The Goldilocks Economy & The Biggest Risk to the Market Right Now - with Josh Brown | Prof G Markets

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  • Опубликовано: 26 сен 2024

Комментарии • 177

  • @tonysilke
    @tonysilke Месяц назад +71

    Same thing is playing out now, the stock market is currently filled with both overvaluation due to rapid gains and strong economic fundamentals justifying high valuations. Raises concern for my $600,000 portfolio going 8% up and 20% down. So is it better to hold on or sell off positions to hold cash?

    • @Nernst96
      @Nernst96 Месяц назад +2

      Markets have incorrectly priced in such a pivot six times over the last two years. This is why pointers from market experts are essential.

    • @PatrickLloyd-
      @PatrickLloyd- Месяц назад +1

      Investing Is more than reading quarterly reports. Learnt this from reading Peter Lynch's book. I believe there are people who do this for a living, and I just delegate the task to these professionals. That's how I make money from the market to be honest.

    • @PhilipDunk
      @PhilipDunk Месяц назад +1

      I've been getting suggestions to use one, but where and how to find one has been challenging, Can i reach out to the one you use?

    • @PatrickLloyd-
      @PatrickLloyd- Месяц назад +1

      Tracy Annette Webb is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..

    • @PhilipDunk
      @PhilipDunk Месяц назад

      I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an email shortly.

  • @patrickboyer4688
    @patrickboyer4688 4 месяца назад +20

    Wow, Josh was on fire. Love both your shows and especially the collaborations.

  • @steadfastanddomino
    @steadfastanddomino 4 месяца назад +13

    Josh's advice to make yourself useful is absolutely, 100% right on the nose. If you remember nothing else from this episode, remember that.

    • @Unbedingt0815
      @Unbedingt0815 4 месяца назад +3

      I agree it‘s great advice but should come with the addition to always look for more responsibility and knowing your value in negotiations. There are tons of people who got stuck with the shitty tasks.

  • @richardcurley1729
    @richardcurley1729 4 месяца назад +7

    Josh Brown at his best in this interview, IMHO. Credit to Josh and to the interviewers for that. I will rewatch this in a week or so there are so many good points made.

  • @LevelofClarity
    @LevelofClarity 4 месяца назад +43

    Two videos a week with Prof G and Ed is excellent. Keep up the great work, guys!

  • @Gola2844
    @Gola2844 4 месяца назад +5

    Josh is great. Glad to see him in this channel! Thanks guys!!!

  • @TUBEDOUT07
    @TUBEDOUT07 4 месяца назад +15

    Great point Josh on difference between Nvidia from Cisco stocks! Wow Josh has great market history knowledge!

  • @usazar
    @usazar 4 месяца назад +7

    The Compound and Prof. G is a venn diagram of all my financial media consumption

  • @drakeblessum3466
    @drakeblessum3466 4 месяца назад +15

    The #ProfG team is rolling! Keep the videos coming Ed and Scott🎉

  • @AsifurRahman957
    @AsifurRahman957 4 месяца назад +6

    Josh has amazing insights

  • @Debbie.Burton
    @Debbie.Burton 3 месяца назад +51

    I began working at 18, strived and grew my portfolio to $600k by 33. Recently, lost over 30% and want to mitigate risks. Also, planning to buy a home soon and want my portfolio to grow to a 7-figure ball park i can retire in 9 years. What should I do?

    • @HarrisRyan-oy8eo
      @HarrisRyan-oy8eo 3 месяца назад +7

      I don't think here is the place for personalized investment guidance. However, I suggest consulting with a reliable advisor like Azul to ensure appropriate retirement planning.

    • @benitabussell5053
      @benitabussell5053 3 месяца назад +4

      Adding JEPI and JEPQ is smart for retirement. As for staying committed to low-risk investments, it's all about balancing your risk tolerance with your long-term goals.

    • @A_francis
      @A_francis 3 месяца назад +3

      De-risk your portfolios, shore up your core holdings, and take some profits while balancing your portfolio allocations. I’d also suggest you go with a managed portfolio, but even those don’t perform so well, so it’s best you reach out to a proper fiduciary to guide you, that’s what works for my spouse and I. We've made over 80% capital growth minus dividends.

