not be contributing to China‘s economy.
When the age diagram looking the working age population was showed, you forgot a very crucial detail. The retirement age in China is 60 for men and 55-50 for women. They are looking to raise the retirement age and the horrible air polution in urban areas helps to make sure people don’t live as long, but this is a huge issue that adds onto the existing one of a birth rate below replacement rate.
The idea of that policy is already creating some dissatisfaction. Add that to the lying flat meme going around because of unemployment/underemployment and work to death philosophy from 996 and you have a lot of people hating the governement. You have young people - who are the most reckless - feeling like they have nothing to lose and their elders who may potentially calm them down feeling like they have nothing to lose.
There’s also very heavy resistance from women (and feminists) against raising the retirement age of women to match men’s retirement age. China would have to strongarm that change if they want to stay productive longer.
Humanity will likely survive for a few thousand more years. Possibly even as long as 10 thousand. Theres no reason whatsoever to think otherwise. Nuclear war, is.. as unlikely as ever. An Asteroid we will see coming. Aliens. Won't actually care to bother with wiping us out. And even with the dreaded nonsense claims of Climate Change being wholly inaccurate.. even with that.. humanity will survive. The world 200-1000 years from now will be a very different place just just same as 200-1000 years ago was different. But humans will still exist. There's no real reason to believe otherwise
@Noah-or9vp Why..? The collective wisdom of the majority doesn't reflect the collective wisdom of a minority, there's plenty of hope for those who can read the playing field..!
how this video deep and detailed ??? this video is very biased anti china and make no sense at all btw , he dont know anything about china at all since he never been in china ,never interact with chinese community or forum on internet ,what i notice from western media video about china is they lack understand about real china ,they never diccuss with real chinese ,everything is just from western perspective
I wish the Chinese government wouldn’t watch this, for Taiwan’s sake. But I’m sure they know these things already, just not stated in such stark terms.
Beautiful video as always. One thing to mention is Taiwan's own population decline, as its birthrate has also been under replacement levels for a while. However, it's managing to entice more foreign nationals (such as myself) to the country across a variety of sectors and is making moves to make it even easier (such as the ambitious - as in, will probably be missed - target of having a bilingual Mandarin-English speaking country by 2030). If we apply to the 3:1 ratio of invading to defending forces, China doesn't have the manpower in its conventional armed forces when Taiwan's reserves are taken into account. Let alone the barrier of the Taiwan Straight to deal with restricting troop deployment. I'm not a military expert, so if anybody knows a video that takes this into account, I'd appreciate a heads up! I'd love to see a video on the reasons why China might not invade after all; the potential economic consequences for invading Taiwan at the crux of a demographic time-bomb could be catastrophic, and it would be great to see some numbers crunched. Again, great video!
people uses to exaggerate the difficulty for Communist China to take Taiwan, in 40s, the Nationalists had several millions soldiers with US advanced weapons, occupied 3/4 of Mainland China, still lost to the Communist China, then Mao reunify Xiniang, Tibet, Inner Mongot and Hainan island, it seemed to be mission impossible, but Communist China achieved it,
@@Hovertankabsolutely correct. In 1950 china invaded Tibet and even today has to have a major militia base outside of each major town or city to keep control. I've been to Tibet, it's damn obvious the Tibetans do n t want the Chinese there.
I’m impressed he didn’t mention about the population collapse in the west and the great replacement going on in every single country he mentioned are America’s allies.
Think about this : Most of the soldiers in PLA are only childs, sons, of their parents. When China goes to war and only childs of people start dying in a needless war, what happens domestically in China?
Americans back home could not handle any deaths. A aircraft carrier sunk with 3000 dead would send U.S in to protests chaos with 'get out of South China Sea.'
Referring to the Ukrainian war, how many people do you think will die on the battlefield, 50000? 100000? Even if it's 100000, do you think it will have a serious impact on a country with a population of 1 billion? China's annual natural death toll exceeds 10 million
The presented view and limited time window of China conquering Taiwan was bold and wild quess but had also some supporting arguments. The presentation on population development was as such well prepared. Thnx for sharing. You are doing very good work on your blogs. Found many of them very educating👌
On the other hand, an ageing and declining population is less likely to rebel and if they do rebel, easier to put down. A declining population actually makes it more likely for the Communist regime to survive for longer, especially if they manage to conquer Taiwan and eliminate the ideological threat. The interests of the Communist regime and the country of China are vastly different.
Will you be doing one for japan as well? They are one of the fastest aging and shrinking population and i think itll give up insights into how theyre managing or planning to manage it.
Every western country including the US has already faced this. They solved it with a cheat code called immigration. Japan is trying to do the same thing. China can't replicate this because China isn't an attractive place to live.
i though the main answer was 1) robots 2) perhaps be just a little less unfriendly toward migrants for jobs robots can't do.. but japan really is scared of becoming diverse and loosing it's identity.. so they won't start a real huge immigration politic..
@@JeroenJA Unless they start an expanded immigration policy, there won't BE a Japan to lose its identity. I understand the will to preserve their wonderful culture, but unless they are prepared for certain concessions, all of it will be lost anyway. My worry is that it seems indeed, as if Japan aren't prepared to make enough cultural concessions.
RealLifeLore made a video around a year ago on Japan’s population decline titled “Why Japan is Shrinking Fast.” Though it doesn’t talk much about how the government is tackling the problem.
@@predabot__6778populations will never decline to the point of just disappearing naturally. In general, the shrinking east asian countries all have the same issue: severe competition over resources (jobs, increasing housing costs, increasing education costs, increasing cost of living needing 2 working adults). Currently those countries are all severely overpopulated and need to decrease for a bit to free up space for new generations without requiring migrants. Migrants are a bandaid solution that will destroy the culture.
People of a certain type are attracted to government because they (1) believe they can adjust society like turning knobs in a machine and (2) are arrogant enough to believe they understand the complex interactions among the populace and the economy better than anyone else (or naively believe others who think the same way). The results are always "unexpected".
This explains why my Grandmother always had night terrors/PTSD. She'd talk in her sleep talking about the japanese boys pulling invading and pulling people out of their homes. (Grandma was born in 1921). Also explains my mom talking about how she had an older sibling die when she was younger. (Mom was born in 1957).
@@miguelzavaleta1911 Of course they would, that's why the sarcastic remark. OP's story is literally unbelievable. Someone in their ~20s to 40s finding out about it from an American on RUclips? No way that is true.
@@Zraknul I was raised in Canada. Though I did learn Chinese growing up and had lessons, they don't go deep into history. Of course I would have learned about the war, but not in detail. As a youtube comment, it was more a general "Aha moment" where timelines finally clicked in my head. It's difficult for family to give an indepth rundown of when and where family members were lost. Add in language barriers and chinese dialects and it is more difficult to get a first person story of what happened. I had to actively look up things online to supplement my understanding. Since the war had many fronts, it was hard to pinpoint the actual year/dates where things happened.. Took me forever to trace back to the Swatow Operation of June 21-27, 1939. Japanese forced occupation. (on and off over the years figuring out family history before the internet was so readily avaliable). I knew different sides of my family fled to different cities during that time, and eventually making it to Hong Kong. Sadly, my grandma passed away few years back. She lived to about 95-96. Her dementia started in her 80s. I feel privileged to have heard first hand stories of the wartime struggles (Even though they were fragmented and difficult to understand).
and I'd say not even 15 but less than 10. actually just about 2014 is when, despite the US and world still just wanting to be friends, somehow (someone) around 2014-15 consolidates power and from then on its a very very fast road to not being their friend anymore. :(
@@topsuperseven7910 The nature of authoritarian governments. Under Bush, we handed absolutely everything China needed to become a superpower on a silver platter. In return they spit in our faces and pretend as if we never helped them, becoming our greatest enemy instead.
A study from the Lancet projects China being halved already by 2050. They have also overcounted their population size for decades (just like their gdp) some figures suggest they might already be closer to 1billion.
Credits to the writer comparing China to Japan. Do you know why this matters, it is because of South Korea. South Korea also went similar to Japan's history, only with China not far behind because they are so rapid. My nitpick in the script is assuming India or Mexico will dominate the population boom, it is likely that they will also experience rapid decline once people starts getting more wealthy that wids the wealth gap. Population will decline without improving or changing the economic/political system of the modern world.
The problem for China is that even if it finds a solution to reverse population decline, it will then face a resource shortage. At it's current rate, is China sustainable? How much fresh water reserves does it have? How long until it runs out of metals and minerals? Will China be able to supply a population that increasingly desires to have an American standard of living?
Is it only American deserve to have American standard of living? Or should we criticize the much higher carbon costly country first before we worry about non-white people, who’s only 1/10 of the carbon footprint of the west per capita?
@jaymarx I don't know if you have any reading comprehension skills. I did not mention anything about what America deserves nor did I say anything about carbon emissions. I am only considering resource shortages like water, fossil fuels, farmland, and mineral deposits. Rising demand and limited supply only means inflation for China.
American way of life / standard of living is not sustainable. America's grows by both exploiting weaker economies around the world and massively polluting and damaging nature (although they outsources part of their nature damage to other countries, including China). It is far too consumist, too unconservative, too waste-producing and too polluting to be sustainable. No coutry should ever seek such standard of live, including the US.
7:25 I think it's important to note that this brief period of "working together" took the form of the communist party pretty much using the nationalists as human shields and letting them do all the work, which is why they ended up winning once the civil war resumed.
I've heard other 2100 population projections. I've heard USA may have 500 M and China 600 M. It's weird to imagine that by 2100 the USA and China may have relatively similar populations.
For that to happen, the US will have to take in at least 5 million immigrants every year, which is not possible given the fact that the countries that are possible sources of immigration are themselves going to see a decline in population. Latin America and Brazil now have TFR 's as low as US now.
Weird for us, but wouldn’t be unexpected. USA has excellent geography and very fertile lands. They’re already energy independent with fossil fuels and have excellent solar and wind resources to transition into. China does have some things going for it, otherwise it wouldn’t have such a large population already. But they’re arguably very overpopulated compared to what their land can sustain. They’re already the worlds biggest importer of food, and the food they do grow depend on imports too (fertiliser, seeds, etc). They also rely on completely unsustainable fishing practices. Also gotta wonder how much the soil is degrading from all the pollution.
@@AjayTiwari-en9nzI'm not sure how you calculated that 5 Million value, but what about Mexico? It has strong demographics. I can see how some projections could reach 500 M Americans by 2100 depending on a number of factors like immigration policy and domestic birth rates... I'm just saying that it sounds like it's in the realm of possibility.
You heard wrong. U.S life expectance is falling every year, I have 4 lady friends die from drugs all before age 35yo for example. U.S could never implement a paid maternity leave to boost the numbers as the wrong (e,g ghetto) people would make it their full-time job. China can increase their paid maternity leave from 4months to 8months, they have plans, they are not rudderless like U.S is.
@SpazzyMcGee1337 Starting 2030, the US will need one million more immigrants every year just to maintain its population of 340 million(as per Peter Zeihan). Secondly, GenZ in the US is not having kids as much as millennials, and GenX did. The TFR in the US will decline down to 1.55 from today's 1.7 by 2030. This means the US born population will start declining by 2030. The decline in population with a TFR of 1.5 will double every 30 years, which means the US will need 2 million more immigrants to maintain its population by 2060 and 4 million more by the year 2090. Now, increasing birth rates in a developed society is extremely difficult, and you can not count on growth without more people entering the US. There is a reason why Democrats turn a blind eye to immigration from the Southern border, and the reason is simple, they want to maintain the population of the United States.
By 6 minutes I think the title of the video made its point, and sounded like it was wrapping up... Then I realized there was 25 (Twenty FIVE) more minutes left. Wow. Time to strap in and go podcast mode.
It may be a bad thing for China from the perspective of international relations, but as far as the Chinese are concerned, they want fewer people because there is so much competitive pressure within China right now.
Well, it's bad from a geopolitical perspective, but usually declining populations means better standart of living and quality of life in comparison to increasing populations. The thing is, much as like Europe, it is the fate of the developed countries to eventually self destruct.
Maybe explains some of the Lying Flat and Let It Rot movements in parts of the younger generation, or is that just general dissolution from modern society?
