💎Sign up for TradingView, the best charting platform out there! www.tradingview.com/u/InTheMoneyAdam/?aff_id=114660&aff_sub=RUclips Summary of Economic Projections: www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20221214.pdf Powell hates Christmas and is personally responsible for me only getting socks this year at best. Rally dead, idea dead. Bluff or not, the market believes Powell and Santa Claus got 360 no-scoped by the FOMC.
I’m happy with all of the above but I agree unfortunately most wallstreet bets bros/faggel finance fuckboys can’t handle sophisticated longer form 10+ mins vids which results in less views and less money for my ninja In da Money!
I love Adam, I love Eric, I love this outro music (I MISSED IT SO MUCH). We're with both of you, please keep us updated!! I hope re-uploadong is giving you some sense of normalcy, and it something that brings you comfort. I sincerely hope that these uploads are a sign of good things happening and good things to come. You both rock!
Later Powell said that he didn't see interest rates actually lowering for any part of 2023'. I would look for 1 50 point hike then 2 more 25 point hikes and then a long "no hike" glide into 2024. My opinion, he's trying to hedge against the global recession and keep the US dollar strong in relationship to other currencies. This new baseline (US dollar value) will force significant corporate overseas capital stock piles to get deployed (at the higher baseline -> the "soft landing"). This global drain pipe is required to create longer term stability. capital returning to US functions like a stock buy back but for the US treasury.
Adam, so good to see you doing regular content again. Some of the other shills on YT would steal your ideas and repackage them as their own then try to charge people for courses. I’m sorry about your illness and I’m glad to see your spirits and wit have returned
What a data dump for the week of finance. Speak your mind bro! Enjoyed hearing a well articulated perspective regarding the chaos. Hope all is well and thank you from the bottom of my heart.
In poker terms "he wasnt bluffing" at all... He went all in and show his hand by extending the rate hike time frame along with rate hike itself. 17 of the members expects over %5, 7 out of 17 expecting %5.4 Jerome is a really really nice guy, as soon as he is out of reading the paper he becomes calmer.
At the end of the day, they need to wait to see how the new data comes out before they act. All these projections are merely hypothetical. P.S. hope u keep doing these types of videos Adam, interesting getting ur pov. Keep feeling better!
It's not a bluff. The terminal rate went higher. He keeps saying "higher for longer" and he means it. The majority of the committee is on board. They WILL over-tighten, just like they missed inflation to begin with, because they move slowly.
I have to agree with you. A bluff would've been no rate hike after threatening a rate hike. None of what this guy said here makes any sense. He's done exactly what he's said so far...no reason to doubt him now.
I wanted to comment my gratitude. I have been following you for some time and it's your no bull shit down to earth attitude that's kept me coming back. There isn't much I can do in return for the knowledge I've attained from you. Here is a few things I would love to see you make videos on and dm me if you need anything. 1. Trading on Gap fills. How. What platform to find them. Best ways to do it. 2. Market open or close live streams? 3. Finding the best stocks to go long on with leaps during a long bear market. Seems like so many deals right now. Thanks brother
He also said in the Q&A that there are no expectations of interest cuts in all of 2023. I don’t personally see the market rallying until we have soft language at multiple FOMC meetings next year. Keeping at it is the tactic. Cpi every month will boost the market temporarily but as companies report lower than expected earnings next year we will see an overall sell off of the market
THANK YOU!!! you're the best adam, thank you for summarizing and congrats on the trading view sponsor, i've been using them for years and its been a great tool. wishing the best and looking forward to the next one!
This is a really cool channel btw, way more chill and evidence-based than a lot of the self-titled gurus. I like what you do here. I think the rally is a lock, but I'm growing increasingly sure that it'll be the last one (though I've definitely said that and been wrong before). Inflation MAY be coming down for bad reasons, like a recession kicking off that some people aren't seeing. Every rally since "we're not TECHNICALLY in a recession" has been a pump but I think they are running out of breath. Look around. Go to a poorer end of town than yours. People are hurting.
I agree on a long term bluff attempting to keep the tone where it needs to be. When have we seen such powerful agreement among members? They all sat in that meeting and said "we have no choice but to sing in harmony we finally are achieving the objectives we have been striving for". Buy the dip and let it run.
I don’t think it’s a bluff. I think the stern opening is a signal that just because CPI looks better doesn’t mean rate hikes are done. The fed wants inflation to actually come down to the target rate, not just be headed in the right direction. I think the stern language is intended to counter the market‘a natural tendency to get ahead of itself. Combined with the softer statements, I expect that we’re close to peak rates but nowhere near heading in the other direction. Once rates peak, I expect them to stay flat for an extended period until we see movement in employment.
