#Eurovision2024
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- Опубликовано: 5 авг 2024
- This is simply the start of this ongoing conversation we will have this year but it's been a while since we've had a "grounding" conversation so you at least know where I am coming from and you can tell me where you're at.
LET'S BE REAL. THIS ISN'T A CONVERSATION ABOUT WHAT WE LIKE... CHALLENGE: think generally about what type of Eurovision "package" has the best chance at winning this year.
Alesia Michelle is a Eurovision blogger, based in the United States and has been covering the Eurovision Song Contest on RUclips since 2015. The 68th Eurovision Song Contest will be hosted in Malmö, Sweden. Semifinals and finals will be held May 7th, 9th and 11th in Malmö Arena.
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Firstly, I apologize for how high-pitched my voice it and the makeup... 5 years ago I did this but ultimately, my points are pretty much the same. Here's me 5-years ago, "How to judge a Eurovision entry": ruclips.net/video/EMMbBIHUymI/видео.htmlfeature=shared
The professionalism in this video is exactly why you are the best Eurovision RUclipsr and blogger. Loved this analysis. Loyal fan here 🤘
TYSM
each year we have :
- a shock NQ
- a "top 10 by odds" in the bottom 5
- a good surprise
- a song that ranks well because of international news or an external event
- a "meh" performance
But above all, each song influences the others. So we have to wait for all the songs to predict their fates.
Well ofc.
Love that depth in eurovision analysis ( I cound hear you for hours )
By far one of the smartest Eurovision videos I’ve seen. This is certainly the way to think about a winner.
I call it the "Eurovision pendulum", it definitely swings in a different direction this year.
Woke up, saw Alesia video, clicked on it, and I LOVED IT (like always). As one hardcore fan to another, THANK YOU for such an elegant and outstanding analysis on this contest! Currently, and still my #1 best subscription on RUclips
TYSM!
What’s interesting for me this year is that multiple entries and songs give me “top ten vibes” but I haven’t had those winner vibe tingles yet. Ukraine, Norway and Italy “feel” like top ten finishes but idk about winner. Serbia also has a couple songs in their NF I think could do major damage on the scoreboard. I’m very excited to get our full entry lineup and see what gives me those “winner tingles” then (lol).
I totally agree with you. Last year we had a lot song to fight for TOP 10. This year is just meeeh, I cant find a proper song to listen to it on a daily dose. Idk
Same.
I think maybe someone from the internal picks will have potential to win
I love how educated you are in what you say, and the analysis you give is spot on. Lots of love from Ireland🇮🇪🇮🇪
TYSM
I honestly love your videos and your honest takes which is one of the reasons why I've watched you since 2019 (although I'm not sure if I was subscribed or maybe it was another account, I know I watched you around that time) You were basically apart of my childhood and my gateway to Eurovision as an 11-year-old new fan. I think watching you also helped me be more honest and give proper criticism not just in Eurovision but also outside Eurovision! Glad to be a loyal fan 💖
Oh my! Thank you so much: what an amazing compliment.
@@AlesiaMichelle No worries hehe! I'm glad to be a fan! Excited to see more upcoming Eurovision content once more songs come out! Especially your prediction videos, they're always fun to watch. Hope you and your family have a great day!
Of course I’m still watching Alesia 😌we all areeee
Hahaha!
best ESC content by far!
Hats off to you for such a deep, thorough and IMPARTIAL analysis! Rarely do we get an opinion these days that is respectful to all countries and contestants. Pure joy listening to you ❤
Eurovision is usually about the emotion and being in the moment, with that being said it does come down to staging as we’ve seen it often times ruin the song, and the other way around.
Bambie Thug being half Irish half Swedish can win. Do you know how many Eurovision wins flows in those veins?
Hahaha! A lot of ESC winners ;-)
I think I agree with you ultimately. But the interesting part about this year is the artists have TWO artists to copycat, Loreen and Kaarija. Those two have so many genres covered and the crave is real for something new and fresh. Ukraine does fill that void, but it isn't the 100% we know this is the winner yet. I can absolutely see one act being the full force winner potential, but I can also see a murky unknown leaderboard. We just came out of a two horse race that sucked literally ALL the points away from 24 other acts, so maybe this time people won't coalesce as much towards one act. Who knows. It's gonna be interesting
Yes! I totally could have expanded but completely agree that the Kaarija inspired entries AND Loreen entries will be plentiful. AND YES Interesting is right.
