80% equities 20% cash. I plan to take advantage of the s&p 500 as leading indicators predict above 10% rise by this year, my only issue is how to properly allocate a large stock/bond portfolio for substantial gains at minimum risk.
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
Even with the right strategies and appropriate assets, investment returns can differ among investors. Recognizing the vital role of experience in investment success is crucial. Personally, I understood this significance and sought guidance from a market analyst, significantly growing my account to nearly a million. Strategically withdrawing profits just before the market correction, I'm now seizing buying opportunities once again.
Yes, a Fidelity financial advisor named Melissa Terri Swayne" put an end to my fears about investing, and after making more investments, I was able to reach the high six-figure mark in less than 3 years. A licensing advisor satisfies the necessary security criteria; hence, reimbursement is guaranteed if I'm dissatisfied with the service, so I'm much better off hiring one.
Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up immediately. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her.
I lost a lot chasing individual stocks and I feel pretty silly for not understanding how investing works. I have a double major in economics but I’ve been trying to make sense of the market. Well done on profits!
Out of curiosity, I looked up her name. Found her website. I’ve gotta say her credentials are just fine! Good enough to lay any doubts to rest. I'm willing to take my chances with her :D
I recently liquidated some long-term positions and now have about $250k to invest. Do you think Nvidia is still a smart buy, or have I missed a key buying window? Any recommendations for high-performing stocks would be appreciated.
I used to question the value of having a financial advisor until my wife’s company assigned her one in 2020. Honestly, it’s been the best financial decision I’ve made. It’s made a huge difference. I went from modest gains to a well-diversified portfolio that’s grown by over $850k.
@@CarddtReddt Rebecca Lynne Buie has consistently been my top recommendation. She’s widely recognized for her expertise in financial markets and has a strong track record. I highly recommend her.
Yes I remember hearing in the mid 2010s that the market is bloated and Obama's policies will lead to a 1929 great depression.....2024 hear we are doing fine.
Every week I buy more of whatever is the lowest percentage of my portfolio and try to keep everything around 10%. Please what could be my safest buys with 250 grand to outperform the market in 2025?
I'd avoid the index funds, mutual funds, or specific stocks for the time being. The 5% fixed incomes are the safest bet for now. Save your cash for when the market actually shows sign of recovery.
I fired mine 12 yrs ago. now I am beginning to see the benefits, how do I get one? Considering your point I won’t want to get into a bubble. Can you recommend any?
Thank you for the lead Jordan. I searched Jennifer up and her webpage popped up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. Cheers!
the problem with the P/E ratio is that they aren't that accurate anymore. Since the 2000 more and more stocks are into digital products. If they invest then this investment is seen as a cost, not an asset. That's why you see the P/E ratio going up since that time period. It does not mean that the market is overvalued, but that the accounting rules are outdated.
@@Quincy_Morris Logical but people including him keep comparing this s and p 500 to the past and treat as if its the same. The s and p 500 is very dynamic and is always changing. 20 years ago, the s and p was dominated by low roe and lower growth business which will have a lower P/E. Now its dominated by faster growing high roe businesses. So for me the market is fairly valued.
This is quite educational. It's crucial for newcomers to keep in mind that the financial markets are highly irrational in the short run. You should constantly be ready for the unexpected. That is how chance operates. Because of the inherent risks in the market, I always favor long-term investments.
I'm in the bootcamp of hyperflation and melt up. Governement borrowed too much money and only way to fight off the debt is to create inflation. This will allow government to create collect more taxes in terms of dollar figure. In the end this will mess up the middle class even more. This will not end well unless you do something about fighting the inflation such as investing in high quality companies or buy solid assets such as real estate. Just my 2 cents. I could totally be wrong.
My exact analysis as well. Fundamentals break down when the society itself is breaking down. The ruling class will clearly choose hyperinflation over massive deflation, they already are.
You are not factoring in the ever increasing awareness and greater accessibility of investing apps. More people, and therefore money is being invested on the same stocks, inflating their price. Previous "normal" ratios need to be revised as they no longer apply to a situation of such accessible investing.
I appreciate the confirmation bias, I've been hesitant to index for years because its seemed very expensive according to several different measurements.
They must be factoring in a event like a steep market correction or crash at some point. So while the annual returns might be better in some years, this 1 time event may pull the 10 year average down to 3%.
@canadianstacker yes I stated that in my comment and I also said even if that does happen does not mean people should stop investing and selling in losses etc it's part of investing stocks don't just go up in straight line 📈🧠
Ofcourse personally I appreciate all the knowledge that you try to share with us here for free. But one thing I have realised after closely following the stock market the last 3 years is how to take everybody's opinion with a great reservation. We will see how the next years will be but have I gotten out everytime somebody said recession in the last 3years I would have lost on a relatively good profit so far..
