If you use 2021 to measure housing prices 'you're going to be disappointed': Douglas Elliman CEO

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  • Опубликовано: 26 окт 2024

Комментарии • 103

  • @bernardallen55
    @bernardallen55 Год назад +65

    This happened with the 2004 housing boom - home prices were greatly inflated, meaning people couldn't sell later because they owed more on the house than they could sell for. I know quite a few people who bought then, thinking they were making a good investment to sell later, but it's taken until the COVID housing boom for the prices to come back to those original amounts.

    • @mikeharry96
      @mikeharry96 Год назад

      I advise you to invest in stocks to balance out your real estate, Even the worst recessions offer wonderful buying opportunities in the markets if you're cautious. Volatility can also result in excellent short-term buy and sell opportunities. This is not financial advice, but buy now because cash is definitely not king right now!

    • @danieljackson87
      @danieljackson87 Год назад

      You're right. I was able to diversify my 450K portfolio across markets with the aid of an investment coach, and I was able to use high dividend yield stocks, ETFs, and bonds to generate a little over $830K in net profit.

    • @andrewlogan7737
      @andrewlogan7737 Год назад

      @@danieljackson87 Would you mind providing details on the advisor who helped you? saving for a pension through a corporate program since the age of 18. I hit greater tax along the road, so I increased my company pension with a SIPP (tax benefits). I'm now 50 and would love to expand my finances more aggressively; there are a few automobiles I still want to drive and a few mega-vacations that I still want to take.

    • @danieljackson87
      @danieljackson87 Год назад

      You can employ another adviser, but Julie Anne Hoover is my one who provides guidance. She has years of knowledge in the financial markets, and her approach has worked for me in the past, leading to my success. She offers points of entrance and exit for the securities I prioritize.

    • @wreckim
      @wreckim Год назад

      That was different. Those mortgages were not worth keeping, many of them. They were adjustable, and often interest-only. People today have a stable 30 year 3% mortgage. That's not going anywhere.

  • @mle3857
    @mle3857 Год назад +9

    Why do people ask people that sell real estate how the market is? What kind of answer do you think you will get?

    • @lukethompson5558
      @lukethompson5558 Год назад +2

      Surprisingly, this guy was quite candid though. I guess once you’re this old and rich, they give a more honest answer

  • @ianantoinerobinson715
    @ianantoinerobinson715 Год назад +20

    There's no inventory shortage only a shortage of affordable inventory 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

    • @RH-lg9uc
      @RH-lg9uc Год назад +2

      Agreed, this is a heads up to us all. Find a way to make more money, there is plenty at the top, but nothing for the masses

    • @YboyPu
      @YboyPu Год назад +4

      everyone wants to be a landlord nowadays... its not just the investors its ppl who have good credit buying houses and not living in them like their suppose too

    • @moneymanfernando1594
      @moneymanfernando1594 Год назад

      YES.

  • @jbb483
    @jbb483 Год назад +19

    A 2 bedroom 1 bath 1200 sqft bungalow on a busy road in the Berkshires just closed for $440k. Roughly a year prior, the property was purchased for $320k by and llc and flipped. Prior to that sale, the est value was $265k. This type of atmosphere is disenfranchising a generation! Warped property values and artificially inflated property tax rates are essentially unfettered class warfare. This is a very, very big problem.

    • @ekop1778
      @ekop1778 Год назад +1

      IVE SEEN THAT HERE IN CT FOR 175K 1/2 ACRE TOO

    • @lukethompson5558
      @lukethompson5558 Год назад

      It is regressive wealth transfer away from Gen Z and future generations. Housing is an expense. Who pays for the baby boomers who not only lived for free, but profited from their house??? Future generations. Who pays for high property taxes to pay for lavish boomer pensions? Future generations

  • @systemdeadlock
    @systemdeadlock Год назад +8

    All cash is not a mortgage

    • @BimboBrunch
      @BimboBrunch Год назад

      He misspoke. You know what he meant. Lady didn't have a clue.

  • @peterbedford2610
    @peterbedford2610 Год назад +17

    I think he meant to say that '67% of all transactions were for all cash.'

