Adventures in Gun Running: Iran || Peter Zeihan
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- Опубликовано: 12 май 2024
- We've got some new players in the global weapons trade, and let's just say that I prefer the old gun runners.
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#weapons #iran #russia #ukrainewar
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I'm surprised you didn't mention the South Koreans - their arms manufacturing is on roll at the moment and seems to be producing high quality weapons at relatively attractive prices.
Yes indeed, they go with any outfit…
but, is it sexy tech for sexy prices?
@@paulklee5790 Especially tank tops...
Perhaps because the South Korean kit isn't going to hot zones?
@@AllahuAkhbarMuhammadJihad No. It is apparently good tech at reasonable price. That is, it is not guite as advanced as the best of the best of say US tech, but at significantly lower price and it is definitely better than say Russian tech.
The US also keeps the best equipment for itself. F22 being a prime example no exports allowed. The export versions are usually downgraded compared to the domestic use equipment.
Sounds like South Korea and Turkey have been entering the arms trade business recently, too. Both are producing some pretty high quality weapon systems.
Ah yes, my Monday morning injection of happiness to start of the week.
Drone wars will make war more costly . It will be advantageous to improve the explosive capability of smaller bombs that drones carry . Electronic jamming will also play a larger part as we have seen from the Russians .
Well no one run guns like I ran
You are now watching Mad TV!
I Ran, I Hide
@@AllahuAkhbarMuhammadJihad We're now introducing the I-Rack!
@@Ef554rgcc Apple needs to stop advertising the I-Plug in NYC subways, it's disturbing.
@@AllahuAkhbarMuhammadJihad I'm not familiar but maybe they don't have an exit strategy.
I know why that dog started barking..... Mine would be two if he saw someone wearing shades looking like that 😅
Don't all the best economists wear shades from the flamboyant children's collection?
@@tvtothepoint Peter got his from the "Civil War" collection, Jessee Plemmons specials.
What kind of demographer are you?
"No offense to the Persian scientists", are you kidding me Peter? Who would've thought that?😂
Iranian researchers and scientists been using CHEAP materials and Components from 🇨🇳 companies tied to CiCiPee 👀
What, the UAE doesn't fly it's jet fighters?! I think this is some serious misunderstanding. The UAE has involved itself in several armed conflicts over recent years (Yemen, Libya, Sudan). They have bombed many places. They've taken over Socotra island.
They absolutely use their equipment in anger and have a militaristic foreign policy.
I understand that when you refer to “low level conflict” the term is being used in a geopolitical sense. Unfortunately, this same term as applied to Sudan and other places belies the unbelievable pain and suffering that the people in such circumstances are suffering. We in the West are so used to living in security and prosperity that we cannot begin to imagine what these people go through on a daily basis. And, unfortunately, these “low level conflicts” are largely unreported. Very sad.
That was an excellent video, my friend!
Thank you
Thanks Peter.
Thanks for doing what you do big guy. I make sure to catch as much of your content as possible daily. Keep up the good work. We need more like you out there dishing out useful information.
Hello Peter I'm an Iranian. Please talk about Iran's recent threats to revise its nuclear policy and maybe making a move towards the production of atomic bombs.
Interesting fact: a few days ago, a council of some North Korean "economists" came to visit Iran. Now Iran is not desperate to such an extent to seek economical advice from NK. Even worse, Iran pulled out a few missiles from the silos and erected them to show them off to the "economists" from NK. Isn't that funny.
They are economists in the sense that they make it expensive for the US to invade :)
"Nuclear weapons are economics by other means" - norht korean von Clausewitz, probably.
No, it is not funny, it is serious. And the popular press is not paying attention. I hope the right people in major countries are paying attention.
@@user-pu6ty5kk8t Not that serious.
@@user-pu6ty5kk8t OH YEAH? WTF are going to do about it, lil heshe? LOL
Good insight. I made that case at the start of the Ukraine war. The drone has made the tank obsolete as the main line weapon system in the military. Still to come are swarms of AI drones mounted with their own command and control that come in waves of hundreds targeting not only the objective but defensive stations as well. Along with that swarms of ground based droned with mounted rifles and sniper rifles that can sweep an area both urban and in trenches. All for 1/10th the cost of our current systems and without risk to personnel. After that counter strike drones, ECM's and deep strikes on control points - its a whole new warfare - on in which the 800 billion defense budget stands toe to toe with the 8 billion drone budget.
DGI and China in general are much more advanced in terms of price preformance.