This was such a great conversation.... even though the people wanted something fun and different in 2023 with Cha Cha Cha, Tattoo did come 2nd, so the crowd/Europe wanted something dancey-pop.... so I feel this year will be hopefully 1 of the 2 or both...
Seeing the trends as we see it, and Europe rarely follows what's trending in the music world, which is currently, hip-hop/rap, sad girl/sad boy songs
The winning song is likely to be a
1: A genre that’s not pop (e.g Rock, Rave, Ballad, Ethnic Folk)
2: A country who has never won before
I love these kind of videos and I totally agree with you when you say that our winner is more likely to be a man or to just go in a different direction than Loreen did last year. Also I think when we look at the line up we have so far Slimane still sticks out a lot, we don't have a lot of ballads or male performers this year. Also I wouldn't rule out Norway just yet when we're talking about winner potential. I might be biased, but this blend of ethnic elements and rock elements paired with this great execution, might lead to a top 3 finish with the televote if not even a win. However I kinda feel like we haven't heard the winner yet
Wonderful and very interesting video!
I 've always been thinking that copying the most recent winner is the safest recipe for failure. It only worked in 2004 and 2005 and never again since.
My favorite entry so far is Norway but I don't think it can really win. 3rd place would be its best case scenario.
I have that feeling that it's France's year. Slimane is way too good to be overlooked, even with a relatively uninspired song. As the line up is forming, we are gonna have too many up-beat songs and too many weird songs for special tastes. I think the simple, globally recognizable classic emotional ballad will stand out. Especially as served in a so exceptionally great and impactful version by a so solid, generous, charismatic and charming man. It looks like Slimane won't have any direct competition but even if he has, his perfection is glorious enough to beat any competitor. I mean he's doing the male emotional ballad as powerfully as it gets. I don't think any man could top that. So, I feel that France is a great contender to win the jury vote and if the staging is wise enough to let the emotion flow and shine properly, even the televoting will give him a top4 finishing. Which would make a winner.
Italy can and will climb up there in top3 but all (or a few) of those other strong ladies you mentioned will deprive Angelina of victory potentials.
Ukraine is almost guaranteed top5 but I think (and HOPE) is not having a momentum for victory.
I think that Alesia is soft-launching a case for a German win this year, assuming that Ryk's Oh Boy is selected. It would align with the general trends outlined in the video (a male ballad to contrast with the most recent winners). A reference to Germany is conspicuously absent from this video (unless I missed it, I'm open to correction). Our pocket-books would breathe a sigh of relief (relative to another Nordic win).
UPDATE: Well I guess it’s all moot now 😅
I suppose she didn't mention Germany because this country hasn't chosen the song yet. And I have to be honest: for the first time in DECADES, germany is my favourite country, assuming that Ryk wins.
Nothing conspicuous about it. Why mention a song/singer/country when we don’t know who they’re sending and with what song.
its the only song we've got in national selection limbo that meets her criteria, so I was thinking the same!
@@heylinsworld6673 In a yt short Alesia did where she talks about the German selection the caption says something to the effect of ,"does this selection have a potential winner?" and she talks about Ryk's song so I do think Alesia is probably referring to Oh Boy as a potential esc winner.
@@Shellydaliie as a song it would be above mon amour for me if he can carry it live she may be onto something.
Angelina will win.
Italy will win Eurovision Song contest again
For now she is the strogest entry
There are so many up-tempo bops this year that will split the televote, I think a jury friendly ballad or something really left-field might have the edge 🤔
The reset this year surprisingly I don’t think will be based from the winner’s result last year, I think it’ll be down to Käärijä. I feel a lot of countries will have seen how well he did with the juries and will try to replicate that, whilst going for that semi-final televote appeal. ie. Finland, Netherlands, potentially Croatia if Let3 perform again, the roop are in the mix again.
Whilst I don’t think an act like that has the potential to do as well as Käärija did, I just have a feeling it’ll be a well produced male pop track that people will gravitate to, with solid vocals and an overall great package and staging that will cut through a lot of the madness this year. That’s why I feel the UK have been very smart choosing Olly - but again we’ll have to wait for the whole package in Malmö! (great video btw)
Okay- so I'm not crazy or alone in my thinking. Thank you for watching and YES The UK are definitely working from an advantage in more ways than one.
