STEP-BY-STEP Strategy to DOMINATE your Rookie Drafts! (way too easy)

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  • Опубликовано: 28 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 198

  • @DynastyLandFootball
    @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад +8

    Want our Rookie Report & A Team Review?👇
    - Go to flockfantasy.com/LAND - use code "LAND" and sign up to the "Mother Flocker" Tier.
    You also unlock the following:
    - A Dynasty Team Review
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  • @rockbottombaby1147
    @rockbottombaby1147 7 месяцев назад +33

    oh he cookin cookin

  • @Mike-sz5tn
    @Mike-sz5tn 7 месяцев назад +11

    I don’t comment on videos and I wasn’t following you but statistics videos like that. Definitely made me a fan! Great content.

  • @lighthousemushrooms1138
    @lighthousemushrooms1138 7 месяцев назад +20

    Let’s go love to see a drop right when I hit my lunch break

  • @joerobinson5790
    @joerobinson5790 7 месяцев назад +7

    WOW!! Great video content. I think this is one of the best fantasy video's of the year. Nice job DynastyLand Football!!!

  • @donquicemarzett4009
    @donquicemarzett4009 7 месяцев назад +2

    Man this is amazing info. That’s how I’ve built my team into winning a chip while also having 1.03 and 1.04 in this loaded class.

  • @firesportscards
    @firesportscards 7 месяцев назад +2

    This is the best and most relevant dynasty football video I’ve watched…I think ever. So good!

  • @hoodnation8563
    @hoodnation8563 7 месяцев назад +2

    Why are they getting better and better every year and still so underrated. Happy I found you guys before the word gets out

  • @glamourassassins
    @glamourassassins 7 месяцев назад +5

    I agree Zach, this was a great video and my favorite of all the many amazing ones y'all have done. Definitely gonna watch this a few more times, really appreciate you guys and all the work you do!

  • @Toothmother
    @Toothmother 7 месяцев назад +1

    Super informative this vid gave me a completely different perspective on my upcoming rookie draft. Very impressive info!

  • @colehelget9359
    @colehelget9359 7 месяцев назад +1

    Love the content. Question....it appears you are mostly against drafting much of anything after NFL round 3 except for RB. Do you typically just trade away rounds 4-5 in dynasty? We go 5 rounds and it's not possible to follow your advice once we get mid way into round 3

  • @alexclauss6455
    @alexclauss6455 7 месяцев назад +3

    This video is super helpful. LOVE the historical data to back up every point. Great job fellas!

  • @WakaflameCOURTLANDT
    @WakaflameCOURTLANDT 7 месяцев назад +4

    Great video! This was extremely informative and we appreciate the content!

  • @MechDave13
    @MechDave13 7 месяцев назад +1

    Never commented before but this one made me. Brilliant, informative video man. 🔥

  • @bobb4987
    @bobb4987 7 месяцев назад +4

    I took over an orphan halfway through last season that had 1 win at the time. I have been trading like crazy ever since and I now have Picks 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4 1.6, 1.7, 1.8, 2.3 and 2.7. To say the least, I am looking forward to this year's rookie draft.
    BTW: check your math - the biggest drop for TEs is not the 31.4% from Round 2 to Round 3. The drop from Round 1 to Round 2 is 35.7%. Regardless, a great video with some good info.

    • @colehelget9359
      @colehelget9359 7 месяцев назад

      How in the world did an orphan with 1 win have enough talent on the roster to aquire that many picks? Did you fleece everyone? 🤣

    • @bobb4987
      @bobb4987 7 месяцев назад

      @@colehelget9359 The team was orphaned due to neglect. The guy who had it had a decent roster but due to his recently starting a new business, he didn't have the time to run the team properly. I decided to tear it down regardless because I think 2024 is an exceptional Rookie Class. I started trading almost immediately halfway through the season. It is a 1 QB League and I had 2 top 5 QBs so trading one was one of my first deals. The only "fleecing" done was to take mild advantage of trading away some Bills players. We live in the Buffalo area and team owners here overvalue hometown players. I had a great time. Now, I can only hope that this class is as advertised. I plan on taking the Big 3 WRs and Bowers with my first 4 picks. Then I'll take a 4th WR, a QB, and whatever RB the Cowboys draft with my remaining 3 1st rounders. Or, if the 4th WR I have my eye on is taken at #5, I may trade for future draft capital. This is my plan but I am always open to trading to better my team. I don't expect to compete this year, but next year - look out. LOL

