Oregon vs Ohio State Preview, Prediction, & Computer Model

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  • Опубликовано: 9 окт 2024

Комментарии • 404

  • @UncleRicoOSU
    @UncleRicoOSU День назад +29

    Surprised there was no mention of Ohio State’s much improved run game. That was an area that bogged down their offense at times in recent years. Also no mention of red zone efficiency. Ohio State leads the country at 100% with 20/21 TDs. Oregon is ranked 103rd.

    • @takforce06
      @takforce06 День назад +2

      BINGO

    • @foxbodyblues6709
      @foxbodyblues6709 День назад +4

      Exactly. It’s not quick ling strikes. It’s run game dominance with explosive plays.

    • @taxisquad11
      @taxisquad11 День назад +3

      Both due in part to the MUCH improved O-line. 4 will be drafted this year

  • @stevenwhetro2991
    @stevenwhetro2991 День назад +45

    Funny when Ohio State dominates someone all of a sudden the other team isn't that good 😂

    • @timetosaucify7469
      @timetosaucify7469 День назад +7

      Just like when they win the natty, all people are gonna complain about is the nil $ for the roster. Ohio against the wolrd

    • @EulogyfortheAngels
      @EulogyfortheAngels День назад +1

      Like who?

    • @CollegeFootballNerds
      @CollegeFootballNerds  День назад +11

      Everyone says that, but (per FPI) Ohio State currently has the weakest schedule in the P4. It really is *that* bad, such that everything is a caveat. But starting this week it gets a lot harder and there are plenty of chances to prove themselves.

    • @sly7634
      @sly7634 День назад +8

      Too be fair bro....Im a Buckeye for life but who tf have we played to measure that were Elite at this point? Akron? South Carolina beat them 50-7, Michigan State? They lost to a very average Boston College team, Iowa? Who let Troy put up 21 points on them and the score was 21-24 going into the 4th quarter?

    • @jameskarlson2135
      @jameskarlson2135 День назад

      @@sly7634. Ok and the Given the benefit of the Doubt “ ELITE” Teams all lost to Teams they shouldn’t have. Difference is Ohio State Plays whoever is on the schedule good/Bad/ indifferent. And Handles them. Slow starts here and there yes. But the difference between this defense and 2-3 years ago defense is in those slow starts it was 14-7 or so at halftime either which way and ball of nerves. This year it’s 7-0. 14-0. 21-0. 10-3. Even when we are starting slow. Our defense is doing their job. That allows for time for adjustments and for Chip and Ryan to identify mismatches and exploit them to start cruising and taking control. Then with a 2 or 3 score lead. Slash and smash in the backfield along with Howard who can tuck it and take off for 4-/6-8 yds just about whenever

  • @bradyphillips1995
    @bradyphillips1995 День назад +28

    Henderson and Judkins are really giving a confidence in the Buckeye's that I haven't felt since 2019 with Dobbins
    31-17 OSU

    • @taxisquad11
      @taxisquad11 День назад +1

      I feel bad for anyone who lives in Oregon

    • @Mildriceproductions
      @Mildriceproductions 10 часов назад

      You just outed yourself as a casual homer 😭

  • @kennethjohnson9496
    @kennethjohnson9496 День назад +26

    In B1G games this season the away team is 2-9 involving west coast B1G teams playing traditional B1G teams. Traveling that far for a game isn’t easy to do.

    • @CollegeFootballNerds
      @CollegeFootballNerds  День назад +10

      I think we're going to see a ton of volatility with realignment. Think about the travel some of the ACC teams have to do as well.

    • @powerhouse539
      @powerhouse539 День назад +10

      USC is the only favorites to lose btw

    • @Marketex1
      @Marketex1 День назад +2

      Yep SC was the favorite twice and Lincoln Riley blew both of those games.

    • @user-qc7dr3cd3q
      @user-qc7dr3cd3q День назад

      ND has not received enough credit for this throughout its history. ​@@CollegeFootballNerds

    • @silkyjohnson7366
      @silkyjohnson7366 День назад +7

      Yeah but none of those teams are Ohio state lol not even remotely close to being as talented

  • @matta9316
    @matta9316 День назад +3

    Josh was on point with his analysis in this vid. I think ultimately Oregon is really good but OSU has deeper and higher end talent. Should be an awesome game!

  • @supremeenchilada8725
    @supremeenchilada8725 День назад +8

    The narrative has been around the greatness of JJ and Egbuka, but Judkins and Tre are going to challenge Oregon like Jeanty did. Difference is OSU has a passing game and a defense

    • @ryanhagfeldt116
      @ryanhagfeldt116 День назад +1

      Enchilada, it’s just a no man. 33-27 Oregon.

    • @sac3074
      @sac3074 День назад

      ​@@ryanhagfeldt116
      For all the doubters
      ruclips.net/video/WHlAN2ouiTs/видео.htmlsi=BwzlS0uiPbPifkwO

    • @sac3074
      @sac3074 День назад

      ​@@ryanhagfeldt116
      For all the doubters
      ruclips.net/video/WHlAN2ouiTs/видео.htmlsi=BwzlS0uiPbPifkwO

  • @tyrelllee8096
    @tyrelllee8096 День назад +16

    I’m from down South and I’m very disappointed in the SEC just a bunch of average teams.

  • @TyThePatriot
    @TyThePatriot День назад +10

    Great analysis guys... GO BUCKS!!!! Continued prayers for Josh's family!!