I don't think most of Finland see Windows95Man as something that will win in Malmö. The Finnish selection wasn't that inspiring, so Finland voted for what was entertaining. Personally I also think the winning song tends to swing in a different direction every year. Norway sounds interesting in 2024.
I really love oh boy from ryk but have to see a live and germany has to pick it
Correct on both points.
Italy and Norway have selected songs with 2024 winner potential.
Agreed!
I have a simple, humble opinion: either people will go for the male ballad,due to the fact that there are sooooo many women, this year (I would love SO MUCH to see France or Germany win), or people will go for a "screw everything, we wanna have fun" positive vibe. In that case, Estonia and Spain will have a very strong chance to get the prize (assuming that the song with the big name wins). As for my country, Portugal, I don't even think it will qualify, so I'm being quite neutral, in this comment. Ireland? Oh, I would love to see this country qualify! In short, the usual songs with a female in the lead, singing or dancing well, are for a very rough 2024.But anyway, good luck to everyone. great analysis, Alesia, as always :).
I root for Serbia and cant wait to see live performances. I think that it will do some boom! 😊😊🇷🇸💜💜
At this point my winner is Dons with Hollow. Absolutely.
@@obobyuobobyu64 In the case of Serbia this year, we can only say some conslusions after the live performances. Sometimes you hear winning vibe but its floop on live staging.. So... yes 👏👏🇷🇸🇷🇸🇷🇸
@@obobyuobobyu64 But its okay.. why we need to know everything before it started. For example for me, Ukraine is never winning song, boring and thats it. There were so many winning songs that were : just okay and nothing else,when released. So... I will not predict anything :)
Pesme su nam s*anje ove godine. Ništa od finala
@@bosko41 Ne kaki puno.
I da oću nemogu srat koliko ti sereš po komentarima 🤣
this year is between Norway and Italy.. 2 completely different entries but equally potential contenders
Norway doesn’t stand a chance, they will end up outside the top 15.
@@GianniDN i will reply in May
This is so in depth for ESC-connoisseurs, so spot on... Being posted before Belgium's entry was released, I believe Mustii's entry fits right into the "when you hear it, you know it's gonna win" category.
If we want to restore balance this year, Ireland needs to win to regain our record of most wins and all will be right in the world. *smiles with a ding ✨️* hahaha
@AlesiaMichelle I think that at this stage of Eurovision 2024 pre-selections we can already say it`s being an anomaly year when it comes to music, apart from the world context and unrest. With that said, it seems like there isn`t a firm contender for the win (unlike 2023 with Loreen) or a specific musical genre standing out. There`s been kinda shift of musical pattern in recent years, since we`ve turned from ethnic entries to more "generic" songs. It feels like the "freak age" or the dark years of the second half of the 2000' s are coming back again and I personally wouldn`t want to see that again, and I must remark I enjoyed Lordi`s victory back in 2006. But to my Eurofan experience, any country except for Israel could hold the glass microphone in May.
I really love the excellent work you`ve done in these years and you`re still doing, keep it going! 😍😍😍
Let`s go Nebulossa!!!
💪💪💪💪
Sorry if my English is not accurate. Kisses from a Spanish eurofan since 2006 🥰🥰🥰
Some may not be ready for that conversation, but João's entry in Portugal...if and only if he can do it live.
I'd be here for that conversation, but yes we need to see it live: But it could do something....
Fun, good dance vibes will win this year🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
I think Ryk could do something great for Germany 🤞🏼🤞🏼
I think Alesia thinks so too😉
imo it would be a lot like only teardrops which I'm not mad about it just needs to feel unique and standout cos Germany normally suffer a bit there
Alesia, an age long loyal fan of yours here.
I see copycats often happen with top 5 entries but not so much with the winner. We have had several Fuego songs, several songs with dance breaks (Slomo). A consistent thing to copy is a Sanremo style of performance like male or female solo singer with an emotional ballad. To me this is good to stand out and be top 10 but not for winning because you miss the X factor.
I am feeling a disruptor could come. And I am feeling someone more mature could be that disruptor. Loreen was 39 I think last year. Some seasoned artitst in their 40s (or even 50s) could be that disrupter.
It could go into two possible directions: very quiet ballad about hope or an upbeat pop. First, because we can not underestimate the effects of the war in the middle east on europe’s collective psychology. Having said that, the upbeat pop could win from the similar reasons: people are tired and need something to lift them up a little. I would agree that Italy have sent Irama, male power ballad, maybe he could have fit in in that prediction of yours about patterns. He had such a powerful presence on stage. However NS sometimes have a problem, because the cultural preferance for the particular preformers could inspire people to vote for their winner but could miss the potential winner of ESC.
