Trump Has A 64% Chance Of Winning The 2024 Election According To The Betting Markets

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  • Опубликовано: 26 окт 2024

Комментарии • 256

  • @Election_Time
    @Election_Time  3 месяца назад +12

    🎉🎉 *SUBSCRIBE TO HELP US REACH 200K BY NOVEMBER!*
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  • @insideoutsideupsidedown2218
    @insideoutsideupsidedown2218 3 месяца назад +316

    Hawai’i, really guys? After the way this administration treated you all, $700 a piece comes to mind? Still voting blue? Smh.

    • @notmarcus17
      @notmarcus17 3 месяца назад +54

      Not all of us vote blue

    • @kimopalama256
      @kimopalama256 3 месяца назад +39

      Right? I dont get it!

    • @beckymadrid5894
      @beckymadrid5894 3 месяца назад

      They like the freebies joe throws at them. They are being bought out.

    • @wolfy6258
      @wolfy6258 3 месяца назад +5

      💯

    • @DevilDog-dd5ob
      @DevilDog-dd5ob 3 месяца назад

      @@notmarcus17 Most do. Must love free money from the Dems.

  • @hereunderduress
    @hereunderduress 3 месяца назад +88

    Remember the odds in 2016 Hilary was the favorite. So get out and vote

    • @MatthewSauceda
      @MatthewSauceda 3 месяца назад +2

      Hopefully this is saying it’s leaning towards Trump, but yes 2016 was crazy because Trump only had a 2% chance of winning but he did so I’m hoping for a landslide

    • @brennaballen9783
      @brennaballen9783 3 месяца назад

      She would have won but they didn't think Trump had the support he had and they didn't cheat enough.

    • @simon_a_s
      @simon_a_s 3 месяца назад

      Trump will lose

    • @deanrotering879
      @deanrotering879 3 месяца назад +7

      Believe me, if they could show Biden winning they would. If it’s close they would. Everyone must vote though, that part is true.

    • @RealYRM
      @RealYRM 3 месяца назад

      Get out and vote so someone else can't go to the polls or mail in and vote for you... especially in swing states where they got rid of voter ID, signature verification, and the voter rolls are out of date.

  • @RoyaleSplendor
    @RoyaleSplendor 3 месяца назад +128

    Well, according to RCP, Trump now leads in the Commonwealth of VA and has him up at 325 electoral votes. 👍

    • @billykidd6971
      @billykidd6971 3 месяца назад +21

      I live in Bedford Co. VA. I have voted for Trump both times. It sucks to see it win blue both times. I sure hope it is red this go round. That would be so awesome!

    • @mrhellcats2.069
      @mrhellcats2.069 3 месяца назад +5

      @@billykidd6971vote red Vote Trump good shit!

    • @simon_a_s
      @simon_a_s 3 месяца назад +1

      His roof is 251 or 257 even in the best scenarios.

    • @chillmemes5865
      @chillmemes5865 3 месяца назад

      @@simon_a_sno

    • @ryangalligan1040
      @ryangalligan1040 3 месяца назад +1

      @@simon_a_sfor Biden?

  • @Lucas_D79
    @Lucas_D79 3 месяца назад +46

    Do not get complacent. Vote!

  • @phseago
    @phseago 3 месяца назад +79

    I think he can flip Minnesota, New Mexico, and Virginia in my personal opinion

    • @mrhellcats2.069
      @mrhellcats2.069 3 месяца назад +20

      On bro I live in Minnesota and i’m going to vote for Trump

    • @frankwoodson5867
      @frankwoodson5867 3 месяца назад

      @@mrhellcats2.069 on bro.

    • @Sewshi2
      @Sewshi2 3 месяца назад +7

      He flipped Virginia already

    • @pauljohansen8043
      @pauljohansen8043 3 месяца назад +2

      Agree with the first two. But the Twin Cities and powerful unions will go blue again IMO

    • @rs8247
      @rs8247 3 месяца назад +5

      Minnesotan as well, My wife and I and almost everyone I know including my friend who has never voted Red in his life are voting for Trump including 2 of my friends that just moved back from another state.

  • @ac9559
    @ac9559 3 месяца назад +87

    Like Hunter, 7% seems a little high.

    • @zeldadesantiago6974
      @zeldadesantiago6974 3 месяца назад +2

      Lol😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

  • @theterracebanquethall7124
    @theterracebanquethall7124 3 месяца назад +54

    I can tell you that Nevada is trending RED!!