Markets were kinda boring today, I was hoping the dip would keep dipping but none of the stocks I've been watching were really worth buying even at today's bottom, I guess there's always the post-pivot drop to look forward to
I like the extra 50bp let’s just keep hammering into this inflation. Also I don’t really try to overthink these fed events to me they are just trading opportunities. I did a long straddle on CPI and another long straddle on the FOMC so I’m very happy with their results.
It's beginning be silly if the market reacts to any little nuance of comment Powell gives. The policy is very clear and they are sticking to their plan. Exactly what a market wants, less uncertainty.
He exposed his hand months back.. Jerome mentioned that the "language" was just as important as the policy... If by simple words he can "tame" the markets, he will continue the "language"....
In the money coming in hot with the new vids, loving all of it. Keep them coming. I would be curious to here you views on the latest crackdown on influencers within the market and the pump and dump. I would also be curious to hear your thoughts on how that is different than some of the plays that Elon took.
I feel like the Fed has been following their playbook that was shared in September. He also has been playing the market like a fiddle with hawkish statements to curb preliminary rallies.
He might actually not be bluffing this is more like the market just doesn't believe him. I've seen many varied opinions and one of them is that they will back off rate hikes because something will break severly before his 2% target
I just want to say this FOMC Meeting analysis is amazing and TradingView is by far the best charting service. A+++ This is such a quality channel. Keep sucking them toes, TradingView is legitimately the best.
I don’t think it’s a bluff. I think the Feds value betting here and can’t afford a market rally. Too much cash are still on the side line, todays market response was exactly what the fed was hoping to achieve.
Same here. I love getting everyone's different takes and perspectives, but man it's amazing how ppl can see the same thing so differently. I didn't see any dovish language or bluff at all. To me, the market has consistently called J Pows bluff on everything, and each time J Pow is holding a full house. I don't know how clear he can make it: they are going to raise rates higher than ppl think and keep them there longer than ppl think. Until the market truly understands that, every rally will be sold off. Just my 2 cents.
💎Sign up for TradingView, the best charting platform out there! www.tradingview.com/u/InTheMoneyAdam/?aff_id=114660&aff_sub=RUclips
Summary of Economic Projections: www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20221214.pdf
Powell hates Christmas and is personally responsible for me only getting socks this year at best.
Rally dead, idea dead. Bluff or not, the market believes Powell and Santa Claus got 360 no-scoped by the FOMC.
Wow! Congrats on the sponsorship. That's a good one.
Lol from found trading view to sponser in 2 days
@@Zhaopow3 give the man, a break.
Great video but you need to trim your fingernails brother.
I like the shorter form, market awareness type videos like this. This is a good channel.
I’m happy with all of the above but I agree unfortunately most wallstreet bets bros/faggel finance fuckboys can’t handle sophisticated longer form 10+ mins vids which results in less views and less money for my ninja In da Money!
I love Adam, I love Eric, I love this outro music (I MISSED IT SO MUCH). We're with both of you, please keep us updated!! I hope re-uploadong is giving you some sense of normalcy, and it something that brings you comfort.
I sincerely hope that these uploads are a sign of good things happening and good things to come. You both rock!
Cringe
What's the name of the outro? I find myself humming it throughout the day.
@@cambo1972 the track is Urban Lullaby - Jimmy Fontanez / Doug Maxwell
@@johnnycochicken thanks king 👑
You're looking really good for someone who's gone through what you've been through. Hope you're doing well
Adam, as another Adam. Thanks for doing this. Your a diamond in the rough in the RUclips fiance stuff
Later Powell said that he didn't see interest rates actually lowering for any part of 2023'. I would look for 1 50 point hike then 2 more 25 point hikes and then a long "no hike" glide into 2024. My opinion, he's trying to hedge against the global recession and keep the US dollar strong in relationship to other currencies. This new baseline (US dollar value) will force significant corporate overseas capital stock piles to get deployed (at the higher baseline -> the "soft landing"). This global drain pipe is required to create longer term stability. capital returning to US functions like a stock buy back but for the US treasury.
Adam, so good to see you doing regular content again. Some of the other shills on YT would steal your ideas and repackage them as their own then try to charge people for courses. I’m sorry about your illness and I’m glad to see your spirits and wit have returned
What a data dump for the week of finance. Speak your mind bro! Enjoyed hearing a well articulated perspective regarding the chaos. Hope all is well and thank you from the bottom of my heart.
In poker terms "he wasnt bluffing" at all... He went all in and show his hand by extending the rate hike time frame along with rate hike itself. 17 of the members expects over %5, 7 out of 17 expecting %5.4
Jerome is a really really nice guy, as soon as he is out of reading the paper he becomes calmer.
