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- Опубликовано: 26 сен 2024
- HW News’ Managing Editor Mr. Sujit Nair engages in a conversation with veteran journalist Mr. Joseph George and founder of TSC Consulting Mr. Tarun Chauhan and discusses about the recent statement made by a prominent political analyst Mr. Prashant Kishor about BJP’s prospects in South India in the upcoming Lok Sabha Elections.
Mr. Kishor has forecasted that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is poised to make notable advancements in the southern and eastern parts of India, historically viewed as less favorable territories for the ruling party.
#PrashantKishor #SouthIndia #LokSabhaElections #NationalElections #RahulGandhi #INDIAAlliance #NDA #BJP #NarendraModi #Congress #SoniaGandhi #Kerala #TamilNadu #Karnataka #AndhraPradesh #Telangana #HWNews
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There is no chance for BJP in Tamilnadu.
P K is out frame he is in payrool
Don't give that much important to that' marron prasant kishor he a bjp agent
BJP's strategy is create a positive opinion through favourable media and personalities like PK and then make it possible in the same way they did in chandigarh mayer election so as to justify the prediction.
No chance. PK is a spent force. He should not be taken seriously.
অসম্ভব।
What a joke, PK has clearly mentioned that BJP will get double digit vote share.He has not said anything about seats. JOKERS
True. So childish are some of their comments
He has said that South will compensate seats they lose in north and west
Katchaheevu issue has backfired in TN. People see the hypocrisy of not doing an iota of work to solve the fishermen issue (who is predominantly Christian) for the last 10 years and shedding crocodile tears now. Actually it fizzled out in a day.
I am from A.P. State. Lived in Kerala for some time. Kerala people are very sensible and well matured. No chances for BJP there. Kerala and Tamil Nadu people doesn’t give even a small chance to BJP. The governments there are people centric, working good for the well-being of their people. How can PK give such an absurd opinion! He is talking shit out of nothing.
Do u think only Kerala and TN are south of India.. Karnataka and Telangana have Huge BJP supporters ... Thankfully Kerala and TN seats are only Bonus if they win.. BJP will cover from other states ...
@@brishnevk4823 I have never said South India is only TN and Kerala. Since the speakers were mentioning mainly about those two states, I put that comments.
Coming to A.P, even though BJP is in alliance with TDP-Jansena… there is no chance of getting even more than one MP seat. That alliance is for some other reasons… like “roudi maamoolu” to BJP. People know it very well.
In Telangana… nothing much for BJP. You might have known what happened to BJP in Karnataka.
@@MadhavJK Good Luck Bro ..I like when people are in Denial .. Rahul Will become PM 😂😜😂🤣
Then what is the meaning of maturity. If they cannot think of India except Christianity and Islam these talk of secularism not even of iota of national development.
@@bollarao8979 Unlike BJP, though majority of Kerala people are Christians, they are secular, they respect all religious beliefs. Even the Hindus in Kerala are more secular than BJP would expect. They tolerate other religions and respect other religions. That is the maturity they have.
Since BJP only promotes Hinduism, and doesn’t respect other religions, I.e., not secular, they don’t like BJP.
5 seats in TN??!!! I think it would have been wiser for Mr. George to stick with what he knew, that is Kerala.
Bjp will do well in South... May be they will get 1 seat all together in South.. this is what he meant
He will surely give this arugement afterwards to defend his statement 🤣
It is definitely zero in Kerala and TN and my be a few seats upto 10 in Karnataka
Telengana, say one or two and AP, may be one
Education and literacy is the most important , strengths of the South. Kerala and Tamil Nadu. Great States.
South India BJP
Kerala 00
TN 00
Andhra 00
Telangana 00
Karnataka 02
Kishor must be provoked to give this opinion.
Bengal 03
Bass yeh Video DOWNLOAD kar rakha hey...Khaas kar beech vale Comrade TARUN ki ARROGANCE dekhe..!
Kya patha June 4 ke baad kaam aa jaye..😌
Not so much. Ker. 00.tn. Oo. Kannad
. o3.telu. 0 andr. 00 allies. 3 pondi. 00 lekh. Deep. 00. Adaman. 01.that is all.