    • @BenTodd-fl8nv
      @BenTodd-fl8nv 3 месяца назад +3

      I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for financial advisors online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation?

    • @A_francis
      @A_francis 3 месяца назад +2

      *Sharon Lynne Hart* is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find her webpage and necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.

  • @Aziz__0
    @Aziz__0 3 месяца назад +3

    is it really worth investing in stocks in 2024, I’ve been on the sidelines watching the market for awhile and it seems to be pretty stagnant to me not that it matters because I’m in it for the long run, but how can one generate actual profit in this current market?

  • @jet4tv
    @jet4tv 4 месяца назад +5

    Josh is a ROCKSTAR!!!
    Amazing Info and interview guys!!!

  • @bradmtb1
    @bradmtb1 3 месяца назад +1

    Josh & Scott together...I could listen to them for hours.

  • @5sssnakeee3
    @5sssnakeee3 4 месяца назад +2

    Josh Brown is the most refreshing analyst in the industry. Always real talk.

  • @haydenr2229
    @haydenr2229 4 месяца назад +6

    Great video guys. Loving the substantive discussion and hot takes all around

  • @mattinterweb
    @mattinterweb 4 месяца назад +3

    Great episode this one.

  • @sandiloumac2778
    @sandiloumac2778 3 месяца назад +1

    Best quote: "Chris Hemsworth. He’s really handsome. They brought up the entire cast in front of the audience. Standing next to him they all looked like defects. They all looked like the factory is supposed to produce “him”. And they produce these things that you have to send back to the factory."

  • @leehettig
    @leehettig 4 месяца назад +3

    Love to 2x week guys. Thank you.
    Don't love the advertising plugs throughout.
    One at the beginning, one at the end. fair.
    But sprinkled throughout is super F**ing annoying.
    "you can just forward past them"
    Thing is, so many of us listen to this walking, working, driving etc and cannot easily pull our phone out to just skip past.
    I really hate that I pay for youtube premium only to get force fed adds by content creators.
    On the flip side, I could just stop listening to Prog G. So cry me a river I get it.
    I'll keep listening until the resentment gets too big.
    Still love the show. Just wish there was another way to monetize.

  • @DylanFlorence-j2k
    @DylanFlorence-j2k 4 месяца назад +18

    If you're looking for short term opportunities i would recommend you speak with Sam an advisor who has a good idea of stocks.

  • @shalombethefire
    @shalombethefire 4 месяца назад +1

    Great show and valuable discussions around the market, thanks Scott.

  • @michaelskyros8803
    @michaelskyros8803 4 месяца назад +1

    Just keep buying, DCA for the win.

  • @mt5670
    @mt5670 3 месяца назад

    Josh is one of the best and brightest minds on the street. Throws it down Long Island style

  • @SamEbby
    @SamEbby 4 месяца назад +1

    I love Josh Brown

  • @soysauceboy2023
    @soysauceboy2023 3 месяца назад

    Josh is the best

  • @duskrider1724
    @duskrider1724 4 месяца назад +9

    Had anyone beaten the S&P 500 by investing in Fundrise?

    • @Wizrady
      @Wizrady 4 месяца назад +3

      Doubt it

    • @kyleolson9636
      @kyleolson9636 4 месяца назад +2

      Of course they have. Plenty of active fund managers have beat the S&P 500, just like plenty of people have won the lottery.
      A better question would be what are the average returns of fundrise customers. Give all other research on the topic I sincerely doubt they have beaten the S&P 500, especially after fees.

    • @NichoD3
      @NichoD3 4 месяца назад +2

      I looked into it about 2 years ago, it never made sense to me and i felt like i could get much better results elsewhere.

    • @christianfleury1522
      @christianfleury1522 4 месяца назад

      Statistically 50% should have beaten the average 😊.

