Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 03:58 The Apprenticeship Of An Empirical Skeptic 06:31 Yevgenia’s Black Swan 06:58 The Speculator And The Prostitute 11:05 One Thousand And One Days, Or How Not To Be A Sucker 13:19 Confirmation Shmonfirmation! 16:14 The Narrative Fallacy 19:30 Living In The Antechamber Of Hope 22:09 Giacomo Casanova’s Unfailing Luck: The Problem Of Silent Evidence 26:38 The Ludic Fallacy, or the Uncertainty Of The Nerd 29:48 The Scandale Of Prediction 34:17 How To Look For Bird Poop 38:54 Epistemocracy, A Dream 41:33 Appelles The Painter, Or What Do You Do If You Cannot Predict? 45:13 From Mediocristan To Extremistan, And Black 48:06 The Bell Curve, That Great Intellectual Fraud 50:07 The Aesthetics Of Randomness 51:40 The Uncertainty Of The Phony 52:24 Half And Half, Or How To Get Even With The Black Swan 53:15 Epilogue
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
03:58 The Apprenticeship Of An Empirical Skeptic
06:31 Yevgenia’s Black Swan
06:58 The Speculator And The Prostitute
11:05 One Thousand And One Days, Or How Not To Be A Sucker
13:19 Confirmation Shmonfirmation!
16:14 The Narrative Fallacy
19:30 Living In The Antechamber Of Hope
22:09 Giacomo Casanova’s Unfailing Luck: The Problem Of Silent Evidence
26:38 The Ludic Fallacy, or the Uncertainty Of The Nerd
29:48 The Scandale Of Prediction
34:17 How To Look For Bird Poop
38:54 Epistemocracy, A Dream
41:33 Appelles The Painter, Or What Do You Do If You Cannot Predict?
45:13 From Mediocristan To Extremistan, And Black
48:06 The Bell Curve, That Great Intellectual Fraud
50:07 The Aesthetics Of Randomness
51:40 The Uncertainty Of The Phony
52:24 Half And Half, Or How To Get Even With The Black Swan
53:15 Epilogue
Highly simplified thanks
Amazing
Rodriguez Richard Walker Helen Taylor Melissa
Johnson Brian Walker Karen Jones Patricia
I’m😮