Likely for me i starting investing low amount during the good times, im wait for the fall to keep buying cheaper stocks over the next 10 years. I think i need to consider joining the everything money community so far have been learning a lot on this channel. Obviously learning not just from this channel but i have enough the information, wisdom and wealth of knowledge. Thanks a lot 🙏🏻
My strategy is simple: LOOOOONG term, dollar cost average in an SNP 500 index like buffet says and wait for corrections to buy single stocks. I’ll always be in the market and I’m patient for the right prices for single stocks.
I would like to get your impression on this topic, future returns, based on two premises. 1) Inflation drives up the price of stocks. 2) The market becomes more saturated with people investing in the stock market because of 401k's suplanting pensions, and lost trust in Social Security driving more dollars into the stock market.
I lost over $80k when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that's what everyone said. I'm still responsible. It just taught me to be a better investor now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I'm really grateful I found one source to recover my money, at least $10k profits weekly. Thanks Brooke Grace Miller.
I just withdrew my profits a week ago, To be honest it was an amazing feeling when the profits hits my wallet I wish I could reinvest but, too much bills
Hey, you’ve been mentioning an overvalued market and potential crash for a while now, but I think today’s market behavior is different. I’ll have to tune out that part of the conversation.
I agree with everything you said, the next 10 years are gonna be trash, Im just looking to get around 5% and ill be happy, I make my money by living frugal and working hard anyway
@@jsedge2473 I do all money market right now, I guess I feel safe enough, plus its liquid, if rates fall and the yield drops then Ill have to find something else.
The forward PE for a broad based ETF is still 4-5% which doesn't account for continued growth in the FCF of these companies. Even if these companies don't grow at all, I'd still rather invest in these companies (where the heavy weights have wonderful balance sheets) for the long term rather than a 4.5% bond in a country with a current debt to GDP of 124%. I'm sure that I'm not the only one who feels this way which is probably contributing to the high valuations.
"The S&P 500 has a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 15.5x excluding the Magnificent Seven, while the Magnificent Seven has a P/E of about 35x, according to data compiled by FactSet as of January 2, 2024." FWD P/E ratio of magnificent 7 is probably significantly higher now especially with the gains made by Nvidia. I think we aren't nearly as overvalued as we're made to believe by the market makers.
What happened after 2008 have changed the market for ever. QEs basically inflated all the assets and they will keep inflating because there’s no other way to deal with the modern economy then creating extra liquidity. BTC seems to be the only asset programmed to deal with this post-08 scenario. But everyone is free to make their own decision.
With markets tumbling, inflation soaring, the Federal Reserve implementing significant interest rate hikes, and treasury yields rising rapidly, portfolios are seeing considerable losses this quarter. I’m at a crossroads, debating whether to liquidate my $125K bond and stock portfolio. How can I navigate and potentially profit in this volatile market?
The current market volatility calls for a strategic approach. I’d recommend consulting a financial advisor who can guide you with tailored entry and exit strategies for the stocks or ETFs you’re focused on. Professional advice can be invaluable during times like these.
Agreed! this is why I work with one. My $520k portfolio is well-matched for every market season yielding 85% rise from early last year to date. I and my advisor are working on more figures for this year. IMO, financial advisors are the most sought-after professionals after doctors.
The “SPY” is not the U.S. economy. It’s an ETF. SPY is heavily weighted and is not totally representative of the US economy, thus it can potentially outpace GPD. I do agree with you though.
Markets can only go up as long as money is printed. Like property it doesnt go up your dollar just goes down faster. That's what investing is really just trading dollars that go down for assets that stay the same ie gold or go down less ie a house. With stocks you are buying a business so you are open to the possibility it may actually go up but it could also go bankrupt. Mega cap stocks eventually soak up every dollar that is created so I find them to be the most safe. It's almost regardless of valuation to since indexing will guarantee your 401k money goes to Apple and as long as the companies dont inflate the shares they will only go up because they can only go up as inflation makes dollars worth less
With markets experiencing significant volatility, inflation on the rise, and the Federal Reserve implementing substantial interest rate hikes, treasury yields are climbing rapidly. This has resulted to lot of losses for portfolios this quarter. I'm currently at a crossroads, considering whether to liquidate my $125k bond and stock portfolio. In this market conditions, I’m seeking guidance on how to navigate this uncertainty and potentially capitalize on the situation.
Stock market will keep on increasing because US dollar is losing its value every year… 10 years forward you will never heard about this guy anymore… everyone is a financial genius nowadays.
