Комментарии •

  • @SilortheBlade
    @SilortheBlade 6 лет назад +221

    Bah. I know my rock keeps away tigers because I have never seen a tiger for as long as I have had it.

    • @Tuckems
      @Tuckems 6 лет назад +2

      SilortheBlade Makes sense to me

  • @BlackCatGodess
    @BlackCatGodess 6 лет назад +32

    Puppy cat! I didn't know that they'd made a stuffed animal of him. This has greatly improved my day.

  • @ibnufajar8733
    @ibnufajar8733 6 лет назад +2

    does the "r²=0.7" mean that we could predict accurately by 70% ?

  • @m0tivati0n71
    @m0tivati0n71 Год назад +1

    air con and conairs 😆

  • @snowballeffect7812
    @snowballeffect7812 6 лет назад +360

    This needs to be mandatory viewing for EVERYONE.

  • @qilinxue989
    @qilinxue989 6 лет назад +647

    *Me:* I used to think correlation implied causation.
    *Me:* Then I watched this video. Now I don't.
    *Friend:* Sounds like the video helped.
    *Me:* Well, Maybe.

    • @polyjohn3425
      @polyjohn3425 6 лет назад +24

      lol. Well, probably.

    • @jedisentinel4879
      @jedisentinel4879 6 лет назад +20

      The video explains that it's not because two elements are correlated that one is the cause of the other. One '''can''' be the cause, but it's not logical to imply it just from their correlation. It was not the floor itself that broke the glass even though it is related to the breaking, it was it's impact with the glass, '''caused''' by gravity.

    • @verdatum
      @verdatum 6 лет назад +25

      XKCD is a pretty good comic :)

    • @HerodotusVon
      @HerodotusVon 6 лет назад +8

      Kachimbo somebody missed the joke

    • @noobnoobyify
      @noobnoobyify 6 лет назад +10

      Herodotus Von 8428 no, someone got the joke, but felt the need to expand our knowledge.

  • @Pfhorrest
    @Pfhorrest 6 лет назад +226

    Nicholas Cage movies are correlated by yet another unmentioned variable: summer. Nicholas Cage is an action movie star. Action movies are generally targeted for summer releases. Summer is also hot, which is the cause behind air conditioner sales and swimming, the latter of which is of course the cause of drowning.

    • @aido92
      @aido92 6 лет назад +58

      Pfhorrest Or it could be that people who have endured a Nicholas Cage movie are more likely to drown themselves ...

    • @polyjohn3425
      @polyjohn3425 6 лет назад +12

      That's true, but the data shows a close correlation over multiple years, not just over the seasons of a given year. It just so happens that the summers of years with more Nicholas Cage movies also happen to have more drownings.

  • @sugami82
    @sugami82 6 лет назад +258

    "Correlation does not equal causation" was my old stats teacher's favourite phrase along with "always interpolate, never extrapolate." :)

    • @xsaberfaye
      @xsaberfaye 6 лет назад +15

      Extrapolation is actually necessary in certain circumstances though - for example predicting growth of global human population, economic forecasts, environmental forecasts regarding climate change.... anything that has to do with the future.

    • @Unordung
      @Unordung 6 лет назад +6

      Post hoc ergo propter hoc!

  • @akankshaandadityasingh9888
    @akankshaandadityasingh9888 6 лет назад +73

    When she apologises for using imperial units......

  • @greyareaRK1
    @greyareaRK1 6 лет назад +45

    I haven't watched Nicholas Cage movies, AND I haven't drowned. Aha!

  • @mielthebee
    @mielthebee Год назад +5

    "..if people blink more when they're lying!"
    Our Professor: 😳

  • @laterkater4213
    @laterkater4213 6 лет назад +32

    Better explanation then my university level stats class. 👍

  • @murphygreen8484
    @murphygreen8484 6 лет назад +24

    This has been my favorite CrashCourse season by far. Really enjoying the material and the host!

  • @aaronmarks9366
    @aaronmarks9366 5 лет назад +9

    I wish all my scatterplots ended up making pictures of dinosaurs.

  • @elijahsassercollins3685
    @elijahsassercollins3685 5 лет назад +3

    now go teach the media this so they can stop blaming video games for all the worlds problems

  • @xxtheswagger8xx263
    @xxtheswagger8xx263 4 года назад +6

    who is here for school

  • @chaosherald8879
    @chaosherald8879 6 лет назад +28

    Beware ye who enter this comment section...