Oh yes, the central bankers stealing from you are all just such nice people!
@@emptynukacolabottle5822 chill cowboy...
At the end of the day, they need to wait to see how the new data comes out before they act. All these projections are merely hypothetical. P.S. hope u keep doing these types of videos Adam, interesting getting ur pov. Keep feeling better!
It's not a bluff. The terminal rate went higher. He keeps saying "higher for longer" and he means it. The majority of the committee is on board. They WILL over-tighten, just like they missed inflation to begin with, because they move slowly.
No one under 50 understands stagflation. Give them a decade.
..and Powell is not up for relection, so he can go Volcker syndrome
It’s a bluff. Look at his past behavior. Always flip flopping. Next meeting will be something else.
I have to agree with you. A bluff would've been no rate hike after threatening a rate hike. None of what this guy said here makes any sense. He's done exactly what he's said so far...no reason to doubt him now.
@Socrates 98 his past behavior didn't have the pressure of inflation. Now he's backed into the corner. He has no other choices. Inflation is sticky.
My portfolio is already down 80% this year so I don’t really give a shit anymore burn the whole market down
Much love bro! Thanks for the uploads!!! Appreciate you sharing knowledge.
I wanted to comment my gratitude. I have been following you for some time and it's your no bull shit down to earth attitude that's kept me coming back. There isn't much I can do in return for the knowledge I've attained from you. Here is a few things I would love to see you make videos on and dm me if you need anything.
1. Trading on Gap fills. How. What platform to find them. Best ways to do it.
2. Market open or close live streams?
3. Finding the best stocks to go long on with leaps during a long bear market. Seems like so many deals right now. Thanks brother
I trade options on TQQQ exclusively.....this volatility is awesome. You're the man bro, I hope everything is getting better!
Glad you’re uploading man!
Glad you got sponsored too!
Missed ya man. Exactly what we need
He also said in the Q&A that there are no expectations of interest cuts in all of 2023. I don’t personally see the market rallying until we have soft language at multiple FOMC meetings next year. Keeping at it is the tactic. Cpi every month will boost the market temporarily but as companies report lower than expected earnings next year we will see an overall sell off of the market
Thanks, great insight. I love TV as well and had no idea you could see the economic data on it!
Thank you for another very insightful video and summary on Papa Powells talk. Love you too man, I smile every time I see a new vid post!
THANK YOU!!! you're the best adam, thank you for summarizing and congrats on the trading view sponsor, i've been using them for years and its been a great tool.
wishing the best and looking forward to the next one!
This is a really cool channel btw, way more chill and evidence-based than a lot of the self-titled gurus. I like what you do here.
I think the rally is a lock, but I'm growing increasingly sure that it'll be the last one (though I've definitely said that and been wrong before). Inflation MAY be coming down for bad reasons, like a recession kicking off that some people aren't seeing.
Every rally since "we're not TECHNICALLY in a recession" has been a pump but I think they are running out of breath.
Look around. Go to a poorer end of town than yours. People are hurting.
Love you back bb
Also what keyboard do you use. Love the pudding keycaps
We love you too man. Don’t ever change. Hope you’re feeling better.
Glad to see that you're doing better sir 🙏🙏🙏👍👍👍🚀🚀🚀🚀
I agree on a long term bluff attempting to keep the tone where it needs to be. When have we seen such powerful agreement among members? They all sat in that meeting and said "we have no choice but to sing in harmony we finally are achieving the objectives we have been striving for". Buy the dip and let it run.
I think it’s game theory like a non credible threats approach
I don’t think it’s a bluff. I think the stern opening is a signal that just because CPI looks better doesn’t mean rate hikes are done.
The fed wants inflation to actually come down to the target rate, not just be headed in the right direction. I think the stern language is intended to counter the market‘a natural tendency to get ahead of itself.
Combined with the softer statements, I expect that we’re close to peak rates but nowhere near heading in the other direction. Once rates peak, I expect them to stay flat for an extended period until we see movement in employment.
"Strangle inflation til it's eyes pop out." Quote of the year 2022
Damn you make good videos Adam, thank you! This is the kind of content people want from financial RUclipsrs 👍
Markets were kinda boring today, I was hoping the dip would keep dipping but none of the stocks I've been watching were really worth buying even at today's bottom, I guess there's always the post-pivot drop to look forward to
Do not time the market …never works
Love you too. ❤❤ Thanks for sharing your thoughts.
It's nuts how the marker is hanging on his every word. At some point the market is gonna to disagree with him.
Congrats on the tradingview affiliate
I continue to be bearish AF
I like the extra 50bp let’s just keep hammering into this inflation. Also I don’t really try to overthink these fed events to me they are just trading opportunities. I did a long straddle on CPI and another long straddle on the FOMC so I’m very happy with their results.
