Is the Risk-Free Rate Really “Risk-Free”? Why U.S. Treasuries Could Trade Like Meme Stocks

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  • Опубликовано: 28 авг 2024

Комментарии • 8

  • @financialmodeling
    @financialmodeling  Год назад +1

    Files & Resources / Downloads:
    youtube-breakingintowallstreet-com.s3.amazonaws.com/Risk-Free-Rate.xlsx
    youtube-breakingintowallstreet-com.s3.amazonaws.com/Risk-Free-Rate-Slides.pdf
    For the Table of Contents and the written summary, please see the video description under "Show More."

  • @Romulus1001
    @Romulus1001 Год назад +2

    This video perfectly illustrates how SVB's collapse can be attributed (in part) to its bond portfolio's exposure to interest rate risk. Maybe you should create a video that explains SVB's collapse and how the principles here coincide with today's events.

    • @financialmodeling
      @financialmodeling  Год назад

      Yup, that's true. We published an article about it today:
      mergersandinquisitions.com/silicon-valley-bank/
      And I may create a video on this AFS vs. HTM issue and bank regulatory capital next week and use it to explain more about SVB.

  • @dbsk06
    @dbsk06 Год назад +1

    Great refresher thank you

    • @dbsk06
      @dbsk06 Год назад +1

      Risk free rate refers to only default risk

    • @financialmodeling
      @financialmodeling  Год назад

      Thanks for watching!

  • @jayliu645
    @jayliu645 Год назад

    Am I reading this right? At the end of 2022-12-31, you will get ¥107,993; if the Yen strengthens to USD:JPY to 80, this will be translated into $1,349.91. So, compared with the original investment of $1000, how did you lose money? Don't you want to buy a foreign investment when your home currency is strong and sell when your home currency is weak to maximize the exchange rate effect?

    • @financialmodeling
      @financialmodeling  Год назад

      If the Yen strengthens, USD are now worth less. If the USD:JPY falls to 80, meaning the JPY has strengthened, the final bond price is only 66,150 when converted back to JPY. I think you reversed something. Buying when the home currency is strong and selling when it's weak is what we demonstrated here - an FX rate of 130 means the JPY is much weaker. So the Japanese investors benefited from buying UST when the FX rate was lower (100), meaning a stronger JPY, and selling when the FX rate was higher (130), meaning a weaker JPY.