    • @kyleolson9636
      @kyleolson9636 4 месяца назад

      ​@@christianfleury1522 Only if results are normally distributed. If 3 people make $1 and 1 person makes $10, only 25% of them beat the average.
      And stock market returns are rarely normally distributed. In 2023 72% of S&P 500 companies underperformed the index. The Magnificent 7 tech stocks represented nearly 70% of the entire S&P 500's gains.

  • @dianedean4170
    @dianedean4170 4 месяца назад +1

    🎉💥💫Scott hits the bullseye when he describes the corporate perspective as risk return and take it or leave it when you are at bat for your team.🎉😂❤
    I really appreciate Ed's interview skills. Ed is a terrific role model for how to learn and earn🎉😮❤
    Josh is describing signals v. noise and we are part of a global network. Americans have a very strong tendency to approach tasks with an athletic push and pull drive including where they can store their money. Investing is a contact sport and other countries are implementing more athletic practices. 😊🎉❤

  • @joealtamuro
    @joealtamuro 3 месяца назад

    I like that Josh referenced the Greenspan Briefcase! They would play the song “Mr Big Stuff” while showing him entering the building 😀

  • @regi7087
    @regi7087 4 месяца назад +4

    Prof G is an Arsenal fan, go gunners

  • @jonjansky
    @jonjansky 4 месяца назад +1

    Well done, thank you.

  • @jOasisTX
    @jOasisTX Месяц назад

    Josh sounds optimistic. We've got high prices and lagging wages - on top of continuing layoffs, thus even less incentive for upward looking wages. Interest rates are high for modern history, further disincentivizing money flow... simply supply balancing out with demand. It's designed this way guys.. the next 6-12 months could look a little crazy.

  • @andrewhart6200
    @andrewhart6200 4 месяца назад +2

    I hope you will speak on Biden criticizing JP Morgan and the Hidden Fees nonsense - Godspeed to the kids Uncle doing the RIGHT THING!

  • @dshephardcomposer
    @dshephardcomposer 4 месяца назад +2

    "Aliens" was a great movie. A thrilling action movie. No doubt at all. However, I disagree with Scott saying it was better than "Alien." The first "Alien" movie was a visionary film that SHOCKED audiences with its terror, its art design, its visuals, its production and of course its directing and cinematography. It was a watershed moment in cinematic history. The scene where John Hurt dies while eating spaghetti still haunts every viewer (including this viewer) to this day. It introduced audiences, for the first time, to one of the greatest "villains" in all of fiction - the alien, the most perfect and terrifying predator imaginable. "Aliens" was a thrilling roller-coaster ride. "Alien" changed cinema forever.

  • @sameluckyguy
    @sameluckyguy 4 месяца назад +1

    Great discussion

  • @LouiseMurray-hy6ek
    @LouiseMurray-hy6ek 4 месяца назад +1

    Great video guys.

  • @NateGelman
    @NateGelman 4 месяца назад +1

    Great content as always

  • @kaifjamal6265
    @kaifjamal6265 4 месяца назад

    COYG we got PROF G backing us now! Let's win it next season

  • @kurtnunn6116
    @kurtnunn6116 4 месяца назад +2

    I thought Cisco was bulletproof back then

  • @JeffreyGSmith
    @JeffreyGSmith 4 месяца назад +1

    What microphones do you two use? Thanks.

  • @MrChuckshick
    @MrChuckshick 4 месяца назад

    Great job Josh.

  • @Qambar44
    @Qambar44 4 месяца назад

    That line about asking about the dog, and being called one online gave me a good chuckle 😂

  • @missyleger
    @missyleger 4 месяца назад

    Great conversation with Josh!

  • @JongGoh
    @JongGoh 4 месяца назад +5

    Downtown Josh on Prof G? Let me get my cuppa of coffee.

  • @TravisGray-u9f
    @TravisGray-u9f 4 месяца назад

    A great show! love me some Downtown Josh Brown

  • @1daves
    @1daves 4 месяца назад

    This is brilliant advice from Josh. I genuinely worry about my peers who haven’t got this message; become owners of assets as fast as you can or be left behind. It’s an emergency.