  • @yetigriff
    @yetigriff 6 лет назад +12

    That's not the graph Jim Carrey and Jenny McCarthy showed me.

  • @aude1979
    @aude1979 6 лет назад +13

    A class on non linear relationships would be FANTASTIC :) And more classes in general (e.g., on general versus mixed effects models; GAMs etc...) Thank you for your dynamism!

  • @JackieChenpi
    @JackieChenpi 6 лет назад +20

    Watching Stat for fun again.

  • @childfs6865
    @childfs6865 6 лет назад +18

    Comment containing the word EVERYONE in caps lock.

  • @Deedj1
    @Deedj1 6 лет назад +23

    Everyone needs to see this! Just because things seem connected on the surface doesn’t mean they’re related and Visa Versa!

    • @josephyml
      @josephyml 6 лет назад

      psst. its vice versa, not visa versa

    • @legalfictionnaturalfact3969
      @legalfictionnaturalfact3969 6 лет назад +1

      and if they're not connected then they DON'T CORRELATE. this shit's a red herring.

    • @legalfictionnaturalfact3969
      @legalfictionnaturalfact3969 5 лет назад +1

      @@improover113 talking specifically about causal relationships, as the phrase states explicitly

  • @ternvall
    @ternvall 6 лет назад +4

    y = mx + b , is this some American standard? In Sweden it's y=kx+m

    • @HeinerS
      @HeinerS 6 лет назад +1

      It doesn't really matter either way. The general consensus is that the last letters from the latin alphabet, i.e. x, y and z are being used as placeholderds for unknown quantities, whereas letters from the beginning (e.g. a, b and c) or middle (e.g. k, l, m and n) are being used as placeholders for known quantities (to be supplied or deduced when doing a specific example). The placeholders for know quantities may be different in different countries for many reasons (ease of pronounciation, legibility, tradition, etc.). Tradition usually also means that often the same equation uses different placeholders in math and physics. Example: in Math class the may use y = ax + b, in Physics class they may use y = mx + c, just because ... (and then of course in the kinetic equations this becomes e.g. v = at + v0 representing physical quantities).

  • @unacomn
    @unacomn 6 лет назад +5

    I don't know, Nic Cage may be dragging people to the deep after they see his movies. The evidence is there.

  • @earth2ellie
    @earth2ellie 5 лет назад +4

    “Mr. Fluffy misses you.”
    *pouts thinking of the cat I don’t have missing me*

  • @easysnake205
    @easysnake205 6 лет назад +29

    I feel some people go so far in this argument that they seem to argue the correlation disproves causation.
    Eg. "thats only correlation it doesnt prove causation, obviously you are wrong"
    Yes correlation doesnt prove causation, but it most definitely does not disprove causation. Further it might suggest causation, or that a 3rd factor is causing both phenomena to occur. Its frustrating to give data in an argument, to have the other side counter with, "thats only correlation, it doesn't prove causation, you are wrong."

  • @jesusosegueda422
    @jesusosegueda422 6 лет назад +6

    Crash Course, thank you so much. This awesome course is definitively above the curve!

  • @lovepeople951
    @lovepeople951 6 лет назад +11

    Thank u Crash Course

  • @micanikko
    @micanikko 5 лет назад +1

    So no one's commenting how she's got a *puppycat plush toy* behind her?

  • @aaronmarks9366
    @aaronmarks9366 5 лет назад +6

    "Air Cons, and Con Airs"
    Amazing

  • @omarkhalaf7014
    @omarkhalaf7014 4 года назад +3

    Wait... Technically everything is connected. Maybe the relationship between 2 variables are correlated even tho it doesn't make sense that they cause each other, but that happens because these 2 variables are connected to other variables that we didn't observe yet these variables can indirectly influence the relationship between the main 2 variables we are comparing. So I guess that means, one way or another, correlation DOES imply causation. Error 404

  • @flippersnyder
    @flippersnyder 6 лет назад +4

    So this was great. You are definetly one of my favorite crash course hosts. And I took statistics back in 1994. I have one question that boggles me. When and who is right, who determines the reality or that there is causation?
    Example .... cigarette smoking and lung health. The negative effects are clearly visible, the correlation is there ... but is it really the cause? When and how do we get to a positive causality?
    Or is it left to the interpreter? Or is it just all relative? Or by the end of the day it's meaningless and everyone can make the statement "correlation doesn't equal causality" and your data and beautiful charts and correlations just fizzle out?