1/10TH? YEAH OK GOOD LUCK WITH THOSE NUMBERS
Guess you never heard of Rheinmetall's Skyranger 30, and countless others just like it, so much for the underdog, but 800 milli can buy you a ton of fancy RC toys :).
I think you are over estimating drone capabilities. In the end of the day, drone warfare will still have the same major vulnerability of conventional warfare, logistics. These drones all need fuel to operate, and those supply lines will be huge targets for the opposing force.
saying the tank is obsolete shows a lack of knowledge on the subject
Thanks!
The world is involved in weapons trade. Omg this episode is quite funny.
Im curious what kind of device you're using. Quality is phenomenal, and so is the information 🙏🏾
I saw. Thanks!
Hey Peter could u possibly talk about putin replacing shoigu???
Yeah, maybe the US should dump Lloyd Austin and hire a winner?
@@robertmanning2940 You're... you're aware Shoigu was replaced? It's not a hypothetical maybe like you're talking about...
Afaik he was promoted. Patrushev on the other hand... should watch for high rise buildings with windows.
@@baddolphin1423 They promoted Dybenko too. The head of the military is where Shoigu was safest cause he gets to tell his underlings all sorts of bs and float their pockets with the states "orders". Now he has to pay out of his own pocket and they won't likely be answering his phone calls.
Always a chuckle, thanks.
Thank you for the information.
My Aunt wants her ponytail back! hilarious.
Finally
We need competition
Your great, THANKS
Fully appreciate the accurate use/intention of the phrase "Persian scientists" in relation to their shortcomings. It shows that the longer/older historical achievements from centuries ago fade along with the power those peoples enjoyed. Any culture that used to be an 'empire' or major contributor to the world will never again achieve those level of success, power or influence ever again and now are just a sad watering down of those former conquerors, who themselves got conquered. This is why you see the death throes in Russia and China... desparately trying to remain relevant in a world that is largely passing their accomplishments farewell.
You should probably check your facts and figures. Russia and China are getting stronger every day.
I don't know why barrage balloon nets are not an effective counter to these weapons
My powered cube is an All Frazier jewelry one and it’ll stay that way so long as they keep giving him the best jewelry cards.
Nobody gives a flying FKKKK yoooo.
I convinced so many people read your book and now after watching your videos, I regret it
For the algorithm 👍🏾💯
Is that snow in the background 😮
Colorado gets ridiculous amounts of snow
FROZEN LIBERAL TEARS ☃
THATS HOW THEY COME OUT AND LAND
Yep, there is plenty of snow in the High Country, Run Off is just about getting started. So the trout fishing is going to be off for 3 or four weeks in places.
@@AllahuAkhbarMuhammadJihad how will the maga tears look?
@@george2113 Like your mom's (|) juices :) 🌊🤽♀🤽♂🤽🚰🔫🌊, think about that each time you brush your teeth, shower, make tea, swim, sweat, or get in the rain from now on, or see a MAGA crowd, just a friendly reminder is all :)
That ole solar micro nova cant get here soon enough!!!
What is the level of technical sophistication of the Iranian drones? Where are the chips coming from? Does Iran have any semiconductor fabrication infrastructure of its own?
Is the Laser ever going to be a defensive weapon capable of taking out drones?
Thinking about the economics point of view, the question of how expensive is it to stop these attacks versus how much does it cost to rebuild? Whatever they destroy is a pretty decent metric to consider as well. I guess one of the fundamental reasons why these kinds of weapons are not in major use by other powers is due to the relative capacities of already existing military forces. The US has been flying predator drones for so long, kind of doesn't even really make sense for us to invest in something that is less capable, even if there's a budget option
6:15 Sasquatch in the background?
War of the factories, RUclips it, war of production is the real battlefield.
iran builds the shahed for 20k the us will make a version that costs 20 million a pop.
Would love to think tank with you one day soon.
Brilliant!
Don't all the best economists wear shades from the flamboyant children's collection?
One of these days a bear is gonna is gonna chase him during a recording.
AMEN 🙏
Do a Post-USA video, for Iran
the problem I see is America is going to the premium US arms manufactures like Raytheon and buying weapons like drones and loitering munitions that ought to be cheap and easy to produce but the US is getting absolutely price gouged because we're buying hot pockets at a 5 star restaurant and expecting it to be affordable
🤑💰 TALKS
Azerbaijan and Armenia are an excellent example of this.
Peter did several videos on that last fall (Sept-Oct. 2023) ..... very interesting stuff. Very worth your time.
