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Excel LADZ
Австралия
Добавлен 21 май 2020
This channel will provide tutorials on sports related topics on using Microsoft Excel. From analysing data to simulating entire sporting seasons, Excel LADZ provides punters with easy-to-learn Microsoft Excel models so as to gain an upper hand on the bookies. Comment on any video with suggestions or ideas, and we will get back to you as soon as possible.
ANALYSE Basketball Games for Win %, Over/Under and Spread Betting using EXCEL! | Team-Based Tutorial
Download: www.patreon.com/posts/excel-ladz-2024-116432682
Basketball Reference: www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2025.html
Basketball Reference: www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2025.html
Просмотров: 584
Видео
NFL Betting Model in Excel: Predict Spread, Moneyline & Totals!
Просмотров 4,2 тыс.2 месяца назад
Download: www.patreon.com/posts/excel-ladz-2024-111333965 NFL Scoring Stats: www.nfl.com/stats/team-stats/offense/scoring/2024/reg/all NFL Receiving Defense: www.nfl.com/stats/team-stats/defense/receiving/2024/reg/all NFL Rushing Defense: www.nfl.com/stats/team-stats/defense/rushing/2024/reg/all NFL Standings: www.nfl.com/standings/ NFL Fixtures (Pro Football Reference): www.pro-football-refere...
Master Sports Betting with Monte Carlo Simulations!
Просмотров 4,3 тыс.4 месяца назад
Learn Sports Modelling: www.patreon.com/ExcelLADZ Download MLS File: www.patreon.com/posts/master-sports-107168517 Football Reference: fbref.com/en/
ANALYSE Football Matches for Win %, Over/Under and Correct Score using EXCEL! | Tutorial
Просмотров 10 тыс.6 месяцев назад
Download: www.patreon.com/posts/analyse-football-103833026 EPL Football Reference Stats: fbref.com/en/comps/9/Premier-League-Stats LaLiga Football Reference Stats: fbref.com/en/comps/12/La-Liga-Stats Ligue 1 Football Reference Stats: fbref.com/en/comps/13/Ligue-1-Stats Bundesliga Football Reference Stats: fbref.com/en/comps/20/Bundesliga-Stats Serie A Football Reference Stats: fbref.com/en/comp...
PREDICT NHL Matches With Excel | Tutorial
Просмотров 3 тыс.7 месяцев назад
Download: www.patreon.com/posts/99755288 Hockey Reference: www.hockey-reference.com/leagues/NHL_2024_standings.html
Project NBA Player Rebounds With Excel | Tutorial
Просмотров 3,9 тыс.9 месяцев назад
Download: www.patreon.com/posts/excel-ladz-nba-98513859 Basketball Reference NBA Player Per Game Stats: www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2024_per_game.html TeamRankings Team PACE: www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat/possessions-per-game TeamRankings Team Offensive Rebound %: www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat/offensive-rebounding-pct TeamRankings Team Defensive Rebound %: www.teamrankings.com/nba/...
I Used Excel to PREDICT UFC Fights | 72% Accuracy!
Просмотров 3,5 тыс.10 месяцев назад
Download: www.patreon.com/posts/95847094?pr=true UFC Dataset: www.kaggle.com/code/nisdotexe/ufc-fighter-data-data-wrangling-final-project/input?select=raw_fighter_details.csv UFC Stats: ufcstats.com/statistics/events/completed Logistic Regression Tutorial: ruclips.net/video/xKA-fOCENaY/видео.html
PREDICT NBA Games on Excel | Live Win Probability + Overtime
Просмотров 3,2 тыс.10 месяцев назад
Download: www.patreon.com/posts/95560092?pr=true Time Stamps 0:20 - 1:56: BINOM.INV Change 1:57 - 7:30: Overtime Adjustment 7:31 - 23:25: Live Win Probability
PREDICT Corners Using Shots & Possession | Linear Regression on Excel
Просмотров 3,4 тыс.11 месяцев назад
Download: www.patreon.com/posts/94652720?pr=true FBref (EPL Live Stats): fbref.com/en/comps/9/Premier-League-Stats Kaggle 2022-23 EPL Dataset: www.kaggle.com/datasets/afnanurrahim/premier-league-2022-23
PREDICT NFL Games | FiveThirtyEight ELO Model
Просмотров 4,6 тыс.11 месяцев назад
Download Free: www.patreon.com/posts/nfl-538-elo-90455360 FiveThirtyEight NFL Model: fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-our-nfl-predictions-work/ ELO Site: www.aussportstipping.com/sports/nfl/elo_ratings/ Home Advantage Formula: ruclips.net/video/o1tGI8G1vH4/видео.html
Create Fixture List & League Table in Excel | Tutorial
Просмотров 26 тыс.Год назад
Download here: www.patreon.com/posts/excel-ladz-table-89532234
Predict the NBA In-Season Tournament... With Excel! | Part 2
Просмотров 1,1 тыс.Год назад
Download: www.patreon.com/posts/excel-l... NBA Stats: www.basketball-reference.com
I Simulated the EPL Season 1,000 Times... Using Excel!