Very realistic assessment 😊
From Karnataka 10
Andhra and telengana 10
@@shoshithbakri9281congress is going to sink further
*BJP unnecessarily wasting time in South India... BJP daydreaming*
bjp will do great in many regions of south india
@@veerapandyan8403first let them do in Manipur only mental will vote for them who is destroying in name of religion hate
At best, BJParty may win in Palakkad or Thrissur
@@rajsub3884North East insurgency is nothing new when there is a hostile neighbour like China ... Did u forget that Gungi gudiya bombed own civilians in Mizoram to tackle insurgency among tribals... And why only Manipur, why did not u mention Sandeshkhali, did Pappu visit Sandeshkhali? It's better to vote for Hindutva rather than vote for Muslim league, khangress
That applies to Congis also 😂😂😂
BJP have no chances. AIADMK is separate with 30%, DMK with 35%, NTK with 7_8%, Congress -7-8%. BJP has no base in TN. As there is 4 sided fight. when we add up % of alliance DMK alliance (DMK, Congress, VCK, communist, Kamalhassans party and Muslim leaguewill win all 40 seats including pondicherry. AIADMK will be the second largest party and winning seats is difficult as they are alone, NKT will improve its percent of votes from earlier elections and BJP alliance will have fight with NOTA. and Zero 0.
Wish list. All the best
Even bjp not get single seats from tamilnadu it won't effect Modi victory in nation 🚩🚩
Biased
North Narrow minded party is BJP they can only win in gobar bhakt states..that is the truth that Andhbhakt could not stomach
@@marthandansk1991 this is actual reality. Did you ever went outside your house? BJP voters are only 3% Brahmins who are vaishnavites.
Iam From telangana , a new state formed 10 years back , Notting New project got from central govt, in fact reorgination promises were dinied , no chance for bjp hear
It is beyond one's understanding that BJP is going to better this time in South India. In both Karnataka and Telengana, BJP will be in shock. In other states also they won't stand good chance.
BJP will win Lok Sabha swats from Andhra Pradesh this time. In 1998, BJP had 4 seats and 20% vote share in both Telangana area and Andhra area in Undivided Andhra Pradesh. BJP will do well in Telangana in any case, and win more than 10 seats. In Andhra Pradesh, out of the 6 it is contesting, the BJP will win 2 to 3 seats. It will win 1 to 2 seats in Kerala. It already has 20% vote share in Kerala. It will win 5 to 6 seats in Tamilnadu. It will sweep Karnataka.
Your name sounds Malayalee. What is the vote share that the BJP is going to get in Kerala in 2024 General Elections according to you?
In Tamil Nadu the Dravidian ideology is deep rooted and it is difficult for BJP to fight alone I.e. without alliance of any one of the Dravidian party. This time BJP lost its major partner AIADMK, So, it's highly difficult for BJP to win even one seat rather it's very hard to secure second place in terms of vote share.
Exactly
Even north is tough for BJ Pe. Washout in south for sure. Tax payers are waiting...
That's a fact. Taxpayers must be allowed the pleasure of trashing the oppressors BJPwallas 😁
For BJP in TN is zero.
Will definitely open the account
@@vaibhav.dvd55 They have opened accounts for Electoral Bonds.
I agree
@@vaibhav.dvd55 NO CHANCE
BJP will win coimbatore and Kanyakumari
GOD save south India from BJP
God is with bjp 🚩🚩
@@leader8032god is against brasht jumla party :3
Ur god is not there. BJP will be there. Mark my words.
People of Karnataka condone corruption n vote bjp despite the electoral bonds? Are we so communal? Its mind boggling..
Prashant Kishore is very close to the BJP and is probably working for their victory. He is not talking about probability but is so certain as if he is part of the planning and implementation of their win. Of course, the win won't be an organic one.
Right PK is a Stooge of the BJP who is paid to be a decoy. Afterall the BJP always uses propaganda and image boosting by using media and mediamen. PK is their mediaman sent to create a special effect.
