Real Conversations | The Outlook: McCullough & Neil Howe on the Fourth Turning

Поделиться
HTML-код
  • Опубликовано: 6 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 188

  • @alexdevisscher6784
    @alexdevisscher6784 11 месяцев назад +12

    Minute 29 reminds me of a Churchill quote: Americans can always be trusted to do the right thing... After they have exhausted all other options.

  • @adamaputesol1631
    @adamaputesol1631 11 месяцев назад +8

    Arnold "Screw Your Freedom" Schwarzenegger
    may my old memory of him being a decent person rest in peace

  • @paulginsberg6942
    @paulginsberg6942 11 месяцев назад +7

    N Howe is the best of the best. A real champ informing us what to expect and why. The Navigator.

  • @ronf968
    @ronf968 11 месяцев назад +11

    They didn't believe Noah either until it was too late. Thanks for your insightful and truthful information.

  • @dunerider450f
    @dunerider450f 11 месяцев назад +74

    Why do people always say that fascism is a tenant of the right? conservatives are not authoritarians. Fascism is closer to communism.

    • @MrMinnesota99
      @MrMinnesota99 11 месяцев назад +20

      It's the typical myopic far-left viewpoint, anyone to the right is fascist. To small-gov folks, communism/fascism/socialism are so closely related we can't tell them apart.

    • @drewdemarest9904
      @drewdemarest9904 11 месяцев назад +9

      They are only closely related from the perspective of center right politics. Conservatism has historically been more authoritarian

    • @Bobthebuilder42069
      @Bobthebuilder42069 11 месяцев назад

      Facism hits both sides. I think for the right it’s always a return to something in the past or to keep the status quo.

    • @benhamman2960
      @benhamman2960 11 месяцев назад

      Conservatives (by American definition) are not authoritarians, proven by history. Nazis were quite literally the Democratic Socialist Party, the Bolsheviks, the red army in china - all are not conservative. They are all radical leftists though.
      Who in academia write most historical views? Who teaches it? Mainly leftists trying to relax the negatives of leftist politics.
      That’s why fascism is only “seen as” coming from conservatives.
      That’s also not to stay conservatives are 100% blameless either. They’re just not the big authoritarians throughout modern history.

    • @lowtech_1
      @lowtech_1 11 месяцев назад +4

      No in USA. Asked who was most Authoritarian. Europe would say Hitler, USA would say Stalin.
      Different boogie men in different countries.
      In many countries the Right has been authoritarian.

  • @SavanaT
    @SavanaT 11 месяцев назад +15

    Do our institutions today DESERVE OUR TRUST? I say no. Even Neil and KM do not trust institutions. This is a result of our Inst. failing us, not the people being untrustful. ❤

    • @scottdorsey8220
      @scottdorsey8220 11 месяцев назад +1

      Lies are being uncovered left and right! More to come. Why should we trust?

    • @Chuck68ify
      @Chuck68ify 11 месяцев назад +3

      People in those institutions have to be transparent and held accountable for misdeeds, errors, and omissions.

    • @BOULDERGEEK
      @BOULDERGEEK 11 месяцев назад +1

      The institutions ARE people.

    • @michaelfoulkes9502
      @michaelfoulkes9502 9 месяцев назад

      The institutions are looking out for interests today, and have not been honest with the public.

  • @user-gl9iz1bp1r
    @user-gl9iz1bp1r 11 месяцев назад +5

    "The difficulty lies, not in the new ideas, but in escaping from the old ones." ~ John Maynard Keynes Too many old ideas from those entities benefiting from them.

  • @caroledoerr6872
    @caroledoerr6872 11 месяцев назад +5

    The difference among the 4 generations is the economy!

  • @MrMinnesota99
    @MrMinnesota99 11 месяцев назад +9

    Read The Fourth Turning, then read Solzhenitsyn.