I feel like there is also something to be said for a countries track record.
With hosting for example no one would be angry if we got another year like Liverpool 2023 but people might hesitate in going back to say turin 2022, so fans may be less likely to vote for a country likely to deliver a poor show if they win. Just some thoughts myself and some other eurovision friends came up with.
A strong card for ireland is that bambie thug will be (i believe) the first openly non binary artist at eurovision to be out during the show and we could possibly see something along the lines of 2014 where the community comes out in force for the song as there will likely be a lot of casual viewers who may flick on the tv and see bambie thug, grasp on to the song and throw them a vote. As well as that bambie has very openly stated that they want to win and will jot do anything by half. I think that this year there is a good chance for people to gravitate towards a more niche genre and wind up sending ireland into an economic disaster 😂
What I will say is I think there is an opportunity for someone to win if they absolutely nail the staging. Sweden 2015 comes to mind as a reference. I haven’t heard a song this year that can win with an average stage show.
When Gåte wins and the ESC is in Norway next year you could rent free cabin at my sailboat close to teh areana :) Because, they WILL win :D Great reflection vid! Thanks
I think Europe has problems with ethnic songs (Spain last year) so I don’t think Norway will win
as die hard fan of ESC could Bambie thug be a disruptor? also watch the space on Denmark as that could be a winning pattern since they won in 2013 just speculating/thinking out loud
The Denmark threat was real... but I don't think this line=up could get it done unfortunately. I would be SO HERE for a Bambie disruptor, I think it might be unlikely to happen but I'm hopeful for it. Bambie is BOLD DIFFERENT and I really believe Ireland is back in the final.
as an Irish van I think Bambie has clear blueprints of a vision but as our national selection is rubbish for many years as it underestimate the first impression of this song
I saw Bambie at download festival last year and has a HUGE stage presence to break Ireland's non qualifying curse to grand final fingers crossed
With the female ballad coming in with a disadvantage I 100% agree!! People have already said that Marcela with "Gasoline" is just a wannabe Loreen, so they immediately don't want her to win Dora!
The worst part is that she actually both looks like loreen and sounds like loreen 😭
Yeah it isn't fair the comparisons but every year iwe hear it so folks should just be prepared.
Basically what happened to Sara Siipola... Many Finns didn't vote for her because she reminded them of Loreen
Amazing analysis. At this point, looking at the remaining 24 countries to yet release a song, it might finally be time for Australia 😆If it's Danii, we might just get a Kylie-type song to lose our heads over haha
I could easily have had another hour of this LOL.
Haha
I believe this year winner will be Greece or UK. Both this two countries send very good singers, and very different one an another. I can wait to listen to this two songs, will released in March.
I need songs before I get comfy with a proclamation
honestly i think there’s a big chance we get a 2022 situation, we’re gonna sit around speculating while ukraine is the obv winner all along. they had very good televote score last year when the song itself seemed to have very few supporters. you can imagine what’ll be this time
i get the need to identify patterns and to some extent they may be valid, but i think it’s way more relevant to analyse the current context and what we know about this years’ songs. at the end of the day it’s a math equation. and what the people really want isn’t guaranteed to end up winning (people pretty clearly wanted kaarija last year, and not loreen)
but yeah overall, ukraine taken apart from the discussion, males should have an upper hand this year
For me winner potential breaks down to
1. Uniqueness
2. Execution
3. Context of the year it's competing as well as previous winner
❤
I wonder if Estonia will go safe this year and choose Daniel Levi - Over the moon... it could do well with the juries and kinda give this Salvador vibe
I really hope not.... Daniel is giving Sam Ryder dupe . But Really I just want to be able to keep saying PuuuuuuuuuuuuuLUUUUUUUUPPP in every video :-P [jokes]
5minuust is landsliding Eesti Laul this year
@@sav0001 we used to say it about many Eesti Laul participants in the past. We have to keep in mind that EL organisers love to pull some string through the jury
I think Mans' win in 2015 was also a turning point in Eurovision. Introducing LED Screens and Animation as a key staging element to elevate a song
What's interesting for me is that people are very divided on who's going to win, there seems to be no clear favourite so far, except for the odds pointing to Croatia. Here's my thoughts:
- Italy is going to be up against Greece, Malta, Cyprus, and Luxemburg. My mind is not made up yet, but I feel the momentum is gonna be on Greece, either way none of the countries will accumulate enough points to win the whole thing because they are very similar and hit the same public vote. I could see the Jury favouring Italy out of the other 4 but not the Tele-vote.