    • @24680kong
      @24680kong 6 лет назад +2

      That's the tricky part! Ultimately they all need to be interpreted. Overall, there is no true "proof", just higher levels of confidence. I am confident that the city of Paris exists, even though I've never been there. The process generally starts by asking "is this even possible?" and "Does this make some sense?" Then you can go back and try to find some other cause of the data you got. Eventually, you have to do experiments carefully. But even well-planned experiments can have hickups and biases (there have been many cases of seemingly high-confidence experiments not being repeatable by other professionals). Often, multiple experimenters need to come up with the same results on their own (and usually with their own equipment) before the scientific community is convinced. Overall, it's a difficult and time consuming process.

    • @sammyinengland
      @sammyinengland 6 лет назад +3

      In health data like the lung example, there is a set of criteria called the Bradford-Hill criteria. Google it. This is criteria for determining if something can be considered causation. It is not a checklist: you still need to do your own scientific interpretation. But it’s a good way to get an idea of whether the data your looking at implies causation or not. The criteria are: effect size, consistency, specificity, temporality, biological plausibility, dose-response relationship, coherence, analogous results. Interestingly, Bradford Hill who came up with this list, is the same Hill who co-authored the original Doll and Hill paper that established the linked between smoking and lung cancer!

  • @rkpetry
    @rkpetry 6 лет назад +2

    ...how do you fit a regression line through a circle (or fat ellipse) on a 2D-scattered, plot...
    ...how do you define accuracy where there are fewer data points, even though the fitted-curve looks similar, (do you overlay random information certitude measure sigma bars)...
    *_...(in case you missed the first question: flip the plot axes for a different regression line...)_*

  • @toddwasson3355
    @toddwasson3355 6 лет назад +1

    Nicholas Cage causes air conditioners.

  • @beirirangu
    @beirirangu 6 лет назад +6

    "Post hoc ergo propter hoc" ("after this, therefore because of this") is one of the most ANNOYING fallacies there are! As well as the related "putting the cart before the horse", or whatever it's officially called (women make less on average, therefore it was intentional)
    PS don't forget about Simpson's paradox!

  • @wenhong5852
    @wenhong5852 5 лет назад +2

    Watching this video at work, miss my cat. Burst into tears

  • @kevinye1041
    @kevinye1041 4 года назад +2

    Squared correlation r^2
    Line of regression
    Can anyone explain a little more in depth standard deviation? Im still not sure what information it tells us in a scatter plot

  • @archiegent1357
    @archiegent1357 6 лет назад +5

    Y = mx + b?i thought it was c

    • @ultimaterex
      @ultimaterex 6 лет назад +1

      Phony Aardvark i learned it as y= ax+b

    • @verdatum
      @verdatum 6 лет назад +1

      Bryan, what does m stand for? The mmmslope? (I actually don't know the answer, now that I think about it)

    • @verdatum
      @verdatum 6 лет назад +1

      O_O *head-explosion*

    • @Samantha2209
      @Samantha2209 6 лет назад

      I know it was c (at least in my part of the world)

    • @verdatum
      @verdatum 6 лет назад

      "mx + c" is also reasonable in the sense that "c" is often used to refer to some "constant". This is also the explanation for e=mc^2. Because the speed of light in a vacuum is a constant.

  • @diamoniqueallen2231
    @diamoniqueallen2231 5 лет назад +2

    The Bee and Puppy-cat doll in the back is sooo cute (๑>◡

  • @ramseszeeman4076
    @ramseszeeman4076 Год назад +2

    without you guys i would not pass my exams thank you so much

  • @davidsweeney111
    @davidsweeney111 6 лет назад +18

    This needs to be essential viewing for EVERYONE.

  • @PatrickMichaelOLeary
    @PatrickMichaelOLeary 6 лет назад +1

    At 0:27, it must have taken everything you had to not blink.

