@@alessiorastani so it predicted also the covid crash since you say you wait until the end of year to sell that means selling end of 2019 would have saved you in march 2020
Inflation is far more harmful to individuals than a collapsing stock or property market because it directly affects people's cost of living, which they immediately feel. It is not surprising that the current market sentiment is extremely pessimistic. In today's economy, assistance is critical if we are to survive.
If you lack market knowledge, your best bet is to seek advice or support from a consultant or investing coach. Contacting a consultant may sound simple, but it's how I've managed to stay afloat in the market and increase my portfolio to roughly 65% since January. It is, in my opinion, the best way to get started in the industry right now.
Credits goes to " Rebecca Nassar Dunne " one of the finest portfolio managers in the field. She's widely recognized; you should take a look at her work.
Biggest lesson i learnt in 2024 in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long term edge.
Nobody knows anything; You need to create your own process, manage risk, and stick to the plan, through thick or thin, While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.
Uncertainty... it took me 5 years to stop trying to predict what bout to happen in market based on charts studying, cause you never know. not having a mentor cost me 5 years of pain I learn to go we’re the market is wanting to go and keep it simple with discipline.
I've been working with ‘’Rachel Sarah Parrish” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, Look her up.
Recently bought some recommended stocks and now they are just penny stocks. There seems to be more negative portfolios in the last 3rd half of 2023 with markets tumbling, soaring inflation, and banks going out of business. My concern is how can the rapid interest-rate hike be of favor to a value investor, or is it better avoiding stocks for a while?
Just ''buy the dip'' man. In the long term it will payoff. High interest rates usually mean lower stock prices, however investors should be cautious of the bull run, its best you connect with a well-qualified adviser to meet your growth goals and avoid blunder
No doubt, having the right plan is invaluable. My portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market and recently hit 100% rise from early last year. I and my CFP are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, though this could take till Q3 2024.
Most people simply enter the foreign exchange market without comprehending matters like this. The first stage in building money is determining your goals and risk tolerance, which you may do on your own or with the assistance of a financial counselor who works with a verified Finance agency. And also you can learn the facts about saving and investing and create a clear plan, you should be able to acquire financial security over time and enjoy the benefits of income management.
Yeah, that guy is one asset manager that gives the breakdown of everything on how things are done, joining an effective financial community can be 100% beneficial when joined properly that's all I can say out of experience
Thank you so much for the advice. Your coach was simple to discover online. I did my research on him before I scheduled our phone call. He appears knowledgeable based on his online resume.
I curiously made a research of his full names after reading what you shared, I came across his webpage on-line. My portfolio suffered a big hit, holding it further won't be any good. I've heard of people netting hundreds of thousands this red season I'm really glad to see this...
I've been making more than six figures passively investing with John Desmond Heppolette, who showed me the right community to join and grow mv finances and I don't have to do much work. It doesn't matter if the market is crashing, I will always make returns.
Exactly why i enjoy market decisions being guided by a professional, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk management and market experience, been using the expertise and guidance of John Desmond Heppolette, for over 5years+ and I've netted over $3million in that time frame..
If buffet selling, then is this a good time to buy stocks? I know everyone is saying stocks are at a discount and all but just how long will It take to recover or am I better off putting my money elsewhere. I need a lot as rent, inflation alone eat up almost all of what I make with dependents and other obligations included. Tbh it's an uncertain year for me.
people calling stocks momentum a flunk aren't considering the long run. The companies themselves have not changed, it's the market that changed. Steady as it goes, and it'll regroup in weeks.
If you are not too savvy with the market, it’s the best time! just buy and hold on strong companies or best you seek out areas within sectors that can help you sustain a balance in both growth and value overtime. In certain cases, it's even easier to speak with someone enlightened to determine options best meant for you, I personally did this, and it works pretty well..
right now I’m being focused on renewable energy, semiconductors, Ai chips which will be hugely integral on every sectors in the coming years. an absolute power move right now.
I received a sizable inheritance in January. I struggled with this question. I invested most of the money over a 2-month period. I'm currently up 10% overall for the year, so I'd say that's a win. An important thing to consider is if you have a brokerage account that offers a cash holding fund making 4.5%+ yield, the cash is working for you at a good rate while you make decisions on what to invest in for higher returns.
I’m currently working towards financial freedom with a focus on dividends & growth investing. Since 2014, I’ve built a portfolio made up of 30% NVDA, 25% SCHD and over 40% in digital and alternative assets, thanks to my CFA. This strategy has helped me earn $56,000 a year in dividends. Back in 2014, I only earned $21 in dividends.
I'm cautious about giving specific recommendations since this is an online forum and everyone situation is unique, but I've worked with Melissa Elise Robinson for years and highly recommend her. Look her up to see if she meets your criteria
Day trading is where the pulse of the market truly comes alive! Every moment presents a new opportunity, and for those with the passion and precision, the rewards can be monumental. It's not just about quick trades, but about harnessing the power of the market in real-time. Dive in, seize the moment, and let every trade be a step towards achieving your financial dreams,I've personally benefited from following Michelle Combs trading tactics, amassing 9 bitcoins in a short five weeks period of day trading , which speaks volumes about her expertise in the market.
The farmer was the markets? It was no coincidence that 1987 happened 6 years after options and futures started trading? Standing on the roller picking up pennies before the steamroller flattens both?
I started my 250k portfolio last year with SCHD, VOO, and VUG after watching one of your videos. In terms of share price, VOO is way up (22.25%) and VUG is waaaaay up (39.62%). Thanks for the education! Will this provide solid cashflow?
I agree, it's important to balance your portfolio allocations. I recommend a managed portfolio, though their performance can vary. It's best to consult a fiduciary for guidance. That's what my spouse and I did, and we've grown our portfolio to $1.7 million.
I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with the popularly ‘’Amber Michelle Smith” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look her up.
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since l need all the assistance l can get. I just scheduled a caII.
have had this chart for 25 years and know 2 others independent of me who made fortunes in the 60's and late 70's but this is the best diagnosis of it I have heard yet thank you from New Zealand
As recession mount on Wall Street and inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target, some economics sounded off on just how bad this downturn might be - and how far stocks may have to fall. I need ideas and advice on what investments to make to set myself up for retirement, my goal is to have a portfolio of at least $850k at the age of 60.
The market is volatile at this time, hence i will suggest you get yourself a financial-advisor that can provide you with entry and exit points on the shares/ETF you focus on.
True. Having the right financial planner is invaluable. My portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market and recently hit 90% rise from early last year.
Jenienne Miniter Fagan is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
The most significant lesson I gained from the stock market in 2023 is that uncertainty prevails, emphasizing the importance of humility. Adhering to a long-term strategy with a competitive edge is key.
Certainty eludes everyone; thus, it's vital to establish your own methodology, handle risk, and adhere to your strategy unwaveringly. This commitment should endure challenges and successes, all while maintaining a commitment to ongoing learning and improvement.
Embracing uncertainty, I realized after five years that attempting to predict market outcomes through chart analysis was futile due to the unpredictable nature. My lack of a mentor led to six years of struggle. I transitioned to following the market's direction and adopting a straightforward, disciplined approach.