- Potential winner pot following the patterns that you mentioned (which I agree on): Croatia, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Belgium and perhaps Lithuania. Now this is interesting because they are going to attract the same crowd (as UK, Estonia and Finland but all three are out of winner competition). So the tele-vote will be very indecisive though I could see it favouring the Netherlands or Croatia. The winner will be one which accumulates enough points from the Tele-vote and the Jury, and I think Switzerland is capable of both. Either way I think a lot of countries will get very few points from the Tele- vote because of this strong pot.
- Winner vibes but unlikely to win: Ukraine and France
- Winner: Switzerland with both Jury and Tele-vote but not winning either or Croatia winning a landslide in the Tele-vote
If this was an anomaly year, maybe something with a message of hope could win too. I’am thinking about something like Iceland 2022.
The world is now in a nihilistic and escapist state, so maybe something optimistic is appreciated.
Nice point... I don't know if we have that song yet, but even more reason that if we got one it'd stand out.
@@AlesiaMichelle Teya Dora’s Ramonda does have that message (of rebirth and hope)but it need to have an immaculate staging that will depict its story and message to the public
I think this year Norway can win because it is something new and also the same time that has its roots in the tradition of a nation with a genre that is not at all obvious like classic ballads or euro-trash pop songs.
I loved Eurovision in the Early Noughties. There were some bangers that came out of that era! This year feels very Female Pop Diva Heavy. This year I just want to dance! The songs I'm wild for right now are United Kingdom, Spain, Italy, Ukraine, guuurl Albania. Chile 💅 Albania always gets me. France's entry is male, it's a ballad, it's for some people. Not, for me. And, I acknowledge that it's a refreshing entry from the sea that's out there. The spitting in the video kinda grosses me out, wish they had selected a different part of the video clip. If, we are going to get Male powerhouses it's probably going to come from the Baltics, or Greece, or Cypress. What is Germany doing?
Chile is not participating and Greece sends female artist 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Ryk please ❤❤❤
I think Oh Boy by Ryk for Germany is a potential winner!
I agree. I really hope he wins the German contest
Why do I feel like this is where we're going? 😁
YES!! So glad someone’s saying it, been listening to it non stop ❤❤
Nah. It's my favorite but it won't do shit in the televote. Australia 2022
@@teddytete.mp3oh ye of little faith!😀
Loreen/Euphoria was the ABBA/Waterloo of the 2010s. It brought that much-needed serious contemporary pop vibe Eurovision was really lacking the years prior.
From all the officially chosen competitors' songs I've heard so far, France is really much better than the rest
Do you think so? He’s a-fantastic singer but the song doesn’t stand out, we will see❤
I think Europe is still on the let's have some fun mood, specially after last year results. Which one of those will come on top and how much they will hurt each other? we'll see. I think baby lasagna could take it if it is well executed live and chosen lol
France and Italy are my favorites right now. I think they will both do well.
If *that song* from a national finale gets into eurovision can you tell us, which one it was🥰
She means Ryk - Oh Boy
I am very, very drunk off the Kool-aid 💀
Prepare yourself, because Portugal is coming with Iolanda (Grito), what a song!
Interview coming soon...
Oh I'm ready: ruclips.net/video/MouIYmV65P0/видео.html
Check out my interview with her.
Sidenote after hearing all your points in this video, I really think AND want LITHUANIA to win!!!
Haha! I wouldn't be mad at that AT ALL.
If Roseelu wins DMGP I believe, Denmark can win 👀
It has Euphoria Vibes, and is that perfect blend between Power Ballad & Eurodance
Your pronunciation of Joost is great
I hope it's irony😅
I really hope, we send Ryk - Oh Boy 🤞
I hope something more risky wins this year
I wouldn't be mad at that.
I GOT A NEW VIDEO I GOT A NEW VIDEO ALESIA MICHELLE (HEY GIRL) i'm ready to go. (how you feeling) EUROVISION FAM? are you ready for the show? (ahahhihihihi)
I catch myself singing that way more during eurovision season than any of the actual eurovision songs with all the good content you provide 🤸
Hahaha! TYSM
When you speak about Austria 2014, do you feel that the performance wasn't winner worthy? The song is ok but the performance was great - I'm just stunned when I watch it - even still.