    • @colehelget9359
      @colehelget9359 7 месяцев назад

      @bobb4987 trading is FUN. I enjoy completing trades and the off season-in season moves more than I do actually competing. Best of luck in the draft! You won't miss Diggs. I am from MN and was ready to move on from him years ago

  • @rileywarren7791
    @rileywarren7791 7 месяцев назад +1

    this is the most helpful video!!! this is exactly what I need to navigate later round picks.. more like this please!!!

  • @christianmorrow3254
    @christianmorrow3254 7 месяцев назад +1

    I’m doing my first rookie draft this year. I’m kinda excited!

  • @NathanHines-kf7ek
    @NathanHines-kf7ek 7 месяцев назад +1

    Love love this content Zach 🔥🔥 Keep it up! Love the stats you’re bringing in. The thought process & strategy on picks is very helpful.
    Keep on doin ya thing

  • @ILoveJamesFelt
    @ILoveJamesFelt 7 месяцев назад

    I can tell you put a lot of work into this, and it shows. You made the Stats pretty easy for a lot of people to understand.
    I recently did my own calculations (Stats teacher/fan here) where I looked at the overall grade for an Oline (metric 1) and averaged that with the overall grade of the receiving corps (metric 2) and compared that with hit/bust rate of 1st round QBs. The results were probably obvious, but compared to pre-made teams just missing a QB, the difference was something like 60% hit rate vs under 10%.
    In other words, pray for the top 3 QBs that the Patriots and Giants pass on a QB or trade down, or you'll likely be burning money by taking that dude.

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      That’s super interesting! When you said O-Line Grade (Metric 1) and Receiving Corp Grade (Metric 2) - does that mean the PFF grade of those positions for each team before the year they were drafted?
      Is that data hosted in PFF? Super interesting :)

  • @stefangerber3641
    @stefangerber3641 7 месяцев назад +1

    very interesting infos, thx for the work!
    but I don't sell my 1.07 to take 1.10... top 8 picks (if JJ Mc goes top 10 in NFL draft) are gold this year.
    so I believe I will take Bowers at 1.03... should be not a lot risk after I drafted Burks, Young and JSN in this league...

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      I don’t disagree that they are gold but I’m also actively looking to get the most value out of any pick I have, regardless of where it is :)

  • @kylel9011
    @kylel9011 7 месяцев назад +1

    Fantastic research in this one!!

  • @steventosti4348
    @steventosti4348 7 месяцев назад +1

    Love this video. Will help me allot this year. Just wish you did it last year.
    I went Jsn over Gibbs 😭
    I did however trade Jsn for Ken Walker and feel pretty good about it

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      yeah thats a tough one!! just time to get better each year! :)

  • @jakedevoogd6625
    @jakedevoogd6625 7 месяцев назад +2

    This is awesome. Thanks for putting in the work

  • @chasecorrigan9415
    @chasecorrigan9415 7 месяцев назад +5

    Zach is gonna look real dumb when Caleb Williams drops to the 6th round of the NFL draft and becomes a top 5 QB

  • @terencesmith2421
    @terencesmith2421 7 месяцев назад +1

    love owning the 1.07

  • @burntmashmellow3053
    @burntmashmellow3053 7 месяцев назад +2

    Wow you were right. This was everything you hyped it up to be! Awesome work. Debating whether to send this to my league mates haha

  • @scotthallam5719
    @scotthallam5719 7 месяцев назад

    This was one of the best you've done. Watching it for a second time. Thanks for the great work as always!