  • @kristinlindgren8401
    @kristinlindgren8401 11 месяцев назад +1

    Interesting....I am a Schedule C business owner with no employees that started the business in Dec 2021, LOL. Yet, in Tampa Bay FL and focusing on Looking and Feeling the younger version of you - Amazing alternative tools have shown up for me, I am younger and getting younger every day at a cellular level - nothing but opportunity. Thank you for all you Share!

  • @sunzeneise
    @sunzeneise 11 месяцев назад +1

    YOUNG PEOPLE START AND DRIVE REVOLUTIONS WITH NOTHING TO LOSE AND “SOMETHING” TO GAIN - WHATEVER THAT MIGHT BE.

  • @aleaiactaest8354
    @aleaiactaest8354 11 месяцев назад +3

    Looking for Gavin Newsom! 😂 Then one has to be really lost! 🙈
    RFK Jr. is a factor that may shake things up fundamentally..

  • @nezsa777
    @nezsa777 11 месяцев назад +5

    Neil 🐐 returns

  • @scottdorsey8220
    @scottdorsey8220 11 месяцев назад +6

    Just curious how we get past knowing our World is collapsing (economic, climate, social standards and population after the recent push for inoculations)? What's there to get excited about? Besides, there's little trust in the current pillars of society after decades of non-stop lying and perception management.

  • @rd24life
    @rd24life 11 месяцев назад +2

    I found Neil’s smirk extremely disturbing when he mentioned that the youth will never afford housing. It was extremely disturbing

  • @markblankenship6233
    @markblankenship6233 11 месяцев назад +5

    History rhymes and rounds. Although no one can predict the future, the past can show us cyclical patterns. I think humans don’t believe in cycles, and so we don’t learn from history. If Neil is correct in his cyclical views, then we can anticipate events that will change the order of things. That’s as close to reading the future as one can get. I think that’s enough to get our affairs in order.

    • @JamesG1126
      @JamesG1126 11 месяцев назад +2

      Howe has been spouting his Fourth Turning nonsense since the 80's. What exactly are you getting ready for?

    • @brianbeecher3084
      @brianbeecher3084 11 месяцев назад +1

      Well, there is a Biblical passage concerning this which became a popular song in the 1960s. Still widely heard today.

    • @dangersmymiddlename6341
      @dangersmymiddlename6341 11 месяцев назад +1

      Getting ready for “winter.” Every 80 years or so.

  • @slavaukrayini4442
    @slavaukrayini4442 11 месяцев назад +1

    Awesome interview that prompted me to subscribe to the channel! Neil 👍

  • @l.a.mottern3106
    @l.a.mottern3106 9 месяцев назад

    Outstanding Interview. I read his other books, now I Have to get his New book :-)

  • @CanuckThor
    @CanuckThor 11 месяцев назад +16

    Nothing is more entertaining than some frustrated perma bears ❤️. Me likey likey.

    • @Vegas_Des
      @Vegas_Des 11 месяцев назад +2

      Hahahha 👌

    • @davidalston3626
      @davidalston3626 11 месяцев назад

      The guy runs a long/short with majority long exposure. Doesn’t seem very permabear to me

    • @CanuckThor
      @CanuckThor 11 месяцев назад +3

      @@davidalston3626 Other than gold and energy, what other long position did they talk about? i regularly watch them instead of comedy shows and they are bearish on 99% equities.

    • @davidalston3626
      @davidalston3626 11 месяцев назад

      @@CanuckThor their Long Portfolio has 21 positions, right now today

  • @ddprepper5227
    @ddprepper5227 11 месяцев назад +2

    Excellent report 👍👍👍👍👍

  • @s.t.freeman4116
    @s.t.freeman4116 11 месяцев назад +1

    Excellent post. You guys are clearly on the right track.
    Thank You,
    Baby Boomer Stu

  • @CatPDX
    @CatPDX 11 месяцев назад +1

    Great, absolutely great!

  • @jivepatrol6833
    @jivepatrol6833 11 месяцев назад +7

    Excellent interview and many thanks to both!

  • @jamesbishop9156
    @jamesbishop9156 10 месяцев назад +1

    37:35 Money is a control mechanism to divide and conquer.

