Hindustan Unilever Stock to become a Multibagger again? | Fundamental Analysis | Akshat Shrivastava
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- Опубликовано: 28 апр 2024
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Is Hindustan Unilever stock done for?
What does its future look like?
Watch the video till the end to understand the analysis:)
PLEASE NOTE: THIS IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN DUE DILIGENCE
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nov 2021 me ye wala stock suggest kiya tha , 3 sal hone ko hai aur abhi tak negative me chal raha hai
@@risikeshdeshmukh2619sach main?
He is a good orator though.
Keep Making Videos on Bajaj Finance Till it Rises to ₹8000.😂
As your videos get around 2Lakh Views & around 10% of them buy it the Next Day i.e. 20,000 people will buy 5 to 10 quantity. So there will be at least a buying of 100 to 200 Crores. 😂 SEBI officials kahi aap ye comment to nahi padh rahi ho😂.
Plz advise some stocks under 300
Even defensive players have to score runs . Even defensive stocks have to grow in terms of sales and profits . Good ROE and ROCE cannot help you lifelong . 10 years ago we operated in different world . We were less that usd 1.5 trillion economy . This stock would work .
Purchasing a stock may seem straightforward, but selecting the correct stock without a proven strategy can be exceedingly challenging. I've been working on expanding my $210K portfolio for a while, and my primary obstacle is the lack of clear entry and exit strategies. Any advice on this matter would be greatly appreciated.
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
Laila artine kassardjian' is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.
23 mins in 1 min - HUL hsnt run in past 5 years. Its in time correction. It shd run 40-50% in next 5 years . Its a defensive stock. They are able to protect their profit margins. Indians are using Rin soap to wash head. One or the other day they will use HUL shampoo. So it will run.
This is wat is called "CUT THE LONG STORY SHORT"❤
😂😂
Thanks man😂
I'm investor of Hul and accumulating on dips.
@@om845meaning you're accumulating from last 5 years😂
Thank you so much
I hope the time you saved for so many people gets added to your life.
Recently bought some recommended stocks and now they are just penny stocks. There seems to be more negative portfolios in the last 3rd half of 2023 with markets tumbling, soaring inflation, and banks going out of business. My concern is how can the rapid interest-rate hike be of favor to a value investor, or is it better avoiding stocks for a while?
Just ''buy the dip'' man. In the long term it will payoff. High interest rates usually mean lower stock prices, however investors should be cautious of the bull run, its best you connect with a well-qualified adviser to meet your growth goals and avoid blunder
The truth is that this is really not as difficult as many people presume it to be. It requires a certain level of diligence, no doubt, which is something ordinary investors lack, and so a financial advisor often comes in very handy. My friend just pulled in more than $84k last month alone from his investment with his advisor. That is how people are able to make such huge profits in the market
nice! once you hit a big milestone, the next comes easier.. who is your advisor please, if you don't mind me asking?
ANGELA LYNN SCHILLING' is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
Thank you for this tip. It was easy to find your coach. Did my due diligence on her before scheduling a phone call with her. She seems proficient considering her resume.
AMS59K is my biggest investment
00:01 HUL stock expected to revive for good returns
01:59 HUL stock technical pattern and potential returns
03:56 HUL stock performance and relation with Unilever PLC
06:05 HUL showing healthy revenue and profit growth
08:17 Hindustan Unilever is a defensive stock
10:13 Consider holding Hindustan Unilever stock for long-term growth.
12:12 HUL stock expected to grow based on fundamentals
14:26 Hindustan Unilever's revenue growth is driven by price increase, not quantity
16:30 HUL managing supplier pricing and protecting profit margins amidst poor consumer demand.
18:25 Hindustan Unilever is expected to benefit from the return of consumer demand in India.
20:12 HUL's premium Beauty business growing rapidly
21:57 Investing in Hindustan Unilever is a defensive move for a well-balanced portfolio.
Crafted by Merlin AI.
Bhagwan tera bhala kare😊
@@asa6496 needed
Thanks Yogu. Sho shweet.
We need to protect the man like you! Really appreciate your efforts pal.