  • @hijj7676
    @hijj7676 День назад +4

    I've had my beefs with you guys over the years and challenged you on some things. It's all good tho, knowledgeable minds can agree to disagree. But as always you guys bring real analysis backed by real data and sprinkle in some of your educated opinions. That's legit solid content to me!

  • @thomastaylor1147
    @thomastaylor1147 День назад +3

    I wouldn’t bet for anyone this year. I’m a buckeye and the league is very competitive right now. A lot of great teams have rebuilt their programs to win. Love it. Great for football 😎

  • @EthanClark-e4p
    @EthanClark-e4p 18 часов назад +1

    One thing that I think is rarely being mentioned is that in Big 10 conference play, teams that have had to travel 2 or more time zones are 1-7 this season. The one win being Indiana over UCLA. Not sure if this leans towards Oregons favor so much that they win outright, but just something to note. Also Penn State goes all the way to LA this week so we will for sure have more data in these long distance road trips that teams are making in conference play.

  • @bretthollingsworth9866
    @bretthollingsworth9866 21 час назад +1

    Interesting, but Mich. St. was a night game AND very loud, until Jeremiah started his 1 handed blitzkrieg. Might also note that the entire team basically returned and has played in a number of high intensity road games together the past two seasons. If that's a variable being used, thinking that needs corrected. Great show, keep up the good work!~

  • @matta9316
    @matta9316 День назад +3

    Also prayers to Josh on a serious note. My little guy was born early and it was stressful as hell, we should all send that guy positive mojo.

  • @bumpskillers
    @bumpskillers День назад +5

    At the end of the day both of oregons corners are 5’10 and Ohio states shortest receiver is emeka egbuka at 6’1. Dan lanning is still having nightmares of Rome odunze mossing his corners. I think the size of Ohio states receivers is greatly going to benefit them in the perimeter run game and screens as well

    • @JayJay-ku8gp
      @JayJay-ku8gp День назад +1

      If Howard isn't pressured. He can make mistakes under pressure and Oregon DL isn't bad

    • @taxisquad11
      @taxisquad11 18 часов назад +1

      Smith is 6-3 225 has a vertical of 38 inches, HUGE hands and runs a 4-4 forty. Throw in his area and he gets it, So far this year he has FOUR one handed catches

    • @johnnyappleseed7710
      @johnnyappleseed7710 7 часов назад

      Agreed. Ducks secondary is quite good though. I think OSU will find the greatest benefit from those receivers in deep passes. Mid range passes Oregon has locked down pretty solid. Hard to say for short passes, just depends on which team hits harder.

  • @gobucks45177
    @gobucks45177 День назад +4

    I think your analysis of Ohio St is from last year. We ran the ball for 200 yards on Iowa. Chip Kelly has brought a physical running game to Columbus. Remember that everyone this year excluding UCLA has ran the ball on Oregon. 14 point win by Ohio State

    • @NP-zs5yq
      @NP-zs5yq День назад

      They mentioned that, but they want to see the line against an athletic and twitchy defensive front 7. Iowa is sound and stout but they aren't that.

    • @turbomatt75
      @turbomatt75 День назад

      Ummm false. Msu didnt run shit. And boise has the heisman favorite. Look past your bias

  • @powerhouse539
    @powerhouse539 День назад +14

    Michigan St game was a 730pm on peacock for Ohio St

    • @grantkunkle7976
      @grantkunkle7976 2 часа назад

      MSU had a short week after a night game. MSU got pounded all 2nd half by OSU.

  • @connett06
    @connett06 День назад +6

    31-13 Ohio St. OSU lines will control this game. Feel like Oregon not playing a great team was overlooked in this breakdown but maybe I missed it. Oregon line play hasn’t been to standard and it gets exposed.

    • @turbomatt75
      @turbomatt75 День назад +1

      Ok. Lets pick apart your weak hot take. First. Ohio hasnt played anyone this year. Second, the oregon line is kicking ass right now. Think before you talk.

    • @arockalypsgaming
      @arockalypsgaming День назад

      Osu is on the road in the place where good teams go to die. Oregon is the better team.

    • @rickgoldsmith7798
      @rickgoldsmith7798 18 часов назад

      ​@@arockalypsgamingno even remotely

  • @NickRamone0
    @NickRamone0 День назад +48

    Thank you for bringing up UM buying their way out of UCLA. Ohio State consistently has been playing tough schedules and outside this year UM has been playing nobodies. Also, Ohio State rarely plays an FCS team when SEC teams sometimes play two a year.

    • @andrewschneider2121
      @andrewschneider2121 День назад +14

      Wasn’t osu supposed to play Washington before they came to the big ten?

    • @cfiasco
      @cfiasco День назад +5

      Silly narrative. Besides UCLA cancellation years and Covid, UM played these non conference games in order: Washington, Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Florida, Colorado, Utah

    • @CollegeFootballNerds
      @CollegeFootballNerds  День назад +11

      We have always given OSU credit for their scheduling. This year isn’t their fault, the same way UGA wasn’t last year with Oklahoma being canceled, but it still is what it is from an eval standpoint. We talked about UGA being untested, too, and theorized they beat Bama if it wasn’t their first real test. As an aside, SEC teams do not play two FCS teams - and schedule difficulty for an elite is way more about your 6 hardest games than the easiest game.

    • @Jleed989
      @Jleed989 День назад

      CFB needs a “salary cap”. 21 million. Should be illegal.

    • @Al-Rudigor
      @Al-Rudigor День назад

      They finally got their chance to say that about us this year. Let them enjoy it.

