Kostadin Ristovski, ACCA
Kostadin Ristovski, ACCA
  • Видео 128
  • Просмотров 150 913
Match Group Stock Analysis: The Online Dating Boom
Match Group $MTCH has been capitalizing on the shift in society towards online dating. It has ~50% market share in the U.S. and this video is a deep dive into its fundamentals. The new normal is dating online and Match Group is perfectly positioned to continue dominating.
If you enjoy reading, check out the newsletter: thefinancecorner.substack.com/
Support the channel via the links below:
Patreon: www.patreon.com/Kostadin
Paypal: www.paypal.com/donate?hosted_button_id=VTHHMH6QP4LCL
Buy me a coffee: www.buymeacoffee.com/Kostadin
-- Disclosure --
The video is created for entertainment / informative purposes and should not be treated as any specific inducement to make an investment or follow a str...
Просмотров: 193

Видео

The stupidity of the investment crowd: A reality check
Просмотров 76914 часов назад
It would be great if you could know the next stock that would be 50x, right? Well, exactly 3 years ago, there was a list of 20 stocks that had this potential, at least, based on the average Twitter user. This video points out how sentiment plays a role and how good the average investor actually is. If you enjoy reading, check out the newsletter: thefinancecorner.substack.com/ Support the channe...
Ulta Beauty Stock Analysis: The Good, The Bad and the Ugly
Просмотров 49619 часов назад
Ulta Beauty has had exceptional growth to become the largest specialty beauty retailer in the U.S. with a presence in 50 states. However, its growth slowed down, and the question is - Will it re-accelerate? The share price of Ulta Beauty over the last 5 years is up only 15%. This video covers my full analysis, including a Discounted cash flow (DCF) model. If you enjoy reading, check out the new...
Celsius Stock Analysis: Is it the Next Monster Beverage?
Просмотров 557День назад
Celsius (CELH) has done incredibly well over the last 5 years and the comparison to Monster Beverage is definitely here. However, recently the Celsius (CELH) stock price crashed by almost 40%, and the growth is in question. This video covers my full analysis, including a Discounted cash flow (DCF) model. If you enjoy reading, check out the newsletter: thefinancecorner.substack.com/ Support the ...
Will Nvidia (NVDA) Suffer From Its Success?
Просмотров 24721 день назад
There are many videos on Nvidia and the challenges it faces. However, this video is different. It doesn't cover what you've heard many times (ranging from high valuation to a potential decrease in demand for semiconductors). Jensen Huang has done a great job over the last 3 decades, and I think there's a new challenge waiting for him and his team. The question is - How will Jensen Huang tackle ...
Shrinkflation Exposed - What They Don't Want You To Know
Просмотров 384Месяц назад
Are you getting less for your money? Discover the hidden inflation phenomenon known as shrinkflation! In this eye-opening video, we uncover how companies are shrinking product sizes while keeping prices the same. From cereal boxes to snack bags, learn how this sneaky tactic affects your everyday purchases. Shrinkflation is actually hidden inflation. it also has an impact on the basket of goods ...
Short selling explained - From Enron and Wirecard to GameStop
Просмотров 185Месяц назад
Short selling is definitely an interesting activity that captures the interest of many. From Enron and Wirecard, all the way to Gamestop, there are plenty of cases that teach us a lesson. The goal of this video is to provide brief introduction to the world of short selling. If you enjoy reading, check out the newsletter: thefinancecorner.substack.com/ Support the channel via the links below: Pa...
Reddit is going public - All you need to know about its IPO
Просмотров 1,9 тыс.4 месяца назад
Reddit is going public. Its prospectus is almost 300 pages long, and this video is my summary of it. It covers the fundamentals of the company, its business model, financials, and the variables when it comes to its valuation. Support the channel via the links below: Paypal: www.paypal.com/donate?hosted_button_id=VTHHMH6QP4LCL Buy me a coffee: www.buymeacoffee.com/Kostadin Patreon: www.patreon.c...
Is the market overvalued? - The Shiller PE ratio is very high
Просмотров 1,2 тыс.5 месяцев назад
Is the market overvalued? it's been going up A LOT! This is the question that I see very often, and I think there are many ways to address this. One ratio that has been around for decades is the Shiller PE ratio. A very simple ratio, however, can be misleading, unless one understands its pros and cons. The goal of this video is to provide the viewers with all the information needed to better un...