I think the main event that will drive the markets over next decade is AI. If is a hit the tech companies will keep strong results and drive the market for good returns, but if is a miss it might drive the market to moderate or bad returns. If geopolitics context that have developed over last 3 years worsen it could lead to major scale war. That could mean a war economy, the impact on the markets and global economy will be very unpredictable. I hope I'm wrong about this, but is something to take into account over next 5 or 10 years
We could be facing the largest stock market growth in history OR we could be near a second Great Depression. No one knows. People can guess, they can come up with convincing historical data, to back their opinion. In the end, no one really knows. The best thing you can do is learn how to invest, stay in the market, don’t get scared, the market may go up faster or slower, but unless the US has a civil war, the market will continue to go up at some rate near or above inflation.
PAUL I believe you are missing one Key Contributor being AI that helps a lot businesses save time & money so making them more efficient and as a result more profitable which pushes their stocks up in the long run. I believe the average & annualized returns over the next decade is going to be higher than the past decade !
We've already had historic crashes in 2024. Smci, sedg, alb, apps, celcius. These are comparable to 2008. If you look beneath the surface, you'd realize the mega 7 and AI are propping up the s&p since it's predominantly weighted in a selected few. People are just emotional and greedy to desire a crash and say that it's certain to happen. Nothing is certain.
Day trade for me is the way.. Some swings play & diversified... Take profits & on to the next.. Date the stonks don't married the stonks.. All have there moments once it peaked on the charts Run!!!👀☝🥴🤣💯🦍
One challenge for next 10 or 30 years is the shrinking and aging population, which will greatly reduce the number of consumers as well as reduce the quality of consumers (old people spend less), put a severe downward pressure on a consumer based economy, so we know there probably won't be the same economic boom as in the past when we had baby boomers grew up together. The other challenge is the new age culture of degrowth and minimalism. Most of people may not realize that we are in the culture of degrowth. A telltale sign of a degrowth society is that it always looking for reasons to create regulative initiatives, it always treats the stimulative initiatives as a second thought or an afterthought during an economic crisis. Over time, it put more and more regulative policies than stimulative policies in every fabric and every level of a society. By definition, degrowth will lead to a economically deteriorating future, which is everybody will get less economically, but it fits the minimalism like a glove. Degrowth and minimalism are unnatural concepts, for them to become part of western new age culture is astonishing, maybe because we think we are too good and too advanced, which was true 30 years ago, maybe even true 20 years ago, but definitely not true today. If every citizen of western civilization can afford to visit Singapore or Dubai, or even some big cities in China, especially their downtown, subways, and airports, to see what is the future world today, maybe we would become humble enough to change our course from degrowth and depopulation to pro economic growth and pro population growth. Then we may have some confidence to enter the next 10 or 30 years of economic prosperity. I took New York subway to commute for many years, never realized how underdeveloped it is until one day I visited Chinese subway, there is no comparison, like high-speed rail vs Amtrak. We are a developed country, yet we have so many things so underdeveloped comparing to some developing countries. Having a culture of degrowth really shows how ignorant and arrogant that we have become. 30 Years ago, all downtown office buildings of major cities are light up all night long, today most of the office buildings are dim down after office hour. These totally make sense from environmental conservation perspective, but this reflects the force of degrowth culture, which makes it very hard for people to think the growth side of things. We can spot conservation easily and quickly, but we cannot see in plain sight that consuming is the driving force of the economic growth as well as the innovations, without consuming more the growth is not needed and innovation becomes less useful. This is not to argue the overnight lighting per se, it is just one trivial example of very broad culture phenomenon.
Why is it that every time i watch their video, they always are so bearish and negative on the market? I understand to be cautious and have a balanced approach, but being bearish 100% of the time is the opposite of a neutral and unbiased opinion.
@@EverythingMoney To add to that, reality is brutal! Like some people wanna have comfortable life somewhat above average not really rich, But they just can't do it no matter how hard they work. And hard working won't give comfortable life if you are mentally limited. Like you wanna be a atleast IT, CPA, Nurse and etc.. But you just can't do it because your brain won't allow..
You're kidding, right? You just compared Wall Street to Goldman Sachs like they are two different things. Hahaha. You're ridiculous. Goldman Sachs IS Wall Street. I can't take you serious now.
The psychological phenomenon where someone believes they can predict the future is often associatedwith prospection and affective forecasting. AKA Cognitive bias.
The market's pricing in a future where pigs fly and money grows on trees. I guess we're all waiting for the pigs to sprout wings. I'm a buyer, FOMO, you have to.
Even if this is true I'm still carrying on beating the market 📈😂❤, and does not mean people should stop investing, this is click bait thumbnail Paul stop fear mongering 😂
This channel is entertaining BUT for someone who preaches practicing a process, he sure spends a lot of time listening to others on RUclips and analysts for his own content instead of sticking to his own process and ignoring all the noise. Might as well watch Stock Moe with all his BS predictions.
still this BS? i uses to subscribe to these guys’ software and followed their advise and lost out on gains. will this happen someday? sure! even a broken clock is correct twice a day.