The song: ehhhhh. The live performance: yes... But there were combos that year that had both.
Calm after the storm was amazing too, that staging❤️
Pronunciation tip for Joost Klein: Joost rhymes with boast and the J is pronounced like "Y", and Klein rhymes with fine
ooooo this might work. TY
Its time for small countries to start winning finally, people focus on france, germany, sweden and all those other but small countries with good entries are forgotten. May lithuania win this year
I often see comments like "No one is like him/her, they're gonna stand out and win", but that can go in two totally different directions. If several entries are in same sphere, but they are staged in excellent way so that they all become contenders that one "other song" could just be left in dust doing its own thing. The moment when "that song" becomes contender is when others are not executed in such a good way that people fight for them to win. With that said I actually think this year's overall winner will be a woman and that it will be something epic and powerful. Women have been clearly carrying this year's national final season and music industry in the world in general and dominated in almost every national final this year, and several internally selected female artists are very skilled performers, so I just think 2024 will give us another female winner.
I think that out of confirmed songs Norway and Slovenia could be contenders for the win and Ireland is a dark horse that could potentially pull Finland 2006, and I think the fact that Sweden came for them last year is doing them a big favor and this year they somehow overcame themselves and brought something authentic and original, so the stars could really align for them. Other countries which could be winner contenders are Greece, potentially Serbia and Italy, and Switzerland is obviously cooking something in silence. If we're gonna have a male winner with a power ballad (which is possible cause ESC can be a six sided dice game) it's gonna be Latvia. I truly felt winner vibes in Supernova final performance and something which could captivate both jury and televoting.
Okay- I hear you on the potential for another woman to take the crown. I don't think it's impossible but the fight to STAND out will be tough. I love the mention of Switzerland because they are dropping crumbs that could be really promising: I don't want to count them out, but I'll need to taste the sauce. Greece and Serbia could DEFINITELY "WOW" us some I am buckled up for that.
BUT! I think if Germany selects Ryk, he's going to best Dons when it comes to the studio cut. I think "Oh Boy" is far more ambitious and modern of a studio cut than "Hollow" even though it is perfectly fine and executed well.
@@AlesiaMichelle
So Switzerland kept Eurovision winner in the end 😏
24:06 girl I can’t 😂
You kind of sort of pronounce 'Joost' as 'Yoast' (I'm a native Dutch speaker)
You know what? I am gonna say it! Yes, I will! I hope Nebulossa does take the win this year at least the top 5 will be. Idk, I can really see it.
I think folks are slightly underrating Spain this year...
be serious 5 minutes I like the studio song but she sings so badly it is intended for the bottom 5
@@kapijo I disagree. I think the song is good. And im not mad about the voice. Kaajira was also not a vocalist and he end up is second place.
uh but the comparison with kaarija is a bit too much the song has much less impact
Even before I heard the snippet of "Dizzy" I was already biased towards the UK's victory for this year. After 2022 and seeing how fantastic of a performance Sam Ryder gave us, as well as how brilliant Mae Muller's performance was (disregarding vocals) only to see her end up in 25th place left a bad taste in my mouth. After 2 years of pure winner level quality I'm craving the UK's victory. And after the royal disaster that was the 2022 show from bad arena lighting, to so many camera fails, to the main focal point of the stage breaking before the show was horrible. Then seeing how amazing of a show the BBC put on in Liverpool left me desperate for them to host again, just for the pure fantastic show quality. Olly Alexander has so much momentum that if his song really isn't a radio friendly song and a much more impactful one, he could have this in the bag.
and I don't think you're alone in this sentiment.
Where do you think the weakness is in Norway's path to winning? Norway do well in the televote. If jury and televote both but Norway top 3 then there's a path.....what do you think?
I think my "pause" is I am not sure how televoters will treat it. There are so many act blatantly courting the televote there won't (potentially) be much to spread around AND I never trust the juries with entries like this. I think it qualifies I think it's possibly top 10 but the are bumps in the road.
@@AlesiaMichelle True. The juries didn't exactly go for Spain last year.
@@AlesiaMichelle My guess is 75% chance for Top 10, 50% chance for Top 5, 25% chance for Top 3, 5% chance for Winner. Top 11-15? Probably also 25% chance, it is one of those acts that is extremely hard to predict.