  • @djplatinum81
    @djplatinum81 7 месяцев назад

    Im curious to know if the Round 2 QBs at 12.5%, The round 3/4 RBs at riunghly 17%, the Round 2/3 WRs at early to mid 20% and Round 3/4 TEs hit because of good situations or if it was more random?

  • @JoeNelly5
    @JoeNelly5 7 месяцев назад

    This was a great video! Didnt realize the qb drop off was that insane, you a man of the people

  • @francoisfournier9717
    @francoisfournier9717 7 месяцев назад +1

    Very good content 👍

  • @RobDavies-jn2fh
    @RobDavies-jn2fh 7 месяцев назад

    What’s your advice to somebody holding 1.01 , 1.03, 1.06, 1.07, 1.12, 2.01 , 3.01? I’m going thru a rebuild and I feel like I shouldn’t stick and pick with everything I have

  • @JoshReedy
    @JoshReedy 7 месяцев назад +1

    this was fire

  • @Conyoh
    @Conyoh 7 месяцев назад

    (12T/SF/PPR/Start 10) | Burrow, Russ, backups / JT, ETN, Chubb, Hubbard, Roschon / Tyreek, Devonta, Addison, Reed, Ridley, J Palmer, Dotson / Engram / 1.06, 3.01, 3.02
    SEND: ETN + Reed + 1.06 + 25 3rd
    GET: Chase + 2.02 + 3.03
    Does smashing this put me in a predicament to cover my need of a QB2 and solid RB2?

  • @tremill13
    @tremill13 7 месяцев назад +1

    Excellent analysis brother!! I was considering trading back to acquire a player + 2025 picks so seeing this video gave me sum reassurance.

  • @jacobfarley3814
    @jacobfarley3814 7 месяцев назад +1

    Love the breakdown really solid info.

  • @trent7668
    @trent7668 7 месяцев назад +1

    awesome stats

  • @360lympia9
    @360lympia9 7 месяцев назад +1

    Great video. 1.07 is a pick that I would be looking to trade back or up. 1.05/6 are looking super spicy

  • @BaseyCrown
    @BaseyCrown 7 месяцев назад +1

    Great Content as always!

  • @KelvieDee
    @KelvieDee 7 месяцев назад +1

    So good man! Epic video!

  • @northeastsouthpaw
    @northeastsouthpaw 7 месяцев назад

    This is wonderful stuff thank for the hard work dudes!! That round 1 qb stat is especially eye opening!

  • @kellyhorigan5014
    @kellyhorigan5014 7 месяцев назад

    Great job, lots of facts and you made them actionable!

  • @phillysnipez5056
    @phillysnipez5056 7 месяцев назад

    Great video! Definitely gunna have to rewatch and write this stuff down

  • @trax1fy
    @trax1fy 7 месяцев назад

    In a 8 Team Start 11 PPR 0.5 TE Prem SF, Would you do the 1.01 or the 1.04 and A.J Brown? The owner that wants the 1.01 and has the 1.02/1.04/1.05 what should I do? I have QB: Mahomes, Herbert, and Watson RB: Hall, Zamir White WR: Chase, Wilson, Waddle, Higgins, Downs TE: Andrews/Chig/Musgrave/Kraft Picks: 1.01/1.03/2.03

    • @trax1fy
      @trax1fy 7 месяцев назад

      I was thinking of going Marvin Harrison and then going Malik nabers thoughts?

  • @billyI997
    @billyI997 6 месяцев назад

    I have reason to believe Odunze and BTJ will be at the 1.08 in my rookie draft. I know Rome has the much higher draft capital and ADP, but is there an argument to take Brian Thomas there? I also have the 1.01, 2.01, 2.02, 3.01 and 3.04 and multiple 1&2s in 25 and 26. Guy at 1.07 is also interested in moving the pick for DeVonta Smith
    I also have Burrow, Kyler, Baker Mayfield, Ja’Marr Chase, Jonathon Taylor, Kyle Pitts and Devonta Smith as top players on this team if that’s worth anything. Biggest need is RB so I’m hesitant to deal the 2.01.

