For the reasons I explained, I prefer betting. We can put pressure turn + river to the reg range. + the rec was raising a lot for no reasons. I dont like 10% as we need to fold vs raise and still have decent eq vs set or lower flushes. It’s very very very are that using a pot sizing is good here. But i expect the bb reg to raise most of the Axhh and with the blocker Qh , it doesn’t remain that much flushes. When the rec calls he has a lot of weak holding which are going to either call call fold or call fold. Flushes and sets always raise here.
At 20:00 : I genuinely still cannot understand how him not doing a mistake when calling if we raise with AA turn is enough of an argument to justifiy not taking value by raising against his pair+str8 draw dkbet range turn (that is probably not well protected enough if I understand), especially if he's not calling this range river if unimproved ? Btw this one of your best video imo, way more in depth and easy to understand thanks to the one table review format ! Note : Isn't it a clear value turn with J8s 23:37 since we saw he was dkbetting turn TPNK on a drawy board (when u had AA) ? Or is that too strong of an hypothesis to justify value betting turn ?
You raise 800 into 500. This need to go throughout 60% of the time. He has 800 to put into 1300. He needs to be good 38% of the time. If he has pair + OESD he has 13 outs. 28%. So he does a 10% pot mistake. This assuming he doesn’t have stronger hands. Which is close to never the case in this type of spots. So worst hands don’t make too many mistakes and when he has str8 or dp youre far behind. Thats why the solver doesn’t raise, when you take his whole range you dont take that much to worst(assuming he has at least decent eq), and you give money to better hands. As i said in the video, i dont think he has any values with this line and the guy likes to xr turn in bluffs a lot , so raising was indeed better, but call is not that bad in gto due to the reason i explain above. For the J8 it’s a missread, its a valuebet indead.
When I get extremely lucky I remember it as outplaying my opponent. When I get unlucky and my opponent shoves 99 vs my AK and scoops 3 times I remember it as my opponent is a spewing fish despite what the solver might say. Think solver might agree COvBB.
1:38 Its not just better to simplify and xback all Qx, all weak Ax to avoid being c/R and playing marginal spot? Are we not adjusting in this way that we are now betting sttronger hands vs him to let him c/R and xbacking weaker to avoid this kind of situation? 2:33 K63 mono, its also counter intutive for me, can we play 1/10 cbet here? 14:42 So with AA u betting very small, but what about JT, ,QT, KT, and JJ-KK region hands? Do we want to also bet small, but 'standard' sizing like 1/3 to avoid raises ? AQ/AK could be 1/2 bet? 14:50 So u increasing sizing OTT on the worst possible card, its like counter intuitve in my mind. a) vs reg u playing here 1/3? b) are u also sizing up with AK/AQ? and what are u doing vs shove here?
not sure I understand your question , if they think you should play gto vs fish then they are dumb and im not listening to them, but not sure its what you said :p
19:20 hand. How about him giving himself the exact right price to crack your hand? If he calls turn and folds river brick to blockbet he almost always also folds rivers in lead/c x/b line. The only difference is that he realized his equity for a profitable price. It’s not like we have set or nuts. So why not for sure benefit from equity denial?
Call turn + betting block to target weak catchers river = aprox 600$ value Raise turn 550 + bet river 650 ( he always calls Jx, maybe Tx brick river) you win double. Massive EV difference + the EV from him folding some combos turn
@@sneakerworldromania32 you're right about this one, as i said in the video, i doubt he has value hands in this line , so raise small bet is the best option. I thought IG that he might have values in this line as he already play tricky. Btw it should not be a way better option as this guy might completely fold river vs raise bet line.
For the reasons I explained, I prefer betting. We can put pressure turn + river to the reg range. + the rec was raising a lot for no reasons.
I dont like 10% as we need to fold vs raise and still have decent eq vs set or lower flushes.
It’s very very very are that using a pot sizing is good here. But i expect the bb reg to raise most of the Axhh and with the blocker Qh , it doesn’t remain that much flushes. When the rec calls he has a lot of weak holding which are going to either call call fold or call fold. Flushes and sets always raise here.
Great video! Playing against recs is really hard and seeing on which level you think about it is inspiring
Top content as usual.
love the thought process vs recs thanks for the video!
At 20:00 : I genuinely still cannot understand how him not doing a mistake when calling if we raise with AA turn is enough of an argument to justifiy not taking value by raising against his pair+str8 draw dkbet range turn (that is probably not well protected enough if I understand), especially if he's not calling this range river if unimproved ?