  • @sebastianlebek5789
    @sebastianlebek5789 11 месяцев назад +1

    Interesujące.... interesting...intrestiano

  • @77magicbus
    @77magicbus 11 месяцев назад +3

    Great interview. "That guy can forget more on the way to the bathroom than anyone of us will ever know." hahaha. Best line in the whole discussion. This is profound stuff.

  • @williamhoffer9277
    @williamhoffer9277 11 месяцев назад +3

    Great conversation!

  • @prevarikator
    @prevarikator 10 месяцев назад +1

    I think Trump is a Gray Champion, even if he's orange.

  • @crouchhill
    @crouchhill 11 месяцев назад +2

    Excellent podcast, I like Keith and Neil.
    But respectfully disagree with comments on Arnold.
    👍🏾

  • @awenz285
    @awenz285 11 месяцев назад +1

    Best guest since i subscribed!!! Jus bought the book. TY

  • @JoshAus
    @JoshAus 11 месяцев назад +1

    This conversation was absolutely fascinating. Thank you Keith and Neil

  • @Tyq0v3uz
    @Tyq0v3uz 10 месяцев назад

    Funny the demographer doesn't want to talk about the elephant in the room: "La Reconquista para la Raza"

  • @intjmikepearson1350
    @intjmikepearson1350 11 месяцев назад +5

    Elon Musk is one of the only reasons I have any hope for the future. And the fact that he's surrounded by brilliant engineers and scientists who support his goals.

    • @intjmikepearson1350
      @intjmikepearson1350 11 месяцев назад +2

      @brianwoodrow6923 I've never trusted in a car salesman

    • @moda_crypto869
      @moda_crypto869 11 месяцев назад

      Agree mate and hes giving us hope of a free world against these tyrants running the show. Free speech is the most important thing and half the people are just listening to CNN and following everyone else into a controlled shithole of a world

    • @dangersmymiddlename6341
      @dangersmymiddlename6341 11 месяцев назад +1

      He’s not what you think.

  • @letsgocnote85
    @letsgocnote85 9 месяцев назад

    Gen X always seems to respond to a rival. Not only being in a survival situation but if there's a clear collective rival then I suspect Gen X will step up collectively.

  • @realcyberghost
    @realcyberghost 11 месяцев назад +1

    Great episode and the last questions and answers we’re awesome, thanks 🙏

  • @EMan-cu5zo
    @EMan-cu5zo 11 месяцев назад +4

    Great interview. Thank you for sharing it to everyone.

  • @RobWilliams007
    @RobWilliams007 11 месяцев назад +1

    My daughter is 29 and lives in NYC - 3 roommates.

    • @philfortner1805
      @philfortner1805 11 месяцев назад +3

      Dollar devaluation has consequences. Wages haven't risen since 1980 in real terms. It's why inflation is always underreported.

  • @jamesbishop9156
    @jamesbishop9156 10 месяцев назад +1

    17:45 17:46 This universe belongs to Yahweh, Jehova. "God." This 80-year cycle is how he controls all life in this universe. The ones who recognize this want to be free from his controls. He is not the smartest crayon in the box. Our true creator is not this one....The golden rule does not apply to him. It's not the kind of role model for sustainable peace and harmony. He has been doing this for a very long time. Mars was like earth. Earth will look like Mars. Venus is the next planet to play out the game of control and reincarnation. True truth...

  • @TraderJHart
    @TraderJHart 11 месяцев назад +2

    If people familiarized themselves with Carl Jung’s works, a lot of this could be avoided or at least better weathered

  • @caroledoerr6872
    @caroledoerr6872 11 месяцев назад +1

    These may be the final days of an Empire. Are there similarities between what is happening today and what happened at the end of the Roman Empire?

  • @MisterViago
    @MisterViago 11 месяцев назад +1

    Everything is awesome

  • @lmpaske
    @lmpaske 11 месяцев назад +4

    Neil is great. Keith is just another sales muppet.

