Ive got a keeper league (8 players) and I've ranked them below. What do you think? I think im going in this order? 1. Sheezel 🔒 2. Holmes 🔒 3. JHF 🔒 4. Phillipou 🔒 5. Wardlaw 🔒upside 6. Newcombe 🔒 7. Nic Martin - ❓Role 8. TRivers ❓Role Sean Darcy ❓injuries Burgoyne ❓Role Peatling ❓Role - he scores well in the guts though Sanders ❓Role - is he gonna get on the park
Love your work MJ! I've gone much lighter in the midfield to allow room for several of those highly touted draftees. All that freed up cash has left me in an odd position. Even with the uber-expensive Marshall-Xerri combo and Horne-Francis at F1, I still have mountains of cash to spend in the backline... And I don't know who to spend it on! We've got 9 defenders who averaged over 100 yet it's difficult for me to see the "upside" in any of them. Sheezel is a jet but averaged 105 after the role change and is priced at 112. Whitfield, Zorko, Flanders and Martin all feel fully priced and have early byes. Docherty could hurt Newman. Sinclair usually finishes better than he starts.
@@MrMooremelody Definitely my strategy in limited trade formats, in AF though I typically only go for "no upside" premiums if they look like standout captaincy options (eg. Marshall for 2025) or have great early fixtures (which is still a kind of projected upside). What I'm REALLY trying to avoid is starting the premium that drops some lower scores early, falls in price and then coaches jump on them cheap before the big scores arrive. Eg. those that faded Daicos in 2024 and got him after round 7 clearly won that battle vs those that started him. Sometimes those low scores are just bad luck: injury-affected, unexpected tag or an outlier bad game. You can withstand a couple of them but you can't lose too many of those battles and stay in contention. So really, I'm looking to start the premiums least likely to go backwards over the first handful of rounds. And if we predict an "upside" premium to lift their average, then the lower end of our confidence interval is inherently lifted too, so we feel they are the least likely prospects to lose out against the coaches that fade them.
Glad you loved the ep! Dylan is a star. I’m uncertain there’s a spot in that backline for Uhwland. The arrival of Noble + Rioli changes that makeup substantially
Nice vid MJ! Personally im not a fan of starting any of the top premos like Whitfield, but I acknowledge once you have the value picks you like theres often cash left over anyway. Ive only picked guys I think are underpriced so far, my most expensive players are the likes of Walsh, Taranto, and Holmes who I think all have a bit of value. I like the Flynn call, I did have him in my side until i saw how much cash I had left over, went Sean Darcy instead who I think is similar value being 20ish points underpriced. I currently have Cumming in my side at m6 in place of your Peatling, as a crows man what are your thoughts on Cumming?
Defenders 4/8 same as my 1st draft Midfielders 6/11 Rucks 0/3 Forwards 6/8 Done the opposite in mids mega cash gen. Have all 11 of the top 10 in my first draft
im on xerri and english as my rucks i feel we got alot of cash with forwards gota spend it somewhere i need short hype to start is lock in my team being tigers fan i like him alot i feel hes 92 at worst
Not a bad team at all but with Whitfield, Mills, Roberts, Tom Green, Ashcroft and Will Day all having an extra bye I don't think you can pick any of them. Maybe 1 maximum imo. And I disagree regarding the rucks. Xerri and Marshall are the 2 standouts. I dont see any world where anyone can match their avg. Maybe Gawn and English but English is losing ruck time to Sam Darcy.
Don't know if I'd put Xerri streets ahead of Gawn, he only averaged 2.7 higher. Of course, Max will be 33 years old and Xerri 26, so X has age in his favour. The big question is whether Xerri's crazy late-season scoring reflected his continued growth in the #1 ruck role and something he can sustain going forward, or just red-hot form and some friendly matchups. There's a huge difference between having a 120+ captaincy beast and a 105-110 guy that Max and English could match. We have no real data prior to 2024 to see his long-term trends.
I mean it’s okay to have multiple bye players if you think they will outscore others. But having 3 on one line all on the same bye (mills roberts and Coleman) is a big no no as he won’t have cover for one of them from the bench. Pretty much need to choose one of mills or roberts if Coleman ends up playing round 0.
@@Power_Prawnstar My consensus is the 50-55 you get from the player on the bench most likely wont count anyway. So if you're going a bye player they need to be atleast a 4 points better jump than the other option.
Ive got a keeper league (8 players) and I've ranked them below. What do you think? I think im going in this order?
1. Sheezel 🔒
2. Holmes 🔒
3. JHF 🔒
4. Phillipou 🔒
5. Wardlaw 🔒upside
6. Newcombe 🔒
7. Nic Martin - ❓Role
8. TRivers ❓Role
Sean Darcy ❓injuries
Burgoyne ❓Role
Peatling ❓Role - he scores well in the guts though
Sanders ❓Role - is he gonna get on the park
Good order.