    • @Ondatrumptrain
      @Ondatrumptrain 3 месяца назад

      @@theterracebanquethall7124 And Trump always outperforms the polls. There will be cheating though. Need to make the gap too big to rig.

    • @connerberti5018
      @connerberti5018 3 месяца назад +2

      So is New York

  • @hanginbangin
    @hanginbangin 3 месяца назад +39

    Lets go DJT!!!

  • @RedPolitics1776
    @RedPolitics1776 3 месяца назад +92

    TRUMP 2024!

  • @WilliamFluery
    @WilliamFluery 3 месяца назад +38

    Seems like a waste of time when some states have poll data 7- 12 months old

    • @1999Subaru
      @1999Subaru 3 месяца назад +10

      Agreed. November will have Trump at 400 electoral votes! Just wait and see!

    • @insersed6525
      @insersed6525 3 месяца назад +19

      @@1999Subaru Definitely an overestimate. Most likely Trump will have all the states he won in 2016 with 3 additional states of Minnesota, Virginia and Nevada

    • @1999Subaru
      @1999Subaru 3 месяца назад +4

      @@insersed6525 would it be fair to say 350, then?

    • @YuckyBruh
      @YuckyBruh 3 месяца назад

      @@1999Subaru don't believe him

    • @teekay_1
      @teekay_1 3 месяца назад +2

      @@insersed6525 Arizona will almost certainly fall Trump's way.

  • @ismaelgonzalez695
    @ismaelgonzalez695 3 месяца назад +17

    Puerto ricans 🔥🔥🔥 For Trump #MAGA

  • @trith72
    @trith72 3 месяца назад +15

    LOL 7% chance, and cackles is even 2 points lower....yikes...

  • @Dogey-nc7yw
    @Dogey-nc7yw 3 месяца назад +15

    Keep up the good work!

  • @janetberns3331
    @janetberns3331 3 месяца назад +10

    I don't care if the polls give President Trump 100% chance of winning, VOTE.

    • @TJ-vw2wi
      @TJ-vw2wi 3 месяца назад +1

      Vote Early

    • @smorris281
      @smorris281 3 месяца назад

      Talk is very cheap. Facta non verba.

    • @frozenllama23
      @frozenllama23 3 месяца назад

      Have a criminal for president 😂

  • @Jack-pl1fn
    @Jack-pl1fn 3 месяца назад +1

    Minnesota

  • @jlvandat69
    @jlvandat69 3 месяца назад +13

    Very important to ignore the betting odds and the polls when it comes to elections. These are normally wrong, especially during volatile election cycles. Recall that Trump was losing in virtually all polls in 2016.

    • @cadredeux1047
      @cadredeux1047 3 месяца назад

      Yet if you bet on Biden you already lost.

    • @jlvandat69
      @jlvandat69 3 месяца назад

      @@cadredeux1047 Unemployment down from 7,5% (under DJT) to 4%, lower prescription drug prices, inflation down since 2021, elimination of most of DJT's Executive Orders which were destructive for America....under Biden, America has won....even the less-educated MAGs, but they don't know it.

  • @blessedbee186
    @blessedbee186 3 месяца назад +11

    Dont we need to win PA to take it? Trump 2024

    • @nick56677
      @nick56677 3 месяца назад +3

      Every state is crucial of course, but he doesnt necessarily need PA. At 11:48 if everything holds true with thst map then he only really needs 1 of the 4 rust belt states if NH doesn't go his way. Even if he loses Wisconsin, PA and Michigan, Minnesota he can win it all with just New Hampshire giving him 271 EVs

    • @blessedbee186
      @blessedbee186 3 месяца назад

      @@nick56677 thank you! 🙏

  • @parallelpark4
    @parallelpark4 3 месяца назад +6

    Total curiosity- what did your map show before the 2020 election? Love your stuff, man!

    • @mikeloss8194
      @mikeloss8194 3 месяца назад +2

      Go on his channel page and sort by the oldest it's the first video.

  • @Jazz1959
    @Jazz1959 3 месяца назад +6

    Minnesota is going to turn red!

    • @annetteavery4930
      @annetteavery4930 3 месяца назад

      Never you don't need id to vote there. It's like New York just walk in and vote. Trump 2024.

    • @stevehoogenakker9619
      @stevehoogenakker9619 3 месяца назад

      Sorry, won't happen. This state is full of crazies

  • @RyanRule-v9j
    @RyanRule-v9j 3 месяца назад +2

    God Bless President Donald J Trump 47th President Amen!