  • @mikehouse7066
    @mikehouse7066 День назад +5

    As always, it's about the O-line.

    • @taxisquad11
      @taxisquad11 18 часов назад +1

      AND Ohio State's is one of the most improved in the country, They will have 4 O-linemen drafted this year

  • @dom7098
    @dom7098 День назад +3

    I genuinely believe this game will not be very close.

  • @bschmid100
    @bschmid100 День назад +6

    10:42 hold on. Ohio state had over 200 total yards at half. They had one possession in the first quarter. Do your homework before you speak

  • @jonwalter6317
    @jonwalter6317 День назад +4

    I've been hearing about the difficulty of playing in Autzen, but a couple of observations.....OSU is 3-1 in the last four Penn State White Outs, and the one loss was the game that PSU had to have a blocked punt and a blocked FG to eke out a win. Concerning Autzen itself, has Oregon benefited from the reference that Josh makes about talent in the PAC/B12 vs the SEC/B10? Oregon has been very strong at home, but has the caliber of opponent been somewhat average, and inflating that success? Just sayin and just wonderin.

  • @joeresch8772
    @joeresch8772 День назад +4

    35-17 OSU or 35-14 OSU. The Buckeyes have more depth and will run away in the 2nd half

    • @garryrobinson5695
      @garryrobinson5695 День назад +2

      38-17 OSU. people will be surprised! A lot of people on x and facebook saying OSU is gonna lose because it’s at Oregon but I think they take care of business because defense always travels.

  • @ronfrederick9983
    @ronfrederick9983 День назад +5

    I think you are wrong about Will Howard gentlemen.

  • @jameskarlson2135
    @jameskarlson2135 День назад +8

    Ohio State- 34
    Oregon- 21.

  • @Quakerman14
    @Quakerman14 День назад +3

    I think the run game is what makes the difference here. Boise ran the ball all over the field on Oregon. I think Ohio State's O line is much better than Boise St.
    Ohio State 28 Oregon 19

    • @NujadBolivar
      @NujadBolivar День назад +1

      Ashton is *generational* not even just really good. Judkins & Henderson don’t compare

    • @daniel_503
      @daniel_503 День назад

      FYI 144 out of 192 of Jeanty’s rushing yards came on 4 rushes.
      Of the remaining 21 runs he had 2.3 ypc

  • @stevelenores5637
    @stevelenores5637 День назад +7

    Ohio State isn't expect to throw very well??? Buddy you need a new computer.

    • @grantkunkle7976
      @grantkunkle7976 2 часа назад

      Must have missed the #2 & #4 cheat codes. Lol😅

  • @W00D3Ys
    @W00D3Ys День назад +10

    Do you factor in the fact that OSU starters have barely played in the 4 quarter this season?

    • @yung1smitty
      @yung1smitty День назад +2

      Did you watch the video or just comment first before consuming the media 😂 🗑️ 👀

    • @W00D3Ys
      @W00D3Ys День назад

      ​@@yung1smittyI comment as I watch sometimes the question is answered sometimes not. Do you normally trigger so hard on comments?

  • @Gaijinthecat
    @Gaijinthecat День назад +2

    Oregon has improved, no doubt. My guess is that the Ducks will have trouble establishing a run game. Due to this, the Ducks' passing game will be easier to defend. In contrast, OSU is playing and has been playing solid football. I love the fact that the Ducks are at home and are considered the underdog. Because of this, I think that the Ducks have a chance but I predict OSU by 10-14 points

  • @galvanaut7119
    @galvanaut7119 День назад +2

    The Ohio State game vs Michigan State was a night game and it was a rowdy environment. The crowd was pretty intense until the second half when it was over. You said it was a day game and not rowdy. That was false.

  • @Al-Rudigor
    @Al-Rudigor День назад +7

    What is the model's record?

  • @theinfinity2988
    @theinfinity2988 День назад +5

    You guys need to do the Florida vs fsu game for that week, it would be so funny lol

    • @marchedge4940
      @marchedge4940 День назад

      I'm curious how both having interim coaches, which is 100% going to happen, affects the model 😂

  • @emwecker
    @emwecker День назад +15

    Iowa was +2 TO, 0 penalties, and stuffed a OSU 4rth down. And still managed to be down 7-0 in the first half.
    OSU played a pretty sloppy first half and the game was never in doubt. OSU will have to make mistakes AND have Ore make them pay for it to lose IMO. If OSU clicks the whole game it will be curtains by the 3rd.

    • @bailey7915
      @bailey7915 День назад +5

      i havent watched many games in my lifetime played by oregon that its been curtains by the 3rd quarter and damn sure not at home my boy

    • @turbomatt75
      @turbomatt75 День назад +1

      @@bailey7915 then you havent really watched oregon football much. Plain and simple

    • @kristopherhansen8768
      @kristopherhansen8768 День назад

      @@turbomatt75you couldn’t name the last 5 times it’s happened if you had a whole day to google it

  • @Peter.Young21
    @Peter.Young21 День назад +19

    I think Ohio State is going to blow Oregon out. The reason being is that OSU has a legit defense and D Gabriel will turn the ball over several times trying to be aggressive against it.
    OSU 41 UO 20

    • @Lifestylekyle86
      @Lifestylekyle86 День назад +4

      you couldnt be more wrong. I give the edge to Ohio St due to the roster they have but it will 100% be a game. Both of these teams are too good to be blown out by anyone. Those are the facts

    • @stevelenores5637
      @stevelenores5637 День назад +2

      Buckeyes by a 2 score margin. That's only because Oregon will get a trash score when Buckeyes play their 3rd string in the 4th quarter.