Просмотров 9 тыс.Год назад
Download here: www.patreon.com/posts/87375673 Website I got the fixtures from: fixturedownload.com
I Predicted the Women's World Cup... Using Excel?
Просмотров 1,3 тыс.Год назад
Download: www.patreon.com/posts/excel-ladz-2023-86775929
Predict the NBA In-Season Tournament... With Excel! | Part 1
Просмотров 1,8 тыс.Год назад
Download: www.patreon.com/posts/excel-ladz-nba-85975842 NBA Stats: www.basketball-reference.com
PREDICT MLB Matches With Excel | Tutorial
Просмотров 12 тыс.Год назад
PREDICT MLB Matches With Excel | Tutorial
PREDICT Football Matches with the POISSON Distribution | Excel Beginner Tutorial
Просмотров 26 тыс.Год назад
PREDICT Football Matches with the POISSON Distribution | Excel Beginner Tutorial
PREDICT NBA Games on Excel | Adjusting Player Minutes
Просмотров 3,8 тыс.Год назад
PREDICT NBA Games on Excel | Adjusting Player Minutes
PREDICT NBA Games on Excel | Account for Player Trades
Просмотров 3 тыс.Год назад
PREDICT NBA Games on Excel | Account for Player Trades
PREDICT Super Bowl Passing Touchdowns | Excel
Просмотров 1,4 тыс.Год назад
PREDICT Super Bowl Passing Touchdowns | Excel
EASIEST Model to PREDICT Football Matches With ELO | Excel Beginner Tutorial
Просмотров 32 тыс.Год назад
EASIEST Model to PREDICT Football Matches With ELO | Excel Beginner Tutorial
PREDICT Australian Open with Mathematics | Excel Tutorial
Просмотров 2,2 тыс.Год назад
PREDICT Australian Open with Mathematics | Excel Tutorial
PREDICT NBA Games With Probability | Excel Tutorial
Просмотров 44 тыс.Год назад
PREDICT NBA Games With Probability | Excel Tutorial
PREDICT Football Matches With POSSESSION | Excel Tutorial
Просмотров 32 тыс.Год назад
PREDICT Football Matches With POSSESSION | Excel Tutorial
Predict the FIFA World Cup 2022 With Probability | Excel Tutorial
Просмотров 7 тыс.Год назад
Predict the FIFA World Cup 2022 With Probability | Excel Tutorial
Excel Power Query for Mac Tutorial | Currency Converter Example
Просмотров 2,8 тыс.Год назад
Excel Power Query for Mac Tutorial | Currency Converter Example
How to Create a Sports League Table | Beginner Excel Tutorial
Просмотров 55 тыс.2 года назад
How to Create a Sports League Table | Beginner Excel Tutorial
Beginner PivotTable Tutorial | Analysing Rugby Statistics
Просмотров 2,7 тыс.2 года назад
Beginner PivotTable Tutorial | Analysing Rugby Statistics
How to Make Stock Portfolio on Microsoft Excel | Simple
Просмотров 1,1 тыс.4 года назад
How to Make Stock Portfolio on Microsoft Excel | Simple
How to Simulate Monty Hall Problem EASILY!!!
Просмотров 5 тыс.4 года назад
How to Simulate Monty Hall Problem EASILY!!!