  • @SangoProductions213
    @SangoProductions213 6 лет назад +5

    Correlation does not neccesarily state that causation is found between two variable.
    However. don't walk away thinking correlation disproves causation. This isn't politics. There are more than two possibilities. (There are in politics too, but ignore that.) Thanks, and have a good day.
    As a final note: Time taken to get from point a to point b is negatively correlated with speed. There is (by definition no less) causation there.

    • @verdatum
      @verdatum 6 лет назад +1

      Sango, that's a good tip. But I fear that addressing people as the "scientifically illiterate" might not be the best way to get your message across. (What I would give for Crash Course: Rhetoric).

    • @SangoProductions213
      @SangoProductions213 6 лет назад

      Everyone was illiterate (scientific and otherwise) at one point. It is one's duty to make sure they do not continue to be.

    • @xsaberfaye
      @xsaberfaye 6 лет назад

      There is no causation only chaos.

    • @verdatum
      @verdatum 6 лет назад +1

      It is absolutely true that everyone begins illiterate, and there should be no shame in that. However, referring to people as such can cause them to misinterpret your message as being condescending, even though you had no intention to be that way. Regardless, they are now slighted, and in retaliation, they ignore your advice, no matter how reasonable it was.

    • @verdatum
      @verdatum 6 лет назад

      kaizersabre, there is no Dana, only ZOOL.

  • @AdamShaiken
    @AdamShaiken 6 лет назад +8

    This was very interesting...though, I wonder, just how significant it is ? Can you give me a chi squared on that ?

  • @loukay4354
    @loukay4354 6 лет назад +1

    Statistics should be mandatory lol

  • @picklescratcher4034
    @picklescratcher4034 6 лет назад +10

    This is fake news. Nearly every person who has an automobile accident is wearing socks. Correlation? I don't think so. I stopped wearing socks years ago and haven't been in a car crash since.

    • @verdatum
      @verdatum 6 лет назад

      I got in a small accident once because I was driving in sandals and the bottom of the sandal wedged against the floor, preventing me from applying the brakes. I hopped a curb and wedged my front bumper into a wooden fence. I think I learned that it's technically illegal to drive in sandals in my state, but I was never warned about it.
      I just felt like sharing.

  • @mielthebee
    @mielthebee Год назад +1

    2:56 to the height of the Holy Spirit- 😮‍💨

  • @thegodofalldragons
    @thegodofalldragons 6 лет назад +2

    I've seen people both conflate correlation with causation in situations that are clearly coincidence and insist that correlation does not equal causation when the pattern of cause and effect are obvious.

  • @rkpetry
    @rkpetry 6 лет назад +1

    *_...there'd be a negative-correlation where reducing air conditioning increases swimming..._*
    *_...or, an overriding 'cause' leading to watching-speeding or doing-it, another, negrelation..._*
    *_...so...what's the mathematically-concisely-stated-statistical-rule for causality-guessing..._*
    *_...(making statistics, like modulo arithmetic: where compounded moduli may get better)..._*

  • @txt3567
    @txt3567 5 лет назад +2

    Thank you so much for sharing. You're so much better at explaining than my professor.

  • @anselmschueler
    @anselmschueler 6 лет назад +1

    I thought the DFTBA speech bubble said USA for some reason for 10s

  • @mariafranciscalopez3694
    @mariafranciscalopez3694 6 лет назад +1

    Me: focus, you have a test this week
    Also me: OMG PUPPYCAT!!

  • @verdatum
    @verdatum 6 лет назад +1

    Anecdotally, after playing Simpsons: Hit & Run (a GTA clone), I genuinely drove more recklessly for a little while. Not like I got into an accident, but like I was cutting corners tighter, and being a little heavier on the pedal. I had to work at it to knock it off. Really really good game though.

  • @nickwilsonxc
    @nickwilsonxc 5 лет назад +1

    I’ll have you know that my cat, Mr. Whiskers, loves me.

  • @xmems
    @xmems 6 лет назад +12

    Love this upload 😍

  • @robertpalumbo9089
    @robertpalumbo9089 6 лет назад +1

    This is the main problem with the CDC

  • @Asatru55
    @Asatru55 6 лет назад

    Man SOME PEOPLE should listen to this video very fucking closely. I'm getting nauseous every time some oaf wants to support their wildest claims by citing some random statistics.