  • @tylersampson5146
    @tylersampson5146 11 месяцев назад +1

    If you don’t want to call him Master McCullough lol you don’t have to. Saved me from poverty I couldn’t see coming,

  • @3506Dodge
    @3506Dodge 11 месяцев назад +1

    Ohio's economy hasn't been this good since the early 2000s.

  • @Agent77X
    @Agent77X 11 месяцев назад +1

    Gawin Newsom did wonders for California & SF!😮

  • @tomsettles6873
    @tomsettles6873 11 месяцев назад +7

    These guys don't have a clue as to what's coming next. McCullough is as bad as Dalio. Look at me - I'm always right !!! (except 51% of the time when I was wrong)

  • @joec8942
    @joec8942 11 месяцев назад +1

    Omg i feel so sorry for those looking for a Elon, Trump, or Newsome. Sad. Just pathetically sad. 🤦‍♂️

  • @vladis3039
    @vladis3039 11 месяцев назад +4

    When will we see some proper 4th turning shit in action? Come on, American comrades, do something!!

    • @timkrouse345
      @timkrouse345 11 месяцев назад +2

      To the Revolution!!! 😆

  • @jamesbishop9156
    @jamesbishop9156 10 месяцев назад +1

    41:13 41:44 When we see the truer truths, they are suppressed with confusion and chaos/violence. A typical form of bad/unfair control and a violation of humane sovereignty both physical and non-physical/spiritual levels.

  • @m3po22
    @m3po22 10 месяцев назад +1

    22:30 WTF? What rules did he break?

  • @davecollins8136
    @davecollins8136 11 месяцев назад +1

    Lol - the leaders you look up to - Neil - Trump; Keith - Elan ; me - Nadar

  • @adrianfranco1028
    @adrianfranco1028 11 месяцев назад +2

    If there is a civil war can I still get Skip.the Dishes?

  • @feliciamusic7945
    @feliciamusic7945 11 месяцев назад +2

    Neil reminds me of the far left leaning professor in our lower education institutions. When I read his book 15 yrs ago, I didnt know it was Strauss who was the real objective intelligence behind it.

    • @genestone4951
      @genestone4951 11 месяцев назад

      That's why he can't admit the obvious... Donald J Trump is the Gray Champion of this 4T. You can tell he's The One by how the dying political class fears him, and by how much The People love him.

  • @sirluciussquigglesworthlll6503
    @sirluciussquigglesworthlll6503 11 месяцев назад +1

    🔥

  • @TheDavidlloydjones
    @TheDavidlloydjones 11 месяцев назад +1

    Paul Volker's term at the Fed ended in 1989, so this is a wee bit olde.

  • @postscript5549
    @postscript5549 11 месяцев назад +1

    We know that S.F. CRE is failing quickly. Downtown skyscrapers are selling for over 50% reductions.

  • @jamesbishop9156
    @jamesbishop9156 10 месяцев назад +1

    This 80-year cycle was created just like the 4 seasons of this planet that was created. It's an inside job. A lose lose game. 45:06

  • @jessecockerell7290
    @jessecockerell7290 11 месяцев назад

    notice around 13:30 when they start talking presidential candidates.....politics....it is edited.....there must be a reason for editing out content...