Dave Ramsey's Dangerous Retirement Advice - 8% withdrawal rate
Просмотров 1,7 тыс.5 месяцев назад
There are many "financial gurus" out there, and Dave Ramsey is definitely one of them. Unfortunately, once in a while, there is an advice that can be dangerous to the audience, and I believe this is one of it. Support the channel via the links below: Paypal: www.paypal.com/donate?hosted_button_id=VTHHMH6QP4LCL Buy me a coffee: www.buymeacoffee.com/Kostadin Patreon: www.patreon.com/Kostadin Tikr...
Michelmersh: A Great UK Company You've Never Heard Of
Просмотров 7786 месяцев назад
The video is all about a boring company by the name of Michelmersh. It covers my full analysis, including a Discounted cash flow (DCF) model. Its ticker symbol on the London Stock Exchange is $MBH Support the channel via the links below: Patreon: www.patreon.com/Kostadin Paypal: www.paypal.com/donate?hosted_button_id=VTHHMH6QP4LCL Buy me a coffee: www.buymeacoffee.com/Kostadin Disclosure The vi...
Analysts underestimate UpWork - Here's why
Просмотров 9676 месяцев назад
I think UpWork is underestimated by analysts and maybe to some extent - misunderstood. There's not a mature company to compare UpWork with, and it is evolving quite fast. In this video, I want to share my thoughts on the fee structure change that will have a positive impact on UpWork in 2024. Support the channel via the links below: Paypal: www.paypal.com/donate?hosted_button_id=VTHHMH6QP4LCL B...
Cakebox Acquisition Speculation: Will River Capital Make a Move?
Просмотров 3747 месяцев назад
Cakebox Acquisition Speculation: Will River Capital Make a Move?
Incompetent Individuals E2 - Opendoor & Keith Rabois
Просмотров 9308 месяцев назад
Incompetent Individuals E2 - Opendoor & Keith Rabois
Palantir & Uber meet the S&P500 inclusion criteria - Now what?
Просмотров 5998 месяцев назад
Palantir & Uber meet the S&P500 inclusion criteria - Now what?
Incompetent Individuals E01 - Lucid & Peter Rawlinson
Просмотров 4248 месяцев назад
Incompetent Individuals E01 - Lucid & Peter Rawlinson
Domino's Pizza stock analysis and valuation
Просмотров 8418 месяцев назад
Domino's Pizza stock analysis and valuation
Excel for Beginners - A Practical Course for Finance and Accounting
Просмотров 6749 месяцев назад
Excel for Beginners - A Practical Course for Finance and Accounting
Is There A Housing Bubble?
Просмотров 3829 месяцев назад
Is There A Housing Bubble?
Piscines Desjoyaux stock analysis and valuation
Просмотров 7879 месяцев назад
Piscines Desjoyaux stock analysis and valuation
Financial Deception E07 - The P/E ratio is often times USELESS - Here's why
Просмотров 5579 месяцев назад
Financial Deception E07 - The P/E ratio is often times USELESS - Here's why
Antonio Linares on Spotify, Blackberry, Roblox, Research process, Education, History, Books
Просмотров 70410 месяцев назад
Antonio Linares on Spotify, Blackberry, Roblox, Research process, Education, History, Books
Mikro Kap David on investing in micro and small caps, research process, newsletter, books
Просмотров 77510 месяцев назад
Mikro Kap David on investing in micro and small caps, research process, newsletter, books
Sean Emory on being Investment Manager, Philosophy, Research, Diversification, AI, Books
Просмотров 35910 месяцев назад
Sean Emory on being Investment Manager, Philosophy, Research, Diversification, AI, Books
Financial Deception E06: Low price to book value ratios can be hugely MISLEADING
Просмотров 51911 месяцев назад
Financial Deception E06: Low price to book value ratios can be hugely MISLEADING
Asset impairment explained in 8 minutes
Просмотров 44311 месяцев назад
Asset impairment explained in 8 minutes
HelloFresh stock analysis and valuation
Просмотров 2,3 тыс.11 месяцев назад
HelloFresh stock analysis and valuation
Financial Deception E05: Carvana is MISLEADING investors - A lot of red flags
Просмотров 72111 месяцев назад
Financial Deception E05: Carvana is MISLEADING investors - A lot of red flags
Q&A #1 -Value investing, Impostor syndrome, YouTube earnings, Study tips, Music, Books
Просмотров 331Год назад
Q&A #1 -Value investing, Impostor syndrome, RUclips earnings, Study tips, Music, Books
Edwin Dorsey on Short selling, Mentors, The Bear Cave newsletter, Future plans, Advice
Просмотров 1,2 тыс.Год назад
Edwin Dorsey on Short selling, Mentors, The Bear Cave newsletter, Future plans, Advice