I'd say two factors 1) the 1 child policy 2) the confucian way of thinking, in which when the woman marries a man she joins his family So everyone would want a male children, not only for stronger labor in the fields, but also because if female, you would lose your descendants when she married.
@@kc4276 Not really, here in south america, and I hear in Spain too, the wife doesn't even take the husband's lastname, she will always keep her identity.
I'd say you're wrong and uneducated. The real reasons are: 1. urbanziation 2. females joining work force / equal opportunity and access to education 3. inflation / costing of living
The emphasis on population is very misleading. A large population can be more of a hindrance than an advantage as hundreds of millions still remain in poverty in China.
@@sutapasbhattacharya9471 Completely agree. I think others ignore the advantage of having your population simmer down after an insane leap rather than thinking "growth" should be imminent and forever as if that isn't toxic
The reason why India's population exploded is because last century is because 2 centuries of British colonialism turned India from a land famed for its great wealth throughout history to a land of poverty. Britain industrialized and grew rich [with its population exploding] and funding social reforms by looting India whilst pauperizing and deindustrializing India, killing tens of millions in dozens of manmade famines. Search Jason Hickel India for two AJEnglish articles about this that will shock those who have had these facts hidden from them [inc. 100 million dying of starvation in 40 years].
Large scale migration isn't a true solution to a declining population as this can have other draw backs that can create instability and economic issues. However a healthy balance between native population having some level of replacement birth rate and immigration can help keep the population stable without the draw backs of massive amount of immigration could. Population control in any form when it comes to birth control instituted by a nation or large authority body tend to always back fire like this. It creates a ripple in the ocean that will come and wash away a lot of hard work in the future
The key thing when it comes to immigration is to have a healthy assimilation to actually contribute to the economy of the country. I think this is where a lot of people fumble with thinking just getting immigrants will solve all of the problems. There has to be a motivation factor for these immigrants to want to help, and merit for them to stay. Keeping them isolated will backfire as chances are they won’t stay and likely word gets out that the country is not hospitable and it prevents foreigners from thinking of even staying in the country. Ostracizing can lead to certain people being resentful and potential threat for they likely had no second thoughts about loyalty to a community that never welcomed them in the first place. Then you have the other side of the problem when welcoming whomever with little to no vetting can create more problems such as verifying if certain people truly are migrants or just economically taking advantage of a country and not provide anything back to help their new host country. There’s other issues of too many people of one region willing to reach out to embrace the local culture to understand the perspectives and wisdom the locals could share. It could also encourage some immigrants to not put in the effort to learn the hist country’s most common language that further alienated them from the rest of the population. As you mentioned, there has to be a precise balance and it’s generally best to not rely on immigrants to fill in the gaps of the economy, but at least have an environment where they can prosper being in the country while helping the local region. For some reason as mentioned before, people seem to have lost this concept and many countries around the world are paying the price for it one way or another.
@@kate2create738 Yes I agree with all your points. Probably didn't convey that as well in my short summery but yes, doing it in a responsible control manner where people can integrate and not isolate them is key and it takes time and have to do it slowly. Since people do things slowly in general. People are slow to change habits and you cannot brute force them to change their habits to integrate but you cannot speed up immigration and expect it to work either. Balance is needed and screening is needed as well. It isn't a bad label on any group, but it is making sure the individuals coming in are going to work with integrating while bringing their experience from another place.
Also, even if assimilation happens, people from another continent aren't the same as natives of your country. Importing large quantities of them is inevitably going to change your country forever, even in the best case scenario.
I found you (or the name of your channel to be more specific) like a month ago, after which I watched every video still available here, aswell as on FakeLifeLore, RealLifeLore2, Grand Test Auto and BioArk, which are like 400 videos or so. Im gonna say I learned a lot (which I totally will forget most of sadly), but Im do not regret a single second. Most favourite videos where those about old countries or similar just spawned right back to existance. Following that I would love to see how the African Union and the Arab League as a country would do on the world stage each Greetings from Germany
thank you so much rll. This video has put so many of my worries to rest and I appretiate how informative and non-biased this video is. I am in constant fear of this invasion and its potential coniquences and this has made me feel so much better about it. Thank you so much and I love your content.
this video is very biased anti china and make no sense at all btw , he dont know anything about china at all since he never been in china ,never interact with chinese community or forum on internet ,what i notice from western media video about china is they lack understand about real china ,they never diccuss with real chinese ,everything is just from western perspective
they should have let the population grow uncontrollably and then simply encourage emigration, unleashing an even greater flood of chinese into all countries in the world.
@@DerToasti That didn't seem like a good strategy back in the 60s when other countries still had borders and made decisions on how many people to let in. The people who made the one child policy didn't know that western countries would totally go crazy and suicidal and just let in anyone from the 1990s on.
That is why it is so dumb when people go on and on about how smart the Chinese are and how they are operating on 100 year plans and playing the long game and all that nonsense. The opposite is the case. The CCP has always been and still is just coming up with idiotic ideas, forced the people into those and when things inevitably backfire, they panic and implement new, sweeping counter-policies to their previous policies. The Covid Lockdowns and the One Child Policy are just 2 out of many examples. A few years back the government suddenly, after promoting higher education for generations and creating a culture in which regular blue collar jobs were seen as shameful and embarrassing, figured out that now there were too many university students and not enough vocational workers and instead of slowly steering back and promoting vocational education, they basically just told millions of college students that their degrees were now worthless and that the government wouldn't hire them anymore and they even turned colleges into vocational schools over night, without even telling the enlisted students first. Imagine you enlist at a college, aiming for a white collar job and after studying for a few years the government suddenly decides that your college isn't a college anymore but a trades school now, your degree won't be a college degree and you will only be able to get a blue collar job after graduating because there aren't enough factory workers anymore. And that after everyone you know has been telling you your whole life that only getting a blue collar job means you are a miserable failure and everyone will look down on you. That is the situation millions of students suddenly faced in China. There were large, violent protests, but as usual, they were not covered by the western media, who has financial incentives to go along with CCP propaganda. They are like someone falling asleep at the wheel of a driving car, suddenly waking up, jerking the steering wheel in one direction, then jerking the wheel into the other direction when the car almost drives off the road and constantly jerking left and right without finding back into a normal, steady path along the road.
Not a regular commenter, but this video was SO well structured, insightful(Amazing Video)! I was logically, enjoyablly walking from interesting insights on population importance to really mind blowing conclusions, with real strategic importance to my world going forward. I finally understood why academic papers have intro paragraphs. Fantastic, 5 stars🎉
THE PRESENTATION IS ENTERTAINING N SEEMINGLY LOGICAL. BUT I DO NOT THINK ITS CONCLUSION IS SURE TO BE CORRECT. HUMANS, SPECIALLY THE CHINESE, R CAPABLE OF THINKING N DOING THE UNEXPECTED. I BELIEVE CHINA WILL REMAIN AS IT HAS ALWAYS EXISTED SINCE FIVE THOUSAND YEARS AGO.
Is it really logical to highlight the huge changes china have gone through in the last 80 years and the profound impact it have had population, then fully base the conclusion on that nothing will change in the next 80 years?
My grandfather had a copy of old Soviet magazine Misha that has an interview article of an Indian visiting China in 80's who gets asked "Why doesn't India enforce one-child policy to control it's population like China?"
It's about time this issue began to gain recognition. This is going to be the highlight of the entire 2030's. More countries will have their turn before the dust settles in China.
Like Japan, one of the most difficult problems China faces in trying to increase its population thru immigration (since predicted birth rates can't cancel the death rate) is linguistic. Mandarin and Japanese are two of the hardest languages to learn, especially for Europeans and the two Americas. It constitutes a real roadblock. History has favored Indo-European languages. Mandarin, Japanese and other East Asian languages have vecome "islands" in the linguistic landscape of the world.
I‘ll just add that some Japanese have difficulty learning Japanese, as Japanese consists of three different “languages”. China introduced a ”simplified Chinese“ which suggests the difficulty of traditional Chinese, and adds a second Chinese language to learn. IIRC, Although called ”dialects“, Chinese dialects, while sharing common written language, one Chinese dialect, orally, might as well be a foreign language to another.
@@advancetotabletop5328 that's because they literally are foreign languages. China is big and was was not always one country. The writing system allowed distant lands in the empire to communicate with each other without actually having to be able to speak the same language. Even countries outside the empire like Korea and Japan wrote in Chinese. Of course, after the radio, the government is pushing Mandarin over the other languages and the writing system has become something of an obtuse liability.
@@advancetotabletop5328 Regarding "Simplified Chinese". This has nothing to do with the Chinese being complicated or not. It was all about culutral revolution. Mao didn't want the young people to read the old books. You can verify that by trying to finding one new simplified Chinese character that the traditional Chinese characters have not. In other words each simplified character has the exact same Traditional counterpart. If you will, linguistically spoken Chinese has it's usually changes like any other spoken language over time. Writing itself however never changed, except maybe that traditional Chinese characters better conveyed the original Chinese culture, while the simplified characters convery Mao's ideas about China (Chinese characters are images (that are made up of standarditized little images) after all). A little example. Look up the word for love. What has upset Chinese and foreigners is that the heart radical inside the character love has been taken out in the simplified Chinese. Another point is there are at least 20000 Chinese characters, and require even for a native Chinese a life-long study. However only 10%,that is ~2000 Simplified characters have replaced the Traditional characters.
Can someone explain what I don't understand. Here in Europe we import migrants to plug this gap, but every year life gets worse and worse, not enough housing, doctors, dentists, school places etc. so the birth rate of the local population continues to fall, and immigration continues to increase to plug this gap and so on. If the people that come to work end up retiring, then they too need their pensions funded so surely the cycle just continues? Why do we (and other countries facing similar issues) not adopt a policy similar to some middle eastern countries where they import the necessary workers but don't grant citizenships? This seems like a win-win to me. We can import people who's schooling/non-working years we've not had to fund, and who's retirement we don't have to fund, but extract the benefit of their labour and taxes (and any other societal contributions they may provide). Why do we not do this?
I’m kinda surprised that America’s population is still expected to keep growing. My friends with high incomes are not having children, and it seems like even dating is out of the picture for many. I’d like to have children but have no idea how I would even be able to afford a kid, much less a family. To top it off, every girl I’ve met recently has been uninterested in children. I must be doing something wrong lol
"I'd like to have children but have no idea how I would even be able to afford a kid, much less a family" Homie women are in the same boat thinking the exact same thing as you. On top of financial aspects, women in red states also have to suffer from abortion bans that have raised maternal mortality rates significantly. I dont know you, but I wish you the best
Most girls in the US aren't interested in kids before the age of 28-30 or so, so if the girls you're meeting are younger than that, that's why they aren't interested.
@@haikalmiftah2529 Well no. Actually for at least a couple decades it’s been Asia (primarily East and South Asia) that has been the origin of most recent immigrants. Though Africa has increased its share as well.
I feel like no country ever looks at long term demographic developments. Or they willfully ignore it. What I gathered from The video: Stabilizing living conditions -> baby boom -> golden age -> overaging a few decades later. Yet everyone is like surprised pikachu face when the overaging-phase sets in. You have to build up reserves / long time investments in the golden age to support the aging population and/or really smooth out the population curve after the baby boom to soften the blow of mass retirement.
Whenever there is a baby boom, 70 years later there will almost certainly have an over aging crisis, it is currently happening with Japan, it's going to happen with China and although to a lesser extent due to immigration, the US will experience it as well. Although since this kind of event is still only possibly with how the world's economy is currently, we still don't really know what will happen once the over aging ends and the elderly starts dying.
The one child policy didn’t just impact china but the entire world. Because of the higher competition to find a wife, many man try to pad their dating resume by doing things like purchasing property and homes around the world. So this has been one of many converging issues contributing to the housing crisis all around the globe
to relieve this problem, 50% of middle school students in CN can't enter high school and finally hard to enter college(they enter vocational school). So the most likely choice for them is to enter manual labor factory. This makes peer competition increasingly fierce. i don't know about how EU and US students choose either vocational school or college. Were they sorted by exam, same as cn?
In EU you take high school exit exams and must take exams to stay in college. But vocational school is done in the high school so you get both tech education and academic studies. In the US they used to push poor kids and black kids into voc-tech but in the 70s they started pushing everyone into college prep tracks. Still, many never went to college. But young people now mostly try to go to college or trade schools for certifications so they can get a good job. In the US it's more about money than exam scores. And money often causes college students to drop out.