  • @janejdough2230
    @janejdough2230 5 месяцев назад

    back to blood and soil. ,,, "23 and me" so popular

  • @akesha4138
    @akesha4138 11 месяцев назад +1

    What I see coming is the current rally continues, it is not significant and it fizzles out just before Christmas. Early 2024 still looks good, the year will start out fine. In March 2024 trouble begins, the markets fall very suddenly by 6% and then slightly recover and this repeats 2 weeks later. Investors are now spooked and uncertainty rises. Any very tiny amount of bad news triggers yet another downturn. Keep in mind that computer trading only looks at one factor - price action and nothing else.
    This accentuates any downturn making it worse. With the trigger pre-loaded for an epic crash along comes another black swan event - like yet another downgrade in US debt. The ponzi-scheme markets are then collapsing in 3 giant stages, such as a one day 1200, 1500, and 2500 drop in the Dow in a few trading sessions. No one knows what to do or expect, even precious metal prices fall so there is no way out that makes sense. By the time things stabilize the markets have fallen 40% and treasuries get a modest boost. Markets flounder and wallow in pain. 2 weeks later they finally see that precious metals are the only real bargain and prices begin to rise. It does not stop there. Short positions drop to zero and suddenly metal prices have risen 30%. At 35% increase there is a very brief pull back, 2 or 3 days only then another round of epic increases.

    • @akesha4138
      @akesha4138 11 месяцев назад

      @@kgabriel477 Of course there can be variables in any prediction. It is the timing that is most variable - I do not exactly know when it will begin, I just know that it will happen pretty much as stated and that the vast majority will suffer greatly. Do not be among them. Make sure you have some cash, some gold and lots of silver. The markets are in an uptrend right now for no good reason. Track it and sell your winners or at least have an active stop loss in place. Do sell investments where a stop loss is not possible - like some mutual funds. The idea of simply riding a market down that will lose 40% of its value and possibly more is investment insanity. There will be an endless number of victims who experience this fate. We can avoid this with careful planning.

    • @dangersmymiddlename6341
      @dangersmymiddlename6341 11 месяцев назад +1

      Thanks for your Crystal ball call

  • @letsgocnote85
    @letsgocnote85 9 месяцев назад

    Funny that Neil says millennials can do anything but to just focus and excel because that feels like the general tone of what we got growing up (millennials). The challenge being a paradox of choice perhaps. Too many options. It seems like the crisis creates focus by necessity. I think that is ultimately what we millennials lack...focus and the limited possibility that comes from making that choice.

  • @thousandaireradio3199
    @thousandaireradio3199 11 месяцев назад +1

    “Less foreign born workers”?, I’ll have that coke now and I don’t care if it cost double.

  • @stevo728822
    @stevo728822 11 месяцев назад

    Harking back to the past isn't going to make any difference.

  • @moda_crypto869
    @moda_crypto869 11 месяцев назад +1

    Great advice 57 mins.. Good luck to everyone the next few years. Buy Bitcoin be free

  • @RobWilliams007
    @RobWilliams007 11 месяцев назад +1

    Sorry Neil, Gavin Nuisance has no personality.

  • @johndamascus6039
    @johndamascus6039 11 месяцев назад +4

    I've been saying this for several years now, ever since I came across Howe in late 2019 to 2020 when he was making a circuit headlined by realvision: he doesn't actually say anything. Like nothing. If you need to read a book to understand that the trajectory of America has been moving in a certain direction, with all of its institutions, you're likely clueless and what's more, all of the people extolling this book prove that by talking about it glowingly. Again, he says absolutely nothing of actionable or real predictive value. "Things are increasingly bad, people." Uhh, I could have told you that, and a long time ago. Ironic that these two boomers/Gen X bring up GK Chesterton here and gloss over the fact that when you lose sight of Jesus Christ, of course chaos comes ... something they'd never talk about publicly, even if they knew anything about him, or acted in accordance with His examples and teachings.

  • @GenX1964
    @GenX1964 10 месяцев назад

    28:00 😅l So True. For now we'll just play Pickleball and ignore the major issues.
    Pickleball pic🥒kle🟡 you may recall is the game early GenX co-invented when we were barely old enough to walk. Forgot about for 50 years. Now strangely it's ALL we want to do. DR. FREUD! DR. JUNG! 😆 🤣
    If a cute 50 year old asks you if you dink she's not hitting on you! For real. 🙄 She's just asking if you can hit a soft shot. 😆

  • @10317
    @10317 11 месяцев назад +3

    Oh I m not sure about this podcast because in the states 10,000 boomers are retiring a day. Even with a slow down the jobs are still going to have to be filled.
    There is a lot of doom and gloom on the net.
    Personally I’m not seeing people being unhappy or not employed.
    Our politicians or political party are not good but it’s a reflection of us.
    If you don’t like it then change it. Meaning vote wisely and for heaven sake vote incumbents out. If you don’t like the next electors then vote them out too.