    • @jimward8025
      @jimward8025 День назад

      @@stevelenores5637 Trash score like Urban did against Oregon in Championship game?

    • @stevelenores5637
      @stevelenores5637 День назад +3

      @@jimward8025 The Championship game was the week before against Alabama. The game against Oregon was just to make it official and collect their trophy and rings. That game was never in doubt.

    • @Manosteele67
      @Manosteele67 День назад

      @@jimward8025they shoulda stopped it then

  • @roamingtiger
    @roamingtiger 20 часов назад

    Us Oklahoma fans appreciated the stability Gabriel brought to us after Lincoln leaving. We loved his character and wanted him to succeed. But we all had our complaints of him too, not hitting the deep ball or on quick passes he seemed to sail the ball high. I think that’s where a lot of his turn overs come from.

  • @Virtski
    @Virtski День назад +2

    Oregon fan here. Ohio State's got a ton of talent on both sides of the ball. They could really dominate Oregon on paper, but I'm curious to see how it plays out on Saturday. I like Ohio State too, and I think Ryan Day is definitely one of my top three college football coaches.

    • @cameronmitchell5201
      @cameronmitchell5201 День назад +1

      Dang, I think y’all are the only team that could keep up with Ohio State! I think it’ll be a great game!

    • @alexsandul5631
      @alexsandul5631 День назад +2

      Fake fan alert

    • @Virtski
      @Virtski День назад

      @@alexsandul5631 Respecting and appreciating another team doesn’t make you a “fake fan.” The status speaks for itself. I’m not going to be one-sided about it. I’m a huge college football fan, but at the end of the day, I’ll always cheer for Oregon.

  • @jacenmiller6504
    @jacenmiller6504 День назад +1

    Neither QB has a decisive advantage in big games in their career - DG is .500 @ 4 & 4, WH is .375 at 3 & 5. DG's interceptions are magnified by the fact they have all come in bunches over two games. If they were spread out over the entirety of the 5 games, they would be looked at the same as Howard's given they have the same number. I expect to see a lot of different looks from both teams in this game as neither has opened their bag this year. Too many people use the terms "can't" and "don't" as opposed to "haven't yet" - neither team's o-line has faced a D-Line like they are about to, and I expect DG to show his mobility more this game than any previous game. This will force the LB's to try to account for him, opening things up for guys in the middle of the field (I expect Ferguson and Sadiq to get plenty of looks). I do think that QJ and TH will get their yards, but I would expect Oregon's D to hold them well below their roughly 8 ypc average. Oregon needs to be WAY BETTER in the RZ, and needs to force at least one OSU field goal in the RZ if they want to win. Even with weaker competition, tOSU has played better/more consistent ball all year, but the step up in competition, long travel, and the environment at Autzen will all play a factor. Give me the Ducks by 31-27.

  • @longacre1041
    @longacre1041 День назад +5

    This is a rare #2 vs #3 in season head-to-head where the teams are evenly matched... neither team has to be perfect to win. One of the biggest aspects of this game that is being grossly overlooked, is the fact that it's Ohio State that has to travel two time zones. This is something that has plagued every ranked BIG-10 team this season(see SC @ Michigan, SC @ Minnesota and Michigan @ Washington most recently).... and if that's not daunting enough, the game is being played in one college football's most notoriously difficult venues; Autzen Stadium.
    History has not been kind to top 10 ranked opponents visiting Autzen. Lloyd Carr, #3
    Michigan's head coach in 2003 on their loss at Autzen, famously said that he would never schedule a game there again, that it was the loudest environment he'd ever experienced and that Autzen "is where great teams go to die".

    • @Andy-AJC72
      @Andy-AJC72 День назад +1

      I’m not buying the timezone traveling team theory. I think it says more about SC and Michigan more than anything. I don’t think they are what folks thought they were.
      That said, computer model does not consider the intangibles of the home field advantage for sure.

    • @longacre1041
      @longacre1041 День назад

      @@Andy-AJC72 No one’s trying to sell it. It’s not a matter of opinion, it’s a simple fact. Google ‘travel-fatigue’….. It happens to everyone.

    • @kristopherhansen8768
      @kristopherhansen8768 День назад

      @@Andy-AJC72what’s that going to say for the b10 as a whole when usc dumps Penn state on Saturday? Big10 homers forgot the 4 west coast teams are bringing pac12 cannibalism with them

  • @iykykyle
    @iykykyle День назад +1

    How does a +3.5 point spread say more good about Oregon than OSU? If this game were played on a neutral field the spread would be around +6.5 or +7 just based on FPI and SP+ metrics...

    • @mikewest5285
      @mikewest5285 День назад +1

      You should check out Massey Ratings system. They have the game Ohio State by 3.5 also. Even early in the season it was pretty close. The two Idaho teams skewed Oregon’s numbers downward. You have to ask yourself, is Oregon the same team they were in the first two weeks, and is Ohio State the same team they were the first two weeks. I believe too many people are basing this game off those early results.

    • @iykykyle
      @iykykyle День назад

      @@mikewest5285 Will do, thank you!

  • @DucksForever87
    @DucksForever87 День назад +3

    You say Gabriel is frustrating because he turns the ball over, but Howard and Gabriel have the same number of interceptions - both with 3

    • @robertfredericks3139
      @robertfredericks3139 День назад +1

      This is going to shock you, but Dillon Gabriel has played college football before this year.