Thank you bro
12:50
Even Akshat Shrivastava has been buying HUL share since 2450rs & on top of that he has ability & money to deploy even 10 crores in HUL share in case if it fall another 10-15% or beyond that, which is definitely not practically possible for any small investors like us
People knew very well that Akshat Shrivastava started discussing about HUL when it was over 2400rs to 2450rs, not last month or last year, but he started discussing about HUL share way back in early 2021, now it's been over 3 years but HUL share not only underperformed Nifty 50, but also not generated even 1% to HUL shareholders (excluding dividend). Of course from this point it "might" even go 40% or 50% also, but still not beaten Nifty 50's returns over the last 1 year, 3 years or in 5 years time period
But, Akshat Shrivastava keep on making video about HUL left - right - centre, moreover he is not discussing something new, but the same points which he said during Mid of 2021 (Rin, Dove, Boost, Horlicks, Tresemme, Magnum, 3 roses, Surf Excel etc... are household products of HUL), it might be a feel good moment for the shareholders as they are one of the owners of HUL which is the company that manufactures almost every household products in FMCG, but at the end of the day any shareholder invest in a company purely for one reason "returns", which is completely missing in HUL for over 5 years. HUL moving 20% or 30% from current levels doesn't mean the stock has done well compared to Nifty 50, in fact Nifty 50 has clearly outperformed HUL in almost all time frames
and he talk it as a multibagger
Regardless of how many market leading products HUL has in it's bucket, none of their products have more than 8-10% growth in business.
I choose Nifty50, and BankNifty over HUL. I hv few HUL but prefer ITC instead
Bro but stock knows that it has to move in channel 😂😂😂
HUL can make an up move and reach 4000 and remain in stagnation for another 5 years. If you own HUL and you are not satisfied, then you don't understand in the first place why you own this stock.
To the moon with Eledator!
I found it's history interesting.
2000-2010 - 10% increase only
2010-2015 - 250% increase
2015-2017 - 5% decrease
2017-2021 - 220% increase
2021-2024 - 20% decrease.
Could give another run up. But super difficult to say when it'd do so. Going by the history, there is a small chance that it may stay sideways for even a decade.
It would be better if 2017-2020 & 2020-2025 are 2 categories considering the fact during COVID a decent fall would have occurred
@@apoorvgunjanpathak1468 no, I checked that. The 2020 covid fall as well as the recovery come under 2017-2021 and stock had hit all time high in 2021. The fall post 2021 doesn't have much to do with covid.
Akshat this is HDFC Bank of FMCG. You have covered it many times. In India growth story there are many stocks other than HUL.
Engaging in active trading versus long-term investing requires unique strategies for maximizing returns. Active trading involves frequent buying and selling of securities, aiming to capitalize on short term market fluctuations. On the other hand, long-term investing focuses on holding assets over an extended period, leveraging the power of compounding.
Competition was less at that time. Now multiple companies entered into this segment ...
Sure, it can be a multi-bagger again. But how many years would it take ? The point is that there is no risk in holding HUL, but the rate at which it is growing its sales, there is no certainty that it will give a run up any time soon. But I can be wrong. There are many smaller FMCG companies that are growing sales very fast, which actually means that they are gaining market shares. Investors are going there. People like Akshat who has a large portfolio can hold HUL type stocks for as many years as he wants. But ordinary investors who have very small capital to invest will miss many good opportunities by holding HUL type stocks.
Spot on!
Stock price depends on future prospects of the company, not what they are presently doing. And hul doesn't have any future prospects
Absolutely correct. I have a small portfolio and have hold HUL since 3 years with negative gains. What I understand is that, the time to entry is very important for any stock, and even HUL. Seems like HUL is consolidated for long time now, and inflation also might come down in subsequent months, so it can be a good time to enter and then gradually increase the stake.
Maybe this has been asked multiple times before - how do you compare investing in HUL v/s COLPAL.
Do COLPAL / Gillette / PGHH also qualify as "defensive" stocks?
I hold fair qty of both HUL and ITC - should I consider moving part of this into, say, COLPAL (My risk apetite is "low" to at best "moderate")
BTW - I am very happy with the dividends from both HUL and ITC so no issues there🙂
We need more videos like these. Appreciate your attention to detail with charts and balance sheet
The stocks that pose a real threat to ITC and HUL are the umbrella companies, i.e. Tata Consumer Products and Reliance. Esp. Reliance has the most potential with the ability to influence the in-store product placements in their chain of retail stores. Also the online stores and quick grocery apps, these players own, could help with the data necessary to learn about user preferences and ad placement.
Tata consumer is foods only .. HUL is moving away but hopefully they will find a spot where they can add to foods portfolio which is in sync with global..UL selling icecream which in india is doing great .let's see how they handle this . I think they need to have an EM portfolio that india drives and a develop markets portfolio which UK drives
@@adesaia well, a company from Tata group has announced that they will enter into beauty products. Not sure about the status of it. But yeah, it might not come under TCP. But they might reshuffle these company into one sub umbrella in the future.