Very true neither BJP or AIADMK will get a single seat in Tamilnadu
Not sure what Joseph is saying. Not agreeing with PK and also 5 seats in TN. Does he know it is 0 now?
2024 will be an election to save ourselves !!!!
Why are you talking about PK he is a snitch/ Trojan horse 😂😂
Who cares kishorr. Congr. don't want his service at all.
Hired Stooge. He knows the secret of why Modi is cocky and arrogant. Money for votes?😢
A big zero for brasht janata party
Even AIADMK, the main opposition, got only 1 seat last time. BJP getting double digit is a joke😂
Double digit vote share not seats. Total predicted seats for BJP is 3-5
@@vaibhav.dvd553 to 5 votes more than NOTA
In tamil nadu, all the 39 seats will go DMK and his alliance
Unless the BJP uses all its funds @ 15 lakhs per person😂
@@Lazarus365 BJP win 2 seats in South Tamil Nadu.
Who told that right side guy is a ground level analyst😂.BJP will get 0 seats in TN.but he is saying bjp eill get 3 to 4 seats😂😂
It is clear. Rajeev Chandrashekar pays no tax. How come ? He is a big businessman. He wants to become an MP to further his business. He will, and still he will pay zero tax. Amazing. Why should I vote for him.
Who is Rajeev Chandrashekat? Is he a Modi andh bhakt too? Does he have a degree in 'Entire Political Science' like Modi.
In Meghalaya shillong-VPP and the other Tura- Congress
Hope and wish this comes true in Meghalaya
Why Andhra Pradesh was not discussed Is it not part of South India?
Tarun"s views are very realistic ❤
BJP will do well using EVM and with help of EC counting dhandhli.
That is what the Modi ki Guarantee is all about. Modi's boys will be waiting at the end of the pipe to switch boxes and sacks 😁. There will be one fat box labelled 'Every Vote Modi's (EVM).
That's how the BJPwallas can sniff out the real box😁
Bjp won't win a single seat in Kerala ,voters in kerala won't succumb to Bjp s tall claims ,Mark my words ,
The person who is saying Bjp will win 2 seats can take a walk to hell
Good Luck bro ... Being In Denial is a Great thing for the Opposition 😂😂
In Kerala, BJP may get some votes but can’t win. In TN, even they can’t win even the second position.
Bcz in these two states a lot of local political parties. So bjp have difficult to find space.
Mr Tharu 's analysis is 100/- true
Getting 5 seats in Tamil Nadu is impossible.
BJP never won any MP seats in Tamil Nadu when they stood alone.
This time they are almost standing alone, with already dead PMK party.
If BJP can win 1 seat in Tamil Nadu, that would be due to all those money from electoral bond going directly to the constituent for election.
And already one constituency of BJP go caught trying to distribute Rs 4 crore.
I am very confident that Tamil Nadu will put a death nail for Annamalai politics in this election.
Does that mean ur abbu DMK halala paidaish stalin distribute money for vote?
Even money can't get a seat for BJP in TN, Maybe BJP might get EC to do some dirty jobs, that's the only way they can get something in TN....
#PrasantKishore ने अपने करियर में सिर्फ पैसे के लिए काम किया है। उसके गुजरे हुए कार्यकाल की जाँच करें, तो उसमें कोई विचारधारा, कोई सार्वजनिक चिंता, या किसी भी पार्टी या राज्य के प्रति कोई वफादारी नहीं दिखती है। उसकी एकमात्र प्रतिष्ठा पैसे के प्रति है। उसका #Bihar में वापस आना बस वोट शेयर को बाँटकर भाजपा को फायदा पहुंचाने के लिए लगता है।
Now NTK 😂 insulted in National media as well @ 22:59 .
That is Naam Tamilar Katchi, whose leader was busy behind a lady recently made him loose his party Symbol. Ignore them.
Beautiful interview!
Don't forget VCK in TN alliance, they are a solid partner with reasonable vote share
Why is Prashant Kishor saying this ? Let us not forget the 4 Cr Inr caught by Tamil Nadu police which apparently belongs to BJP ? Money power ..