*@heathermellon7826* Who is the professional who is advising you, if you could perhaps tell us? As a novice investing in stocks without the correct direction of a professional, I have lost a lot of money.
I'm guided by Camille Alicia Garcia an experienced coach with extensive financial market knowledge. While you can consider other options, her strategy has yielded positive results for me. She offers valuable insights, including entry and exit points for the securities I concentrate on.
I've taken the initiative to research "Camille Alicia Garcia" online and verify her credentials. I'm impressed with her expertise, and I've reached out to her to share my financial market goals in detail.
The stock market rally run is gone, but I'm not sure if equities will swiftly recover, keep falling or swing in a narrow range for a few weeks, or if things will quickly get worse. I'm under pressure to increase my $450k reserve.
It's more challenging to create a strong financial portfolio, so I advise you to get help from a professional. You can then receive strategies that are specifically suited to your long-term objectives and financial aspirations.
Some stocks with a lot of potential aren't getting much attention. It makes you wonder when people will realize how valuable they are. I have $60k to start investing in the stock market. Is Bank of America still a good choice?
A good portfolio should have three basic things: ETFs for diversification, dividend stocks for cash flow, and leading tech stocks. When starting especially with a lump sum, it's a good idea to talk to a fiduciary advisor for expert advice.
People often underestimate financial advisors' importance. Over 50 years of data reveal that those who work with advisors typically earn more than those who go it alone. I've been fortunate to work with one for 13 years, resulting in a $2 million portfolio, largely from early investments in AI and other growth stocks.
This was brilliantly put together. I’ve been watching clips on youtube for months now and with professional help, I’m making outstanding progress with my trades.
I’m pretty green to the trade market. I live paycheck to paycheck and I'm looking to have all that changed this year, as I want to have money work for me instead. Would you be kind enough to share your process?
Herman Jonas is the brain behind my success. As a pro, he oversees my portfolio. I've gotten into a plethora of assets with $43k spread across stocks (options and futures) for the short term and Roth IRA, index funds, and ETFs, for the long term. Now I sit back, and just reinvest at intervals while I handle my other businesses.
Smaller, speculative stocks have endured a historically weak stretch. Investors are betting that a turnaround is finally in the works. I’ve lost about $320k within a few months, how do i take advantage of the market turnaround?
I want to diversify my portfolio across different stocks and sectors to minimize risk. I’ve heard of people accruing over $550k during recessions, how do I achieve this?
Investors should be cautious about their exposure and be wary of new buys, especially during inflation. Such high yields in this recession is only possible under the supervision of a professional or trusted advisor.
True, initially I wasn't quite impressed with my gains, opposed to my previous performances, I was doing so badly, figured I needed to diverssify into better assets, I touched base with a portfolio-advisor and that same year, I pulled a net gain of $550k...that's like 7times more than I average on my own.
Lisa Angelique Abel is my portfolio-coach, I found her on Bloomberg where she was featured, I looked up her name on the internet. Fortunately I came across her site and reached out to her, you can verify her yourself.
Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.
Stocks extended their year-to-date rally following the CPI report, with the S&P 500 last up 0.8% in afternoon trading. but I don't know if stocks will quickly rebound, continue to pull back or move sideways for a few weeks, or if conditions will rapidly deteriorate.I am under pressure to grow my reserve of $250k.
It's really hard to beat the market as a mere investor. It's just better if you invest with the help of a professional understands the market dynamics better.
Picking stocks is a risky thing to do, particularly for non-professionals. I learnt that in 2020, when I lost almost everything. But I switched to using a financial advisor and I've been returning at least $38k every month so I’ve been sticking to investing via an Advisor
There are a lot of independent advisors you might look into. But i work with HEATHER LEE LARIONI and I have been working together for nearly four years, and she is excellent. You could proceed with her if she satisfies your discretion. I endorse her.
Stocks continued their year-to-date rally following the CPI report, with the S&P 500 most recently up 0.8% in afternoon trade. But I don't know if stocks will recover quickly in a few weeks. I'm under pressure to increase my reserve of $250,000.
Concentrate on two main objectives. First, keep yourself safe by knowing when to sell stocks in order to limit losses and maximize gains. Second, get ready to benefit from market changes. I advise consulting a professional for advice.
@@IAMBETTERTHANYYOU Yes, I have contacted a financial advisor. With an initial starting reserve of $80,000, my advisor selects entry and exit orders for my portfolio, which has grown to approximately $550,000
There are a lot of independent advisors you might look into. But i work with "Jill Marie Carroll" and I have been working together for nearly four years, and she is excellent. You could proceed with her if she satisfies your discretion. I endorse her.
Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.
You’re awesome Alessio. You’re the best analyst. You are strictly analytical with zero emotion which I love. You have the best track record. Thanks much.
Starting early is simple. The best way of getting ahead to build wealth, investing remains a priority. I learnt from my last year’s experience, I was able to build a suitable life because I invested early ahead this time....
As a beginner investor, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. Myself, I’m guided by Stacy Griffin. A widely known cypto consultant
If I'm are to survive in this economic crisis I'll need assistance right away. The ETF and stock markets are still quite volatile, just like the property market. I'm still at a crossroads deciding if to liquidate my $300k stock portfolio
Many people are still getting fantastic returns on their investments during this time. Simply maintain a strong sense of reality or ask for professional assistance.
Thanks for chart! Love historical projections... I *personally* find Bitcoin the easiest. 4 year halving = buy before or around halving and just wait for a year or 2... I understand it's more investing than trading, but it has never failed... Supply halves = number go up 👍😁 Keep up the great work Alessio, love the outdoor videos too 🤗
Just sold a property in Portland and I'm thinking to put the cash in stocks, I know everyone is saying it’s ripe enough, but Is this a good time to buy stocks? How long until a full recovery? How are other people in the same market raking in over $450k gains within months, l'm really just confused at this point.
I read on CNBC about someone who is netting $20k a month himself from just his tradings in the market, which is from capital he had amassed long ago. That is incredible. How do people do that?
I just sold a property in Portland and I'm thinking of putting the cash in stocks, I know everyone is saying it's ripe enough, but Is this a good time to buy stocks? How long until a full recovery? How are other people in the same market raking in over $200k gains with months, I'm really just confused at this point.
@RonaldRyan9 It all depends on how long you're willing to hold for, stocks might likely tank further, but making serious gains in this downtrend wouldn't be a problem if you're a pro.
I saw that chart last fall on the twitters! Very interesting. For myself I'm looking into Gann's Timing Equation and "Law of Vibration" (Gann called '29 more specifically, in his newsletter of 1928).
I think it makes a lot of sense to be bullish until 2025. Too much money was printed in 2020-21 and in short, the fed raised rates but never tightened its balance sheet. Typically takes 36 months from the time interest rates are raised to unemployment ticking up, which is the start of economic trouble, fed starts lowering interest rates, turns on the printers and severe decline in equities. That puts us into early to late 2025 for the start of equities decline…and it will not be pretty
Yield curve inversion -> recession could be about 2 years so that also works... but unemployment is ticking up now... along with bankruptcies and signs o things breaking in the banks. The recession and job losses and therefore stock market declines could arrive sooner than predicted due to banks tightening credit conditions.