It feels like not even that long ago that we kept on saying we are doomed to have way too many people, and the earth can't handle it. Now it's almost a daily occurrence that bunch of countries are doomed to have a massive reduction in their population. I remember there was an ad from Denmark trying to convince young people to have more babies, and said something like: "Do it for Denmark. Do it for mom". Same with Singapore with their "National Night" ad telling people to make more babies.
We are doomed because human is over populated and the capitalistic system we all use demands growth. If population declines then the work force/market decline with it. Therefore we need to keep making babies regardless whether earth ecosystems could handle this many people or not. We are hocked on a drug called capitalism, and we are unable to get off. So this drug will slowly but surely kill us aka why we are doomed.
I've heard figures that are much lower for China's population. One reason is that local provincial governments deliberately over-report population to corruptly embezzle more CCP state funds. Measurements of things like sewage usage and food consumption indicate a population around 900 million a few years ago. Also, China has inflated its youth population figures by about 1/3, so not only does that mean there about 100 million 'phantom people' that don't exist, but they're all in the young (18-40) demographic. This means that, even if China's population really is 1.3 billion, the collapse in the young demographic means their population by 2050 is likely to be closer to 600 million. If the previous estimate is true and the current population is ~900 million, we're looking at 300-400 million by 2050. It's 100% all over for China; expect them to devolve into a new warlord period of some kind, like every other time this has happened to them throughout history.
Indias population is high but the population growth is highly uneven . While some regions of India have Tfr i.e. no of new babies born lower than japan while some regions r seeing population growth at a pace never seen before.
@@nfiautopia2066 yes. Many Some regions have historically been more populated than others. Some local govts implemented family planning better than others. Education and modernisation helped too
27:10 You're mentioning the life expectancy for people born today, but it can't be applied to people born in the 50s, when the life expectancy was significantly lower. I looked it up and it seems like life expectancy back then was somewhere between 40 and 50... which seems really low, there aren't a lot of sources on it though. Either way back then it was significantly lower.
I think it directly related to healthcare access towards general people though, which is another topic. For example, back then in 1950's people could die from polio and smallpox. Nowadays not so much.
In 1992-93 I went to boarding school at Milton Academy based in Milton Massachusetts. My roommate James Lin who is now an assistant professor in Washington always identified as Taiwanese as far as I remember. He never waivered. My respects to him as a friend and peer. The take is PRC is diff from ROC. And as to prevent backlash ROC is diff from PRC. To be clear, I stand by my roommate who put up with my madness.
Just a bandaid and not a cure, but in Japan now, there is a category of jobs known as silver jobs that retirees do as part time work. That's why at fast food restaurants there are often grannies sweeping the floor and taking your tray when you finish or grandpas standing with the "detour" signs in front of construction areas.
Have you published handy links to this data for other countries? The GDP, peak age population time series data would be super interesting for other countries and for comparing countries.
In January 2023, the government of Sichuan Province announced that it had abolished the three-child policy completely. Therefore, parents in Sichuan can now legally have as many children as they want. This was implemented to promote fertility in Sichuan.
Two points that make resolving China's demographic problems more difficult.
-China isn't just having trouble attracting immigrants, its actively losing hundreds of thousands of people a year to emmigration.
-The decline of birth rates isn't just because of the one child policy. Other east Asian countries have experienced similar birth rate problems. The one child policy just exacerbated other trends, making it all the more potent and also meaning that fixing it is going to be a lot more difficult than reversing the policy.
Chinese people don't emigrate anymore. They have much better oportunities in their country than at any other country.
A crushing work culture that is definetly going to result in burnout doesn't help. Japan and South Korea has the same problem
@jal051 they still do.
@@JK-gu3tl Look at the numbers. They are one of the countries in the world with less migration. The chinese people outside of China migrated 20 years ago.
@jal051 why so many purchasing houses in places like Canada?
I lived in China, speak Mandarin, and worked with local Chinese businesses. Yet, because I am not Han and I am not another local 少数民族 (minority ethnic group), I was never allowed to assimilate. Even my friends who are completely fluent and married to local Chinese people aren't ever allowed to assimilate. Being consistently othered is tiring. It drains you, saps you of energy.
Large scale long lasting immigration into an ethno-centric country like China is unlikely to happen, and there certainly won't be enough migrants for China to deal with its coming demographic crisis.
Most leave. My brother in law is Chinese, they immigrated to Canada when he was 10. His family did amazing in Canada. He has to go back once a year to do banking. And he hates it. They always go to Japan for a week while waiting for the banking to be done. Canada is getting many even million of imitation form China every few years. We just jumped to 40 million this year. His family was also allowed to have more children in Canada. Which was one of the reasons they immigrated. His grandmother survived The great leap forward. It seems the gov when it comes to population, is always backwards and reductive. And as we can see from the tens of millions of missing female Chinese women. The outcome was predicted. But ignored.
Indeed. As a Chinese person I would say that China might be among the countries that are most unwelcoming to immigrants. Ethno-centric countries have cohesion as a great strength, but the demographic crisis will become almost inevitable when the birth rate drops.
The policy will change. White immigrants are the most desirable and Japanese/Korean not far behind.
I feel like lots of countries in East Asia are. They are just as developed (if not more) than European and North American countries yet unlike the west they want to maintain a homogenous society. I get that, Asian culture is beautiful and should be preserved, but countries like Korea, China, and Japan have to start letting immigration into their countries the same way America, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and Europe did. It would benefit their economies and solve their population problems.
@@iciajay6891 i get it.But most Chinese people right now are living safe and decent lives. ( i have lived in shanghai and visited many villages from 2013-2021). But it's not worth coming to Canada or any white majority nation because of the extreme racism and Anti- Chinese sentiments in those countries. If they go to Canada, they would be attacked, punched, kicked, constantly bullied, discriminated or even murdered by white people. The last thing a Chinese person wants it to live as a 2nd class citizen in Canada that is being treated differently just because he is non-white. So, i think its best if they just stay in china and have more babies to help the country overcome this crisis.
Slightly unrelated but the official Brazilian census just reported 203 million people which is far below the official numbers of around 216 million you will see if you google it. Population growth was very slow as well. A true China census might indicate their population is actually a good bit lower than what is believed. Birth rates look VERY bad.
Even officially recorded Brazilian births have collapsed in the last 10 years. Brazil has been well below replacement level for around 20 years now
Literally every single statistic coming out of China is suspect, so this should be no different. I mean just look at the birth rates.
Good.
There was a leak of the national police registry, and it was in the 800 millions.
@@TuathaTuna Not particularly as it is dysgenic fertility.
"more people than... and Australia combined" always makes me laugh because Aus is pretty much a big country by landmass alone, it has good drama factor on a world map for anyone who doesn't live here XD
Not that much by population. Extremely scarce for such a big country.
@@Richdragon4 thats the point, saying "and australia" is only significant because of its size on the world map and not anything else about the country, which means only uneducated people will be shocked
in fact Australia has as much polulation than Taiwan lol it is true, so the comment of Autralia combined surprised me also
By 2050 the majority of Australians will be of Asian descent
I'm sure the 👽 have been fooled.
I think there was a missed opportunity to talk about how work culture has become just as crippling to the childbirth rate, but there are so many factors that're damning China for the next century.
slowed population growth is bad, but the fact that their richest/most educated people are leaving the country as fast as possible, and nobody is immigrating, is a far bigger problem. They're also particularly vulnerable to climate change, and a lot of their growth up to this point has been illusory. Buildings projects that nobody needs add to GDP but it's just a bubble with no substance.
That's actually something that's very similar to Japan!
@@TheStrangeBloke The people going out of china is negligeble and even then most of them are going back to china and not staying permanently in other countrues. Look at the statista graphs you will see it
China has trouble creating and attracting talent not retaining it.
@@sociolocomtsacthese are mostly ccp elites that leaves the country to buy foreign properties agein, they go back to china after some time
I find it fascinating how many people are more concerned with GDP and publicly traded share prices, than with native populations being replaced in the next 100 years. China will still be Chinese 100 years from now. Japan will still be Japanese 100 years from now. In the centuries or millennia view of things, China and the Chinese people and Japan and the Japanese people will be just fine.
What will happen to the European French, Germans, Italians, and British in the next 100 years due to mass immigration? They will turn into minorities in their own ethnic homelands. They will lose their culture, shared history, and political power. But "muh GDP" is more important to the people in power than becoming minorities in their own homelands after thousands of years of living in their respective lands.
What about Whites in North America or Australia/New Zealand in the next 100 years? Same as above. Europeans will soon become minorities in those countries. This is the case in virtually every country inhabited by ethnic Europeans.
This is truly what the ideological battle between nationalism and internationalism is all about.
The graphics are great, especially the population curves moving through time. Presenting abstract data in such a visually vivid form is really helpful to understanding it.
U like graphics, don'tchya? U usually crank up those Crysis 3 graphixs to *MAXIMUM* with no amd fsr enables, ye?
THAT IS TRUE. BUT ITS CONCLUSION MAY NOT BE NECESSARILY TRUE. BECAUSE HUMANS R CAPABLE OF INTRODUCING UNFORESEEN CLEVER SOLUTION. SPECAILLY THE WISE CHINESE.
China is East Asia itself
@@sayorancode overclocked to 40 if you're brave enough!
China has been lying about their population for decades which makes his timeline far less compelling.
China's also got a different problem weighing on demographics that the government doesn't want to fix: the 9-9-6 schedule 9am to 9pm 6 days a week. That keeps wages low, but it also keeps youth unemployment high (+20%) and makes family life very difficult
Asian work ethic is something else
@@herospeedy3174 work ethic is a lot easier to find when you don't have a choice
Lmao, 996 is definitely not common practice in China and is practically illegal. There really is a lack of accurate information on the country in the western world. Same goes for the myth of the social credit system.
@@herospeedy3174I wouldn't exactly put 'not wanting to starve or lose the roof over your head' as a work ethic. It falls under desperation.
THE CHINESE CULTURE OF BEING HARD WORKING IS AN ASSET TO THE NATION. THAT DOES NOT DEPRIVE JOBS FROM THE YOUNG. THE GOVERNMENT CAN FIGURE OUT HOW TO PROVIDE EMPLOYMENT FOR THEIR WELL EDUCATED YOUTH. THAT IS NOT AN INSOLUBLE PROBLEM. THE CHINESE R SO INNOVATIVE N RESOURCEFUL.
0:30 Calling the massive death in the 1960's a "famine" obfuscates the fact that it was entirely avoidable and largely had to do with Mao's policy of "industrialization" in the Great Leap Forward.
I’m not so convinced that indias population will rise to such lofty heights. In much of India there is already a significant slowing of birth rates. There is still rapid growth in populations around the major cities of Delhi, Mumbai, Calcutta, Bangalore and other cities, however a lot of this is being driven by migration from regional and rural areas.
It's kolkata not calcutta mate
We are talking about total population of India , not few important cities
Yeah, the less developed states are more populated and also have >2.1 birth rate ratio. The rest of India is actually less than ideal, so it is a worrying trend. But, I do hope we learn from others and don't repeat their mistakes.
@@_UNISTAR_ mistakes will be repeated it's just that it's form will be changed
There's also the issue of whether India is capable of sustaining and managing such a large population, or if it will be its own downfall. After all, India's civil infrastructure is not very well-developed, and with a country where so many poor people live in very unhealthy conditions and lack sufficient resources to cater to all these people, a new epidemic could be devastating for the country.
One small addendum: Even though the policy is now widely known as the "one child policy", that's technically not correct, as it was a "one birth policy". Of course, most often these two amount to the same thing, but the important difference being that if you gave birth to more than one child at a time, ie twins, you didn't have to give any up, and got to keep all of them.
So in essence, you were allowed more than one kid, granted they were all part of the same birth.
ok getting a deathly coin flip when you have twins is too fucked up even for china ig
@@SyuvinyaI think north korea would do that if it was willing to
It also counted each parent individually. So if one parent has a child then loses their partner, they cannot have a child with any new partners. So that means that is 1 child between 2 couples.