Hi Akshat, one thing that you should consider while analysing is emergence of Small Boutique Companies in the FMCG space. No one company can take on HUL, however small brands, operating in niche categories are rapidly expanding, For example, The Minimalist, Bombay Shaving Company, Plum.
Could the consolidation be due to emergence of new Competition that is emerging due to easy entry of brands leveraging the Distribution of E-Commerce and quick commerce?
Superb Analysis, Thank You Bro
Thanks Akshat. Very nicely described----!
Hi by viewing your video I understand that putting money in ITC would be more prudent then HUL
Check Captain Polyplast, CPL share is also going in power generation, what kind of share is there in solar power?????
Thanks @Akshatzayn.. we keep hearing that consumer demand is weak and it will pick up, but what will trigger this consumer demand? what events will likely help consumer demand going up?
which platform can be used to get good chart analysis, like here we can draw lines and calculate percentage difference
I have made only one decision based on his advice and that's Kotak Mahindra Bank, am 13 % down right now, i don't know much about market so am still gonna hold it for 2-3 yrs as he said, but I don't think we can trust these videos
Great detailing. Answers everything
There has been a revision in the royalty given by Hindustan lever to parent company to the extent of 4% of sales it's a big number Akshat should have talked about that also
Hi Akshat. What are the other defensive stocks other than HUL and ITC?
Hi Akshat,have experience of +15 years of FMCG Distribution HUL distribution system facing problems from many years.They are reducing margins of DBs so Distribution going weeker and canabalism by other brands happening as giving margins to DBs and Retailers so can't bet on HUL.aab yeah pehle vala HUL nahi rha
How much percentage of portfolio should a moderately risky investor should consider for defencive stocks like HUL
Sir aapke bolne pe HUL & HDFC BANK lerakha hai ...patiently waiting frm 3 yrs but no returns
I'm holding string fundamental stocks,,,, If market falls,, I don't panic,,,, so why should I have defensive stocks??
I'm seeing some undervalued fundamentally strong stocks then why should I have defensive stocks??
i purchased at 2500 after listening to a tv analyst that it will move 50 % but its has fallen and now the other tv analyst which i follow have said that if it dont close above 2250 then it will fall till 1800. so i had stopped accumulating more ... though the targets are more but waiting for 1800 levels and if levels dont come then will sell which i purchased earlier.
Very good analysis as always 👍👍
Its interesting to compare HUL and Nestle, both are FMCG MNCs but Nestle has been able grow sales better than HUL and that reflects in the share price growth for both. How come the consumer demand issue has not affected Nestle to that extent as HUL?
Lower base in terms of market penetration for most of their product categories. It's still not easy to find Nescafe in a small town, but you can get a Bru sachet even in a tea shop. Good luck finding Everyday dairy whitener. It's easier to spot a cow. Remember when Nestle Munch used to be widely availabe, but not Nestle Kitkat? (Higer margin probably) As Per Mr. Narayanan Kitkat has become the popular choice for kids in the rural India. Their numbers say that they're gradually gaining traction in the rural areas. They're also increasing capacity to address the market.
Probably becoz of Nan Pro & Maggie alone.
Number of working women have increased. Thus breast feeding is no longer feasible.
And babies love Nan Pro compared to Formula Milk of other brands.
And Maggie still rocks among all age groups
I'm buying HUL on dips. Pe ratio is about 51.
@AkshatZayn I booked the HYD event ticket but haven't received the details. Can you look into this please.
Will there be any investment summit in Bangalore? Please hit like folks from Bangalore so that Akshat can think of one in Bangalore.
Hi Akshat,
Really a great deepdive analysis. I wanted to know one thing, At @15:30 you said volume issues, how can I find the quantities sold during the years?
Dear Akshat Your recommendation SBI cards has given -2.6% returns in last 6 months
Hi Akshay, I may not have full knowledge to ask this question, but pls allow me to ask it. As per you, the stock is consolidating aroubd the same price since 4 years so there are chances to become a multibagger stock? If this is correct, how come the PE is still 50 instead of 20?
U need inflation/ rates to be consistently below 4% before disposable income can be allocated in rural and urban India for staples for middle class and lowerincome groups. Still no evidence of that happening .