    • @DucksForever87
      @DucksForever87 День назад

      @@robertfredericks3139 OK, genius, tell me how many interceptions Dillon Gabriel had last year and how many Will Howard had. I know the answer, but go look it up. I’ll wait.

    • @DucksForever87
      @DucksForever87 День назад

      @@robertfredericks3139 OK, genius, tell me how many interceptions Dillon Gabriel had last year and how many Will Howard had. I know the answer, but go look it up. I’ll wait.

    • @DucksForever87
      @DucksForever87 День назад +1

      @@robertfredericks3139 Career stats - Dillon Gabriel 29 interceptions on 1,831 attempts and Will Howard 28 interceptions on 909 attempts

    • @RB-.-
      @RB-.- День назад +2

      @@robertfredericks3139 So has Will Howard. And he was benched 3x at K State because of his turnover issues.

  • @samhohl8113
    @samhohl8113 День назад +1

    Great stuff guys! Defense and the running game travels. Buckeyes 30 Oregon 20. Take it to the bank!

  • @conniemorris8181
    @conniemorris8181 День назад +1

    I think OSUs size all over the place is going to outmatch Oregon. I mean the smallest player outside of the RBs is Caleb Downs at 6’0.

  • @RS-mv8nl
    @RS-mv8nl День назад +1

    I feel like Ohio State has the right attitude in recruiting across the board, they bring kids in with the promise to develop them and if they make the cut, great! If they don't they got a year of training and can go anywhere in the country with no hard feelings or pressure. I think that and of course NIL deals but it really is an NFL machine at this point

  • @jimfoss5408
    @jimfoss5408 День назад +1

    I really don’t see Oregon slowing down Ohio State’s run game.

  • @chadthornsberry1342
    @chadthornsberry1342 День назад

    Honestly, your model is actually right. The only problem is that the point total is off. I see this game as more 42-24 OSU. The biggest issue in this game is that Oregon has not faced a team with a pulse defensively this season. OSU also played against Marshall and MSU without Ty Williams. Williams makes that D-line elite. With Williams in the game, the D has given up zero TD’s. Zero. They have given up 2 FG’s and those came from distance. You are severely underestimating how good that D is. Plus, OSU has a very capable running game that could limit Oregon possessions. If thought defending Jeanty was tough, try the leading SEC rusher from last year plus the unique ability of Henderson. Oh btw, I haven’t even gotten to the WRs who feature the freak ability of Jeremiah Smith. Point is Oregon realistically speaking, needs to score about 30 points to have a chance to beat OSU. That is the bare minimum. I don’t see Oregon being able to do that against OSU.

  • @danwalsh2525
    @danwalsh2525 День назад +1

    I think it's funny when one perspective is applied to one team, but not another. Ohio State offense being "clunky". Have you watched any Oregon games? Have you seen their own fans/medias coverage? I find both teams are very similar and have similar strengths and weaknesses...I feel OSU has a bit more experience and depth.
    For Oregon to be successful, they need to spread OSU vertically and hit them with crossing patterns. I've seen Oregon try to attack the sidelines and spread teams sideline to sideline...I dont think that will work vs OSU defense.
    Buckeyes need to play smart (not cute), run the ball and play field position.
    Go Buckeyes!

  • @jsmiles17
    @jsmiles17 День назад +4

    Ohio State 38 - Oregon 14. Oregon will be 1 dimensional in passing and OSU will bring the pressure

    • @alexsandul5631
      @alexsandul5631 День назад +1

      Lol😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 won't happen at home bub

  • @ethanbutler702
    @ethanbutler702 День назад +2

    Ohio State 31 Oregon 21

  • @mikestricker798
    @mikestricker798 День назад +1

    Great video. I’m a Buckeye and as excited about this team/season as any in the last 25 years. The Bucks are loaded and even more important they are hungry and unified and willing to do whatever it takes to overcome the setbacks on the past 3 years when we were 11-0 but faultered late on a couple key plays defensively against UGa to win a Natty and a couple O-line miss-blocks away from beating UM and being a #1 seed in last years playoff that was wide open to win. Great job with your analysis. I think you are spot on. Ohio State 30-Oregon 17

    • @bigdchi
      @bigdchi День назад

      Day and hia overated DC will find a way to screw the pooch.

    • @grantkunkle7976
      @grantkunkle7976 2 часа назад

      ​@bigdchi I give you Oregon 2x against Washington last year. Danny isn't Saban either!

  • @cliftonconnor9389
    @cliftonconnor9389 День назад +1

    I think the game will be a little bit higher scoring. Ohio State 34, Oregon 27.

  • @Shibdefend
    @Shibdefend День назад +2

    So Oregon gave up 35 to a one dimensional Boise but they will hold Ohio State to 26😂😂😂😂😂

    • @turbomatt75
      @turbomatt75 День назад

      Yeah. Oregon has faced diversity. You learn from struggling and facing challenges. You can discount that if you want, but I won’t. Oregon also faced the greatest RB in college football by far. Laugh now…you can cry later

  • @NP-zs5yq
    @NP-zs5yq День назад +1

    I think this will come down to Ohio State's offensive line and redzone efficiency for both teams. Both teams will move the ball, but I give OSU the edge in the redzone as I think their offensive attack will be a bit more balanced than Oregon's. Having said that, a matchup to watch is Sonny Styles on Oregon's TE. Sonny has struggled in coverage a bit when OSU is in Nickel and if Oregon can get him confused they could gash OSU and consistently keep drives alive. But I'm an OSU fan so give me the Buckeyes 24 - 20.