  • @CHeath44
    @CHeath44 7 месяцев назад

    This was fantastic work Zach

  • @TheCjstellato25
    @TheCjstellato25 7 месяцев назад +1

    Good stuff 💯

  • @joshuafoltz5222
    @joshuafoltz5222 7 месяцев назад

    .5ppr league
    Would you take a 2nd round running back over a 1st round TE? For instance; I have the 1.04 in a 1qb league and I'm running back needy. Planning on taking Bowers, but it's no te premium. What would you do?

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      Its much closer than I originally thought before doing this deep dive. I think the NFL Draft will give us clarity on the answer there but I am open to it in NON TEP. Likely still going Bowers.

  • @thomasfabiano1494
    @thomasfabiano1494 7 месяцев назад +1

    Great video 👍🏻

  • @callumw.6928
    @callumw.6928 7 месяцев назад

    Wow this video is awesome. Love the work you put into this!

  • @christopherdempsey235
    @christopherdempsey235 7 месяцев назад

    You are on point. Bravo!

  • @arcticangel7828
    @arcticangel7828 7 месяцев назад

    Great video Zach. Really love these type of videos! 👊

  • @christianmorrow3254
    @christianmorrow3254 7 месяцев назад

    Can yall do more tips, please? Based on fantasy football of course

  • @prod2one
    @prod2one 7 месяцев назад

    Sick content. This is the type of stuff I like.

  • @linkonprime
    @linkonprime 7 месяцев назад

    Thanks for this video. Solid gold.

  • @bigb2707
    @bigb2707 7 месяцев назад

    rebuilding in a 1qb 14 teamer non te premium. i have 1.01 1.02 and 1.04. i have burrow amon ra jake ferguson shakir demario douglas tank dell curtis samuel and only potential rb is zack moss. what pick should be the 1.04?

    • @daniel-ym9un
      @daniel-ym9un 7 месяцев назад

      Bowers if he is there. Do you have any picks after those 3 to grab a RB a little later? Would not advise taking an RB at the 1.04.

  • @bmacsbreaks
    @bmacsbreaks 7 месяцев назад +1

    Damn good work 🤯

  • @terencesmith2421
    @terencesmith2421 7 месяцев назад

    loving all your content

  • @justintheking1
    @justintheking1 7 месяцев назад

    I just made a deal earlier today. I gave up the 2.03 and 2.05 and Darius Davis for the 1.10. 14 team 1 qb league. Thoughts? I’m defending champ so I like getting the best asset, he is asset starved so getting 3 he likes better because he has zero depth and holes in his lineup (he just took over this orphan a couple months ago). Thoughts?

    • @colehelget9359
      @colehelget9359 7 месяцев назад

      I don't mind it. Darius Davis though? Maybe for a potential specials teams return and that's it. Surprised he didn't press harder for a better player.

    • @justintheking1
      @justintheking1 7 месяцев назад

      @@colehelget9359 it’s likely he never is anything. But this is a fairly deep league. 28 roster size I think with 14 teams. So every team has those lottery type players on the bottom of their rosters. With chargers current wr room though, all it would take is one injury and suddenly he is playing a whole lot more. The bolts did try and get the ball in his hands at times last year too. So even if he turns into Jamal Agnew of 2 years ago, that would still be of some value to him. Especially because his team is so bad. He likely would have been one of the first cuts I made during the rookie draft so no loss to me

  • @omarjohnson3049
    @omarjohnson3049 7 месяцев назад +1

    My man 💪🏾

  • @reenie9486
    @reenie9486 7 месяцев назад +1

    would love to see the hit percentage on, lets say, top 5 or top 10 QBs to the rest of the QBs in the 1st round.
    Great video.

  • @jacobsauvage7805
    @jacobsauvage7805 7 месяцев назад

    Great vid! Always good stuff

  • @calebl.6491
    @calebl.6491 7 месяцев назад

    Good video thx for doin the hard work u tha MVP !!