  • @cozyslor
    @cozyslor Год назад +3

    Morgan looking even more beautiful than in studio. Stunning.

  • @petenrita
    @petenrita Год назад +10

    he fumbled his answer. Sounds like he meant to say, 67% all cash transactions and few mortgages to close, but contradicted himself. Fed watch have the rates coming down in the 2nd half of 2024.

  • @BosMass617
    @BosMass617 Год назад +4

    The real estate market is a strange bird. Commercial bleeds into residential and vise versa. Real estate crisis are never triggered by the same events. What caused the 09’ - 2010 bust will not cause the next crash. As a matter of fact a real estate crash and reset is long overdue. We need them from time to time to give the little guys a chance to get in on the action.

  • @TILB
    @TILB Год назад

    What do you mean "no one knows why it happened" for 2021!? The FED should have raised rates then to slow the overinflated pricing. People were spending 50-100K over asking because rates were SO LOW that banks were giving out loans WAY over assessments. Realtors LOVED it and squeezed every bid they could to raise the values. Now property taxes are catching up and payments are jumping 100-500/mo on those people. This wasn't some known fluke. It was the direct result of interest rates being WAY to low for too long. This over compseation now is them trying to pull back on that mistake and taking the economy down with it.

  • @tedstriker6743
    @tedstriker6743 Год назад +2

    The Fed and Congress have created the worst housing bubble of all time. Inflation is continuing to go up. This guy is suggesting that if that is gonna cut rates, he’s living on a different planet. Inflation is not going away.

  • @KungPowEnterFist
    @KungPowEnterFist Год назад +4

    Professor Jeremy Senile said his realtor friend in New York told him rents having been falling for the last 18 months in a row. 🤣🤣🤣

    • @lukethompson5558
      @lukethompson5558 Год назад +1

      Professor Jeremy Siegel is just a liar. Why do they give him airtime? 😂

  • @mikelynn8977
    @mikelynn8977 Год назад

    Why would you need a mortgage if you are bringing cash

  • @ashleykbarks
    @ashleykbarks Год назад +1

    The average american CANNOT AFFORD HOUSING. Think about that. The Middle class, the people who set the pace and determine whether we're in a healthy economy, CANNOT buy homes and if they did, they used all their savings and took money from family to buy, and are now upside down. Generations of a family's wealth tied up in a depreciating asset meant to help their children get ahead. Home values don't always go up, especially if you cant afford to take care of them. Weather and disasters are destroying homes, sellers dont wanna lower their price, and builders are withholding inventory to keep prices high so they dont lose! Nobody wants to lose, but when the masses are all complaining, something needs to happen. Stop building mega homes for a population who needs starter homes. Boomers had their chance during '08. I was still in high school when housing was even remotely affordable for my generation.

  • @keto6789
    @keto6789 Год назад +5

    Is that Larry David?

    • @N1ckster33
      @N1ckster33 Год назад +1

      I thought it was Howie Mandel. What is this dude the CEO of “record high people buying with cash.. “very few people closing with cash” 🤣

    • @mgdubya27
      @mgdubya27 Год назад

      Close, it's Larry King.

  • @dennyatkins3842
    @dennyatkins3842 Год назад +1

    Interest rates will still be going up in 2024, not down. Fed is still hiking rates. How will mortgage rates go down? You been under a rock?

    • @MrRagusawitz
      @MrRagusawitz Год назад

      exactly ,I don't see inflation going away in 2024

    • @michaelsteven1090
      @michaelsteven1090 7 месяцев назад

      @@MrRagusawitz 2024 here..rates going up..eggs are $8/dozen..there ya go.

  • @setsailatnoon
    @setsailatnoon Год назад +7

    I remember the late 70s...when rates were sky high. It was impossible to get a mortgage, many as high as 18%. I bought several places on contract for deeds at 8%...but prices were low, also people didn't have the money that has been pumped into the economy like it has now...and the uber wealthy weren't as rich. Also the national debt wasn't even one trillion dollars yet. That didn't happen until Reagan came in with his tax breaks for the rich and doubling of the FICA tax.