In Rajasthan
Churu, Jhunjunu, Nagaur, Barmer, Bharatpur, Dholpur, Tonk
In above constituencies, congress is fighting a good election
In Bengal there is no ideological shift towards the BJP.
But there is a perception of poor Governance in some sections of Bengal regarding the TMC
It is very difficult to win BJP in Kerala. Iam a diaspora guy who has been lives in USA in the last 39 years but my family still in Kerala. Hindu Christian Muslim coordination is out standing I don’t think no static power can do anything against the core of Kerala Unity. Only problem is the left ruling party is ruined the wealth and health of Kerala by self.
Prashant Kishore has a psychological problem of going unnoticed. These are just a few things to get noticed by others. Blaming Rahul is like a weakness. Rahul has definitely played a role in making India alligns. Otherwise the Congressmen will not agree to such a thing. When you fight against the abuses of power, it will take some time to come back.
In Tamil Nadu, there is a four-cornered contest between the INDIA alliance, ADMK+, NTK (Naam Tamilar Katchi), and NDA. It's a tough fight between DMK and ADMK. The BJP and NTK could potentially spoil the winning chances of ADMK, which would help DMK to sweep this election. I am certain that the BJP will not win a single seat in TN.
Literally 3 idiots who have no clue about ground realities. Accusing PK of throwing random numbers & doing the same yourself. He speaks from IPAC experience & his men on ground. What do you have?
Says BJP IT bott😂😂😂
@@yusufpathan9714 PK is still associated with people at IPAC who regularly do ground surveys. He has been bang on most of the times in the past. These 3 jokers sitting in AC rooms have ZERO understanding of ground realities. PK’s predictions are correct wrt BJPs inroads in the East & South. Wait for 4th June to know it for yourself.
If the national party gets more seats from kerala that party will loose all other states. Please analyze the history. Just after emergency congress lost all over India except kerala. Last election Congress got 19 out of 20. But Congress lost all other states. Kerala people always think just opposite other Indian people.
These guys are so confident about Tamil Nadu but they are not aware of a party called NTK. While it is a small party, it still has a good 7% to 8% votebank and is not part of the INDIA alliance in Tamil Nadu. This does put the authenticity of the commentators into question atleast with respect to Tamil Nadu. Mr. Tarun chauhan's remarks on Mr. Annamalai appear a little biased and might I even add are arrogant. I do agree that BJP might not even win any seats in TN but people are begining to talk about Mr.Annamalai.
The gentleman from south is contradicting himself regarding TN. Saying that BJP may get 3/4 seat and then saying that AIDMK leaving NDA will make BJP lose vote share....
Whoever is commenting here how may have watched PKs interview . PK never said BJP will will double digit seats he said double digit vote share they will improve that too namely in Tamil Nadu and Telangana. With regards to Westbengal he said BJP will come up as the largest party in loksabha election and Karnataka . These panelist them selves haven’t watched PKs interview .
Guys, Stop the discussion PK is not saint, in fact they are the one to be avoided now he is not Harichandra either so relax.
TN & Kerala will be clean sweep. I meant 0
Karnataka -Cong 14-16 BJP 12-14.👍
Bjp has 1 narative Hindu Muslims
On the front
Back
They have their dogs Godi Media , ED , CBI
Basically a mafia
South India no hope for Modi.
People always want Goodness not evil.
I wish Prashanth Kishore does not have money malpractice that he can come under ED scrutiny and fear!
Dear analyst's, it's parliamentary elections, voters decide who will be the best PM wether Modiji or Rahul, it's not Mamatha benerji or Stalin or any local opposition leaders can't become PM in 2024
Altogether in Kerela,Karnataka,Puduchery, Tamilnadu, Telengana and AP, BJP can not get more than 18 seats.BJP may throw crores thinking that votes equal money.sorry!
Day dreaming
@@kushabedre3549 But for EVMs, no change, day dreaming or night dreaming time will soon tell.
If the BJP can do, we also can do, BJP be and dictatorship should be throuned away from INDIA, being the largest Democracy in the world.
Three smart brilliant and well informed faces about the political situation in South India.