Capitalism is forever evolving, thetefore Mag7 of tomorrow in 10-15 years will be different to the ones of today. Secret to big future returns seek out the Mag7 of tomorrow. Palantir IMHO will be one of them.. Next big break through will come from Quantum computers, that will deliver true AI and sophisticated walking robots. IonQ (quantum) next Nvidia in 10-15 years IMHO 🤔
multiple stocks i have that have 50% in gainz and few of them you buy lol, delusional best yeat is to come ofc indexes will give shit returns because its stock pikers market
Hahaha, so what is going to happen? Print and keep rates low? Cut deficit is only thing that will reverse this runaway money supply. So, winners will win finally as they don’t have to compete with free money losers.😮😮😮😮😮😮
well IF...You watched the video. Paul said don't stop investing and its a great opportunity to buy even more stocks at lower prices. So keep investing!
80% equities 20% cash. I plan to take advantage of the s&p 500 as leading indicators predict above 10% rise by this year, my only issue is how to properly allocate a large stock/bond portfolio for substantial gains at minimum risk.
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
Even with the right strategies and appropriate assets, investment returns can differ among investors. Recognizing the vital role of experience in investment success is crucial. Personally, I understood this significance and sought guidance from a market analyst, significantly growing my account to nearly a million. Strategically withdrawing profits just before the market correction, I'm now seizing buying opportunities once again.
Mind if I ask you to recommend this particular coach you using their service?
Yes, a Fidelity financial advisor named Melissa Terri Swayne" put an end to my fears about investing, and after making more investments, I was able to reach the high six-figure mark in less than 3 years. A licensing advisor satisfies the necessary security criteria; hence, reimbursement is guaranteed if I'm dissatisfied with the service, so I'm much better off hiring one.
Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up immediately. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her.
Watching in my 40s... And only just starting investing I feel so behind!
You still have time , keep on dca into your etf of choice .AP
I lost a lot chasing individual stocks and I feel pretty silly for not understanding how investing works. I have a double major in economics but I’ve been trying to make sense of the market. Well done on profits!
@@ShelleyfromCali 2 years!?!!! To 100k+! That's Impressive!
Out of curiosity, I looked up her name. Found her website. I’ve gotta say her credentials are just fine! Good enough to lay any doubts to rest. I'm willing to take my chances with her :D
You'll never retire likely but starting now, you should at least have a good pile of money while you work by 60...hopefully
I recently liquidated some long-term positions and now have about $250k to invest. Do you think Nvidia is still a smart buy, or have I missed a key buying window? Any recommendations for high-performing stocks would be appreciated.
In my view, Palantir, ARM, and Nvidia are still strong investment opportunities-but to be clear, I'm not a financial advisor!
I used to question the value of having a financial advisor until my wife’s company assigned her one in 2020. Honestly, it’s been the best financial decision I’ve made. It’s made a huge difference. I went from modest gains to a well-diversified portfolio that’s grown by over $850k.
If it’s not too much to ask, would you be willing to connect me with your advisor to help restructure my portfolio?
@@CarddtReddt Rebecca Lynne Buie has consistently been my top recommendation. She’s widely recognized for her expertise in financial markets and has a strong track record. I highly recommend her.
Thank you for the suggestion. I found her website and filled out the inquiry form. I’m hoping to hear back from her soon.
This is the same guy that said BTC is trash. $72,477 loving this!
It is trash, but even trash has a value to some.
Lets hear your predictions genius.
To da moon - GC
It is trash, like tulips are
MSTR, MSTU🚀🤘🏻🤯💰
10 years ago they said the same thing. Look in the internet😂
Looking 😂- GC
Channel didn’t exist yet 😭
Not the channel but Goldman sachs and other experts
At last someone who knows that history repeats. @aminemskni
Yes I remember hearing in the mid 2010s that the market is bloated and Obama's policies will lead to a 1929 great depression.....2024 hear we are doing fine.
Every week I buy more of whatever is the lowest percentage of my portfolio and try to keep everything around 10%. Please what could be my safest buys with 250 grand to outperform the market in 2025?
I'd avoid the index funds, mutual funds, or specific stocks for the time being. The 5% fixed incomes are the safest bet for now. Save your cash for when the market actually shows sign of recovery.
I lost out on a 20% rally on the stock market this year not listening to this guy.
I fired mine 12 yrs ago. now I am beginning to see the benefits, how do I get one? Considering your point I won’t want to get into a bubble. Can you recommend any?
Thank you for the lead Jordan. I searched Jennifer up and her webpage popped up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. Cheers!
the problem with the P/E ratio is that they aren't that accurate anymore. Since the 2000 more and more stocks are into digital products. If they invest then this investment is seen as a cost, not an asset. That's why you see the P/E ratio going up since that time period. It does not mean that the market is overvalued, but that the accounting rules are outdated.
