Risk & Uncertainty SIMPLIFIED | ACCA F5 / PM | Question Cement

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  • Опубликовано: 23 окт 2024

Комментарии • 43

  • @SteveWillisACCA
    @SteveWillisACCA  24 дня назад

    Hey guys, check out my new revision course 👉🏼 www.stevewillistraining.com 👈🏼 Get 20% off with code: RUclipsFriends20 at checkout!

  • @ACCAStudyResources
    @ACCAStudyResources 2 года назад +7

    Thank you Steve for the mention. ACCA Student Study Resources are continuously adding videos to the channel to help our students and Steve is a regular face and voice on many of the PM videos :)

  • @mubashirsherdil3382
    @mubashirsherdil3382 2 года назад +2

    Best teacher out there. Steve Willis!

  • @JamesWrightACCA
    @JamesWrightACCA 3 года назад +7

    Thank you for the mention Steve and a really helpful video here! 😁 Great to hear your find my ACCA materials helpful and keep up the good work! Would be great to collaborate on future projects sometime 😁 All the best! J

    • @SteveWillisACCA
      @SteveWillisACCA  3 года назад +2

      Absolutely! Would be fun :)

    • @JamesWrightACCA
      @JamesWrightACCA 3 года назад +1

      @@SteveWillisACCA Ping me a message on LinkedIn anytime and I'll give you a shout next time I'm in Prague too ha! 👍 Have a great day! 👍

  • @jasbirsinghkhalsa3099
    @jasbirsinghkhalsa3099 3 года назад +3

    Thank you very much for uploading this near to exams.... :)

  • @afua3410
    @afua3410 2 года назад +4

    Thankyou so much- you explained this so nice and clearly!!!

  • @shuaibmahdi167
    @shuaibmahdi167 3 года назад +2

    Thank you Steve; Really Appreciated.

  • @masitah13
    @masitah13 3 года назад +3

    Thank you so much sir!! I finally understand this topic

  • @umarkeldibekov6924
    @umarkeldibekov6924 8 месяцев назад +1

    You perfect Steve, thank you

  • @leesheridan5685
    @leesheridan5685 3 года назад +2

    Useful.

  • @MikeHampton.
    @MikeHampton. 3 года назад +1

    Hi Steve, I have a Q on this. Ive just seen the mark scheme for this question, it is as follows:
    (a) Pay off table
    Calculation of profit 1
    Calculation of loss 1
    ‘Demand’ label 0·5
    ‘Supply’ label 0·5
    Weather column 0·5
    Supply column - 350,000 1·5
    Supply column - 280,000 1·5
    Supply column - 200,000 1·5
    ---
    8
    In your answer, there is no “weather” column, would you need to add an extra column between columns C and D to show which demand figure relates to which weather condition?

    • @MikeHampton.
      @MikeHampton. 3 года назад +1

      Very helpful video by the way.

    • @SteveWillisACCA
      @SteveWillisACCA  3 года назад +1

      Glad it was helpful! Good point on the marking guide and always good to check those out. I made a column for demand instead of weather, it looks like there was another 0.5 marks for making a corresponding 'weather' column.

  • @fredstar.S.A.
    @fredstar.S.A. 2 года назад +1

    thank you so much, but what about the value of imperfect information, how can we calculate it

  • @gracebarwe1474
    @gracebarwe1474 3 года назад

    Very helpful Steve, i am not ure if its not too late for me though exam is day after tomorrow

  • @razlaedappatta-1776
    @razlaedappatta-1776 Год назад +1

    Sir. Value of imperfect information is not in our chapters..?

    • @SteveWillisACCA
      @SteveWillisACCA  Год назад

      This is the same thing as Expected Values--profit at each possibly outcome * Probability of each outcome.

  • @abdullahimohamudadendaakir2233
    @abdullahimohamudadendaakir2233 2 года назад +1

    Please whare is the link that i can get PDF

    • @SteveWillisACCA
      @SteveWillisACCA  2 года назад

      hi there--the link is in the description of the video. It's also right here :) drive.google.com/file/d/1pv9NZNdasRe_cBQATXRFt930QUJOkBOQ/view

  • @wardasana
    @wardasana 2 года назад

    i have a confusion in calculation of perfect information why we choose 1000,000*0.30 why we not choose 1000,000*0.45 or 1000,000*.25

    • @SteveWillisACCA
      @SteveWillisACCA  2 года назад +2

      It's like this: "if the weather is bad, I will produce 200 and take a profit of 1000K. (that's the highest profit when weather is bad). 30% chance of this.
      If the weather is medium, i will choose to produce 280, that give me the highest profit, and a 45% chance of this..."
      Does this help?

    • @wardasana
      @wardasana 2 года назад

      @@SteveWillisACCA will we always choose that option in perfect informaton where demand and production are equal ?

    • @wardasana
      @wardasana 2 года назад

      @@SteveWillisACCA we will not see which option had more probability or which option make more profit ? because if consider that then in poor weather production 200 and demand 280 with 45% chances gives us more profit than other options 630k

    • @SteveWillisACCA
      @SteveWillisACCA  2 года назад +2

      For the value of perfect info question, you need to ask yourself: (1) if weather is poor, what is the BEST profit? (2) if weather is medium, what is the BEST profit? (3) if weather is good, what is the BEST profit?
      After you have these 3 figures, you say (1) what is the probability of POOR? (2) what is probability of Medium? (3) what is probability of GOOD?
      Then, you do a weighted average profit with those figures.

    • @wardasana
      @wardasana 2 года назад

      @@SteveWillisACCA ohh now I got it , Thank you so much for answering and clearing all my confusions mostly teachers donot reply because they have no time

  • @damilolaafolabi5054
    @damilolaafolabi5054 3 года назад

    pls Steve in the last video you did, your VC was based on the lower between capacity and demand , but here it is based purely on production. Why the seeming discrepancy?

    • @SteveWillisACCA
      @SteveWillisACCA  3 года назад +1

      Great question! It's like a bakery in this question, they make the bread in the morning but have to throw away the unsold bread at the end of the day. So if they produce 100 but sell 10, sales are 10 units, production 100 units

    • @damilolaafolabi5054
      @damilolaafolabi5054 3 года назад +1

      @@SteveWillisACCA thank very much. I understand.
      Your videos are easy to understand

    • @damilolaafolabi5054
      @damilolaafolabi5054 3 года назад

      @@SteveWillisACCA so in the exam, how would we know which one to use?

    • @SteveWillisACCA
      @SteveWillisACCA  3 года назад +1

      You'll have to read the scenario and interpret the situation. The delivery van story didn't say anything about unsold good being disposed of. Cement didn't say anything about lost goodwill.