@@boombustinvest Rate hikes were abrupt so it takes a while to have effect. My prediction is end of this year or some time first half next year. Not many companies etc have had to pay higher rates for their loans yet, student loans also freezed end of this year. So the effect should be felt harder next year, imo.
Thank you Alessio, always appreciate your thoughts on the market, you are one of the few analysts that I follow that give clarity and has helped me in my journey of understanding macro economy. I have followed you for several years and will continue to do so. I know you like quotes so I will leave one here, "The biggest risk of all is not taking one" .
Combining this chart prediction with focus on stocks that are on its earnings growth cycle (EW 3/3 advancing phase) will surely make you a fortune. Thanks for sharing this!
I deal in agriculture in Iowa and Missouri. Looking back at the chart ag real estate has followd this chart very precisely. A very good tool to consider before making investments.
I agree more with the literal interpretation, meaning I don’t think we are in a bull market now. Given the macro environment and low breadth in the indices, it’s hard to call this a bull market. We could see another 6 months to a year before the real bull market begins. It’ll be time to buy 6 months or so after the Fed starts cutting rates, which many expect to happen later this year.
I wonder if people that experienced the 2008 crash had it easier because. my portfolio has lost over $27000 and I don't see my retirement turning out well when I can't even grow my stagnant reserve
You have an opportunity to rebalance thanks to volatility. In order to help you diversify your portfolio, you must hire a financial counselor or broker.ur portfolio, you must hire a financial counselor or broker.
what are the probabilities of FED not cutting rates this year ? if they do money will flow into bonds potentially create the basis for crash in the stock markets that currently is tremendously overpriced (nvda etc.)
IMO we are currently into a B wave of and ABC correction going on since late 2021. i could be wrong but the macro picture Combine with technicals is telling me s&p in the 2000'ish might be the bottom...
Nvidia you can surely sell. The holiday companies would be next on my list for leveraged put trades. Consumer spending on non essentials is going to go down as the money in their pocket buys less. Results this year will be a little below expectations but I expect the lag effect of inflation and higher interest rates to really start to bite by the end of this year. If that leads to delinquencies and reduced bookings for 2024 then the holiday companies are going to be in deep trouble. Keep an eye on this in Q3 going into Q4 this year and get ready to place a sell. Nvidia is a no brainer. Unless the rules if the game have irrecoverably changed forever then the current price of Nvidia is grossly inflated and no amount future earnings that is remotely conceivable can justify it. It's just a scary one to place because when you already have a totally unjustifiable price, then who knows how much higher it can still go. Getting in at the right time with a sell of Nvidia is going to make overnight millionaires of those who get it right.
Alessio according to the chart that you are showing from 2016 to 2023 should be a bad period for the markets but at the start of 2016 the S & P 500 was 1900 and now it is almost 4200.
Yes you are correct. But as you know, Brenner meant the end of 2016, not the start. And by end of 2023 the market had dropped by 20% approx. I mentioned in the video that the cycle was not always right - so it was wrong from 2016/17 to 2023. Cheers
Thank You from Brisbane, Australia. I was not previously aware of this Benner Chart. Late 2023 is my latest revised expectation for an overdue market correction.
I hate to disagree with you on this one. I don't think the bullish cycle has started yet. We just had a debt deal and that 1Triliion$ deal is going to see a huge Aftershock within these 2 months. The Aftershock will see us crash really bad and then rate cuts will start. The debt deal is sell the news event
Thanks. I understand your point about government intervention, which is fair. However, if we think of the markets as an organic system of emotional participants (the market players) - then it is fear and greed that rules the markets and price action, not so much the Fed or government. Robert Prechter explains this in one of his best books. The Fed just RESPONDS to the market but it does not control it (as many assume). I will have more to say on this subject later in the year. Thank you.
@@alessiorastani bull run is coming.But because of the banking crisis or BRICS currency and trillions sitting in saving accounts which will need to be invested in real assets
Thank you Alessio.........very interesting. I think we are on the way to new highs from here.......then a huge drop before the end of this year. Then maybe we will start another Bull at the end of 2023........like your charts show. But just looking at the charts of the Benner Cycle.......just superb. Thanks.
Yes actually. He didn't mention about the crash being predicted between 2019 to 2023 in the same chart. In fact the crash started all the way from 2016 as rightly pointed out by the chart.
I feel like I can relate to Benner. Losing everything caused me to understand the charts in a way I have never heard anyone talk about. I'm not comparing myself to his model but it made me short BTC and SPX500 at their recent tops. What I relate to is the pure trauma that forced him to find patterns on in the chart even if non conventional.
Sadly, this chart does not work anymore due to the government artificially keeping the economy intact. There should be a hefty crash coming due to this reason. We haven't had a big crash and long period of depression since 2008. Expect that there will be MASSIVE crash coming, might even exceed the 2008 one. That's when I am buying my stocks. Banks have become too vital to the economic infrastructure and are abusing this, tax money will be used to save the money of the people. Capitalism has failed. Top economists have said that it's time for a massive crash, you can't keep using bandages to not feel the pain of bad economic decisions. What goes up, must come down and we haven't had that since 2008. I will be bearish until it finally happens! I am saving my money for the big crash, I know its coming, but you can't predict it!
Thanks for your feedback. Firstly, as you know, we should not put a lot of faith in what economists tell us. In fact, economists are consistently WRONG the majority of the time (they were wrong in 2007, 2009, 2020 and so on). That is why we need to watch the charts and price action. Secondly, I understand your point about government intervention, which is fair. However, if we think of the markets as an organic system of emotional participants (the market players) - then it is fear and greed that rules the markets and price action, not so much the Fed. In fact, the Fed just RESPONDS to the market but it does not control it (as many think). I will have more to say on this subject later in the year. You are right about the failures of capitalism, but to be fair, the opposite of that (socialism) is not great either (in my humble view). Thank you.
@@alessiorastani Thanks for the response and your explanation! I understand your view. The government does control whether a bank will go bankrupt or not, that is what I find disturbing and gives the banks opportunity to take large risks with the current legislation, Im referring to the American economy.
A Bank crash/crash in the stock or real estate markets has less of an immediate impact on people's standard of living than inflation or currency devaluation. That the market is so negative at the moment shouldn't be shocking. If we are to survive in this economy, we need assistance right away. The ETF and stock markets are still quite volatile, just like the property market. Now all that's left of my $370K portfolio is ruins.
Many people are still getting fantastic returns on their investments during this time. Simply maintain a strong sense of reality or ask for professional assistance.
Stocks have stayed aloft as signs of cooler inflation encouraged the market to believe the Fed is finally done with raising rates, Making Investors like me believe that “Santa has come early” to markets to find out the best additions to a $500K portfolio to boost performance
Look for stocks that have paid steady, increasing dividends for years (or decades), and have not cut their dividends even during recessions. Alternatively speaking to a certified market strategist can help with pointers on equities to acquire
Fascinating! Hello! While I'm relatively new to the world of investing, I've heard that the present moment offers a great opportunity to make purchases. I have some funds in my bank account that are just idly sitting there, and I'm eager to put them to work, especially considering the current high inflation rates. Do you have any information about this coach who provides you with support? I'm interested in conducting some research to learn more about them.