  • @JimPack-jy3rr
    @JimPack-jy3rr 3 месяца назад +7

    If Trump is ahead in Virginia, why is it colored light blue? Leaning Biden? Shouldn't it be leaning or tilting toward Trump? Light red or brownish?

    • @stevebmx46
      @stevebmx46 3 месяца назад

      He’s just going by the betting odds

  • @xaviorweaver1894
    @xaviorweaver1894 3 месяца назад +5

    trump 2024

  • @kimlee3607
    @kimlee3607 3 месяца назад +5

    Best news from you.

  • @smorris281
    @smorris281 3 месяца назад

    The betting markets have proven to be very accurate in the past. I would pay close attention to the betting odds the closer we get to Nov.

  • @bencollison7941
    @bencollison7941 3 месяца назад +2

    TRUMP 2024❤🙏 God bless America

  • @scorpy09
    @scorpy09 3 месяца назад

    Just joined today. Will you be populating a map in order of poll closing? Would be interesting to compare it with the actual vote reports in real time.

  • @marcusanderson6881
    @marcusanderson6881 3 месяца назад +2

    Michigan and Georgia is RED🇺🇸❤️❤️❤️❤️

  • @ecthelion1735
    @ecthelion1735 3 месяца назад +4

    EPO just put out a betting odds map that's much more favorable to Trump. I'm not sure why this one's so different.

  • @DJamesLaSalle
    @DJamesLaSalle 3 месяца назад +1

    F' the betting averages. TRUMP! 2024

  • @crispinfornoff206
    @crispinfornoff206 3 месяца назад +4

    My calculation is that Trump only needs one of the following:
    MI, PA, MN, WI, VA, NH, ME or NE2

    • @simon_a_s
      @simon_a_s 3 месяца назад

      Trump needs NC, GA and PA. I highly doubt he can win PA

  • @KathyBlock-e6c
    @KathyBlock-e6c 3 месяца назад +8

    I'm taking my vacation in late Nov. Just to make sure I stay out of blue states. Thanks for the update. My money stays in red states. TRUMP 2024 !!!!!!

    • @ATHikers
      @ATHikers 3 месяца назад +3

      Same here

  • @Harley-c8q
    @Harley-c8q 3 месяца назад +9

    THE RNC BEING COMPLETED I THINK WILL GIVE DJT A 5 POINT BUMP. I FELL DJT WAS MODERATE IN HIS SPEECH LAST NIGHT AND WILL
    NEGATE SOME OF HIS IMAGE AS STRIDENT THEREFORE WINNING INDIES AND UNDECIDED VOTERS. ALSO JD VANCE IS A BIG PLUS
    IN THE RUST BELT OUTCOME. THE POLLS AFTER THIS CONVENTION ARE GOING TO BE VERY INTERESTING.

  • @reactingfriends
    @reactingfriends 3 месяца назад +1

    Will you do a video like this but with polls against Harris? Or other candidates? It’s inevitable that Joe is forced out.

  • @holoholohaolenokaoi2299
    @holoholohaolenokaoi2299 3 месяца назад +3

    lot of time between now and Nov. but forecast Trump to get around 350.

  • @RyanRule-v9j
    @RyanRule-v9j 3 месяца назад +3

    God Bless America Amen!

  • @rgncal4872
    @rgncal4872 3 месяца назад +1

    lol Biden is actually up 1 pct lmao

  • @richconklin4134
    @richconklin4134 3 месяца назад +2

    340 Electoral

  • @MrRetluocc
    @MrRetluocc 3 месяца назад +2

    I think this map is spot on, but come election day I think Trump takes NH, VA, and NE-02 for a total of 330 EVs to 208 for Biden. Yes, I think VA is a more likely flip than MN...

    • @simon_a_s
      @simon_a_s 3 месяца назад

      Won't happen. Trump loses AZ, WI, MI, PA, VA, MN, NH, ME

  • @Elonmuskit
    @Elonmuskit 3 месяца назад +2

    Let’s go Brandon Trump 2024

    • @ilyaweissman3135
      @ilyaweissman3135 3 месяца назад

      ruclips.net/video/BX9X_T_MPaQ/видео.htmlsi=YmYCgyTwZo78qP40

  • @deanrotering879
    @deanrotering879 3 месяца назад

    Finally someone realistic about Minnesota

  • @DugdoesDigging
    @DugdoesDigging 3 месяца назад +1

    7% for biden, and 64% for trump, thats weird, wheres the other 29% (please explain i am very confused as to what that matrix means)

  • @greghomestead8366
    @greghomestead8366 3 месяца назад

    You still forgot to factor in the water pipe brakes and middle of the night ballot dumps. 😮

  • @pauljohansen8043
    @pauljohansen8043 3 месяца назад

    Averaging polls is great. But if it includes polls from 2-6 months ago it is pretty useless. Especially in a wild situation like we have right now. Notice…. My opinion has no consideration of party.