  • @GaugeS00
    @GaugeS00 7 месяцев назад

    This is my third time watching this since it was posted. Whole lot of facts given out here

  • @Chill.ill665
    @Chill.ill665 7 месяцев назад

    Heavily factor in opportunity at position, draft capital, team fit and, overall team quality like for example for rb and wr Howe good that teams o line and qb are

  • @jek2258
    @jek2258 7 месяцев назад

    What do you think about rbs rounds 2-3 with next years rb class?

    • @daniel-ym9un
      @daniel-ym9un 7 месяцев назад

      TreVeyon, Judkins most likely to get day 2 draft capital, depending on how they perform anyways.

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      will be STACKED

  • @brucemolinaro4926
    @brucemolinaro4926 7 месяцев назад +1

    Rock Solid.

  • @TTT-ki9uv
    @TTT-ki9uv 7 месяцев назад

    Excellent video

  • @phl2150
    @phl2150 7 месяцев назад

    Great video. The criteria for a hit might be a little loose tho. Not sure one top 12 season qualifies a TE as a hit.

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      TE is a tricky one but have to set the bar somewhere to establish the data. Thanks for watching :)

  • @xixgodfatherx2083
    @xixgodfatherx2083 7 месяцев назад

    The later rounds of WR and RB. I like to take them with the 4th and 5th rd picks. But other than that. Great job

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      no problem with that! just be aware they are outliers :)

  • @kscottmichael
    @kscottmichael 7 месяцев назад

    Great vid zac 🤜🤛

  • @JerrySideKick
    @JerrySideKick 7 месяцев назад

    Loved this video!

  • @blade816
    @blade816 7 месяцев назад

    When you are saying what the hit rate is in "Round 1", does that mean drafted round 1 of the rookie draft, or round 1 of the NFL draft?

  • @Amsfootboy79
    @Amsfootboy79 7 месяцев назад

    Ummmm acshully the biggest drop off for TEs is 1st to 2nd round where it was 35.7% instead of the 31.4% from the 2nd to the 3rd. 🤓lol However a hit rate of 42% is still pretty good! 👍

  • @mohammadbudhwani6059
    @mohammadbudhwani6059 7 месяцев назад

    Top 5 all time video

  • @RobertVanDeripe
    @RobertVanDeripe 7 месяцев назад

    The difference between hit rate at rb for rounds 3 to 4 is gold info

  • @ChristianGardner
    @ChristianGardner 7 месяцев назад

    Just popping in to say this was a good video, no player takes just straight facts

  • @Punisher5FDP
    @Punisher5FDP 7 месяцев назад

    I got Stroud last year with the 1.06 and I’ve got the 1.04 this year.

  • @bd5236
    @bd5236 7 месяцев назад

    So where’s your mock? 1-10?

  • @oscarthegrouch4574
    @oscarthegrouch4574 7 месяцев назад

    Can you help me with my draft lol I have 6 first rounders in a 10 team league

  • @bobniray
    @bobniray 7 месяцев назад

    I have the 1.1 and 1.6

  • @jacobsauvage7805
    @jacobsauvage7805 7 месяцев назад

    It’s all about the situation, I would gladly take a qb in a later round like Penix if I think the raiders are gonna let him sit for a year

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      You do what’s best for you! Just have to acknowledge you are betting on an outlier :)

  • @isaacjasper7438
    @isaacjasper7438 7 месяцев назад

    Great info. Not a slight against this vid just a warning. The issue with generalized trends are they are such great fuel for confirmation bias

    • @isaacjasper7438
      @isaacjasper7438 7 месяцев назад

      If you had posted this last year, ppl might have taken charbonnet over zay flowers when you combine ravens skepticism with the riskiness levels you discussed abt 1st round wr vs 2nd round rbs

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      That’s interesting, this research did the complete opposite for me and forced me to rethink a lot going into the 2024 draft.
      With Charbonnet, it’s always easy to point out 1 name for any position. I’m sure the Quentin Johnston people aren’t happy either! IMO the power of a decade of hit rates should be considered more than 1 player 🙏🏼
      Thanks for watching :)