I appreciate you sharing this. When I looked up the woman you named and read through her credentials, it was obvious that she was a complete professional. I just need her to respond to the message I wrote her. @benjaminbruce-co2ow
I'm DCAing in A23PSA as well. ETH heavier DCA and ALGO. I'm taking your advice and starting Google tomorrow with a 50 dollar purchase and continuing Microsoft and Apple. VTI and VOO on another app and longterm portfolio. Here we go family!
I began investing at the age of 34, primarily utilizing my hard work and dedication. Now at the age of 42, I am delighted to share that my passive income exceeded $100k for the first time in a single month. This advice is truly valuable, so don't hesitate to take action. Remember, it's not about achieving wealth quickly, but rather about building wealth consistently and persistently.
This is superb! Information, as a noob it gets quite difficult to handle all of this and staying informed is a major cause, how do you go about this, are you a pro investor?
Through closely monitoring the performance of my portfolio, I have witnessed a remarkable growth of $508k in just the past two quarters. This experience has shed light on why experienced traders are able to generate substantial returns even in lesser-known markets. It is safe to say that this bold decision has been one of the most impactful choi
that's impressive!, I could really use the expertise of this advisors , my portfolio has been down bad....who’s your financial advisor or coach, do you mind hooking me up?
The adviser I'm in touch with is *CAROLINA MELINA PHERSON* she works with Merrill, Pierce, Smith incorporated and interviewed on CNBC Television. You can use something else, for me she strategy works hence my result. She provides entry and exit point for the securities I focus on.
BTC/ETH is the future of Crypto and the questions most traders are asking now is: is this the right time to invest? Before I jump to the conclusion, I think you should take a look at things first
well said... For the past few days, the price of BTC has been fluctuating which means the market is currently unstable and there is no telling if it is going bearish or bullish, while others continue to trade without fear of me losing, others are patient
Excellent, genius chart. The only reason why 2016 didn't work on it was because of the massive QE the Fed initiated at the time, propping up the markets. Robert Kiyosaki also believed a market crash was to happen then, but the QE took place.
The government is currently so overwhelmingly powerful that it controls the market in favor of its patrons. If you are not in the club, you have no way of knowing when they plan to print (give free money to the rich) or raise interest rates (suck money from the poor).
Alessio - thank you again for your perspective and knowledge. I especially appreciate your opinions along with these charts - and how you explain why you are either bearish or bullish.
I'm glad to discover your channel. Thanks for the great info. I have traded and invested the fin markets for decades using Time Cycles and EWT. The information given in your video is well worth considering as complementary to my own approaches. You now have a new subscriber.
Interesting; cycles and sub-cycles may not always predict future events, but they do give clues of what may tend to unfold. Further, I believe cyclical interpretation, movements do occur and should not be ignored.
Thanks Alessio, good content, I mostly agree with Benner. My research shows a selloff panic around Jan 2024 but turns bullish around Apr 2024 but we’ll see…
I've seen this a few times before but yours is the best video about it. There are some discrepencies in the past. But this is certainly a general guide.
That was a very interesting chart! I hope the prediction will come true.
Agreed. Yes, I hope so too. :)
@@alessiorastani so it predicted also the covid crash since you say you wait until the end of year to sell that means selling end of 2019 would have saved you in march 2020
@@sporia correct you are right
Alessio you are joke
Yes, I subscribed after 2 minutes!
Inflation is far more harmful to individuals than a collapsing stock or property market because it directly affects people's cost of living, which they immediately feel. It is not surprising that the current market sentiment is extremely pessimistic. In today's economy, assistance is critical if we are to survive.
If you lack market knowledge, your best bet is to seek advice or support from a consultant or investing coach. Contacting a consultant may sound simple, but it's how I've managed to stay afloat in the market and increase my portfolio to roughly 65% since January. It is, in my opinion, the best way to get started in the industry right now.
Mind if I ask you to recommend this particular coach you using their service?
Credits goes to " Rebecca Nassar Dunne " one of the finest portfolio managers in the field. She's widely recognized; you should take a look at her work.
Insightful... I was curious after reading what you shared, so I Googled her name. I came across her webpage.
Biggest lesson i learnt in 2024 in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long term edge.
Nobody knows anything; You need to create your own process, manage risk, and stick to the plan, through thick or thin, While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.
Uncertainty... it took me 5 years to stop trying to predict what bout to happen in market based on charts studying, cause you never know. not having a mentor cost me 5 years of pain I learn to go we’re the market is wanting to go and keep it simple with discipline.
Could you kindly elaborate on the advisor's background and qualifications?
I've been working with ‘’Rachel Sarah Parrish” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, Look her up.
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
Recently bought some recommended stocks and now they are just penny stocks. There seems to be more negative portfolios in the last 3rd half of 2023 with markets tumbling, soaring inflation, and banks going out of business. My concern is how can the rapid interest-rate hike be of favor to a value investor, or is it better avoiding stocks for a while?
Just ''buy the dip'' man. In the long term it will payoff. High interest rates usually mean lower stock prices, however investors should be cautious of the bull run, its best you connect with a well-qualified adviser to meet your growth goals and avoid blunder
No doubt, having the right plan is invaluable. My portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market and recently hit 100% rise from early last year. I and my CFP are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, though this could take till Q3 2024.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
She's Rebecca Noblett Roberts I choose to delegate my excesses to her because of her expertise. I suggest you look her up.
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
Most people simply enter the foreign exchange market without comprehending matters like this. The first stage in building money is determining your goals and risk tolerance, which you may do on your own or with the assistance of a financial counselor who works with a verified Finance agency. And also you can learn the facts about saving and investing and create a clear plan, you should be able to acquire financial security over time and enjoy the benefits of income management.
Yeah, that guy is one asset manager that gives the breakdown of everything on how things are done, joining an effective financial community can be 100% beneficial when joined properly that's all I can say out of experience
Thank you so much for the advice. Your coach was simple to discover online. I did my research on him before I scheduled our phone call. He appears knowledgeable based on his online resume.
I curiously made a research of his full names after reading what you shared, I came across his webpage on-line. My portfolio suffered a big hit, holding it further won't be any good. I've heard of people netting hundreds of thousands this red season I'm really glad to see this...
I've been making more than six figures passively investing with John Desmond Heppolette, who showed me the right community to join and grow mv finances and I don't have to do much work. It doesn't matter if the market is crashing, I will always make returns.
Exactly why i enjoy market decisions being guided by a professional, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk management and market experience, been using the expertise and guidance of John Desmond Heppolette, for over 5years+ and I've netted over $3million in that time frame..
If buffet selling, then is this a good time to buy stocks? I know everyone is saying stocks are at a discount and all but just how long will It take to recover or am I better off putting my money elsewhere. I need a lot as rent, inflation alone eat up almost all of what I make with dependents and other obligations included. Tbh it's an uncertain year for me.
people calling stocks momentum a flunk aren't considering the long run. The companies themselves have not changed, it's the market that changed. Steady as it goes, and it'll regroup in weeks.