Considering how many women were made to abort their wanted pregnancies by state backed clinics I don't think you've read enough about the horrendous reality of this policy....you not only lost the government support but also risk penalties for breaking the policy and having more than one child, so ppl just went into hiding in the countryside until the second and third child were born and left there to be raised by relatives while the parents went back into the cities for work.
There are a bunch of documentaries about this topic I highly recommend you watch for the testimonials
@@Iammonke-293Kimmy gives a suspicious side eye glance
As a product of the one child policy, I hate being an only son due to the ungodly amount of intergenerational trauma that is dumped on me. That policy was the absolute worst thing ever. It leads to so much emotional abuse that is normalized by our culture.
EDIT: The not-all-parents apologists replying to me who didn't bother reading previous replies should note that I already said "I don't speak for everyone."
Give us an example of the trauma so we know what you mean
The one child policy despite technically working to reduce birth rates caused a humongous human cost I had the opposite experience from you where because I was born differently I was given away and while I love my current family I may never know my roots and culture
Chinese people have access to RUclips!
@@sushmitriyanbasuli6889 ever heard of vpn
@@amylee9 I won’t speak for everyone. The short generic version is that our parents’ love for us is often conditional. We’re constantly threatened with abandonment if we don’t perform well academically, financially, and (eventually) socially. Shaming and hazing are common, as are constant comparisons to other people due to a rigid culture of saving face. Emotional manipulation and love-bombing aren’t uncommon either. We’re basically suppressed from showing weakness, emotion, or imperfections. Even if we finish school and secure a decent job, our parents demand grandchildren ASAP. To hell with you having a happy marriage, because theirs wasn’t happy, so why do you need such high standards in your relationship? After all, only through you will our family tree continue.
Doesn’t make for raising well-rounded, mentally stable young adults that would be interested in having children.
The issue of immigration into China stems from difficulties obtaining long-term residency permits and ultimately the lack of a streamlined process for naturalization/obtaining citizenship. In order for a foreigner to obtain citizenship, they must have immediate family that holds Chinese nationality, possess permanent residency, and have legitimate reasons for naturalizing, which is rather vague and all of which is under the discretion of the immigration department to accept of reject.
@@Dionysos640 I'm talking strictly about people who already have the intention of immigrating. But sure, the number of people who want to go through the naturalization process are few. But I disagree that Chinese people wouldn't be open to foreigners assimilating, especially one that would be forgoing their old citizenship to naturalize as a "Chinese".
let's not forget how disastrous an invasion of Taiwan would be.
imagine invading Ukraine, except Ukraine is an island covered in mountains, has been training to defend itself for 70 years, has one of the best militaries in the world (top 30), has a population that largely opposes unification with China, and is guaranteed to be defended by the most powerful nation in history.
The Chinese are biding their time to develop the technology and tactics to take Taiwan the same way the US effortlessly obliterated Iraq in Desert Storm. This will be designed to shock America specifically.
Taiwan is much smaller than Ukraine. China only needs to fire missiles to destroy Taiwan
But imagine the 2nd most powerful milatary invading it
@@yashwardhansable5187 doesn’t matter who you are, invading an island the way they plan to is going to fail
@@craggywag5482Any position in Taiwan is under artillery fire.
It recently came out that China was likely over counting their population to the tune of 100 million people. So they probably became the second largest country some time in 2018 and possibly all the numbers you mention in this video should be adjusted by 5 years or more.
I hear it's a good deal worse than that. But sadly, it will take a major change at the top before we finally get real population numbers. And who knows when that will happen?
At least once, with Deng, it happened without any great bloodshed. So there's a little hope for something other than some grim disaster to finally get at the truth.
@LD-Orbs I'm by no means very knowledgeable on China but everything I learned about the central government's relationship with the provincial governments is that there is always tremendous pressure to meet expectations. This has led to fluffing all metrics to exaggerate or hide information. It wouldn't surprise me there is pressure to overinflate population numbers.
There’s even a conspiracy theory that China is lying about their population by the tune of hundreds of millions. Some people started analyzing their consumption of certain goods and their exports/imports, and determined it should actually be 700-900 million. If true, that’s just insane.
The only source I could find on this was "Brownstone Research" which does not have the best track record.
Chinese local government get funding from the central government, in part, relative to their population stats, so there is huge incentives to fudge the numbers. The best guesses are that this has indeed been going on and to absolutely ridculous levels. Personally, I wouldn't be shocked if China's actual population number was 100-250 million lower than their stats suggest.
Population Decreasing:
China: "OH NO!"
Japan: "First Time?"
Eastern European countries: Allow us to introduce ourselves
Japan uses foreign labor for its industries, biggest Japanese owned factories are not even in Japan.
DONT BE MEAN TO CHINA
@@NigerianCrusader why not
@@Thats_Zero_Zenith CHINA NICE TO US THEY STAND UP AND THEY FIGHT THE USA AND THEY HELP INDIA AND NORTH KOREA
Videos like this are always fascinating, and here you make it relatively simple to follow along and is well written, researched and edited. Kudos!
he doesn't understand china
@@骑狗尿裤裆he understands his audience well
@@骑狗尿裤裆yeah like you
Bruh moment...
Either the script writer is uneducated in history of counties like China, Russia, not even mentioning Middle-Eastern countries...
Or consistently and deliberately pushing pro-American propaganda on unprepared viewers!
So much made-up facts and HUGE "IFs" about these countries, but no mentions of similar or worse problems in the US (which perspective is somehow ALWAYS right).
Its obvious that the US will never keep up with Chinas population because:
1) Ratio of national structures. 90% of China are Chinese people, but for the US its: germans, mexicans, african americans, italian, irish, ASIAN including chinese and 5-10% are white americans.
2) USA population growth is mainly due to migration from other countries. I'd love to see the world where chinese americans will go to war against their own nation of china xDD
3) NATO alliance doesn't mean that some Albanian dudes will go to war with China if USA tells them to. So why does author counts them as ONE NATION? But all of the Chinese will support their country when the NATO attacks.
You don't need to be very smart and educated to just analyze what the author says and to understand that something is definitely OFF about this channel.
@@骑狗尿裤裆 so provide evidence. don't make a statement with no evidence because the burden of proof falls on you.
I feel like the effect of the famine in 1959-61 is an underrated influence on people’s willingness to go along with the one child policy. If you/your parents just survived a massive famine, and then you get told it will happen again unless you quit having kids, that must have been a huge motivation.
So what this really is, is a lesson in how playing on very real fears widespread across a population can lead to panicked decisions that have serious consequences down the road. Of course this never happens anywhere else either /s
There were a lot of people who ignored it still, especially in rural areas where it was harder to enforce (and also where the death tolls of the famine were highest). China Wakes, an investigative journalism book from the 90s has a pretty long chapter of it. Oftentimes (but not always), officials who were sent to enforce the policy could be paid off or would decide on the spot to charge a fee. The flip side of that are the forced abortions carried out by the state.
Without birth control, an agricultural country must suffer famine cyclically. Population growth is exponential but land and resources are constants. It was not only 1959-1961 that told this story, there were dozens of such stories, told in ancient Chinese history.
@@yipengguo2732 youre right, in a pre-industrial world, but the mass introduction of fertilisers and pesticides have changed it, from that period onward, yields have grown exponentially.
I'll say one counterpoint: some historians argue that the explosion in population in the early Qing dynasty was due to peasants trying to repopulate after the famines of the Little Ice age and the war of transition between the Ming and Qing dynasties. So, perhaps the trauma mass death by famine and war isn't always expressed in not having kids, but it's often the opposite: people respond to death by having kids. Some historians also posit that populations that are subject to disasters like typhoons and monsoons (ex: SE Asia and India) tend to have more children per household to repopulate quickly after these events.
However, as you said, the government rhetoric was that the famine would happen again if people don'tstop having kids, so that might've changed ppls perception and desire to have kids this time
'lead to panicked decisions' Combined with population control beign an inherently laden subject to begin with, the human factor makes mistakes, oversights and impulsivity and power plays even more common.
I love how you threw Australia in for population comparison. We have about 6 people here. 😂
Beijing & Shanghai alone have more people than Australia 🦘
Six people and thirteen spiders.
That’s more like Mongolia, north of China
@@uss-dh7909 27 emus
@@Kromiball fuck we lost the war to them. Probably billions by now.
In big cities in China, the cost of raising a child is even higher than in the United States, Japan, and South Korea, and the income of ordinary Chinese families is lower than that of families in developed countries, so it is strange that China's birth rate continues to decline.
the income is not exactly accounted for purchasing disparity. While Chinese earn about $10,000. The living standard they have is similar to that of Western European country except they have less crime than France and Italy but lower social trust than Germany or Luxemburg
@@draker769 That's because crime is horrifyingly and significantly overly punished, and they hide TONS and TONS and TONS of crimes to make their numbers look better. They do the same with their GDP and it's estimated to be about 40% less than reported.
The cost is always higher in poorer countries (Switzerland has the highest purchasing power) but if the family doesnt care and gives them a bad life then it doesnt matter.
@@draker769 You cannot really generalize China the difference is huge between big urban centers such as Shanghai and Beijing and the countryside where most Chinese people live. Shanghai is very westernized and the salaries are quite high, the average salary would probably be around $10,000 a year as you say but if you go to the country side that average salary will be $4000 a year in a well-off province and less than $2000 a year in a poor province.
The standard of living in Shanghai is similar to a Western European country however the Chinese countryside is nowhere near the living standard that you find in Europe. My wife's hometown is in a well-off province but even there it's like going back in time. A lot of farmers still use Ox to pull the same plows you could see hundreds of years ago. Your assessment would be correct for maybe the top 10 urban centers, rest of China though.. not so much.
@@draker769😢你有了解过？搞笑
Thanks
A lot of people say China is going to overtake the US as the global superpower, but I never bought that argument because China has plenty of problems themselves, from this shrinking population, to the lack of water in the Northern cities, to their own housing crisis in the making, and to the lack of allies and insufficient global soft power. People emigrate from China, while people still immigrate to the US.
So u think that US doesn't have that much probs themselves aren't u?
@@sethr4850 You always have a choice, the US just happens to be the best Choice for South and Central Americans.
@@xxmissuo They don't . The USA is one of the rare nations on earth that can be 100% self-sufficient relying on no other source for energy, water, food, building materials, minerals etc. Inside the North American Union they can not just be self-sufficient but have excess and sell and export that which they don't need.
They do not have a shrinking population but one likely to keep growing (and is notorious undercounting).
Unlike China PRC, the USA has a massive variety of allies.
The USA has gigantic soft power, hard power, global networking power, it has bases, banks and major trade and agreements across the planet and with highly significant power.
China has nearly none of those things.
The USA has nearly ALL those things.
So, the answer is no, nobody thinks the USA has those problems other than some Mainland Chinese cut-off from the outside world, fed relentless 'USA is declining China number ONE!' stories and that's especially dangerous as they start wondering why this weak foolish little USA isn't being "Punished" yet?
Why isn't it being "punished"?
Hmm.. maybe something doesn't add up.
To add some more:
US has a lot of natural resources, while China other than rare earths, has little.
US has a LOT of flat land for large scale agriculture, while China is limited.
China has a lot of disputes and conflits with its neighboring countries, while the US is rather more stable with its neighbors.
The defacto international currency is the US dollar, and it is extremely hard to change even in several years, if it does change. And to date, no currency can challenge the US dollar by a very long shot.
The only upper hand that China has is work force and an authoritarian government, which carries out policies faster and silences social unrest more easily.
If China's AI technology cannot dominate in the future, then I don't see how China will overtake the US as the global superpower in any way possible.
@@xxmissuo I didn’t say that, but what I am saying is that while the US has many major problems, China does too.
It’s a super ominous feeling knowing that China really only has about 7-10 years to realize it’s geopolitic goals before it becomes increasingly improbable and with the United States posturing itself the way it has all signs are pointing to a confrontation.
Nah, China's GDP will keep growing faster than the US because it is much poorer in GDP per capita and the US will be full of latinos without studies.
I don't think that's a must thing. They could actually do it later too if they would be having enough economic and military prowess.