Btw this one of your best video imo, way more in depth and easy to understand thanks to the one table review format !
Note : Isn't it a clear value turn with J8s 23:37 since we saw he was dkbetting turn TPNK on a drawy board (when u had AA) ? Or is that too strong of an hypothesis to justify value betting turn ?
You raise 800 into 500. This need to go throughout 60% of the time.
He has 800 to put into 1300.
He needs to be good 38% of the time.
If he has pair + OESD he has 13 outs. 28%.
So he does a 10% pot mistake.
This assuming he doesn’t have stronger hands. Which is close to never the case in this type of spots.
So worst hands don’t make too many mistakes and when he has str8 or dp youre far behind.
Thats why the solver doesn’t raise, when you take his whole range you dont take that much to worst(assuming he has at least decent eq), and you give money to better hands.
As i said in the video, i dont think he has any values with this line and the guy likes to xr turn in bluffs a lot , so raising was indeed better, but call is not that bad in gto due to the reason i explain above.
For the J8 it’s a missread, its a valuebet indead.
When I get extremely lucky I remember it as outplaying my opponent. When I get unlucky and my opponent shoves 99 vs my AK and scoops 3 times I remember it as my opponent is a spewing fish despite what the solver might say. Think solver might agree COvBB.
1:38 Its not just better to simplify and xback all Qx, all weak Ax to avoid being c/R and playing marginal spot? Are we not adjusting in this way that we are now betting sttronger hands vs him to let him c/R and xbacking weaker to avoid this kind of situation?
2:33 K63 mono, its also counter intutive for me, can we play 1/10 cbet here?
14:42 So with AA u betting very small, but what about JT, ,QT, KT, and JJ-KK region hands? Do we want to also bet small, but 'standard' sizing like 1/3 to avoid raises ? AQ/AK could be 1/2 bet?
14:50 So u increasing sizing OTT on the worst possible card, its like counter intuitve in my mind. a) vs reg u playing here 1/3? b) are u also sizing up with AK/AQ? and what are u doing vs shove here?
Finish my answer later
@@YolanCohenPoker did u forgot?
Extremely good content. Thank you
How do you deal with GTO bot regs that challenge your intuitive assumptions about fish that we both know are true?
not sure I understand your question , if they think you should play gto vs fish then they are dumb and im not listening to them, but not sure its what you said :p
Sick!
19:20 hand. How about him giving himself the exact right price to crack your hand? If he calls turn and folds river brick to blockbet he almost always also folds rivers in lead/c x/b line. The only difference is that he realized his equity for a profitable price. It’s not like we have set or nuts. So why not for sure benefit from equity denial?
575 raise ip seems better to me, but i’m mear mortal.
Call turn + betting block to target weak catchers river = aprox 600$ value
Raise turn 550 + bet river 650 ( he always calls Jx, maybe Tx brick river) you win double. Massive EV difference + the EV from him folding some combos turn
All my opinions are exploitative vs that fish profile. Not debating the solver. At equilibrium solver is the god.
@@sneakerworldromania32 you're right about this one, as i said in the video, i doubt he has value hands in this line , so raise small bet is the best option. I thought IG that he might have values in this line as he already play tricky. Btw it should not be a way better option as this guy might completely fold river vs raise bet line.
can you review next tiem in BB?? :D How are singapure girls?
Ahah was not in singapure for a long time. I didn’t see any girls there.
Hello, do you mind send out the video about the timing tells you mentioned in this video. >
ruclips.net/video/tEbFSDlWy20/видео.htmlsi=pcEXHcH_PBNl5ld5
you say at 24:40 that you don't split with JT QJ but of course you do split with these hands so maybe that makes it more a value bet.
Yeah true, i miss readed that one
great video tho, I take a lot of inspiration from how you play
Vamooo gl i from Brazil 👍👍
Nice
Link to Saulo’s timing tell video?
ruclips.net/video/tEbFSDlWy20/видео.htmlsi=pcEXHcH_PBNl5ld5
Can you talk more about what you said about iso 2:30-2:40? How would you play diff
You can iso big at lower stakes because blinds will not iso enough.
you’re currently residing in singapore?
No. I’m moving a lot these days
Nice Singapore flag you got there 😉😜
which club is this?
Its Donkey
Sigapore :o
🤫
Gg poker is rigged.not random at all u will all findout 😂
It’s club gg not gg bro
extremly soft 5k table i ever seen.
Looks very good
Only one rec, not thay good tho