If you are not too savvy with the market, it’s the best time! just buy and hold on strong companies or best you seek out areas within sectors that can help you sustain a balance in both growth and value overtime. In certain cases, it's even easier to speak with someone enlightened to determine options best meant for you, I personally did this, and it works pretty well..
Well, my question is which stocks sectors should I consider adding to my individual fidelity, I intend to hold on for a decade or more.
right now I’m being focused on renewable energy, semiconductors, Ai chips which will be hugely integral on every sectors in the coming years. an absolute power move right now.
add Gold and silver as well.
I received a sizable inheritance in January. I struggled with this question. I invested most of the money over a 2-month period. I'm currently up 10% overall for the year, so I'd say that's a win. An important thing to consider is if you have a brokerage account that offers a cash holding fund making 4.5%+ yield, the cash is working for you at a good rate while you make decisions on what to invest in for higher returns.
investors like you should be cautious of the bull run, its best you connect with a well-qualified adviser to meet your growth goals and avoid blunder.
I’m currently working towards financial freedom with a focus on dividends & growth investing. Since 2014, I’ve built a portfolio made up of 30% NVDA, 25% SCHD and over 40% in digital and alternative assets, thanks to my CFA. This strategy has helped me earn $56,000 a year in dividends. Back in 2014, I only earned $21 in dividends.
pls how can I reach this expert, I need someone to help me manage my portfolio
I'm cautious about giving specific recommendations since this is an online forum and everyone situation is unique, but I've worked with Melissa Elise Robinson for years and highly recommend her. Look her up to see if she meets your criteria
Day trading is where the pulse of the market truly comes alive! Every moment presents a new opportunity, and for those with the passion and precision, the rewards can be monumental. It's not just about quick trades, but about harnessing the power of the market in real-time. Dive in, seize the moment, and let every trade be a step towards achieving your financial dreams,I've personally benefited from following Michelle Combs trading tactics, amassing 9 bitcoins in a short five weeks period of day trading , which speaks volumes about her expertise in the market.
The most intersted fact about this chart is it was created by US farmer 150 years ago.
Good point, yes agreed.
The farmer was the markets? It was no coincidence that 1987 happened 6 years after options and futures started trading?
Standing on the roller picking up pennies before the steamroller flattens both?
148 years ago
@@jorgemurillo5472 yes, you are right. I replied to this video before I watched it. My fault.
Always the farmers
I started my 250k portfolio last year with SCHD, VOO, and VUG after watching one of your videos. In terms of share price, VOO is way up (22.25%) and VUG is waaaaay up (39.62%). Thanks for the education! Will this provide solid cashflow?
keep acquiring! I'd suggest you consider financial advisory at this point in time, remember you are in for the long haul.
I agree, it's important to balance your portfolio allocations. I recommend a managed portfolio, though their performance can vary. It's best to consult a fiduciary for guidance. That's what my spouse and I did, and we've grown our portfolio to $1.7 million.
pls how can I reach this expert, I need someone to help me manage my portfolio.
I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with the popularly ‘’Amber Michelle Smith” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look her up.
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since l need all the assistance l can get. I just scheduled a caII.
have had this chart for 25 years and know 2 others independent of me who made fortunes in the 60's and late 70's but this is the best diagnosis of it I have heard yet thank you from New Zealand
As recession mount on Wall Street and inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target, some economics sounded off on just how bad this downturn might be - and how far stocks may have to fall. I need ideas and advice on what investments to make to set myself up for retirement, my goal is to have a portfolio of at least $850k at the age of 60.
The market is volatile at this time, hence i will suggest you get yourself a financial-advisor that can provide you with entry and exit points on the shares/ETF you focus on.
True. Having the right financial planner is invaluable. My portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market and recently hit 90% rise from early last year.
Could you kindly elaborate on the advisor's background and qualifications?
Jenienne Miniter Fagan is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked up Jenienne, wrote her explaining my financial market goals and scheduled a call
The most significant lesson I gained from the stock market in 2023 is that uncertainty prevails, emphasizing the importance of humility. Adhering to a long-term strategy with a competitive edge is key.
Certainty eludes everyone; thus, it's vital to establish your own methodology, handle risk, and adhere to your strategy unwaveringly. This commitment should endure challenges and successes, all while maintaining a commitment to ongoing learning and improvement.
Embracing uncertainty, I realized after five years that attempting to predict market outcomes through chart analysis was futile due to the unpredictable nature. My lack of a mentor led to six years of struggle. I transitioned to following the market's direction and adopting a straightforward, disciplined approach.
*@heathermellon7826* Who is the professional who is advising you, if you could perhaps tell us? As a novice investing in stocks without the correct direction of a professional, I have lost a lot of money.
I'm guided by Camille Alicia Garcia an experienced coach with extensive financial market knowledge. While you can consider other options, her strategy has yielded positive results for me. She offers valuable insights, including entry and exit points for the securities I concentrate on.
I've taken the initiative to research "Camille Alicia Garcia" online and verify her credentials. I'm impressed with her expertise, and I've reached out to her to share my financial market goals in detail.
The stock market rally run is gone, but I'm not sure if equities will swiftly recover, keep falling or swing in a narrow range for a few weeks, or if things will quickly get worse. I'm under pressure to increase my $450k reserve.
It's more challenging to create a strong financial portfolio, so I advise you to get help from a professional. You can then receive strategies that are specifically suited to your long-term objectives and financial aspirations.
Some stocks with a lot of potential aren't getting much attention. It makes you wonder when people will realize how valuable they are. I have $60k to start investing in the stock market. Is Bank of America still a good choice?
A good portfolio should have three basic things: ETFs for diversification, dividend stocks for cash flow, and leading tech stocks. When starting especially with a lump sum, it's a good idea to talk to a fiduciary advisor for expert advice.
People often underestimate financial advisors' importance. Over 50 years of data reveal that those who work with advisors typically earn more than those who go it alone. I've been fortunate to work with one for 13 years, resulting in a $2 million portfolio, largely from early investments in AI and other growth stocks.
Impressive gains! how can I get your advisor please, if you don't mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now
"Melissa Elise Robinson" is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
I looked up her name online and found her page. I emailed and made an appointment to talk with her. Thanks.
This was brilliantly put together. I’ve been watching clips on youtube for months now and with professional help, I’m making outstanding progress with my trades.
I’m pretty green to the trade market. I live paycheck to paycheck and I'm looking to have all that changed this year, as I want to have money work for me instead. Would you be kind enough to share your process?
Herman Jonas is the brain behind my success. As a pro, he oversees my portfolio. I've gotten into a plethora of assets with $43k spread across stocks (options and futures) for the short term and Roth IRA, index funds, and ETFs, for the long term. Now I sit back, and just reinvest at intervals while I handle my other businesses.
Smaller, speculative stocks have endured a historically weak stretch. Investors are betting that a turnaround is finally in the works. I’ve lost about $320k within a few months, how do i take advantage of the market turnaround?
I want to diversify my portfolio across different stocks and sectors to minimize risk. I’ve heard of people accruing over $550k during recessions, how do I achieve this?
Investors should be cautious about their exposure and be wary of new buys, especially during inflation. Such high yields in this recession is only possible under the supervision of a professional or trusted advisor.