  • @ericrodriguez3509
    @ericrodriguez3509 3 месяца назад

    I don’t understand how someone can win 80% of the states and still barely win

  • @blueztx
    @blueztx 3 месяца назад

    You should list Virginia as a toss up.

  • @waynewilson3971
    @waynewilson3971 3 месяца назад +2

    Trump 2024!!!

  • @saulgood1480
    @saulgood1480 3 месяца назад +2

    You need to update where you’re getting your polling information from… Trump is winning New Jersey on every recent poll

  • @dasielreycruz8494
    @dasielreycruz8494 3 месяца назад +1

    Biden dropped out the race!!🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

    • @ScorpioBornIn69
      @ScorpioBornIn69 3 месяца назад

      Doesn't matter.
      They're all the same.
      Harris now stepping in?
      Game over.

    • @dasielreycruz8494
      @dasielreycruz8494 3 месяца назад

      @@ScorpioBornIn69 😂😂😂 sure

    • @ScorpioBornIn69
      @ScorpioBornIn69 3 месяца назад

      @@dasielreycruz8494 A vote for any socialist is a vote for all the current mess that we are. How about then we contact Gov Abbott to start busing illegals in your town. Sound good? That is what your voting for.

  • @9and7
    @9and7 3 месяца назад +2

    TRUMP 2024

  • @rushmore3927
    @rushmore3927 3 месяца назад

    Bet Kamala will be 9% and settle down to 5%.

  • @teekay_1
    @teekay_1 3 месяца назад

    Have you done a projection versus Harris? While it's unclear if she'll be chosen to replace Biden, she's the most likely person for financial reasons.

  • @richardcheney8681
    @richardcheney8681 3 месяца назад +1

    Electral votes for trump,370 votes landdlide

  • @mynamemango8976
    @mynamemango8976 3 месяца назад +2

    Wow!

  • @00flats
    @00flats 3 месяца назад

    I don't get it. You win the whole state or lose the whole state. What is up with these districts?

    • @scorpy09
      @scorpy09 3 месяца назад

      Maine and Nebraska divide their electoral votes in part by congressional district totals.

  • @Gemma_626
    @Gemma_626 3 месяца назад

    Man, dude are you from Dundalk, Glen Burnie, or PA?

  • @BeegzBomb
    @BeegzBomb 3 месяца назад +2

    I think you should start modeling if its Trump vs Harris

  • @rubengoldschmidt7429
    @rubengoldschmidt7429 3 месяца назад

    This guy seems to be under the impression that polls are everything, which they aren't.

  • @Mychinisfamous
    @Mychinisfamous 3 месяца назад

    It's way better if you double the playback speed. 😂

  • @RoyMiller-mh9yj
    @RoyMiller-mh9yj 3 месяца назад

    167 for BIDEN. When did he get more

  • @edgarnapiza4667
    @edgarnapiza4667 3 месяца назад

    New York and California both dominated by democrats but both states experienced higher numbers of homeless.

  • @rtrevino2020
    @rtrevino2020 3 месяца назад +1

    Bro. Come back when shit changes for real!

  • @Sgtturtle22
    @Sgtturtle22 3 месяца назад

    Biden dropped out now Harris is running

  • @markmatherne7322
    @markmatherne7322 3 месяца назад

    The odds are 99% this is stupid

  • @AirWireTech
    @AirWireTech 3 месяца назад

    Stop doing averages with polls that are a thousand years old. Politics is fluid and dynamic. 1 month old polls...MAX.

  • @larryvasiliev7303
    @larryvasiliev7303 3 месяца назад

    400

  • @IceKnight81
    @IceKnight81 3 месяца назад

    Two things. Is there Dem Party malaise in which voters won't come out to vote? And during this time it is interesting the lack of polling in states.

  • @gahmivolka
    @gahmivolka 3 месяца назад

    HOw on earth is Hawaii still voting blue after everything that was done to them these last 4 years from Democrat officials....?

  • @jeffcolvard4187
    @jeffcolvard4187 3 месяца назад

    7%? ....why do high?

