@@doubledowndc8204 The Dodgers cover the RL 56% of the time this year. You would up 1.3 units going into the last game of the day if you bet them on the RL every game of the season.
Isn't his math a little off?? The percentage of wins may be 85% to win by 2 or more runs, but it's not 85% of GAMES. So, we are going to lose both any 1 run victory AND any loss.
Right now this makes sense. It's like giving teams credit for covering their half of the teaser line and saying they went 15 and two last year as a teaser. These numbers sound great because they're being misconstrued. This is like saying in the NFL 15% of the time underdogs win the game out right. So just pick the winning team as points don't matter 85% of the time. If you look at it mathematically it's not an edge it just sounds like one cuz we're not used to the way it's being framed
@@arthurfonzarelli9828 exactly.. Reds only won 67 games...82%,were by 2 runs or more. So that's only winning 55 games and losing 107... now obviously I'm not including the odds which could even things out a bit. Especially if the Run line was positive money
Listen to him. As hes running off the numbers, hes telling you the games won first. Like 110 games won, 95 by rl, 87%.... Theres nothing wrong with his math.
Oakland is going to be a dog almost every game this year, so you will be getting plus money on them at home and more plus money on the road. You could probably bet Oak on the ML every game and even if they win only 39% of their games, you would still make money if you shop and get the best prices.
You would have went 3-11 and thats why positive "ev" betting is garbage🗑 Your More focused on getting a better price saving 5 or 10 bucks than you are actually winning a bet 😂
@@cbuzz118sorry for not replying back usually if I dont get back to you in 1 day then your reply got buried :( Anyways you dont keep playing the streak haha you only run with it until they lose two back to back *then you jump off* OR if wagertalk figures it out and kills it by talking g about it in their channel ✅
@@cbuzz118 usually after the all star break everything reverses so the atlanta braves for the next 4 or 5 games will start losing and not covering < & the sf giants will start going over ect 👍 Anyways its one of the main reasons I jump off baseball because everything flips and I kick way more ass in nba summer league so I can care less about mlb after the break 🔥🦂
My MLB betting strategy. Always be RL for Fav and always bet ML for dog.
Another tool in the tool belt. Very good stuff.
I’m confused so should I bet on the -1.5 with the team that’s favored to win?
I'll lay the ML everytime unless I have to play the run line just because you can get backdoored
This seqson in baseball the sharp money tends to lose bets
LAD RL is always free
Until they choke in the playoffs
Love the dodgers ✅
@@doubledowndc8204 The Dodgers cover the RL 56% of the time this year. You would up 1.3 units going into the last game of the day if you bet them on the RL every game of the season.
Isn't his math a little off?? The percentage of wins may be 85% to win by 2 or more runs, but it's not 85% of GAMES.
So, we are going to lose both any 1 run victory AND any loss.
Right now this makes sense. It's like giving teams credit for covering their half of the teaser line and saying they went 15 and two last year as a teaser. These numbers sound great because they're being misconstrued. This is like saying in the NFL 15% of the time underdogs win the game out right. So just pick the winning team as points don't matter 85% of the time. If you look at it mathematically it's not an edge it just sounds like one cuz we're not used to the way it's being framed
@@arthurfonzarelli9828 exactly.. Reds only won 67 games...82%,were by 2 runs or more. So that's only winning 55 games and losing 107... now obviously I'm not including the odds which could even things out a bit. Especially if the Run line was positive money
Math is way off
Listen to him. As hes running off the numbers, hes telling you the games won first. Like 110 games won, 95 by rl, 87%....
Theres nothing wrong with his math.
Oakland is going to be a dog almost every game this year, so you will be getting plus money on them at home and more plus money on the road. You could probably bet Oak on the ML every game and even if they win only 39% of their games, you would still make money if you shop and get the best prices.
You would have went 3-11 and thats why positive "ev" betting is garbage🗑
Your More focused on getting a better price saving 5 or 10 bucks than you are actually winning a bet 😂
athletics on 6 game win streak right now smh
@@cbuzz118sorry for not replying back usually if I dont get back to you in 1 day then your reply got buried :(
Anyways you dont keep playing the streak haha you only run with it until they lose two back to back *then you jump off*
OR if wagertalk figures it out and kills it by talking g about it in their channel ✅
@@cbuzz118 usually after the all star break everything reverses so the atlanta braves for the next 4 or 5 games will start losing and not covering <
& the sf giants will start going over ect 👍
Anyways its one of the main reasons I jump off baseball because everything flips and I kick way more ass in nba summer league so I can care less about mlb after the break 🔥🦂
@@jeremyscorpio4170 I feel you with that summer league lol