  • @geekmeister3997
    @geekmeister3997 11 месяцев назад +8

    Great video. Thank you both for the true insight into the future of hell we are going into. I smelled this shit in 2019. The Government decided to print their way out of it. I moved rural and moved into an RV. I believe shit is gonna hit the fan and you both have verified that for me. May God Bless the both of you.😀

    • @HighlanderGeoff
      @HighlanderGeoff 11 месяцев назад +1

      *smelt*

    • @BOULDERGEEK
      @BOULDERGEEK 11 месяцев назад +2

      I sold all propery off at relative highs in 2021, went to ETFs and offshore investment. I'm going expat to cheaper emerging economies. We had to spend $6000 a month in the US for two people, cooking at home and using barter system for food. Now, $2000 a month gets us good living abroad.

    • @shadowling77777
      @shadowling77777 10 месяцев назад

      @@BOULDERGEEKnoice

  • @Ibis-of-Equilon
    @Ibis-of-Equilon 9 месяцев назад

    The book is incomprehensible

  • @robertlevi3202
    @robertlevi3202 11 месяцев назад

    Why is Neil laughing about the young people being broke as fuck ?

  • @EBM4545
    @EBM4545 11 месяцев назад +1

    Is it the people not trusting instutions or is it that instutions are not trustworthy, cause those are two different things😢

  • @sundanceks5074
    @sundanceks5074 11 месяцев назад +6

    Delusional, raming around jumping from one thing to another accomplishing nothing is what I see still.

    • @TheDavidlloydjones
      @TheDavidlloydjones 11 месяцев назад

      "Raming"?
      You know those three dots off there on the right lead to an "edit" function, don't you?

  • @RobWilliams007
    @RobWilliams007 11 месяцев назад

    Hey, I’m an older, hardware owner and Trump voter. Now get off my lawn!

  • @mmm-mq3zr
    @mmm-mq3zr 11 месяцев назад +6

    I S R A E L I S A N
    A P A R T H E I D
    S T A T E

    • @greorbowlfinder7078
      @greorbowlfinder7078 11 месяцев назад

      Led by a racist and genocidal maniac too.

    • @mwqs1
      @mwqs1 11 месяцев назад +1

      Lmao😂

    • @MrTCela
      @MrTCela 11 месяцев назад +1

      If that was true how come 20% of its citizens are non Jewish?! That’s your opinion, but is not based on reality so go and learn or hit the wall

    • @timkrouse345
      @timkrouse345 11 месяцев назад

      ...and?

    • @fibervector6734
      @fibervector6734 11 месяцев назад +1

      ISRAEL is the State U dreamed of living in, but Not welcomed. It's a part of INDIA 🇮🇳 ♥️

  • @3506Dodge
    @3506Dodge 11 месяцев назад

    This is a boomer and a gen z wanting things to fall apart. How boomer and gen z.

  • @douglasgarth
    @douglasgarth 11 месяцев назад +2

    The new great hope is AI and robots growing the "labor pool", production, GDP so people won't have to work as much. Which will it be? Bounty for all without work, revisit the 1930"s depression or a new Dystopian Authoritarian nightmare?

  • @FiguraTheChancellor
    @FiguraTheChancellor 11 месяцев назад

    Normie alert.

  • @pd2152
    @pd2152 11 месяцев назад

    Are you saying all this woke crap is okay?

  • @jweh4421
    @jweh4421 10 месяцев назад

    Bidenomics......

  • @billandpech
    @billandpech 11 месяцев назад +1

    🎉 This guy is not impressive.

  • @marcv2648
    @marcv2648 11 месяцев назад +1

    This is complete nonsense. This simplistic theory doesn't hold water. Yeah, a lot of stuff has been going on, but this theory doesn't explain it.