True, initially I wasn't quite impressed with my gains, opposed to my previous performances, I was doing so badly, figured I needed to diverssify into better assets, I touched base with a portfolio-advisor and that same year, I pulled a net gain of $550k...that's like 7times more than I average on my own.
that's impressive!, I could really use the expertise of this advisors , my portfolio has been down bad....who’s the person guiding you.
Lisa Angelique Abel is my portfolio-coach, I found her on Bloomberg where she was featured, I looked up her name on the internet. Fortunately I came across her site and reached out to her, you can verify her yourself.
Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.
Stocks extended their year-to-date rally following the CPI report, with the S&P 500 last up 0.8% in afternoon trading. but I don't know if stocks will quickly rebound, continue to pull back or move sideways for a few weeks, or if conditions will rapidly deteriorate.I am under pressure to grow my reserve of $250k.
It's really hard to beat the market as a mere investor. It's just better if you invest with the help of a professional understands the market dynamics better.
Picking stocks is a risky thing to do, particularly for non-professionals. I learnt that in 2020, when I lost almost everything. But I switched to using a financial advisor and I've been returning at least $38k every month so I’ve been sticking to investing via an Advisor
I’ve been looking to switch to an advisor for a while now. Any help pointing me to who your advisor is?
There are a lot of independent advisors you might look into. But i work with HEATHER LEE LARIONI and I have been working together for nearly four years, and she is excellent. You could proceed with her if she satisfies your discretion. I endorse her.
she actually appears to be well-read and educated. I just did a Google search for her name and found her webpage, I appreciate you sharing
Stocks continued their year-to-date rally following the CPI report, with the S&P 500 most recently up 0.8% in afternoon trade. But I don't know if stocks will recover quickly in a few weeks. I'm under pressure to increase my reserve of $250,000.
Concentrate on two main objectives. First, keep yourself safe by knowing when to sell stocks in order to limit losses and maximize gains. Second, get ready to benefit from market changes. I advise consulting a professional for advice.
@@IAMBETTERTHANYYOU Yes, I have contacted a financial advisor. With an initial starting reserve of $80,000, my advisor selects entry and exit orders for my portfolio, which has grown to approximately $550,000
@@MIchaelGuzman737 I’ve been looking to switch to an advisor for a while now. Any help pointing me to who your advisor is?
There are a lot of independent advisors you might look into. But i work with "Jill Marie Carroll" and I have been working together for nearly four years, and she is excellent. You could proceed with her if she satisfies your discretion. I endorse her.
Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.
You’re awesome Alessio. You’re the best analyst. You are strictly analytical with zero emotion which I love. You have the best track record. Thanks much.
Thank you. I appreciate the feedback. :)
The year 2024 is a year for each and everyone of us to make a fresh start, by making passive investments for a more stable and doubled income
You are right.!
That is why I had to start forex trading 2months ago and I now am making benefits from it..
Trading with an expert is the best strategy for newbies and busy investors who have little or no time to monitor trade
A common mistake we newbies make is venturing into the market without help and legit guidance
O' Yes I'm a living testimony of Mrs Shanita Creswell.!
Starting early is simple. The best way of getting ahead to build wealth, investing remains a priority. I learnt from my last year’s experience, I was able to build a suitable life because I invested early ahead this time....
Wow, really. I was able to make my $25k on invstment
@@nataliavasques1I’m looking for something I can venture into on a short term basis, I have $15k sitting in my savings
Assets that can make you rich
*FX
*Btcoin
*Stocks
*Gold
*Real estate
I’m new to cypto trading, feels overwhelming but I won’t give up on learning this. Thanks for your clear explanation from the very beginning!
As a beginner investor, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. Myself, I’m guided by Stacy Griffin. A widely known cypto consultant
Incredibly accurate for a 150 year ago prediction. I will definitely use it as a guide.
You need to give an update on this cycle Alessio. Will be good to hear your views on the current cycle and timelines.
If I'm are to survive in this economic crisis I'll need assistance right away. The ETF and stock markets are still quite volatile, just like the property market. I'm still at a crossroads deciding if to liquidate my $300k stock portfolio
Many people are still getting fantastic returns on their investments during this time. Simply maintain a strong sense of reality or ask for professional assistance.
That does make a lot of sense, good for you though, unlike us, you seem to have the Market figured out. Who is this consultant?
Found her webpage by looking up her name online. She seems very proficient, scheduled a call.
Thanks
Thanks for chart! Love historical projections...
I *personally* find Bitcoin the easiest. 4 year halving = buy before or around halving and just wait for a year or 2... I understand it's more investing than trading, but it has never failed... Supply halves = number go up 👍😁
Keep up the great work Alessio, love the outdoor videos too 🤗
Much appreciated. Thank you Ron
A course worth $5000, absolutely free... Thanks
Just sold a property in Portland and I'm thinking to put the cash in stocks, I know everyone is saying it’s ripe enough, but Is this a good time to buy stocks? How long until a full recovery? How are other people in the same market raking in over $450k gains within months, l'm really just confused at this point.
Heard someone mention a couple making around $120,000 during the recent Bitcoin pump. How're they doing it?
I read on CNBC about someone who is netting $20k a month himself from just his tradings in the market, which is from capital he had amassed long ago. That is incredible. How do people do that?
You need a pro that is good at navigating the market. Someone like Angela Reinhard
Her official Official WhatsAppline please🙏🏻
I just sold a property in Portland and I'm thinking of putting the cash in stocks, I know everyone is saying it's ripe enough, but Is this a good time to buy stocks? How long until a full recovery? How are other people in the same market raking in over $200k gains with months, I'm really just confused at this point.
@RonaldRyan9 It all depends on how long you're willing to hold for, stocks might likely tank further, but making serious gains in this downtrend wouldn't be a problem if you're a pro.
@RonaldRyan9 Hi, please who is the expert assisting you and how do I reach out to them?
Fascinating. Thank you, Alessio, for sharing, and for doing the work that goes into creating these informative videos.
Thank you. Cheers:)
Sharing is caring. Thanks very much. Benners hardwork is deeply appreciated. 😊
I saw that chart last fall on the twitters! Very interesting.
For myself I'm looking into Gann's Timing Equation and "Law of Vibration" (Gann called '29 more specifically, in his newsletter of 1928).
Extremally helpful..thank you for sharing with Explanation.
I think it makes a lot of sense to be bullish until 2025. Too much money was printed in 2020-21 and in short, the fed raised rates but never tightened its balance sheet. Typically takes 36 months from the time interest rates are raised to unemployment ticking up, which is the start of economic trouble, fed starts lowering interest rates, turns on the printers and severe decline in equities. That puts us into early to late 2025 for the start of equities decline…and it will not be pretty
I think so too!
Yield curve inversion -> recession could be about 2 years so that also works... but unemployment is ticking up now... along with bankruptcies and signs o things breaking in the banks. The recession and job losses and therefore stock market declines could arrive sooner than predicted due to banks tightening credit conditions.
@@boombustinvest Rate hikes were abrupt so it takes a while to have effect. My prediction is end of this year or some time first half next year. Not many companies etc have had to pay higher rates for their loans yet, student loans also freezed end of this year. So the effect should be felt harder next year, imo.
