The fear is that climate change, in 10 years, will make the Persian Gulf one of the hottest areas in the world, with temperatures reaching 50 to 60 degrees Celsius combined with high humidity.
1, 2, 3. applies perfectly to Dubai. 4 no, too difficult to get mortgages for too many people. 1) I do not believe Dubai will be able in such a short time (4.8 million people in 15 years? No way). So yes bubble there is
Your points are quite thought-provoking, especially regarding the challenges around mortgages and population growth projections for Dubai. While I agree that rapid population growth to 4.8 million within 15 years might seem ambitious, it’s worth noting that Dubai has consistently defied conventional expectations in terms of development and migration trends. The mortgage situation, however, does present a valid constraint, as financing accessibility plays a crucial role in sustaining long-term growth. Still, the city’s strategy often hinges on attracting high-net-worth individuals and foreign investment, which could mitigate some of these challenges. As for the bubble concern, it’s a legitimate consideration, but I’d argue that Dubai’s government has shown a degree of resilience and adaptability in managing its economic cycles. The next few years will be telling, as much depends on how external factors like global interest rates and investor confidence align with local policies.
@TheInvestmentDealDubai bubble doesn't mean always catastrophic consequences: for example prices will not grow anymore and stay put (so reduced by inflation over time) and/or reducing for some years ((3-4-5 usually, depending again by inflation levels and other factors).
Thank you for sharing your perspective! You’re absolutely right that a “bubble” doesn’t always result in catastrophic consequences. A stabilization of prices or moderate corrections over time can also be potential outcomes in a dynamic market like Dubai. Regarding your point about inflation, it’s true that inflation can play a significant role in how price adjustments are perceived over time, especially in markets with strong external investment influences. Dubai’s ability to navigate these factors while maintaining its growth strategy will indeed be critical in determining the longer-term market trajectory.
Nice brief description 👌
Thanks 🙂
The fear is that climate change, in 10 years, will make the Persian Gulf one of the hottest areas in the world, with temperatures reaching 50 to 60 degrees Celsius combined with high humidity.
1, 2, 3. applies perfectly to Dubai. 4 no, too difficult to get mortgages for too many people. 1) I do not believe Dubai will be able in such a short time (4.8 million people in 15 years? No way). So yes bubble there is
Your points are quite thought-provoking, especially regarding the challenges around mortgages and population growth projections for Dubai. While I agree that rapid population growth to 4.8 million within 15 years might seem ambitious, it’s worth noting that Dubai has consistently defied conventional expectations in terms of development and migration trends.
The mortgage situation, however, does present a valid constraint, as financing accessibility plays a crucial role in sustaining long-term growth. Still, the city’s strategy often hinges on attracting high-net-worth individuals and foreign investment, which could mitigate some of these challenges.
As for the bubble concern, it’s a legitimate consideration, but I’d argue that Dubai’s government has shown a degree of resilience and adaptability in managing its economic cycles. The next few years will be telling, as much depends on how external factors like global interest rates and investor confidence align with local policies.
@TheInvestmentDealDubai bubble doesn't mean always catastrophic consequences: for example prices will not grow anymore and stay put (so reduced by inflation over time) and/or reducing for some years ((3-4-5 usually, depending again by inflation levels and other factors).
Thank you for sharing your perspective! You’re absolutely right that a “bubble” doesn’t always result in catastrophic consequences. A stabilization of prices or moderate corrections over time can also be potential outcomes in a dynamic market like Dubai.
Regarding your point about inflation, it’s true that inflation can play a significant role in how price adjustments are perceived over time, especially in markets with strong external investment influences. Dubai’s ability to navigate these factors while maintaining its growth strategy will indeed be critical in determining the longer-term market trajectory.
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