  • @saltandlight-f5p
    @saltandlight-f5p 3 месяца назад +1

    400

  • @godsongamergr
    @godsongamergr 3 месяца назад

    as of now, 0% chance of winning

  • @christophermontoya6178
    @christophermontoya6178 3 месяца назад +1

    Still making rookie mistakes , sadly you don’t know know how to make the proper corrections……

  • @craignoldy1267
    @craignoldy1267 3 месяца назад

    YO! BUDEN HAS DROPPED OUT

  • @robertames688
    @robertames688 3 месяца назад

    Not if Biden drops out

  • @jdbaker82
    @jdbaker82 3 месяца назад

    More like a negative 100% chance

  • @debsmostexcellentadventure5353
    @debsmostexcellentadventure5353 3 месяца назад

    ❤❤ trump he loves his country , if he loses not only Americans lose the whole world 🌎 will too

  • @annetteavery4930
    @annetteavery4930 3 месяца назад

    How is trump only 65 percent

  • @Metallislayer1
    @Metallislayer1 3 месяца назад

    its joever

  • @jamesb8619
    @jamesb8619 3 месяца назад +3

    Let’s hope Michael Obama doesn’t get nominated or decides to run or else it’s over for trump

    • @Bronesoffical
      @Bronesoffical 3 месяца назад +2

      I dont think thats happending

    • @stevetsataros6511
      @stevetsataros6511 3 месяца назад +2

      The SCHLONGMEISTER has no chance against Trump.

  • @jacquelinewenceslao4539
    @jacquelinewenceslao4539 3 месяца назад

    ❤❤❤

  • @HaimanJerry
    @HaimanJerry 3 месяца назад

    Trump is the only way

  • @edwardsmith3393
    @edwardsmith3393 3 месяца назад

    Run Joe run (cant win)

  • @RoyMiller-mh9yj
    @RoyMiller-mh9yj 3 месяца назад

    SEE YOU DOUBLE TALK TOO MUCH

  • @mysticaltyger2009
    @mysticaltyger2009 3 месяца назад

    Problem is, they're going to kick Biden out and find someone else to run.

  • @robert2b2
    @robert2b2 3 месяца назад

    Less history, please.

  • @DrFingerOBGYN
    @DrFingerOBGYN 3 месяца назад +1

    I hope these predictions come true, it’s funny to me how u contradict yourself over and over, you say Biden has a 85% chance of winning a state at the that should be very troubling for the Democrats, yet in states where Trump has a 60% chance of winning in your opinion that is a commanding lead. First off it’s not going to be Biden versus Trump and you should start doing some polls of Trump versus Harris. I think all of these polls will be moot in a matter of days.

  • @KevinKerrigan-uc2xj
    @KevinKerrigan-uc2xj 3 месяца назад +1

    Stop all this verbal g bull crap we all know those poles have changed drastically for b Trump

  • @AnaMariazander
    @AnaMariazander 3 месяца назад

    Why is Trump’s percentage not going up as Biden’s comes dow?

  • @helgakaiser152
    @helgakaiser152 3 месяца назад +2

    Stimmt überhaupt nicht.

  • @wandatrehern7636
    @wandatrehern7636 3 месяца назад +1

    I'm not Trust this map

    • @1999Subaru
      @1999Subaru 3 месяца назад +1

      Do you think Trump will win by much more?

    • @franaldo93
      @franaldo93 3 месяца назад

      ​@@1999Subaru😅

  • @craignoldy1267
    @craignoldy1267 3 месяца назад

    You people have no idea what you're doing, on Monday, you had Trump 341, now he is down 30pts.....?

  • @ralphschueler9437
    @ralphschueler9437 3 месяца назад +2

    New Jersey is flipping red you are so far off on New Jersey I live in North Jersey Lodi and I'm telling you this Trump signs all over the place and North Jersey are for the Democrats in South Jersey for the Republicans Des Moines Trump signs up north Jersey now it's highly populated and it's flipping I'm excited South Jersey did you see those hundred thousand people they came from North and South Jersey people need a change in New Jersey the property taxes are so high the food is so high everything is so I can't afford to buy a house I mean it's nothing even South Jersey where you could afford one now you can't afford one it's pretty rough New Jersey we are looking for a change and Trump's going to be the change you're way off with those 14 electoral votes that we carry they're going to Trump

    • @scorpy09
      @scorpy09 3 месяца назад

      Please add punctuation!

    • @mikeoxlong6351
      @mikeoxlong6351 3 месяца назад

      Please gtfo the internet if you cant get with the times ​@scorpy09

  • @Atlantaplumberplumb
    @Atlantaplumberplumb 3 месяца назад +1

    TRUMP 2024