I am from TN. No way this katchatheevu is an issue here. BJP will be zero
Very sensible assessment by Tarun of all the states discussed. Mr Joseph should stick to Kerala or maximum neighbouring TN for his view. He appears to be confused about Karnataka as he says BJP will improve and get 10-15 seats this time. BJP got 25 last time. Is he comparing with last Karnataka assembly results.
Annamalai has clearly given the reason to raise katchatheevu issue.
In month of February, stalin raised katchatheevu issue and said they will get it back.
Annamalai to expose this hypocrisy of dmk, he raised this issue. Tamilians should wake up from dravidian politics which is not development based. Only talk about freebies 🤦♂️🤦♂️
அதிமுக ஏன் பிஜேபி கூட்டணி வரவில்லை பிஜேபியை சேர்த்தால் அவர்களுக்கு கிடைக்க வேண்டிய சிறுபான்மையினர் வோட்டு கிடைக்காமல் போய் விடும் எனற பயம்
For free journalism.
NTK means Naam Thamilar Katchi which means "we are thamilan party" headed by Sebastian Simon, a christian.
Pk is barking being in the payroll. He is a political broker and let him do his work. 👍
In WB bjp should be happy to retain their last numbers. They will not get one more than last time 😂😂
PK is in the role of being an influencer for Bjp this time around.Nobody knows what he is exactly up to.
PK is a bigger Palturam than Nitish. I see PK as Kejriwal 2.0
Bhai Biggest Palturam was Mohd Nabi himself ... Who gives different Ayat Violence and Non Violence in Mecca and Madina according to his Convenience ... 😂😂😂
@@brishnevk4823after thorough examination, I learnt that Nabi’s izlam is not a religion. It’s a militant cult.
@@brishnevk4823 why you poeple abuse anybodies beleif you popele only know to abuse, you are obseed with rahul gandhi nehru mohmd nabi etcc. kuch kam ka bath karo yaaar
@@vmsterna1933 No bro.. i Love Rahul Gandhi he is our Time pass for Political Comedy 😂😜😜
What i said about Mohd Nabi is True ... He was the Johnny Sin of 7th Century that too with a 6 yrs old child Ayesha ... Shame Shame 🤣🤣🤣
@@brishnevk4823 I don't understand why you're laughing? is politics a Joke for you? Yes thats why everytime you are trying to malign him becuase he is a
threat for you. Iam a south indian, we have enough wisdom,education
and intelegence to under stand that. I have never seen any Muslim abuse
our gods. when I read comments most andbakth alwasy abusing nabi. what
if they reply you in same pitch? are you think they cannot? they are not
doing it because they are more educated. its not their weekness its called
samskar, which you dont have apna basha ko sudaro.
TN will be same as in 2019. BJP will draw zero.
Hey rice bag 🛍️🛍️🛍️ converted paidaish.
Prashant kishore said double digit vote share note in seats.. In Tamil Nadu..
Tamil Nadu nda surly zero seats . May be just 1 but that also is slim chance
Prashanth Kishore spoke double digit in TN on vote percentage not seats. Please recheck
It is extremely unethical and unparliamentary for anyone calling the panelists as idiots. The panelists are entitled to express their opinion like the other side may have theirs. Those who have some severe frustration will only use unparliamentary words. Just ignore.
Tejasvi surya is not the face of the BJP in Karnataka. In fact he has to fight hard to win his seat this time. May be BJP may win 10 to 12 seats. Congress has delivered with the guarantees and they have gained a fair amount of currency among the people.
I am not an expert on other states but in Telangana BJP is going to do better than before
Adilabad- BJP
Peddapelli- Congress
Karimnagar- BJP
Nizambad- Congress
Warangal- BJP/Congress (Tough)
Malkajgiri- BJP
Bhuvanagiri- Congress
Nalgonda- Congress
Mahbubnagar- Congress
Chevella- BJP
Khammam- Congress
Hyderabad- MIM
Secunderabad- BJP/BRS (Tough)
Medak-Congress
Mahbubabad- Congress/BJP (Tough)
Zahirabad- Congress/BJP (Tough)
Nagarkarnool- Congress/BJP (Tough)
You brought anti BJP and pro Khangress and Leftist people on board and you feel happy Mr Nair.😅😅😅
PK is trying to overconfident BJP, so they feel very relaxed about win and don't put much effort to win the election. I'm waiting for last day of the election when PK will say that BJP is going to lose the election.