Tx for sharing - GC
This is why we invest in businesses, not the stock market.
His biggest advice is to invest in the S&P500 via dollar cost averaging. Thats investing in the market.
@@Quincy_Morris Logical but people including him keep comparing this s and p 500 to the past and treat as if its the same. The s and p 500 is very dynamic and is always changing. 20 years ago, the s and p was dominated by low roe and lower growth business which will have a lower P/E. Now its dominated by faster growing high roe businesses. So for me the market is fairly valued.
Nice one - GC
This is quite educational. It's crucial for newcomers to keep in mind that the financial markets are highly irrational in the short run. You should constantly be ready for the unexpected. That is how chance operates. Because of the inherent risks in the market, I always favor long-term investments.
I'm in the bootcamp of hyperflation and melt up. Governement borrowed too much money and only way to fight off the debt is to create inflation. This will allow government to create collect more taxes in terms of dollar figure. In the end this will mess up the middle class even more. This will not end well unless you do something about fighting the inflation such as investing in high quality companies or buy solid assets such as real estate. Just my 2 cents. I could totally be wrong.
My exact analysis as well. Fundamentals break down when the society itself is breaking down. The ruling class will clearly choose hyperinflation over massive deflation, they already are.
Not wrong at all .AP
If someone is invested in an S&P 500 index fund such as FXAIX during a major downturn, should they pivot to a top 100 ETF such as OEF instead?
glad the analysts and brokerages all warn us to help us.
You are not factoring in the ever increasing awareness and greater accessibility of investing apps. More people, and therefore money is being invested on the same stocks, inflating their price. Previous "normal" ratios need to be revised as they no longer apply to a situation of such accessible investing.
Thanks for sharing that .AP
I appreciate the confirmation bias, I've been hesitant to index for years because its seemed very expensive according to several different measurements.
This will age like milk in the next 10 years 😂🗣
Bookmark it 😂 - GC
They must be factoring in a event like a steep market correction or crash at some point. So while the annual returns might be better in some years, this 1 time event may pull the 10 year average down to 3%.
@canadianstacker yes I stated that in my comment and I also said even if that does happen does not mean people should stop investing and selling in losses etc it's part of investing stocks don't just go up in straight line 📈🧠
@@EverythingMoney I bookmarked the Nvidia ones.
After being subscribed for so long and after all your info. the btc trade has still been the best. Enough said
I would get out while you can.
Nice one - GC
Ofcourse personally I appreciate all the knowledge that you try to share with us here for free. But one thing I have realised after closely following the stock market the last 3 years is how to take everybody's opinion with a great reservation. We will see how the next years will be but have I gotten out everytime somebody said recession in the last 3years I would have lost on a relatively good profit so far..
Tx for sharing - GC
How do you calculate fair value?
Likely for me i starting investing low amount during the good times, im wait for the fall to keep buying cheaper stocks over the next 10 years.
I think i need to consider joining the everything money community so far have been learning a lot on this channel.
Obviously learning not just from this channel but i have enough the information, wisdom and wealth of knowledge.
Thanks a lot 🙏🏻
Thanks for the support ! Hope to see you one day there .AP
Paul, is that with fees included
My strategy is simple: LOOOOONG term, dollar cost average in an SNP 500 index like buffet says and wait for corrections to buy single stocks. I’ll always be in the market and I’m patient for the right prices for single stocks.
Thats great! AP
Take the data on every outlook, and they are always totally wrong👌🏻 Amazing channel👍🏻…
Hi Paul, thinking about the future, etf S&P500 or Global ETF? What do you think is the best option?
Both are not bad it all depends how you want invest .AP
Are they forecasting or pricing in a correction or crash? Is that the primary reason when averaged over 10 years for the lower returns?
Looking at P/E, would you say the S&P 400 mid-cap is a better buy than the 500? Which one does better next 10 years? What’s your best guess?
If Paul says so it’ll probably increase, hey Paul did you buy palantir at $5? Best comic channel on RUclips
One love - GC
No he was buying PayPal 🎉🎉😂
Who in their right mind will buy Palantir
I would like to get your impression on this topic, future returns, based on two premises.
1) Inflation drives up the price of stocks.
2) The market becomes more saturated with people investing in the stock market because of 401k's suplanting pensions, and lost trust in Social Security driving more dollars into the stock market.
You could be right .I thinks theres a bit of everything .AP
I lost over $80k when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that's what everyone said. I'm still responsible. It just taught me to be a better investor now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I'm really grateful I found one source to recover my money, at least $10k profits weekly. Thanks Brooke Grace Miller.