Good Job MJ. Only thing is too many guys on early week 3 bye.
We have a lot of good options for rookie Mids including: Lalor,Jagga,Ashcroft,smiley,draper and O'Sullivan
100% loads of options!
@CoachesPanel how do u reckon the midfield should look like should have more than 2 Rookies in the midfield?
Love your work MJ! I've gone much lighter in the midfield to allow room for several of those highly touted draftees. All that freed up cash has left me in an odd position. Even with the uber-expensive Marshall-Xerri combo and Horne-Francis at F1, I still have mountains of cash to spend in the backline... And I don't know who to spend it on! We've got 9 defenders who averaged over 100 yet it's difficult for me to see the "upside" in any of them. Sheezel is a jet but averaged 105 after the role change and is priced at 112. Whitfield, Zorko, Flanders and Martin all feel fully priced and have early byes. Docherty could hurt Newman. Sinclair usually finishes better than he starts.
@@mangoman2148 i think the idea of upside is flawed. if the player is a lock to be top 6 or 8 in that position, just get them a save yourself a trade.
Both perspectives have merit. It’s just which line you do it in
@@MrMooremelody Definitely my strategy in limited trade formats, in AF though I typically only go for "no upside" premiums if they look like standout captaincy options (eg. Marshall for 2025) or have great early fixtures (which is still a kind of projected upside). What I'm REALLY trying to avoid is starting the premium that drops some lower scores early, falls in price and then coaches jump on them cheap before the big scores arrive. Eg. those that faded Daicos in 2024 and got him after round 7 clearly won that battle vs those that started him.
Sometimes those low scores are just bad luck: injury-affected, unexpected tag or an outlier bad game. You can withstand a couple of them but you can't lose too many of those battles and stay in contention. So really, I'm looking to start the premiums least likely to go backwards over the first handful of rounds. And if we predict an "upside" premium to lift their average, then the lower end of our confidence interval is inherently lifted too, so we feel they are the least likely prospects to lose out against the coaches that fade them.
Hello mate, what's your thoughts on Bodi Uhwland?
That show with Dylan was great btw, awesome info.
Glad you loved the ep! Dylan is a star.
I’m uncertain there’s a spot in that backline for Uhwland. The arrival of Noble + Rioli changes that makeup substantially
@CoachesPanel he did go 90+ for about e weeks though, they might free him up
Nice vid MJ!
Personally im not a fan of starting any of the top premos like Whitfield, but I acknowledge once you have the value picks you like theres often cash left over anyway.
Ive only picked guys I think are underpriced so far, my most expensive players are the likes of Walsh, Taranto, and Holmes who I think all have a bit of value.
I like the Flynn call, I did have him in my side until i saw how much cash I had left over, went Sean Darcy instead who I think is similar value being 20ish points underpriced.
I currently have Cumming in my side at m6 in place of your Peatling, as a crows man what are your thoughts on Cumming?
I think cumming in the right role is fantasy gold! But his hamstring issues keep presenting
Defenders 4/8 same as my 1st draft
Midfielders 6/11
Rucks 0/3
Forwards 6/8
Done the opposite in mids mega cash gen. Have all 11 of the top 10 in my first draft
Nice work!
im on xerri and english as my rucks i feel we got alot of cash with forwards gota spend it somewhere i need short hype to start is lock in my team being tigers fan i like him alot i feel hes 92 at worst
Who is Alex Johnson in ruck?
Dodson
Not a bad team at all but with Whitfield, Mills, Roberts, Tom Green, Ashcroft and Will Day all having an extra bye I don't think you can pick any of them. Maybe 1 maximum imo.
And I disagree regarding the rucks. Xerri and Marshall are the 2 standouts. I dont see any world where anyone can match their avg. Maybe Gawn and English but English is losing ruck time to Sam Darcy.
Don't know if I'd put Xerri streets ahead of Gawn, he only averaged 2.7 higher. Of course, Max will be 33 years old and Xerri 26, so X has age in his favour. The big question is whether Xerri's crazy late-season scoring reflected his continued growth in the #1 ruck role and something he can sustain going forward, or just red-hot form and some friendly matchups. There's a huge difference between having a 120+ captaincy beast and a 105-110 guy that Max and English could match. We have no real data prior to 2024 to see his long-term trends.
I mean it’s okay to have multiple bye players if you think they will outscore others. But having 3 on one line all on the same bye (mills roberts and Coleman) is a big no no as he won’t have cover for one of them from the bench.
Pretty much need to choose one of mills or roberts if Coleman ends up playing round 0.
Paid 0 attention to the bye structure on this first team. Cheers for your thoughts
Im ignoring the early bye this year, best 18 helps more than you lose. Hurt me worrying about too much last year, hello Issac Heeney
@@Power_Prawnstar My consensus is the 50-55 you get from the player on the bench most likely wont count anyway.
So if you're going a bye player they need to be atleast a 4 points better jump than the other option.