Hey, Akshat... you said that the quantity of HUL products didn't icrease, only prices are increased so, why the OPM is still the same?
Agree with you but the debt is increasing in the company and Cash flow from Financing and investing indicates they are expanding but it is not showing anywhere.
Your views considered it or not, I can’t figure out
Does hindustan Unilever have organic products, and they still use sodium laural sulphate in its soaps, which is usually contaminated with 1,4 dioxane a carcinogen.
Given the current generation is more knowledgeable about what products they use and the push towards organic and chemical free products and the slowness of HUL adapting to these changes combined with the rise of brands like mamaearth, plum etc HUL products may go out of favour with consumers
Thanks for let us know that
What about huls other products ditergent tea powder home utensils which have major revenue
FMCG professional here : They key point missed in FMCGs like HUL is are they able to deliver volumetric growth without diluting their margins ? Due to inflation, products like toothpastes shampoos have increase prices by 7-8% each year since Covid, so revenue growth here doesn’t make sense. The organic consumption has not increased and the rise of many organised local players threaten the market share of giants like HUL.
Thank you Akshat for such a wonderful detailed Video. I am already holding it. WIll add more.
That's what this Akshat wants...he wants u to add more....so once the share price increase he wil sell
Haan bhai, iske buy karne se hi toh price increase hogi
What is your suggestion for next year's performance
Return Over 1 Year: -11.8%
Your opinion on Indian oil stock results which shows a decline in Profit, scope of improvement is there or its a sell stock. Pls do comment
With the rise of startup culture, numerous new companies have entered the FMCG sector. Leveraging e-commerce platforms, they are generating substantial revenue. I believe HUL may struggle to further penetrate this market, as growth is likely to remain constrained by inflation and price hikes.
I have a little different p.o.v on practical front. HUL products are already overly expensive. The point Akshat mentioned.. 40 units only they have been selling .. might actually go down .. i feel hul only going up if they find new revenue streams .. as mentioned by Akshat
That's time for buying for long term as I'm buying every month,, HUL&HAL
Same old HUL, HDFC, IDFC First....Which you keep on buying and thumping around in your videos.
*HUL has big plans and large investments to make in Palm Oil cultivation in Andhra state government*
Akshat which is better Hul or ITC
Good analysis. But if you take from 2000 to 2010 HUL gave zero returns. There were two recessions during that period. From 2010 to 2020 it gave a 9x. Again from 2020 it is not giving any returns. All this while revenue and profit increasing. So what could be the reason?
No fundamental analysis, no balance sheets , no cash flow statement, no income statement, just sir’s “macroeconomic perspective “ and technical analysis. To be honest I don’t understand charts at all.
i sometimes think you are doing pump and dump always comes up with stocks which are not moving and may be you are holding all these stocks maybe i am wrong but quite possible
Hi Akshat, Thanks for this informational content.
Akshat. I admire your video. But I believe there is one vital point you omitted here. Earlier large FMCG companies used to create nexus with distributers, so that small FMCS companies cannot send their products to retail stores. But with advent of e-commerce, that barrier is gone. Now HUL's competitor is not only ITC, they also need to compete with Bombay shaving, Arata, Beardo etc. I think this online only brands are eating margins for large established FMCG.
Great🎉
I got excited reading subtitle! 💯
HUL is def not a multibagger .. title is only to attract views
Pls arrange such meet up at Kolkata also. Would love to learn.
You read my mind❤
Time correction is leading to a realistic PE for HUL .Regional companies and Reliance consumer will eat market share.
My Summary: The time to entry is very important for any stock, and even HUL. Seems like HUL is consolidated for long time now, and inflation also might come down in subsequent months, so it can be a good time to enter and then gradually increase the stake.
This is why a well diversified large portfolio works.
HUL at current levels after 2-3 years of consolidation is a good buy from a long term perspective. (Long term means minimum 5 years, not 5 months or 1 years)
Akshat makes great videos and more importantly I think he makes good money too in stocks. Thats most important.
Remember my friends, stock markets are ideal for long term fundamental stocks investors who have patience and are looking to take advantage of power of compounding and stay invested for 30-50-70 years. ❤
We are not denying your hypothesis Akshat. But the core questions is, "is it going to outperform the nifty"?
What is the point of taking this stock, if this generate 50% return in next 5 years. Whereas, the Nifty generates 12-13% Annual approximately doubling your money in 6 years or so.
Relaxo bhi Srivastawa Sir ka hi recommendation tha but stock doob hi gaya.