@@peteck007 That's the thing, China's post-covid economy is reaaal bad. Basically, all foreign investment is progressively leaving because of the CCP's stupidity.
lol, horseshite! china cannot do anything on its own, they have to steal others' ideas, and there is no such thing as independent thought or initiative among its populace. 🤣
Its not like china would really win. Their military is not much better than russias.
Honestly I felt the economic reform initiative since the late 1970s has a much larger impact in controlling Chinese population in the long run than the one child policy. Improvement of living standards leading to change of perspective is always the most effective contraceptive in any culture.
But Chinese aren't any rich, ~40% of Chinese are still poor people from countryside. And there were much more 20-40 years ago. Without very aggressive population controls these people would have 3-4 children minimum even to these days.
Er ... No.
@@vladimirk7686China has been an agricultural country for a long time, when technology was not developed, one more person meant one more person to work for the family, and now the poorest people in China are those who move from the countryside to the city, the rural area is now the focus of development of the Chinese government, their living cost is very low compared with the big cities. And they can build their own houses cheaply on rural collective land
Industrialization and then the resulting urbanization, by far, reduces birth rates more than anything else world wide. People have less children in cities because of the space constraints and the resulting increased expenses from them. Unless you have a robust immigration policy, your country will slowly age into extinction. All advanced economies have followed this trajectory from WW2 until present day, birth rates directly correlating to the pace of urbanization. The CCP only compounded the problem with their insane 1 child policy and lack of any coherent immigration policy.
@@vladimirk7686 Even poor people can afford smartphones and internet to distract themselves these days. It's game over for humanity. We will cease to exist before the end of this millennium.
0:50 I used to go to school through this place everyday, it's the anand vihar bus terminal and the building you see behind is the pacific mall and that stairway bridge connects to the anand vihar metro station blue line
I always find it odd that countries(and funnily enough companies) kind of need the population to continue to expand to fuel this constant growth of industry and production and yet they pursue policies that actively make people's live worse if they are providing for children instead of you know......incentivising starting a family???? Even just the absolutely most basic needs like making sure they have food or shelter to you know.....survive to productive adulthood let alone real dealmakers like subsidized childcare.
Late stage capitalism is hostile to families, it’s why we only have 1 child.
since companies basically suck their workforce dry thus making it harder to start families, the most reliable solve to this problem would be to import migrant workforce from other countries. this is a process that cannot be stopped unless governments on day to have a career and care for 2.1 children to keep population from declining
Bingo!
That's because the basic method of just needing more and cheaper labor, which necessitates more births already hints at the companies being exploitative. That means that they don't care if *you* have an easy time having children. If you don't and can't have children, they will move on to exploit others or you in other ways.
There's nothing odd here really. The drive in people to support their family are partly what keeps the economy going: their expenses become other people's earings. But what average people earn are fundamentally controlled by some a few, and eventually taken by the same group. The MAGIC of modern finance.
12:05 this is the most insane thing I heard. Girl children were passed for adoptation so that the couple could try for male child. I think the Chinese government didn't consider this possiblity at first, but when they noticed the damage was done.
It’s very rare, all the girls I know from China are single child with post-college educations. And many urban families prefer girls. Also woman don’t change their last name after marriage, plus now it’s trend than girl would take mom’s last name after born. It’s not as traditional as how we projecting it by our understanding of our own culture…
That's the best scenario, a lot of times they were left to die. In China it's illegal to know the sex of the baby before it's born so if you want a boy then you cannot make an early abortion you need to actually wait until the child is born and well... get rid of it somehow if it's a girl. They did change it later so if your first child was a girl you could get another child but this didn't apply everywhere.
Were the adopted children murdered or taken out of the country? What happened to them? Otherwise, they're just being shuffled around.
That's the history of China in a nutshell. Broad sweeping laws because the government didn't consider the possibilities. Examples are the great leap forward and the great revolution.
@@jaymarx The people you know obviously can not depict the whole picture here. There are currently 30 million more men than women in China according to the official census. Where are the girls gone? Abortion unfortunately.
India is 70% rural. Big cities like Delhi and Mumbai make up under 5% of the population. Yet there seems to be an obsession with using 90s stock video of Indian metro cities to represent the country. And if you understand India through its villages, you will understand why its population has surpassed China.
But, do you think that this could lead to a disaster for India 🇮🇳 if you have a nationwide drought or flooding?
Those are a lot of mouths to feed & countries like Nigeria and Ethiopia face a similar problem.
69% in 2011... currently (2021 data) 64% and going down
Everything tends to equalize, more so with instant media access
Yeah, because on the farm, kids are basically free labor, so you have as many as you can.
India's urbanization rate is hovering steadily between 1.3% and 1.5% yearly, and likely will continue around this rate for some time, while the birth rate has only recently hit right at or just under the replacement rate on average, so the growth in population does appear to be headed upward for a good while, but at a steadily slowing rate. Also I think the stock footage thing is an issue of availability and recognition more than anything. Those bits of footage are the easiest to find and most easily recognizable as "India" for the average (western) viewer.
@@insertnamehere5809government always stores food for such kind of situations,
Thanks!
It doesn't get a lot of attention, but Japan monitors China's salt consumption. Not industrial, food salt. They have seen a major decline over several decades. Their current estimate is between 800 - 900 million. Officially China reports 1.2 Billion. The declines tracked by Japan show that the death tolls from SARS and Covid were much larger than officially reported. Interestingly, this number closely matches the number of citizens from the Shanghai Police data breach. Again, this is not an official total, just a guess based on external data.
Yup ,according to a professor at the University of Beijing ,subdivisions of China inflate their population number to receive more fund from the central government (Like what Corsica did in France ,from the 1830's to the 1950's ,in the XIXth century ,Corsica had both the oldest population (It was the territory in the world where the percentage of people that were more than 65 years old was the highest) ,the least young in the population (Lowest percentage of less than 15 years old) and also had huge emigration (Going to France mainland ,Italy ,Spain ,Caribbean ,Central America) ,there population was already decreasing naturally in the 1830's so on every census ,they falsified their number to make it seem like they were growing in population ,to receive more fund ,and they were only caught falsifying in the 50's) ,this professor estimate the real population of China to be 1,28 Billions ,then there is 2 study ,a Russian one (Based on vaccines ,real one ,not the physiological saline solution of the Cold-19) ,they estimate the population to be 800 Millions ,and a Japanese one (Based on Salt) which estimate it at 850 Millions .
China also lies about it's GDP ,with it's economy ,the quality of life in China should atleast be at the level of Romania ,Bulgaria or Albania ,but no ,it's much lower ,and so the lowest estimate put the real GDP of China at 40% of the official number ,and the highest estimate at 60% of the official number (Official number based on a population of 1,4 Billion)
wow that is so clever, I never thought about how you could use statistics to decipher state lies like that. because its not like groups of people majorly change their salt consumption year to year, so it would be a fairly consistent way to estimate population.
Excellent point. Most China commentary, this video included, accepts at face value and repeats the CCP's official economic and population figures; this is especially true for analysis originating from financial institutions (Goldman Sachs, hedge funds, gurus like Ray Dalio) which are heavily exposed to the Chinese market after decades of investment, and have every incentive not to question the CCP's official figures. The Chinese economy is likely significantly smaller than officially reported.
I never heard about that. Does anyone has an article dealing with this subject?
Interesting. Does this mean the 8 years time window stated in the video are too optimistic (for China)?
The guy who first suggested the One Child Policy:
"I shouldn't have said that. I should NOT have said that."
During one of their first meeting, Mao Zsedung actually offered Henry Kissinger if America can take 60 million women off China's hand. He wasn't joking.
That is why US is reinforcing the 1st island chain from Japan to Philippines(PH). The establishment of security pact between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States (AUKUS) aims to contain China too. The US is also actively making more presence in the South China Sea area by building new Airstrips, Missile silos, Military bases mostly within PH, and the 1st Island Chain. While within China, more and more foreign businesses are trying to reduce their operations within China, while the Rich and Powerful Chinese are fleeing China too.
I would say the best window for China to launch a n invasion is unfortunately, right now.
Thanks Johnny Harris
@@skullknight8464blud you're saying like China doesn't trap African countries in debt to force them to be loyal to China.
😂真的有好好了解吗
@@markdelauwstethat’s cold bruh 💀
you mean to say its too late and i agree
I don't know if I would perhaps use the words "peace" & "stability" to define the Mao years in China.
Not being in a constant civil war for 5 seconds in china is peace and stability
Including re: India…!
Just to be clear. Hello fresh is not heaper than shopping, about 10usd a meal. That's 2-3x the price of shopping at the store. and 50% less than eating out. It has a market, but it is not for people who don't eat out often. Just annoyed with their constant claims.
Also great video, perfect break down of the issue and timeframe that decisions makers are working from. Will be sharing this video when these conversations come up.
It's cheaper in marginal terms inasmuch I don't need to buy more than I need.
You're assuming that everyone who buys groceries buys exact quantities of all ingredients and everything gets eaten/used up.
We were on hello fresh for a while, and it was legitimately cheaper than grocery shopping for us due to having basically zero food waste and it solving the problem of mental overhead that made cooking difficult.
Once you get in the swing of things and collect a lot of recipes, you can start shopping a lot more intelligently and get cheaper again, but for a lot of people (me being one) meal prep/portion services like this are legitimately a game changer.
@@BRNKoINSANITY yes definitely true.
@@BRNKoINSANITYn=1 nice sample size of yourself.
@@BRNKoINSANITYMost people use the vast majority of food they buy. When you've got a bunch of left over ingredients you just cook a meal that uses up lots of scraps (like a stir fry or something).
I'm glad RLL covered this! In the past couple years, China hitting its population (and maybe economic) peak sooner than expected has been a big story just under the radar. I'm pretty sure this is why the USAF is fast-tracking next generation aircraft while also pursuing "quick fixes" like the **Rapid Dragon** program and modernizing the F-22. China looks to have only about 10 years of opportunity left: they know it, we know it, everyone knows it. So if the world order is to be reordered, they have to make the move sooner rather than later. After that, their economy will strain under the weight of their demographic problems, and they won't have the resources to challenge the geopolitical order.
You know their dictator president or chairman guy can ban condoms right?
After 10 years, China still have 1.2 billions people, even the young rate is low compared with other countries, it is easy for China to have millions soldiers. Your statement does not many any sense at all.
Brookings institute on the population decline in China: "...None of this is to trivialize the significance of China’s rise or the challenges it could pose to the United States and its allies..."
Even without the population decline I had China with a decade time window.
When you consider they should have economic problems with their real estate market, municipal bonds crisis, business leaving because of rising labor costs as well as foreign investment leaving because of hostility to due diligence firms, large youth unemployment/underemployment and costs of maintaining that navy, the window of wealth and stability that would allow them to fight a modern war for long is small.
@@hufe223 Which would create a black market for contraception and does nothing about probable upcoming economic problems - a world recession will hit China real hard.
And they currently have a 20%+ unemployment rate for 16-25, 45% underemployment rate for 25-30 as well as a population that is generally tired from the 996 philosophy.
Guess what - people living in those conditions don't have as many children.
On top of the fact that children born now take 16-18 years to be reasonably economically productive.
Thanks
MacArthur: Nuke Em!
Truman: No!
MacArthur: NUKE EM!
Truman: NO!
MacArthur: AH COME ON!
Truman: You’re fired!
@@amadell1449 reference to an oversimplified video on the cold war
a
@@drewcline422 Which is in turn not relevant to this video.
@@amadell1449 bro just wants to get early likes
@@slic3y68 dude, uncool
A lot of military RUclipsrs have commented that an invasion in the near future would go poorly due to the lack of supply and transport ships halting an invasion, sanctions crippling the economy, and the current strength of Taiwan's allies but others have commented that it would go poorly in the future due to the mobilization of pretty much every country surrounding China in the region
That's the problem of any full scale war today, the world is locked the same way the world was before WW1. Everyone as alliances and defense packs with each other, were no one country can wage a war on another without some form of intervention. If china attacks taiwan, then the USA gets involved, japan gets involved, south korea, indochina, indonesia, etc etc.