  • @ACPeoples
    @ACPeoples 4 месяца назад +1

    11:38 Those openAi deals are legal settlements pretending to be partnerships

  • @TordeanRivera
    @TordeanRivera 3 месяца назад

    Josh brown never fails to

  • @hellofranky99
    @hellofranky99 4 месяца назад +1

    Hold up. Y2K problems were only averted because companies spent many many millions of dollars updating their system and code base to account for the timestamp problem.

  • @VegasVaron
    @VegasVaron 3 месяца назад

    Few people remember that Alan Greenspan triggered the Dot Com bust by hiking interest rates beyond what was called for. This is hindsight of course, but Greenspan should have known better.

  • @kolakowski345
    @kolakowski345 4 месяца назад +1

    Succinct description of Teslas response there Ed 😂

  • @charles14153
    @charles14153 4 месяца назад

    Not sure why the market professionals have no love for forward guidance. Markets are much calmer when we know what’s coming and how the Fed intends to move.

  • @arod2050
    @arod2050 4 месяца назад

    Fundrise should reconsider supporting this episode 😂

  • @str1cklybizn3ss67
    @str1cklybizn3ss67 3 месяца назад

    I love Scott's comment on the BIden Administration taking credit for a goldilocks economy. However, it may not be well received by middle america who see their costs of living increase and wages stagnant. Could be a legit play to not acknowledge that growth of the economy and avoid blowback from voters.

  • @yoda6051
    @yoda6051 3 месяца назад

    Great Guest, but AMC took 4-5 months to unfold in 2021

  • @seunjoong
    @seunjoong 4 месяца назад +1

    AI - seriously it's the SAME THING every time, and EVERY TIME they say it's different.

  • @LumenMichaelOne
    @LumenMichaelOne 4 месяца назад

    17:54 ... Palo Alto. Something about billings rather than guidance, but they took one on the chin kinda like that.

  • @Sumonebody
    @Sumonebody 4 месяца назад

    It doesn’t matter rooting for the economy or not. It won’t listen!

  • @jreynoso91
    @jreynoso91 4 месяца назад

    "Sooo, what movies did you see, Scott." 😂

  • @barfly1984
    @barfly1984 4 месяца назад

    So nifty language apps and chat bots in't a bubble?

  • @Brayness
    @Brayness 4 месяца назад

    EWZ (MSCI Brazil ETF) is down 11.5% YTD

  • @achinj
    @achinj 4 месяца назад

    was Josh reading the responses?

  • @MichaelLaFrance1
    @MichaelLaFrance1 4 месяца назад +1

    The exogenous market-rocking shock could be a CCP invasion of Taiwan, which would wipe out advanced chip manufacturing, along with Nvidia.
    edit: I didn't realize when I wrote this comment that China conducted a full-scale invasion exercise, without warning, on Taiwan this morning. Hopefully they limit their efforts in the near and midterm to saber-rattling. Losing advanced chips would seriously damage the US economy.

  • @MrDROCKINC
    @MrDROCKINC 4 месяца назад +1

    Terminator 2 is better than Terminator 1. Just saying.

  • @kevinl20082008
    @kevinl20082008 4 месяца назад +2

    DTJB rocks on 🔥

  • @JoeDoe2
    @JoeDoe2 4 месяца назад +2

    Scott would make a good guitar player cause his fingers are so long and skinny.

  • @andrewhart6200
    @andrewhart6200 4 месяца назад

    How many of the podcasts(1.7 million) are profitable - but also...how many of the 1.7 million podcasts are in the United States....slight market saturation....

  • @richardjones2168
    @richardjones2168 4 месяца назад

    So let’s see, less and less firms are going or staying public …but everyone’s got to be an owner …seems to be a bit of a disconnect on that one

  • @makaveli3900
    @makaveli3900 4 месяца назад

    It’s shocking that people who spend this much time monitoring markets and the economy make no reference to the ongoing debt spiral and wartime level spending despite full employment. Really it makes no sense to soften monetary policy as trillions in federal debt rolls over at higher rates? At least give the complete picture

  • @vishalontheline
    @vishalontheline 4 месяца назад

    Quite the roundabout way of calling dogs unattractive 😂... only kidding. Great show! Thank you!