When i get to the dashboard and type in the XLOOKUP formula =XLOOKUP($G$9,'Raw Data'!$AT$2:$AT$2000,'Raw Data'!$C$2:$C$2000)its brings back #NAME for the home team what am I doing wrong
In cell c16 it says you have entered too many arguments in my excel..
Hi mate! Is this after downloading the file, or are you working on it yourself? If you're a member, you can shoot me a message through there and I can take a closer look 😉 If not, I'll try and answer though here!
@@excel_ladz Hi, I was working my way through your formulas, copying them on paper and entering the formulas onto my spreadsheet. Had loads of problems, my errors in copying, syntax differences etc. I did download it but got a Macro warning which I couldn't over-ride that so couldn't use it. I don't know if that is your protection. I did join partly but then it was £19. I don't mind paying if I can download it and it works, cheers :)
@@excel_ladz Yes I am working on it myself but really slow progress. I'm doing it for a Table Tennis league which I want automated. I've made the cards okay but want the captains to be able to print them off for their particular team with date & opponents so all they have to do is fill in the players on the night, and need to do an averages sheet too. I really want to do a Ratings program too. The hardest problem so far is the ratings but the fixtures have me baffled too.
@@paulpells1864 Good luck mate. Unfortunately, there's not enough context for me to provide solutions to why there's an error in C16 right now. What worksheet was that in?
The fixtures Tab cell C16. Clearly it works in yours when you pressed enter, but mine said I entered too many arguments. The double nested IF statements I think caused me the problem but not you 😅
If I join the channel I can download this fixture list?
You make very good tutorials. thanks for that. But personally i think the simulations do not offer any benefit. Let's take a real match. Senators-Flames. The bookie offers me an odd for the senators. 2.06. When i run the simulation that gives me 1.92 so there is a little value. i run the simulation several times and it gives me : 1.96 - 2.22 - 2.50 - 1.67. so with 2.50 i have no value at all where on the other hand with 1.67 there is great value. So it just depends on the rand function when the program runs and you can not know if there is any value in the bet.
Thank you, lad 😃 I agree with your point, but for that result to come up means that there is either an error in your model or you're not running enough simulations. For a single simulation, the RAND() function randomises it according to the certain probability distribution you choose. However, after running thousands of these trials, the average of the results converge to the true probabilities. In most of my models I do at least 1,000 simulations. If I could, I would do 100,000! With 1,000 simulations, the variance is usually around 1-1.5% every "batch" of simulations". Meaning a team could go from a 50% chance of winning to a 51.1% chance of winning with a refresh. Anything more than 2% is too volatile, and you should run more simulations or look for an error in your model 👍 I hope that helps mate 🔥
If I join Patreon, can I touch that model in person? I want to study on my own
Hello, mate 👋 Yes, of course 😃 You can download the file and edit it however you’d like 🔥
Pls bow can i get it but i use the excel on my phone
Google sheets
Has anyone used this model this season? If so how many units are you up?
Is this one better than the first NBA model you made, because that one had player stats too and lots more stats
Hi mate! While the other model has player stats, because of that, it can be quite volatile. Especially at the start of the season when movements in each team's roster can change a player's role and influence on their team without it being fully captured by the data. This model is an alternative that considers the team's strength as a whole throughout the season so far. As a result though, it does miss out on player ins & outs 👍
I think it's at least more meaningful to do what you want to do with your videos while running them through a translator than to watch RUclips shorts pointlessly.
I've been into sports gambling since 2 years ago, actually I love gambling, but I'm 19 now and my dream is to create an NBA analytics model like the one you posted and I dropped out of high school because of it, so it's weird to go back to high school, and gambling has taught me a lot, so I'm going to follow my dreams after watching you, thank you for the video
Thanks for watching, lad!
@@excel_ladz you from au?
@@강현우-o9q Yep! 🇦🇺
Bro. Don't drop out of school to gamble. That's a rough choice
@@mang0donald874 I didn't drop out to gamble. I just dropped out and became interested in gambling and went back to school to study more. Studying gambling does not mean gambling.
Great video.
G'day, lads! Further explanation on how I built the model is here: www.patreon.com/posts/excel-ladz-2024-116432682
Hi bro. Good Job here. The model is not downloading. Please check the link. Thanks
Can you explain or is there somewhere you have already explained on how/what the numbers mean on the xFG+xFT numbers are?