NO COUNTRY WUD WANT THEIR PEOPLE TO DIE FOR TAIWAN. WHAT WILL PREVENT CHINA FROM INVADING TAIWAN IS THAT THEY DO NOT WANT TO KILL THIER BROTHERS N SISTERS. THE TAIWANESE R CHINESE BY BLOOD. THEY SHARE THE SAME CULTURE. SPEAK THE SAME DIALECT N NATIONAL LANGUAGE.
awesome bro
I am Chinese. Why do western countries always like to interfere in the internal affairs of other countries? Taiwan has always been a province of China. Why do you call it an invasion? It is a recapture. If Taiwan is a country according to Western logic, then Hawaii of the United States should also be a country, and Ryukyu of Japan should also be a country. Why do you always do things with double standards?
Why would all these countries suddenly mobilize against China when they have nothing to do with the Strait issue and their largest trading partner is China? Are they all just dumb and want to commit harakiri like Germany did by bending over after you-know-who blew NS2 up?
The UN projections are based on a lot of rosy assumption and don't capture how precarious the situation for China really is. It's possible that there are far fewer young people in the country than reported and the population could start to even more precipitously than current projections.
no really? china might be fabricating its demographic stats? it thought it was perfectly possible for a country to have a (supposed) birth rate of 1.4 and no immigration for 3 decades and still growing until 2022. India has obviously been #1 for at least 10 years now, the chinese government is just lying to us.
Almost every statistic using CCP sources that can't be externally verified is highly questionable
If you read the projections, they have high low and most likely estimates. The low estimates for China are really low... Like, 488 million low. Potentially a lower population than the US in 2100.
However, the I would say low estimate is unlikely.
Rosy assumption is one way to put it. I think China has so many remote cities/villages due to their environment that they're similar to Brazil in a way. I think it is genuinely difficult to gather such projections without having reasonable variance on both ends of aisle.. meaning it can be higher or lower from a year to year basis
And young people aren‘t productive if they have no jobs. In fact, they will protest, and the CCP has created rural programs which essentially send the young folks into the rural countryside to prevent these protests. Obviously, these young people will not be contributing to China‘s economy.
killer gfx, well used. keep on truckin
When the age diagram looking the working age population was showed, you forgot a very crucial detail.
The retirement age in China is 60 for men and 55-50 for women.
They are looking to raise the retirement age and the horrible air polution in urban areas helps to make sure people don’t live as long, but this is a huge issue that adds onto the existing one of a birth rate below replacement rate.
I had no idea. China would be screwed if the age was 65, but at 60 for men and 55 for women, the situation is even worse than I thought it was
why retirement age for women is lower when it is a scientific fact that women live longer
The idea of that policy is already creating some dissatisfaction. Add that to the lying flat meme going around because of unemployment/underemployment and work to death philosophy from 996 and you have a lot of people hating the governement.
You have young people - who are the most reckless - feeling like they have nothing to lose and their elders who may potentially calm them down feeling like they have nothing to lose.
There’s also very heavy resistance from women (and feminists) against raising the retirement age of women to match men’s retirement age. China would have to strongarm that change if they want to stay productive longer.
@@harshvardhansingh1300 You’re surprised that a totalitarian/communist state has completely redundant laws?
Humans still existing by the end of this century? That is optimism.
Humans will. Will we ? Not sure
Humanity will likely survive for a few thousand more years. Possibly even as long as 10 thousand.
Theres no reason whatsoever to think otherwise. Nuclear war, is.. as unlikely as ever. An Asteroid we will see coming. Aliens. Won't actually care to bother with wiping us out. And even with the dreaded nonsense claims of Climate Change being wholly inaccurate.. even with that.. humanity will survive.
The world 200-1000 years from now will be a very different place just just same as 200-1000 years ago was different. But humans will still exist.
There's no real reason to believe otherwise
Humans will survive, though will truth, independence and justice..?
👉😷💉
it will be a miracle if humans doesn't cease to exist by the end of this century. 💀💀💀
@Noah-or9vp
Why..?
The collective wisdom of the majority doesn't reflect the collective wisdom of a minority, there's plenty of hope for those who can read the playing field..!
I can't fathom the fact how deep and detailed analysis it must have taken to be able to make this video. Excellent work as always!
how this video deep and detailed ??? this video is very biased anti china and make no sense at all btw , he dont know anything about china at all since he never been in china ,never interact with chinese community or forum on internet ,what i notice from western media video about china is they lack understand about real china ,they never diccuss with real chinese ,everything is just from western perspective
I wish the Chinese government wouldn’t watch this, for Taiwan’s sake. But I’m sure they know these things already, just not stated in such stark terms.
@@dforrest4503 I don't think anyone in the Chinese government spends their time watching RLL videos. They have all this data and more.
Oh? I gave up after the first four minutes, where he kept repeating the same 15 seconds of population data over and over and over.
most info is found on a single webpage of the united nations. just google probabilistic population projections united nations.
That last segment just sounds like my brain when I play Paradox grand strategy games.
Hoi4
Beautiful video as always. One thing to mention is Taiwan's own population decline, as its birthrate has also been under replacement levels for a while. However, it's managing to entice more foreign nationals (such as myself) to the country across a variety of sectors and is making moves to make it even easier (such as the ambitious - as in, will probably be missed - target of having a bilingual Mandarin-English speaking country by 2030).
If we apply to the 3:1 ratio of invading to defending forces, China doesn't have the manpower in its conventional armed forces when Taiwan's reserves are taken into account. Let alone the barrier of the Taiwan Straight to deal with restricting troop deployment. I'm not a military expert, so if anybody knows a video that takes this into account, I'd appreciate a heads up!
I'd love to see a video on the reasons why China might not invade after all; the potential economic consequences for invading Taiwan at the crux of a demographic time-bomb could be catastrophic, and it would be great to see some numbers crunched.
Again, great video!
people uses to exaggerate the difficulty for Communist China to take Taiwan,
in 40s, the Nationalists had several millions soldiers with US advanced weapons, occupied 3/4 of Mainland China, still lost to the Communist China,
then Mao reunify Xiniang, Tibet, Inner Mongot and Hainan island,
it seemed to be mission impossible, but Communist China achieved it,
@@EmilechenNo China numba one
@@Emilechen you mean conquered Tibet. They did not reunify with Tibet.
LOL. Given Taiwan army’s low morality, inferior weapons and insufficient training, I don’t think Taiwan stands any chance against PLA.
@@Hovertankabsolutely correct. In 1950 china invaded Tibet and even today has to have a major militia base outside of each major town or city to keep control. I've been to Tibet, it's damn obvious the Tibetans do n t want the Chinese there.
Forgot to include Finland as part of the NATO graphic at ~04:12 🙂
Bro got too used to Finland not being a NATO member that he forgot to include them
Was just looking at same thing.
Still
Finland are a western ally
Even non nato members like Austria and sweden are also western allies
I’m impressed he didn’t mention about the population collapse in the west and the great replacement going on in every single country he mentioned are America’s allies.
Think about this : Most of the soldiers in PLA are only childs, sons, of their parents.
When China goes to war and only childs of people start dying in a needless war, what happens domestically in China?
Good point
Americans back home could not handle any deaths. A aircraft carrier sunk with 3000 dead would send U.S in to protests chaos with 'get out of South China Sea.'
Referring to the Ukrainian war, how many people do you think will die on the battlefield, 50000? 100000? Even if it's 100000, do you think it will have a serious impact on a country with a population of 1 billion? China's annual natural death toll exceeds 10 million
Considering that there's no real safety net in Mainland China, this could be a disaster.
China doesn't want war. I'm case it breaks out they'll try using machines, drones, etc as much as possible..
The presented view and limited time window of China conquering Taiwan was bold and wild quess but had also some supporting arguments. The presentation on population development was as such well prepared. Thnx for sharing. You are doing very good work on your blogs. Found many of them very educating👌
On the other hand, an ageing and declining population is less likely to rebel and if they do rebel, easier to put down. A declining population actually makes it more likely for the Communist regime to survive for longer, especially if they manage to conquer Taiwan and eliminate the ideological threat. The interests of the Communist regime and the country of China are vastly different.
This guy teaches me geography better than my geography teacher!😊
He also teaches you a lot of WASP BS and you don't even know it
this isn't geography, its demographics
I didn’t even get get to Asia in geography
That says more about you than it does him, or your teacher
i learn more in 30 seconds of an RLL video than i did in an entire year of AP Human Geography
Will you be doing one for japan as well? They are one of the fastest aging and shrinking population and i think itll give up insights into how theyre managing or planning to manage it.
Every western country including the US has already faced this. They solved it with a cheat code called immigration. Japan is trying to do the same thing. China can't replicate this because China isn't an attractive place to live.
i though the main answer was
1) robots
2) perhaps be just a little less unfriendly toward migrants for jobs robots can't do..
but japan really is scared of becoming diverse and loosing it's identity.. so they won't start a real huge immigration politic..
@@JeroenJA Unless they start an expanded immigration policy, there won't BE a Japan to lose its identity. I understand the will to preserve their wonderful culture, but unless they are prepared for certain concessions, all of it will be lost anyway. My worry is that it seems indeed, as if Japan aren't prepared to make enough cultural concessions.
RealLifeLore made a video around a year ago on Japan’s population decline titled “Why Japan is Shrinking Fast.” Though it doesn’t talk much about how the government is tackling the problem.
@@predabot__6778populations will never decline to the point of just disappearing naturally. In general, the shrinking east asian countries all have the same issue: severe competition over resources (jobs, increasing housing costs, increasing education costs, increasing cost of living needing 2 working adults). Currently those countries are all severely overpopulated and need to decrease for a bit to free up space for new generations without requiring migrants. Migrants are a bandaid solution that will destroy the culture.
People of a certain type are attracted to government because they (1) believe they can adjust society like turning knobs in a machine and (2) are arrogant enough to believe they understand the complex interactions among the populace and the economy better than anyone else (or naively believe others who think the same way). The results are always "unexpected".
This explains why my Grandmother always had night terrors/PTSD. She'd talk in her sleep talking about the japanese boys pulling invading and pulling people out of their homes. (Grandma was born in 1921). Also explains my mom talking about how she had an older sibling die when she was younger. (Mom was born in 1957).
Oh, right. You wouldn't be taught this.
@@leandersearle5094ou don't think Chinese people get taught about the Japanese invasion or the famine?
@@miguelzavaleta1911 Of course they would, that's why the sarcastic remark. OP's story is literally unbelievable. Someone in their ~20s to 40s finding out about it from an American on RUclips? No way that is true.
@@Zraknul If they were raised in the US, it's totally believable. Our history classes are terrible for anything outside the US and Europe.
@@Zraknul I was raised in Canada. Though I did learn Chinese growing up and had lessons, they don't go deep into history. Of course I would have learned about the war, but not in detail. As a youtube comment, it was more a general "Aha moment" where timelines finally clicked in my head. It's difficult for family to give an indepth rundown of when and where family members were lost. Add in language barriers and chinese dialects and it is more difficult to get a first person story of what happened. I had to actively look up things online to supplement my understanding. Since the war had many fronts, it was hard to pinpoint the actual year/dates where things happened.. Took me forever to trace back to the Swatow Operation of June 21-27, 1939. Japanese forced occupation. (on and off over the years figuring out family history before the internet was so readily avaliable). I knew different sides of my family fled to different cities during that time, and eventually making it to Hong Kong.
Sadly, my grandma passed away few years back. She lived to about 95-96. Her dementia started in her 80s.
I feel privileged to have heard first hand stories of the wartime struggles (Even though they were fragmented and difficult to understand).
We really wanted to be friends... It's amazing how 15 years makes such a difference in geopolitics.
and I'd say not even 15 but less than 10. actually just about 2014 is when, despite the US and world still just wanting to be friends, somehow (someone) around 2014-15 consolidates power and from then on its a very very fast road to not being their friend anymore. :(
@@topsuperseven7910 The nature of authoritarian governments. Under Bush, we handed absolutely everything China needed to become a superpower on a silver platter. In return they spit in our faces and pretend as if we never helped them, becoming our greatest enemy instead.
Things really took a turn for the worse after the Pooh bear consolidated his power.
@@wnose nope its after trump became president and declare trade war against china and he lose lol
@@topsuperseven7910 its since trump became president and declare war against china and he lose so bad lol
A study from the Lancet projects China being halved already by 2050. They have also overcounted their population size for decades (just like their gdp) some figures suggest they might already be closer to 1billion.