  • @nocheesecheesy6096
    @nocheesecheesy6096 4 месяца назад

    How was the DJ show?

  • @mikeh7515
    @mikeh7515 4 месяца назад +2

    Boo ads for YT premium. Boooooo

    • @SamHoustonSF
      @SamHoustonSF 4 месяца назад

      How do you expect them to make money with no ads?

  • @dietrichwedegartner3487
    @dietrichwedegartner3487 4 месяца назад +1

    drop the ads or reduce to one sponsor segment per show

  • @SRQRay
    @SRQRay 4 месяца назад

    My wingman used to tell me NOT to be myself on a first date. Also Huberman says get dopamine from doing the hard work, not the result.

  • @renatoforenza3199
    @renatoforenza3199 4 месяца назад

    yes 20:30

  • @ChrisBrennanNJ
    @ChrisBrennanNJ 4 месяца назад

    LOL! Ed, just so you know-- you're role here is to ask more about *Scott!*

  • @Traderbear
    @Traderbear 4 месяца назад

    Why can’t we look at the horrible job tech has done with social media and demand better from AI guard rails.

  • @chrism.1131
    @chrism.1131 4 месяца назад

    51:40 just for the record… Scott's advice is to buy Cisco.😂

  • @bondi5000
    @bondi5000 4 месяца назад +1

    Only $11,600 per year?? Try Australia at AUD35,000!!!

    • @WeBeatMedicare6969
      @WeBeatMedicare6969 4 месяца назад

      You understand the currencies aren’t 1-1 right? Lol

  • @dosesandmimoses
    @dosesandmimoses 4 месяца назад

    Are LLMs protected by the first amendment? Why is no one directly asking that question? Also, Prof, try a blended Miami Vice… delicious drink!

  • @forklaundry
    @forklaundry 4 месяца назад

    Why wasn't I listening to this 20 years ago?

  • @winddude9
    @winddude9 4 месяца назад +1

    Josh Brown, not too bright on sentiment is he, or not looking at the right sentiment.

  • @justinewert2166
    @justinewert2166 4 месяца назад

    What a great combo 👏👏👏

  • @JeffreyGillespie
    @JeffreyGillespie 4 месяца назад

    I’m Gen X. $11,600 a year is more than my entire condo mortgage and property taxes in Albuquerque NM. I just don’t know how people afford children anymore.

  • @BaccaratDegen
    @BaccaratDegen 4 месяца назад

    I remember y2k like it was yesterday because it was my HS graduation year. I remember the panic and fear around the markets and it probably steered me away from finance because of it. And then there was (911).

  • @JoeDoe2
    @JoeDoe2 4 месяца назад +1

    Grandmothers can't watch this video due to the potty mouths.

  • @neilmoran9988
    @neilmoran9988 4 месяца назад

    A megalomaniac who isn't a good person, Elon can't silence you Scott. ED, great to see that your Uncle has integrity, remember this for future Ed.

  • @petelipson3769
    @petelipson3769 4 месяца назад +3

    12:50 Scott needs to go spend a week or two in a rural town in Wyoming, Nebraska, West Virginia......or heck, any town outside of London,NYC or L.A.; not in New York, not in Cali......these people are not feeling the "tremendous" economy he describes early on in this episode. That is probabaly why the current presidential administration is not messaging to the public in the way he (Scott) prefers.

    • @oldschoolpanels
      @oldschoolpanels 4 месяца назад +4

      Scott lost fifteen million in the market last year, by his own self admission , and still flies his kids around the world, bought a house in Aspen , and throws his employees the credit card to visit Mexico.
      Scott has lifted off our peasant reality orbit for some time.
      I would suggest taking his pov into your perspective and do the same.