Italy Is now the only possibile winner.
Upper level song and stage standing
For now maybe but it is early and that direct competition is heating up and waiting to emerge from the wings.
Teya Dora is coming for it
mmmmmmmmkay GURL.
She won't even PZE IMO
the way you say slimane's is taking me out lmao, the a is a AAAh not a o-ish sounding noise 🥲
At the moment, I think EBU is beting on France as most strong to win and gave already Eurovision Junior to Spain, not to have both competition in France. But, we will see.
Giving it to Spain I think was moreso because they've already hosted JESC so frequently. But, an interesting thought.
Norway 🎉🎉🎉🎉❤
Joost is pronounced as host, with a J instead of an H
So far absolutely nothing honestly. I never had a year where I didn't instantly felt like "ok this intro is already giving winner"
The Netherlands performer you pronounce like: Yo - st
Little Dutch lesson for you Alecia.
when you see two o's next to each other (oo) it is pronounced as the name of the letter O. For example like in the word "floor". So Joost's name is pronounced "yOe-st" and then "Klein" is just how Calvin Klein is pronounced.
I'm Dutch and it's not pronounced like that at all. "Yoast kline" is the closest way for an English-speaker to pronounce it. Pronouncing it with an "o" sound as in "floor" would make his name sound like "Jost." "Oo" is the Dutch equivalent to the English "oa."
@@im.joeyb. the “oe” was me trying to figure out how to spell how it sounds so I came up with using the rule where “e” at the end of a word is supposed to make the speaker say the vowel before its name for example “bare” or “knife”
The example of how “oo” sounds in Dutch that I was using was “boos”
I am so throrughly confused. I will wait for the interview, cuz Ima have to hear it LOL. Thank you for trying to help me tho I really do appreciate it.
@@AlesiaMichelle Use Google Translate. Might be easier too. 😂
In Germany, we spell the name differently haha
Look at winners in sweden, denmark and norway is common.
It truly feels like a college level course on Eurovision
Eurovision should be a course!
@@AlesiaMichelle
You should create an online Eurovision course and sell it on Internet 😂
@@AlesiaMichelle Australia has a Eurovision course in one of our universities lol
Joost is pronounced like 'Yoast' 😂😂
I don't get why i'm not buying into Olly from the UK as winning song
The UK keeps sending the same vanilla disco pop track that is off mainstream radio that never clicks with ESC And I just think it will still continue to streak of during poor in the grand final would love to be proven wrong
I think we need to give Olly the benefit a full fist listen before we write it off.
@@AlesiaMichelle
it's a very strong projection of mine not writing the song off at all as competition I just want to know why everyone thinks it's going to win or do well at the grand final it just seems to overhyped
I heard Ozzy's snippet for the UK, i'm not getting winner potential from it, don't think it will do much damage in Eurovision
Womp womp Ryk
There is no potential winner so far... 🤔 haven't had any winner vibes by now, except from Ryk.
23:52 hahahaha Joost Klein 🤣 it’s uhmm.. Yoast Kline
You pronounce the oo in Joost as the o in host or ghost
The thing about Italy, is they don't care if they win Eurovision or not. They see Eurovision as a 3rd rate song contest compared to Sanremo. This is why they don't put any imagination or effort into their staging.
I know- which is why I'm not dusting off my Italian flag this year as of now... I gotta get a whiff of what they are cooking up.
I’m Italian but don’t live there, it’s a shame if this is the case.. although maneskins staging in 2021 was something else..
@@AlesiaMichelle Marta Dona was/is manager behind Moneskin, Marco Mengoni and Angelina. She knows her job.
Marina Sati Greece ❤
I don’t think we got our winner just yet
That's ultimately where I'm at. I think there are MAYBE some options (2-3) in the NS but the countries would have to pick them...
@@AlesiaMichelle yea and I think another big point to make is that in the last two years we had very strong front runners. We all had a feeling Ukraine would take it in 22 and last year with Loreen it was only Käärijä that felt competitive (in my head anyways) . I can see this year being a little less predictable until we get to May. We just have to wait for the songs really. May I ask what the 2-3 you’re thinking of?
Spain.
This isnt a great year tbh for songs but spain is amazinf
Maneskin was in 2021, not 2022
Yes- talking to fast.
❤🇺🇦
But the public voted for Kaarija, not Loreen 😏
Sure, but we still have the voting system in place so the winner will still have to in some ways appeal to both.