Dude, you can't even quote the right data from Lancet. Check it again
1 billion is still alot of people, that still over 3 times larger than the United States.
@@sophonb7931 750mil by 2050 and half of those will be over the age of 50. China is completely fucked.
Credits to the writer comparing China to Japan. Do you know why this matters, it is because of South Korea. South Korea also went similar to Japan's history, only with China not far behind because they are so rapid. My nitpick in the script is assuming India or Mexico will dominate the population boom, it is likely that they will also experience rapid decline once people starts getting more wealthy that wids the wealth gap. Population will decline without improving or changing the economic/political system of the modern world.
The problem for China is that even if it finds a solution to reverse population decline, it will then face a resource shortage. At it's current rate, is China sustainable? How much fresh water reserves does it have? How long until it runs out of metals and minerals? Will China be able to supply a population that increasingly desires to have an American standard of living?
Is it only American deserve to have American standard of living? Or should we criticize the much higher carbon costly country first before we worry about non-white people, who’s only 1/10 of the carbon footprint of the west per capita?
As the population, it will need far less resources.
@jaymarx I don't know if you have any reading comprehension skills. I did not mention anything about what America deserves nor did I say anything about carbon emissions. I am only considering resource shortages like water, fossil fuels, farmland, and mineral deposits. Rising demand and limited supply only means inflation for China.
@@jaymarxI believe prc produce co2 highest in the world
American way of life / standard of living is not sustainable. America's grows by both exploiting weaker economies around the world and massively polluting and damaging nature (although they outsources part of their nature damage to other countries, including China). It is far too consumist, too unconservative, too waste-producing and too polluting to be sustainable. No coutry should ever seek such standard of live, including the US.
7:25 I think it's important to note that this brief period of "working together" took the form of the communist party pretty much using the nationalists as human shields and letting them do all the work, which is why they ended up winning once the civil war resumed.
I've heard other 2100 population projections. I've heard USA may have 500 M and China 600 M. It's weird to imagine that by 2100 the USA and China may have relatively similar populations.
For that to happen, the US will have to take in at least 5 million immigrants every year, which is not possible given the fact that the countries that are possible sources of immigration are themselves going to see a decline in population. Latin America and Brazil now have TFR 's as low as US now.
Weird for us, but wouldn’t be unexpected. USA has excellent geography and very fertile lands. They’re already energy independent with fossil fuels and have excellent solar and wind resources to transition into.
China does have some things going for it, otherwise it wouldn’t have such a large population already. But they’re arguably very overpopulated compared to what their land can sustain. They’re already the worlds biggest importer of food, and the food they do grow depend on imports too (fertiliser, seeds, etc). They also rely on completely unsustainable fishing practices. Also gotta wonder how much the soil is degrading from all the pollution.
@@AjayTiwari-en9nzI'm not sure how you calculated that 5 Million value, but what about Mexico? It has strong demographics. I can see how some projections could reach 500 M Americans by 2100 depending on a number of factors like immigration policy and domestic birth rates... I'm just saying that it sounds like it's in the realm of possibility.
You heard wrong. U.S life expectance is falling every year, I have 4 lady friends die from drugs all before age 35yo for example.
U.S could never implement a paid maternity leave to boost the numbers as the wrong (e,g ghetto) people would make it their full-time job.
China can increase their paid maternity leave from 4months to 8months, they have plans, they are not rudderless like U.S is.
@SpazzyMcGee1337 Starting 2030, the US will need one million more immigrants every year just to maintain its population of 340 million(as per Peter Zeihan). Secondly, GenZ in the US is not having kids as much as millennials, and GenX did. The TFR in the US will decline down to 1.55 from today's 1.7 by 2030. This means the US born population will start declining by 2030. The decline in population with a TFR of 1.5 will double every 30 years, which means the US will need 2 million more immigrants to maintain its population by 2060 and 4 million more by the year 2090. Now, increasing birth rates in a developed society is extremely difficult, and you can not count on growth without more people entering the US. There is a reason why Democrats turn a blind eye to immigration from the Southern border, and the reason is simple, they want to maintain the population of the United States.
By 6 minutes I think the title of the video made its point, and sounded like it was wrapping up... Then I realized there was 25 (Twenty FIVE) more minutes left. Wow. Time to strap in and go podcast mode.
It may be a bad thing for China from the perspective of international relations, but as far as the Chinese are concerned, they want fewer people because there is so much competitive pressure within China right now.
😂Hello, expert
@@托尼老师-g8o nihao
Well, it's bad from a geopolitical perspective, but usually declining populations means better standart of living and quality of life in comparison to increasing populations. The thing is, much as like Europe, it is the fate of the developed countries to eventually self destruct.
Maybe explains some of the Lying Flat and Let It Rot movements in parts of the younger generation, or is that just general dissolution from modern society?
@@AbueloDeGuerra not if declining population means lots of pensioners with few workers to support them
I'd say two factors
1) the 1 child policy
2) the confucian way of thinking, in which when the woman marries a man she joins his family
So everyone would want a male children, not only for stronger labor in the fields, but also because if female, you would lose your descendants when she married.
W.r.t. point #2: That’s not uniquely a Confucian way of thinking lmao
Every culture outside of North America and Western Europe lives like that.
@@kc4276 Not really, here in south america, and I hear in Spain too, the wife doesn't even take the husband's lastname, she will always keep her identity.
male preference isn't unique to confucianism
2) bs, it does not work after the culture revolution.
I'd say you're wrong and uneducated.
The real reasons are:
1. urbanziation
2. females joining work force / equal opportunity and access to education
3. inflation / costing of living
Honestly, I've never thought of geopolitics in this way before, thank you.
The emphasis on population is very misleading. A large population can be more of a hindrance than an advantage as hundreds of millions still remain in poverty in China.
@@sutapasbhattacharya9471 Also leaves out human biodiversity, you can have a huge population and just be africa.
@@sutapasbhattacharya9471 Completely agree. I think others ignore the advantage of having your population simmer down after an insane leap rather than thinking "growth" should be imminent and forever as if that isn't toxic
The reason why India's population exploded is because last century is because 2 centuries of British colonialism turned India from a land famed for its great wealth throughout history to a land of poverty. Britain industrialized and grew rich [with its population exploding] and funding social reforms by looting India whilst pauperizing and deindustrializing India, killing tens of millions in dozens of manmade famines.
Search Jason Hickel India for two AJEnglish articles about this that will shock those who have had these facts hidden from them [inc. 100 million dying of starvation in 40 years].
@@sutapasbhattacharya9471 In the past few decades, their wage growth has surpassed that of many poor countries
China's population has declined further than my hairline💀
Large scale migration isn't a true solution to a declining population as this can have other draw backs that can create instability and economic issues. However a healthy balance between native population having some level of replacement birth rate and immigration can help keep the population stable without the draw backs of massive amount of immigration could. Population control in any form when it comes to birth control instituted by a nation or large authority body tend to always back fire like this. It creates a ripple in the ocean that will come and wash away a lot of hard work in the future
The key thing when it comes to immigration is to have a healthy assimilation to actually contribute to the economy of the country. I think this is where a lot of people fumble with thinking just getting immigrants will solve all of the problems. There has to be a motivation factor for these immigrants to want to help, and merit for them to stay. Keeping them isolated will backfire as chances are they won’t stay and likely word gets out that the country is not hospitable and it prevents foreigners from thinking of even staying in the country. Ostracizing can lead to certain people being resentful and potential threat for they likely had no second thoughts about loyalty to a community that never welcomed them in the first place. Then you have the other side of the problem when welcoming whomever with little to no vetting can create more problems such as verifying if certain people truly are migrants or just economically taking advantage of a country and not provide anything back to help their new host country. There’s other issues of too many people of one region willing to reach out to embrace the local culture to understand the perspectives and wisdom the locals could share. It could also encourage some immigrants to not put in the effort to learn the hist country’s most common language that further alienated them from the rest of the population.
As you mentioned, there has to be a precise balance and it’s generally best to not rely on immigrants to fill in the gaps of the economy, but at least have an environment where they can prosper being in the country while helping the local region. For some reason as mentioned before, people seem to have lost this concept and many countries around the world are paying the price for it one way or another.
Yeah agreed, we've seen how well that strategy has worked for the west to date
@@kate2create738 Yes I agree with all your points. Probably didn't convey that as well in my short summery but yes, doing it in a responsible control manner where people can integrate and not isolate them is key and it takes time and have to do it slowly. Since people do things slowly in general. People are slow to change habits and you cannot brute force them to change their habits to integrate but you cannot speed up immigration and expect it to work either. Balance is needed and screening is needed as well. It isn't a bad label on any group, but it is making sure the individuals coming in are going to work with integrating while bringing their experience from another place.
Also, even if assimilation happens, people from another continent aren't the same as natives of your country. Importing large quantities of them is inevitably going to change your country forever, even in the best case scenario.
COVID cough cough pun not intended
I found you (or the name of your channel to be more specific) like a month ago, after which I watched every video still available here, aswell as on FakeLifeLore, RealLifeLore2, Grand Test Auto and BioArk, which are like 400 videos or so. Im gonna say I learned a lot (which I totally will forget most of sadly), but Im do not regret a single second.
Most favourite videos where those about old countries or similar just spawned right back to existance.
Following that I would love to see how the African Union and the Arab League as a country would do on the world stage each
Greetings from Germany
thank you so much rll. This video has put so many of my worries to rest and I appretiate how informative and non-biased this video is. I am in constant fear of this invasion and its potential coniquences and this has made me feel so much better about it. Thank you so much and I love your content.
It's so biased it's even funny. The facts are not distorted as far as I know, but the whole USA focus is a giant bias.
@@flavioso20that’s not biased but a point of view or POV or a theme
this video is very biased anti china and make no sense at all btw , he dont know anything about china at all since he never been in china ,never interact with chinese community or forum on internet ,what i notice from western media video about china is they lack understand about real china ,they never diccuss with real chinese ,everything is just from western perspective
@@flavioso20 I see your point but my comment still stands :)
You don't need to be worried. China is minding their own businesses. They won't fall into the attempts to antagonize from USA.
I don’t think the population of china compared to the US will matter as long as the US still has a 50 percent obesity rate
The one child policy really showed some results, though I doubt they were the results that the minds that conceived such policy were expecting.
they should have let the population grow uncontrollably and then simply encourage emigration, unleashing an even greater flood of chinese into all countries in the world.
@@DerToasti or have applied a two children policy. No need to go from one extreme to the other.
@@DerToasti That didn't seem like a good strategy back in the 60s when other countries still had borders and made decisions on how many people to let in. The people who made the one child policy didn't know that western countries would totally go crazy and suicidal and just let in anyone from the 1990s on.
That is why it is so dumb when people go on and on about how smart the Chinese are and how they are operating on 100 year plans and playing the long game and all that nonsense.
The opposite is the case.
The CCP has always been and still is just coming up with idiotic ideas, forced the people into those and when things inevitably backfire, they panic and implement new, sweeping counter-policies to their previous policies.
The Covid Lockdowns and the One Child Policy are just 2 out of many examples.
A few years back the government suddenly, after promoting higher education for generations and creating a culture in which regular blue collar jobs were seen as shameful and embarrassing, figured out that now there were too many university students and not enough vocational workers and instead of slowly steering back and promoting vocational education, they basically just told millions of college students that their degrees were now worthless and that the government wouldn't hire them anymore and they even turned colleges into vocational schools over night, without even telling the enlisted students first.
Imagine you enlist at a college, aiming for a white collar job and after studying for a few years the government suddenly decides that your college isn't a college anymore but a trades school now, your degree won't be a college degree and you will only be able to get a blue collar job after graduating because there aren't enough factory workers anymore. And that after everyone you know has been telling you your whole life that only getting a blue collar job means you are a miserable failure and everyone will look down on you.
That is the situation millions of students suddenly faced in China. There were large, violent protests, but as usual, they were not covered by the western media, who has financial incentives to go along with CCP propaganda.
They are like someone falling asleep at the wheel of a driving car, suddenly waking up, jerking the steering wheel in one direction, then jerking the wheel into the other direction when the car almost drives off the road and constantly jerking left and right without finding back into a normal, steady path along the road.
@@TrangleCmigration laws were much more lax in the past, what are you talking about?