  • @somethingyousaid5059
    @somethingyousaid5059 6 лет назад +1

    The time between my eruptions just ain't what it used to be.

  • @UnknownRefrigerator
    @UnknownRefrigerator 6 лет назад +1

    I love this series! However, you made one, small lie: R^2 does not have to be between zero and one, but can in fact be negative.
    You spoke of the mx + b, but failed to mention what value it has to determine b (and if chose horribly wrong, it can give you negative R-values, due to estimate a model that is worse than random).
    Keep up the series! :)

    • @mishadonchenko4362
      @mishadonchenko4362 6 лет назад +3

      Squares of real numbers are always nonnegative, by definition. They can never be less than zero -- the square of -5 is 25, for example.

  • @GameOver321
    @GameOver321 Год назад +1

    wow! Thank you

  • @y37chung
    @y37chung 6 лет назад +1

    This is an epitome of an attractive woman.

  • @jimmyhaotran123
    @jimmyhaotran123 5 лет назад +1

    When r = 0. We have a correlation of no correlation.

  • @MrCanada4evr
    @MrCanada4evr 5 лет назад +1

    Cool-Cage Act; hilarious.

  • @polarablues64
    @polarablues64 6 лет назад

    When it's hot, people with no A.C. tend to go to the movies. Movie theaters are usually quite air conditioned and you get to enjoy it for a couple of hours.

  • @amohamoud3992
    @amohamoud3992 6 лет назад +1

    While taking my stats course I started sleep talking and explained empirical rule to my mon

  • @vonosa6243
    @vonosa6243 Год назад

    Someone please create a Nicolas Cage task force so that he doesn't star in anymore awful movies

  • @KASSISHOT
    @KASSISHOT 6 лет назад +11

    Every time I see one of these videos I look at the view count and know that there's that many more people out there that are better educated about this topic and that makes me very optimistic for the future keep up the great work guys

  • @bnt7526
    @bnt7526 4 года назад

    I can't understand statistics. But the jokes on statistics in the comment section is even harder to understand lol.

  • @gymotc
    @gymotc 4 года назад +1

    Excellent video! Thank you!!!

  • @maruisaiahnapa7381
    @maruisaiahnapa7381 6 лет назад +1

    I was JUST reading up on this in class! 😂

  • @muhammadabdulhakeem7152
    @muhammadabdulhakeem7152 2 года назад

    i will like to confirm that is the equation of a line equals y=mx +b or y=mx+c

  • @MakeMeThinkAgain
    @MakeMeThinkAgain 6 лет назад +4

    I was TRICKED into watching this by the title. How hard would it be to add, "WARNING! THIS IS STATISTICS, DWEEB" to what appears on my temptation screen?
    It was really good.

  • @ZoggFromBetelgeuse
    @ZoggFromBetelgeuse 5 лет назад

    I watched this video without having seen the previous ones, and spent a considerable amount of time wondering "what the heck is an 'old faithful eruption' ?"

    • @ZoggFromBetelgeuse
      @ZoggFromBetelgeuse 5 лет назад

      (For those who have the same problem: "Old Faithful" seems to be the name of a geyser. (I don't know where it is, but when an English RUclips show refers to a location, person, event or sports ritual you have never heared of, you can be pretty sure it's in North America.)

  • @renovationgaming5438
    @renovationgaming5438 6 лет назад +1

    The first eruption scatter plot has a typo

  • @grainfrizz
    @grainfrizz 6 лет назад

    Guess what, one f(x) = mx + b can, of course, only separate variables linearly. But add more and more of f(x) = mx + b to your model then you enter the world of Neural Networks! ;)

  • @tvvt005
    @tvvt005 3 месяца назад

    Just noticed puppycat on her table! 💗

  • @sunshinedaniela8572
    @sunshinedaniela8572 5 лет назад

    Guys, Nicholas Cage movies and drownings are both correlated with POPULATION.

  • @burieddreamer
    @burieddreamer 5 лет назад

    Just because the UK joined the EU, it doesn't mean the EU was responsible for improving the economy in the UK. Correlation is not causation.

  • @Vanillastump
    @Vanillastump 6 лет назад

    YES! SHE SAID "VICE-VERSA" INSTEAD OF "VISA-VERSA"! Sorry about the caps. That just bugs me.