    • @smittyDXPS3
      @smittyDXPS3 День назад +1

      Ohio State doesn't just have the edge in Red Zone, they straight up dominate on both sides compared to Oregon.

    • @NP-zs5yq
      @NP-zs5yq День назад

      @@smittyDXPS3 They have the edge in certain other areas as well, I agree, I just meant the red zone edge will be particularly important . Regarding domination, we'll see, I haven't watched a ton of Oregon this year but I think they have ways to put stress on some of OSU's possible vulnerabilities (as does OSU to them). Really excited to see the gameplan from both sides, and it'll be a revealing game regardless of what happens!

  • @artoftruthpodcast8678
    @artoftruthpodcast8678 День назад +1

    Jeanty is by far the best RB in the nation, not “probably the best”!!

  • @mrcandy7660
    @mrcandy7660 День назад +1

    Good video as always, although I think it's important to look at that first half vs Iowa again. The buckeyes only had one possession in the first quarter. They were moving the ball fine in the second, but drives were stalled by two turnovers, so I'm not quite sure it's fair to say they didn't look great.
    As far as this week's game, everyone, including the buckeye faithful, came to a consensus that Oregon is probably going to beat Ohio state during the off-season. I'm sure most opinions have changed either through rose-color glasses or based off results, but I still find this to be a scary match up. Defense will shine in this one. 17-13 ohio state.

    • @CollegeFootballNerds
      @CollegeFootballNerds  День назад

      I mean, two turnovers a 1 score in a half of football "not looking great" is pretty charitable imo.

  • @jaysmith4302
    @jaysmith4302 День назад +1

    Ohio State 31-20, but then I'm a rabid Ohio State fan and always pick them to win so my prognosticating chops leave something to be desired.Historical note: these teams have met about a half dozen times and I think Oregon has won once, which, of course, is irrelevant.

  • @damon6717
    @damon6717 День назад +3

    This game will be played in Eugene, Oregon.

  • @Montzter57
    @Montzter57 День назад +2

    I have OSU winning 31-21.

  • @Halvor80
    @Halvor80 День назад

    I think this is the game where we see Chip Kelly open up the bag of tricks to at least 75%. I would not be surprised to see 3 TE on the field a few times or both Judkins and Henderson on the field at the same time. 35-14 OSU.

  • @andrewschneider2121
    @andrewschneider2121 День назад +3

    Have you guys mentioned the new clock rules limited the amount of total plays and possessions.
    Is offensive production down the last two years because of it?

    • @CollegeFootballNerds
      @CollegeFootballNerds  День назад +5

      Yes, we've talked about it a good bit. I also talked about this specific point in my appearance on RJ Young's show yesterday.

    • @brianritchey7923
      @brianritchey7923 День назад +2

      This is the first year with the two minute warning (timeout). That should help bring scoring back up a little bit.
      Teams really like to tack on points before halftime, and the automatic timeout will make that easier to achieve.

  • @pilljr.3331
    @pilljr.3331 День назад +1

    Road environment doesn’t matter if you can quiet the Home crowd…I’m more concerned with the travel…

  • @daveallen9950
    @daveallen9950 День назад +1

    Maybe in the future we should only let computers play these football games? A computer model doesn't look at the leadership quality of Gabriel over Howard and the difference the Oregon defense has made

    • @smittyDXPS3
      @smittyDXPS3 День назад +2

      Maybe because you just made that up? Howard is a great leader and a proven championship winner. Not to say Gabriel isn't, but to say Gabriel is the only one with that leader factor is just not true.

  • @brianritchey7923
    @brianritchey7923 День назад +3

    Michigan State was a night game for Ohio State.
    Also, it won't get dark until the 4th quarter...that's when it got dark in the Washington v. Michigan game which was the same kickoff time.
    But the Oregon crowd will be a factor.
    Explosive plays and turnovers will decide or break this one open.
    I'll say Ohio State 31 Oregon 20

    • @MacaroniCeroni
      @MacaroniCeroni День назад +2

      Bro..... It's a 50 thousand capacity stadium 🤣. Ohio stadium is 105 thousand. They aren't going to fluster the Buckeyes

    • @brianritchey7923
      @brianritchey7923 День назад +3

      @@MacaroniCeroni It gets very loud there. And Ohio State fans aren't screaming when Ohio State has the ball. The road crowd is almost always a factor, especially in big games, and especially at night (though this is quasi-night for Pacific time).

    • @RickSanchez167
      @RickSanchez167 День назад

      @@MacaroniCeroni Oregon has the loudest stadium in the country my guy

    • @marktrail8624
      @marktrail8624 День назад

      59,000 seating capacity not 50k

    • @garryrobinson5695
      @garryrobinson5695 День назад +1

      @@RickSanchez167according to who?? Anything I look up has lsu as the loudest stadium.

  • @mattnorcia5593
    @mattnorcia5593 День назад +1

    I think Oregon’s defense could give Will Howard some issues, I think it will be close, tough game to pick, but probably OSU wins. If it’s a close game, I don’t think either team should be penalized too much for losing, both quality squads in my humble opinion, but Oregon is at home which is huge here.