Комментарии

  • @andrejvangelski4514
    @andrejvangelski4514 День назад

    Awesome video like always 👏

  • @SigFigNewton
    @SigFigNewton День назад

    I like your points about international expansion possibly being overestimated. I believe that the concerns about competition are also valid. Investors are watching elf grow at a faster pace than Ulta, taking market share. Inflation pushing customers to less-expensive elf. Also, I bought more Ulta today.

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski День назад

      Thank you for the feedback. I wish you a lot of success with the position!

    • @SigFigNewton
      @SigFigNewton День назад

      @@kostadin_ristovski Sentiment seems sufficiently negative on the company that I’m a buyer. Beauty products are categorized as consumer discretionary but people don’t actually stop buying them in economic downturns. For me it’s a portfolio diversifier, uncorrelated to the stuff I usually put money into, and tho it has large potential downside risk (that’s equity investing), there’s significantly less downside risk than with most companies. Is my guess.

  • @birdteerapat5783
    @birdteerapat5783 День назад

    Really love this subscribed!

  • @zanexie981
    @zanexie981 2 дня назад

    Missing the portfolio update series. What happened to it ? :( Was fun to see the relative performance and comparison vs sp500 each month while you provided insights.

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 2 дня назад

      Hi there, here's my post regarding the portfolio update series: ruclips.net/user/postUgkxXNK7P08j54rvPcGtz4W8LMU3QT4XIwJE

  • @trillbill6429
    @trillbill6429 2 дня назад

    Your wife is cheating on you.

  • @guymor910
    @guymor910 5 дней назад

    They did go up 50x, though. They just tanked when the pandemic was over. Seems like this list was only relevant to day traders.

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 5 дней назад

      You are right that many of these companies went up significantly during the hype madness. However, most of that increase happened before the question was asked. So, to expect 50x on top of that, is crazy.

  • @Value_Geek9447
    @Value_Geek9447 6 дней назад

    "Everyone is a genius in a bull market"

  • @victorhinvesting
    @victorhinvesting 8 дней назад

    Good video. I would be intereted in your thought on CHGG

  • @beantownUS
    @beantownUS 8 дней назад

    you should do WD-40 next 😭

  • @ibrahimciftci9599
    @ibrahimciftci9599 8 дней назад

    Grab Holdings is a great option to invest into Southeast Asia and worth a look. They are essentially the Uber of Southeast Asia.