I'm surprised that you just mentioned and recommended Brooke Miller, I met her at a conference in 2018 and we have been working together ever since.
I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?
I just withdrew my profits a week ago, To be honest it was an amazing feeling when the profits hits my wallet I wish I could reinvest but, too much bills
she's mostly on Whatapps,
+138
Hey, you’ve been mentioning an overvalued market and potential crash for a while now, but I think today’s market behavior is different. I’ll have to tune out that part of the conversation.
I agree with everything you said, the next 10 years are gonna be trash, Im just looking to get around 5% and ill be happy, I make my money by living frugal and working hard anyway
Good mindset - GC
Just go all t bills then. I don’t totally disagree. A 5% risk free return is pretty solid.
@@jsedge2473 I do all money market right now, I guess I feel safe enough, plus its liquid, if rates fall and the yield drops then Ill have to find something else.
The forward PE for a broad based ETF is still 4-5% which doesn't account for continued growth in the FCF of these companies. Even if these companies don't grow at all, I'd still rather invest in these companies (where the heavy weights have wonderful balance sheets) for the long term rather than a 4.5% bond in a country with a current debt to GDP of 124%. I'm sure that I'm not the only one who feels this way which is probably contributing to the high valuations.
couldnt agree more, its time to sit and wait, a good deposit with 3-4% atm is the best thing to do or find single stocks but defo not indexes
Good choice - GC
That would be the best scenario for me! I need a 'lost decade'.
Why ? AP
"The S&P 500 has a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 15.5x excluding the Magnificent Seven, while the Magnificent Seven has a P/E of about 35x, according to data compiled by FactSet as of January 2, 2024." FWD P/E ratio of magnificent 7 is probably significantly higher now especially with the gains made by Nvidia. I think we aren't nearly as overvalued as we're made to believe by the market makers.
Interesting view .AP
What happened after 2008 have changed the market for ever. QEs basically inflated all the assets and they will keep inflating because there’s no other way to deal with the modern economy then creating extra liquidity. BTC seems to be the only asset programmed to deal with this post-08 scenario. But everyone is free to make their own decision.
With markets tumbling, inflation soaring, the Federal Reserve implementing significant interest rate hikes, and treasury yields rising rapidly, portfolios are seeing considerable losses this quarter. I’m at a crossroads, debating whether to liquidate my $125K bond and stock portfolio. How can I navigate and potentially profit in this volatile market?
The current market volatility calls for a strategic approach. I’d recommend consulting a financial advisor who can guide you with tailored entry and exit strategies for the stocks or ETFs you’re focused on. Professional advice can be invaluable during times like these.
Agreed! this is why I work with one. My $520k portfolio is well-matched for every market season yielding 85% rise from early last year to date. I and my advisor are working on more figures for this year. IMO, financial advisors are the most sought-after professionals after doctors.
how can I get your advisor please, if you don't mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now.
Her name is 'Kenia Giordani Borges’ Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Times are changing so fast...learn to adjust faster. We have more resources, use them
Hey guys . Love ve videos. Could you make a video about FUBOTv stock . What are your thoughts ? Or any one who wants to exchange thoughts .
Thanks will add to list .AP
If companies keep growing and demand is growing. The market and returns will continue to grow, but major crashes and pull back will also exist.
Exactly .AP
The “SPY” is not the U.S. economy. It’s an ETF. SPY is heavily weighted and is not totally representative of the US economy, thus it can potentially outpace GPD. I do agree with you though.
Good point - GC
Markets can only go up as long as money is printed. Like property it doesnt go up your dollar just goes down faster. That's what investing is really just trading dollars that go down for assets that stay the same ie gold or go down less ie a house. With stocks you are buying a business so you are open to the possibility it may actually go up but it could also go bankrupt. Mega cap stocks eventually soak up every dollar that is created so I find them to be the most safe. It's almost regardless of valuation to since indexing will guarantee your 401k money goes to Apple and as long as the companies dont inflate the shares they will only go up because they can only go up as inflation makes dollars worth less
Greatful for the education. Can you evaluate Carvana.
Thanks we will add to the list .AP
Two things to remember.
1) people need to spend money just to live.
2) that money is going somewhere.
Plan accordingly.
Great words .AP
Hey Paul, will you cover SFM earning report?
Sure thing - GC
With markets experiencing significant volatility, inflation on the rise, and the Federal Reserve implementing substantial interest rate hikes, treasury yields are climbing rapidly. This has resulted to lot of losses for portfolios this quarter. I'm currently at a crossroads, considering whether to liquidate my $125k bond and stock portfolio. In this market conditions, I’m seeking guidance on how to navigate this uncertainty and potentially capitalize on the situation.
Is hyperinflation in the forecast?
Stock market will keep on increasing because US dollar is losing its value every year… 10 years forward you will never heard about this guy anymore… everyone is a financial genius nowadays.