  • @harrylegge4898
    @harrylegge4898 День назад

    The Pate reference by Josh is Gold.😎 Continued 🙏🏽🙏🏽🙏🏽

  • @Bear_squatch
    @Bear_squatch 10 часов назад

    Oregon 31- OSU 17.
    I love that the big take on Gabriel is that he "turns the ball over" "Turnover prone" "immobile". Howards interceptions match Gabriel's, but he isn't interception prone? I cannot wait to be at this game. Autzen is ready.

    • @rj_nbk
      @rj_nbk 4 часа назад

      LMFAOOOOOO you’re funny

  • @thechicagostaleys
    @thechicagostaleys День назад +5

    I’ll just say this to you guys. Trust the model this week! 😉

  • @AceMan-20
    @AceMan-20 День назад +4

    Give me 33-24 Oregon. Expecting the home field advantage to come up big, here. Wouldnt be surprised with the inverse tho.

  • @pilljr.3331
    @pilljr.3331 День назад +1

    The difference will be the pounding Ohio State brings late in the game …OSU 31-10

  • @SDPh.D.
    @SDPh.D. День назад +2

    14:20 - Minor point, but OSU played at Michigan State at night.

    • @wattsinc.
      @wattsinc. День назад +1

      In the rain in Michigan

  • @stephenlight647
    @stephenlight647 День назад +5

    Ohio State is deep and fast. They have a slightly above average QB, and that will be enough to win all of their games, including Oregon and my Penn State. They are that good. If you want to see an effective use of a large NIL pool, look at Ohio State.
    Edit: my score projection is Ohio State 30, Oregon 21

    • @Jleed989
      @Jleed989 День назад +1

      CFB needs a “salary cap” to keep these runaway NIL deals in check

    • @Al-Rudigor
      @Al-Rudigor День назад +1

      ​@@Jleed989why didn't anyone want a salary cap for the good ole boy coaches?

    • @KB3TLE
      @KB3TLE День назад

      Buckeye Fan here -- and I see a 31 -- 21 type of game myself ? --- Simply an objective look at this with an A- or a B+ game. I think these Buckeyes are on a mission this season -&- they are ready to rumble !!!

  • @ericroberts7485
    @ericroberts7485 8 часов назад

    Wow. Very well said. Everything you said absolutely makes sense including Gabriel being overrated. You really paid attention to detail. So with that I’m hoping Oregon runs the ball well. I’m hoping Burch causes some problems. I’m hoping Oregon can slow down and somewhat manage Ohio states running game. Gooooducks!!!!

  • @Shibdefend
    @Shibdefend День назад +3

    Defense travels and Ohio St is the #1 defense in CFB Oregon will struggle to score double digits

  • @davidcole2337
    @davidcole2337 День назад +1

    Hope Oregon Wins but just think Ohio State has found there Groove so I will go 31 - 27 kind of game.

  • @cameronmitchell5201
    @cameronmitchell5201 День назад +1

    Either team can afford to lose and be okay! They’ll probably see each other again in the championship! I have Ohio State by a td! Oregon a tricky team though!

  • @takforce06
    @takforce06 День назад +1

    Oregon won, because Boise State doesn’t have decent Special Teams. They gave up TWO kick return touchdowns to Oregon and that’s an 11 Point victory for Boise State.

    • @alexsandul5631
      @alexsandul5631 День назад

      Oregon aso fumbled two plays in a row. If that doesn't happen then what? Tomatoes tomatoes

  • @_brettburch
    @_brettburch День назад

    I think Day and Kelly will try to favor the run as Boise did - for a different reason. If Howard makes a mistake it could be much closer than a lot of Buckeye fans here anticipate. The timezone issues from other teams should not be discarded. I'm looking forward to a full 4 quarter game, but a nice road win.
    The Buckeyes have been a much better 2nd half (especially 3Q) team. If they play from behind I think they can catch up, but if Howard's inaccuracy or tendency to force some throws gets exposed, they could also lose.I think Judkins will have a 40+ yd TD.

  • @andrewmueller9986
    @andrewmueller9986 День назад +1

    I don't think Oregon skill players are overrated like Josh says. Jordan James is very good. Even Stewart and Trey Holden are starting to play great.
    OSU hasn't played any teams with good offenses. We think their defense is great, but is it?
    OSU has a 3 time zone east to west trip which will involve jet lag on the body.
    In summary I am amazed that more people aren't picking Oregon.

    • @HiiipowerHabits
      @HiiipowerHabits День назад

      Y’all skill players are overrated and not elite.

    • @NujadBolivar
      @NujadBolivar День назад

      @@HiiipowerHabits 🧾

    • @HiiipowerHabits
      @HiiipowerHabits День назад +1

      @@NujadBolivar we will reconvene. Y’all have multiple starters at skill that literally were backups on other teams and had to come to Oregon to start lmao

  • @marchedge4940
    @marchedge4940 День назад +1

    A creative run game can neutralize fast twitch DEs, and Chip Kelly is as good as it gets with a creative run game.

    • @ryanhagfeldt116
      @ryanhagfeldt116 День назад

      32-27 Oregon. Everyone underestimating Oregon’s defense. And everyone underestimating Autzen Stadium.

    • @marchedge4940
      @marchedge4940 День назад

      @ryanhagfeldt116 I didn't underestimate anyone and I 100% respect the environment. I was simply saying the DEs winning wasn't an absolute certainty as it was portrayed.