Was this bigger or smaller than the infamous "Fast & Furious" gun running in 2010?
Why is Peter wearing the glasses from Civil War?
The word from Ukraine is that 50% of those old North Korean artillery shells are duds or explode prematurely. Other big players are the Germans (and they're growing) and the Italians.
Anything that the west says is a lie
UAE had their own F-16E/F Desert Falcons developed specifically for them. Unit cost was over $200 million each, whereas an F-35A is $77.9 million. UAE went all-out on the F-16E/F, even got their own engine for it from GE with 32,000lb thrust. Test pilots who worked on other test programs said it was the most smoothly-run fighter they had ever been involved with for the development cycle, mainly because the Pentagon wasn’t really involved. It was just Lockheed and UAE working together.
Uae 🇦🇪 is a enemy to the middle east arabs ain't they
So Peter, Good analysis over-all, but misses a few details when it comes to projecting these trends into the future.
There really isn't a hard line between "Cruise Missile" and "Autonomous Suicide Drone"... but drones are typically seen as the more low-end side of that continuum. And that is inherent in the core aspect of drone warfare that you high-lighted: It costs more to shoot one down than it costs to launch one. But this is because the missile defense technologies are designed to shoot down high end high velocity electromagnetically hardened missiles. That isn't going to remain the case for long. Indeed we're already seeing, in the more advanced integrated anti-missile systems like Iron Dome, systems to match incoming targets with counter-measures commensurate to their threat level. As such, we are going to see, as drones become more and more relevant, a resurgence of high end EM warfare, an entry of lasers, a return of traditional anti-aircraft guns, all supplementing a diversity of anti-missile missiles. And all of these systems will be modernized and networked with advanced AI-enabled radars and sensors designed to not just locate but identify incoming threats in real time and then deploy just enough of the right countermeasures to neutralize it. It will be very expensive to develop such kit, but once developed, it will be relatively cheap to deploy and use it... This will be the defensive version of what you talked about when analyzing the HIMARS and its effectiveness being gated by access to US intelligence resources. The US and other developed powers will be happy to give you weapons and defense systems, but they will only work to capacity if they continuously supply you with intelligence and satellite images and air tracking data. Which means, by using their weapons, you become a wholly owned subsidiary.
Isn't India trying to step up their arms manufacturing? Or is that for internal consumption only?
Sold 2 billion dollar military weapons
2.63 precisely
Iran has been under supposed strict sanctions for decades. And they have a thriving weapons industry. Those sanctions are so good, so effective.
South Korea is a big player these days too.
because rogue nations defy sanctions and trade with the sanctioned countries plus electronics are available worldwide.
I used AI to analyze Peter's glasses and I do believe I have narrowed it down to Jefoo hahaha
look I am gonna ask the question that no one dare --- what brand are those sunglasses?
Please cover Xi's visit to France
All the while under sanctions, I’d say they are top notch
Panther alert at 3:34. False alarm
Maybe talk about the WEAKENING MAGNETOSPHERE and the threat of societal collapse posed by solar weather
Persian Scientists ARE top notch, just not the ones working inside Iran, but those working at Boeing, Raytheon, Lockheed, BAE, Northrop…
I'm surprised that you didn't mention South Korea. They have gone from a second tier supplier to a first tier in NATO.
Iran has been doing that for years... 😂😂😂
Please comment on the upcoming south african elections
What happens to Haiti when the gangs start using drones? Can you do a video on that collapsed-state chaos storm?
Do Haitian gangs have high tech bros on that project?
Mexican drug gangs were early adopters of using drones to attack each other.
What are they going to use them on? The Iranian drones aren't smart enough to target individuals. They'd be targeting infrastructure, and I'm not sure what they could target cost effectively.
I guess drones could help them find rival gangs, but those wouldn't be Iranian.
Peter Pan living in never never land.
Never Say NEVER 😎 Justin Bieber
🤨 didn't you forget South Korea? They're making one of the best new tanks in the world.
Tanks that are not proved on battlefield. 😂😂😂 Korean tank just another t14 armada tank.
@@peterpanini96 Maybe not tested on the battlefield yet, but Poland has received delivery of more than 40 K=2's already, and Turkey is trying to build them under license .... Russia claims the T-14 is in service .... but Russia says a lot of things that are not exactly factual, especially in regard to the T-14 tank.
The hottest of takes from zeihan. Needs to stick to geopolitics and leave military matters to others.