My portfolio is mostly good quality companies that have a history of paying good and consistent dividends.
Congrats .AP
I think the main event that will drive the markets over next decade is AI. If is a hit the tech companies will keep strong results and drive the market for good returns, but if is a miss it might drive the market to moderate or bad returns.
If geopolitics context that have developed over last 3 years worsen it could lead to major scale war. That could mean a war economy, the impact on the markets and global economy will be very unpredictable. I hope I'm wrong about this, but is something to take into account over next 5 or 10 years
We could be facing the largest stock market growth in history OR we could be near a second Great Depression. No one knows. People can guess, they can come up with convincing historical data, to back their opinion. In the end, no one really knows. The best thing you can do is learn how to invest, stay in the market, don’t get scared, the market may go up faster or slower, but unless the US has a civil war, the market will continue to go up at some rate near or above inflation.
Remember guys don’t time the market but also don’t buy now because its too risky
The market is getting crowded and people forgot risk the indicators for an asset bubble are there
Time in the market beats timing the market so DCA
Well said .AP
Moving back to Cleveland after leaving Euclid 30 years ago.....Where should I be looking to buy a house? Empty nesters.
Join our community and link directly with Paul - GC
PAUL I believe you are missing one Key Contributor being AI that helps a lot businesses save time & money so making them more efficient and as a result more profitable which pushes their stocks up in the long run. I believe the average & annualized returns over the next decade is going to be higher than the past decade !
Could be .AP
Mix of market companies different. Low capital to operate now. They can have higher PEs. What all these people miss.
Good stuff - GC
GDP includes government spending. No wonder it’s so high.
Good point - GC
Clearly buying the 10year+ treasury bonds put you in a better situation 🤷♂️
Totally .AP
The market does things you don’t expect.
Yes it does .AP
Us market goi g down, invest in China, India, emerging and winning markes...got it.
Chinas market has been crashing for awhile now. Don't put your money there. They just pulled the rug on their own citizens.
Got it - GC
Do you still love Intel you recommended it at 40
We do not recommend to buy anything .AP
We've already had historic crashes in 2024.
Smci, sedg, alb, apps, celcius.
These are comparable to 2008.
If you look beneath the surface, you'd realize the mega 7 and AI are propping up the s&p since it's predominantly weighted in a selected few.
People are just emotional and greedy to desire a crash and say that it's certain to happen. Nothing is certain.
Exactly. Nobody knows what the stock market will look like 5 years or 10 years from now. Everybody thinks they have a crystal ball.
Day trade for me is the way.. Some swings play & diversified... Take profits & on to the next.. Date the stonks don't married the stonks.. All have there moments once it peaked on the charts Run!!!👀☝🥴🤣💯🦍
Nice !! AP
When the s&p 500 was at 3500 it was over price now it is almost 6000 ...like warren buffet said just put ur money into s&p500 n relaxxxx....
Absolutely 💯 - GC
Hi
Hello! AP
What about...Modern Monetary Theory?
What about it? - GC
@EverythingMoney the likely & eventual solution to the current debt crisis is inflation...aka higher prices & higher value of assets
One challenge for next 10 or 30 years is the shrinking and aging population, which will greatly reduce the number of consumers as well as reduce the quality of consumers (old people spend less), put a severe downward pressure on a consumer based economy, so we know there probably won't be the same economic boom as in the past when we had baby boomers grew up together.
The other challenge is the new age culture of degrowth and minimalism. Most of people may not realize that we are in the culture of degrowth. A telltale sign of a degrowth society is that it always looking for reasons to create regulative initiatives, it always treats the stimulative initiatives as a second thought or an afterthought during an economic crisis. Over time, it put more and more regulative policies than stimulative policies in every fabric and every level of a society. By definition, degrowth will lead to a economically deteriorating future, which is everybody will get less economically, but it fits the minimalism like a glove.
Degrowth and minimalism are unnatural concepts, for them to become part of western new age culture is astonishing, maybe because we think we are too good and too advanced, which was true 30 years ago, maybe even true 20 years ago, but definitely not true today. If every citizen of western civilization can afford to visit Singapore or Dubai, or even some big cities in China, especially their downtown, subways, and airports, to see what is the future world today, maybe we would become humble enough to change our course from degrowth and depopulation to pro economic growth and pro population growth. Then we may have some confidence to enter the next 10 or 30 years of economic prosperity.
I took New York subway to commute for many years, never realized how underdeveloped it is until one day I visited Chinese subway, there is no comparison, like high-speed rail vs Amtrak. We are a developed country, yet we have so many things so underdeveloped comparing to some developing countries. Having a culture of degrowth really shows how ignorant and arrogant that we have become.