FMCG stocks will only increase when the rural consumption goes up. As per the consumption data released, the rural consumption is decreasing , once that picks up FMCG sector stocks will go up !!
I was a vendor in one of the coffee plants and management and engineers in HUL are very professional and well run
Hi Akshat, what do you think about Raymonds?
Maybe it will go up because of technical pattern but profit was 1-5% cagr. What is good in that.
HUL did a bad thing recently of increasing royalty for their parent company
dates for mumbai meet?
Since Sep 2022, the Qtrly revenue and Operating profits is the same no growth is happening and I think that's what is getting reflected in the share price of HUL...
Hello Akshat: Kindly consider Delhi NCR also for your in person sessions. Looking forward to join the same.
Akshat kindly plz do consider once again for Hyderabad,as seats were full
Hi!
Can you please analyse and comment about Astrmicro and Zen technologies?
so basically you are stuck in this stock lol
He is always stuck in stocks which price is atleast in 4 digit😂
What is your view with marico stock
While I take your view that HUL is a solid defensive stock can be used for hedging, its not a multi bagger vis a vis tata consumer products (Tcpl).Yes you call this as an ITC type, but ITC share did not fall like HUL.Think that ITC is a better stock, either stable or gives decent returns in price & dividend wise!! In my opinion, because ITC products are in every area of consumption like food,snacks, etc(compared to HUL).Iam holding all the three, the returns for almost the same period of time,thus far is TCPL outstrips both ITC & HUL but yes, is more volatile within limits! Prefer to continue to hold, all three of these!!
Can someone tell me why his zerodha pnl does not open? I trusted him because of his transparency but seems like he's playing the same games as other finfluencers. Please advise
Akshat you have good fundamentals knowledge, could you make a video on how to select budget for car?
Does hindustan Unilever have organic products, and they still use sodium laural sulphate in its soaps, which is usually contaminated with 1,4 dioxane a carcinogen.
Given the current generation is more knowledgeable about what products they use and the push towards organic and chemical free products and the slowness of HUL adapting to these changes combined with the rise of brands like mamaearth, plum etc HUL products may ho out of favour with consumers
That SLS thing only urban population care that mostly womans majority population still won't pay for the premium....it won't hamper HUL fror next 5-10 years.
@AkshatZayn : Can you do a video on Smallcase? Will be great to know your views on it.
Sir ji iske liye HUL ko numbers achhe dikhane hoge. ITC ne achhe numbers dikhaye to bhaga break out ke bad. So only technicals se jump nhi ayega.
What about private players... I noticed in UL they see competition from private players and they provide much cheaper pricing compared to UL...
Bhai 54-55 ke pe multiple pe chal Raha hai
Is it not better to go for some other sector other than fmcg
This stock was one of the top investments in my portfolio. Seeing the way it performed in the last few years, I cut my stake by half. I will hold no matter how it performs for the next 5 years. Thinking that it will give outstanding returns in future though is nothing but wishful thinking.I find it really funny when people see charts and confidently predict long term future growth 😊
The way to end inflation is to end the counterfeiting.
Money creation without product creation is inflation.
Make investments to survive.
Can you please make small video on Your Join Button. When it will be renewed automatically after a month. Does it renews at start of the month? Or if join in middle of the month, does it renews after months end.?
Bro keeps buying hul and did not made any gains for few years similar to hdfc bnk.
Show returns in crypto fixed deposit in vauld please. Are u still selling them..
Does it good divident
Technical chart is very week. Safe buy only around 100MMA @1950. It has convincingly broken 50 MMA after 14 years.
i believe there are some stocks which are testing patience like itc and will give rocket growth in some time
Can you do a comparison of Hindustan Unilever vs Nestle India vs ITC?
Which one is the best stock to buy now?
Is it good to distribute the investment across these 3 companies, for diversification?
What about the GSK-HUL merger? seems they lost a lot of money on that and it turned out to be a bad bet.
I was waiting for this. Undertaker example too good.
Thanks Akshat. Aise hi HUL, ITC jaise stocks ki analysis karo. Kyuki tum jaha kisi stock pe bullish hue, wo wahi neeche jayega.
Very interesting Video…You have been an advocate of Hdfc life too…Can you please share your views on Hdfc life and broadly on the insurance market
Sir i still remember your investment in zomato at 48 or 49rs ... r u still holding the stock as i stopped following all market trends n influencers but could not turn my head on you sir ...from hyderabad