What is that noise at 6:15 6:16? Dog? Strange noise nevertheless
Here we have "Homeless Pete" speaking from his Deep Sate script.
I think he can afford non teenager sunglasses!!
The golden rule who controls the gold makes the rules. Who is the number one gold producer in the World and who is the number one consumer . If you distroy fiat currency trading and have gold reserves what's the outcome?
You fight the people with the military that challenges yours.
Shahid is pronounced as Shah-heth not shaheed
It was known for a long time that Russia is buying drones to Iran due their capabilities, price and technology
Cool glasses.
When you have plenty of cash it’s much easier to ramp up manufacturing. Iran now has plenty of cash….. …..
Planeloads of USD. Literally.
could laser air defense be an economic means against cheap drones?
No the price for a military laser system is way to high you'd be better off trying to jam them exleast if we're talking about any nation that doesn't spend billions on military spending
Yes and no, the time on target to aim them is a little hard to maintain. But it's about 13ish dollars of electricity per shot. The equipment to fire it is still fairly expensive but it is dropping as it hits scale production.
@@herrosix3816 Rheinmetall Skyranger 30, plus theres a ton of anti dron drones, really not that hard to put a grenade on a drone and fly it into another drone. The cost of a modern grenade and military or close to grade drone is about 1500-4500 per untit depending on the type of tech used, Shaheeds were obsolete 40 years ago LOL!!, so is everything else Iran has, including the sand and insults to America.
300 Kilowatt Laser is lucky to take down a pelican LOL
Remember when Iran captured that USA drone in 2012 ? Now the Iran drone looks just like the captured one 😮
Out of curiosity, what distracted you at the 3:32-ish point of the video?? Also, what is the long-term impact of orthodox/ultra-orthodox Jewish birthrates to Israeli politics?
You left out Turkey 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
With those glasses on no closet can hold him
Persians could keep supremecy in this sector, and hold the jumpstart vs other nations, but not just about having best scientist, they are also the best most effectively sanctioned, They are manufacturing the drones with almost no access to global supply chains, and unable to order foreign technologies or components.
If I google “biggest weapons exporters” I get a completely different ranking from Peter on all pages 🤔🤔🤔 I don’t get it
Because this guy doesn't know what he is talking about. He just spouts off like he does. You or I could do the same
Iranian technologists may not be top notch but practice makes perfect. Due to sanctions they gave done some really interesting medical research out side of Big Farma. Granted at the second trier but practical, understandable and applicable. Not bad.
Shahid(شَهید): martyr
The drone’s name is Shahed(شاهد) meaning Witness. I believe it is from Shahed verse in Quran. The Shias believe the Shahed is Imam Ali who was the right hand of the prophet Mohammed. What is more interesting is that Shahed verse is the one referencing Torah as a holy book which mentioned the signs of the prophet.
I think 🤔 Chinese make most brands of paintball guns, and water pistols 🔫 young training weapons
Iran getting stronger despite sanctions.... if iran have the nukes she is unstoppable...
The Germans have the gepard anti aircraft/drone machine guns that are effective and low cost to operate so drones may not be that invincible once you get enough gepards in the field😁
Those sunglasses look hilarious
Good morning
I wondering what condition Russia’s nukes and delivery systems are in.
Missing South Korea, Turkey, Israel
India too
Wondering if the Swedes get further in on this action and Armenia hits the Azerbaijan oil infrastructure in any future conflict.
Hope you got a good view of the Northern Lights!
Like Turkey
The guy who predicts china will fall next month since 1997 uploads another funny video 😂😂😂
The US will pull out old drones like this, made in 2005, and offer them up in mass.
Doesn't Turkey make/sell a lot of drones? My assumption is they'll take over here
They sold some to Ukraine, and they recently started selling them an updated drone that's been causing havoc with Russia way behind the front lines. Turkey's long been known for making good firearms - rifles, handguns, shotguns.
NATO is not going to let Turkey make anything and NATO can't build much LOL
@@goldiga3935 Turkey already makes tons of munitions and sells them all over the world...
@@urbanarmory NATO OWNS Turkey, not Turks except providing cheap labor for NATO
@@Adi-bo5do Ask other puppets like UAE, Israel, Saudis S Koreaslaves LOL
WELL THEY'VE BEEN THE WEAPONS TRADE FOR A LONG TIME LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL
Why no mention of Israeli?
Never criticize or acknowledge your masters
...
Wait..
Not us.. the US.. is great producer and exporters of weapons??
.
Haven't they been doing this for years