Not a regular commenter, but this video was SO well structured, insightful(Amazing Video)! I was logically, enjoyablly walking from interesting insights on population importance to really mind blowing conclusions, with real strategic importance to my world going forward. I finally understood why academic papers have intro paragraphs. Fantastic, 5 stars🎉
China lasted 5,000 years. Just sayin
THE PRESENTATION IS ENTERTAINING N SEEMINGLY LOGICAL. BUT I DO NOT THINK ITS CONCLUSION IS SURE TO BE CORRECT. HUMANS, SPECIALLY THE CHINESE, R CAPABLE OF THINKING N DOING THE UNEXPECTED. I BELIEVE CHINA WILL REMAIN AS IT HAS ALWAYS EXISTED SINCE FIVE THOUSAND YEARS AGO.
awesome bro
Is it really logical to highlight the huge changes china have gone through in the last 80 years and the profound impact it have had population, then fully base the conclusion on that nothing will change in the next 80 years?
China
My grandfather had a copy of old Soviet magazine Misha that has an interview article of an Indian visiting China in 80's who gets asked "Why doesn't India enforce one-child policy to control it's population like China?"
If i hate dealing with the people here in the US and their are only 300 mill, i would hate being in China for more than 3 minutes.
It's about time this issue began to gain recognition. This is going to be the highlight of the entire 2030's. More countries will have their turn before the dust settles in China.
And the only countries that won't, are France, New Zealand, and the United States. (In that order, and not just because it's alphabetical.)
@@pyrioncelendil looking at France right now, their population "boom" won't do then much good either.
Like Japan, one of the most difficult problems China faces in trying to increase its population thru immigration (since predicted birth rates can't cancel the death rate) is linguistic. Mandarin and Japanese are two of the hardest languages to learn, especially for Europeans and the two Americas. It constitutes a real roadblock. History has favored Indo-European languages. Mandarin, Japanese and other East Asian languages have vecome "islands" in the linguistic landscape of the world.
I‘ll just add that some Japanese have difficulty learning Japanese, as Japanese consists of three different “languages”. China introduced a ”simplified Chinese“ which suggests the difficulty of traditional Chinese, and adds a second Chinese language to learn. IIRC, Although called ”dialects“, Chinese dialects, while sharing common written language, one Chinese dialect, orally, might as well be a foreign language to another.
Noone wants immigrants clown. Just take women's rights away and birth rates will increase
@@advancetotabletop5328 that's because they literally are foreign languages. China is big and was was not always one country. The writing system allowed distant lands in the empire to communicate with each other without actually having to be able to speak the same language. Even countries outside the empire like Korea and Japan wrote in Chinese. Of course, after the radio, the government is pushing Mandarin over the other languages and the writing system has become something of an obtuse liability.
@@advancetotabletop5328 Regarding "Simplified Chinese". This has nothing to do with the Chinese being complicated or not. It was all about culutral revolution. Mao didn't want the young people to read the old books. You can verify that by trying to finding one new simplified Chinese character that the traditional Chinese characters have not. In other words each simplified character has the exact same Traditional counterpart. If you will, linguistically spoken Chinese has it's usually changes like any other spoken language over time. Writing itself however never changed, except maybe that traditional Chinese characters better conveyed the original Chinese culture, while the simplified characters convery Mao's ideas about China (Chinese characters are images (that are made up of standarditized little images) after all). A little example. Look up the word for love. What has upset Chinese and foreigners is that the heart radical inside the character love has been taken out in the simplified Chinese. Another point is there are at least 20000 Chinese characters, and require even for a native Chinese a life-long study. However only 10%,that is ~2000 Simplified characters have replaced the Traditional characters.
we dont want foreigners
Great information and superb graphics. Thanks for sharing it. ❤🎉
Can someone explain what I don't understand. Here in Europe we import migrants to plug this gap, but every year life gets worse and worse, not enough housing, doctors, dentists, school places etc. so the birth rate of the local population continues to fall, and immigration continues to increase to plug this gap and so on. If the people that come to work end up retiring, then they too need their pensions funded so surely the cycle just continues? Why do we (and other countries facing similar issues) not adopt a policy similar to some middle eastern countries where they import the necessary workers but don't grant citizenships?
This seems like a win-win to me. We can import people who's schooling/non-working years we've not had to fund, and who's retirement we don't have to fund, but extract the benefit of their labour and taxes (and any other societal contributions they may provide). Why do we not do this?
well, it hears like u want to return to 5th. BC Athens as a citizen and enslave the slaves😂.
Dude, that’s what china is doing right now. People looking for immigration aren’t idiots. There’s a reason why EU and US are full of immigration.
@@aaaaaaaard9586 yeah, so what he talk upon will exactly decrease the the interest of these smart immigrants to immigrate, dude.
We have that here in the UK. But people use fake wars or refugees and end up forcing themselves as refugees.
I’m kinda surprised that America’s population is still expected to keep growing. My friends with high incomes are not having children, and it seems like even dating is out of the picture for many. I’d like to have children but have no idea how I would even be able to afford a kid, much less a family. To top it off, every girl I’ve met recently has been uninterested in children. I must be doing something wrong lol
replaced by central Americans.
"I'd like to have children but have no idea how I would even be able to afford a kid, much less a family"
Homie women are in the same boat thinking the exact same thing as you. On top of financial aspects, women in red states also have to suffer from abortion bans that have raised maternal mortality rates significantly.
I dont know you, but I wish you the best
I think the population growth in USA is also supported by many Latin American immigrants due to it's proximity from their homeland.
Most girls in the US aren't interested in kids before the age of 28-30 or so, so if the girls you're meeting are younger than that, that's why they aren't interested.
@@haikalmiftah2529
Well no. Actually for at least a couple decades it’s been Asia (primarily East and South Asia) that has been the origin of most recent immigrants. Though Africa has increased its share as well.
I feel like no country ever looks at long term demographic developments. Or they willfully ignore it.
What I gathered from The video: Stabilizing living conditions -> baby boom -> golden age -> overaging a few decades later. Yet everyone is like surprised pikachu face when the overaging-phase sets in. You have to build up reserves / long time investments in the golden age to support the aging population and/or really smooth out the population curve after the baby boom to soften the blow of mass retirement.
Whenever there is a baby boom, 70 years later there will almost certainly have an over aging crisis, it is currently happening with Japan, it's going to happen with China and although to a lesser extent due to immigration, the US will experience it as well. Although since this kind of event is still only possibly with how the world's economy is currently, we still don't really know what will happen once the over aging ends and the elderly starts dying.
"But our nation is the greatest!!! It will grow and improve forever!!!"
-most politicians
The title was too clickbaity
The one child policy didn’t just impact china but the entire world.
Because of the higher competition to find a wife, many man try to pad their dating resume by doing things like purchasing property and homes around the world. So this has been one of many converging issues contributing to the housing crisis all around the globe
I watched all the modern conflict series on Nebula. Damm bro is awesome as the top animation companies
This Guy Is The Best Geography Channel Out There And Definitely Top 10 Channels All Time
( Love Your Videos, Greetings From Turkey!! ❤❤❤)
What other channels do you recommend?
@@sirmanolo Let Me Think... Oh, I Know! I Like To Watch @jonny harris As Well.
Very informative as always. Thank you.
He is telling people to breed more humans to solve poverty and food shortage
to relieve this problem, 50% of middle school students in CN can't enter high school and finally hard to enter college(they enter vocational school). So the most likely choice for them is to enter manual labor factory. This makes peer competition increasingly fierce.
i don't know about how EU and US students choose either vocational school or college. Were they sorted by exam, same as cn?
In EU you take high school exit exams and must take exams to stay in college. But vocational school is done in the high school so you get both tech education and academic studies.
In the US they used to push poor kids and black kids into voc-tech but in the 70s they started pushing everyone into college prep tracks. Still, many never went to college. But young people now mostly try to go to college or trade schools for certifications so they can get a good job. In the US it's more about money than exam scores. And money often causes college students to drop out.
Less people = Less workers to send abroad = Less influence
Looking at all the chinese girls at my College in Germany: ...
@@CordeliaWagner they arent there to spread influence lol. its mostly for economical reasons. and universities in china are too competitive
I think a video about the Balkans geography and how that influenced the history and politics of that region would be very interesting.
It feels like not even that long ago that we kept on saying we are doomed to have way too many people, and the earth can't handle it. Now it's almost a daily occurrence that bunch of countries are doomed to have a massive reduction in their population.
I remember there was an ad from Denmark trying to convince young people to have more babies, and said something like: "Do it for Denmark. Do it for mom". Same with Singapore with their "National Night" ad telling people to make more babies.
We are doomed because human is over populated and the capitalistic system we all use demands growth. If population declines then the work force/market decline with it. Therefore we need to keep making babies regardless whether earth ecosystems could handle this many people or not.
We are hocked on a drug called capitalism, and we are unable to get off. So this drug will slowly but surely kill us aka why we are doomed.
I've heard figures that are much lower for China's population. One reason is that local provincial governments deliberately over-report population to corruptly embezzle more CCP state funds. Measurements of things like sewage usage and food consumption indicate a population around 900 million a few years ago. Also, China has inflated its youth population figures by about 1/3, so not only does that mean there about 100 million 'phantom people' that don't exist, but they're all in the young (18-40) demographic. This means that, even if China's population really is 1.3 billion, the collapse in the young demographic means their population by 2050 is likely to be closer to 600 million. If the previous estimate is true and the current population is ~900 million, we're looking at 300-400 million by 2050. It's 100% all over for China; expect them to devolve into a new warlord period of some kind, like every other time this has happened to them throughout history.
"Frances population is still growing" my friend those aren't french...
Exactly!
Indias population is high but the population growth is highly uneven . While some regions of India have Tfr i.e. no of new babies born lower than japan while some regions r seeing population growth at a pace never seen before.
Recent studies shows that only 5 states are above 2.1 TFR, which means a lot of areas in India will have downward trends in population growth.
@@MayankSharma01yes I am from Kerala and its becoming an old age home pretty much.
Bihar
Is there a reason behind the uneven growth among different regions?
@@nfiautopia2066 yes. Many
Some regions have historically been more populated than others.
Some local govts implemented family planning better than others.
Education and modernisation helped too
Now I know how to repeat the same fact over and over in different ways for 30 minutes. Thanks!
Insightful and well presented.
27:10 You're mentioning the life expectancy for people born today, but it can't be applied to people born in the 50s, when the life expectancy was significantly lower. I looked it up and it seems like life expectancy back then was somewhere between 40 and 50... which seems really low, there aren't a lot of sources on it though. Either way back then it was significantly lower.
I think it directly related to healthcare access towards general people though, which is another topic.
For example, back then in 1950's people could die from polio and smallpox. Nowadays not so much.
In 1992-93 I went to boarding school at Milton Academy based in Milton Massachusetts. My roommate James Lin who is now an assistant professor in Washington always identified as Taiwanese as far as I remember. He never waivered. My respects to him as a friend and peer. The take is PRC is diff from ROC. And as to prevent backlash ROC is diff from PRC. To be clear, I stand by my roommate who put up with my madness.
Just a bandaid and not a cure, but in Japan now, there is a category of jobs known as silver jobs that retirees do as part time work. That's why at fast food restaurants there are often grannies sweeping the floor and taking your tray when you finish or grandpas standing with the "detour" signs in front of construction areas.
You miss spoke you meant the MAN MADE famine of 1960 right.
I think it's crazy that throughout history China has lost millions of people on many occasions and just not cared
they wont care the next time either.
Welcome to totаlitаrianism! They're lucky their government wasn't eхесuting them on purpose.
Upd: Oh, wait, it did.
That’s a authoritarian autocratic regime for ya
What are they supposed to do?
@@Bamm1894 China bad, they should grant their citizens immortality.
Have you published handy links to this data for other countries? The GDP, peak age population time series data would be super interesting for other countries and for comparing countries.
Check out CIA data sheets.
In January 2023, the government of Sichuan Province announced that it had abolished the three-child policy completely. Therefore, parents in Sichuan can now legally have as many children as they want. This was implemented to promote fertility in Sichuan.
15:09 - How on Earth are these called population "pyramids" and not population _pagodas?_
This is a totally valid point.
4:20 Map needs updating: Finland is in Nato now