  • @barryaherne215
    @barryaherne215 13 дней назад

    I'm not sure if this had been brought up in previous earnings calls, but I have seen Celsius in China, so they have a market there, too. That being said, in my local Chinese supermarket, Monster are front and centre, you cannot miss them; they are in the drinks aisle, they are in the fridges dotted around the supermarket, and they are in a large stand before the checkouts, and in small fridges *at* the checkout. I found Celsius by accident in one of the drinks aisles, but only because I was looking for a Gatorade. Now, this isn't to say anything bad about Celsius, but they are up against a juggernaut. Their brand is also a little bland. Is it water, is it fruit, it's not clear at a glance. Red Bull has extreme sports, Monster has gaming and an element of the fitness world. Celsius has what? It really needs work in this area. Unrelated, but I'm a little surprised that Red Bull is so high when you can buy generic supermarket brand alternatives for a quarter of the price. Part of Monster's strength is the abundance of flavours, especially their sugar free options, so I'm a little shocked that one-flavour RB dominates.

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 13 дней назад

      Thank you for sharing your experience. Also, thank you for sharing your thoughts, those are all very good points.

  • @gorandamchevski
    @gorandamchevski 13 дней назад

    Didn't know PEP is a key player :) Plugged in some numbers on my side, 30% growth next year, 25% for the 4 years after that, converging on a terminal rate in Y-10. End up with revenues of $8B Assume EBIT reaches 23%, I get an intrinsic value of 12B by using an initial 10% discount. Seems the company is trading at a slight premium, but the key question to answer is HOW will Celsius get from $1.4B to $8B in sales. I have seen optimistic growth assumptions with SAM before and it didn't end well. Again, answering the HOW is key for Celsius - I'm not saying it won't grow, I just lack the info to make a judgement. Great video, thank you!

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 13 дней назад

      Glad you enjoyed the video Goran. Indeed, there's a lot of uncertainty and the future growth is the key variable.

    • @leonardoghini1782
      @leonardoghini1782 13 дней назад

      Great video, as usual!

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 13 дней назад

      @@leonardoghini1782 Thank you!

  • @altairjb
    @altairjb 18 дней назад

    If you predict a crash every month, eventually you'll be right

  • @gorandamchevski
    @gorandamchevski 23 дня назад

    Even with their IP moat, NVDA more than most companies at the moment, needs to keep up with leading edge innovation to retain their valuation. Employees taking it easy can have an impact.

  • @shortclimberbeta
    @shortclimberbeta 25 дней назад

    The four most dangerous words are: it's different this time - John Templeton. Yes tech companies are less capital intensive but it doesn't mean they're safer than traditional manufacturers. I'd argue that tech companies are more likely to be disrupted: google to yahoo, facebook to myspace

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 24 дня назад

      I do agree with you that "It is different this time" is used often, and especially without any data to back it up. As for the last part, there is an argument to be made both for and against your thesis that tech companies are more likely to be disrupted. I do find it a gray area to be honest. Yes, some companies can be disrupted with less capital done the manufacturing ones, however, there's the value of networks in place, that the manufacturing companies do not have.

  • @johnsuckher3037
    @johnsuckher3037 Месяц назад

    oh some Patrick style video. If I compare products I evaluate them by price per oz/kg/liter. Also in EU there slowly rolling out lowest price per 30/90 days to maybe better catch real discounts but I noticed shops recently just do 1+1, 2+1 instead of usual some percentage off.

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski Месяц назад

      Hi there! Indeed, your way of comparing is the best one to avoid shrinkflation. The 1+1 or 2+1 are amazing ways to save money in the long run! P.S. I assume you're referring to Patrick Boyle? If so, I do like him, but I find his videos a bit too long.

    • @johnsuckher3037
      @johnsuckher3037 Месяц назад

      @@kostadin_ristovski 1+1 I believe is a way to get around displaying lowest price requirement but it's done by stores, not product makers. One way to mislead buyers about "fair" price. Regarding Patrick, yes, the type of giving research backed direct talk in one take. I like listening x1.75 while biking since it doesn't rely on graphics.

  • @szilardbodnar7729
    @szilardbodnar7729 Месяц назад

    Great video! Also just to mention in Hungary where I live the government made a rule that all the shops need to put a sign next to a product which size has been shrinken.

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski Месяц назад

      I am glad that you enjoyed the video and thank you for sharing the rule. It is definitely an interesting approach to fight shrinkflation.