  • @Glue_Stick98
    @Glue_Stick98 День назад +1

    35 - 24 Buckeyes

  • @stevent530
    @stevent530 День назад +1

    It will be a low scoring game. First one to 20 wins. Ohio State 20. Oregon 16

  • @avi7278
    @avi7278 День назад +1

    Will Howard doesn't respond well to pressure? Taht dude evades pressure evey bit as well as Justin Fields did. I just dont know what youre watching, or if you're watching....

  • @StephenFlynn-xl2fw
    @StephenFlynn-xl2fw День назад

    Maybe the odds aren't actually about who's going to win the game. It's about persuading people to bet.

  • @444chroma
    @444chroma День назад

    good talk! the part that got me to laugh was at 19:02 after Josh has been setting up his pick and waxing eloquently for a while the graphic just comes up with the score like "I can't wait anymore"

    • @CollegeFootballNerds
      @CollegeFootballNerds  День назад

      That’s pretty much in line with Daniel’s facial expressions when we recorded

  • @BuckeyeJazzFella
    @BuckeyeJazzFella День назад

    Love you guys. But, I think you get Vegas wrong. Vegas is not guessing the eventual point differential. It is guessing where the spread should be to get bets exactly 50/50 on both sides. Meaning, they gauge bettor expectations and not game result.

    • @CollegeFootballNerds
      @CollegeFootballNerds  День назад +1

      Yes, and if they were way off the point differential, they'd never get any bets on one side.

  • @TheARehmar
    @TheARehmar 19 минут назад

    You might want to consider watching the games instead of just looking at the numbers. You’re missing the forest for the trees. The Oregon run D is sloppy and going to look bad on Saturday.

  • @monteguerin-y9b
    @monteguerin-y9b День назад

    Forget every game you have watched this year, the game is about matchups and until they play you can say all you want on who will win and what the score will be. I am sure the computer would have picked Alabama way over Vanderbilt by 60 points but then the game is played. The trench will tell the game, turnovers will tell the game, and for the first time this year we all will see both teams open their playbooks. I feel the Autzen crowd will surprise Ohio State and make it difficult at times, and I am going to be there and watch it all happen. Go Ducks.

  • @woohoomike
    @woohoomike 22 часа назад

    tOSU 35 Oregon 17...I'll be flying to Eugene this weekend from San Diego to watch this in person...I can't wait.

  • @MrBulldog1965
    @MrBulldog1965 День назад

    The team that plays keep away and able to run the ball better. Also not turn the ball over will win period! But Coaching will play a big part in the game.

  • @dominicclark5342
    @dominicclark5342 День назад

    I think there's something to the idea of shock concerning an upgrade in competition. I also think it's something we have seen quite a few times with Ohio State.
    I think the winner of this one will need to hit 30 regardless of who it is. I think it will be Oregon. 31-24 Oregon.

  • @444chroma
    @444chroma День назад +1

    17-10 Ohio State

  • @polywoggins
    @polywoggins День назад

    430 Pacific Time, game will be getting dark by the end.
    Predicting blowouts (below) at Autzen is kind of dumb. Just doesn't happen often. Maybe this is the game, but history does not show that. Likely to be a very close game.

  • @alansabin7487
    @alansabin7487 День назад +1

    oregon will be exposed, ohio will control the ball and oregon will turn it over
    3 times. oregon will score only 10 , ohio by 15.

  • @buckeyebob55
    @buckeyebob55 День назад +1

    38-20 GO BUCKS

  • @parkeranderson5990
    @parkeranderson5990 День назад +2

    Michigan played no one in the non conference and won a national title

    • @jaysonp9426
      @jaysonp9426 День назад

      Funny how no one likes to talk about this

    • @pilljr.3331
      @pilljr.3331 День назад +1

      And how did they do that?

    • @parkeranderson5990
      @parkeranderson5990 День назад

      @@pilljr.3331 by having the second most picks in a draft in NFL history on their team and the best NFL DC this year as their DC

    • @buckeyebaptist1976
      @buckeyebaptist1976 День назад

      Good point. It's a myth to think you have to have a rough schedule and be from the toughest conference to be the best team in the country. History has proven this many times.

  • @WestCoastCFB
    @WestCoastCFB День назад +10

    oregon will win, I will come back to this comment to either say I told you so, or i will admit i was wrong 😂 go ducks!🦆

  • @GoBuckeyes216
    @GoBuckeyes216 День назад

    I could be very very wrong but I can see this being a track meet type of game. I think OSU has the ability to score in the 40s or 50s if they have to and Oregon is LEVELS better than any offense they’ve seen to this point. I think Oregon is gonna be out to prove that they can play with the big boys in the big ten and are gonna be trying to make a statement.
    OSU 45 Oregon 37

  • @Dawg-Bone
    @Dawg-Bone 15 часов назад +1

    I think it’ll be close to start out, but Ohio State will pull away 31-20

  • @Ethandavisbaker
    @Ethandavisbaker День назад

    Interesting statistic I heard this week. In the Big10, teams are 1-6 when they travel 2 or more time zones.

    • @garryrobinson5695
      @garryrobinson5695 День назад +1

      Gotta look at who was favored as well! Reason I said this is because most of the teams that played on the west coast from the east were not favored. People use this stat to justify OSU losing. I think they will be fine because they have three nfl coaches who have experience from traveling in the nfl.

  • @MaysGotIt
    @MaysGotIt День назад +1

    OHIO STATE 42
    Oregon 24

  • @codybarker52
    @codybarker52 День назад +1

    Dont worry Ohio State is going to win by 20, and then all week long next week everyone is going to say they havent played anybody thats on there level yet this year... Its gonna happen every week... Go Bucks.