I agree. In the UK, the Harrison 7-2-7-2 cycle would predict a property crash starting around 2026 but with rising prices until then.
@@Neptunianist Without covid, sounds about right, but covids aftermath will disrupt these cycles
I have been searching for this video for many days. A video explaining samuel benner chart 🤩
Thank you Alessio, always appreciate your thoughts on the market, you are one of the few analysts that I follow that give clarity and has helped me in my journey of understanding macro economy. I have followed you for several years and will continue to do so. I know you like quotes so I will leave one here, "The biggest risk of all is not taking one" .
Thanks very much, that means a lot. :) cheers
Combining this chart prediction with focus on stocks that are on its earnings growth cycle (EW 3/3 advancing phase) will surely make you a fortune. Thanks for sharing this!
Thank you.
The best trader and analyst on RUclips. Amazing insight, especially for those like me who are just starting to understand charts and market cycles.
You are very kind. :) I wish I was the best but I do my hardest to provide useful information here on this channel. Cheers thanks.
Gareth Soloiway is the best on youtube.
Excellent analysis and thank u for showing this.
please keep us updated through the years
Thanks very much. I will do my best.
I'm glad I found this channel as I looking for useful information about money, stocks and investments and cutting out hype and 20x stocks picks.
I'm surprised you know her. I've been making a lot of profits investing with her for a few months now.
Mrs Rose changed my life because of the high profits I got from investing with her.
You invest with Mrs Rose too? Wow that woman has been a blessing to me and my family.
I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?
I was skeptical at first till I decided to try. Its huge returns is awesome. I can't say much.
I deal in agriculture in Iowa and Missouri. Looking back at the chart ag real estate has followd this chart very precisely. A very good tool to consider before making investments.
Glad to have you here Alessio
Absolutely agree with this narrative. Fills so many gaps and just makes sense. Next bear market will be brutal.
Thank you.
I agree more with the literal interpretation, meaning I don’t think we are in a bull market now. Given the macro environment and low breadth in the indices, it’s hard to call this a bull market. We could see another 6 months to a year before the real bull market begins. It’ll be time to buy 6 months or so after the Fed starts cutting rates, which many expect to happen later this year.
Thanks Matt
Interesting chart info.... but the Tartarian architecture is mind blowing!
I wonder if people that experienced the 2008 crash had it easier because. my portfolio has lost over $27000 and I don't see my retirement turning out well when I can't even grow my stagnant reserve
You have an opportunity to rebalance thanks to volatility. In order to help you diversify your portfolio, you must hire a financial counselor or broker.ur portfolio, you must hire a financial counselor or broker.
Many thanks. Very interesting material. Have a great week!
Cheers thank you
I agree that as a general guide its been pretty accurate so far! Therefore why not use it for general reference going forward. 👍
Cheers thanks.
I’ve seen this chart several times before. Great video discussion of it. Might have to subscribe.
Always the most accurate analysis in the entire market
I do my best, thanks.
what are the probabilities of FED not cutting rates this year ? if they do money will flow into bonds potentially create the basis for crash in the stock markets that currently is tremendously overpriced (nvda etc.)
IMO we are currently into a B wave of and ABC correction going on since late 2021. i could be wrong but the macro picture Combine with technicals is telling me s&p in the 2000'ish might be the bottom...
Nvidia you can surely sell. The holiday companies would be next on my list for leveraged put trades. Consumer spending on non essentials is going to go down as the money in their pocket buys less. Results this year will be a little below expectations but I expect the lag effect of inflation and higher interest rates to really start to bite by the end of this year. If that leads to delinquencies and reduced bookings for 2024 then the holiday companies are going to be in deep trouble. Keep an eye on this in Q3 going into Q4 this year and get ready to place a sell.
Nvidia is a no brainer. Unless the rules if the game have irrecoverably changed forever then the current price of Nvidia is grossly inflated and no amount future earnings that is remotely conceivable can justify it. It's just a scary one to place because when you already have a totally unjustifiable price, then who knows how much higher it can still go. Getting in at the right time with a sell of Nvidia is going to make overnight millionaires of those who get it right.
Alessio according to the chart that you are showing from 2016 to 2023 should be a bad period for the markets but at the start of 2016 the S & P 500 was 1900 and now it is almost 4200.
Yes you are correct. But as you know, Brenner meant the end of 2016, not the start. And by end of 2023 the market had dropped by 20% approx. I mentioned in the video that the cycle was not always right - so it was wrong from 2016/17 to 2023. Cheers
It is probably quite hard to see during Brenner's time that they can have a fake economy like now.
Thank You from Brisbane, Australia. I was not previously aware of this Benner Chart. Late 2023 is my latest revised expectation for an overdue market correction.
I hate to disagree with you on this one. I don't think the bullish cycle has started yet. We just had a debt deal and that 1Triliion$ deal is going to see a huge Aftershock within these 2 months. The Aftershock will see us crash really bad and then rate cuts will start. The debt deal is sell the news event
Thanks. I understand your point about government intervention, which is fair. However, if we think of the markets as an organic system of emotional participants (the market players) - then it is fear and greed that rules the markets and price action, not so much the Fed or government. Robert Prechter explains this in one of his best books. The Fed just RESPONDS to the market but it does not control it (as many assume). I will have more to say on this subject later in the year. Thank you.
@@alessiorastani bull run is coming.But because of the banking crisis or BRICS currency and trillions sitting in saving accounts which will need to be invested in real assets
I appreciate both ,the comment and the reply . They help how to study markets . Thanks .
Thank you Alessio.........very interesting. I think we are on the way to new highs from here.......then a huge drop before the end of this year. Then maybe we will start another Bull at the end of 2023........like your charts show.
But just looking at the charts of the Benner Cycle.......just superb. Thanks.
Big fan from india ❤
Always good knowledge when u drop content
Many thanks.
I think 2023 is correct because once we go in to recession and the Fed flips the market should see a decent crash this year
Yes actually. He didn't mention about the crash being predicted between 2019 to 2023 in the same chart. In fact the crash started all the way from 2016 as rightly pointed out by the chart.
Agree with Banner.Nice video
I feel like I can relate to Benner. Losing everything caused me to understand the charts in a way I have never heard anyone talk about. I'm not comparing myself to his model but it made me short BTC and SPX500 at their recent tops. What I relate to is the pure trauma that forced him to find patterns on in the chart even if non conventional.
Can you please enlighten me on your discovery?😊
Does this indicator holdup on faster time cycles, like months, weeks, days, hours, minutes, and seconds?
Sadly, this chart does not work anymore due to the government artificially keeping the economy intact. There should be a hefty crash coming due to this reason. We haven't had a big crash and long period of depression since 2008. Expect that there will be MASSIVE crash coming, might even exceed the 2008 one. That's when I am buying my stocks. Banks have become too vital to the economic infrastructure and are abusing this, tax money will be used to save the money of the people. Capitalism has failed.
Top economists have said that it's time for a massive crash, you can't keep using bandages to not feel the pain of bad economic decisions. What goes up, must come down and we haven't had that since 2008. I will be bearish until it finally happens! I am saving my money for the big crash, I know its coming, but you can't predict it!