I'm from Bengal, and the BJP will get less than 10 seats here.
P K is 100% right. I am from Tamilnadu. From TN, India block will get only 39+1. All the remaining seats goes to Modiji ,but not for BJP. 2:20
Big zero in TN for BJP, if the elections are conducted fairly.. most of the BJP candidates will not get their deposit.
Saving this video to revisit on June 4
Lotus has wilted and withered away
Joseph BJP is putting up strong fight in another 4 constituencies other than TVM and Trichur
....which wasnt the case in earlier elections
Kerala is going through financial crisis...
As said by Mr Joseph, on two seats BJP has a chance. Rajiv is indeed a strong candidate, and stands a chance as there is an infighting in Congress about Tharoors' candidature. Rajiv Chandrasekhar, though he has been with ruling party, has not done much for Kerala - especially for Trivandrum. Muralidharan is a local man and has an edge over other candidates. Suresh Gopi is not a politician - but a film actor. Mr Sunil Kumar (from the ruling front) will act as a spoiler by bagging the votes of Muralidharan and Suresh Gopi. If Sunil gets more votes, BJP stands no chance to win.
Irrespective of what PK says or predicts or what BJP wants him to be saying or predicting,people of India are matured enough to decide for themselves whom to select democrattically as they themselves are capable of thinking from their own perspectives ! But when others insist on exact number wise predictions we feel we have to be cautious whether the machine can really reflect true voting patterns or not as we all know machines are after all machines! That is why some such confidently made predictions too are not to be taken for granted as some unbiased reflections of what actually people want and why !
I'm from TN, there is high chance BJP may win 3 seats in Tamil Nadu. The biggest problem for DMK, they fail to predict the pulse of people while in power. So far, no big congress leaders visited Tamil Nadu and they think there will be walkover in Tamil Nadu. But without mercy of DMK, Congress may not put a feet in Tamil Nadu.
are you really from tamilnadu?😂😂😂. if people not statisfied with DMK they will vote ADMK😂😂😂 everybody know this in Tamil nadu
Hello all 3 of you , Annamalai had become the People's leader. BJP don't do good work in this 2024 election but 2026 assembly election.
Till the time congress fix its ideology of we are hindus and we work for welfare of minorities, it can never beat BJP in HIndi belt who runs on ideology of we are Hindus and we work for Hindus i.e the majority of the hindi belt. In the non-Hindi belt, if Congress is killing the freedoms, BJP is bent on killing the identity and regional parties are the only one's working for the welfare of Non-Hindi people of the country.
Joseph seems to be realistic
Slowly but surely PK is showing his true color. He is vouching for BJP victory in states that BJP hardly has a foothold.
Excellent Analysis on mood of Nation realistic view point..
Of late kishore has become the mouthpiece of bjp
Prashant kishire is playing mind game, he might confusing bjp
This person who doesn't even know NTK (Naam Tamilar Katchi; Seeman party) is claiming to be an expert on south India politics. No knowledge, only stupidity and arrogance.
Lmao... NTK who has never won a single seat in any election to be considered a serious force or to be known outside TN is very delusional and arrogant of you. 😂😂😂😂😂
@@cyberrecluse7024 These people claim to be experts on south India politics and giving seat and vote share estimates. How can they give any estimate on what BJP is winning and what their opponents are winning when they don't even know the name of a party which is regularly winning 5-15% vote share on many seats??
They are more or less absolutely right,, not knowing NTK not a big deal, like wise there are parties like BJDS etc with 10% votes , who cares ,, not knowing such items is not a big issue,,
Prasant Kishore can predict others fate, but others can't what a logic
Very good analysis and touching ground realities.
Yes P. Kishore may be BJP agent so he is saying bjp will do well in South