  • @DuranmanX
    @DuranmanX 6 лет назад

    Rich people have pools and ACs. Nick Cage aren't exactly the sharpest tools in the shed. It makes sense they both usually drown in pools.

  • @VikiSil
    @VikiSil 11 месяцев назад

    That's a strange dig at vegans named Tyler.

  • @maddijackson134
    @maddijackson134 6 лет назад +2

    Please do more literature!!

  • @z4m01
    @z4m01 6 лет назад

    You can "learn" more spurious correlations here:
    www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations
    and even discover new correlations here!
    tylervigen.com/discover

  • @malteeaser101
    @malteeaser101 4 года назад

    If A caused B then there is a correlation between A and B.
    The rising of the Sun caused the eating of an ice cream by John.
    Therefore, there is a correlation between the rising of the Sun and the eating of an ice cream by John.
    My question is, how would you quantify those events and plot the correlation between them on a graph? Would I count the number of times these events occurred? What if an event only causes another once? What if John died after the first ice cream? Can we still say that there was a correlation?

  • @HrishikeshPalande
    @HrishikeshPalande 5 лет назад

    We don't predict the temperature in Fahrenheit we calculate it using the formula (c*9/5)+32

  • @robertofontiglia4148
    @robertofontiglia4148 5 лет назад

    Is anyone else surprised about that slope for heights of dads v. heights of sons ? 0.5 ? Isn't that weird ? At what age were the sons measured ? Surely, height of dad v. height of son should look a little like 1:1 -- otherwise would people not be shorter and shorter ?

  • @girlwithquestions
    @girlwithquestions 2 года назад

    It’s interesting that this came out before the pandemic. 🤔 they should’ve used this as part of the vax education 😂

  • @ran88dom99
    @ran88dom99 6 лет назад

    Its TIME its always time!!! many many many things are correlated over time but have no real relation. Randomly selected health studies are much less likely to be unrelated. Exists a reddit for unrelated correlation.

  • @MrGustaphe
    @MrGustaphe 6 лет назад

    The example of changing the units on the y-axis is only relevant if you're not doing your dimensional analysis properly. If the slope of the feet-feet plot is 0.5, then the slope of the meter-feet plot is 0.15m/foot=0.5

  • @AnanthaSKrishnan
    @AnanthaSKrishnan 5 лет назад

    @crash course team, not all the graphs in the datasaurus dozen shown in the end doesn't seems like having same correlation coefficient. Few look like having r=1, few r=0. Please correct me if I'm wrong

  • @luminias.upscmentor
    @luminias.upscmentor 6 лет назад

    Gain in my knowledge is perfectly correlated with the number of crash course videos I watch and shows the value of absolute +1 as the correlation coefficient #CrashCourse ..... 😁😁😁

  • @ElforTheLandstander
    @ElforTheLandstander 6 лет назад

    This was the funniest Crash Course video I've ever seen. Her comedic timing is excellent. Though I still don't know if that clever mayor was a man or a woman.

  • @tvit
    @tvit 6 лет назад

    Those movie computer tick noises (when charts are presented) drive me mad, and I don't even have EQ in my setup to damp them down. Good vid though!

  • @MaticGabor
    @MaticGabor 6 лет назад

    Whenever a plot appears it sounds like a Black woodpecker (Dryocopus martius) :D

  • @jojje3000-1
    @jojje3000-1 5 лет назад

    Humans are blessed, and cursed, with paraidoli. We crave causations.

  • @youknuckle
    @youknuckle 6 лет назад

    Love this video and the channel, also - @1:43 You've spelled eruptions wrong...

  • @a.j.kinney7991
    @a.j.kinney7991 6 лет назад

    Cats don't miss people. They just know when their servants get home.

  • @molliemk3477
    @molliemk3477 5 лет назад

    I don't like her. didnt watch

  • @RoyontheHill
    @RoyontheHill 6 лет назад

    Nicholas cage has been on board for not not staring in movies since national treasure 2 . He's been intentionally terrible ever since .

  • @teen-at-heart
    @teen-at-heart 6 лет назад

    Good episode, but some things would need exercise and ‘usage’ in order to be memorized well and longer-term, like r and r squared.