I did the players function exactly as you showed and it will not show the top players for each team ex. Tatum, Giannis Davis will not show up? any suggestions?
Hi mate! Apologies, this was a typo in the model while I was making the video. I've explained it in a comment, which I'll copy and paste here: Hi lads! Unfortunately, there was an error when I typed in the formula under the 'Player' header in the 'Player Working' worksheet. The formula is all right, until the last ROWS part of the formula. This should actually look like: 'Raw Player Stats'$E$3:E3))) Rather than: 'Raw Player Stats'$E$3:E4))) That is why the first player in every team is missing, because in the video I mistakenly put E4 instead of E3. So sorry for the confusion lads, Let me know if this fixes this problem 💪
@@excel_ladz thank you appreciate it. I also have one more question don’t know if you would be able to answer but I’m using excel on a Mac and it won’t allow me to use html link for basketball reference hence it will not update daily any suggestions ?
@@almanon6151 No worries bro. I actually built the model using Excel on a Mac, so there's definitely a solution 👍 Have a look at the 'Currency Converter' video on my channel, where I run through how to establish a Power Query on a Mac. Instead of using the currency website, I used Basketball Reference 😃
How do you add "deducted points" off a team? I have done this for Championship and Sheff Utd are ahead, but they were deducted 2 pts for breaches last year.
Thanks for the video. I’m running into a snag when trying to average the def rating. It’s giving me #div/0. The numbers are showing up correctly for the corresponding teams. I think it’s reading the cells as empty. I’m not sure why
Bro what's the point of your video if you are not even explaining the first step of importing data to the spreadhseet ? I am stuck there. I am not even able to watch further part of the video.
G'day, lad! Unfortunately, the Power Query process is different for not only your version of Excel but also the computer you are working on. I build the models using Excel for Mac, which has a very different process to Windows computers (the majority). As a result, I don't include the portion of the video where I bring the data in, as for 95% of users it'd be a waste of time. If you're struggling with creating a Power Query, I suggest watching some tutorials on RUclips 👍
Is there a simpler way to add the players? There were duplicate players in the list.
Hello brother, I was watching your videos, I haven't understood when you speak because I don't understand English but I was surprised by how you handle Excel. I have a football prediction calculator similar to the one you have already made, but I have a question about how to know when a match can be 0-0 Fulltime, since the % of 0-0 is always above the average although the data tells you that they will win 2-0 for example. That is my doubt, I would love for you to make the table and for Excel to tell you if, according to the statistics, it is likely that the match will end 0-0 (I play live and I want to avoid matches that end 0-0) greetings from Paraguay
I am from Mexico, can I buy the Excel templates?
Hey man i am currently stuck on the second part of the rank
Amazing tutorial, took me a while to go through it but I got it up and running! Thanks for such a great excel document
if i subscribe to yout patreon would i have to do whats in this video? or does it come prepared and ready to use for the current 2024-25 nfl season and refresh daily?
Hello, mate! By subscribing to the Patreon, you can download the model exactly as it is built in this video. No work required 👍 I highly recommend joining the community 🔥
@@excel_ladz done! Thank you
I did the same simulation for this season based on last seasons table. Would there be any way of including the start of this years results into the model?
Hello, this model is great. I am seeing some of the top players not show up on their respective teams. Example is Giannis, Anthony Davis, and Luca. Any thoughts on that?
hey mate, in the 'Player" header in Player Working worksheet, please change the ROWS to $E$3:E3 instead of $E$3:E4 (according to the model)
ошибка впр
Hey lad! Nice video of yours here. Really helped me. I just wanted to ask that have you been testing this model lately or simply what's the record of wins-loss with this? This is because I'm trying to build a prediction model using Python so it might be useful for me to compare the results. Thank you. Also if possible can you upload more of such analysis/ model/prediction videos for other sports, I really enjoy these?
