The Numbers: Summer mailbag!

As we wait to return from our break, we're back this week with an extended mailbag episode to answer listener questions, including:
Is it better to have an election in the summer or the winter?
Are the Liberals still the "natural governing party"?
Which past party leader who lost an election might have had a better shot at a different time?
Plus answers to questions on projection models, polling methods and more!
This episode was recorded on July 3. We'll be back with a regular episode next week!
To join the Discord page for The Numbers, get early access to episodes every Thursday, an extended mailbag segment and bonus episodes every second week, you can become a member of our Patreon site here: / thenumberspod

[@bernielucht1418]

I just returned from a two-week silent retreat. No talk, no smartphone, no news from the outside world at all. I found the whole experience healing and nourishing. And like you, Phillippe, I am an obsessive follower of news. The retreat taught me I can let go of it for a while. How liberating!

[@FPLBayne]

No Boats on Sunday is my favorite cider

[@niloufarkia]

Thanks guys for great pod again. Would u discuss the possibility of NDP/Liberals dropping their MPs so there wont be vote split in next Election? Do they have a chance to get re-elected like that? Something like Macron pulled off in France and UK? Im freaking out over that possibility..I cant take 4 more yrs of Liberals/NDP.

[@JudePi-jx7yo]

Lake City Cider and a close second No Boats on Sunday.

[@owengg17]

TNC is the best

[@diegoarmando5489]

The CAQ thought Marquette was in play and it was the one riding where the PLQ improved their showing in 2022. I think that was because it's a PLQ stronghold and the new candidate from 2018 was an incumbent in 2022.
Interestingly, QS is very weak in this riding even though it's become a Projet Montréal stronghold in local elections.