    • @lukethompson5558
      @lukethompson5558 Год назад +1

      You’re right about everything, except the problem came when people began to view real estate as an “investment” and one that could never go down in value. That can’t be blamed on Regan.

    • @setsailatnoon
      @setsailatnoon Год назад +4

      @@lukethompson5558 Although that’s when the top tax rates fell to historic lows. Supply-siders justified Reagan's tax cuts during the 1980s by claiming they would result in net increases in tax revenue, yet tax revenues declined (relative to a baseline without the cuts) due to Reagan's tax cuts, and the deficit ballooned during Reagan's term in office. The increased wealth of the top tier increased speculation.

    • @mg-by7uu
      @mg-by7uu Год назад

      Yeah but now 0.1% of the population control 90% of the wealth

  • @gregfawcett5152
    @gregfawcett5152 Год назад

    So fewer people buying homes...why are rents going down?

  • @bernardmccole3215
    @bernardmccole3215 Год назад

    Really in-touch with regular people on this piece...

    • @mg-by7uu
      @mg-by7uu Год назад

      They have to ignore regular people otherwise their "strong economy" narrative won't sell

  • @MexicanWorkEthic
    @MexicanWorkEthic Год назад +1

    Look at Japanese bond debt. After a decade of super low rates, Japan is finally raising their rates. Slowly but they are raising. The Japanese are starting to repatriate that money from the US back to Japan. This means US needs to raise rates meaning higher yields because it’s less attractive otherwise. Rates therefore will remain high because the US will have to offer higher yields to stop the bleeding.

  • @Thenobelfan
    @Thenobelfan Год назад

    The thumbnail really made me think he was Satya Nadella - the Microsoft ceo

  • @shanerogers9386
    @shanerogers9386 Год назад +1

    We remain in the biggest speculator driven housing bubble in history.

  • @LesterSuggs
    @LesterSuggs Год назад

    "67% of all mortgages in the last quarter were cash" - TRANSLATION: Hedge funds.

  • @Hofftimusprime1
    @Hofftimusprime1 Год назад +1

    Dude looks like Larry King without hair.

  • @priceless55
    @priceless55 Год назад +2

    I bet all these grus . Prices cant stay this high.

    • @Andrew-3445
      @Andrew-3445 Год назад

      When the Recession comes and people lose their jobs, prices will take the elevator down.

  • @ersteimmobilie7419
    @ersteimmobilie7419 Год назад

    What does he mean: „all cash“? 100% equity?

  • @ryannguyen916
    @ryannguyen916 Год назад

    the key solution could be a carried-on % rate as if you are current in a mortgage contract on your primary home, you can carry that % to the upgrade house. That will make the market fun again. (fed pays the differences-- lol)

  • @VDVega13
    @VDVega13 Год назад +7

    In Summary: 40-50% of income to mortgage is the new normal. If you bought a house after 2021 you will forever be poorer than existing home owners. You will not have the same life your parents had. Sorry!

    • @tylercampbell6272
      @tylercampbell6272 Год назад

      The economy would suffer greatly if that were true. We are barreling towards new housing policies anyway.

    • @roberto.montobaun
      @roberto.montobaun Год назад

      haha yea right. keep praying

    • @GoldenAura32
      @GoldenAura32 Год назад

      ​@@tylercampbell6272thats part of what is causing the credit crisis

    • @lukethompson5558
      @lukethompson5558 Год назад

      @@tylercampbell6272Any housing policy at this point would make things worse, either by constraining supply even more, or increasing demand.

  • @damp_squid
    @damp_squid Год назад +1

    Host doesn't know the difference between average and median 😂😂
    You don't use average with real estate prices cause the distributions are so skewed toward the top side

  • @Dee-w5y
    @Dee-w5y Год назад

    Home values are declining rapidly in Massachusetts and Florida. This decline will continue for over a decade.

  • @TheRokaphella
    @TheRokaphella Год назад +3

    I say let the builders suffer for a few years. Hopefully some take dramatic losses and bring down prices or just go out of business.