Results using this model since week 4: Week 4- ML 56.25%, Spread 62.5%, and O/U 56.3%. Week 5- ML 57.14%, Spread 50%, O/U 42.86%, Week 6- ML 78.57%, Spread 64.29%, O/U 50%, Week 7- ML 73.33%, Spread 46.67%, O/U 46.67%, Week 8- ML 62.5%, Spread 62.5%, O/U 31.25%, Week 9- ML 87.5%, Spread 43.75%, O/U 43.75%. This is the percentage for the moneyline (ML), spread and over/under (O/U) being accurate. Overall ML 69.22%, Spread 54.95%, O/U 45.14%. When using this keep in mind this accounts for the last 12 games, currently it still considering 2 games from last season and this doesn't help the accuracy, as well as this does not account for injuries, such that Tua from Dolphins got hurt and was out for 4 weeks, so now that he returns the dolphins potential to win will be greater than what the math will show since the 4 weeks he was out the Dolphins stats were abysmal. O/U seems to favor the under which is tough since the NFL is trying to get more teams to score more points so be cautious betting on this. ML has been close to 70% and this can provide some good ROI if you have some football knowledge to go along with the betting. Using this model and the UFC model he produced have made some of my own tweaks with knowledge of the sports and some data points on the way and have seen good ROI.
@@DFSInsights Ohh thanks a lot mate. That's the comprehensive backtest I was looking for, though I've been doing it for the past 2 weeks, the results are decent especially the spreads. I'll look to make some tweaks. Thanks a lot again mate.
worthless
awesome work on this, i did find one issue that i am trying to figure out how to write the code in for. in games that go to a shootout, say it is tied 2-2 in the sim. ot is still tied 2-2. in a shootout where multiple goals are scored, say 3 for the home team and 2 for the away team, the final score then presents itself as a 5-4 win as opposed to a 3-2 win. no matter how many goals are scored in a shootout the winning team is still only credited for one goal. I'm trying to figure out how to code this but have yet to succeed. any advice? thanks!
It’s just so based on matchups but I reckon if you combine the model with your own eye test it could be very profitable
Thank you! This was immensely helpful!
does it update automatically?
Hello, lad! When you connect it to the Official NFL Website using a Power Query, it does update automatically; assuming you select the "Refresh All" icon in the 'Data' tab 👍
hello there save as type which option ?? cause i save it but when i opened it's not saving right
Thanks for the video. I have an issue though, how come I never get any Tie in my simulations ?
This isn't an accurate sim. Love the effort, but to sim the monte hall problem you need to sim the decision tree. Step 1: choose 1. Step 2: remove one false answer. Step 3: choose to stay or switch between remaining 2. Step 4: compare results of staying vs switching
I'm having a problem with the IFS function
The Analysis Sheet, should the percentages be constant? Mine doesn't change, but values change in the other sheets when I hit backspace or when I tell Excel to recalculate formulas
7:42 is that really necessary? It's not like teams/players had no injuries during the previous season? I don't see the purpose of that
can you make a college basketball and football model?
Awesome! Can you do one for the NRL?
I can make work home XG calculation work fine but when I drag the formula down (14:00 mins) and change to "away_xg" I get an error? Any suggestions? Thanks
Hi. What do I do if instead of points for win, draw, loss i just want to put in points on the table is the same as they score. Like snooker where a score is 5 frames to 3 where you get 5 points for winning 5 and other player gets 3 points for winning 3 frames? Great vid. Thanks
This was absolutely spectacular. I'm a complete novice, and had a great time following this. Created a table for a league I am in that is run by a mate, to make sure they're not fobbing me off!! Thanks so much
Hi, just used the same exact formula, exp. Scores is reaching a very high number... is there any fix or leave it as is?
Don't give the impression that it's free. $23.50 a month !!! I'll pass Thank you.
Hi mate, apologies if that wasn’t clear to you 😢 Of course, you can build the model for free by watching this video. Thanks for watching 🙏
Your Excel skills are top-notch. Tell me, how can I update the matches on the excel on a regularly basis without interfering with the data in the table?
too bad it didnt work for the giants vs browns
Just a quick thing, in the fixtures table, it isnt the away and home team, its the winner and loser, the @ symbol signifies if the away team won
Hi mate, thanks for watching 👍 In the Fixtures Data worksheet, the games that have already been played are sorted into Winner and Loser. For the games that haven't been sorted yet, they're sorted into Away and Home. Because the table I built in the dashboard is only interested in games that haven't already been played, it ignores the instances where the winning team is sorted into the Away column. I hope that helps lad.
Another W video as always