Thanks for your feedback. Firstly, as you know, we should not put a lot of faith in what economists tell us. In fact, economists are consistently WRONG the majority of the time (they were wrong in 2007, 2009, 2020 and so on). That is why we need to watch the charts and price action. Secondly, I understand your point about government intervention, which is fair. However, if we think of the markets as an organic system of emotional participants (the market players) - then it is fear and greed that rules the markets and price action, not so much the Fed. In fact, the Fed just RESPONDS to the market but it does not control it (as many think). I will have more to say on this subject later in the year. You are right about the failures of capitalism, but to be fair, the opposite of that (socialism) is not great either (in my humble view). Thank you.
@@alessiorastani Thanks for the response and your explanation! I understand your view. The government does control whether a bank will go bankrupt or not, that is what I find disturbing and gives the banks opportunity to take large risks with the current legislation, Im referring to the American economy.
What's better holding into crash or being safe with A23PSA tell me
Perhaps this would be a good tool to find sectors that appear to bottom with the cycle rather overlay it with the overall market.
Thanks Alessio for the good explanation, I have a poster size hanging on my room to remind me about the Benner cycle
A Bank crash/crash in the stock or real estate markets has less of an immediate impact on people's standard of living than inflation or currency devaluation. That the market is so negative at the moment shouldn't be shocking. If we are to survive in this economy, we need assistance right away. The ETF and stock markets are still quite volatile, just like the property market. Now all that's left of my $370K portfolio is ruins.
Many people are still getting fantastic returns on their investments during this time. Simply maintain a strong sense of reality or ask for professional assistance.
#1 TA teacher on youtube. Support. ( I love my Persian friends )
Stocks have stayed aloft as signs of cooler inflation encouraged the market to believe the Fed is finally done with raising rates, Making Investors like me believe that “Santa has come early” to markets to find out the best additions to a $500K portfolio to boost performance
Look for stocks that have paid steady, increasing dividends for years (or decades), and have not cut their dividends even during recessions. Alternatively speaking to a certified market strategist can help with pointers on equities to acquire
Fascinating! Hello! While I'm relatively new to the world of investing, I've heard that the present moment offers a great opportunity to make purchases. I have some funds in my bank account that are just idly sitting there, and I'm eager to put them to work, especially considering the current high inflation rates. Do you have any information about this coach who provides you with support? I'm interested in conducting some research to learn more about them.
I appreciate you sharing this. When I looked up the woman you named and read through her credentials, it was obvious that she was a complete professional. I just need her to respond to the message I wrote her.
@benjaminbruce-co2ow
I'm DCAing in A23PSA as well. ETH heavier DCA and ALGO. I'm taking your advice and starting Google tomorrow with a 50 dollar purchase and continuing Microsoft and Apple. VTI and VOO on another app and longterm portfolio. Here we go family!
I began investing at the age of 34, primarily utilizing my hard work and dedication. Now at the age of 42, I am delighted to share that my passive income exceeded $100k for the first time in a single month. This advice is truly valuable, so don't hesitate to take action. Remember, it's not about achieving wealth quickly, but rather about building wealth consistently and persistently.
This is superb! Information, as a noob it gets quite difficult to handle all of this and staying informed is a major cause, how do you go about this, are you a pro investor?
Through closely monitoring the performance of my portfolio, I have witnessed a remarkable growth of $508k in just the past two quarters. This experience has shed light on why experienced traders are able to generate substantial returns even in lesser-known markets. It is safe to say that this bold decision has been one of the most impactful choi
that's impressive!, I could really use the expertise of this advisors , my portfolio has been down bad....who’s your financial advisor or coach, do you mind hooking me up?
The adviser I'm in touch with is *CAROLINA MELINA PHERSON* she works with Merrill, Pierce, Smith incorporated and interviewed on CNBC Television. You can use something else, for me she strategy works hence my result. She provides entry and exit point for the securities I focus on.
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
Very interesting find it certainly looks very plausible as a guide.great work
BTC/ETH is the future of Crypto and the questions most traders are asking now is: is this the right time to invest? Before I jump to the conclusion, I think you should take a look at things first
well said... For the past few days, the price of BTC has been fluctuating which means the market is currently unstable and there is no telling if it is going bearish or bullish, while others continue to trade without fear of me losing, others are patient
Market is just being manipulated, and this is a great opportunity to buy more dip. Because it will be at affordable price
RAY F JOHNSON provides a unique perspective to technical analysis..
Thanks for bringing a value addition video
Iran and Iranian people are great 👍
Id rather walk around alone at midnight in Tehran than London or New York 😂💀
I agree about Iran, cheers thanks. :)
But not so Iran government.
Well, as an Iranian I don't recommend the midnight walk in Tehran unless it's the north of Tehran. Though it wasn't like this until a few years ago.
Excellent, genius chart. The only reason why 2016 didn't work on it was because of the massive QE the Fed initiated at the time, propping up the markets. Robert Kiyosaki also believed a market crash was to happen then, but the QE took place.
The government is currently so overwhelmingly powerful that it controls the market in favor of its patrons. If you are not in the club, you have no way of knowing when they plan to print (give free money to the rich) or raise interest rates (suck money from the poor).
i personally think this cycle theory is garbage
Do we get this banner cycle chart in tradingview ?
Bearmarked start in 2025
Says who?
Thanks for sharing though I am struggling to correlate with what’s happened from 2020 considering how much things have rallied
Super interesting! I appreciate the point of view. Hard to catch these trends sometimes and having this as an additional tool could help, maybe.
What about gold then at the end of 2023, will it then rise and does this apply to gold as well as stocks?
Excellent. What do you think the fall of the U.S dollar would do to the "market"?
Thank You for bringing this beautiful knowledge.
It seems Benner is correct as you stated on most. However, also consider the Shemitah after 2022-to end of 2023?
Alessio - thank you again for your perspective and knowledge. I especially appreciate your opinions along with these charts - and how you explain why you are either bearish or bullish.
Thank you. A pleasure.
I'm glad to discover your channel. Thanks for the great info. I have traded and invested the fin markets for decades using Time Cycles and EWT. The information given in your video is well worth considering as complementary to my own approaches. You now have a new subscriber.
Interesting; cycles and sub-cycles may not always predict future events, but they do give clues of what may tend to unfold. Further, I believe cyclical interpretation, movements do occur and should not be ignored.
How do you feel about A23PSA moving into the nft marketplace? Is it still a buy?.
Amazing video with very relevant and apparently true predictions
Well explained, wasn't sure what it all meant before, thanks
Thankyou for sharing this information.
Very Helpful Video ❤️❤️❤️
Great chart but interpretation may differ. Some see the bottom/crash at the end of 2023 but your interpretation is that correction already happened?
this is worth sticking on my wall - I am buying at the moment but worth knowing when to put stocks into cash would be a big help
🤔-Thank you for the insight it was the guildance I was looking for.
Thanks Alessio, good content, I mostly agree with Benner. My research shows a selloff panic around Jan 2024 but turns bullish around Apr 2024 but we’ll see…
very interesting cycle ! Thanks for your explanation
I've seen this a few times before but yours is the best video about it.
There are some discrepencies in the past. But this is certainly a general guide.