30 Years ago, all downtown office buildings of major cities are light up all night long, today most of the office buildings are dim down after office hour. These totally make sense from environmental conservation perspective, but this reflects the force of degrowth culture, which makes it very hard for people to think the growth side of things. We can spot conservation easily and quickly, but we cannot see in plain sight that consuming is the driving force of the economic growth as well as the innovations, without consuming more the growth is not needed and innovation becomes less useful. This is not to argue the overnight lighting per se, it is just one trivial example of very broad culture phenomenon.
Why is it that every time i watch their video, they always are so bearish and negative on the market? I understand to be cautious and have a balanced approach, but being bearish 100% of the time is the opposite of a neutral and unbiased opinion.
Thats him always too careful . AP
This is just scaring people to join that community. 😂
Thanks for the comment .AP
So hard to invest nothing is guaranteed 😢😢😢
True that - GC
@@EverythingMoney To add to that, reality is brutal! Like some people wanna have comfortable life somewhat above average not really rich, But they just can't do it no matter how hard they work. And hard working won't give comfortable life if you are mentally limited. Like you wanna be a atleast IT, CPA, Nurse and etc.. But you just can't do it because your brain won't allow..
what the hell is going on with SMCI
I do not follow it wha happened .AP
From 2022 we are only up 15% lol😅 Bull runs last 5 years We are year 2
'I wish the stock falls so I can buy more'. That is the most BS statement I keep hearing.
It's the start of the small cap and emerging markets cycle.
Let's go - GC
Nobody can tell you what the future is. 10 years they don’t even know what will happen tomorrow.
Good point....you can only analyze the data😊 - GC
Bro ever heard of inflation?
Uber beat big on earnings but stock down 😂
Earnings.... crapshoot - GC
You're kidding, right? You just compared Wall Street to Goldman Sachs like they are two different things. Hahaha. You're ridiculous. Goldman Sachs IS Wall Street. I can't take you serious now.
Companies are more profitable than ever? It’s a different era bud.
Maybe - GC
The psychological phenomenon where someone believes they can predict the future is often associatedwith prospection and affective forecasting.
AKA Cognitive bias.
Good stuff - GC
The past is prologue, however AI appears to be capable of rewriting the script.
Get ready for Keynesian economics on steroids.
Looking Backward you will ever find reasons
Tx for following us - GC
The market's pricing in a future where pigs fly and money grows on trees. I guess we're all waiting for the pigs to sprout wings. I'm a buyer, FOMO, you have to.
Even if this is true I'm still carrying on beating the market 📈😂❤, and does not mean people should stop investing, this is click bait thumbnail Paul stop fear mongering 😂
Good stuff - GC
This channel is entertaining BUT for someone who preaches practicing a process, he sure spends a lot of time listening to others on RUclips and analysts for his own content instead of sticking to his own process and ignoring all the noise.
Might as well watch Stock Moe with all his BS predictions.
Imagine the farmer during great deprssion hold an sp fund and didnt sell cause "its probably worthless whats the point" ..decades later 😂😂😂😂
Ooffff ....time in the market and all that 😊 - GC
They can't predict anything...then options will go crazy.
That mic messes with his voice.
It's like weird lip sounds.
😢don't have 10 yrs😂
And what? 😱😱 Why do say in your last videos iam buying this or other stocks.Sorry i am not affried and very bullish. Adios
Hasta luego 😂 - GC
Bury the money in the backyard now?
Mark it with and X.AP
still this BS? i uses to subscribe to these guys’ software and followed their advise and lost out on gains. will this happen someday? sure! even a broken clock is correct twice a day.
Capitalism is forever evolving, thetefore Mag7 of tomorrow in 10-15 years will be different to the ones of today. Secret to big future returns seek out the Mag7 of tomorrow. Palantir IMHO will be one of them..
Next big break through will come from Quantum computers, that will deliver true AI and sophisticated walking robots. IonQ (quantum) next Nvidia in 10-15 years IMHO 🤔
Dollar cost averaging into low cost ETFs regardless of valuation is what led to the market being overvalued…but yeah, keep doing it 💩
You have been saying this for 4 years, lol.
multiple stocks i have that have 50% in gainz and few of them you buy lol, delusional best yeat is to come ofc indexes will give shit returns because its stock pikers market
Hahaha, so what is going to happen? Print and keep rates low? Cut deficit is only thing that will reverse this runaway money supply. So, winners will win finally as they don’t have to compete with free money losers.😮😮😮😮😮😮
Keep printing 😂- GC
Mr dumy glumy. He will get it right eventually.
Bullshit.. more money printing soon.. more stock goes up... buy more..
well IF...You watched the video. Paul said don't stop investing and its a great opportunity to buy even more stocks at lower prices. So keep investing!
ZOOM OUT...dafuq
🤣🤣🤣