    • @seanm3226
      @seanm3226 Год назад

      Geez, what’s your issue with home builders?

  • @Godzilla-my4zs
    @Godzilla-my4zs Год назад

    For those of us who missed the low interest, it is what it is. For those who locked in the low rates good for you!!! ❤hope I can buy a home someday.

  • @ashburnconnecttv7860
    @ashburnconnecttv7860 Год назад

    Whoa!

  • @haroutkhatch104
    @haroutkhatch104 Год назад +2

    PLEASE UNDERSTAND THEY CANT TRADE UP BECAUSE THEY CANT AFFFORD

  • @clarencepreston573
    @clarencepreston573 Год назад

    I don’t see how people borrow 150k from a bank and complain that the bank wants to make 10k off the loan over the course of 20-30 years 😂😂😂.

    • @stephen.bohner
      @stephen.bohner Год назад +1

      Your math is a bit off, 7% mortgage is about $10k/year not the lifetime of the loan.
      That means if you kept that fixed rate you would pay ~$300k in INTEREST over 30 years not $10k

    • @clarencepreston573
      @clarencepreston573 Год назад

      @@stephen.bohner my math is not off. 7% of 150k is 10.5k. At a fixed rate you pay 10.5k over the life of the loan. What are you talking about?

    • @stephen.bohner
      @stephen.bohner Год назад

      @@clarencepreston573 7% is the yearly interest, not lifetime. You pay $10.5k in interest per year

    • @ErnestGWilsonIII
      @ErnestGWilsonIII Год назад

      @@clarencepreston573 compound interest

    • @nickwhite4580
      @nickwhite4580 Год назад

      Did you account for compounding interest? @@clarencepreston573

  • @AmerQuin
    @AmerQuin Год назад +1

    Who the hell feeds this guy? Who ties his shoe laces? Just about everything he said was wrong and/or nonsense.

  • @mg-by7uu
    @mg-by7uu Год назад

    Pretty sure these people just look at the headlines from 2006 and repeat them. "Yeah but it's different this time" - the yield curve disagrees

  • @moneymanfernando1594
    @moneymanfernando1594 Год назад +1

    Nobody can afford anything anymore, except the very rich.

  • @altacalcreative
    @altacalcreative Год назад +1

    Investment home bubble.

  • @HairyPinkTroll
    @HairyPinkTroll Год назад

    2:35 that was Covid, work from home, stimulus and people doing zoom in their tiny apartments with kids and no toilet paper. Flippers trying to make a profit on houses they did nothing but cheap cosmetic improvements (if that).

  • @sheepman6291
    @sheepman6291 Год назад +1

    Air B&B renters are facing a land fall next year and could potentially affect the market when the recession occurs.

    • @matbob7249
      @matbob7249 Год назад +2

      It’s 1% of the market, student loans and CC balances will cause more impact

    • @sheepman6291
      @sheepman6291 Год назад

      Hm. We will see. @@matbob7249

    • @SpliffMeister3000
      @SpliffMeister3000 Год назад

      ​@matbob7249 might be small but very concentrated to Hotspots..

  • @eh7599
    @eh7599 Год назад +2

    nonsense

  • @ProCoach2373
    @ProCoach2373 Год назад

    CEOs of large real estate companies are almost always bullish. LOL

  • @viewerone
    @viewerone Год назад

    No talks of foreclosures and bankruptcies, huh? Inventory…

  • @supadave422
    @supadave422 Год назад +1

    Cap

  • @priceless55
    @priceless55 Год назад

    Im seeing too many homes getting build all over .

  • @fastmph
    @fastmph Год назад +1

    A useless interview

  • @househunter1586
    @househunter1586 Год назад

    Smh😂

  • @clintmoll6861
    @clintmoll6861 Год назад

    “Rates are going to come down in the beginning of 2024” …. And the part he left out is “or Biden’s gonna lose his job!”

  • @bullbear-el7bl
    @bullbear-el7bl Год назад

    0

  • @toddd7444
    @toddd7444 Год назад

    more working homeless