  • @jordib3747
    @jordib3747 Месяц назад

    Respectfully, fuck that study, I guarantee you Id be way happier just being rich and being able to do the fuck I want instead of having to work 2 badly paid jobs having to listen to asshole bosses giving me orders everyday

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski Месяц назад

      Hey Jordi, I do think that this study makes sense above a certain threshold and it has been proven through multiple studies. The desires of an average human are always slightly higher than the income.

    • @jordib3747
      @jordib3747 Месяц назад

      @@kostadin_ristovski Ye I agree I experienced it myself once I got my salary multiplied x3 after I finished my studies (cooking school) felt cool at first but it very quickly became too slow a pace. I think that threshold u mention is not caring about your bills, thats the point I want to reach and the reason Im working 2 jobs in the first place but until then happiness does improve w how much money I have in my bank account

  • @miriamllauce
    @miriamllauce Месяц назад

    Hi there, Interesting analysis - the last couple of weeks have been very interesting. I’m wondering if you’d do an update on this. Time to buy more?

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski Месяц назад

      Hi there, are you referring to the accelerated buybacks?

  • @perovicb
    @perovicb Месяц назад

    Odlican video!

  • @wirsyt
    @wirsyt Месяц назад

    Great to see that you are back Kosta! Very informative video as always!

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski Месяц назад

      Glad to be back, thank you for the support, as always!

  • @victorhinvesting
    @victorhinvesting Месяц назад

    Thank you Kosta, I believe the market is over valued at this time and we due for a solid pull back

  • @Oxazepam65
    @Oxazepam65 2 месяца назад

    It went down 80% since that video was recorded, only 9 months ago.

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 2 месяца назад

      Yes, that is correct. I don't think this price movement is justified by the fundamentals. It was driven by the management lowering the guidance a few times in a short period of time.

    • @WIJNJWIJNJ
      @WIJNJWIJNJ День назад

      @@kostadin_ristovski Maybe the managment lowers the guidance due to worse fundementals?

  • @ronaldmadena4746
    @ronaldmadena4746 2 месяца назад

    Please cover BNED Barnes and Noble. They are heavily shorted and undervalued with billions in revenue. They have changed their business model and I think it could squeeze like GameStop. Probably going to load some tomorrow but I’d love to hear your thoughts on it

  • @innocenti67
    @innocenti67 2 месяца назад

    like you, I am revisiting this as i owned it a few years ago. I dont quite understand your Intrinsic Valuation. I have very similar revenue, Ebit, capex numbers but very different outcome. My DCF says its worth £185 using a 10.5% WACC, with terminal (2012) revenues 103m, Ebitda 23.7m, capex 4.1m therefore FCF pre interested 15.3m. My 10yr DCF value is £100m inc the £10m cash therefore terminal (11yr+) is £73m

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 2 месяца назад

      Hey there, if you have similar revenue, ebit, capex, wacc, etc, it doesn't make sense to have such a large difference in the outcome. In theory, if you have a FCF of 10m/year, and you have a WACC of 10.5%, the only explanation for coming up with such a high valuation is to have a high implied revenue growth in year 10. So, either there is something going wrong in your model or you have a much higher multiple in year 10 (through high expected revenue growth).

    • @innocenti67
      @innocenti67 2 месяца назад

      @@kostadin_ristovski my terminal growth is 3%. It’s the same model I have used for decades as a hedge fund manager

  • @GuilhermePereira-qy7el
    @GuilhermePereira-qy7el 3 месяца назад

    Hey mate, is everything fine? Missing your videos...

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 3 месяца назад

      Hey there, thank you for the message. Everything is good, I've been traveling for a month with my family, and also quite busy with work. I have a few videos in the pipeline, and I'm to have the next one out on Sunday (next week).

  • @Stefan89.
    @Stefan89. 3 месяца назад

    Wat is the fair value of Tesla today? Are we baying or not?

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 3 месяца назад

      I already have Tesla in my portfolio. Should the price go down more, I'm happy to increase the position.