  • @a0abes
    @a0abes 4 месяца назад

    I'd like to challenge Josh... having been in the 00's crash (and got laid off).
    I propose that: If there's sufficient employment and/or state tax revenue tied to the AI boom (think prompt engineers...) then an nvidia triggered stock/valuation crash can have drastic effects on real economy.
    Some supporting evidence: see CA's budget surplus melt away in '22 and NYC's in '23.... true, that partly was triggered by real economy, but also due to slumping tax revenue on the incomes from high tech(CA) or finance(NYC) employees
    Prove me wrong!

    • @a0abes
      @a0abes 4 месяца назад

      to be clear - I love Josh's perspective and appreciate it whenever and wherever I can get it (e.g. cnbc)

    • @user-kg1od9es5d
      @user-kg1od9es5d 4 месяца назад

      No youre missing a bigger point. AI is an efficiency innovation - what happens to all the folks who jobs now get replaced by AI? Lol.
      Disruption creates jobs. Efficiency destroys them! There has to be a disruptive innovation to counter the efficiency or all hell will break loose.

  • @PristinePerceptions
    @PristinePerceptions 4 месяца назад

    "Y2K was a prank"? No, Josh. Companies spent billions of dollars to ensure that their engineers spent millions of hours ensuring that Y2K didn't happen. It was a widespread problem, but it was a preventable problem. So people prevented it (largely) from happening. Your statement has the same energy as someone saying "the Ozone hole was a prank". It wasn't. The entire international community got together and signed a memorandum to phase out HFCs and CFCs. It is a testament to the effort of those involved in fixing it that it didn't affect you. But to call it a prank is ignorant.

  • @S1rrus
    @S1rrus 4 месяца назад +1

    Why this market is perhaps an incestual perpetual motion machine is precisely why I follow this 🤣Josh out-Scott-ed Scott on this one.

  • @louiseobrien2010
    @louiseobrien2010 4 месяца назад

    The Federal Reserve will cut rates 25 basis point in December 2024.

  • @LumenMichaelOne
    @LumenMichaelOne 4 месяца назад

    42:06 ... a lot of hubris and ridiculously, irresponsible VC spending in San Francisco/Silicon Valley.

  • @guyinshirt_
    @guyinshirt_ 4 месяца назад

    #freecharles!!!!

  • @varunkannan-er2vl
    @varunkannan-er2vl 4 месяца назад

    Vc scheme game was BSD

  • @ZeCarlosBr
    @ZeCarlosBr 4 месяца назад

    Brazil is not in a rally. Much the other way around... goint to a quite deep hole...

  • @mrpross
    @mrpross 3 месяца назад

    Greenspan said the size of his briefcase just depended on whether or not he brought lunch from him that day.

  • @SRQRay
    @SRQRay 4 месяца назад

    Luke Longley of podcasting

  • @Poochie1
    @Poochie1 4 месяца назад

    Professor, Brazil is the only market down YTD......

    • @Poochie1
      @Poochie1 4 месяца назад

      Also, smart money is underweight bonds. It will be a bad investment for the next decade.

    • @Poochie1
      @Poochie1 4 месяца назад +1

      Also Josh is wrong about that Y2K. Everybody needed servers because of the internet boom. Today everybody needs chips because of the AI boom. Its exactly the same capex bubble ffs.

    • @user-kg1od9es5d
      @user-kg1od9es5d 4 месяца назад

      @@Poochie1 yep

  • @JaneDoe-rn4tm
    @JaneDoe-rn4tm 4 месяца назад

    josh is fucking awesome

  • @SweetGreenDream
    @SweetGreenDream 4 месяца назад

    Scott urges "Dont follow your passions, Follow your talent instead" My question, what is Scott's advice to people who dont have a talent?

    • @imkindofabigdeal4308
      @imkindofabigdeal4308 4 месяца назад

      UBI

    • @SweetGreenDream
      @SweetGreenDream 4 месяца назад +1

      @@imkindofabigdeal4308 Scott has talked about UBI and he calls said it has a branding problem. Tho he is pro the idea he thinks calling it a U.B. I. is a bad idea. he preferred calling it a negative income tax.

    • @imkindofabigdeal4308
      @imkindofabigdeal4308 4 месяца назад

      @@SweetGreenDream Sure. But I was trying to be humorous.