I think you lost money there given IV collapse (unless you mean you bought after the data release?).
Fed got an obligation to insiders not the people
Great insight 👍. Glad to see you're felling better, I hope.
Love this channel, best one out there
Appreciate you too bro!
Love and respect.
Adam, are you feeling better? Glad you’re back
Nice you got the sponsor!
It's beginning be silly if the market reacts to any little nuance of comment Powell gives. The policy is very clear and they are sticking to their plan. Exactly what a market wants, less uncertainty.
Thanks Adam! Great stuff!
He exposed his hand months back.. Jerome mentioned that the "language" was just as important as the policy... If by simple words he can "tame" the markets, he will continue the "language"....
We will end up settling for 3% as the new benchmark...
Great commentary, thanks.
Anyone who was expecting JP to all of a sudden turn bullish after 2 positive CPI results was smoking crack.
Thanks for sharing your insight bro.
I feel loved !
In the money coming in hot with the new vids, loving all of it. Keep them coming. I would be curious to here you views on the latest crackdown on influencers within the market and the pump and dump. I would also be curious to hear your thoughts on how that is different than some of the plays that Elon took.
Love your content. Keep it up
I feel like the Fed has been following their playbook that was shared in September. He also has been playing the market like a fiddle with hawkish statements to curb preliminary rallies.
Love your videos!!!
Inflation is still way too high and is coming down slowly. They will continue to tighten until late 2023, IMO. Not enough pain yet.
The market is completely mid priced right now looking at yields. There is significant downside to be realized.
Everyone was expecting the 50 already.
He just wants the talk down so it's conflicting if the market goes up it counter acts what he's doing rising credit markets are inflationary XD
I've had the same thoughts, for a good while. However during that time he's hiked rates up more than I thought he would.
Love the video
hope you went off your intuition, cause you got the rally you thought you could see. gonna be an interesting second quarter
Good to have you back. Love the new format! Just umm maybe it's time to cut your fingernails, man.
Our inflation is govt money printing
No way they'll be raising rates throughout next year.
love u too
Love man
Thank you
Where did you get this sick ass outro music ?
Check the description
@@InTheMoneyAdam Thanks legend
Love u bro
this was really helpful
The Bond Market tells you all you need to know..
People are calling his bluff in the bond market it looks like.
He might actually not be bluffing this is more like the market just doesn't believe him. I've seen many varied opinions and one of them is that they will back off rate hikes because something will break severly before his 2% target
SPY dumped a bit in PM. Maybe they believe him?
nice broski
I just want to say this FOMC Meeting analysis is amazing and TradingView is by far the best charting service. A+++
This is such a quality channel. Keep sucking them toes, TradingView is legitimately the best.
FOMC. How would you pronounce that as a word? "Fom-cuh"?
Nice. Well, I hope you are right 😊
Tesla weathered the decline. This market is nuts.
I love you too
The dude is a Volker disciple. It’s not a bluff
Ask and we receive. Thanks for trading view discount!
2:05 ethnic people sold off
Hey man I’m not special and unique gfys ily too though bby
Hey man! Grow the beard man, looking great! In the money becomes in the beard hehe just kidding. Have a nice day!
Stop saying u love me dammmmn 😭😭😭😭
i love you too
Love you too lol
❤️
👍
jerome powell is the biggest tool ever lol
I lost a lot of respect for you after you used Meet Kevin to elevate yourself
i love youre content but youre dead wrong.
Adam, if you want a sponsorship, you're going to have to clean up your language. 😉
Missed you bro! Glad you're doing better now and making videos again! Thank you for all you do
Stay strong Adam. I always enjoy your videos and style of speaking. You make things that could be complicated quite simple.
I don’t think it’s a bluff. I think the Feds value betting here and can’t afford a market rally. Too much cash are still on the side line, todays market response was exactly what the fed was hoping to achieve.
Glad you’re feeling better, hope all is well.
I agree they cant afford another market rally - after all stock market is a class of asset.
you are right they can't afford a market rally....that's why its a bluff
Nah you’re wrong about that. Did you just guess?
Same here. I love getting everyone's different takes and perspectives, but man it's amazing how ppl can see the same thing so differently. I didn't see any dovish language or bluff at all. To me, the market has consistently called J Pows bluff on everything, and each time J Pow is holding a full house. I don't know how clear he can make it: they are going to raise rates higher than ppl think and keep them there longer than ppl think. Until the market truly understands that, every rally will be sold off. Just my 2 cents.
Powell never fails to confuse me. You broke it down so well, appreciate it always!
Crazy to think that the “tone” of how one person talks for a few minutes can sway millions/billions/ trillions of dollars