  • @Stefan89.
    @Stefan89. 3 месяца назад

    One more video about Tesla?

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 3 месяца назад

      Hey Stefan, I don't see any significant change in the fundamentals, so I won't be making another video for now.

  • @BarsonlineOrg2013
    @BarsonlineOrg2013 3 месяца назад

    If, if, if......just look at the Berkshire portfolio after the terrible 1970s, no tech, retail, some aluminum, insurances, candy....so no, tech will not solve everything and the amount and proportion it makes life better, it also takes something, which we had before and which was also essential for us as humans, like, e.g. spending more time with family and friends, instead of sitting in front of a lamp shining into your eyes, called smartphone.

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 3 месяца назад

      I agree with you that the advancement of technology has both good and bad effect on the society.

  • @carymiller2403
    @carymiller2403 3 месяца назад

    Very good evaluation of the Shiller PE ratio. Fundamentally sound and logical. Thank you for this presentation

  • @joonasahonen6342
    @joonasahonen6342 3 месяца назад

    Very good test on chatgpt's understanding of accounting and still relevant 1 year later, I think. I've had similar experiences myself and I notice a lot of the work being done especially by book keepers is getting either scripted, automated or "statistically accounted" based on large volume of similar invoices being processed throgh same software. There's also new wave of accounting offices that try to fully automate accountant work by combining all of the previous in their own software solutions, however, they're not doing a great job and seem to be a common subject of ridicule among people. However, what's important to note is that every day they are getting better at what they're doing, and eventually they're "good enough" for most companies and entrepreneurs. Which is good! Because using computer as a tool for anything is humane at all. We'd never allow animals to be treated like we treat office workers: Sit in your tiny cubicle for 16 hours straight during crunch time, stare at the screen 50cm from your face all day, drink stimulating chemicals so you can focus better. Eat low quality food, live in an apartment where you can always reach the closest wall no matter where you're standing.

  • @shadytrackmania9319
    @shadytrackmania9319 3 месяца назад

    Love your work man! I will definitely stay along with you on your journey on RUclips, keep up the great content brother

  • @user-ys8dc2ni8z
    @user-ys8dc2ni8z 4 месяца назад

    You missed palantir😂 The thing is that you can’t value once in a lifetime companies

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 4 месяца назад

      I will miss plenty of companies and I am okay with that. Palantir introduced a lot of different stuff between my valuation and today, such as the bootcamps.

  • @PhillipAnselRitz
    @PhillipAnselRitz 4 месяца назад

    Corporate taxes were also cut by 3/5, a big boost to stock values over the past several years.

  • @unforgivenatheist
    @unforgivenatheist 4 месяца назад

    Why can I not get straight answers about the effect on the product. Only talk of money. WHAT ABOUT THE QUALITY OF THE PRODUCT?

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 4 месяца назад

      I don’t follow the question, can you elaborate?

    • @unforgivenatheist
      @unforgivenatheist 4 месяца назад

      @@kostadin_ristovski I am interested in how stock buybacks have a negative impact on products. Like airplane doors that don't fall off. Every vid is about money. What about quality?

    • @unforgivenatheist
      @unforgivenatheist 4 месяца назад

      @@kostadin_ristovski When buybacks were illegal, Boeing planes didn't just fall apart or nosedive uncontrollably. Is there no connection, or can people only focus on money?

  • @davenelson4334
    @davenelson4334 4 месяца назад

    Thank you so much for explaining this! I learned so much..

  • @micheleblackburn2345
    @micheleblackburn2345 4 месяца назад

    Greatly appreciated 🙏

  • @srem1971
    @srem1971 4 месяца назад

    Excellent and highly informative video. Thank you!

  • @UmarKhan-su1vv
    @UmarKhan-su1vv 4 месяца назад

    Very informative and concise! No fluff! Love the content man keep it coming and keep it simple!

    • @kostadin_ristovski
      @kostadin_ristovski 4 месяца назад

      I appreciate the kind words and feedback. Thank you!