I stumbled across this truth but did not know what to do about it. I could calculate that the pricing was poor for my trade but could not get the formula. Truly an amazing find. Thanks for the amazing information.
Loving all your training videos and podcast. You make everything so simple to understand and inspiring to listen to. I am paper trading in TOS, but hope to feel comfortable to be trading in real money in the next 6 months. Your videos are awesome!
This video is very very helpful. I've been wondering about this issue for some time now and now I got all of the answers. Just one tip - you should the word "expectency" somewhere in the title so people could find it. I was looking for information on expectency with options for a long time and couldn't find anything.
What about the credit you receive? should not that push your break even down in the case of put spreads and up in the case of call spreads? That should lead to slightly better ITM probabilities than those implied by the short strikes
Yes of course and that always is the "icing on the cake". I teach it the way above as described in the video because it's simple math for most to understand an easy way to help filter trades.
You're not including the commission in your credit formula because it obviously varies. However, your (credit received) should include commission, correct?
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I stumbled across this truth but did not know what to do about it. I could calculate that the pricing was poor for my trade but could not get the formula. Truly an amazing find. Thanks for the amazing information.
Very good information. This is a must for anyone who trades options.
Glad it helped and thanks for the comment!
Loving all your training videos and podcast. You make everything so simple to understand and inspiring to listen to. I am paper trading in TOS, but hope to feel comfortable to be trading in real money in the next 6 months. Your videos are awesome!
Awesome great to hear thanks Monica!
Hi Kirk
This is excellent information.
What would the approximate IV, where a vertical spread becomes profitable please ?
They are profitable long-term on nearly all volatility levels but just generate more income per trade during higher IVRanks.
This video is very very helpful. I've been wondering about this issue for some time now and now I got all of the answers. Just one tip - you should the word "expectency" somewhere in the title so people could find it. I was looking for information on expectency with options for a long time and couldn't find anything.
Gotcha thanks Or and glad the video helped!
What about the credit you receive? should not that push your break even down in the case of put spreads and up in the case of call spreads? That should lead to slightly better ITM probabilities than those implied by the short strikes
Yes of course and that always is the "icing on the cake". I teach it the way above as described in the video because it's simple math for most to understand an easy way to help filter trades.
+Option Alpha awesome thanks a lot!!
You're not including the commission in your credit formula because it obviously varies. However, your (credit received) should include commission, correct?
Yes you should net your commissions out of the credit received.