  • @JosephD787
    @JosephD787 7 месяцев назад

    This is an important video that I hope no one in my leagues sees. 😂

  • @jacobsauvage7805
    @jacobsauvage7805 7 месяцев назад

    I don’t agree with fading QBs outside the first round

  • @brizzletonjones9071
    @brizzletonjones9071 7 месяцев назад

    I think this year will be different with the WRs with the class being so deep. Some of these day 2 guys would probably be going in the 1st in other years

  • @drakewall4061
    @drakewall4061 7 месяцев назад

    I love this video. 10/10. However I will say I’m not putting much value into your “Rookie draft hit rates” #1 not every rookie draft has the same players drafted at the same spot. Especially as we get later in the 1st, we see more discrepancy in ADP. #2 every draft is different so don’t let that 0% hit rate on the 1.02 scare you. #3 5 years isn’t a huge sample size and I bet 5 years from now we will see these percentages change by a good amount. It was a fun read and it’s a good tidbit and fun fact but it shouldn’t hold value imo. But your “NFL draft hit rates” LOVE that

  • @manyeye8886
    @manyeye8886 7 месяцев назад

    😂 traded back last year from 1.06 to 1.08. ended without C.J. but with Q.J.+Kirk(WR). still hurts in my ❤

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      important to note that you should trade back within the same tiers you are trading down in. I tried to show the 1.01-1.06 and the 1.07-1.12 but I might not have explained that well enough :)

    • @manyeye8886
      @manyeye8886 7 месяцев назад

      @@DynastyLandFootball sure you did. it was just frkn bad luck for me and I had a loaded QB-room already. had high hopes in QJ
      btw the trade was during draft

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      QJ hurt a lot of people no doubt 😭

  • @TheBorderJumper17
    @TheBorderJumper17 7 месяцев назад

    🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

  • @BAKAGAlJIN
    @BAKAGAlJIN 7 месяцев назад

    Got Stroud at 1.06 2x

  • @benmorgan9748
    @benmorgan9748 7 месяцев назад

    Gold ❤

  • @bd5236
    @bd5236 7 месяцев назад

    Fire

  • @kieranhinton9601
    @kieranhinton9601 7 месяцев назад

    Telling ppl to trade off Caleb seems like a bold strategy unless your league is deep as hell.

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      I’d have to side with the data here myself but I can respect the opinion on it 🙏🏼
      Have seen so many people trade back for incredible value this offseason 🙂

  • @treycobb6262
    @treycobb6262 7 месяцев назад

    In his bag

  • @BigDawg-dr8vy
    @BigDawg-dr8vy 7 месяцев назад

    Hell yeah. T minus 10 days

  • @BlazinB
    @BlazinB 7 месяцев назад

  • @bd5236
    @bd5236 7 месяцев назад

    I’d argue that Henry Riggs absolutely hit

  • @NK-vw4ms
    @NK-vw4ms 7 месяцев назад

    Zach >> Sketch

  • @patrickpascal1225
    @patrickpascal1225 7 месяцев назад

    Obviously the 1.01 over the field is a bad bet😅

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      yet every single year people are obsessed with trading up to the 1.01 or keeping the 1.01 instead of maximizing value.

  • @daveplefka2180
    @daveplefka2180 7 месяцев назад

    OJ Howard by no means ever has a successful NFL season

    • @DynastyLandFootball
      @DynastyLandFootball  7 месяцев назад

      Top 5 PPG season in 2018, he dealt with injuries but he absolutely had success.

  • @daniel-ym9un
    @daniel-ym9un 7 месяцев назад

    Traded the 1.08(1 QB) in 23 and turned that into the 1.05 in 24. Traded the 2.01 and 2.03 and turned it into the 1.01, and own the 1.02 Wasn't really interested in anyone in 23 after I drafted Bijan. Now I'll end up with Marv, Nabers and either Bowers or Brian Thomas.